tahoe weather discussion said we may have warm storms all winter :(
TWD has no idea what the hell he is talking about. He was also the one forecasting a HUGE winter last year. Where are his advanced degrees in Atmospheric Science? They do not exist.
About the tahoe guy. Almost always take weather forecasting with a grain of salt. Especially long term prognostication. What I like about the tahoe page is that he explains things in ways that I can understand. I know that he isn't always right, and has even made some big mistakes. So what. He at least gave some explanation for why he was so wrong. And those guys with all the letters after their names have also made lots of mistakes. He is just one of many tools that I use to try to get an understanding for what is going to happen. I also like some of the graphics he posts.
I also look outside. I read a story once about a big storm that hit california a number of years ago. Back in the 50s I think. I can't remember where I found it, probably in our local book sale. Part of it was from the weather forecasters point of view. He told a story about reminding the new forecasters to always go outside before they posted their forecast. This was because they worked in a big building inside with no windows. He said that when he was new he was working nights and he studied all of the info that they had, was about to post that it was going to be a sunny morning, but one of the night cleaners said he had just been outside and it was raining hard. He was that off in his prediction.
This was because they worked in a big building inside with no windows. He said that when he was new he was working nights and he studied all of the info that they had, was about to post that it was going to be a sunny morning
Ain't that the truth. Salt Lake City, ca 1968. Late afternoon, summer, about 5:30. TV weatherman forecasting chance of showers.
While it was thunder, lightning and raining leopards and wolves right outside the studio door. I know, I was in a building across the street. A building with windows.
while gowing up in Tahoe we use to watch the weather on TV from Bay Area news channels. The most popular weatherman was Pete Giddings. We called him Pete's Kidding!!
He was frequently seen around the casinos wearing full length fur coats. We figured the casinos probably took good care of him to enusre good forecasts to bring the tourist up.
Meteorological science has come a long way - Sandy was an incredibly precise forcast.
And the nor' Easter that followed was predicated as it was making its turn up by Alaska
Big difference between the scientists on the weather channel and some jack ass weather girl.
No need to wash your car.
It's already raining hard and blowing near Castle Rock. Warm though. High freezing levels forecast for the Sierra.
So PLEASE don't tempt the Weather Gods by waxing your skis.
Sandy was an incredibly precise forcast.
Indeed. I was on Long Island as Sandy approached. The forecast for the big hook to the left was on Friday morning. Sandy's eye hit on Monday night within a few dozen miles of the forecast. Tidal surge and wind strength/direction forecasts were also spot on. A surprisingly reliable forecast for such an unusual storm.
Data is easy, its model output thats tricky...heres what they had to choose from 5 days out...the two commonly used models for weather prediction in NA, WRF and GFS sent it out to sea...the Euro model ECMWF nailed it 5 days out.
Let us know!