Huge 8.9 quake plus tsunami - Japan

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Greg Barnes

climber
Topic Author's Original Post - Mar 11, 2011 - 02:17am PT
USGS estimate just went from 7.9 to 8.9, hope people are OK. Tsunami warnings up from Russia to Hawaii, early reports of tsunami hitting coast of Japan with major damage:

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/03/10/501364/main20041987.shtml?tag=breakingnews

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12709598

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2011/usc0001xgp/
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:24am PT
We are next in line. Get your emergency earthquake kit ready.
crøtch

climber
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:27am PT
Never seen anything like this. Tsunami hitting the Japan coast now. Unimaginable disaster. :-(
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:35am PT
The NOAA tsunami warning/alert/watch website:
http://www.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=1&id=pacific.2011.03.11.064306

It's currently described as an expanding regional warning.
Nohea

Trad climber
Sunny Aiea,Hi
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:44am PT
Wow 8.9 is a freakin bump....ganbate,fighto my Nihonjin Buddies!

At least a 3 am arrival will minimize the nut jobs sitting outside pops.

Aloha,
Will
D.Eubanks

climber
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:45am PT
I was there after the Kobe earthquake, building emergency housing.

This hits close to home.
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:57am PT
Jan?!?! You alright over there? Dang it...

Heck, Debbie is in Yokosuka-shi. She better be alright or I'm going to have one hell of a break down.

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:58am PT
hey there say, ohmy... this is very awful .... :(

i will be praying.. man oh man, i am glad i am awake now, to hear this, and not hearing it later...

how can anyone help anyone when this happens :(


also, keep us informed for hawaii, as well...
:(
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:59am PT
Jan was ok as of a few minutes ago


Jan: Mar 10, 2011 - 10:49pm PT
Tom-

We haven't felt a thing in Okinawa although we may yet as we haven't had a really bad quake here in many years.

Edit: I have a couple of NASA friends over there who are ok, but a couple of others that we haven't heard from...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:00am PT
hey there say, anastasia... i know two gals in japan, that are dear friends, too....

not to mention that everyone is dear to others, there, too... :(


oh my... prayer alert... we must pray...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:01am PT
hey there say, tom... thanks for lettting us know...
god blesss...
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:04am PT
Thanks Tom, you are awesome. Hopefully Jan is just busy keeping himself safe.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:13am PT
huge tsunami sweeping inland along japanese coast

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKh-QaeT6rc
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:19am PT
hey there say, tom, jan, or anyone tha knows japan...
i dont know how much city, provence, etc, or whatever
to write, so here is all of it, but not the personal numbers:

where is this area, this is my friend's town, area, etc:

issiki
hayama mirura
kanagawa

and where, please, is this area:

equchi kata
nakai cho
matsudo shi
chiba ken

please, let me know if these are near those danger areas,
thanks, if you can...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:19am PT
Okinawa is ok - no shaking, but the loud speakers have been announcing tsunami warnings for our eastern Pacific Coast - a tsunami of 2 meters (6 1/2 ft.) is predicted.

The TV footage from up north looks horrific. I'm sure the American military in Okinawa is readying disaster relief teams as I write.

Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:19am PT
My friend Matt is in Guam, they are evacuating now. If a tsunami hits it will be within the hour.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:24am PT
http://www.weather.gov/ptwc/

000
WEHW40 PHEB 110731
TSUHWX
HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-110931-
/O.CAN.PHEB.TS.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.PHEB.TS.W.0001.110311T0731Z-000000T0000Z/
BULLETIN
TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
931 PM HST THU MAR 10 2011
TO - CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII
SUBJECT - TSUNAMI WARNING
A TSUNAMI WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII EFFECTIVE AT
0931 PM HST.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0746 PM HST 10 MAR 2011
COORDINATES - 38.2 NORTH 142.5 EAST
LOCATION - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 8.8 MOMENT
MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER
DART 21413 30.5N 152.1E 0659Z 0.76M / 2.5FT 32MIN
HANASAKI HOKKAIDO J 43.3N 145.6E 0657Z 2.79M / 9.2FT 76MIN
DART 21401 42.6N 152.6E 0643Z 0.67M / 2.2FT 40MIN
DART 21418 38.7N 148.7E 0619Z 1.08M / 3.5FT 06MIN
LAT - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH)
LON - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST)
TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME)
AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).
PER - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT.
NOTE - DART MEASUREMENTS ARE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN AND THEY
ARE GENERALLY MUCH SMALLER THAN WOULD BE COASTAL
MEASUREMENTS AT SIMILAR LOCATIONS.
EVALUATION
A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED THAT COULD CAUSE DAMAGE ALONG
COASTLINES OF ALL ISLANDS IN THE STATE OF HAWAII. URGENT ACTION
SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY.
A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF LONG OCEAN WAVES. EACH INDIVIDUAL WAVE
CREST CAN LAST 5 TO 15 MINUTES OR MORE AND EXTENSIVELY FLOOD
COASTAL AREAS. THE DANGER CAN CONTINUE FOR MANY HOURS AFTER THE
INITIAL WAVE AS SUBSEQUENT WAVES ARRIVE. TSUNAMI WAVE HEIGHTS
CANNOT BE PREDICTED AND THE FIRST WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST.
TSUNAMI WAVES EFFICIENTLY WRAP AROUND ISLANDS. ALL SHORES ARE AT
RISK NO MATTER WHICH DIRECTION THEY FACE. THE TROUGH OF A TSUNAMI
WAVE MAY TEMPORARILY EXPOSE THE SEAFLOOR BUT THE AREA WILL
QUICKLY FLOOD AGAIN. EXTREMELY STRONG AND UNUSUAL NEARSHORE
CURRENTS CAN ACCOMPANY A TSUNAMI. DEBRIS PICKED UP AND CARRIED
BY A TSUNAMI AMPLIFIES ITS DESTRUCTIVE POWER. SIMULTANEOUS HIGH
TIDES OR HIGH SURF CAN SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE TSUNAMI HAZARD.
THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME IN HAWAII OF THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS
0259 AM HST FRI 11 MAR 2011
MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:35am PT
live news feed from Hawaii
http://www.khvhradio.com/main.html


People are freaked! All the gas stations and food stores are packed with people buying everything.


Pomaika`i
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:36am PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKW_OdDXIE4
Nohea

Trad climber
Sunny Aiea,Hi
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:42am PT
Some r freaked...I'm chillin with a meritage. Hey there NeeBee Chiba stay north east of Tokyo, and Kanagawa is the prefecture just south of Tokyo....that is if my memory serves me correctly.

Me hopes the best for all.

Wake isle gets "hit" sooner than us so it may give some idea of the unknown approaching beast.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:52am PT
hey there say, nohea... thank you...
thank you for sharing...


wow... so many folks, also, were out and about, too...
one never really knows where anyone could be, as well...

:(
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:54am PT
Here's the official tsunami warning map from the Japan meterological society.



In answer to Neebee's concerns, Chiba and Kanagawa prefectures are on the coast in the red zone. Chiba-ken looks particularly vulnerable as the city is spread out along the coast on low lying ground.

I'll let you know when I hear more, but better keep praying Neebee.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:55am PT
hey there say, nohea... you all in hawaii are not forgotten, will surely be praying for all concerned... through the night, to morning, etc...

god bless...
take care, nohea and all...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:57am PT
hey there jan, say, oh my.... oh my... and thank you... thank you jan...

keep keeping us informed, please...
will sure be praying... :(

Nohea

Trad climber
Sunny Aiea,Hi
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:01am PT
It's all good here...IF anyone in Hawaii gets injured from the potential tsunami, it will not be because they were not warned. Our thoughts go to those in Nippon.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:11am PT
Here's a map of all the earthquakes in Japan in the past 85 years.
You can see why they're generally well prepared.


Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:17am PT

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/world/2011/03/11/vo.japan.quake.cnn.cnn

This is so frightening... Those poor people!
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:24am PT
hey there say, ... as to that message,
about:
They are saying that the town of Kurihama, Japan has been totaly wiped out!

where is that? please...
does anyone have a map??
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:29am PT
What are the predictions for NZ? Guido! Are you, Nantz, and Shanana OK?

I just emailed Guido's daughter, Kali. No response yet. I'll check Nancy's Facebook page...

Here's from NZ:

The Ministry of Civil Defence & Emergency Management (MCDEM) last night put in effect a tsunami potential threat advisory for New Zealand, following the 8.9 earthquake and 4-metre tsunami that hit Japan.

The ministry's web site said the advisory would remain in effect until it was upgraded to a national warning. or a cancellation message was issued.

The advisory was described as a "low grade" alert last night by Dunedin civil defence and rural fires manager Neil Brown.

He said the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre had not included New Zealand specifically, but if the country was affected, it would be a West Coast-focused event.

The website said MCDEM and scientific advisers were assessing the severity of the threat to New Zealand.

People in coastal areas should stay off beaches: stay out of the water (sea, rivers and estuaries, includ ing boating activities); not go sightseeing; share informa tion with family, neighbours and friends; listen to the radio and/or TV for updates, and follow instructions of your local Civil Defence authorities.

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:40am PT
hey there say, boo dawg... a gal just posted at another forum, from NZ, so far, she did not mention anything about their needing to evacuate, etc...

if she posts more, i will let you know..

hope this helps a bit...
:)
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:44am PT
Debbie is in the red zone but since she is a flight engineer for the Navy.
I bet she's busy flying in emergency supplies, etc. (A very good reason for her not to be contacting us.)
AFS

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:00am PT
hey there say, thaDood, hope i spelled your handle right, will edit, if not...


say, thanks... i could not find much...

thank you...
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:03am PT
I posted on Nancy's Facebook inquiring about their status and she posted the following:

Ken, thanks for your concern. We just got a pan-pan over VHF Ch. 16, and are monitoring the updates from warning to watch now. It's expected to hit us here around 6:14am our time tomorrow but ya never know how big (right now they say it could be around 1 meter). We're on the boat in the marina tied to the dock--we planned to head out to the islands in the morning, but may be driving to higher ground instead! Gonna be a restless night tonight. Poor Japan, and poor lots of other islands in the path--devastating.

More from Nancy:

Yes, we're fine for now. Just answered your wall post... tsunami expected to hit here at 6:14am tomorrow, around 1 meter, which in here would be kinda radical. We're definitely in the path, here in the marina, and if it looks too weird we'll get off the boat. Had planned to take off in the morning for some nice island anchorages, but we'll have to wait and see what happens now. Might want to move our cars to higher ground!

Thanks for asking... California must be on the tsunami watch list too?
djews

Social climber
sylacauga, alabama
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:05am PT
I have family in this area can anyone please tell me if it has been hit or in any danger????

Tsujidokandai Fujisawshi Kanagawa


Can anyone that knows this area please help????
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:18am PT
djews-

Here's Fujisawa on Wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fujisawa,_Kanagawa
Tsujido is in the western end of the city.

They definitely got hit by the earthquake same as Tokyo and they are in the red zone for the tsunami. How they did all depends on whether they got away from the coast in time.

The Japanese tsunami sirens go off immediately and loudspeakers throughout the town would have told people to rush to higher ground. The only problem is that they would have had less than an hour's warning after the quake hit.

I'd be hopeful. If there's any country in the world where you would have a good chance of surviving such a disaster, it is Japan.
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:24am PT
djews,
Google has activated a person finder page to help people locate their love ones.

http://japan.person-finder.appspot.com/?lang=en

Sending my best,
Anastasia
djews

Social climber
sylacauga, alabama
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:26am PT
Thank you all so much for this information...it is my 2 nephews that live ther and I am very worried.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:26am PT
hey there say, thaDood and anastasia and jan, thanks...

i will share the link with some others i know...

thank you all...


neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:38am PT
hey there say, djews... i am worried about two dear freinds, too, in the "red" zone...

i will be praying for yor family, too...

well, nite all, for now... i got to get a boy from
school tomorrow, and i need to sleep or i can't drive well...
djews

Social climber
sylacauga, alabama
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:45am PT
neebee,
thank you for the prayers your family and friends are in mine also...
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:03am PT
Wow. My mom just got home from Tokyo the day before yesterday; she was looking at nursing homes from her father. I have loads of relatives in and around Tokyo and Kyoto, and Im feeling pretty awful not necessarily for myself - these are people whom I only meet once a decade or so - but for the way my mother and grandfather must be feeling (or will, when they wake up)

djews

Social climber
sylacauga, alabama
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:43am PT
Wanted to let everyone know...I got word from my family and they were hit but have escaped and are safe for now.
D.Eubanks

climber
Mar 11, 2011 - 09:05am PT
Many thoughts and prayers for you Japan.



Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 09:26am PT
Good news about your family, djews! We just got a report that the U.S. airfields at Yokota and Yokusuka bases outside of Tokyo are up and running and essential supplies are being flown in through there since Narita is closed.

One good thing is that the Japanese prime minister announced earlier in the day that Japan would accept help from anywhere in the world. The previous government refused to do that after the Kobe earthquake and many died unnecessarily while foreign rescue teams were caught up in paperwork at the airport. This government is determined not to make the same mistake.
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 11, 2011 - 09:35am PT
2nd wave is hitting Hawaii now; waves are about 2' high but the VOLUME OF WATER means people need to take care in coastal areas. Kahului harbor (Maui) saw a 5' wave; 2nd wave there was a 7' wave. No word from Hilo (which took heavy hits in 1946) yet.
couchmaster

climber
pdx
Mar 11, 2011 - 09:54am PT
Having Jan in Okinawa and Guido in New Zealand (OK, he may actually be in his moms basement in Calif. dreaming of the South Island, but I'm going at face value here) which just got rocked, makes the work a smaller and more personal space for sure.

Thoughts and well wishes for everyone in those spots.
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:10am PT
Guido's wife, Nancy, posted a link to this video on her F.B. page:

http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/raw-videos-2-monster-tsunami-slamming-japan

PRETTY AMAZING!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:20am PT
Thanks everyone for your good wishes.
It's been a nerve wracking day to say the least and a very sad one too.
k-man

Gym climber
SCruz
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:26am PT
An interesting look at the quake activity so far this year:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LYdMIKhLT1Y&feature=rec-LGOUT-real_rn-2r-2-HM
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:43am PT
the magnitude of this disaster is not yet obvious. Really terrible.

At 8:15am, we see evidence for it in Santa Cruz. The water receded out of Cowells below the lowest of low tides then it filled back up over the next 10 minutes.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:43am PT
The Officials here in SoCal have, once again, over-reacted. This time by closing the beaches in anticipation of a tsunami surge of maybe a foot or two. At low tide.

Why is CNN giving the estimated West Coast tsunami times in Eastern Time?
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:56am PT
dmt wrote,
Being able to form a mental picture of what is going on in the Big Show, is to me the key to understanding the grand sweep... If I can't model this in my head, if I can't form a picture, all backed by solid science mind you, I can't wrap my brain around any of it... But once I form this picture, be it at the global view or locally along stretches... then it all clicks into place for me.

Well said, dmt.

Now if the world applied this across the board, in other words, not just to earthquakes, it would have the makings (the wisdom) for a renewed basis in the practice of living.

.....

What's more, it's all mechanistic, cause n effect, too.

Knowledge is power.
Brokedownclimber

Trad climber
Douglas, WY
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:58am PT
Jan-
I hope that everyone here joins me in wishing you safety! This event lends new impetus to the old phrase "Head for the hills!"
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:59am PT
Nice graphics DMT. So I am wondering how strong the quake that hit Japan
in the late 1700's would have been in order to have caused the 150'
tsunami that hit the WA-OR coast? A 10.0? An 11.0?

Secondly, not to diminish this quake's import but it seems to have lasted
a minute or so. A good friend experienced the four minutes of the
9.4 Great Alaskan Quake. He says you can not imagine how long that really seemed.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:07pm PT
Seeing that aerial footage of the tsunami overrunning that highway where you can see that white van halt, its occupants realizing that they are about to be engulfed by a wall of debris, was terrible.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:08pm PT
"hmmm beach front property here in CC....Lets just hope it takes a million or more years!!!"


One of the CNN talking fools DID say "Carson City" was bracing for an eight-foot wave.

I think the talking fool meant to say "Crescent City", but didn't really know the difference.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:14pm PT
Woah.

Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:21pm PT
So, DMT, any thoughts on my question from post #79?
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:25pm PT
Seems as if one of the nuclear plants can't pull enough juice to run the pumps that keep the core cooled.

That is a very scary thought.

My best thoughts go out to all those affected.
Majid_S

Mountain climber
Bay Area , California
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:30pm PT
10 m wave

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/world/2011/03/11/von.quake.meeting.avn
go-B

climber
Sozo
Mar 11, 2011 - 12:50pm PT
Horrible, so glad your OK Jan, and pray that help can get to all asap!
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
Chaz, Tsunami waves are different then wind created waves. Wind created waves are only on the surface. A Tsunami is a wave created by the earth moving beneath the sea. Either the earth moving up and down in a quake, or caused by a landslide under the water. So its not a surface wave, but a column of water racing across the ocean. This means that many things can affect how big it is when it finally comes ashore. A one meter tsunami can engulf a shoreline completely. Sweeping people out to sea, moving large ships. This is because it can have way more volume of water with it then a surface wave. Japan was just hit with a 21 foot wave. It gets hit by 21 foot wind driven waves every winter. They don't cause the same kind of damage because they don't have the same kind of volume of water with it, nor the same force.

So its not the height of the tsunami so much as it is the volume of water and the force which it arrives with that causes the damage. A one meter Tsunami with enough force can wash inland for miles. Sweeping cars, boats, and houses along with it.
Big Piton

Trad climber
Ventura
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:06pm PT
If you want to see live coverage of our tsunami in Ventura go to KTLA.com
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:08pm PT
It seems a warning would have been appropriate, not sending the cops to rope off the beaches with crime scene tape.

That's the over-reaction.
Majid_S

Mountain climber
Bay Area , California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:11pm PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TVq8GSLDchc&feature=related
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:17pm PT
No wind!

I've been watching.

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:18pm PT
The people who stand on the beach during one of these things just don't understand how Tsunamis work. Right now I don't think that we have the sensors available to truly predict how bad a tsunami will be because we can't tell how much force is coming with it. Crescent city california was his by one in 1964 and nearly wiped out. That same Tsunami did very little damage on the rest of the california coast. This is in part because of the direction the Tsunami was coming from, and the shape of the ocean floor leading up to Crescent city, which magnified the force.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:25pm PT
It seems a warning would have been appropriate, not sending the cops to rope off the beaches with crime scene tape.

People are ignorant and willfully stupid. Better to spend the small amount of money needed to divert cops to the beach, versus having to mount rescues if the Tsunami turns out to be drastic. Just look at the video of the Tsunami hitting Japan. That is from a 21 foot wave. Most folks think a 21 foot wave will hit the shore and thats all. They don't realize that Tsunamis are a much different kind of wave. Plus they often come in groups. So the first one pushes a bunch of water ashore, and the nexts ones drive it further and further inland. A person isn't able to outrun these things. Just look at the video of the one in Japan, or the one that hit Taiwan.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:37pm PT
The Tsunami that hit Indonesia in 2004 and killed 220,000 people was measured at 2 feet out at sea. It came ashore in some places at over 50 feet and others places more like a river, then a wave. The places it came ashore like a river had just as much damage as the places it came ashore as a giant wave. That is because its the amount of water flowing with the Tsunami more then it is the height.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:37pm PT
If 21-foot waves are expected, of course you move people out of the way.

Here, waves weren't even expected to hit two feet - less than the average daily tidal fluctuation.

Look where the wet sand is in Santa Monica:

http://media.myfoxla.com/live/santamonica/

High tide is higher than that.

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:39pm PT
f 21-foot waves are expected, of course you move people out of the way.

Here, waves weren't even expected to hit two feet - less than the average daily tidal fluctuation.

Look where the wet sand is in Santa Monica:

http://media.myfoxla.com/live/santamonica/

High tide is higher than that.

Read my post above. The Tsunami that hit Indonesia was only 2 feet out at sea. In some place it came ashore as only a 3 foot wave that was more like a river then a wave.


You really need to understand that it is the volume of water and the force with it that creates the damage. not the height of the wave.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:40pm PT
6.6 just hit.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 11, 2011 - 01:49pm PT
Did you see where the wet sand was in Santa Monica (closed) Beach, Mr Moosie?

They may as well close it every day for high tide.

Crescent City was expecting bigger waves, so clearing out the low lying areas makes sense there. ( I hope nothing happens to Beacon Burger )

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:02pm PT
I repeat. The Tsunami that hit Indonesia was measured at 2 feet at sea. It killed 220,000 people. There is video of it coming ashore and it looks like a 3 foot wave. ( on that beach. on other shores it hit 50 feet ) That 3 foot wave turned out to be a giant volume of water that came ashore like a river and killed a bunch of people.

So its not the height of the Tsunami that matters. Its the volume of water and the force that arrives with it. Because the sea bottom can magnify this, as happened in Crescent city in 1964, they can't really predict how massive these things will be. There isn't enough data yet because every earth quake is different. How it affects the bottom of the ocean. Whether it is an upthrust earthquake, or it causes a landslide. These are just two of the things that cause Tsunamis and each creates different volumes and different forces. Then you add in the sea floor that it travels over and that can change it also.

So I repeat, its not the height of the wave, but the force and the volume of water with it. A one foot wave with enough water behind it could come ashore a long ways and wash a lot of people out to sea if they were all just standing there on the beach.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:14pm PT
I am hearing on local news now that Cal Tech reports a land shift, the entire Island of Japan has moved 8 feet east!!
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:16pm PT
Sneaking up on Pearl Harbor?
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:17pm PT
Heard that a subsequent set of waves hit Hawaii that were twice as big as the initial set. It seems folks are dropping their guard after the first set of waves wasn't that big a deal. People have been filmed climbing Haystack Rock in Oregon following the first wave.

School has been cancelled along the coast, and folks have been driving into the Coastal Range high ground. Portland's Outdoor School program has a camp at the coast. Those kids were awakened and marched to higher ground. Parents were told that they are OK and not to attempt to pick them up. THey are getting another geology lesson and not the marine biology one that they expected today. I think I need to take a colleague (parent) out to lunch today to occupy her mind....
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:22pm PT
The devastation in Japan is terrible, and there is a lot of loss of life... But I am more worried about the nuke site out there that has lost offsight power and the Emergency Diesel Generators (EDG) didn't start, so they have no power... And that is BAD!!! They need to get those things up and running, and/or get power back to that plant, ASAP.

#1 is to keep the fuel cool.


Cooling is provided by circulating water with pumps, which require power, either electrical power, or steam. If a unit is offline, it is all electric pumps that provide that cooling. When offsite power is lost, the EDGs provide the power to safely shut down the unit(s) and provide power.

They need to get the EDGs up and running and/or restore offsite power.




The EDGs, of which there are more than one per unit for redundancy, have numerous redundant systems, so the system CANNOT fail. They are designed, as a system, to be that way, since a lot rides on it. I cannot, for the life of me, see how all of them could fail.

The EDG's used at nukes are the same types of diesel generators that are used to provide the power to drive a big passenger ships, oil tankers, or container ships, and all of its systems. They take up entire rooms... Big rooms.


At US plants, even when we take one out of service to work on it, making it unavailable, we eneter an LCO (Limited Condidtion of Operation), and have a set time to get it available, or we have to take the unit(s) offline until we get it back in an avaliable status. Also, here in the US, these are all tested often, and if they do not start in <10 seconds, it is an automatic LCO.

Note - I believe that whenever an LCO is entered, the NRC is notified.

And, if we lose off-site power, the EDGs kick in, and we immediatley shut the units down, and the EDGS continue to provide power to keep the fuel cool, until off-site power comes back.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:23pm PT
Mark Not-circlehead

climber
Martinez, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:27pm PT
Santa Cruz Harbor has significant damage, and Cresent City harbor also has significant damage:


Officials in Crescent City are reporting damage after tsunami waves began hitting the harbor this morning.
”The harbor has been destroyed,” said Crescent City Councilman Rich Enea in a phone interview at 9:45 a.m. “Thirty-five boats have been crushed and the harbor has major damage. Major damage.”
Del Norte County Sheriff Cmdr. Bill Steven said most of the docks at the harbor are gone. Additionally, a recent surge filled the entire harbor and they are expecting that some of the other waves could send water into the harbor's parking lot, Steven said.


cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:27pm PT
Chris McNamara

SuperTopo staff member
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:35pm PT

This photo does not look real

got it from this page http://stokereport.com/rant/tsunami-hits-japan-after-89-quake
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:54pm PT
Tsunamis are more similar to flooded rivers surging through populated areas, picking up cars, pieces of buildings, trees, mud, humans, etc. People get slammed into these objects, tangled up in them, and drown. Most of the videos surviving from Indonesia came from 3+ miles inland.
o-man

Trad climber
Paia,Maui,HI
Mar 11, 2011 - 02:55pm PT
I'm thinking about all my friends that live on the beaches here on Maui and the California and Oregon Coasts.
Many of my friends were evacuated but they are all home now.
We wave sailed 20' faces with strong winds until almost dark yesterday. I Ran out of wind and fell in about 30 meters from the launch
The current was so strong through the rocks at Kuau that it took two of my friends to help me swim my windsurf gear that last 30 meters. It was the strongest rip I have felt this season. When I got to the beach I found out that we had quite a few wild incidents and one near drowning. Mother Ocean is omnipotent!
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:15pm PT
hey there, say, aya... ohmy, i did not know this...

i will be praying for your family, too...

i will be back later, got to leave and get a boy, now... from his shcool...
HighTraverse

Trad climber
Bay Area
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:19pm PT
Don't dismiss the possibility of nuclear plant breakdown too lightly
[quote]http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/11/fukushima-nuclear-plant-japan-earthquake-2011_n_834585.html[/quote]
This could get very serious if you read the details.
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:25pm PT
WE had a Japanese foreign exchange student with us in 2008, and My daughter went to Japan staying with a host family in 2009. Of course we can't find the e-mail addresses. We hope they are safe. I also wish my Japanese geography knowledge was better....
HighTraverse

Trad climber
Bay Area
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:25pm PT
Mike Bolte
excellent chart
consider what happens in a tsunami at low tide:
The water comes in: OK, no big deal
Then it sucks back out. subtracting from the low tide. So in harbors, boats end up on the bottom, docklines break, docks break. Now the surge comes back in. Throwing everything around.

Rinse and repeat.
Crescent City harbor reported destroyed.
Tsunami warnings for the Russian River valley.
hb81

climber
Mar 11, 2011 - 03:51pm PT
dunno if this footage was posted before:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-A0NDsPcZY

this might be the scariest thing I've ever watched...
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:10pm PT
Watching that makes me sick in the stomach... People are dying in that water. Just knowing that fact alone... (Sigh..) I hope there are tons of miracles, tons of people that survived against the odds.
AFS
rectorsquid

climber
Lake Tahoe
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:17pm PT
I had to stop watching when I saw the wave of debris moving onto a road that had moving cars on it. I wish those people the best of luck in a dire situation.

I'm broke but I gave a few bucks to the Red Cross. I have no idea how else to help anyone there but they sure need it.

Dave
Elcapinyoazz

Social climber
Joshua Tree
Mar 11, 2011 - 04:55pm PT
The number and magnitude of aftershocks is INSANE. A 5 or 6 hitting roughly every 5-10 minutes.

Check it out:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.html
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:35pm PT
Again... What has happened there is terrible, but that nuke needs to get offsite power, which is unlikely for some time... So they HAVE TO get the EDG's back up and running... No power, no way to keep the fuel cool, and that is BAD.

I've seen in news reports that Hillary Clinton said the US "delievered coolant", and have no idea what she is talking about, as coolant is water. They have water, they just need to get it circulating with pumps, that require electricity.
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:40pm PT
Port of Brookings is severely damaged.

http://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-northwest-news/index.ssf/2011/03/oregon_coast_tsunami_serious_damage_reports_from_brookings.html

My sister just landed a big contract in Japan and finalizing contract details for a geothermal plant. She is trying to be sympathetic - but there goes several months of work, possibly down the drain. Impossible to contact her customer....

On a positive note, my colleague's duaghter will be coming back from Outdoor School a couple hours early. All kids had a memorable camp experience.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:53pm PT
hey there say, jim... glad to hear this....

god bless...
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 11, 2011 - 05:56pm PT
I've seen in news reports that Hillary Clinton said the US "delievered coolant", and have no idea what she is talking about, as coolant is water.

I was wondering that too, as the material is cooled by a water jacket.
That's why plants are built on the coast or riversides.

?
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 11, 2011 - 06:04pm PT
Hillary has no idea what she's talking about. No doubt they are helping out with portable gen sets and heavy lift helicopters, although the Marines will have most of those, (CH 53's).

Every Friday the af.mil site has a slide show page. Today's was a bit different.

http://www.af.mil/photos/slideshow.asp?id={E3060FE2-5527-4258-AC1D-DD3CA18F804E}

http://www.af.mil/news/video/index.asp?cid=3&sid=18935
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 06:16pm PT
hey there say, if someone can do a check on news reports, someone posted on another site, that he read that the huffington post? said some generators were now back on????


maybe someone can check out a few more news sourses, if they are good at news searches... ?


sure hope that this is true, and that good news will happen for them, as to this danger...

edit: ooops, maybe not... i just saw this, and this is 47 min. agao:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110311/ap_on_re_as/as_japan_quake_power_plant
Nohea

Trad climber
Sunny Aiea,Hi
Mar 11, 2011 - 06:32pm PT
"Sledge Hockey"? What a riot!

Life is amazing; how people’s (our) priorities jump like the rainbowed flat bellied lizards of S. Africa. All mynah stuff here but dang Japan got hit. As I read and see the destruction, mixed with my prayers for those has been thoughts of my time in the Great Land of Rising Sun. The town and beach names in the news recall fond and carefree days. Incredible experiences with a nation filled with so many amazing people.

Once while waiting for the AM train out of Tokyo, I slept against a wall. When I woke someone had left me a chilled drink which was just what I needed. Set it down right next to me, still cold!

A small but incredibly wonderful thing to do for someone who has been up most the night: story #23,524 of 524,819 of my future essay titled “129 weeks on Honshu”

iipatsu!
labrat

Trad climber
Nevada City, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 06:36pm PT
News about the nuclear plant is grim and seems to be getting worse quickly.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 11, 2011 - 06:44pm PT
i was on my boat in the harbor when the news hit last night

had to decide to run for my house on high ground, or try to save the boat

i cruised out of the harbor at first light and got a few miles off shore

the waters were calmer than usual, except for huge swells that came rolling through

the local harbors have been hard hit, docks torn up, boats battered and sunk

the dredge broke loose cxrossways and blocked the harbor entrance

the winds have come up and the sea is pretty rough now

i am now anchored outside of Santa Cruz with a number of other big boats; and thankful to still have a boat

a few minutes ago the normally calm harbor still has a 10 mph surge moving pieces of docks and boats and lots of debris around in the harbor

i would be helping with salvage efforts, but right now am avoiding become salvage
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:08pm PT
Jeez, Crag.

Leave your agendas out of a terrible occasion, please.

Plus, you're talking apples and oranges man.
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:26pm PT
In Depoe Bay, Terry Owings, the city superintendent of Depoe Bay, said repeated surges of water have destroyed the first of five docks closest to the mouth of the bay. Large timbers have been trashing about in the water.

"Those are like battering rams," he said.

Owings estimates the damage in the hundreds of thousands of dollars.

A private company has been scooping up timbers and other debris to prevent them from damaging boats, which have avoided damage so far by moving to docks farther back.

The surges started at about 9:30 a.m. or 10 a.m., with the worst hitting sometime around noon or 1 p.m. Owings estimates the water is surging every 20 minutes.

Credit goes to Regon Live

"It takes 10 minutes to go out and then it just turns around and it comes back in,” said Owings, who is worried about unseen destruction if the surges continue into the night.

In Coos Bay: Near Coos Bay, surges of water rushed in and out of the port, simulating a high tide and low tide cycle every 15 minutes, said Coast Guard Boatswain's Mate First Class Walter Morey.

"It did that like 12 times in three hours," he said. "It's pretty impressive to see this happen right in front of your eyes."

The water traveled at a fast clip as well, about three times the typical speed, he said.

Pilings separated from the docks, forcing a few boats to break loose of their mooring lines, he said. One dock broke completely away from the pier, with a sailboat attached to it. Coast Guard crews who assisted had to cut the mooring lines before the dock dragged the boat under the water.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:37pm PT
Elcapinyoazz... HOLY SHIZZLE!

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.html


Edit: Aftershock forecasts go something like this ... for a M9, you expect, aftershock-wise, 1 M8, 10 M7, 100 M6, 1000M5 ...

landcruiserbob

Trad climber
BIG ISLAND or Vail ; just following the sun.......
Mar 11, 2011 - 07:46pm PT
Hit my hotel here on the Kohala coast. Destroyed some beach buildings & sea walls. Good news it deposited 100 tons of fresh sand to the beach :-).

Evacuated 700 hotel guest at 11:00 pm.

We had more than 10 surges of rougly 3-4 feet. Quite an amazing sight to see water stack up like that. Lots of head presure in the pacific ocean.



Aloha & be well

rg
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:01pm PT
Elcapinyoazz... HOLY SHIZZLE!

That link shows 6.X activity tthe day before too, which is interesting and a bit unusual. Look at the day BEFORE the biggie hit. Is that normal for Japan?

It is surely not normal for this side of 'the Ring of Fire'.

I fear we are next. Too much plate slippage lately and that's a big slip in Japan. Our plate alomost HAS to go next.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:09pm PT
bluering...

There was a magnitude 7.2 2 days ago, and then aftershocks from that EQ started - before that, nothing.

It looks very likely that the M7.2 triggered the Big One, which is very interesting.

In short, no, this is not normal for Japan.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:15pm PT
Thanks, Val. I took an basic Geology class in college for some science credit. That was when our Loma Prieta quake hit. Many people didn't show up for class the day after, but I was eager to hear from the Prof. He was pretty troubled at the magnitude...of a 7.6!

Imagine an 8.9! Holy!!!!

Hard to fathom. The 7.6 was kinda fun in silly retrospect, mostly because I was okay. Kinda selfish, I know, because people died. But there would be no happy hindsight of quake of Japan's magnitude. It boggles the mind as to what that would feel like.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
Imagine this... Loma Prieta today is considered to "only" be a M 6.9, not a 7.6.

Given how earthquake scaled are calibrated, a M8.9 is 1000x (not 100x) more powerful than a M6.9 (each step up is 32x, so 32x32 =1024). The accelerations, however, are approximately 100x greater (over a much larger area). How does that relate to physics?

EQ magnitude = (rupture length) x (rupture width) x (average displacement) x (strength coefficient of fault).

Strength of shaking -> size of EQ, distance to EQ, soil/site conditions, + directivity (e.g. is the rupture heading toward you... like a Doppler effect)

SO! The shaking in Loma Prieta (in the Bay Area) and in Japan (on land) is of similar strength, because the Japan EQ is so far away. Of course, Japan also has a tsunami, which looks to be causing most of the damage, while Loma Prieta (and future local EQs) have no such hazard. And, the shaking in Japan occurs over a much, much larger area.

The Loma Prieta shakemap is here:

A photo of the Japanese shakemap and a prediction for the Hayward fault is here:
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:27pm PT
Cool stuff, Val! Thanks.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:31pm PT
Grant our brothers and sisters in Japan, O Lord, a steady hand and watchful eye, that no more shall be hurt.

Thou gavest life, I pray no more shall perish or be injured by the earthquake.
Shelter and help those, dear Lord, who are in need from the evils of nuclear reactor poisons and other calamity.

And let the beauty of your Earth return to Japan and lead all of your children back into safety.
Amen.

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:33pm PT
Amen, CC.
T2

climber
Cardiff by the sea
Mar 11, 2011 - 08:42pm PT
My heart weeps for Japan. All problems and issues in my life seem so trivial.
Oxymoron

Big Wall climber
total Disarray
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:03pm PT
The Earth is Alive. Remember that. We live or die at HER discretion.
That's fair. Or at least I think it is.
john hansen

climber
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:15pm PT
Nothing at all compared to Japan, the stuff that happened over there is terrible..
Minor flooding in Kona Hawaii.
Hawaii probably had at least 40 million in damage..



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=91Wh0_yNJhc&feature=related
tinker b

climber
the commonwealth
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:40pm PT
hey, where is tacos? i can't imagine what it would feel like to be in that without being able to be mobile on my own. my prayers go out to her and all involved.

edit: okay i found this on the other thread
Tacos is living in a special facility for handicapped people in Hiroshima.
Jan
so now i will look up where that is... many thoughts go out to her...
Peter Haan

Trad climber
San Francisco, CA
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:55pm PT
Remarkably good set of 47 images from Boston.com:

http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2011/03/massive_earthquake_hits_japan.html
tinker b

climber
the commonwealth
Mar 11, 2011 - 10:57pm PT
okay using the map jan included, it looks like tacos isn't inthe worst spot, but it doesn't look awesome.
good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts good thoughts ...
valygrl

climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:38pm PT
Tacos is OK, she is in (correction) Okayama, she and her family were not affected.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2011 - 11:58pm PT
hey there say, tinker b, and valygrrl... thanks for the note on "tacos"

nice to see a prayer, here too...
thanks for sharing...
pyro

Big Wall climber
Calabasas
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:28am PT
where is JDF when you need him! I would have called Jeff batten today. Damn.
sorry for the loss.
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:13am PT
Oh no.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-12/explosion-destroys-walls-of-japan-reactor-building-nhk-reports.html
Morgan McN

Big Wall climber
Tokyo, JP
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:10am PT
I live in Tokyo, and was at work when the quake struck yesterday afternoon.
The ground shook pretty bad, and continued to roll for a good 20 -30 seconds.
We're still getting significant aftershocks 24+ hours later.
I was in Marin during Loma Prieta and this seemed to shake harder and longer.
I work in a 50-story building, but was fortunate enough to be in the basement eating lunch.

The two major issues tracking in local media right now are the cooling of nuclear reactors (or lack thereof) in Fukushima, and the total devastation in Miyagi and Iwate prefectures from the subsequent tsunami.

Tokyo is highly reliant on trains and the system basically shut down. With the earthquake taking place in the middle of a workday, a massive number of people had to either walk up to 4 or 5 hours to get home or sleep on the floors at workplaces.

Today a lot has returned to normal, but Miyagi/Iwate area are truly devastated.
Please send all your prayers there way.

Chris,
While the tsunami's wave apparently did reach up to 10 meters, I'm pretty sure that pic is 'shopped.
Those people look like they're smiling!
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:42am PT
hey there say.... oh my!!!!!! thank the lord, i just heard from ONE of my friends in chiba area...

noriko... she just emailed and she is okay...
she says it is so awful sad, her lovely area nearby where she used to go visit... it looks like hell...
her house was not quite hurt so bad though...


:(


but she is alive!!! and i am so happy for her...
oh my...

she was never so scared as she was that during that quake...

i hope i will hear good news from the other two...

god bless and more prayers for everyone...

*to the last poster, i forgot your name, in my hurry (very sorry):
thank you for sharing your tyoko story of what happened there, for you...
i am glad you are alive...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:03am PT
hey there say, all.... hard and sad situation as to this note that i have read twice now:

In another disturbing development that could substantially raise the death toll, Kyodo news agency said rail operators lost contact with four trains running on coastal lines on Friday and still had not found them by Saturday afternoon

four trains are missing? and all the folks that were on it... :(

nite, all, i got to call some folks, and go sleep...
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:19am PT


Neebee,

There were a few trains that unloaded before the stations so... Lots of people might be alright. Think positive and pray.
hb81

climber
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:16am PT
Sh#t is really starting to hit the fan.
There has been an explosion at Fukushima 1 nuclear power plant and it looks like there is a meltdown in progress.


healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:40am PT
Pacific basin wave height visualization (what's with that odd finger headed for NorCal / Oregon...? )

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 12, 2011 - 09:54am PT
Here's a true horror story that'll make your hair stand on end

Three Mile Island:
two hours and 20 minutes to wreck a core

A small team headed off a nuclear disaster.
Four of them look back and tell what happened.

http://www.memagazine.org/supparch/peoct04/threemile/threemile.html


Everyone knows what birthday candles look like. Just apply that image to
nuclear fuel rods that are not being cooled enough inside a core and you got
it.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 12, 2011 - 10:51am PT
Reversing the arrows, I can also see now why the earthquake in Chile caused small tsunami waves to splash up in Okinawa, even though we're north of the equator.Fascinating. Thanks!
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:02am PT
Interesting analysis, Dingus. I think you have something there.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:03am PT
We're all still in shock over here.
Everyone going about very quietly and somberly
with broken hearts
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:31am PT
I hope they can conatin those reactors.


There is some discussion about radiation exposure at my favorite MilBlog;
http://rantburg.com/poparticle.php?ID=317998&D=2011-03-12&SO=&HC=3

and here;
http://theintelhub.com/2011/03/12/29810/
WBraun

climber
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:08pm PT
This whole event was so painful to watch unfold.

You just knew what was happening the the people in the path of that tsunami.

It hurts to see that ....
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
Just another small example of the power of this thing.


http://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/quake-moves-u-s-aircraft-carrier-from-yokosuka-pier-1.137338
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:32pm PT
It is NOT going to 'meltdown'... Much of the words used in the news are incorrect, misleading, and downright wrong:
http://www.rockclimbing.com/cgi-bin/forum/gforum.cgi?post=2473955#2473955

(Note - Unfortunately, our resident 'end of times' RNJ has decided to reply.)


Don't get me wrong... It's a big frick'n problem they have on their hands, but there is WAY too much misinformation out there.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:36pm PT
Japan scrambles to contain nuclear threat
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4767307
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/03/12/3162554.htm

Radiation leaks from Japan's quake-hit nuclear plant
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4767391
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/12/us-japan-quake-idUSTRE72A0SS20110312

Explosion Heard at Nuclear Plant Around 0630 GMT; Several People Injured – Media
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4767113
http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/03/77065.html

Video of the Explosion at Japan's No.1 Fukushima Reactor.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x562186
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvC4WQrQwTs

Radiation Level Around Nuclear Power Plant Did NOT Rise After Explosion
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x562321
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4mfcHkjsBA

Al-Jazeera on the explosion at nuclear plant in Japan – interesting
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x562348
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Q6C8US20jI


Of all these reports, the Al-Jazeera seems the most honest and the most detailed.

Time to go buy Potassium Iodine (KI) for Family and friends. All families should have this on hand anyway, for emergencies, terrorism etc.

From the CDC:
http://www.bt.cdc.gov/radiation/ki.asp


This is all sooooo sad.


Prepare, pray, and help.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
Don't get me wrong... It's a big frick'n problem they have on their hands, but there is WAY too much misinformation out there.

I agree. It's very unlikely to pose a problem to the West Coast of North America, but Japan may have an issue. Probably already does.

From what I understand, even if it melts down, they're built to contain themselves for the most part. Workers would have to approach it to seal it off though.

But I'm no expert on this...and yeah, don't count on the MSM to do any better.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
Time to go buy Potassium Iodine (KI) for Family and friends. All families should have this on hand anyway, for emergencies, terrorism etc.
If you live near that nuke, then yes, if you don't, then you are just buying into the "fear".
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
If you live near that nuke, then yes, if you don't, then you are just buying into the "fear".

I kind of agree, but it doesn't hurt to have some on hand. It's relatively cheap.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:44pm PT
I agree. It's very unlikely to pose a problem to the West Coast of North America, but Japan may have an issue. Probably already does.

From what I understand, even if it melts down, they're built to contain themselves for the most part. Workers would have to approach it to seal it off though.
Even if it degrades to a "3 Mile Island" type event, which is HIGHLY unlikely, it's not that bad ecologically or for people as many think. Nobody from the public suffered any ill effects with TMI, got a huge 'uptake' or whole body dose, and the land wasn't contaminated. People still live around that plant, who's units are STILL up and running, save the one that actually did suffer a partial melt-down.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:51pm PT
rrrRaddam is correct. This is a light water reactor NOT a flammable graphite moderated pile of crap like Chernobil.

It's a serious problem, but one that will be self limiting and nothing at all like Chernobil.

From looking at the shock wave that propagated from the explosion, it wasn't a steam explosion like you'd have with a pressure vessel breach. It was a hydrogen explosion in the building.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:52pm PT
Of all these reports, the Al-Jazeera seems the most honest and the most detailed.
Ummm... Fuku is a BWR, and I no of no BWR desiogn that has the control rods inserted from the top, but are instead pushed up thru the bottom, so the video is incorrect. And, the primary containment is the vessel, which has not been breached (as far as I understand), so the guy at the end is giving misleading info.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:55pm PT
But we should all panic anyway, right?

It hurts to hear these stories coming out on the news.

I'm not a god man, but I'm sending out major vibes into the collective consciousness.

The hits just seem to keep on coming.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 12:56pm PT
From looking at the shock wave that propagated from the explosion, it wasn't a steam explosion like you'd have with a pressure vessel breach. It was a hydrogen explosion in the building.
Reports are that the explosion was caused by a pump, and had that explosion had no effect on the integrity of the vessel. I'm not sure how a pump can produce that type of explosion, but again, I don't have all the info so I'm not going to speculate, other than it is possible that an electric pump can ignite hydrogen.


And, for a historical perspective...
...NOT a flammable graphite moderated pile of crap like Chernobil.
That type was the first reactor, in a squash court, in Chicago, under the direction of Enrico Fermi:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Pile-1
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:03pm PT
This nuclear plant situation doesn't make a lot of sense to me.
They have back up generators for each reactor.
That doesn't seem to be working.
So why can't they just truck/fly in another generator?
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:24pm PT
We're talking generators the size of a large house here.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:29pm PT
That was my question too.I know the U.S. military in Japan has huge mobile generators and heavy lift helicopters to get them there. I really hope that this won't turn out to be a case of the Japanese risking lives in a vain attempt to save face as they did after the Kobe earthquake. Hopefully the current government which is younger and less conservative won't make that mistake again.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:37pm PT
A possible scenario - The Fukoshima #1 explosion might have been caused by the emergency venting of hydrogen gas from the Pressurizer in that reactors primary cooling system.

The hydrogen was vented into the containment buildings air, where a spark from a relay or a motor ignited it and caused the containment building to explode outward into the environment.

That so much hydrogen gas was in the primary coolant loop can only mean that a large part of the core has been exposed to steam, and quickly overheated, auto ignited, burned white hot in the steam producing Zirconium oxide and the irksome hydrogen gas.

Needless to say some of the fuel was also released into the coolant as the
Zircaloy fuel rods burned open.

And some of the fuel came out, carried along with the hydrogen gas as it was vented from the primary coolant loop and got released with the explosion.

So the building is gone but the #1 reactor remains and whatever is left of the core will be cooled over the next several days and weeks.

Of course this is just a guess and probably way off.



Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 01:40pm PT
"Prior Proper Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance (The 7 Ps)"


You don't know how bad this is going to get. Everyone should be prepared for emergencies, including having in their emergency preparedness kits, available Potassium Iodide (KI). It only makes sense.

If and when massive leaks occur, it will go right into the jet stream and that comes right to the US. Any exposure to non-natural radiation (above and beyond natural background radiation) that you might injest, breath, or drink, is dangerous. There is no safe level. Once inside your body alpha, beta, and gamma radiation from radioactive decay occurs. You have to rid your body of it the best you can, ie KI.

http://www.bt.cdc.gov/radiation/ki.asp


From the City of San Clemente, very good website concerning KI, since they are so close to San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant.

http://san-clemente.org/sc/standard.aspx?pageid=586

http://www.oes.ca.gov/Operational/OESHome.nsf/0/ABC0D5826BF7038888256CC40068933B?OpenDocument


Anbex
Website:
http://www.anbex.com

Phone: 1-866-463-6754 (toll free)
Brand name: IOSAT™ tablets


Recip
Website:
http://www.thyrosafe.com

Phone: 1-866-849-7672 (toll free)
Brand name: ThyroSafe™ tablets



Emergency Preparedness Center:

http://www.areyouprepared.com/SearchResults.asp?Cat=90


*Note: EPC are all all out of stock of all amounts.



http://www.nukepills.com/

*Note: nukepills ia also indicating they are out of IOSAT pills.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 02:02pm PT
A possible scenario - The Fukoshima #1 explosion might have been caused by the emergency venting of hydrogen gas from the Pressurizer in that reactors primary cooling system.

There is NO presserizer in a BWR... That is in a PWR (Pressurized Water Reactor).

They can still get hydrogen in the reactor, and this can be vented. In fact, not sure of the numbers, but, the zircalloy material the fuel rods are made of (zirc tubes with uranial fuel pellets in them) react with the water at around 1,400 F, causing it to oxidize rapidly, releasing hydrogen gas, and causing the tubes to rapidly disintegrate. Once this happens, to any degree, that fission product barrier is breached, releasing radioisotopes. It sounds like this may have happened, but AGAIN, it is speculation without more accurate information.

This is a bad type of 'fuel damage', that if left unchecked, can leave the fuel pellets in the bottom of the vessel.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 02:08pm PT
oiodine
klimmer... I work at a nuke, and live less than 3 miles from it. We do have KI, as do many within a 10 mile radius of the plant, and anybody in that zone can get it for free.

If you think you have to worry about an uptake or any whole body dose from the plant in Japan, you clearly do NOT understand what is happening, or even the worst case scenerio for what is happening there. Do you know what your uptake or dose was from Chernobyl? As in that, a significant portion of the entire core was ejected.

Any exposure to non-natural radiation (above and beyond natural background radiation) that you might injest, breath, or drink, is dangerous. There is no safe level. Once inside your body alpha, beta, and gamma radiation from radioactive decay occurs. You have to rid your body of it the best you can, ie KI.
Oh, bruther...

1. Radiation is radiation, natural or not. I get less dose per year working at a nuke than most who live in New England, or people who fly 2-3 times per week, and they get it from 'natural' sources. Heck, even most isotopes of iodine are, in fact, radioactive, as well as most isotopes of potassium... When I used to 'body count' in to plants, I would eat a bunch of bananas, so I'd get a potassium spike, joking that I wanted to leave with more radiation that I came with, when I body counted out.

2. KI doesn't 'rid' your body of radiation... It fills your throid, which can only hold so much, with KI, so there is no room for more energetic radioisotopes of iodine (I.e., radioiodine), allowing your body to rid it through normal means, in the event of an uptake. And KI only protects people from radioiodine, that's it. Not cesium, or any other fission product.

3. Not all radioisotopes emit alpha, beta, and gamma... In fact, rarely will any emmit all three of those. In fact, radioiodine (that KI protects against) is primarily a beta emitter, and that is what causes the damage. Its halflife is just over 8 days, which is why KI works.

You clearly do not know what you are talking about.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 02:28pm PT
Thanks for the beta, Adam.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 12, 2011 - 02:45pm PT
About six days after reactor scram, the decay heat will have diminished enough that... the core will be cool enough so there isn't any real danger of fuel melt. But cooling must continue...

I haven't worked in a commercial power reactor but was employed two years at 250 megawatt test reactor at the INEL after college.

After the fuel rods have cooled sufficiently, they are removed from the core and submerged in water for several months as they continue to give off heat. The water cools the residual heat output and also absorbs the decay neutrons.

Most reactors store the spent fuel rods on site. The rods are submerged in deep pools of water and glow with blue Cherenkov radiation from the neutron emissions.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 12, 2011 - 02:53pm PT
rrrADAM -thankyou. Some news reports that the use of seawater is a
last resort desperation move because all else has failed to cool the core.
Would not this flush some fuel out to sea from any burned open rods?


An understandable description of the differences between BWR and PWR

http://www.euronuclear.org/e-news/e-news-18/HP-BWR.htm
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:11pm PT
Everything Jennie said is correct... And one interesting 'science geek' note about Cherenkov radiation.

It is due to charges particles traveling fatser than the speed of light in that medium, in this case with nuclear fuel, water. As it slows down to its velocity in that meterial through interactions with the medium, the excess energy is radiated in the frequency of blue light. Remember, all materials have their own speed of light, which is what leads to refraction, and c is the speed of light in a vacuum, and it is that that cannot be exceeded.



corniss... The sea water is being pumped IN to the plant, but not OUT. They are keeping it contained within the plant. But putting sea water into the reactor spells the end of that reactor, as normal coolant in a BWR is demin water.
Gene

climber
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:17pm PT
It is due to charges particles traveling fatser than the speed of light in that medium, in this case with nuclear fuel, water.


Help me out here. Thanks
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:17pm PT
Yeah, Jennie, ans especially Adam's insights are helpful. You guys/gals should be on the news.

What I find weird is why the US (or other gov'ts) don't explain this the same way. They just say, no problem, but people are inherently distrusting of that rhetoric.

Give us the facts, we can handle it! Explain!
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:20pm PT
Gene...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherenkov_radiation

Read first, then if you have questions, ask. Fair enough?
Gene

climber
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:23pm PT
Very fair.

While relativity holds that the speed of light in a vacuum is a universal constant (c), the speed at which light propagates in a material may be significantly less than c. For example, the speed of the propagation of light in water is only 0.75c. Matter can be accelerated beyond this speed during nuclear reactions and in particle accelerators. Cherenkov radiation results when a charged particle, most commonly an electron, travels through a dielectric (electrically polarizable) medium with a speed greater than that at which light would otherwise propagate in the same medium.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherenkov_radiation

Thanks for the link. I got it.

g
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:24pm PT
Gene...

It's analogous to a sonic boom, when something travels fater than the speed of sound, as materials also have veolocities for sound, even air, which changes with altitude and temperature, as that effects its density.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:26pm PT
Any exposure to non-natural radiation (above and beyond natural background radiation) that you might ingest, breath, or drink, is dangerous. There is no safe level. Once inside your body alpha, beta, and gamma radiation from radioactive decay occurs. You have to rid your body of it the best you can, ie KI.


Oh, bruther...

1. Radiation is radiation, natural or not. I get less dose per year working at a nuke than most who live in New England, or people who fly 2-3 times per week, and they get it from 'natural' sources. Heck, even most isotopes of iodine are, in fact, radioactive. When I used to 'body count' in to plants, I would eat a bunch of bananas, so I'd get a potassium spike, joking that I wanted to leave with more radiation that I came with, when I body counted out.

2. KI doesn't 'rid' your body of radiation... It fills your throid, which can only hold so much, with KI, so there is no room for more energetic radioisotopes of iodine, allowing your body to rid it through normal means, in the event of an uptake. And KI only protects people from radioiodine, that's it. Not cesium, or any other fission product.

3. Not all radioisotopes emit alpha, beta, and gamma... In fact, rarely will any emmit all three of those. In fact, radioiodine (that KI protects against) is primarily a beta emitter, and that is what causes the damage. Its halflife is just over 8 days, which is why KI works.

You clearly do not know what you are talking about.



Typical Nuke employee responses --

My dad has worked in the Nuclear industry for the last 30 years. Hanford and now Savanaah River.

I have gone through many tours over the years. Taken the physics classes. Taken workshops from General Atomic etc.

In a perfect safe world (safe from seismic activity, or terrorism events, which of course doesn't exist), nuclear fission is a wonderful source of energy. Actually, Integral Fast Reactor (IFR) technology would be the better way to go (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_Fast_Reactor ) with passive safety and a technology that can resuse all stored spent fuel forms and then ends with a much safer form of radiative waste, with a much shorter half-life and far easier and safer storage. Hey but what do I know? Apparently I don't know what I'm talking about. Only you do. A nuclear industry insider.

The fact is, this entire event is a really, really bad PR for fission nuclear power. You can't get much worse PR. This is exactly why we shouldn't go this way. There are things you can not control, such as Mother Nature. You wouldn't be biased would you?

All emergency back-up systems for energy to continue to be supplied to the cooling process failed, and Japan is a very technologically savvy country.

How many have died of exposure to Solar, Wind, Geothermal, etc., clean renewable energy resources? We have the technology and the know-how but certain industries have us by the throat and they do not want to let go. Their gravy train is just far too valuable, to hell with the environment, and they don't want to see their profits to plummet.

The fact is you cannot do anything regarding natural radiation, except limit your exposure to these sources as much as possible, ie distance from the source is the safest form of protection and the best behavior to practice. With non-natural radiation sources (ie man induced releases) that are airborne contamination, ground/soil contamination, or water contamination, that have the potential to be accidentally inhaled, eaten, or accidentally drank, then yes you have to do what you have to do, ie KI. Yes, I know how KI works, the CDC website discusses it very well. Yes, I know it fills the thyroid and limits the uptake within this organ only. Yes, I know it only works on radioactive iodine. But it is one of the things we can do.

Never said all radioactive isotopes emitted alpha, beta, and gamma. Depends on the radioactive isotope.

The point is, when any are inside your body it can do significant damage. There is no safe level for radioactive isotopes inside the body emitting radiation through alpha, beta, and gamma decay. All the experts outside of the nuclear industry say so. Outside the body and at a distance, then much less that it can do.

It is better to be prepared before an accident, than after the fact. All families should be prepared and have KI as part of there home emergency kits. Do you disagree?



Yes, learn to love radiation. It's only natural for goodness sakes! (sarcasm)

I don't sleep at night with radioactive sources under my pillow at night for good reason. I handle them with care, only limited exposure, and at a distance. I don't handle them directly, but only wrapped in plastic. I always wash my hands thoroughly afterwards. My sources for experiments and demostration purposes, are always locked away and stored safely away from all students and staff when not in use.


A great resource, the GA poster:


Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:31pm PT
Jan,
I am so sorry! My heart goes out to all of you.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:31pm PT

1. Radiation is radiation, natural or not. I get less dose per year working at a nuke than most who live in New England, or people who fly 2-3 times per week, and they get it from 'natural' sources. Heck, even most isotopes of iodine are, in fact, radioactive, as well as most isotopes of potassium... When I used to 'body count' in to plants, I would eat a bunch of bananas, so I'd get a potassium spike, joking that I wanted to leave with more radiation that I came with, when I body counted out.

2. KI doesn't 'rid' your body of radiation... It fills your throid, which can only hold so much, with KI, so there is no room for more energetic radioisotopes of iodine (I.e., radioiodine), allowing your body to rid it through normal means, in the event of an uptake. And KI only protects people from radioiodine, that's it. Not cesium, or any other fission product.

3. Not all radioisotopes emit alpha, beta, and gamma... In fact, rarely will any emmit all three of those. In fact, radioiodine (that KI protects against) is primarily a beta emitter, and that is what causes the damage. Its halflife is just over 8 days, which is why KI works.


You know, at the taco we have a traditional method of communicating this much more succinctly.

It starts with, "Yer gonna,..."
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 03:43pm PT
"Typical nuke employee response"? That's it? Obviously you don't disagree with anything I said, so my not say, thanx for the info?

My reponse was unemotional facts, NOT speculation and fear. It is unbiased, as it is in regards to the facts.


And, yes I know of breeder reactors, it is nothing new. Personally, I think we should reprocess fuel, like they do elsewhere instead of WASTING so much still in the fuel. But that's another story, that has to do with politics and fear, not $$$.


I also agree on renewable sources of fuel, but the fact is, people want cheap reliable electricity... In order for us to "switch" to greener stuff, people's electricty bills would tripple. Unfortunately, over 50% of our electricity comes from coal. Over 50%, because it's cheap. Just removing cheap coal would make people's bills go up enormously. How many people to you think are willing to pay 3X as much for their electricity?

You know, in France, about 80% of their electricity comes from nuclear.

And, before you want to say nuclear is not 'natural':
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_nuclear_fission_reactor



Oh...
Never said all radioactive isotopes emitted alpha, beta, and gamma. Depends on the radioactive isotope.
It's called radioisotope.


Or...
All emergency back-up systems for energy to continue to be supplied to the cooling process failed, and Japan is a very technologically savvy country.
I believe the unit involved is American designed and made (GE / Bechtel or EBASCO)... Back in the late 60's, and came on line in the early 70's.

It's apparent that you spent some time researching topics in the last hour enough to compose a reply, hoping to look like you already knew all this stuff, but it is still apparent that you do not really know what you are talking about.




But, I digress, as all of that is another topic altogether.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:00pm PT
It's apparent that you spent some time researching topics in the last hour enough to compose a reply, hoping to look like you already knew all this stuff, but it is still apparent that you do not really know what you are talking about.


Yea, I just learned all this stuff just now. (Eyes rolling.)

I teach the topic. We hit this topic both in physics and earth science.

Yes, I know about the natural fission reaction that has been discovered to have occured in the lithosphere.

And yes, we have an enormous Fussion Nuclear Reactor safely located 93 million miles away, (as it should be), that is our primary source of energy in our corner of the universe -- The Sun.

Now we can safely harness the light EM energy that it provides. Enough EM energy from the Sun hits the Earth to supply all our enrgy needs with excess, for the next 5 billion years. We just have to step-up and do it.

Even General Atomic (GA) is more honest than you.




rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:08pm PT
I'm not gonna argue with you, even your the image in your last reply confirms what I have said regarding dose, and sources of radiation... Which is relevant to this thread, regarding what's happeing at Fuku.

How 'bout starting another thread if you wish to discuss our energy woes, and big corporate greed conspiring and making it worse.


Let's keep this one on topic... The events in Japan, and the facts about it.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:26pm PT
I am disappointed, even dismayed, that you are a science teacher, given that I am mainly a self educated high-school drop out... Yet the disparity between our understanding of science is pretty apparent.


Yes, it certainly is very apparent.

Your understanding and attitude is directly nuclear industry biased. Sad.



The conversation is totally relevant to what is happening in Japan.

People are waking up (again) to the fact that nuclear fission nuclear power plants aren't what they are supposed to be and what they promised -- safe.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:27pm PT
rrrAdam,

don't waste a joule on him.

TFPU.

.....

EDIT to ADD

I see the "science teacher" just posted.

I haven't followed the whole thread regarding the nuclear stuff but rrrADAM, I'd bet my bottom dollar this "science teacher" doesn't know any more about nuclear dynamics than he knows about electrical stuff.

Which I got to discover last summer. What a waste of time he is. What a waste of time to respond to his posts.

All he is is cut n paste, there's no common sense underlying it to pull it all together. He shouldn't be an educator, let alone a science teacher, when he's so full of unchecked bullsh#t. IMO.

radam, post on.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:33pm PT
Lets get back to the more interesting 'yer gonna die' stuff.
ie the fuel bundles

http://www.friendsofbruce.ca/candubundle.htm

Once a bundle is "spent" (after 12-18 months in the reactor), it is highly
radioactive. The 1978 "Ontario Royal Commission on Electric Power
Planning" (aka: "Porter Commission") stated, "The extreme lethality of a
freshly removed spent fuel bundle is such that a (unprotected) person
standing within a metre of it would die within an hour."

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:38pm PT
Klimmer, let's try keep this Japan-centic. Lets not divert to the politics of nuke energy.

Please.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 04:44pm PT
The two are now one.

This is about Japan and the help they need, and this is also about a Nuclear Industry dissaster caused from a massive 8.9 magnitude earthquake. And it will have fallout effects . . .





http://e.nikkei.com/e/fr/tnks/Nni20110312D12JFF03.htm

Sunday, March 13, 2011

Meltdown Caused Nuke Plant Explosion: Safety Body

TOKYO (Nikkei)--The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) said Saturday afternoon the explosion at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant could only have been caused by a meltdown of the reactor core.

The same day, Tokyo Electric Power Co. (9501), which runs the plant, began to flood the damaged reactor with seawater to cool it down, resorting to measures that could rust the reactor and force the utility to scrap it.

Cesium and iodine, by-products of nuclear fission, were detected around the plant, which would make the explosion the worst accident in the roughly 50-year history of Japanese nuclear power generation.

An explosion was heard near the plant's No. 1 reactor about 3:30 p.m. and plumes of white smoke went up 10 minutes later. The ceiling of the building housing the reactor collapsed, according to information obtained by Fukushima prefectural authorities.

At a news conference Saturday night, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano discounted the possibility of a significant leak of radioactive material from the accident. "The walls of the building containing the reactor were destroyed, meaning that the metal container encasing the reactor did not explode," Edano said.

The amount of radiation detected inside the plant after 4:00 p.m. slightly exceeded the dose people can safely receive in a year, according to information obtained by the Fukushima prefectural government.

The No. 1 reactor shut down automatically soon after a massive earthquake hit the area Friday, but its emergency core cooling system failed to cool the reactor's core sufficiently.

NISA is affiliated with the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

(The Nikkei March 13 edition)




HFCS,

The more you post the more you prove you are clue-less.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:24pm PT
I hope Jan's incorrect on the cultural assessment. there could be other technical factors at work.

Most all US equipment is set up for our voltage standards. We are not talking about something you just plug in the wall here. I would imagine that pumps of this size are medium voltage. In the US that would be 4160V

Most portable gen sets, even the big ones top out at 480V 60hz. On top of that the Japanese system is the same as the European system so the operating voltages for the motors may be something different like say 5600V 50hz. Not something you can plug and play. You also don't just tie two wires together at those voltages. Splicing medium voltage lines is a time consuming meticulous procedure and if it has to be done in a "Hot" zone the exposure of each person doing the splicing will have to be very limited. Lots of "jumpers" would be required. (a person that works in a hot area for a very limited time on a one time basis)

The US military does have some incredible resources for moving this kind of equipment around though. When Katrina hit our son was on a C-5 crew on the way back from Iraq to Maron Spain. They were diverted mid flight to Ramstien Germany and picked up three of the largest dewatering pumps ever made and flew non stop with three in flight refuelings to New Orleans.

Everybody got the Humanitarian Achievement medal.

If there's something anywhere in the world that would help, they can get it there.

Travis AFB, where the Pacific heavy lift capability is based, went on full alert within an hour or so of the earthquake.


Edit,

Kilmer you are in close competition with Crawly for ST's village idiot.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:29pm PT
Anyone who wants to use scare tactics with regards to Nukes needs to start researching all of the devastating petrochemical accidents. There is no comparison to the loss of life and destruction. However, because each of fills our tank with it, we somehow feel better about it....

http://www.csb.gov/investigations/investigations.aspx?Type=2&F_All=y


As someone said earlier, the EDG's (emergency disel generators for those may be somewhere between 3-5 MW in size. That means huge. People need to remember that this quake was of such magnitide that it may have exceeded the Design Basis Event for the reactors.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:30pm PT
I'm astounded by how you, you all know who you are, can hijack a thread that is based in sympathy, and turn it into some pointless energy fight.

Grow up and show a little humanity, you f*#king as#@&%es.

:)
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:35pm PT
Is wasting a joule on someone like casting pearls before swine?

Also, isn't it spelt "nucular"?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:35pm PT
Sorry, this is a very sad thing, and yet it illustrates that all of us who may live near natural disaster prone areas rally should think about it and plan for it more than we all do.

Thoughts and Prayers for the people of Japan.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:44pm PT
The nuke plants do grab the headlines, but meanwhile there's a town of 17,000 where 10,000 have disappeared, four missing trains and a missing cruse ship.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 05:52pm PT
it illustrates that all of us who may live near natural disaster prone areas rally should think about it

I was in the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. My partner and I just started our workout in a lifting gym - Gold's Gym in Mountain View - when it struck a little after 5.00p. Watching some of the i-reporter video from Japan reminded me of this once-in-a-lifetime experience - for example how you could hardly stand. (Forever etched in my mind is the image of my workout partner Dan croutching on all fours out in the parking lot with me wondering if it was ever going to stop.) But some of these i-reporter videos also reminded me of a lesson I later required myself to remember regarding getting caught up in any serious earthquake - which I've reflected on many times over the years, decades now - so if I were ever in one that serious again maybe I'd do better. "Knowing better is doing better." Right? Now that I think about it, that lesson kinda has some carry over to rockclimbing, too. Anyways, that lesson was/is not to blindly rush out of the building like I did that evening - even if there is a mad rush of bodybuilders behind you. Instead, be mindful. Even more mindful, that is, and take pause at the wall before exiting - Heads Up! - to make sure nothings falling off the high building as you exit. Exit only after you look up to make sure it is clear. Now you might think this is obvious or instinctive but I was disappointed in myself later - when monday morning quarterbacking the whole entire experience 100 times - that I was so set on exiting amidst all the loud bruhaha I didn't look up the wall before exiting the double door emergency exit to make sure bricks or glass or signage whatever from upper stories weren't falling down to take my head off. Luckily nothing did though, that day I just happened to be running with fate, not against her, thank goodness.

.....

EDIT to ADD

Brandon,

Relax. Loosen up. If you can't stand the heat get out of the kitchen. Bottom line: In any public discourse like this sooner or later what comes around is a wingnut packing bullsh#t. Is it better NOT to call the bullshit when you see it or read it? No. So there it is - the reason for impugning bullshit if not the bullshitter when you see it. Impugning it is justifiable, it is warranted. Sure it is a dirty job. But somebody has to do it. Else the bullshit might stand. Not good.

If it's too much to deal with, go elsewhere.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:01pm PT
Once a bundle is "spent" (after 12-18 months in the reactor), it is highly
radioactive. The 1978 "Ontario Royal Commission on Electric Power
Planning" (aka: "Porter Commission") stated, "The extreme lethality of a
freshly removed spent fuel bundle is such that a (unprotected) person
standing within a metre of it would die within an hour."
They would likely die within seconds. That said, before they go into the reactor, the dose in negligent, in that we do a hands on inspection of them, actually touching the bundles, and get zero dose from them.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:07pm PT
They would likely die within seconds.

What would be the most immediate cause, or causes, of this? Esp if it were seconds to an hour, do you know?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:07pm PT
TOKYO (Nikkei)--The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) said Saturday afternoon the explosion at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant could only have been caused by a meltdown of the reactor core.
Again, this is incorrect... It has already been reported that the explosion was caused by a pump, and that the reactor vessel was not involved in this explosion.

Even this, from the same article you posted shows that:
"The walls of the building containing the reactor were destroyed, meaning that the metal container encasing the reactor did not explode,"


And, AGAIN, a meltdown is next to impossible unless the reactor is critical, and with all rods in, it is not. 'All rods in' has been verified to be the case.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:08pm PT
HFCS, I understand the desire for a scientific discussion of nuclear energy and it's nuances.

This isn't the place. Please start a separate thread to discuss it.

I for one, am grieving for those who lost their lives.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:09pm PT
Brandon, I understand.

Start one for THAT then if you would like.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:11pm PT
HFC... From what I understand, being exposed to that amount of energy coming from the bundle would ionize most of your nervous system in an instant.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:13pm PT
People need to remember that this quake was of such magnitide that it may have exceeded the Design Basis Event for the reactors.

I am not anti-nuclear, but a statement like this only further highlights significant problems with all existing light water designs and should give China serious pause in its plans. The current designs being built are very evolutionary from previous generations and what's needed is a cut from the past to wholly new designs capable of shutting down automatically even in situations like this. Probably that's going to require using arrays of mini-nukes instead of larger, more structurally vulnerable units like these.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:15pm PT
Brandon,

Relax. Loosen up. If you can't stand the heat get out of the kitchen. Bottom line: In any public discourse like this sooner or later what comes around is a wingnut packing bullsh#t. Is it better not to call the bullshit when you see it or read it? No. So there it is. The reason for impugning bullshit if not the bullshitter when you see it. It's justifiable. Sure, it is a dirty job but somebody has to do it. Else the bullshit might stand. Not good.

If it's too much to deal with, go elsewhere.


This is a goos point. EVERYBODY here is sympathethic to the Japanese people. But do realize that we Califonians are probably next. It would be foolish to not look at this and prepare. We are used to quakes just like the Japs are. But this quake is an eye-opener.

We have to learn. And we need to help. Fortunately, the Japs are pretty well resourced like us. And we have Naval assets on the way to help out.

That wall of water was the killer. So many people underestimate the power of the ocean. That is what killed so many people. It IS sad. But there was nothing they could do. It was a natural disaster. Doesn't make it less sorrowful or deadly, it just was.

It sucks. And it will happen to us...sooner than later.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:17pm PT
Blue, I don't disagree. I just think it should be in a separate thread, which I have started.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:28pm PT
That wall of water was the killer.

There were a couple of things that us left coasters could take away from this that I saw in the first video and stills from the event.

The first vid I saw was of the buildings in Tokyo swaying violently. The thing that struck me was not that the buildings stood, most in LA would probably structurally withstand that kind of shake. The interesting thing was the lack of debris in the street. None of the fascia fell off the buildings. That's something I don't think would happen here. While our building codes have addressed the overall structural integrity of the structures, I'm a bit worried that the details on the outer skin may be driven more by western architectural sensibilities than practicality for living on the rim of fire.

There's a reason modern Japanese buildings are aesthetically plain. We may do well to pay attention.

The other was a still of down town Sendai right after. The main drag was filled ten feet high with the ground up debris from the tsunami, but the buildings on either side were in eerily pristine shape.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:33pm PT
Start one for THAT then if you would like.

Sorry for the confusion. I meant start a new thread for the grieving if you need to.

Here I appreciate rAdam's input. TGT's too. Etc. Anything (that's not bs, that is) relating to the Japanese earthquake.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:37pm PT
Wendell, the tsunami went through farming areas first apparently, picking up scattered debris along the way.

It would be way worse here...And we should think about that. Especially L.A.

The Sf Bay Area is buffered pretty well. Santa Cruz, Half Moon Bay, and Pacifica localities would get decimated. But the inner Bay would prolly fair pretty well. (I Hope).

L.A. has no Mtns between it an the coast, no? That could be rough.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:41pm PT
Speaking of buffered...

It was interesting to note how the Sea of Japan and Korea, being on the West Side of the islands, were spared any tsunami effects.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:43pm PT

TOKYO (Nikkei)--The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) said Saturday afternoon the explosion at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant could only have been caused by a meltdown of the reactor core.

Again, this is incorrect... It has already been reported that the explosion was caused by a pump, and that the reactor vessel was not involved in this explosion.

Even this, from the same article you posted shows that:

"The walls of the building containing the reactor were destroyed, meaning that the metal container encasing the reactor did not explode,"


And, AGAIN, a meltdown is next to impossible unless the reactor is critical, and with all rods in, it is not. 'All rods in' has been verified to be the case.



rrradam,

You aren't argueing with me. This is from The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) as reported by the Japanese, Nikkei, in Tokyo.

This was reported Saturday afternoon in Japan. This is more current info.

They are comparing an earlier report to what they know now.

Even with rods all the way in, without the primary cooling, and the redundant back-ups for energy to continue the cooling process, it continues to heat-up. You must know that.

I think I'll listen to NISA, rather than you, thank you.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 06:43pm PT
I don't think there's any geological record of major Tsunami events in the LA basin like there is in the North West. Any big seismic event here is probably going to be shore based.

That being said, there is a big low plain from the harbor area to about the century freeway.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:02pm PT
Japan on the Eastern edge of the Eurasian plate, and with the Pacific plate subducting beneath, they clearly experience many more Earthquakes and as a result are far more prepared than we are, even here in SoCal.


They have a highly advanced warning system as demonstrated here . . .


Early Warning System and the Japan Earthquake
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x562442

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQVPfQu50yY


Amazing.

We should too. We have a lot to learn from them.


All the relief effort that we are doing with our military, this is a great and noble use. This is what it should be used for. It's great to see all the ships headed their way to help. This is a great use of our tax dollars. This is what we have a military for, to help people, and our defense, not to kill them.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:13pm PT
Once again, you can not seperate what is happening in Japan after the earthquake, and what is now happening with the Nuclear Power plants. They are now one and the same . . .

PhD Michio Kaku gets it . . .

Physicist Dr. Michio Kaku Discussing the Japanese Nuclear Plant Dangers after the Earthquake
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x562463

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hfJQzxK4nU
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:18pm PT
Brandon-

I'm not here to discuss or defend nuclear energy... What is happening over there, earthquake, tsunami, and especially at the nuke is really fvcking bad!

I'm merely here to try to clear up a lot of misconceptions and misinformation that is out there, and being spread around the net and in the news.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:27pm PT
Core of quake-damaged reactor partially melts - 170,000 being evacuated from area

Source: MSNBC

Core of quake-damaged reactor partially melts
Seawater being poured into reactor to cool it; 170,000 being evacuated from area

The core of a nuclear reactor damaged by Friday’s massive earthquake has partially melted, Japan’s nuclear safety agency said Saturday, and the company that runs the plant is pouring seawater into the reactor in an attempt to cool it and prevent it from going critical.

Early Sunday, Japan's nuclear safety agency reported an emergency at a second reactor in the same complex.

The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said that the cooling system malfunctioned at Unit 3 of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant No. 1. The agency said it was informed of the emergency by Tokyo Electric Co., or TEPCO, the utility that runs the plant.

No further details of the troubles at Unit 3 were immediately available.

Read more: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42044156/ns/world_news-asia-pacific/?GT1=43001



Pull your head out of the sand rrrADAM.

Nice edit on your part.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:34pm PT
This certainly is an economic catastrophe for Tokyo Power, but other than perhaps a few Luis Slotins at the plant it will have no effect on human, plant or animal life outside the fence.


Go find us some extraterrestrials Klimmer.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:38pm PT
This certainly is an economic catastrophe for Tokyo Power, but other than perhaps a few Luis Slotins at the plant it will have no effect on human, plant or animal life outside the fence.


Go find us some extraterrestrials Klimmer.


Nuclear radioactive fallout and contamination doesn't stop at fences.

You seem to think this is winding down and there is no more danger of anything happening worse.

May I suggest you watch the video with PhD Michio Kaku, regarding the Nuclear Power plants.


I'm not going to quote scripture, but I would repeat: prepare, pray, and please help others as much as we can.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:41pm PT
...it will have no effect on human, plant or animal life outside the fence.

I wouldn't go that far... If they don't get it under control, it can get a lot worse, and they can release quite abit... Not globally, or even regionally, but they could 'crap up' a 10 mile or so radius for some time.

It isn't getting better, it is getting worse.

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:49pm PT
That being said, there is a big low plain from the harbor area to about the century freeway.

That is what I mean. L.A. could suffer very similar consequeces, dude. Thet Ghey Area has a buffer zone that protects us, you guys would get rocked!!!
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:57pm PT
Klimmer, you were on the grassy knoll, weren't you?



Cragman,

Must I suffer such ad hominem attacks from you? Really?


If you must know, it was GOPer George Bush Senior's CIA buds.

They hated JFK because he was a good hearted honest Catholic man who loved his country, and who wanted to do great things for the nation, and bring an end to the Vietnam war.

He was everything they aren't.




But that is a whole other topic . . .
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 12, 2011 - 07:58pm PT
hey there say, anastasia, thanks so much for sharing the positive strength... i would have posted a thank-you-hug, but i was falling asleep by then.... *we keep meeting up, on "support" type threads, :))


also, say!!!!

i GOT A PHONE CALL, while i was still near asleep:

my OTHER TWO FRIENDS have connacted us by email--the gal on the phone told me... i am so very very grateful, they are still alive to be a blessing to their families and/or loved ones... though, sadly, i know that thousands are not, we must accept joy, always, in finding life!! :) >:D<


next:
dear jan, oh yes, i see that.... my friends email, (have not seen the others' two, yet) but her heart was tender, sad, and commasionate, she was heavy laden for you country and countrymen, and not only for her self... a very calmer mourning, than some folks we have seen in other episodes of life... very humbled, she was...


lastly, to the newer folks, you are so kind to worry about tread drift, but supertopo is a "shifting current" as there are so many different hearts and spirits that flow about the river, here, so perhaps this will help:

say, all you supertopo folks, you know what, dear folks:conversation, as to mourning and sadness, always will shift to the "where, whys, and what to do's", it is a very human thing... it really is, and it is good to understand this... :)

those of us that know this, we purely and sweetly understand that any tread-drift here is not meant to disrespect those that died (as to tech stuff that you all share here)... feelings here, still encommpasses the pain and sorrow for those that have died (many here have faced the death of loved ones, and some, in very tragic ways--though they may hide this fact, to the newer folks)...
they all know, it could have been our loved ones--as we all know, as we are all fragile... :( we really DO need each other...

it is the just that the fact that the tech-words stay here "so powerful", and "bleak looking" or "textboook seemeing" that they seen to push-aside emotions as to humans, that is why it affects some folks so harshly, is all... *but we can still come in and share this, as well, (all for one, and one for all, like the ol' innocent childhood threemusketeer motto) :))


having worked with folks in conversation: thoughts and feelings always take rabbit trails... it leads to trying to help solve problems, and even let out "hidden feelings" to bring relief-of-burden, as to the subject of those that died...
and in the midst of it, there is always someone THERE to keep a reminder to the ones in pain, that may have to back out of the "word flow" for a bit... and we all draw them back in....

you have are doing what is a very human thing, dear folks:
now, the harder human thing, is:
sharing peace, in the midst of all of it...
(some climbers are more animated than others, right?) :)
climbing styles in life, vary, though the basics need followed...


the ol' supertopo is getting better and better at it,
and understanding this, and i commend you all....

now, to end my "mommy's heart", to you all:
you all care, caring just pops up in different ways, when folks are
suddenly faced with powerful things beyond our control....

god bless to you all!!!
and carry on in climber unity...

me, i got to run and see my two friends, how they are doing, i had to sleep all day, after keeping watch, and i will have joy
now, upon seeing that they have a chance at more life...

though, we must really pray about this nuclear stuff...

stuff so dangerous that i DO NOT understand (and would not ever try to learn about, unless you had graciously all shared it here, where it seemed to fit in, as the "time is happening" now,

happening sadly, to folks in japan, folks that need our love and prayers)...


hugs to jan, and all those in japan...
keep letting us know how you are...


*sorry for the MOMMY PREACHING HERE.... ;)
BUT i been doing it all my life, as i like to see folks run on a smooth
keel and help each other as a family... :)
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:04pm PT
Neebee, Liz, we apprcieate your prayers, we really do.

Thank you. And may God bless those Japanese folk. They need some help!

We're in God's hands. May he have mercy upon us,,,,,


I'm sad.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:11pm PT
I'd like to show my respect for the men and women putting their lives on the line to control the radiation leak. They are full aware that their bravery may result in a painful death.

The point of the Luis Slotin reference.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:15pm PT


Japanese authorities rush to save lives, avert nuclear crisis
By the CNN Wire Staff
March 12, 2011 7:34 p.m. EST
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/12/japan.quake/index.html?hpt=T1&iref=BN1

Shirakawa, Japan (CNN) -- A meltdown may be occurring at one of the reactors at a damaged nuclear power plant in northeast Japan, a government official said Sunday morning, sparking fears of a widespread release of radioactive material at a time when rescuers are frantically scrambling to find survivors from the country's strongest-ever earthquake.

Toshihiro Bannai, an official with Japan's nuclear and industrial safety agency, said officials have injected sea water and boron into the reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi facility in an effort to cool its nuclear fuel. He expressed confidence that efforts to contain the crisis would be successful.




Edit:
This seems to be from earlier today. Seems the most current news is worse.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4767922



I hope so (in reference to containing the crisis).
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:37pm PT
Dr. F,

I doubt you would watch it but it is worth the watch just to find out the answer to your very question . . .


DVD: The Case for Faith, by Lee Strobel.


It answers the question why GOD would allow evil and bad things to happen and why doesn't he always intercede to save mankind. He does, but not the way we think he should. It isn't an easy thing to answer. It is a very deep theological question that gives many a very hard time to come to grips with. You have to learn who Lucifer is and why he hates GOD so. But rest assured Lucifer's days are numbered.


Now back to what is happening in Japan and what we can do to help . . .
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:38pm PT
re: demonization of nature
re: angelization of God

When cultures angelize God (He saved us!) and demonize nature (for sending us earthquakes, etc) is it all THAT surprising when these same cultures trash nature (e.g., abuse our National Parks or cut funding to protect them)?
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:42pm PT
Dr. F, you are a FAIL...

try to keep your crap contained. You are not helping here. You should go!
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:47pm PT
re: learning from this tragedy

In the future, people who live on coasts in earthquake tsunami country should have robust "body capsules" made of metal or kevlar to climb into. Similar to a safe room or basement for those areas which suffer hurricanes or tornadoes.

Of course, (1) they would float, (2) they would be opened from the inside; (3) they would be mountable in 30 seconds.

What a glaring oversight in hindsight. Kinda like not having a basement to turn to in the Midwest. Or not having raingear in your pigs on el cap in November.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:49pm PT
BASE104, I noticed that too!.. And I sit in the belly of the beast.

This is why I tell people to prepare. We're next!
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:51pm PT
In the future, people who live on coasts in earthquake tsunami country should have robust "body capsules" made of metal or kevlar to climb into.

Made in chiner or here?
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 08:58pm PT
Well the production will involve plastic resin and odors. CARB and EPA certainly won't let you manufacture them here.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 09:05pm PT
An important article with very interesting videos at the bottom of the article . . . 3 reactors have lost the ability to cool the video says.


Radiation risk from nuclear plant seen as worrisome, not critical . . .
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42047458/ns/world_news-asiapacific/




Core of quake-damaged reactor partially melts
Seawater poured in to cool reactor; 170,000 evacuated; venting starts at second reactor
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42044156/ns/world_news-asiapacific/
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 12, 2011 - 09:24pm PT
Klimmer - We can only imagine the heroic efforts the Fukoshima workers
are going through. Dosimeter badge's showing big exposures. Knowing
that the job MUST get done because Japan and the world are counting on them.
Its a nightmare.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 09:46pm PT
We can only imagine the heroic efforts the Fukoshima workers
are going through. Dosimeter badge's showing big exposures. Knowing
that the job MUST get done because Japan and the world are counting on them.
Its a nightmare.


Sooo true.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:23pm PT

CNN

http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2011/03/12/japan-earthquake-live-blog-death-toll-rises-amid-widespread-destruction/

[9:54 p.m. ET, 11:54 a.m. Tokyo] A meltdown may have occurred at at least one nuclear power reactor in Japan, the country's chief cabinet secretary, Yukio Edano, said Sunday.

He also said that authorities are concerned over the possibility of another meltdown at a second reactor.

"We do believe that there is a possibility that meltdown has occurred. It is inside the reactor. We can't see. However, we are assuming that a meltdown has occurred," he said of the No. 1 reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear facility. "And with reactor No. 3, we are also assuming that the possibility of a meltdown as we carry out measures."

Edano's comments confirm an earlier report from an official with Japan's Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, who said, "we see the possibility of a meltdown."

A meltdown is a catastrophic failure of the reactor core, with a potential for widespread radiation release. However, Toshihiro Bannai, director of the agency's international affairs office, expressed confidence that efforts to control the crisis would be successful.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
North Hemisphere Jetstream Map:
http://squall.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_norhem_00.gif


Japanese WW2 Fire Balloons and how they got to the USA:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fire_balloon



Something to think about. Massive radiative cloud release (if things get a lot worse) into the jetstream could come our way. It is a possibility.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 12, 2011 - 11:42pm PT
The worst case has probably already happened.

Tokyo Electric ends up with the worlds largest concrete filled billion dollar paperweights and a few employees die in heroic efforts.

Best case,

Klimmer gets so hysterical he breaks his keyboard and goes silent.


Forgotten in all this are the potentially tens of thousands that have perished from acute dihydrogen monoxide toxicity.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:09am PT
today in santa cruz harbor, continuing tsunami surges, 31 known sunk boats, unknown location for most, some probably swept out to sea, some still surging back and forth in the channel, many docks and boats just gone

another busy day tomorrow








LuckyPink

climber
the last bivy
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:13am PT
I just saw on CNN that the quake appears to have moved the entire island of Japan 8 ft and has shifted the axis of the earth.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:26am PT
hey there say, lucky pink thanks for sharing this... i dont have tv news...

also, say, tom, lighter news, i know, but:
thanks for the santa cruz picks... i needed to know about my brother walt's boat, too, but i think someone already found out for him...

thanks again..
:)
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:29am PT
hey there say, tom... i must have missed something? do you work there at the harbor... ?

do you have a picture from dock "m"...

thanks for any share you have...
:)


TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:37am PT
the USCG has stepped in and taken over from harbor mgmt and hired a big san francisco contractor who is shouldering aside local contractors

they have locked down the harbor and won't let anyone sail in or out or even go see their boat

they are planning to stack up the sunk boats and take them to a land fill and charge each owner $10,000 for not hiring a private contractor to take care of the salvage operation

if the boat owner manages to hire a local contractor before 8:00 tomorrow morning, the cost will be a fraction of that

i do have some access as a friend of a local salvage company, so if you tell me a slip number or boat name or CF number, i'll try to check it out

Edit: the surge swept up the channel and literally tossed the boats up in the air and then dropped them. some boats were left laying on their sides in the mud, and then the surge came back in and swamped them. a lot of boats are still there, but damaged. Some of the docks are just not there any more and pieces of docks are rushing around on the tsunami swells that just keep going all day. the divers keep having to jump out of the water as the swells become too strong

Edit: I did walk along M dock this afternoon, and it and the boats seemed pretty much ok. There is one sunk boat on the end tie for P dock. The worst damage seemed to be in the upper harbor where the energy of the tsunami ran our of room. I talked to one boat owner who watched as his boat was swept from the upper harbor all the way to the harbor entrance and back again, and survived with very little damage,.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:44am PT
The Fukoshima #1 BWR reactor type is fairly common around the world. Here's
a story by some reporters who got a rare tour inside the Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Plant -( similar to Fukoshima)

Water used in this reactor -365,000 gallons per minute. Says something about the power of the atom.

http://www.consumerenergyreport.com/2010/07/01/a-tour-inside-vermont-yankee-nuclear-power-plant/





neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:50am PT
hey there say, tom... i am calling my brother walt, now... say, who shall i say you are, as to "harbor info" etc...

do you work there, usually, then...?
thanks...
:)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:52am PT
One obvious question that has occurred to me in retrospect, is why the nuclear reactors were built on the Pacific side of Japan where the tectonic plates meet and the major earthquakes and tsunamis happen?

I can only think that it was for economy and convenience as the main north south highway goes there along with the bullet train. In retrospect this was a false saving.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:55am PT
i'm a boat owner and friend of the Vessel Assist people

is 'Walt' aka 'Ice Man' the master diver? if so we are already friends
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:55am PT
hey there say, jan... oh my... i kind of had wondered that a bit, too, but then since i dont live there like you do, i just let it slide as to my "personal curiosty as to such things"...

thanks for the share...
i wonder even more, now, what perhaps the reasons were, as the japanese have been so very careful to prepare in other respects...

could it be that some other kind of storm, or bad weather come in from the west, that are yearly, or wintery, persistant??? i have no clue, as to their weather, etc...

thanks again...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:56am PT
hey there tom... .neat... thanks so very much...
>:D<

i am calling him...
:)
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:57am PT
hey there say, .... awww, and i know you are a supertopo climber poster, too....

:))


say, i sure hope YOUR boat was okay...
forgive me for not even thinking to ask you yet...
you seemed to sound okay, so i just assumed you were... :(
very sorry for being so rude... :)

god blesss...
:)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:58am PT
The reactor in trouble was built in 1970 just when their economy and need for electricity really heated up, so my guess is that they went for the fastest cheapest solution to more electrical power.

I've always been disappointed that the Japanese did not pioneer in using ocean power. Of all countries they have the most to benefit from harnessing the waves and tides.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:02am PT
And now even worse news from the New York Times.


TOKYO — Japanese officials struggled on Sunday to contain a widening nuclear crisis in the aftermath of a devastating earthquake and tsunami, saying they presumed that partial meltdowns had occurred at two crippled reactors and that they were facing serious cooling problems at three more.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:05am PT
my boat is fine

i cruised out to sea early friday morning and spent the night out there listening to all the crazy radio traffic in the harbor, and then went back to dock in moss landing this morning

Edit:

http://enews.earthlink.net/article/us?guid=20110312/6722075d-4307-4818-8b33-ba0030c1a641

Tsunami surge deals blow to struggling Calif. town
JEFF BARNARD
From Associated Press
March 12, 2011 8:49 PM EST

CRESCENT CITY, Calif. (AP) — Fishermen who had escaped to sea before the tsunami hit this struggling coastal town landed small loads of crab on Saturday, while crews surveyed damage and a family combed the beach for any sign of a man who was swept away a day ago as he photographed the waves.

"This harbor is the lifeblood of our community and the soul of our community," said Del Norte County Sheriff Dean Wilson as he looked across what was left of the Crescent City boat basin, which last year saw landings of crab and fish worth $12.5 million. "The fishing industry is the identity and soul of this community, besides tourism."

The region has never recovered from the loss of the timber industry in the 1980s and 1990s, and downturns in salmon fishing, said Wilson, who fished on his father's boats as a young man.

"It's going to be hard to recover here," he said.

A series of powerful surges generated by the devastating earthquake in Japan arrived about 7:30 a.m. Friday and pounded the harbor through the day and night. Eight boats were believed sunk and dozens of others damaged; an unmanned sailboat sucked out of the harbor ran aground on the coast.

About 20 miles south, the family of a 25-year-old Oregon man combed the beach looking for signs of him. Authorities say Dustin Weber was swept away as he and two friends photographed the waves.

"He just didn't respect the ocean and didn't understand the tsunami," his father, Jon Weber, said. "The (first surge) hit about 7:30. It was the second wave that hit at 9:30 that got him."

Back north in Crescent City, crews geared up for the enormous task of assessing and fixing the damage to the port, where a sheen of oil floated in the basin. Seagulls feasted on mussels exposed by upended docks. About 80 percent of the docks that once sheltered 140 boats were gone.

"Our port is struggling," said Kevin Wilson, manager of Nor-Cal Seafood Inc. "Since the last tsunami in '06, they secured the funds to fix it, and this took away all the stuff they were gonna build off."

Crab fisherman Lee Wilson returned to find his boat, the Gold Coast, mostly unscathed. It has survived its second tsunami — the first, a 1964 swarm that killed 11 in the city, had pushed it up on the rocks of the break wall.

Despite the severity of the damage that has drawn curious onlookers to survey the port even in the rain, Kevin Wilson has returned to business. He bought crab from fishermen who decided to work after leaving in the early Friday darkness to escape the waves.

"We've been down here in hurricane-force winds before, and we'll keep working," he said.

For the crews tasked with repairs, it would be a longer wait. Divers could not go into the water and workboats could not maneuver until the tsunami surges end, said Alexia Retallack, a spokeswoman for the California Department of Fish and Game. Local officials were keeping a close eye on Japan through the weekend, in case aftershocks cause another tidal surge.

About 350 miles south in Santa Cruz, the only other California harbor hard-hit by the waves, the commercial fishing industry was minimally affected. Most of the 850 boats were pleasure boats, including 60 that are lived in full-time.

Cranes hauled up sunken boats — some possibly salvageable, others snapped into pieces — while crews in life jackets and rubber boots waded near the shore, yanking chunks of broken docks, floating hunks of foam and other trash from the water.

Port Director Lisa Ekers said the tsunami caused at least $17.1 million in damage to the harbor, and another $4 million to private boats. Gov. Jerry Brown issued an emergency declaration for the harbor, which can expedite funding for repairs.

One dock, with close to 40 boats, was ripped out during the surges. So far, they found 18 vessels "sitting on the bottom," creating an environmental risk from leaking fuel, Ekers said.

A dock-load of high-end rowing boats and kayaks also was washed away, and dozens more boats that smashed into each other or were hit by debris, would need major repairs.

Across the ocean in Hawaii, the waves damaged at least 60 homes, sank up to 15 boats, and battered hundreds of vessels. But authorities said they were thankful there was no loss of life or injuries reported; residents had hours to prepare or evacuate as the tsunami rushed from Japan at 500 mph.

Santa Cruz Deputy Police Chief Steve Clark said that in addition to evacuating residents in low-lying areas, his officers had to do crowd control as townspeople gathered to watch the swells.

"A tsunami watch doesn't mean go watch the tsunami," he said.

On a boat ride through the harbor, Assistant Harbormaster Larry White pointed to buckled piers, snapped masts and hulls of flipped boats bobbing in the brown, pungent water, which rose and fell in usually strong swells generated in Japan.

He shook his head, remembering the moment when the tsunami first sucked the water out of the harbor out to sea — a sudden 9-foot drop.

"It was like the earth opening up," he said. "It was incredible."
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:45am PT
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Sendai_earthquake_and_tsunami

The 2011 Sendai earthquake and tsunami (東北地方太平洋沖地震, Tōhoku Chihō Taiheiyō-oki Jishin[6]?, literally "Tōhoku region Pacific Ocean offshore earthquake") was a 9.0MW[7][2] megathrust earthquake off the coast of Japan that occurred at 05:46 UTC (14:46 local time) on 11 March 2011.[8][9] The epicenter was reported to be 130 kilometers (81 mi) off the east coast of the Oshika Peninsula, Tōhoku, with the hypocenter at a depth of 24.4 kilometers (15.2 mi).[10][11]

The earthquake triggered tsunami warnings and evacuations from Japan's Pacific coast and at least 20 countries, including the entire Pacific coast of North America and South America.[12][13][14] The earthquake created tsunami waves of up to 10 meters (33 ft) that struck Japan, with smaller waves in many other countries.[9] In Japan, the waves are reported to have travelled up to 10 kilometers (6 mi) inland.[15]

There have been more than 637 reported deaths and at least 10,000[3][4] people reported missing in six prefectures.[16] The earthquake caused extensive damage in Japan, including heavy damage to roads and railways as well as fires in many areas, and a dam collapse. Around 4.4 million households in northeastern Japan were left without electricity and 1.4 million without water.[17] Many electrical generators were taken down, and at least two nuclear reactors partially[18] melted down,[19][18] which prompted evacuations of the affected areas,[20] and a state of emergency was established. The Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant experienced an explosion almost 24 hours after the initial earthquake; however, while the blast caused the collapse of the concrete outer containment building, it was reported that the integrity of the inner core-containment vessel was not compromised.[21][22][17] Residents within a 20-kilometer (12 mi) radius of the Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant and a 10-kilometer (6.2 mi) radius of the Fukushima II Nuclear Power Plant were evacuated.

The estimates of the Sendai earthquake's magnitude made it the most powerful earthquake to hit Japan and one of the five most powerful earthquakes in the world overall since modern record-keeping began.[23][24][25] It is thought to have been the largest earthquake within the boundaries of the North American and Pacific tectonic plates in 1,200 years.[26]
sempervirens

climber
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:49am PT
Tom,
Why is it that going out to sea is safe while the tsunami is approaching? That is interesting.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:52am PT

The Japanese police have now estimated at least 10,000 dead in Miyagi prefecture alone.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 05:14am PT
hey there say, tom... nope, walt is not him, however, walter is a bit "famous" hee hee... :)

he is walter chapman of "CHAPMAN DESIGN" los altos...

he has done many homes in those areas...

*and he is brother to ol' chappy (from yosemite climbing days), too, haha... :)
as i am .... :)


say, now that you reposted it, i DO remember you saying you were going to take your boat out before the tsunami hit...

glad to see it all worked out...
:)


*say, my brother's friend said that friday night the water seemed quiet and still in the harbor, so he is curious if there are swells suddenly, or if they just did not show up in the main harbor?

me, i didn't know what to say, so i am curious, too... :)
i told him, perhaps you meant the churning under the surface??
which was perhaps an ooops...


ALSO:
thank you all for posting that added info on the nuclear plants, as where they built and possibly, why...

ß Î Ø T Ç H

Boulder climber
bouldering
Mar 13, 2011 - 05:19am PT
Aside from the overdone on-screen graphics, this is one of the best videos of it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3K1w7u04Zo
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:30am PT
One bit of good news.

A 60 year old man was found on the roof of his house where he had been for two days. The amazing aspect to the story is that his house and the roof he was sitting on were found bobbing up and down 9 miles out in the Pacific Ocean.

Another indication of the power of the tsunami.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:46am PT
hey there say, jan... this is very terrible... 10, 000?
so many families never to find their loved ones :(

yet, as to the older man... what a miracle for him... and that someone even dared to look THAT far out, for him...

i wish more miracles could be found in all this--i am so glad for my three friends... very precious, though such a tiny number in the huge thousands...

very hard to comprehend such things...

thank you for sharing, jan...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:50am PT
And now for the reality of the situation for tens of thousands of others.

The New York Times has combined with Google Earth to show before and after photos of the main areas of devastation. You can move the bar back and forth yourself to show the transition from before to after.

Virtually every building which was not concrete has been washed away, thus accounting for the enormous amount of wooden stick like debris floating around.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:58am PT
hey there say, jan... when i think of all this, all i can do is remember the heartbroken letter (email) that my one of first friends, sent...

how she can face each day, after seeing all this, is breaking her heart... :(

folks sure need help in ways that are nearly impossible to give, right now...


god bless, thank you again for the share, as we pray for whatever can be done, all the more, after seeing and hearing all this...

*got to go sleep now...
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 13, 2011 - 09:09am PT
Good link, Lolli.

Some U.S. news outlets want to describe the situation as "Chernobyl-like" and the attempts to cool the reactor core with sea water as an "act of desperation"....not the best choice of headlines for mitigating panic...but good for using the Japanese tragedy to take the public on a long ratings ride.

There is no graphite to burn as there was in the Chernobyl disaster...thus much less conduit for spreading airborne radioactive contamination.

The situation is manifestly desparate, but the Japanese are NOT reacting in an irrational manner. Under the circumstances...they are coping with the dilemma correctly-to prevent a complete meltdown.

The test reactor I worked at had just 1/80 the heat output...yet the cooling system was prodigious.

Cesium has been detected in the air which suggests the water did not cover the core entirely and portions of the zirconium cladding have broken down...but that's a long way from a complete meltdown... and penetration of the containment vessel.

As rrAdam posted, maintaining coolant flow in the coming days is crucial.

I don't qualify as an irrefutable expert..but I worked in the nuclear industry long enough to murmur "puh-leze!" yesterday... at orchestrated tv videos of Japanese reactors peppered with shocking scenes of floating corpses and widespread devastation.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 09:14am PT
TOKYO

Tokyo Electric Power says it will ration electricity with rolling blackouts in parts of Tokyo and other Japanese other cities.

The planned blackouts of about three hours each will start Monday. They are meant to help make up for a severe shortfall after key nuclear plants were left inoperable due to the earthquake and tsunami in northeastern Japan.

Trade Minister Banri Kaieda said Sunday that the power utility expects a 25 percent shortfall in capacity. Officials appealed to Japanese for their understanding and support, saying it was the worst crisis the nation has faced since World War II.
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 13, 2011 - 11:59am PT
Sounds like most of my family is accounted for. They're mostly down in Tokyo and further south so there wasn't too much concern, but phone service has been spotty and a number of them are quite elderly so it's been difficult to get in touch. My mom- who grew up in Nagoya - said that the whole earthquake thing is so ingrained in them, that when she was leaving Tokyo a few days ago (she visits several times a year; last week it was a trip to look at potential nursing homes for her father, who currently lives in NYC) as she was on the plane on the runway, she said oh, thank god there wasn't an earthquake this time. Little did she know how right she was!!!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 13, 2011 - 12:14pm PT
Here's a photo of the old man who was swept 10 miles out to sea on what was left of the roof of his house.

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 13, 2011 - 12:17pm PT
hang tough, Jan.

God bless ya'll over there!
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 13, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
OK Jan, that guy can out brag ANYBODY in the surfing community!
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 13, 2011 - 01:42pm PT
All the tragedies...
one mother says "my daughter and I were on the third floor, seeking shelter from the tsunami. She was swept away, I managed to remain. I hope she's alive out there somewhere."

Another young mother was searching a shelter, looking for her daughter, as they had no home now, so she didn't know where to look for/meet her. That mother was young, so the daughter must be a younger child...


That is so sad...God bless them.
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:19pm PT
Aloha All,

I’ve had no word from Guido or Nancy since Nancy’s last posts on Facebook:

Friday, 11:26 a.m.: Yiiii-haaa! Exiting the harbor during a "lull" in the tsunami surges was what a watermelon seed must feel like when it's spit... back to the islands now.

Friday, 9:46 a.m.: Tide's going out, but water's rushing in...wild swirling currents and surges here—way too strong for us to leave the dock yet. Watching, waiting.

I've email those most like to have heard more. No responses yet. Anyone else hear any word since then? Curious people want to know!

Love to all, BooDawg


neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 03:40pm PT
hey there say, booDawg.... oh my... i sure hope their timeing was not off... i have heard of pros and cons, as to going out to sea... i think, from what i understood, it is all about timing, locations and a few? other factors? (type of boat-vessles, maybe)...


will be hopin and praying they are well, are found, or are heard from soon...


god bless, thanks for bringing this to our attention...




lolli, jennie, and others, as to new shows, this is what i wish we COULD avoid, very well said (by jennie?):

at orchestrated tv videos
very bad :(



thanks for all those sharing, that are trying to help us understand this
nuclear stuff...

*japan, admirble is doing their best, and i think it is because they really care about their families and homeland, as a unit, this kind of feeling is lacking in so many modern-day "scenarios"...

cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:37pm PT
DMT - cool tsunami analysis way back!

I know nothing - *nothing* - about ocean currents and how tsunamis travel, but I think your hypothesis could be correct, or at least, on the right track.

http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1436585&msg=1437576#msg1437576
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 13, 2011 - 07:59pm PT
My apologies for the haterade yesterday. I was caught up in the complete tragedy and loss that these people face, and acted inappropriately.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 13, 2011 - 08:13pm PT
Having been out of connection with media the last few days, I had no idea of this tragedy. Reading the accounts, I am overcome with emotion for those struggling to survive, and those doing so on top of their grief at the loss for loved ones.
BooDawg

Social climber
Butterfly Town
Mar 13, 2011 - 08:29pm PT
I just got the following email from Guido:

Boo Man

All is well-exited the harbor and been out sailing. Took three attempts to get out with the tide changing every 15 min and only one min of lull. Had the boat pinned against the dock in half throttle and no action. Freaking scary I have to admit, can't imagine what it would be like in Indo or Japan or Krakatoa.

Hiking every day, kayaking and having some fine times.

Cool, you will be closer and we can raise more sh#t together.

Researching an earthquke of 9.1 in S Peru on Aug 5, 1868 that took out Greg's grandfathers 2200 hectare plantation on Hive Oa.

Mutha Nature is pissed.

Cheers

Guido of Urapukapuka
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 13, 2011 - 09:20pm PT
Some very good info on this, bottom line is it ain't Haiti by a long shot.

http://www.kalzumeus.com/2011/03/13/some-perspective-on-the-japan-earthquake/
WBraun

climber
Mar 13, 2011 - 09:25pm PT
You know how it is Riley.

You're in the business just as me.

We don't just say to the folks that just had something happen to their family stuff like ....

Ho man your kid is definitely toast, or he's all fuked up might as well get the pine box ready, and sh'it like that.

Same for this Nuke mess.

If they said we're fuked everyone run for your lives ....

There'd be full blown pandemonium and panic.

Instead, they just filter it down to a palatable method for people to swallow comfortably .....
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 13, 2011 - 09:29pm PT
Haiti still hasn't recovered... and may never.
250,000+ -> 7% of those who experienced strong shaking died.

In Japan, >10 million experienced strong shaking... meaning Japanese Building Codes saved roughly >700,000 lives.


Haiti needs all the help it can get, even today.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 10:02pm PT
hey there say, thank you brandon-... i understand what happened... though not to worry... all is well... glad you are back...

all of us folks are upset... it is beyond us, and folks handle these things differently...

god bless...
just keep praying for japan and that the families can have food, shelter and stamina in heart, and spirit to continue on:

after all, what if this happens AGAIN in another year or two?
or sooner... :(

none of know... whether for there, or for here, or anywhere with these
plates...
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 13, 2011 - 10:04pm PT
There's some good, continually updated, info from the Union of Concerned Scientists here:

http://allthingsnuclear.org/tagged/Japan_nuclear
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 11:18pm PT
hey there say, all... i just saw a report in on the yahoo news, 17 minutes agao.... they seem to be saying that a another tsumami is heading there???

a smaller one??, but that one is on the way...

has anyone else heard this, too?

Kyodo quoted authorities as saying the new tsunami could be up to a height of three meters and issued an alert for the country's Pacific coast, including Fukushima prefecture.


http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/ts_nm/us_japan_quake
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 13, 2011 - 11:42pm PT
hey there riley... say, it sounded like it :(

here now, there IS a new news page as to the ?possible? OTHER SOON TO COME,
tsumami... they are saying MONDAY:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110314/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake


*ooops, now, it seems from reading it more careful, that there is
"debate" over this:

Soldiers and officials along a stretch of Japan's northeastern coast warned residents that the area could be hit by another tsunami Monday and ordered them to higher ground. But the Meteorological Agency said there was no risk of another deadly wave


soooooo, is this just "nasty newspaper hype"
not very kind, if so...
:(


or, are they really wanting to help these folks be safe?
:(


i sure hope folks can help them move away, at any rate, from these danger zones... it sure would be for the best, the sooner the better...
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:37am PT
The explosion that happened today on the #3 reactor was completely different than the one that happened on the #1 reactor a couple of days ago. They could have very well blown up the pressure vessel on this one.

Not good!
murcy

Gym climber
sanfrancisco
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:39am PT
http://gizmodo.com/#!5781566/this-is-the-scariest-first+person-video-of-the-japan-tsunami-yet
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:44am PT
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1365947/Hell-Earth-Ive-seen-20-wars-But-prepared-this.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:44am PT
I think the new tsunami rumors got started when the nuke plants blew up and the vibrations, which could be felt 30 miles away, set off the tsunami alarms again. However, there were no new tsunamis.

We did just get a notice from our office in Tokyo that the city will be without electricity from noon until 3:30 pm every day now taking the university's server and email with it.

It is very worrisome that U.S. Forces Japan found radiation 60 miles from the site.

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:45am PT
That is kinda outta lina, Lambone, but I respect dolphins too, man!

Haiti needs all the help it can get, even today.


What about all the money we sent them? What about Sean Penn crying for Haiti?

F*#king posers....I'm so sick of this crap.


corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:48am PT
Any fans of the Mythbusters may have seen them do the hydrogen exploding in canned potato chips which is a mini version of what happened to the Fukoshima reactors.

We can barely understand the deadly serious situation those workers face
or that their courage is not the absence of fear, but rather the judgment that something else is more important than fear.



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qg1KdcUwOTI&playnext=1&list=PL50F72DD85012755E
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:05am PT
If any country has people ready to sacrifice their lives for the greater good, it is Japan.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:07am PT
And in answer to Dr. F's question.

It is not normal to have graphics on top of the tv screen.

Those particular graphics were telling people when the tsunami would arrive in their area at the same time they were showing what it did in Sendai. Definitely enough to make everyone take it seriously.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:07am PT
hey there say, jan...

i was wondering...

is it possible for folks from other areas of lower japan, etc, to send some kind of army trucks to move the hungry folks to other parts of the country, for food and shelter? there must someone that could do this... even if ships from navy??? etc, could bring in trucks??

other areas of japan still have roads that can at least get close, can't they?

i am just thinking, is all... surely someone there is thinking of similar things???

how is it, from your knowledge or viewpoint of all this?


would it be too huge to do... but then, trying to get food to every too, also, and water, is hard... is it better to think of bringing the people to the water, of towns, instead?


i will be praying, anyway, that something will open up to help...
i just wanted to understand a bit...

one of my friends she is pretty much okay so far, where she is, though her mom may be in a more precarious spot... not sure about the other one...

but--one had a trip planned to go see friends here in the usa, and she is leaving soon, to come here...
so there must be some roads open, to get to places...

hope you can share a bit of light on all this...
*course, too, when the folks arrive, if they do this, they would have to check for radiation, if they need help from this....


god bless...
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:09am PT
So does anybody know how long it can take for this partially melted uranium to cool down? Is it not possible that radiation can be given off for months as they try to keep it cool with sea water?


The cooling time for any melted fuel will depend on how much there is and its proximity to intact fuel rods, Radical.

If all CONTROL rods are in place to preclude criticality, the intact FUEL rods will cool enough to prevent melting (of fuel and cladding) six days after the reactor was scrammed. But there will still be serious heat and radiation for weeks.

If there is a significant accumulation of melted fuel at the bottom of the reactor drum, a partial renewed criticality can occur increasing heat and melting through the drum into the containment vessel and possibly compromising it.

If they have been successful keeping cooling water flow, the melted fuel should be minimal...if not, there could be a large mass giving off immense heat and radiation for a long time, possibly melting through thick concrete and into the ground.

Conflicting new reports suggest they don't know how much fuel is intact...safety requires maintaining distance and shielding.

(The fuel won't detonate as a fission bomb. The reported explosions are from steam, ignited hydrogen, superheated air etc...)

Again, I'm not a nuclear calamity expert...I worked in a nuclear reactor two years. If rrAdam or Dr. Hartouni want to post more detailed or pertinent information on this...I'll abstain.
dfrost7

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:21am PT
Seems like those shipping containers would be great emergency shelter.
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:28am PT
I gave a donation to the Red Cross.
Good night folks, I am going to bed and I am hoping the news won't be so grim tomorrow.
AFS
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:31am PT
hey there say, anastasia... me tooo.... good night to you...
:)
dirtbag

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:29am PT
Rokjox, some info here:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110314/ap_on_re_us/world_markets
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:43am PT
How do you manage to get everything wrong, yet ALWAYS have an opinion?
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:42am PT
hey there all, say.... :(
isn't there anyway they can start moving the people to a better location, somehow...

by bringing help up from other areas of japan, or anything...
:(


i'm sorry, i keep thinking if we hope it enough and pray, that maybe
something will turn into a solution for all these hurting folks...
i wish them to have somewhere to be, to recouperate... :(

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:47am PT
For some more reliable info on the status of Fuku, as well as many details:
http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/

I tried to explain much of this, including the difference between 'fuel damage' and 'meltdown', even the reaction between water and the zircalloy cladding on the fuel assembles/rods that creates hydrogen (which, when venter can explode), and causes the rapid degredation (trhough oxidation) of the cladding/tubes that hold the uranium pellets that make up the fuel rods, up to and including realeasing nasty radioisotopes (radioiodine, radionitrogen, cesium, etc), and can even leave the fuel pellets lying in the bottom of the reactor... But was shot down, mainly by 'klimmer' as 'a biased nuke worker'. Some want to live in and spread fear, telling everyone to get potassium iodiner pills here in the US... Or, pointing out where there is misunderstanding, misinformation, and/or misinterpretation (E.g., that Fuku 1 is a BWR of American design, by GE), yet even after that, people still overlook this, and state otherwise. Misunderstanding, misinformation, and/or misinterpretation, perpetuates incorrect speculation.

I inspect the nukes, that's my job. I enforce the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR 50, especially Appendix B), and ensure that any and all work done on safety systems is done IAW code and spec. I do this from a 3rd party perspective, as I report to nobody here at the nuke, not even the site VP. I am a federally protected employee (protected from HIRD [harassment, intimidation, retribution, demotion]), so I can do my job free from influence.

I also staff a position in my plant's Emergency Response Organization (ERO), in the Technical Support Center (TSC) that is staffed with Senior Reactor Operators, Nuclear Engineers, as well as engineers of various types... When everybody else is 'running away', those who staff the ERO are the ones running to the plant to respond. So, I have a very good idea what the people onsite are doing to manage the problem. And it is a big problem, don't get me wrong, but not as big or bad as many believe due to poor news, misinformation, and speculation.

There was a pretty good interview with a professor of nuclear engineering, from Georgia Tech on CNN... Try to watch that, as it was spot on. He even explains the zirconiumoxide reaction I was talking about. Bad thing is, they put him on hold to talk to 'Bill Nye the Science Guy' (WTF?!?!?).

This plant, is pretty close to the same as mine, and what you see behind the steel girders at the top of the reactor building is referred to as the 'refuel floor', and NOT really part of 'containment' (the picture shown is wrong in that respect)...
.

The 6"-12" thick stainless steel clad vessel is intact (primary containment), as is the drywell (surrounds the vessel, secondary containment), as is the reactor building itself (sourrounds the drywell, another containment). "When we take credit for something as a 'containment', it means containg 'pressure' as well as contamination', and the thin sheet metal that surrounds the refuel floor does not qualify as a 'containment' structure. So, there are multiple layers to keep the 'bad stuff' in... This is what Chernobyl was lacking.

Here's a pic of our refuel floor from just a few days ago, as we are in a refuel outage...

Another view, shows the 'spent fuel pool' right (you can see the tops of the fuel bundles), and the top of the reactor vessel cavity (center left, vessel itself cannot be seen):



Re: Fuku, and the initial series of events...
From what I gather, before the earthquake hit the plant, the P waves set off the alert system, and the reactor scrammed BEFORE the S waves hit, which knocked out offsite power. That caused the EDGs to start, and take over supplying power, so they DID start and work as intended. BUT, an hour later the water from the tsunami was sufficient to flood the rooms where they are, overwhelming the pumps in those rooms. This caused them to stop. Have to keep water circulating to remove the heat, just like in your car.

As the water heats, it increases pressure, needing to be vented... When it is vented, if the water is not replaced, part of the core can become uncovered, resulting in fuel damage, up to and including partial melting even though that is highly unlikely... When the zircalloy oxidizes (severely damaging the fuel, and causing the release of lots of nasty stuff), it releases hydrogen, and when that is later vented, it can explode, and apparently did, many say as the result of the electric motor of a pump... That blew the building apart.

Water is water, as far as its ability to transfer heat, so sea water is just as good as demin for that, BUT, it certainly spells the end of that reactor.


The containment structures are containing all the really nasty stuff, as they are designed to do, and will most likely continue to do so, as long as they can manage to keep the fuel cool. In all likelyhood, 2-3 months from now, we will see video of newsreporters at the fence of this plant, and the other units will be running.



I will try to write more today, if I get a chance... We are in a refueling outage here at my plant, so I am pretty busy.

If you are curious, here's a pic of our 'pot' (Reactor Vessel) after we shuffled in new fuel a few years ago at a previous outage...

What you are looking at is the tops of the fuel bundles, and as we only refuel about half of the reactor, only the shiney ones are new fuel.

For a sense of scale, that is about 25' in diamter, so if it were lying on its side, you could drive a bus through it.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:30am PT
This quake is going to have a profound impact on global energy decisions for years to come. The nuclear energy industry had come a long way toward rehabilitating its safety reputation since 3-Mile and Chernobyl, but it now appears some or much of those gains in reputation were based on dimming memories and not true safety margins.

This will have a very profound influence in places like California or other geologically active locations. Japan is not some 3rd world country with a few foreign-trained technicians. These people knew and know what they are doing and believe in doing things right. If they can't keep an earthquake from destroying a reactor and spilling nuclear poison, WHO CAN?

DMT

D... As it stands, everything bad has been contained within the facility. There have been no releases that pose a risk to public health. Everything else, is a "what if?"

Newer buildings and bridges in seismic areas are designed to withstand huge earthquakes, and not catastrophically fail. Sure, they may be damaged to the point that they are unusable, but they are designed to not straight up fail causing loss of life... They have some luck with this, and are learning as events happen. Nukes are different [for the most part], as they are WAY over-engineered to contain bad stuff, in the worst case scenerio (I.e., LOCA*), and from what I gather, they have not had a LOCA, as that would require a breach in that system.

So, here we have units that are 40 years old, being damaged beyond repair, BUT, they have not been compromised to the point that it has caused damage to public health or the environment. You gotta admit, that thus far, that is the case, everything else s a "what if?", and that is fear based. TMI, and what's happening in Japan have shown that it can be contained, in the worst possible scenarios.

I will agree that the FEAR of the "what ifs?" that comes out of this, is a whole 'nother story. But the fact is, the system is designed such that, when all else fails, it is contained... And what they will be left with is a billion dollar paperweight, that requires some continued care, but it is still contained... TMI is still up and running, save the unit that had the partial meltdown, and people live right next to it. That one unit, IS a billion dollar paperweight, that requires some care, but it is contained.


Not like so many other disasters, at chemical plants, refineries, oil platforms, Chernobyl, etc... That are/were not contained, and have had a much larger, and longer lasting, effect.


The effects of this will most likely be 'fear based', and thus political. But they are still very real affects that will have an impact.

Yes, there are things to learn... Like not building them where, or in a manner, that they are succeptable to tsunamis, but they are built to withstand seismic events.

There is a HUGE difference between western designed nukes, and those of the old Soviet Union, where the went cheap, and safety cost a lot of money... It's why they cost billions to build. If you think about it, they went the same way with their space program in the 60's, and it killed a lot of people. The reality is, even though this is a serious event, a 40 year old design has thus far kept the bad stuff in. Newer designs, are safer in order of magnitude.

A different perspective is, even though the some really bad stuff happened, sume that was even not planned for or within the plant design, it STILL has kept the bad stuff contained... Which shows that, when all else fails, the design works to keep the bad stuff** in, and the public safe.


* Loss of Coolant Accident

** Just because there has been a release does not mean that the public is at risk, as it depends on what and how much. A typical coal plant releases WAY more ratiation to the environment than does a nuke, as there is radon in most coal.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:20am PT
In answer to Neebee-

Japan is a mountainous country and the only major rail lines and highways run up the east coast which has a few more flat spaces. Roads in the rest of Japan are typically narrow with no shoulders.To evacuate hundreds of thousands of people on mountain roads would be hard enough but many of those roads are now blocked by landslides and the ones that aren't are reserved for emergency vehicles.

Right now they are just trying to get 100,000 soldiers and other rescue workers in to get people out of the rubble who might still be alive, and to pick up dead bodies. They have only two more days before the weather goes below freezing at night.

Japan is a very crowded country. It is not easy to find space for thousands more on short notice. Also, Japanese have a much stronger identification with place than Americans do. Their families have lived in that area for centuries and their ancestors are buried there. It's a different mentality.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:33am PT
I have hear reports that the core of Fuku 2 was fully exposed for a time... This has yet to be verified, and if so, is a big deal, as significant fuel damage will happen quickly! They need to keep the fuel covered with water.

But, once the control rods are in as is the case, fission stops, so that source of heat is gone. However, decay heat still needs to be removed, and this is why it needs to have water circulating in the vessel.

As I said days ago, they need to get power to the pumps designed to do this... The RHR (Residual Heat Removel) system can pump 10's of thousands of gallons per minute, and there are two redundant systems for this. Core Spray and HPCI (High Pressure Core Injection) can both supply thousands of gallons per minute each, but they all need power.


They have to get power.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:45am PT
Split wood , not atoms!
WBraun

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:48am PT
rrrADAM

Thanks for all the nice informative posts.

Clearly helps explain what's going on to the layman.

The media should hire you .....
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:48am PT
Kadena Air Base in Okinawa sent 50 Civil Engineers up north to help with getting the electrical power going again. After that, roads and bridges.

The U.S. Navy is helicoptering in food and water as well as providing transportation to the Japanese Self Defense Force rescuers.

We are also flying reconnaisance flights up and down the coast hoping to find more people clinging to debris floating in the ocean.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:56am PT
The island is now 13 feet closer to the US!

It's a plot to sneak up on Pearl Harbor!!!


Back to seriousness, rrrAdam's diagram and a little more research on BWRs. They could still have core containment on #3.

The explosion on #1 looked exactly like what you'd expect if there was a hydrogen explosion in that upper bay with the crane.

The second explosion starts with a sideways flash lower in the building and includes lots of big shrapnel. It could have been a hydrogen explosion in the turbine room. If it was a PWR there's not much in the containment building other than the core and the steam generators. That's what I though I was seeing flying. Could have been turbine and generator parts. A burning generator would explain all the black smoke as well.

Hope that's what happened, but the people who know have their hands full and almost all of what's on the media is uninformed speculation at best and down right misinformation (both ways) by those with agendas at worst.



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:25pm PT
I have hear reports that the core of Fuku 2 was fully exposed for a time...

they have confirmed it was.

VERIFIED where? Source?

I have even heard this attributed to operators at the plant, but not verified.

That said, even if the fuel has been exposed, it is certainly sustained substantial damage, and even more when water was put on it through thermal shock alone. BUT, the vessels of all 3 units are still intact and not breached, as far as I know... If they are worried about, and are venting pressure, that means there is no breach in the vessel or the systems that directly go to it (E.g., feedwater, steam, emergency injections), as if it were breached, it would rapidly lose pressure.

Think of tyring to keep pressure in a tire that has a hole in it... It doesn't hold pressure.

All of them, to different degress, have suffered a loss of inventory (collant in the vessel), and this can happen in many different ways other than a breach in the system... Most likely, it flashes to steam and is vented to releave pressure (water expands ~1600 times in volume when it turns to steam, it's why they use steam to turn turbines), thus that inventory needs to be replaced, even if with sea water.


Normally, in a LOCA, after the demin water reserve is exausted, water is taken from the torus (see picture above) and pumped into the reactor. Even if there is a major breach of the vessel, it all goes down to the torus, where it is recirculated back in. If the vessel reaches a certain pressure, safety reliefs valves (11 of them at my plant) lift and vent to the torus just under the waterline... Like a big bong.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:28pm PT
None of the reactors at Fuku are PWRs, they are all BWRs.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:34pm PT
Official: Rods likely melting in Japanese reactors
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4769999
http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2011/03/14/general-as-japan-earthquake-nuclear-crisis_8354983.html


Source: AP

TOKYO — Japanese officials say the nuclear fuel rods appear to be melting inside all three of the most troubled nuclear reactors.

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said Monday: "Although we cannot directly check it, it's highly likely happening."

Some experts would consider that a partial meltdown of the reactor. Others, though, reserve that term for times when nuclear fuel melts through a reactor's innermost chamber but not through the outer containment shell.



It is much worse than we think.

On NPR this morning driving to work they talked about one of our Navy ships turning back due to radiation levels being too high 100 miles out at sea to the West of the reactor as it approached the Japanese coast.

Perhaps they will try to come in from a different direction.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:37pm PT
None of the reactors at Fuku are PWRs, they are all BWRs.

Yes, my comments back a few pages were based thinking that the construction was similar to a PWR. If that were the case there wouldn't be much other than the core or a steam generator that could produce a blast like happened at #3.

Understanding now how these things are built, the blast didn't necessarily come from the core.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
On NPR this morning driving to work they talked about one of our Navy ships turning back due to radiation levels being too high 100 miles out at sea to the West of the reactor as it approached the Japanese coast.
I would like to know the details of this, as people often confuse radiation (the energy) with contamination (radioactive stuff where we don't want it)... Point being, if radiation (the energy) is detected 100 miles from the plant, then the people at the plant would all be long dead by now. Think of it this way... Contamination is like dog-sh|t, and radiation is the smell coming from it. If the dog-poo is kept in a bag (contained), no biggie, right?


What is more likely, is what they detected was elevated levels above background due to radioisotopes released being blown that way. What MUST be understood (but often isn't) is that the sensitivity of some radiation detection instruments is so sensitive that it will pick up even the most minute change, even if it is FAR below anything that would be cause for concern.

BUT, people hear 'exposed to radiation' and flip out. For people like that, you may wish to get rid of your smoke detectors as they have amerisium in them, and are radioactive.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:09pm PT
AC, this is about a grievous event, let's keep politics out of it man.

If you want, post that to my Glen Beck thread.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:10pm PT
This in a company newsletter...
When Neighbors Ask: Progress Energy’s response to Fukushima emergency
3/14/2011

The earthquake and tsunami in Japan have created significant issues for some of that country’s nuclear plants. Media coverage has been significant, and there have been numerous reports about possible similarities between the Japanese plants and U.S. nuclear power plants. Customers, neighbors and others are likely to have questions about our plants’ safety.



The following points are intended to help employees in those conversations.



In Brief



Our thoughts and prayers are with the people of Japan. We are working with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to provide technical assistance as the situation evolves. Due to differences in design and geological characteristics in our region, the issues in Japan raise no specific concerns for our nuclear plants. But we will continue to learn from the events and incorporate any lessons learned to make our plants even safer.



Key Points

-Our thoughts and prayers are with the people of Japan as they deal with the aftermath of this natural catastrophe of historic proportions. We encourage the aid and support to those relief agencies providing direct assistance.

-Our first priority has been to work with the U.S. nuclear industry to provide any immediate technical assistance to the evolving situation at the nuclear plants within Fukushima, Japan. The Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) in conjunction with the World Association of Nuclear Operators (WANO) has coordinated this support.

-The probability of a disaster of the magnitude and nature of what occurred Japan is highly unlikely in the areas Progress Energy serves due to the geology of the states in which we operate. We are monitoring the situation in Japan through international nuclear agencies. While we do expect to learn from the events, there is no information from the situation in Japan that raises concern for the continued safe operation of our nuclear plants.

-From what we know today, the complications at the nuclear plants in Fukushima center around the loss of all electrical power as a direct result of the powerful earthquake and devastating tsunami. Our plants’ emergency electrical supplies are designed and built to withstand the impacts of all historical natural disasters for our area, such as hurricanes, tornados, earthquakes and flooding (including storm surges at our coastal plants). Additionally, following the events of Sept. 11, 2001, we have incorporated significant additional emergency criteria into our planning. As a result, all our plants have procedures, training, and mobile emergency pumps with independent electrical generators for power.

-This provides the capability to deal with events that might go beyond the recorded history for our region.

-The explosions at Fukushima I-1 have been reported as a result of hydrogen being vented from the reactor vessel. All U.S. plants have vent systems to prevent such a hydrogen explosion.

-Sharing information and learning from all events and experiences around the world is a cornerstone of the U.S. nuclear industry. Under strict oversight from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, U.S. nuclear operators make continuous design, procedure and training changes to incorporate lessons learned from other plants.

-Although our plants have differences in the design and increased capability to deal with this type of disaster, we will be diligent to look for new lessons that will make us even safer in the future.


While watered down, it is factually correct.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:11pm PT
Radioactive contamination from the Cesium and Iodide from the leaking reactor can and will be carried by the wind. You can't control the direction of the wind. The ship motored into an area down wind of the reactors.

Having KI on hand in our emergency preparation kits at our homes is a very good thing. Do you disagree? Not because of this disaster so much, but it is a wake-up call. An absolutely vivid reminder. I ordered some to put into our Emergency Home Preparness kit for the family. Good thing to have. San Onofre isn't so far away, and San Diego must be on some terrorist hit list somewhere since we are the Pacific Fleet home for the Navy. I know for sure San Diego has a great number of nuke warheads stored and on the ready.

This natural disaster and now man-made disaster is not endearing Nuclear Fission Reactors to anyone. We can not control the possible unpredictable massive forces of Nature. This disaster/accident is screaming this loud and clear.

I for one hear it loud and clear. Do not use Nuclear Fission Reactors. Perhaps for research purposes, space-probes, etc. but it is just too dangerous for Earth based power generation, and the storage issue is a nightmare that does not go away. We need clean renewable energy resources. No one died from Solar, Wind, Geothermal, and other non-lethal energy production methods, and neither do these clean renewable energy resources have a half-life of 4.5 billion years that we have to worry about.

Sometimes in takes "Mother Nature" to wake us up.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:14pm PT
You just cannot admit that you were wrong, can you? That what you posted was misleading. But, what's worse, is that even when corrected, you continue to believe it, and spread it as fact.

Ever mess with a lantern mantle? If so, then you got contaminated, as most of them have strontium in them.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:20pm PT
Adam, I appreciate your information on the subject, it has been hugely helpful for us laypersons to understand what's happening.

My only question is this; Is chance not too great a variable to effectively quantify? It's the chance of a similar catastrophe, with different causes, that renders this technology inherently dangerous. The stacking of unlikely events in unpredictable sequence can render the best laid plans to waste.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:34pm PT
Some fairly up to date status info and a more detailed explanation of what's going on.

http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/news/2011/110314fukushima_event-status-1.pdf


http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/03/13/fukushima-simple-explanation/

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:37pm PT
rrradam,

I have many radioactive sources that I use for class, demos, and experiments, and to look at cloud chamber vapor trails from the radioactive emissions, ie the study of nuclear physics: Fiesta Ware, smokedectors, Coleman Lantern mantles, radioactive minerals, even Uranium ore from a mine in CO. We have a set of very good Civil Defense geigercounters for our physics staff.

The point is I store them safely, locked up, and away from students and staff when not in use. I never handle them directly but only through plastic so as not to get any residue on my hands. Even then I thoroughly wash my hands afterwards. No students ever handle them. And they are used at a distance. I don't breath it, eat it, or drink it. Nor do I put these sources under my pillow at night and sleep with them. They are stored locked away safely behind the walls of a storage room that no students are allowed in. Exposure is minimal. I'm not internalizing any of it and neither are students.

I have no fear of low-dose radioactive sources when they are handled properly.

When it is airborne in the atmosphere, you can not do any of the things I just mentioned as a safety precaution. Once it is inside your body, that is when the damage is done. That is the serious risk here and you know it. That is exactly why the US Navy ship moved out of the area when they encountered it. Outside the body exposure is one thing. Not a big deal for low doses. Inside the body exposure is a whole different dangerous matter.

Stop giving the industry BS. I know what I'm talking about and you know it. Why the heck did I take all those classes/PD with General Atomic over the years?
o-man

Trad climber
Paia,Maui,HI
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:37pm PT
This note is from a friend that is in Japan at the moment I thought I would pass it along.
"The hotel is empty. The only sound Japanese news broadcasters in hardhats waving diagrams of nuclear plants. No trains out of here. I'm in a very bad Twilight Zone episode."
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 14, 2011 - 01:51pm PT
klimmer said,
I know what I'm talking about and you know it. Why the heck did I take all those classes/PD with General Atomic over the years?

this from the guy who believes that there is an alien mother ship on the moon....
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:30pm PT
klimmer said,

I know what I'm talking about and you know it. Why the heck did I take all those classes/PD with General Atomic over the years?

this from the guy who believes that there is an alien mother ship on the moon....


Hawkeye,

Why the ad hominem attack? Why change the subject?

You guys hate being wrong and it shows.

Many well known scientists, military officers, and those in government know the truth of the UFO/ET/Alien question. Those with a brain and have looked at the evidence also know. You've seen the official NASA stereopairs (3 at least) of the craft. Prove it isn't.

Back to Japan . . . try to stay on topic.
PAUL SOUZA

Trad climber
Clovis, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:31pm PT
Don't believe all of the hype...

http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:33pm PT
rrrAdam -

thanks for the info - very helpful.

The news is indeed reporting that the fuel rods were "twice completely exposed".
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:38pm PT
klimmer, see the chicken little pic above....the fact that you are a science teacher is way scarier than the potential nuclear accident unfolding....
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:50pm PT
klimmer, see the chicken little pic above....the fact that you are a science teacher is way scarier than the potential nuclear accident unfolding....


Hawkeye,

Do you read what you write before you post? Do you ever ask the question should I really post this?

I'm just gonna let your own words hang you.

Yea, someone that you disagree with is scarier than the disastrous nuclear accident unfolding, and the people that will die as a result. Y-e-a, r-i-g-h-t.

Put down your personal copy of the "The Idiot's Guide to Ad Hominem Attacks" and think just a little on your own.
Gene

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:52pm PT
This doesn't look good at all.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/world/asia/15nuclear.html?hp

The plant’s operator, Tokyo Electric Power, said late Monday that repeated efforts to inject seawater into the reactor [Fuku #2] had failed, causing water levels inside the reactor’s containment vessel to fall and exposing its fuel rods. After what at first appeared to be a successful bid to refill the vessel, water levels again dwindled, this time to critical levels, exposing the rods almost completely, company executives said.

Workers were having difficulty injecting seawater into the reactor because its vents — necessary to release pressure in the containment vessel by allowing radioactive steam to escape — had stopped working properly, they said.


“They’re basically in a full-scale panic” among Japanese power industry managers, said a senior nuclear industry executive late Monday night. The executive is not involved in managing the response to the reactors’ difficulties but has many contacts in Japan. “They’re in total disarray, they don’t know what to do.”
Dave

Mountain climber
the ANTI-fresno
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:54pm PT
Adam, thank you for the very informative posts. Having worked in a DOE underground disposal site for DOD rad waste, I have some experience with Alpha radiation, and rad worker training. The exposures we were dealing with were extremely low.

Paul, also thanks for the link - direct updates - good stuff.



Klimmer, I feel for the kids you teach... More little fear mongers to scare the world.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:59pm PT
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2011/03/nuke-fallout-risk

“Such a long time spent over water will mean that the vast majority of the radioactive particles will settle out of the atmosphere or get caught up in precipitation and rained out,” wrote Masters. “It is highly unlikely that any radiation capable of causing harm to people will be left in the atmosphere after seven days and 2000-plus miles of travel distance.”
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:59pm PT
The bravenewclimate "simple" explanation is really excellent. Klimmer did you read it?

Thanks for all the contributions rrrADAMS
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 14, 2011 - 02:59pm PT
I think maybe USA should think about seismic risks and nuclear plants:
...whether or not the risk they face is seismic (see Metsamor in Armenia, for instance, or Diablo Canyon in California).


siesmic events are factored into the design. i read somewhere where the magnitdue of this earthquake may have exceeded the "once in 1200 years" or so and therefore, may have exceeded what was deisgned into the structure. regardless, my understanding is that the Emergency Diesel Generators may have been overcome by the Tsunami. it is that power which would have kicked on and provided the energy for the cooling system.

Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:18pm PT
I heard a news report that the power plant in question was built in 1970 and was due to be shut down very soon due to it's age. The report also stated that at that time safety standards in Japan for nuclear power reactors were for the "largest likely event," as opposed to the "largest possible event."

Can anyone here comment on the veracity of this information?
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:24pm PT
Highest magnitude tested - at what distance? It makes a huge difference.

I'll say this again - the shaking in Japan was NOT as hard as you might think for an EQ this size because the EQ was FAR AWAY from Land.

The shaking was harder in Haiti (for a M7), way harder. My guess is that these power plants were indeed designed to withstand this level of shaking, and also, by and large, they withstood the seismic shaking quite well (as did most of Japan's infrastructure).

The problem is the flooding caused by the tsunami, NOT the shaking. And yes, this appears to be an engineering design flaw.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:35pm PT
Rescue helicopters returning to the USS Ronald Reagan battle group
are coming back radioactive. Obviously with radio nuclei outgassed
from the Fukushima reactors stuck to them.

Reports say the crews and equipment are fine after being rinsed with
soap and water.

Hopefully everyone is wearing respirators to keep the radioactive particles
out of their lungs when flying into the hot zone.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:38pm PT
klimmer...
I for one hear it loud and clear. Do not use Nuclear Fission Reactors. Perhaps for research purposes, space-probes, etc. but it is just too dangerous for Earth based power generation...
Once again, you show us that you have no idea what you are talking about. They do NOT use fission reactors, of any kind, in space probes.

What they do is use the heat from normal decay of some radioisotopes to create electrical energy. They have even used plutonium for this, and this IS a big concern, as if the rocket explodes, with the payload, it showers LOTS of nasty stuff into the atmosphere.

Now, quick reality check here... Have there been more nuke plant disasters, or rocket failures in which the payload was lost in that explosion?

Quick... Go google it, HOPING that I am wrong. But, please, at least have the stones to post up that you are wrong, and appreciate being corrected. You have yet to do this when corrected, and there is a large sample base of you being corrected, so it really does speak volumes concerning your critical thinking abilities.

If you like, I'll do it for you:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioisotope_thermoelectric_generator




Your ignorance screams when you post at times. You say that you are a science teacher, and go over much of this in 'physics' and earth science, but rolling a ball down an inclined plane is 'physics' too, very different from nuclear physics, which you do not seem to grasp as well as you would like people to think.

And big deal concerning your radioactive sources... You must know that those can be gotten online, by anyone, right? And they can be handled, with your bare hands, which is why anyone can get them. The NRC considers materials like that to be the same as that in a smoke detector, and gives the manufacturers a 'general license' to sell it, to the general public.

And, getting a 'radioactive materials' kit, with a suggested lesson plan does not make you an expert in nuclear physics... However, you thinking you are, is dangerous. Hell, I work at a nuke, am familiar with the systems, and how it works... I am also a nuclear and theoretical physics hobbyist, and that doesn't make me an expert, and I don't claim to be.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:49pm PT
Lollie...
Oh, btw - almost ALL nuclear plants in the world are Japanese. That's a high tech country, and if anybody knows what they're doing, it's them... reassuring, huh?
Whait... What?

Where do you get that from? I believe the vast majority of the plants online today, and even currently under construction are of American or French design.


And if the events at Fuku had stopped the day it had happened, it would still be among the 3 worst accidents, as now there are 3 significant nuclear events. If it stopped that day, it may have been 3rd, now it is 2nd, and TMI is 3rd. But wording it like that makes it so much more 'dramatic'.
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:56pm PT
which you do not seem to grasp as well as you would like people to think.

This needs to be said again.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:57pm PT
Hawkeye,
the Fukushima 1 plant was equipped with 13 diesel back-up generators to power the Emergency Core Cooling System (ECCS), but all of these failed. Battery back-ups are available, but these function only for a few hours.
This is misleading, as I believe the EDGs of the other units are up and running in the units that were already offline for refueling outages. The EDGs for the affected units apparently did start, and run as designed for about an hour, until they were swamped with water from the tsunami.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 03:58pm PT
While I am no expert at Nuclear Power Plants (Adam seems to know his stuff) I do manage construction of two Category 3 Nuclear facilities for DOE at the Hanford site.

We performed an analysis utilizing our underlying geology to come up with what we call Site Specific Ground Motion for our Design Basis Event (Earthquake). Thankfully we are far enough inland so the "flooding" due to water will be more than a 1 in 1 million year event. Although I suppose I should review and see when the great floods came through here because of the failure of Lake Bonneville. Also, we look at Volcanic Events (primarily Ashfall) and design for those as well.

We are in the process of trying to buy two 5 MW EDG's to provide emergency power in the case of a Loss of Off Site Power. As taxpayers you do NOT want to know how much they cost. Please understand that I am not saying they are not required , they absolutely are. Prior to this job I worked at a plant that destroyed WMD's filled with Nerve Agent and we lost power. Our EDG's overheated because the Maintenance guy forgot to perform proper valve lineup and it was almost a very bad day so I have seen first hand how important these systems are.

As someone said, there were probably some battery backup's for the Reactor Coolant which would only provide power for a brief period.

Here are a couple simple links on the Reactors and what a melt down is.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/12/world/asia/the-explosion-at-the-japanese-reactor.html?ref=asia

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12726591
rectorsquid

climber
Lake Tahoe
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:09pm PT
FYI, according to Harvey Wasserman:

"Both Westinghouse and General Electric, the two major purveyors of nuclear plants in the United States, are now owned by Japanese companies."

That doesn't mean that US plants are designed by the Japanese although I don't think the distinction would matter except for people looking at this problem wearing blinders.

Dave

cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:11pm PT
golson - yep, or they use a few Design Basis Events.

We performed an analysis utilizing our underlying geology to come up with what we call Site Specific Ground Motion for our Design Basis Event (Earthquake)


Site Specific Ground Motion for a, say, M7 right next to the power plant is way, way bigger than SSGM for the M8.9 in the subduction zone way offshore. Talking heads saying they "didn't design for that large an EQ" don't know what the hell they are talking about.


If you look at the ground motions on the USGS seismic hazard map (used for planning), and you look at the accelerations actually experienced during the EQ, you'll see that the accelerations match the expected hazard. And nuke plants, I promise you, are designed with much rarer events in mind (10% in 500 years, or something -> higher accelerations)

Expected accelerations ~ 0.32-0.4g (10% probability of exceedance in 50 yrs)

Actual accelerations from the M8.9 ~ 0.35g ?
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:16pm PT
My heart goes out to the people of Japan and their beautiful country.

The forcast is ominous with rain that will form around nuclear particles in the atmosphere and wind shifing towards high density areas.


TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:17pm PT
They obviously did design for this large an earthquake because none of the sites had any significant earthquake damage.

The tsunami is what they hadn't adequately planed for.

the radiation level at the plant boundary yesterday was 20 microseverts.

From what I understand this is about the same as a two hour flight at 40,000 feet in the northern latitudes.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:20pm PT
The backup generators flooded, apparently. So I am not willing to give a tip of my hat to the prescient powers of nuclear design engineers. "They design these things to withstand blah blah blah."

And are taken out by a flood.

Not good.

DMT
Believe it or not, I agree... This should have been taken into account better in the design and location of those plants.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:22pm PT
Those interested in helping, rather than say engaging in what Werner would rightly call mental speculations about the situation, should see an article in the New York Times about non-profits that will be providing aid. Hopefully they won't mind some of the article being reproduced here - it includes links to each organization, and is at: http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/11/japan-earthquake-and-tsunami-how-to-help/

Aid and Charitable Organizations
Each of the following groups have set up fundraising sites specifically for the victims of Friday’s earthquake and tsunami.

AMERICAN RED CROSS
Red Cross officials say donors can text REDCROSS to 90999 and a $10 donation will automatically be charged to donor’s phone bill, or donations can be made directly on its Web site.

AMERICARES
Information is available on the organization’s Web site.

CARE
CARE is one of the world’s largest private international humanitarian organizations. Their offices in Asia are on high alert and have ensured that staff are informed of the tsunami warnings and other related developments.

DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS
Information is available on the organization’s Web site.

GLOBALGIVING.ORG
GlobalGiving is working with International Medical Corps, Save the Children, and other organizations on the ground to disburse funds to organizations providing relief and emergency services to victims of the earthquake and tsunami. Donors can text JAPAN to 50555 to give $10, and larger increments can be submitted on GlobalGiving’s Web site.

INTERNATIONAL MEDICAL CORPS
Information is available on the organization’s Web site.

LIONS CLUBS INTERNATIONAL
Information is available on the organization’s Web site.

THE SALVATION ARMY
The Salvation Army has been providing food and shelter to Tokyo commuters who were stranded when public transportation was interrupted by the earthquake. They are to send a team to Sendai, a city about 250 miles Tokyo, to assess the situation there. Text JAPAN or QUAKE to 80888 to make a $10 donation. (Make sure to respond “YES” to the Thank You message you receive.) Donations can also be made on the organization’s Web site or by calling 1-800-SAL-ARMY.

SAVE THE CHILDREN
To make a donation, visit Save the Children’s Web site, call 1-800-728-3843, or text JAPAN to 20222 to donate $10.

SHELTERBOX.ORG
Shelterbox.org is a disaster-relief organization that focuses on providing survival materials such as tents and cooking equipment to families displaced by disasters.

UJA-FEDERATION OF NEW YORK
Information is available on the organization’s Web site or by calling (212) 836-1486.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:24pm PT
Yea, me too - the flood is the problem and they didn't design well for it.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:28pm PT
My heart goes out to all those folks. Terrible destruction.

While it is easy to sit on the internet and deduce that the designers screwed up, I guess I will wait to see just what the designers were thinking. The fact that the EDG's were flooded is not a good indication. But having managed the worlds largest Nuclear Waste Vitrification plant in the world for the last three years I am hesitant to throw the designers under the bus based upon the information that has come out. In other words it would be incorrect to assert that the Engineers were responsible for the first Space Shuttle accident. In other words, there is more to a bad design thatn bad designers.

For those against Nuclear Power i suppose there is cause for happiness:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/14/japan-quake-industry-idUSN1414498220110314

Now we can choke on the coal fired power plant emissions that supply 45% of our Electricity and kill more people per year than nukes ever have or ever will.

Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:30pm PT
rrrAdam, I'm re-posting this because maybe you missed it and I'd like to hear your input. Seriously, I'm not trying to belittle you in any way. It's just my take on the whole fiasco.

Is chance not too great a variable to effectively quantify? It's the chance of a similar catastrophe, with different causes, that renders this technology inherently dangerous. The stacking of unlikely events in unpredictable sequence can render the best laid plans to waste.

Thanks, and thank you for all the info you've supplied us with throughout the last few days.

Best,
Brandon-
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:35pm PT
There seems a dearth of reliable information about what actually happened and is happening, to draw many meaningful conclusions. Certainly there's a human need to want to know these things, but it will take time. Which is why the scenarios presented must all be preceded with a big if. And in any case, there's nothing at all we can do about the design of the reactors, their safety features, and so on. Whereas there is a very immediate need to help the survivors.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:36pm PT
Radiation is a non issue with that weather forecast.


Thousands of people are going to be spending tonight out in the rain in near freezing temperatures..
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:36pm PT
Lollie...

There is no power to any of the 6 units. Even though the other 3 units were down for refueling, the fuel in the pot if it's still there, and in the spent fuel pool still needs to be kept cool, and this is done with circulating water. If no power, then the source of power for this is the EDGs. Since we have heard nothing in the news about the other units, I am assuming that they are still up and running.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:40pm PT
Is chance not too great a variable to effectively quantify? It's the chance of a similar catastrophe, with different causes, that renders this technology inherently dangerous. The stacking of unlikely events in unpredictable sequence can render the best laid plans to waste.

IMO, no... As I'd said earlier, bridges and buildings are designed to not collapse in the event of a HUGE seismic event. That doesn;t mean they will not be damaged beyond repair, and cannot be used, but instead means that they will not collaps causing loss of life.

Same thing here... They are ultimately designed to "contain" the problem, if all else fails, and thus far, it has done this.
PAUL SOUZA

Trad climber
Clovis, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:45pm PT
Whatever happens, that plant will be decommissioned. Injecting seawater into the primary system = BAD since primary chemistry is strictly controlled to prevent chlorides, which results in corrosion to the system.

P.S. I worked in a nuclear power plant for 5 years in the Navy.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:54pm PT
BTW, I was just able to verify that at least Fuku 1 is a GE Mark I design, which is the same design as both of the units at the nuke where I work.

That said, we do have some additional safety features that have been added throughout the years, including even additional redundancies or already redundant systems. And our EDGs are behind water tight doors, as well as being elevated a bit, as my site was designed for the storm surge associated with huricanes.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 04:55pm PT
Brandon,

from what I have seen, chance or I think you mean Probability is used extensively in many fields when it pertains to human health and the environment. The probability of an "event" is one of those things where engineers must be careful and not fall into the trap of "garbage in -> gospel out".

Think about a skyscaper in LA. they would have to look at past events and underlying geology to try and figure out what they believe would be the worst case for a seismic event. I am no structural engineer, but these are usually codified so that the building design would then have to meet this criteria.

In the case of a Tsunami taking out the EDG's, I am particularly interested in what the Japanese equivalent to the NRC says on the issue. I know this is not much help, but this discussion on Probability of Natural Events can go on and on. We are currently at the hanford site working with the USGS on the amount of Ashfall that a Volcanic Event my release. Talk about what-if's. It depends upon the wind speed and direction, Volcanic Event, etc. The Nuke Power station up the road from me has designed for this event already. In their case they designed their EDG's to function despite all of the ash in the air. In other words they filter out the combustion air for the EDG's.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:03pm PT
Talk about what-if's

Thats the main problem with nuclear energy. If a bridge collapses because of some one in a trillion "what if", then the people on it die and we rebuild the bridge.

On the other hand, if a one in a trillion "what if" disaster occurs with a nuclear facility, then the damages can be a whole lot more severe for a whole lot more people.

Its virtually impossible to plan for every "what if".

Please don't think that I am against nuclear energy. I am just expressing the underlying problem. When a nuclear plant fails, that failure can be massive.

Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:07pm PT
Precisely John, it's impossible to factor in every possible scenario. The potential sequence of negative events is infinite.

With such a volatile and possibly dangerous energy source, I find that disconcerting.

Gene

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:10pm PT
Seems to my mind that the flaw was more in expectations than in the design.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:10pm PT
The Japanese have bigger things to worry about right now.

Simple sh#t, like Cholera, has potential to kill more people in Japan than their nuclear reactors do.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:10pm PT
I understand what you are saying John; however, what some folks do not understand is that the degree of conservatism and what-if analysis in the Nuke industry far exceeds what most people can comprehend. I do not say that lightly. I worked in a plant that destroyed Nerve Agent and while I believe that facility was safe, it was a Yugo compared to a Mercedes in terms of the Defense in Depth that goes on in the Nuke Industry.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:13pm PT
hey there say, jan... thanks so very much... i had wondered about the mountain areas.... but i did not suspect about narrow roads, elsewhere... :(

also, oh yes, i did know this, as to my japanese friends:
Also, Japanese have a much stronger identification with place than Americans do. Their families have lived in that area for centuries and their ancestors are buried there. It's a different mentality.

it is just that i hoped for food, and shelter, that they'd be able to be helped somewhere, at places where they could get on their feet again...
a far-fetched hope, i know... :(


thanks jan, thanks so very much...
:)
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:18pm PT
I understand what you are saying John; however, what some folks do not understand is that the degree of conservatism and what-if analysis in the Nuke industry far exceeds what most people can comprehend.

And yet in a country prone to Tsunamis, one may very well cause a major disaster. I do understand that these were built 40 years ago, but why weren't they aware of the possibility of a Tsunami knocking out the generators and why didn't they plan for that?
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:28pm PT
That's my question, too.

Especially in a system that requires effort to prevent a disaster (vs. passive systems where you just shut them down and kick people out).
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:44pm PT
rrrADAM,

Oh, ye of little faith . . . I'm not wrong. Show me where I'm wrong. I am more than willing to admit I blow it sometimes. Not on this issue.

I'll just post this quick because I'm busy, more after school.


I said . . .
I for one hear it loud and clear. Do not use Nuclear Fission Reactors. Perhaps for research purposes, space-probes, etc. but it is just too dangerous for Earth based power generation...

You said . . .
Once again, you show us that you have no idea what you are talking about. They do NOT use fission reactors, of any kind, in space probes.

What they do is use the heat from normal decay of some radioisotopes to create electrical energy. They have even used plutonium for this, and this IS a big concern, as if the rocket explodes, with the payload, it showers LOTS of nasty stuff into the atmosphere.

Now, quick reality check here... Have there been more nuke plant disasters, or rocket failures in which the payload was lost in that explosion?

Quick... Go google it, HOPING that I am wrong. But, please, at least have the stones to post up that you are wrong, and appreciate being corrected. You have yet to do this when corrected, and there is a large sample base of you being corrected, so it really does speak volumes concerning your critical thinking abilities.


I am argueing against the use of nuclear fission on Earth, for obvious reasons, it isn't safe and the storage issues with current technology in use are a 4.5 billion year nightmare. We can't control nature. Case in point: 3 Mile Island, Chernoble, and now Japan. It is as bad as Chernoble now, and it isn't even contained yet. We are now talking 3 reactors where the rods are melting.

I'm talking about future use. On a planetary body that is tectonically inactive, and without weather events, then yes perhaps it can be used safely, and then send the spent fuel to the Sun.

If it is to be used, then off earth and in space, or on the Moon, or perhaps even on Mars to begin the process to make it habitable there and then switch to long-term clean renewable energy resources.

You are absolutely wrong about Fission Nuclear Reactors in space. We have done it, and the Russians have done it even more so. And we are planning on doing it even more . . .

Under The Hood With Duncan Williams - Nuclear Fission in Space
steveheiser Wed, Mar 31 2010 8:45 AM
http://nuclearstreet.com/nuclear_power_industry_news/b/nuclear_power_news/archive/2010/03/31/under-the-hood-with-duncan-williams-nuclear-fission-in-space-03312.aspx

Gee, it is even in a Nuclear Power Industry News publication on-line.



A Lunar Nuclear Reactor
Tests prove the feasibility of using nuclear reactors to provide electricity on the moon and Mars.
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/23247/


Yes, radioactive sources used in a more passive manner to generate small but continious sources of electricity are used also. We even use them in batteries! No arguement there.


I'll have to get back to the other things you mentioned later.
MisterE

Social climber
Cinderella Story, Outa Nowhere
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:46pm PT
Just wow...

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/multimedia/pov/A-Nations-Nightmare-117945704.html
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:56pm PT
Go back and read it... I even made it bold for you. If you really need another hint, it has to to with your statement that 'nuclear fission reactors' are only good for space probes, implying that they are used to power current probes. In fact, they do not, and never have.

See, that's the things with you... You have a little knowledge, but think you are an expert, and that is dangerous, especially given the fact that even when shown where you are wrong, you don't back up. You just keep plodding forward, reloading, and continuing to shoot yourself in the foot. Given your job, it makes you VERY dangerous, as kids can't pick our fact from your fiction.

For more examples of where you are wrong, have been corrected, yet failed to back up... Go back through this thread, and see where you are directly quoted and corrected, then see your replies... You can do this in the Ark on the Moon thread as well, and even in the 9/11 thread.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 14, 2011 - 05:57pm PT
Pretty sure we have not ever built a fission reactor. It has been maybe achieved in microsecond bursts using a laser I think. Fusion is what we use.
Oh, bruther... You have it backwards, rock.
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:15pm PT
They are refusing U.S. medical assistance. I find this strange... I wonder if they are at least accepting Search and Rescue teams?

AFS
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:15pm PT
It's ironic, I posed this question on FB on 3/9;

'With our worlds growing need for fuel sources other than oil, what's your take on expanding current nuclear energy infrastructure? Go.'

One of the things I dragged up was this TED talk;

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UK8ccWSZkic&playnext=1&list=PL83B479824BE202A1

It is worth a watch.

http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1014202029

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:18pm PT
They are refusing U.S. medical assistance. I find this strange... I wonder if they are at least accepting Search and Rescue teams?

AFS


That IS weird. I know they are a proud culture, but c'mon!!
rectorsquid

climber
Lake Tahoe
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:20pm PT
We can't control nature. Case in point: 3 Mile Island...

TMI was not caused by a natural disaster.= in any way shape or form. That is, unless you could sticky valves and human error to be natural disasters.

It is as bad as Chernoble now...

So the reactor core has exploded and spread nuclear material across the whole area. I had not heard that. Worse than TMI for sure but no where near the Chernoble accident yet.

Klimmer, do a little research dude. Learn about how reactors are built and work then read up on TMI and Chernoble and then come back and try to post something.

Dave

P.S. Here's some help:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_mile_island

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster



Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:27pm PT
Chernobyl was not a natural disaster either...
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 06:52pm PT
Not implying 3 Mile Island, or Chernobyl were acts of nature. What I'm implying is that when these accidents happen, you can't control the outfall. You can't control where the wind goes. Yes, these are man-made disasters, but then Mother Nature has a way of making them even worse. The outfall is carried in the winds. It doesn't stay behind or within Nation boundaries etc.

With Japan, it is a natural disaster and then a man induced disaster on top of it, and the winds carry it where they will.



rrrADAM,

You really are not very well read and clue-less. What a rant. Total failure on your part. No you are wrong. We have used it, and the Russians use it, and yes in the future we could use it more. Once again in Space, off Earth, not on.

Sorry, you as an industry insider you can't get past your bias. Hey, I've had these arguments with my father for a loooooong time. Like I said, he has worked in the Nuclear Industry for 30 years. Even he said and confessed to me on Saturday on the phone , "This is bad. This isn't good PR." I agree. My dad is an honest man. I'm not an expert in nuclear physics. But I do have thorough knowledge and I know USDA 100% Bovine Dung when I read it. Unfortunately that is all you are handing out.


http://nuclearstreet.com/nuclear_power_industry_news/b/nuclear_power_news/archive/2010/03/31/under-the-hood-with-duncan-williams-nuclear-fission-in-space-03312.aspx

Although the United States conducted extensive research into the use of fission reactors in space between 1959 and 1973, we have only deployed a fission reactor in space once.

The satellite, known as the SNAP-10A, was launched in 1965 for a brief test flight of 43 days. Although the test flight was successful, the United States has not utilized any fission reactors in space since then. In contrast, Russia has successfully deployed over 30 fission reactor space systems, and plans on continuing its space fission program due to the many advantages fission offers over conventional power sources. Despite being outpaced by Russia’s program, the United States is once again researching the feasibility of fission reactor technology for next generation space systems.




Go back and read it... I even made it bold for you. If you really need another hint, it has to to with your statement that 'nuclear fission reactors' are only good for space probes, implying that they are used to power current probes. In fact, they do not, and never have.

See, that's the things with you... You have a little knowledge, but think you are an expert, and that is dangerous, especially given the fact that even when shown where you are wrong, you don't back up. You just keep plodding forward, reloading, and continuing to shoot yourself in the foot. Given your job, it makes you VERY dangerous, as kids can't pick our fact from your fiction.

For more examples of where you are wrong, have been corrected, yet failed to back up... Go back through this thread, and see where you are directly quoted and corrected, then see your replies... You can do this in the Ark on the Moon thread as well, and even in the 9/11 thread.



Try to stay on topic. No ad hominem attacks. How are those topics related at all to the topic at hand? They aren't.



And stop trying to candy coat it . . . it is very bad.


French nuclear agency rates Japan accident 5 or 6 (out of 7)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4770541
http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=212107

I'm pretty sure the French know what they are talking about since they are the most Nuclear energy producing country in the World.

And guess what? It isn't even contained yet. It is going to get much worse.
Crimpergirl

Sport climber
Boulder, Colorado!
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:02pm PT
I read an excellent article yesterday about why it is NOT useful for outsiders to go there. First, most outsiders cannot speak the language meaning they have to be babysat (for a lack of better terminology). Second, they have a lot of knowledgeable folks. Third, they have some difficulty finding housing, food, water, etc. for the folks there and adding outsiders compounds this.

So, a refusal for outside assistance does not necessarily have anything to do with being proud, or rejecting folks for some emotional/cultural reason. It may be because they simply do not need the help.

Remember, the USA turned down outside help during some of our crises. It's not necessarily a bad thing to do.

Just my thoughts...

p.s. What is there to loot in the hard hit areas? There isn't anything left.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:04pm PT
Rox,

the word that I am receiving from the Nuclear Industry is that the fuel supply for the Emergency Power (typically Diesel Generators) was impacted from the Tsunami. DC power came on and supplied about 8 hours of power before that was gone. I do not know why it has taken so long to get the Diesel supply for the EDG's back into operation.

Here is an earlier version of what I got: (Sorry for the Format!)

American Nuclear Society Backgrounder:
Japanese Earthquake/Tsunami; Problems with Nuclear Reactors
3/12/2011 5:22 PM EST
To begin, a sense of perspective is needed… right now, the Japanese earthquake/tsunami is clearly a
catastrophe; the situation at impacted nuclear reactors is, in the words of IAEA, an "Accident with
Local Consequences."
The Japanese earthquake and tsunami are natural catastrophes of historic proportions. The death toll is
likely to be in the thousands. While the information is still not complete at this time, the tragic loss of
life and destruction caused by the earthquake and tsunami will likely dwarf the damage caused by the
problems associated with the impacted Japanese nuclear plants.
What happened?
Recognizing that information is still not complete due to the destruction of the communication
infrastructure, producing reports that are conflicting, here is our best understanding of the sequence of
events at the Fukushima I‐1 power station.
 The plant was immediately shut down (scrammed) when the earthquake first hit. The automatic
power system worked.
 All external power to the station was lost when the sea water swept away the power lines.
 Diesel generators started to provide backup electrical power to the plant’s backup cooling
system. The backup worked.
 The diesel generators ceased functioning after approximately one hour due to tsunami induced
damage, reportedly to their fuel supply.
 An Isolation condenser was used to remove the decay heat from the shutdown reactor.
 Apparently the plant then experienced a small loss of coolant from the reactor.
 Reactor Core Isolation Cooling (RCIC) pumps, which operate on steam from the reactor, were
used to replace reactor core water inventory, however, the battery‐supplied control valves lost
DC power after the prolonged use.
 DC power from batteries was consumed after approximately 8 hours.
 At that point, the plant experienced a complete blackout (no electric power at all).
 Hours passed as primary water inventory was lost and core degradation occurred (through some
combination of zirconium oxidation and clad failure).
 Portable diesel generators were delivered to the plant site.
 AC power was restored allowing for a different backup pumping system to replace inventory in
reactor pressure vessel (RPV).
 Pressure in the containment drywell rose as wetwell became hotter.
 The Drywell containment was vented to outside reactor building which surrounds the
containment.
 Hydrogen produced from zirconium oxidation was vented from the containment into the reactor
building.
 Hydrogen in reactor building exploded causing it to collapse around the containment.
 The containment around the reactor and RPV were reported to be intact.
 The decision was made to inject seawater into the RPV to continue to the cooling process,
another backup system that was designed into the plant from inception.
 Radioactivity releases from operator initiated venting appear to be decreasing.
Can it happen here in the US?
 While there are risks associated with operating nuclear plants and other industrial facilities, the
chances of an adverse event similar to what happened in Japan occurring in the US is small.
 Since September 11, 2001, additional safeguards and training have been put in place at US
nuclear reactors which allow plant operators to cool the reactor core during an extended power
outage and/or failure of backup generators – “blackout conditions.”
Is a nuclear reactor "meltdown" a catastrophic event?
 Not necessarily. Nuclear reactors are built with redundant safety systems. Even if the fuel in the
reactor melts, the reactor's containment systems are designed to prevent the spread of
radioactivity into the environment. Should an event like this occur, containing the radioactive
materials could actually be considered a "success" given the scale of this natural disaster that
had not been considered in the original design. The nuclear power industry will learn from this
event, and redesign our facilities as needed to make them safer in the future.

EDIT: It is important to note that this is from the Nuke Industry, so of course there is some degree of Motherhood and Applepie at the end.
Crimpergirl

Sport climber
Boulder, Colorado!
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:06pm PT
Here is the link I referred too. Interesting read:

http://www.kalzumeus.com/2011/03/13/some-perspective-on-the-japan-earthquake/

It offers some insight as to why outside help is being declined. And also some insight as to why many more were not killed.
Gene

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:26pm PT
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv

Watch this. Live from Japan. Potential faults in the Fuku 1 Reactor 2 containment unit. Possible explosion in pressure containment vessel. Plant being evacuated.

g

EDIT: Outside radiation levels 10,000 times normal. Possible "worse case" per news.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:27pm PT
Nuclear rods melting inside three Fukushima reactors, Japan admits

Source: The Journal (IRE)

JAPAN’S NUCLEAR AUTHORITIES say they believe that three reactors at the stricken Fukushima nuclear power plant are now melting.

The country’s chief cabinet secretary, Yukio Edano, said that although staff at the nuclear facility – where two containment buildings have been destroyed by hydrogen explosions – were unable to check for certain, it was “highly likely” that the nuclear cores at reactors, 1 2 and 3 at Fukushima I nuclear station had begun to melt.

Reuters had earlier reported that the cooling mixture of seawater and boron in the number 2 reactor had totally evaporated, with the reactor’s nuclear rods therefore totally exposed for a significant period of time.

The plant operator TEPCO had earlier said it couldn’t rule out the possibility of a nuclear meltdown in the reactor – and had admitted that a partial meltdown could already be underway.

Read more: http://www.thejournal.ie/nuclear-rods-melting-inside-three-fukushima-reactors-japan-admits-2011-03

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4770692




This is very bad. I can only imagine that it will top 3 Mile Island and Chernobyl at this point.

We have to stop this as much as we can ASAP.
Skeptimistic

Mountain climber
La Mancha
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:32pm PT
Just upgraded to a 9.0.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:34pm PT
Klimmer,

This is very bad. I can only imagine that it will top 3 Mile Island and Chernobyl at this point.

We have to stop this as much as we can ASAP.

I am sure now that you have made your recommendation the Japanese will take it to heart that they should put an end to this ASAP.

Highly improbable that it will be worse than Chernobyl.. It was already worse than TMI.....
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:42pm PT
Would those who might like to take a moment, upon reading this post, send thoughts of hope, strength and comfort to our fellow earthmates in Japan who are struggling to deal with this tragedy?






























































































































































































peace
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:45pm PT
Too, your earlier point Golsen, We've sold specialty pumps to both the WMD facility of which you speak and have a Nuke power plant as a regular customer.

Two completely different attitudes, and the Nuke plan is far more demanding.

The sound that was possibly mistaken for an explosion and a spike in radiation would be consistent with a PRV (pressure relief valve) popping. I've never been around one on a multi megawatt steam system but one a thousand times smaller is loud enough to scare the daylights out of you if you aren't expecting it.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:50pm PT

No nuclear accident in the history of man has been caused by nature. They are man made events start to finish. Sorry but nuclear engineers simply do not get to blame mother nature.

DMT

I am just curious. If a climber gets hit by natural rockfall/landslide it must obviously be a man-made accident?

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:52pm PT
Come on, God, just a little help. It's all I'm asking.


:quote from the movie Armageddon -character Harry Stamper prays in a moment
of crises as he tries to save the Earth.

We can bet that the engineers at Fukushima have also been praying for a lucky break.




HighTraverse

Trad climber
Bay Area
Mar 14, 2011 - 07:52pm PT
I do not know why it has taken so long to get the Diesel supply for the EDG's back into operation.
The emergency generators did run out of fuel due to tsunami damage to the above ground storage tanks.
How the heck would they get more diesel fuel into the plant within 8 or even 48 hours with all the destruction? They'd have to repair the fuel tank damage first anyway.

Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) was in it's infancy when these plants were designed in the 60's. Design service life was 25 years. Reactor 1 was commissioned 40 years ago.
Reactor 1 was due to be shut down this month.
It's clear that regulatory oversight needs to be increased, especially for existing plants at the end of their design life. They're going to have to be retro fitted to meet modern safety requirements.
For those still considering new nuclear plants, they're going to have to re-visit their FMECAs and run the Return On Investment numbers again.

Why is information from Japan so hard to come by?
I can think of several reasons.
They've got a lot more important things to worry about than keeping NPR, the NYTimes and FOX news informed.
They appear to be keeping the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) informed. This is their legal obligation and also benefits all of us since IAEA is less likely to twist the facts.
They're very much running on educated guesses about what's really going on.

I just heard on PBS News Hour the question asked of a nuclear safety expert: Are they closer to the 3 Mile Island or the Chernobyl scenario?
Answer: They are worse than but closer to 3 mile island, a long way from Chernobyl. And due to the different fundamental reactor design, the Chernobyl scenario is very unlikely even in the worst case. Chernobyl was a fundamentally unsafe design.
He also said it will be 2 or 3 more days before the endpoint can be estimated. e.g. the next 2-3 days will be critical to the final outcome.
MisterE

Social climber
Cinderella Story, Outa Nowhere
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:11pm PT
A third explosion:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110314/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake_nuclear_crisis
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:19pm PT


Someone will get a Pulitzer for this one, and wish they never had.
Crimpergirl

Sport climber
Boulder, Colorado!
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:25pm PT
Agreed TGT.

I see people like her and wonder what she was doing and thinking last week. How could she even fathom where she'd be now.

Truly heartbreaking and she is only one of 1,000s and 1,000s.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:29pm PT
That is an amazing photo. The destruction in the background and the tragedy on her face. I hope that they are spared from a severe Nuclear Incident.
Crimpergirl

Sport climber
Boulder, Colorado!
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:31pm PT
And that she is alone. With no food. No shelter. No water. Not even an easy way to walk to...who knows where. Absolute annihilation everywhere.

I can't even imagine.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:49pm PT
As far as them refusing assistance, there may not be a need or the ability to integrate more medical teams, but two C-17s with SAR teams and equipment left non stop from Andrews MD on the 12th with aerialport units to set up for incoming traffic shortly after.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123246602

Also U-2s

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123246533

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 08:57pm PT
Just got this email from somone in the Nuke Business. It does a good job of explaining whats going down without the fear mongering. However, it appears as though it was written yesterday...

Below is a summary [for the general public] on the Fukushima situation prepared by Dr Josef Oehmen, a research scientist at MIT, in Boston.
He is a PhD Scientist, whose father has also extensive experience in Germany’s nuclear industry.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
What happened at Fukushima
I will try to summarize the main facts. The earthquake that hit Japan was 7 times more powerful than the worst earthquake the nuclear power plant was built for (the Richter scale works logarithmically; the difference between the 8.2 that the plants were built for and the 8.9 that happened is 7 times, not 0.7). So the first hooray for Japanese engineering, everything held up.
When the earthquake hit with 8.9, the nuclear reactors all went into automatic shutdown. Within seconds after the earthquake started, the control rods had been inserted into the core and nuclear chain reaction of the uranium stopped. Now, the cooling system has to carry away the residual heat. The residual heat load is about 3% of the heat load under normal operating conditions.
The earthquake destroyed the external power supply of the nuclear reactor. That is one of the most serious accidents for a nuclear power plant, and accordingly, a “plant black out” receives a lot of attention when designing backup systems. The power is needed to keep the coolant pumps working. Since the power plant had been shut down, it cannot produce any electricity by itself any more.
Things were going well for an hour. One set of multiple sets of emergency Diesel power generators kicked in and provided the electricity that was needed. Then the Tsunami came, much bigger than people had expected when building the power plant (see above, factor 7). The tsunami took out all multiple sets of backup Diesel generators.
When designing a nuclear power plant, engineers follow a philosophy called “Defense of Depth”. That means that you first build everything to withstand the worst catastrophe you can imagine, and then design the plant in such a way that it can still handle one system failure (that you thought could never happen) after the other. A tsunami taking out all backup power in one swift strike is such a scenario. The last line of defense is putting everything into the third containment (see above), that will keep everything, whatever the mess, control rods in our out, core molten or not, inside the reactor.
When the diesel generators were gone, the reactor operators switched to emergency battery power. The batteries were designed as one of the backups to the backups, to provide power for cooling the core for 8 hours. And they did.
Within the 8 hours, another power source had to be found and connected to the power plant. The power grid was down due to the earthquake. The diesel generators were destroyed by the tsunami. So mobile diesel generators were trucked in.
This is where things started to go seriously wrong. The external power generators could not be connected to the power plant (the plugs did not fit). So after the batteries ran out, the residual heat could not be carried away any more.
At this point the plant operators begin to follow emergency procedures that are in place for a “loss of cooling event”. It is again a step along the “Depth of Defense” lines. The power to the cooling systems should never have failed completely, but it did, so they “retreat” to the next line of defense. All of this, however shocking it seems to us, is part of the day-to-day training you go through as an operator, right through to managing a core meltdown.
It was at this stage that people started to talk about core meltdown. Because at the end of the day, if cooling cannot be restored, the core will eventually melt (after hours or days), and the last line of defense, the core catcher and third containment, would come into play.
But the goal at this stage was to manage the core while it was heating up, and ensure that the first containment (the Zircaloy tubes that contains the nuclear fuel), as well as the second containment (our pressure cooker) remain intact and operational for as long as possible, to give the engineers time to fix the cooling systems.
Because cooling the core is such a big deal, the reactor has a number of cooling systems, each in multiple versions (the reactor water cleanup system, the decay heat removal, the reactor core isolating cooling, the standby liquid cooling system, and the emergency core cooling system). Which one failed when or did not fail is not clear at this point in time.
So imagine our pressure cooker on the stove, heat on low, but on. The operators use whatever cooling system capacity they have to get rid of as much heat as possible, but the pressure starts building up. The priority now is to maintain integrity of the first containment (keep temperature of the fuel rods below 2200°C), as well as the second containment, the pressure cooker. In order to maintain integrity of the pressure cooker (the second containment), the pressure has to be released from time to time. Because the ability to do that in an emergency is so important, the reactor has 11 pressure release valves. The operators now started venting steam from time to time to control the pressure. The temperature at this stage was about 550°C.
This is when the reports about “radiation leakage” starting coming in. I believe I explained above why venting the steam is theoretically the same as releasing radiation into the environment, but why it was and is not dangerous. The radioactive nitrogen as well as the noble gases do not pose a threat to human health.
At some stage during this venting, the explosion occurred. The explosion took place outside of the third containment (our “last line of defense”), and the reactor building. Remember that the reactor building has no function in keeping the radioactivity contained. It is not entirely clear yet what has happened, but this is the likely scenario: The operators decided to vent the steam from the pressure vessel not directly into the environment, but into the space between the third containment and the reactor building (to give the radioactivity in the steam more time to subside). The problem is that at the high temperatures that the core had reached at this stage, water molecules can “disassociate” into oxygen and hydrogen – an explosive mixture. And it did explode, outside the third containment, damaging the reactor building around. It was that sort of explosion, but inside the pressure vessel (because it was badly designed and not managed properly by the operators) that lead to the explosion of Chernobyl. This was never a risk at Fukushima. The problem of hydrogen-oxygen formation is one of the biggies when you design a power plant (if you are not Soviet, that is), so the reactor is build and operated in a way it cannot happen inside the containment. It happened outside, which was not intended but a possible scenario and OK, because it did not pose a risk for the containment.
So the pressure was under control, as steam was vented. Now, if you keep boiling your pot, the problem is that the water level will keep falling and falling. The core is covered by several meters of water in order to allow for some time to pass (hours, days) before it gets exposed. Once the rods start to be exposed at the top, the exposed parts will reach the critical temperature of 2200 °C after about 45 minutes. This is when the first containment, the Zircaloy tube, would fail.
And this started to happen. The cooling could not be restored before there was some (very limited, but still) damage to the casing of some of the fuel. The nuclear material itself was still intact, but the surrounding Zircaloy shell had started melting. What happened now is that some of the byproducts of the uranium decay – radioactive Cesium and Iodine – started to mix with the steam. The big problem, uranium, was still under control, because the uranium oxide rods were good until 3000 °C. It is confirmed that a very small amount of Cesium and Iodine was measured in the steam that was released into the atmosphere.
It seems this was the “go signal” for a major plan B. The small amounts of Cesium that were measured told the operators that the first containment on one of the rods somewhere was about to give. The Plan A had been to restore one of the regular cooling systems to the core. Why that failed is unclear. One plausible explanation is that the tsunami also took away / polluted all the clean water needed for the regular cooling systems.
The water used in the cooling system is very clean, demineralized (like distilled) water. The reason to use pure water is the above mentioned activation by the neutrons from the Uranium: Pure water does not get activated much, so stays practically radioactive-free. Dirt or salt in the water will absorb the neutrons quicker, becoming more radioactive. This has no effect whatsoever on the core – it does not care what it is cooled by. But it makes life more difficult for the operators and mechanics when they have to deal with activated (i.e. slightly radioactive) water.
But Plan A had failed – cooling systems down or additional clean water unavailable – so Plan B came into effect. This is what it looks like happened:
In order to prevent a core meltdown, the operators started to use sea water to cool the core. I am not quite sure if they flooded our pressure cooker with it (the second containment), or if they flooded the third containment, immersing the pressure cooker. But that is not relevant for us.
The point is that the nuclear fuel has now been cooled down. Because the chain reaction has been stopped a long time ago, there is only very little residual heat being produced now. The large amount of cooling water that has been used is sufficient to take up that heat. Because it is a lot of water, the core does not produce sufficient heat any more to produce any significant pressure. Also, boric acid has been added to the seawater. Boric acid is “liquid control rod”. Whatever decay is still going on, the Boron will capture the neutrons and further speed up the cooling down of the core.
The plant came close to a core meltdown. Here is the worst-case scenario that was avoided: If the seawater could not have been used for treatment, the operators would have continued to vent the water steam to avoid pressure buildup. The third containment would then have been completely sealed to allow the core meltdown to happen without releasing radioactive material. After the meltdown, there would have been a waiting period for the intermediate radioactive materials to decay inside the reactor, and all radioactive particles to settle on a surface inside the containment. The cooling system would have been restored eventually, and the molten core cooled to a manageable temperature. The containment would have been cleaned up on the inside. Then a messy job of removing the molten core from the containment would have begun, packing the (now solid again) fuel bit by bit into transportation containers to be shipped to processing plants. Depending on the damage, the block of the plant would then either be repaired or dismantled.
Now, where does that leave us?
• The plant is safe now and will stay safe.
• Japan is looking at an INES Level 4 Accident: Nuclear accident with local consequences. That is bad for the company that owns the plant, but not for anyone else.
• Some radiation was released when the pressure vessel was vented. All radioactive isotopes from the activated steam have gone (decayed). A very small amount of Cesium was released, as well as Iodine. If you were sitting on top of the plants’ chimney when they were venting, you should probably give up smoking to return to your former life expectancy. The Cesium and Iodine isotopes were carried out to the sea and will never be seen again.
• There was some limited damage to the first containment. That means that some amounts of radioactive Cesium and Iodine will also be released into the cooling water, but no Uranium or other nasty stuff (the Uranium oxide does not “dissolve” in the water). There are facilities for treating the cooling water inside the third containment. The radioactive Cesium and Iodine will be removed there and eventually stored as radioactive waste in terminal storage.
• The seawater used as cooling water will be activated to some degree. Because the control rods are fully inserted, the Uranium chain reaction is not happening. That means the “main” nuclear reaction is not happening, thus not contributing to the activation. The intermediate radioactive materials (Cesium and Iodine) are also almost gone at this stage, because the Uranium decay was stopped a long time ago. This further reduces the activation. The bottom line is that there will be some low level of activation of the seawater, which will also be removed by the treatment facilities.
• The seawater will then be replaced over time with the “normal” cooling water
• The reactor core will then be dismantled and transported to a processing facility, just like during a regular fuel change.
• Fuel rods and the entire plant will be checked for potential damage. This will take about 4-5 years.
• The safety systems on all Japanese plants will be upgraded to withstand a 9.0 earthquake and tsunami (or worse)
• I believe the most significant problem will be a prolonged power shortage. About half of Japan’s nuclear reactors will probably have to be inspected, reducing the nation’s power generating capacity by 15%. This will probably be covered by running gas power plants that are usually only used for peak loads to cover some of the base load as well. That will increase your electricity bill, as well as lead to potential power shortages during peak demand, in Japan.

S.Leeper

Social climber
Ft. Useless, Virginia
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:04pm PT
It didn't take long for some dick to make an insensitive joke

http://www.suntimes.com/entertainment/4319061-417/aflac-drops-gilbert-gottfried-after-he-tweets-jokes-about-japan-crisis.html
dirtbag

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:06pm PT
A certain number of people have always been and will always be dicks.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:13pm PT
Aflac has a conscious...? Now that's a funny joke..
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:15pm PT
Good update, Wendell. I think they need help. And I think we should offer it, and provide it.

What's really the sad part of this whole thing is the humility and the pride of the Japanese, simultaneously. They are such a fabulous culture that is uterrly resilient. They get slapped in the face by mother nature, and yet they show their humanity and their historic strength of character.

But the the pic of the chic crying really hits home. God bless them. Maybe that's what makes them so unique culturally. It's an old culture that has victimized and been victims. Weird for such a small nation.
HighTraverse

Trad climber
Bay Area
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:32pm PT
Now, where does that leave us?
• The plant is safe now and will stay safe.

This is now out of date: 2 reactor building explosions later (reactor #3 and now #2)

BBC 1 hour ago
The blast occurred at reactor 2 at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, which engineers had been trying to stabilise after two other reactors exploded.

The protective chamber around the radioactive core of reactor 2 has been damaged and radiation levels near the plant have risen, officials say.

The situation is not yet under control

happiegrrl
I'm constantly thinking about the people of Japan. The entire country. For those Japanese over 70 years old, this is the second major catastrophe in their lifetimes.
It will take years for the national psyche to heal.

You can donate to the American Red Cross Japan quake relief fund on iTunes (or many other ways)
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:36pm PT
I caught an interview on the radio with the CEO of Aflac Saturday.

They write 30-40% of the health and life insurance policies in Japan and had contributed about 1 million US to the Japanese equivalent of the Red Cross and were gearing up procedures for accelerated claims payments where they knew there was no likelihood that a body would be found.

Yeah, Gottfried really stepped in it.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 14, 2011 - 10:56pm PT
HT,
I agree. Not out of the woods yet.
dirtbag

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:06pm PT
Uh-oh, when the workers have to abandon their posts, you know it's getting bad.

But industry executives said that in fact the situation had spiraled out of control and that all plant workers needed to leave the plant to avoid excessive exposure to radioactive leaks.

If all workers do in fact leave the plant, the nuclear fuel in all three reactors is likely to melt down, which would lead to wholesale releases of radioactive material — by far the largest accident of its kind since the Chernobyl disaster 25 years ago.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/world/asia/15nuclear.html?_r=1&hp
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:07pm PT
my neighbor works for the iaea.

he was in japan last week, but was in kyoto when the quake hit, so didn't get caught in the wreckage.

but he's still there of course. can't imagine he's getting a lot of sleep.


bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:12pm PT
Why not KI, NWO???

Kelp is better, how? More natural?
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:24pm PT
Now the AP is saying that a fourth reactor is on fire.

SOMA, Japan – Radiation is spewing from damaged reactors at a crippled nuclear power plant in tsunami-ravaged northeastern Japan in a dramatic escalation of the 4-day-old catastrophe. The prime minister has warned residents to stay inside or risk getting radiation sickness.

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said Tuesday that a fourth reactor at the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex was on fire and that more radiation was released

Prime Minister Naoto Kan warned that there are dangers of more leaks and told people living within 19 miles (30 kilometers) of the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex stay indoors.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP's earlier story is below

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake_nuclear_crisis

This is a good link found on the link dirtbag gave. It explains reactors. with pictures so its easy to understand.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/12/world/asia/the-explosion-at-the-japanese-reactor.html?ref=asia

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:32pm PT
hey there say, tami... and all...

i just saw this link, when i went to check my mail:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110315/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake_nuclear_crisis

i do not know how new it is compared to other links, but:

it is from about 41 mins ago, it said, when i saw it...



:(
says, radiation is now leaking...
:(


SOMA, Japan – Radiation is spewing from damaged reactors at a crippled nuclear power plant in tsunami-ravaged northeastern Japan in a dramatic escalation of the 4-day-old catastrophe. The prime minister has warned residents to stay inside or risk getting radiation sickness


well, just thought since i saw it, and it is recent, that folks may
want to see it...

dirtbag

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:34pm PT
Eat kelp, dirtbag.

Thanks. Random, but undoubtedly thoughtful advice.

Usually the phrase "Eat ----, dirtbag" is filled in with a different 4-letter word.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:37pm PT
hey there say, john moosie... wow, we seem to have found it, and near posted it at the same time...


*i will add here:
my friend from japan, that has been keeping in touch, said she is very grateful for the touching prayers of many, for her and her country...

she too, is very fearful for the newest news on the radiation... :(
(she does have food and shelter, she is in chiba, her mom and father were a bit more closer to the main trouble, but they are safe, shelter-wise)...
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:41pm PT
Adam, please tell us the news outlets are flipping out for no good reason.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:47pm PT
unfortunately, the longer time that the fuel rods are not cooled, the higher temps and consequently the higher amount of hydrogen generation, build up of pressure and more release into the environment of short lived isotopes.

if the containment vessel is breached it will be a bad event. but still nothing like Chernobyl.
WBraun

climber
Mar 14, 2011 - 11:59pm PT
Doesn't matter what happens.

The whole world can see that it's been brought to its knees ......
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:00am PT
Japan Faces Prospect of Nuclear Catastrophe as Workers Leave Plant
Source: New York Times

TOKYO — Japan faced the likelihood of a catastrophic nuclear accident Tuesday morning, as an explosion at the most crippled of three reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station damaged its crucial steel containment structure, emergency workers were withdrawn from the plant, and much larger emissions of radioactive materials appeared immiment, according to official statements and industry executives informed about the developments.

Japanese Prime Minsiter Naoto Kan made a televised address to the nation at 11 a.m. Tokyo time to discuss the latest developments in the crisis.

The sharp deterioration came after government officials said the containment structure of the No. 2 reactor, the most seriously damaged of three reactors at the Daichi plant, had suffered damage during an explosion shortly after 6 a.m. on Tuesday.

They initially suggested that the damage was limited and that emergency operations aimed at cooling the nuclear fuel at three stricken reactors with seawater would continue. But industry executives said that in fact the situation had spiraled out of control and that all plant workers needed to leave the plant to avoid excessive exposure to radioactive leaks.

Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/world/asia/15nuclear.html?_r=1&hp

Pray, prepare, and please help.



NWO,

Thanks for the advice. Had to look it up to see what the rage was . . .

Health Benefits of Kelp
http://chetday.com/kelpbenefit.htm
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:25am PT
SAT image loop for water vapor across the Pacific carrying the sh#t here.
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_hem_loop-12.gif

Hope there's a good supply of duct tape and plastic sheeting in Japan
-shelter in place announced around Fukushima.


Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:16am PT
MSNBC is now reporting slightly elevated levels of radiation detected in Tokyo.

This blog says more:
http://blogosaurusstampede.com/radiation-warnings-send-mobs-of-shoppers-into-stores-start-hasty-evacuations-in-tokyo/

Radiation fears spark panic buying, evacuations in Tokyo
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/15/us-japan-quake-tokyo-idUSTRE72E0ZR20110315
Delhi Dog

climber
Good Question...
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:52am PT
"Doesn't matter what happens.

The whole world can see that it's been brought to its knees ...... "

Agree with the 2nd statement, and disagree with the first.

Of course it matters. You'd have to be a sick f3ck to think it doesn't matter...

Cheers,
DD
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:41am PT
Morning, all...

News this morning that now Unit 4 has suffered a fire, so it is having issues as well. I'll see what I can find that has been confirmed, as to the current status of the 6 plants at Fuku.

Meanwhile, for some pretty level headed, no hype, write-ups of the evolving events at the nukes, details of what is and can happen, plus they even highlight much of the misinformation initially broadcast, then spread as factual without verification sparking lots of misguided speculation:
http://mitnse.com/2011/03/13/why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors/
http://www.slate.com/id/2288212/

And again, for up to date, verified information from the NEI:
http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/

And, this is current info from the US NRC:
http://public-blog.nrc-gateway.gov/




cleo... Yes, for the most part the news agencies are 'flipping out' for no good reason... Contrast that to the calm words of the experts in the field (not general scientists, but experts in the field of nuclear engineering).


That said, things are not under control, and are evolving. A couple days ago, many were worried that Unit 1 was gonna melt down and spread radiation all over... Then Unit 3. (Seriously, go back in this thread a couple days, or look at all the 'sky is falling news', as klimmer was confident that there was gonna be huge release, getting into the jet-stream, but he has yet to get to don his gas mask and take his KI pills). Now, both of those units appear to be managed, and we are now focussed on units 2 and 4. Point being, everybody was freaking out, yet the initial units in trouble now seem to be managed, and nothing breached the containment vessels, so from a safety aspect, the vessels did their jobs and contained the really bad stuff from a significant uncontrolled release. And, so far, the vessels of units 2 and 4 have also held, so they too are doing thier job as the staff of those plants work to get those units to a manageable state.

There are layers of protection and systems to mitigate problems... If all runs smoothly, they clean up a bit, and continue to run the units at a later date. When it all goes to hell in a handbasket, as is happening, they are not worried about being able to use the units again, they are only concerned on keeping the bad stuff contained, and cooling the fuel. Think of 'falling back' to established lines of defense... This is what they have been doing, and the last lines of DESIGNED defense is to contain it, and so far, the design has proven robust enough to hold up... As there have been no significant uncontrolled releases.

We have to remember, that they are not designed to withstand everything and keep running... They are designed to withstand everything, and keep the bad stuff contained. And they HAVE done that so far.
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 15, 2011 - 07:47am PT
Its hard to parse out the doomsdayers from the industry talking points guys, but that MIT link sounds like a bunch of apologists worried their careers are about to go up in smoke. ha

I really don't care how many backup systems were in the design. Do you really think that matters at this point? They all f*#ked up. That is the take away. Now they're talking about evacuating the largest city on earth. oh boy Human hubris comes home to roost and mother earth just isn't going to take this techno sh#t no more.
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:23am PT
Low-Level Radiation Detected at Some US Bases in Japan

http://www.military.com/news/article/low-level-radiation-detected-at-some-bases.html?ESRC=eb.nl
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:48am PT
Japan braces for potential radiation catastrophe

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110315/ts_nm/us_japan_quake
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:16am PT
So using fire hoses to pump seawater into the containment pools to keep the spent fuel rods cooled is part of the master saftey plan ? These pools for the spent rods sit above the reactor vessels

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16fuel.html?_r=1&hp

Apparently spent rods are not as impotent as you might think
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:02am PT
So using fire hoses to pump seawater into the containment pools to keep the spent fuel rods cooled is part of the master saftey plan ? These pools for the spent rods apparently sit above the reactor vessels

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16fuel.html?_r=1&hp

Apparently spent rods are not as impotent as you might think
Part of the 'master safety plan'? Actually, yes. While certainly not the first choice in a long list of preffered actions, it is an action that is in the ERO 'plan'.

Here, knock yourself out:
http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/cfr_2003/10cfr50.34.htm
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part052/

bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:09am PT
live feed tokyo geiger counter

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/ガイガーカウンタ;
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:13am PT
Looks like background to me, but then I don't know the ambient doserates for where that counter is.

Thing is, most probably think it should read 0.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:36am PT
get over yourself dude - insinuating most supertopians are stupid with remarks like that isnt very smart
dirtbag

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:30am PT
This is just so sad.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:54am PT
A huge storm front is moving into Japan from northern China. The temperature has dropped ten degrees here in Okinawa and it's going to be below freezing for the next three nights in northern Japan, maybe even snow. Because of that I'd say that today was probably the last day for survivors to be pulled from the rubble.

The good news is that the wind will blow up to 70 mph from west to east for several days and push the radioactive particles out to sea.

There is now a floating debris field 100 miles off the coast of Japan which is a mile wide and 60 miles long. Eventually some of this will end up on the beaches of North America.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:57am PT
Facebook in Japan has inserted an 8 paragraph announcement at the top of the newsfeed page of all customers in Japan. The first paragraph reads:

Please refrain from over-stocking supplies

Food and supplies are selling out from the stores in the Tokyo Metropolitan area, however this may cause in running short of supplies for the worst stricken areas. Japanese government has announced that there are enough supplies in stock. Please act calmly with patience.

The rest is about electricity rationing schedules.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:02pm PT
A radiation detector marks 0.6 microsieverts an hour, slightly exceeding normal day data near Shibuya train station in Tokyo, Japan.




Passengers flying the polar route from New York to Tokyo typically receive a dose over 1800 times that.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/mar/15/japan-nuclear-crisis-tsunami-live
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
get over yourself dude - insinuating most supertopians are stupid with remarks like that isnt very smart
My bad... It certainly wasn;t meant that way. What I meant was MOST people, think that it should be 0, since MOST people don't know that if they turn on a counter, it will click... What is important is counts per minute above background.



yea the thing is? Most are going to be deciding the fate of your industry.

DMT
Yep... Which is why people should educate themselves about it, so they can make an 'educated' decision, right?
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:13pm PT
A huge storm front is moving into Japan from northern China. The temperature has dropped ten degrees here in Okinawa and it's going to be below freezing for the next three nights in northern Japan, maybe even snow. Because of that I'd say that today was probably the last day for survivors to be pulled from the rubble.

God help them...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:16pm PT
A huge storm front is moving into Japan from northern China. The temperature has dropped ten degrees here in Okinawa and it's going to be below freezing for the next three nights in northern Japan, maybe even snow. Because of that I'd say that today was probably the last day for survivors to be pulled from the rubble.
Man, it's just one thing after another. I feel so bad, as Japan is a great proud nation. I loved the time I spent there way back when I was in the Navy. Good people, with a great culture.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:24pm PT
Is this generally correct. Maybe rrrAdam will check in

Probable partial meltdowns at multiple reactors.
Possible compromise of at least one reactor vessel.
Probable exposure and melting of used fuel in at least one storage pool.
Onsite conditions challenging, further meltdowns likely.
Dangerous radiation evident periodically within 20 to 30 K of facility.
Measurable but insignificant radiation out to hundreds of miles.
Said radiation levels likely to continue for days? weeks?
Local contamination likely to be persistent for years? decades?


Likely lots of folks there working to remedy the situation and exposing themselves to bad, bad stuff. Heroic on their part.

Rightly or wrongly, will put the brakes on any new nuclear power the world over. Maybe put pressure on to decomission older and/or geographically risk prone reactors the world over.

Hundreds of thousands of folks over there facing grim living conditions that have nothing to do with radiation. I feel for them.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:58pm PT
Why the core can't be cooled when it gets too hot.

Departure from nucleate boiling

If the heat flux of a boiling system is higher than the
critical heat flux (CHF)
of the system, the bulk fluid may boil, or in some cases, regions of
the bulk fluid may boil where the fluid travels in small channels. Thus
large bubbles form, sometimes blocking the passage of the fluid. This
results in a departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) in which steam bubbles no
longer break away from the solid surface of the channel, bubbles dominate
the channel...(blocking coolant flow)

...Avoiding the CHF is an engineering problem in heat transfer applications, such as nuclear reactors, where fuel plates must not be allowed to overheat.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nucleate_boiling
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:59pm PT

We receive high energy radiation from outer space...."cosmic rays" in the form of protons and helium nuclei. Much of this radiation is deflected by Earths magnetic field so cosmic ray radiation is more intense near the poles.

Gamma rays from the sun aren't significantly deflected by magnetic fields...(they are photons rather than heavy charged particles)

All are ionizing radiation that can damage living cells...
Majid_S

Mountain climber
Bay Area , California
Mar 15, 2011 - 12:59pm PT
72 hours after ,the real problem starts to show up. Sanitation, fresh water contamination, pollution, bio hazard, ......

ncrockclimber

climber
NC
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:10pm PT
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42084187/ns/world_news-asiapacific/

If you scroll down to the end of the page, there is before / after tool that utilizes ariel photos. It gives a good perspective on the scope of the devastation.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:16pm PT
Probable partial meltdowns at multiple reactors.
certain fuel damage, probable partial melting of some assembles

Possible compromise of at least one reactor vessel.
not likley, and from all I've heard, hasn't happened

Probable exposure and melting of used fuel in at least one storage pool.
EXTREMELY unlikley, if not impossible for the fuel in the spent fuel pool to even partially melt, and from all I've heard, hasn't happened

Onsite conditions challenging, further meltdowns likely.
yes, it's evolving and challenging, further fuel damage is possible, melting fuel is not likely

Dangerous radiation evident periodically within 20 to 30 K of facility.
not likely, unless all of the containment structures are breached, which is extremely unlikely, AND there is an explosive event sufficient to eject the material

Measurable but insignificant radiation out to hundreds of miles.
technically, yes, but it is due to radioisotopes vented that have blown, so it isn't all around, and dilutes as it travels... but that doesn't mean it won't scare people

Said radiation levels likely to continue for days? weeks?
see above... and it depends on the type, radioiodine has a short half-life, cesium has a long one

Local contamination likely to be persistent for years? decades?
again, only if all of the containment structures are breached, and something expells it through those breaches... otherwise, what's in containment (onsite) will stay in containment. what has escaped thus far is likely of no long term significance


And, there is a finite amount of this nasty stuff... If it is contained, it is concentrated. If it is dispursed, it gets diluted. Think getting water in your mouth at a pool, where someone pissed in it, vs having their piss in your mouth without being diluted.
WBraun

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:25pm PT
I'm on my way.

I asked what specially safety protective features they have for me.

They gave me a pair of sunglasses.

They said this is all I need as there may be a a bright glow but otherwise you'll be bomber.

Roger that!!!!

Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:25pm PT
Isn't the Sun fusion?
This is the fission of uranium?


Iodine-131 and cesium-137 are products of uranium fission and both emit gamma rays and beta particles...Iodine-131 with half life of eight days and cesium-137 with half life of about thirty years.

Gamma rays are emitted both in nuclear fusion and the decay of radionuclides such as these iodine and cesium isotopes.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:29pm PT
Thanks rrrADAM... I think... gonna be careful at the gym pool today.

Hope folks over there can stay warm, dry, fed, and watered.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:39pm PT
The cesium is the biggest problem now? Adam?

No, the biggest problem is what is still happening at that nuke site, and what has been done to the infrastructure of the areas hit by the tsunami.

What is needed is power to the plants equipment, 1st and foremost, to keep the fuel cool, and operate other systems. Of the common radioisotopes that can be released, cesium is likely the worst, due to the quantities that can be released and it's halflife. But we haven't gotten anywhere near this level yet.

Let's not forget that humanitarian aid is way up there too, as people are sufferring tremendously, and the imediate needs of the people should be of immediate concern.

The needs of the nuke are much more focused, where as the needs of the people are much more broad, and people will start dying not from the nuke, but from lack of food, water, and shelter.



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
It was an analogy, guys... But a valid one. ;-P

If you prefer, I could substitute piss with chlorine... It's in tap water to disinfect, but even being exposed to it straight up will kill you damn quick, and in pretty painful fasion.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
One possible end state for the cores of the Fukushima reactors

They lowered a camera into the Three Mile Island reactor after it had been
cooled off and saw that more than half of the fuel assembly was gone.




Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:49pm PT

I've just been reading Wikipedia's article on the Chernobyl disaster. It wouldn't have made any sense to me before but now it does thanks to rrrAdam's excellent background info here. Thanks!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:52pm PT
One thing not mentioned that is obvious from the before and after photos of the countryside, is the amount of damage to the vegetation that the salt water in the tsunami did.

We've had a whole side of Okinawa turn brown for a couple of months from the salt spray of a 3 day typhoon. How much more difficult to grow anything in those fields now they've been soaked in salt brine.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:52pm PT
http://mitnse.com/2011/03/13/why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors/

Educational -
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:53pm PT
In the international scale used by experts to rank nuclear incidents, Chernobyl ranked as a “major accident” or 7, the highest on the scale. Three Mile Island was a 5, an “accident with wider consequences.” Japanese officials have said they regard the Fukushima incident as a 4, an “accident with local consequences.”
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2011/03/earthquake-tsunami-nuclear-plant/
nita

Social climber
chica from chico..waiting on spring days..
Mar 15, 2011 - 01:56pm PT
Miss Jan, Not only that..think about some of the food items Japan exports...

This whole situation is so incredibly sad and overwhelming....unfathomable.

edit: Jan, where the tsunami hit, is that the main area of agriculture?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:01pm PT
I've just been reading Wikipedia's article on the Chernobyl disaster. It wouldn't have made any sense to me before but now it does thanks to rrrAdam's excellent background info here. Thanks!
Yes, Chernobyl had NO containment structures at all. It was basically a dangerous flammable reactor in a tin shack.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:03pm PT
Question -

if the power plant is made of boiling water reactor (e.g. steam driving turbines), why can't the overheated reactor still produce steam which drives turbines which provide electricity to run the pumps?

Until, of course, the reactor is too cool to provide enough steam to drive those pumps, but in that case, crisis averted.

What am I missing?
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:04pm PT
Japanese officials have said they regard the Fukushima incident as a 4, an “accident with local consequences.”

IAEA is grading it a 6 today.
dirtbag

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:07pm PT
Given the relatively small amount of radiation leaked I'm surprised TMI ranked so high. The disaster potential was great but mostly unrealized.
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:11pm PT
The Fuk nuclear plant disaster is in state of flux; eventually the truth will out; but it appears the situation hasn’t even stabilized. I can’t help but get this image for some on the forum:
On Saturday the 12th, Washington Post ran this graphic:
On Sunday the 13th, WP had amended the graphic without comment to this:Today the graphic is removed.

Good planning that as a country we've decided to put our long-lived nuclear waste where there is no volcanism or earthquakes:
nature

climber
Mysore Karnataka India
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:16pm PT
Yucca Mountain is stable. everyone knows that. why... it hasn't been under water for at least 10000 years. or maybe 1000? plus... water runs uphill.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:30pm PT
Where do you guys think we should put our nuclear waste if not Yucca Mountain?

Right now, it is stored in 100 different temporary locations, right near population centers, and it isn't going away on it's own.


(this is probably worth it's own thread, but I really am curious to know what the alternatives are)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:34pm PT
where the tsunami hit, is that the main area of agriculture?

No, that area of Japan mainly serves as a transportation corridor to the north. The distance between the ocean and mountains is not great as the photos show. Also, like most rural areas of Japan, the young people have moved out and the population is middle aged to elderly and often work in the fields more as a hobby.
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Mar 15, 2011 - 02:48pm PT
All,

Click on the link for pictures of Japan before and after the 9.0 earthquake and tsunami. Slide your mouse on the divided line back and forth to see before and after photos.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/13/world/asia/satellite-photos-japan-before-and-after-tsunami.html

Includes before and after of Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:04pm PT
if the power plant is made of boiling water reactor (e.g. steam driving turbines), why can't the overheated reactor still produce steam which drives turbines which provide electricity to run the pumps?

Until, of course, the reactor is too cool to provide enough steam to drive those pumps, but in that case, crisis averted.

What am I missing?
Short answer... Not enough steam, plus, it takes power to operate the valves to get steam to the turbines. Can't push start a nuke.
nutjob

Gym climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:07pm PT
That before/after photo slider is a very useful and cool application of a simple widget.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:12pm PT
Not enough steam, ok, seems hard to imagine with all that excess heat. Yes, you need power to open valves, but throw a battery in the system, and you'd have power to open the valves before you had power from steam, which would then recharge the battery.

Obviously, this has something to do with the steam turbines themselves - I wonder if it would be possible to implement a smaller emergency steam turbine into the design - one that would only operate in the case of total failure (e.g. when they start using batteries).
WBraun

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:17pm PT
All these disasters are warnings from Mother Durga (Nature), and by them she confirms her eternal superiority over the illusioned plan makers.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:20pm PT
I read yesterday that modern designs are arranged so that the coolant will circulate by convection if the power goes off, meaning one can basically walk away from the reactor after the control rods are in and it will cool itself with no pumps.

Do I have this right Adam?

Would this require the manual opeation of certain valves to enable?
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 15, 2011 - 03:22pm PT
The following lists the GE Mark 1 reactors in the United States:

Reactor Location Size (MW) Year
Browns Ferry 1 Decatur, AL 1065 1974
Browns Ferry 2 Decatur, AL 1104 1975
Browns Ferry 3 Decatur, AL 1105 1977
Brunswick 1 Southport, NC 938 1976
Brunswick 2 Southport, NC 920 1975
Cooper Nebraska City, NE 770 1974
Dresden 2 Morris, IL 867 1970
Dresden 3 Morris, IL 867 1971
Duane Arnold Cedar Rapids, IA 580 1975
Hatch 1 Baxley, GA 876 1975
Hatch 2 Baxley, GA 883 1979
Fermi 2 Monroe, MI 1122 1988
Hope Creek Hancock's Brdg, NJ 1161 1986
Fitzpatrick Oswego, NY 854 1976
Monticello Monticello, MN 572 1971
Nine Mile Point 1 Oswego, NY 621 1969
Oyster Creek Toms River, NJ 615 1969
Peach Bottom 2 Lancaster, PA 1112 1974
Peach Bottom 3 Lancaster, PA 1112 1974
Pilgrim Plymouth, MA 685 1972
Quad Cities 1 Moline, IL 867 1972
Quad Cities 2 Moline, IL 867 1972
Vermont Yankee Vernon, VT 620 1972
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 15, 2011 - 04:33pm PT
It does tend to show how dependent we are on coastal regions, and how vulnerable they often are to climate and geology. In the case of Japan, a very fertile island arc, which partly due to climate and partly due to vulcanism supports a large population. Both of which come with a price. Being on an island arc means being exposed to earthquakes, eruptions and tsunamis, and being in the mid-latitudes means being exposed to typhoons. As well, volcanic soils are fertile, but are also often unstable.

There are many other places worldwide with similar advantages, and challenges.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 04:43pm PT
The NY Times has an interesting article about design problems with the GE Mark 1, that have been debated since the early 1970s:

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16contain.html?hp
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 04:47pm PT
And then you have this...


Fukushima is a triumph for nuke power; Build more reactors now!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 04:56pm PT
Yes, I had to chuckle when I read that some officials are now rating the whole thing as less serious than Three Mile Island. Obviously they have already started their attempt to sweep it under the carpet, which is the usual Japanese reaction to bad news.

As for ordinary Japanese, it was very interesting today to see that all the televisions in public businesses were on so people who wanted to could keep track could, but were tuned very low so as not to disturb the customers who didn't want to hear about it. And nobody Japanese would talk to me about the reactor problem.

On previous days when the focus was on the earthquake and tsunami, the tv's were going full blast and everyone was talking about it. Clearly the reactor failure is a matter of great national shame.

The Japanese habit of ignoring unpleasant things works well in a homogenous society but is not so appreciated outside of Japan. However, I'm sure many things will change now as a result of this incident, and hope one of them is greater transparency.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 15, 2011 - 04:59pm PT
The info in Cleo's link is good and worth reading. The statement about Chernobyl not causing any serious damage locally is wrong. The rest is accurate up to now. Still plenty of potential for this to get worse I think, the title of the article is premature.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 15, 2011 - 05:00pm PT
A cultural corollary is the propensity to insist that the perfect become the enemy of the good.

That may have led to delays in getting the vessels vented early on.

Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 15, 2011 - 05:31pm PT
As far as the nuclear waste goes, I heard that the French recycle theirs. When I asked why we don't do that here I was told that the public would never allow that stuff to be transported to the recycling facility. You know "Not through my State", "Not through my town". Anyone know if this is true? I work at Nuke plants, but never at a single loop plant like the ones with the issues. I start work at a single loop plant on the 30th. I was told that this plant was rated by the NRC as one of the worse in the country. This should be interesting:-),
Roger
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 05:43pm PT
Roger -

France has "Breeder Reactors", which recycle the spent rods into more fuel for the reactor - e.g. it uses the waste to make more power.

This results in more power per amount of fuel AND reduces the amount of leftover waste by A LOT, meaning less of a storage problem.

I think that we are against those types of reactors because we a) don't want to build nuclear power here anymore and b) something about the recycling process creates a product that *could*, *maybe* be used for nefarius purposes. E.g. we think they are a security risk.

Anyway, that's the sum total of of my knowledge on that! Google Breeder Reactor for more info.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 15, 2011 - 05:45pm PT
hey there say, jan.... thanks for all your shares from the japan area.... and your other shares as to the folks(people)...

my friend,there, in her last email, she mentioned that she had fears about the radiation, due to the fact that the governing bodies may not be presenting everything and that things may be worse, and as one does not spout these out, some of these things are shared among each other at proper times, it seems (?)...

she was ready to hear more bad news, such as has come out now...

:(

*course, i know we all were suspecting this, but she knew according to "principles" as you stated...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 15, 2011 - 05:53pm PT
radical-

Each system has it's strengths and weaknesses. Our strength is our individual initiative, especially in a crisis, which happens to be their weakest point. What they excel at are the mundane details that make life so agreeable here. Their work is high quality and done with such a great spirit.

I've been in crisis situations here in road accidents where they were paralyzed until I just started giving orders. As soon as I took charge, they fell into place and worked with great zeal. I'm really hoping that the arrival of outside nuclear experts will work like that also. If they say the Japanese Air Force needs to start dropping concrete and sand bags on the reactor, they will do it with great efficiency and self sacrifice, but someone needs to take charge.

The other important thing is to save face in the process by praising what they've done right and ignoring what they haven't. No one needs to tell them that there was a screw up. They've already internalized that.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:13pm PT
Roger,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_reprocessing

In October 1976, fear of nuclear weapons proliferation (especially after India demonstrated nuclear weapons capabilities using reprocessing technology) led President Gerald Ford to issue a Presidential directive to indefinitely suspend the commercial reprocessing and recycling of plutonium in the U.S. On April 7, 1977 , President Jimmy Carter banned the reprocessing of commercial reactor spent nuclear fuel. The key issue driving this policy was the serious threat of nuclear weapons proliferation by diversion of plutonium from the civilian fuel cycle, and to encourage other nations to follow the USA lead.[4] . After that, only countries that already had large investments in reprocessing infrastructure continued to reprocess spent nuclear fuel. President Reagan lifted the ban in 1981, but did not provide the substantial subsidy that would have been necessary to start up commercial reprocessing.[5]

In March 1999, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) reversed its own policy and signed a contract with a consortium of Duke Energy, COGEMA, and Stone & Webster (DCS) to design and operate a Mixed Oxide (MOX) fuel fabrication facility. Site preparation at the Savannah River Site (South Carolina) began in October 2005.[6][7]


There are some things in here that are inconsistent. MOX simply makes fuel and is not a reactor. Also, Reagan lifting the ban but not providing funding does not make sense to me but it may be true.

This is also informative reading:

Gene

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:16pm PT
New fire in Fuku 1, #4 according to NHK.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv

Prayers that they get this under control.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:23pm PT
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/15/japan.nuclear.reactors/index.html?hpt=T1#


Tokyo (CNN) -- After three explosions and a fire in four days, the situation at Japan's earthquake-stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant grew more serious Tuesday, chasing all but a handful of workers from the site and raising fears of a far more dangerous radiation threat.

The latest incidents, an explosion Tuesday at the plant's No. 2 reactor and a fire in a cooling pond used for nuclear fuel at the No. 4 reactor, briefly pushed radiation levels at the plant to about 167 times the average annual dose of radiation, according to details released by the International Atomic Energy Agency.


Man o man. I hope these guys are able to keep things together and may god bless them.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:41pm PT
Rok, I am pretty certain that the NaCl will mostly evaporate and not become part of the radioactive particluate. The reactors are fried after the injection of the seawater though.

The original plan was to have backup Emergency Diesel Generators (EDG's) to come on and supply the power needed to pump cooling water through the reactor. As soon as the earthquate hit, control rods were inserted into teh reactor stopping the bulk of the nuclear reaction. The reamining heat is close to about 3% due to the radiatoin of the fuel. The Tsunami then wiped out the EDG's becuase the waves were much bigger than planned. Then a battery backup worked for several hours. If there is not a significant breach in the primary containment then most of the radioactive nastiness will remain contained. Right now, the reamining operators are simply trying to keep the fuel and spent fuel covered by water.
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:42pm PT
Cleo,golsen, thanks for that information,
Roger
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 06:54pm PT
Roger,
no problem and good luck at your new place of employ. Hope it is safe.

My current job is building part of the Waste Treatment Plant at Hanford which will be used to vitrify the 53 Million Gallons of radioactive waste generated from extracting weapons grade Plutonium from used nuclear fuel at the Hanford Site.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 07:10pm PT
Rok,

our plant is only being constructed to treat waste in WA. While INEL does have some waste it is small compared to what we have here. Just as Idaho would cry foul if WA sent all their waste your way, WA state feels the same way.

The inventory that I have seen (not sure it is a public database) shows INEL has about 280 Metric Tons of Spent Nuc. Fuel versus roughly 10 times that at Hanford.

INEL has about 4400 Cubuc Meters of High Level Waste (HLW) that is in solid form. Hanford has 53 Million Gallons in Liquid Form.

Other than that I dont know much about INEl's Environmental Issues.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 15, 2011 - 07:11pm PT
hey there say, jan....

that is why i love the joint-efforts of folks working together and helping each other (which need to happen in everyday life, worldwide)(and even, starting in the home-front of our own families)...
enhancing each other, uplifting, smoothing shortcoming, and adding fresh inspiration, comes through willing hearts, may more folks learn this before worse times hit the world (meaning, in one sense, here, that the human heart is far behind the shakings that are underfoot)...

when joint efforts intertwine proper:
this is a picture of what "quits" are like, as a human-picture, if humans could just grasp the concept more... a lovely presentation, comforting, and long lasting, when all share love and work, and let the ego take a rest...

thanks for nice thoughts, jan, and your nice example...

jan's words:
Each system has it's strengths and weaknesses. Our strength is our individual initiative, especially in a crisis, which happens to be their weakest point. What they excel at are the mundane details that make life so agreeable here. Their work is high quality and done with such a great spirit
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:03pm PT
This geologist is predicting an 'event' 19-26 of this month.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Berkland

Some say he's just lucky.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:19pm PT
Website with many pictures from the nuclear power industry during other
times. - including a boneyard of all the vehicles used during Chernobyl-

http://cryptome.org/eyeball/npp2/npp2-eyeball.htm

Gene

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:21pm PT
It’s probably a good bet that most of the workers at the Fukushima plant lived locally and may have lost family and homes in the tsunami. This, coupled with the incredible stress, anxiety, and personal danger from the long hours trying to wrestle the reactors back into stability, creates an unimaginable burden on them. I pray that overwhelming fatigue will not result in faulty judgment and poor decisions.

My thought and prayers go out to the hundreds of thousands of displaced people as the winter storm rolls in. No one has had time to grieve; survival is the issue.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 08:57pm PT
CC,

thats a cool site, thanks.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:02pm PT
This seems to be an escalating nuclear disaster. It's probably safe to say the 50 workers who stayed behind and are working volunteered. God bless them and their sacrifice.

We freak out about the nuclear fallout cause its unique and scary. It's fairly insignificant to the hundreds of thousands who lost family, and are face more cold, thirsty, hungry, unsanitary nights. That's what threatens their lives immediately.

The nuclear fallout, which is getting worse, is also small beans compared to the short and mid term energy and resource shortages, and financial fallout for greater Japan.


golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:06pm PT
Bandon is right on.

Sec. Chu today said to the House:

Officials from the Department of Energy, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and other agencies have maintained close contact with Japanese officials and have provided the Japanese government with expertise in a variety of areas.

As part of that effort, the Department of Energy has sent two experts to Japan to provide advice and technical assistance. One is an emergency response representative deployed as part of the U.S. Agency for International Development Disaster Assistance Response Team, and the other is a nuclear engineer with Japanese language skills.

We are positioning Consequence Management Response Teams at U.S. Consulates and military installations in Japan. These teams have the skills, expertise and equipment to help assess, survey, monitor and sample areas. They include smaller groups that could be sent out to gather technical information in the area.

We have sent our Aerial Measuring System capability, including detectors and analytical equipment used to provide assessments of contamination on the ground.

In total, the DOE team includes 34 people with more than 17,000 pounds of equipment.

The Department is also monitoring activities through the DOE Nuclear Incident Team and is employing assets at its National Laboratories to provide ongoing predictive atmospheric modeling capabilities based on a variety of scenarios.
k-man

Gym climber
SCruz
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:11pm PT
The wreckage I see in the pictures of Japan simply shake me, deeply and emotionally. I cannot imagine the pit I'd feel seeing my home town in such a way.

Japan was heavily leveraged in nukes because they have zero oil reserves. Nukes for their electricity. Losing their nuke plants is a sword that cuts both ways--they loose the very thing they need to help repair the damage. "Recovery" requires energy, energy to build roads and infrastructure. This has historically been done with large amounts of oil. Japan has quite a bit to deal with, the entire nation. Now, immediately.

The problem that Japan will face (other than the abrupt obvious) is how to allocate for a scarcity of energy/oil. More cups are now out for the oil that Japan imports, meaning that existing allotments must change. The World will watch and learn as Japan (and the Japanese) deal with an immediate need to ration and allocate their oil.

This ~is~ the slap-in-the-face wake up call where we'll all start to understand just how important energy is to our way of life--that it's something that we must truly respect and carefully use. With nukes falling off the table of our energy "resources," the options move closer into focus.

In the coming decade, community living will be the frequency to tune to, and there's something introspective to be said for that. And I think we'll get an idea of what that means by watching Japan.
Guernica

climber
the second star to the right
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:14pm PT
Right on K-man, well said brother.
Jingy

climber
Somewhere out there
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:14pm PT
Thanks to the Nuclear Energy Industry....


We may all have to get a personal radiation detection device for ourselves....



No really... thanks

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:21pm PT
Jingy,
this is probably not the thread for it, but look up where most Energy deaths come from. Coal. I have seen estimates of 10,0000 deaths per year due to the emissions. It's not near as sexy to complain about as the atom. Hell, we lost more coal miners than we have or ever will lose to Nukes and that is simply getting the stuff out of teh ground. Unfortunately, we humans are not rational about risks that we accept and or do not want to apply logic to decisions that have already been made.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:33pm PT
"Losing their nuke plants is a sword that cuts both ways--they loose the very thing they need to help repair the damage. "Recovery" requires energy, energy to build roads and infrastructure."

That hadn't occurred to me.

I find it difficult to focus on the nuclear plants issue when, as so many have pointed out, the people affected are in dire trouble. But of course it is an issue.

Will the facilities in other parts of Japan be able to assist, or is this number of reactors having been taken down more than they will be able to make up for with the others?

Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 15, 2011 - 09:57pm PT
Golsen,
Cool. I rented a RV parked in a side yard off Canal St. I will be on the scaffold crew at the outage at Hanford. They told as at Excel training the Hanford plant had a 4 rating. I will be careful; I will pick a fat partner and keep him between me and the source:-)
Roger
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:01pm PT
I will pick a fat partner and keep him between me and the source:-)

Perhaps Jeff is available. His head should be particularly useful for such purposes. It seems impervious to common sense or reason, so probably other radiation doesn't stand a chance.
Gene

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:11pm PT
I am sure that they are doing everything they can. It is easy to sit here and type crap into a computer several thousand miles away.
True.

The authorities are especially concerned about pools for spent fuel rods at several reactors at the plant, including No. 4, where the pool has lost some of the water needed to keep the fuel rods stable. The rods are still radioactive and potentially as hot and dangerous as the fuel rods inside the reactors.
He said the Tokyo Electric Power Company, which runs the plant, would probably try to spray water into the reactor building through a gaping hole in the wall blasted open by an earlier explosion.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16nuclear.html?hp

I admit I am ignorant about nuclear power generation and what’s going on at Fukushima. I ask that someone who better understands the situation post up.

Isn’t having fire engines shooting a stream of water through a hole in the wall almost grasping at straws at this point?

EDIT: Maybe grasping at straws isn't correct. Seems to me that recent reactions to the situation are probably not in the official procedures manual. I'd like to hear from someone who knows. Thanks.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:11pm PT
In the coming decade, community living will be the frequency to tune to

What does that mean exactly? It's nice to throw feel-good crap out there so you can sound noble and 'communal', but what do you mean? Elaborate.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:29pm PT
My tee Hiker...You are wrong about fattrad...He will buy out japanese energy stocks and jack the price of electricity thru the ceiling...thus fullfilling his mantra of exploiting mankind thru economic dominance..
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:35pm PT
Hey y'all, this is a good time to learn the difference between a rem and a rad.


.....

Jan,

If you're still out there, a couple of questions:

(1) Were you in Okinawa when it had the 7.0 in 2010?

(2) What's the highest point there on the island? Looks on a map it's got some 500' elevations. Do you all there feel there's plenty of high escapes in the event you had a tsunami like the one that hit Sendai?
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:40pm PT
Golsen...the Energy corporations make those important decisions for us peons...Nuclear isn't that bad...Just put the waste in a jar and keep it on your closet shelf...
WBraun

climber
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:48pm PT
It's not the nuke that's the problem.

It's all that worthless crap everyone made to plug in to the box.

I thought all you people were so smart and thought outside of the box ......
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:51pm PT
http://www.stevequayle.com/ARAN/rad.conversion.html

* Roentgen: The roentgen measures the energy produced by gamma radiation in a cubic centimeter of air. It is usually abbreviated with the capital letter "R". A milliroentgen, or "mR", is equal to one one-thousandth of a roentgen. An exposure of 50 roentgens would be written "50 R".

* Rad: Or, Radiation Absorbed Dose recognizes that different materials that receive the same exposure may not absorb the same amount of energy. A rad measures the amount of radiation energy transferred to some mass of material, typically humans. One roentgen of gamma radiation exposure results in about one rad of absorbed dose.

* Rem: Or, Roentgen Equivalent Man is a unit that relates the dose of any radiation to the biological effect of that dose. To relate the absorbed dose of specific types of radiation to their biological effect, a "quality factor" must be multiplied by the dose in rad, which then shows the dose in rems. For gamma rays and beta particles, 1 rad of exposure results in 1 rem of dose.

Other measurement terms: Standard International (SI) units which may be used in place of the rem and the rad are the sievert (Sv) and the gray (Gy). These units are related as follows: 1Sv = 100 rem, 1Gy = 100 rad. Two other terms which refer to the rate of radioactive decay of a radioactive material are curie (Ci) and becquerel (Bq).

Bottom Line: Fortunately, cutting through the above confusion, for purposes of practical radiation protection in humans, most experts agree (including FEMA Emergency Management Institute) that Roentgen, Rad and Rem can all be considered equivalent. The exposure rates you'll usually see will be expressed simply in terms of roentgen (R) or milliroentgen (mR).


450 RAd's is LD50. That is 50% of the Population will die having received that dose. 450 is a hell of a lot.

Although radiation may cause cancer at high doses and high dose rates, public health data regarding lower levels of exposure, below about 1,000 mrem (10 mSv), are harder to interpret. To assess the health impacts of lower radiation doses, researchers rely on models of the process by which radiation causes cancer; several models have emerged which predict differing levels of risk.

Studies of occupational workers exposed to chronic low levels of radiation, above normal background, have provided mixed evidence regarding cancer and transgenerational effects. Cancer results, although uncertain, are consistent with estimates of risk based on atomic bomb survivors and suggest that these workers do face a small increase in the probability of developing leukemia and other cancers. One of the most recent and extensive studies of workers was published by Cardis, et al. in 2005 .[16]

The linear dose-response model suggests that any increase in dose, no matter how small, results in an incremental increase in risk. The linear no-threshold model (LNT) hypothesis is accepted by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the EPA and its validity has been reaffirmed by a National Academy of Sciences Committee (see the BEIR VII report, summarized in [3]). Under this model, about 1% of a population would develop cancer in their lifetime as a result of ionizing radiation from background levels of natural and man-made sources.

Ionizing radiation damages tissue by causing ionization, which disrupts molecules directly and also produces highly reactive free radicals, which attack nearby cells. The net effect is that biological molecules suffer local disruption; this may exceed the body's capacity to repair the damage and may also cause mutations in cells currently undergoing replication.

Two widely studied instances of large-scale exposure to high doses of ionizing radiation are: atomic bomb survivors in 1945; and emergency workers responding to the 1986 Chernobyl accident.

Approximately 134 plant workers and fire fighters engaged at the Chernobyl power plant received high radiation doses (70,000 to 1,340,000 mrem or 700 to 13,400 mSv) and suffered from acute radiation sickness. Of these, 28 died from their radiation injuries.

Longer term effects of the Chernobyl accident have also been studied. There is a clear link (see the UNSCEAR 2000 Report, Volume 2: Effects) between the Chernobyl accident and the unusually large number, approximately 1,800, of thyroid cancers reported in contaminated areas, mostly in children. These were fatal in some cases. Other health effects of the Chernobyl accident are subject to current debate.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ionizing_radiation


I work with a lot of smart people on this. It is difficult to quantify the health affects of lowerer radiation doses. THere are arguments among health physicists on this stuff.

rj, everyone of us, whether we like it or not, made a decision by being hooked up to the grid. We are the consumers who have made the decision. We just dont like to picture it that way.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 15, 2011 - 10:55pm PT
It's all that worthless crap everyone made to plug in to the box.

Not a bad point, Werner. I wonder how many enviro-Nazis and Greenies get that?

I drive a truck but still don't own a cell-phone...or a laptop, or an Ipad, or an Iwhatever....
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:16pm PT
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/as_japan_earthquake

FUKUSHIMA, Japan – Japan suspended operations to prevent a stricken nuclear plant from melting down Wednesday after a surge in radiation made it too dangerous for workers to remain at the facility.

Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano said work on dousing reactors with water was disrupted by the need to withdraw.

This sounds bad.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
Oh. So awful for these poor people. Such difficulty on top of such loss and suffering.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:33pm PT
whoever the fuk the engineering morons are that designed a seaside nuke plant to be earth quake proof but neglected to protect the backup cooling systems and generators from associated tsunami damage should immediately be choppered onto the site now to man the firehoses until they fukkin croak from radiation over dose.

Right about now the US Navy needs to take over damage control because the incompetence displayed by this private power company and the Japanese government is verging on genocidal

Somebody please wake up Fleet Commander Do Nothing and get it done already
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:49pm PT
^ That kind of rant is not really helpful, though I know you are upset and venting frustration.

We could easily see just as catastrohic results(though obviously not with the same details) right here in our country. There but for the grace....
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:50pm PT
There is no taking over. A zirconian-cladding-fire is
self sustaining
and cannot be put out if in the #4 spent fuel pool, until equilibrium is reached.

Like 4th July sparklers will burn until they are consumed, so will
those spent fuel bundles. The gamma ray flux must be lethal as they would
not have evacuated otherwise.


These oxidation reactions [with a loss of coolant] can become locally
self-sustaining … at high temperatures (i.e., about a factor of 10 higher
than the boiling point of water) if a supply of oxygen and/or steam is
available to sustain the reactions…. The result could be a runaway
oxidation reaction — referred to in this report as a zirconium cladding fire
— that proceeds as a burn front (e.g., as seen in a forest fire or a
fireworks sparkler) along the axis of the fuel rod toward the source of
oxidant (i.e., air or steam)….

http://my.firedoglake.com/kirkmurphy/2011/03/15/why-fukushimas-spent-fuel-rods-will-continue-to-catch-fire/
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:51pm PT
i have four generations of family who worked at Hanford, including me. One of my uncles was one of the first people on site. Another uncle was chief engineer and supervised designing the waste storage tanks and the PU processing plants and was later IC of the cleanup efforts. His eldest son is a submarine admiral and nuclear engine expert. Another of his sons is still a senior environmental cleanup engineer out there. I was a co-lead on a joint DOE/EPA project to evaluate sample management in all the DOE national labs, particularly at the Hanford tank farm.. At least we don't anymore need to worry about tank 101SY, which could have been as bad as Kryushtym, i.e. worse than Chernoble, and could have made most of Idaho and Utah uninhabitable.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 15, 2011 - 11:56pm PT
in a couple days this problem will be drifting into your country so you better hope one of your generals has a big enough nutsack to step forward now and take action instead of waiting for your dickhead president to come up with a another useless speech as another inept function of Obamas yet again chronic inability to rise to the occasion

Chernoble on steroids next: earthquake and Tsumani was just the opening act. Millions of people are going to die now. this sh#t is going to blow across the pacific in a couple days. There must be half a million dead already judging by the Sattelite photos of the coastline

edit: RANT OFF
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:05am PT
Where's rrrADAM now? Sure seems like we are at worst case senario for the used fuel pool, and with everyone evacuated, likely complete meltdowns in some of the reactors. Sounds like one breached already. I reckon there would be plenty of folks willing to make the sacrifice if there was something to be done. Must be no mitigation options left. At least the wind is blowing out to sea.

Measureable radiation likely all across the pacific now? depending on how the wind blows. Local area fcked for real now. No safe place to stage ships anywhere nearby offshore now?

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:14am PT
The quake SW of Tokyo could be pretty bad news. The big one that Tokyo had been bracing for is actually on the plate boundary SW of the city, not the plate boundary that produced the 9.0 last week. Maybe the 9.0 released pressure on "the big one's" plate boundary, but maybe it did the opposite. - Sven Grenander JPL
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:16am PT
bmacd - I know(drift over). But I can't imagine what makes anyone here in the US military capable of doing more than the Japanese have been doing.

Some have reported they downplayed the level of seriousness; Reading the posts, news articles(and even considering those from people saying 'not so bad") my fear was that it was much more out of control that the experts were saying. Just my feeling, of course. But it is a common governmental strategy, when the sh#t is really hitting it, to try to avert panic. Sad as that may be(we'd all prefer honesty, I believe, if we were in such situations), I can see why the tactic is employed.

But I have to believe that those involved in the emergency response, including government officials, were aware of the seriousness and potential developments.
mtnyoung

Trad climber
Twain Harte, California
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:18am PT
Aliester: That's a great quote. As big a dipstick as McCain is though, he got one thing correct: the U.S. Navy has gotten nuclear right.

Ask yourself why the Navy hasn't had a nuclear accident in 50 years. It's because in doing nuclear energy the Navy's only priority is safety. Not profit.

Like any person with half a wit would trust corporate America to put safety ahead of profit.

"Drill, baby drill..."

Oh. That's last year's disaster. F*%king Republican morons.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:20am PT
my personal experience indicates that published disaster death tolls are less than one tenth of actual

and by the time they publish evacuation notices; you should be hearing about them from a distance

i rode out the tsunami five miles out to sea

from there I heard about the county evacuation orders

i returned to the harbor towing three big boats that had been washed out to sea as a result of the tsunami
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:31am PT
Officials just announced that radiation levels had gone back down and they put the workers back in.
Maysho

climber
Soda Springs, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:37am PT
Lets pause to contemplate the bravery and sacrifice of those 50 workers who are still trying to prevent a larger tragedy, and have a good chance of getting very sick or dieing from their valiant efforts!

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16workers.html?hp

And the latest news: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16nuclear.html?hp

Yikes!

Peter
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:39am PT
here is the IEEE Spectrum's news on the reactors
http://spectrum.ieee.org/static/japans-earthquake-and-nuclear-emergency
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:42am PT
Build a giant berm around the entire site and flood it then collapse the raised storage rod tanks into the water below submerging the rods quenches their fire ?????

Obviously the hydrogen which caused the explosions has been coming from these spent rods oxidising all along. I suppose we've got two days before fallout hits western north america ??

I'm going to try and store as much clean water out of the delivery system for starters and tarp over stuff I dont want nuke fallout getting directly onto ??? What action are other folks thinking of - obviously I'm fully tweaked up here. What is that new humanoid robot doing up in the space station when he's needed in japan
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:45am PT
here is the NEI's web site
http://nei.cachefly.net/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/

I think it's easy to get tweaked up on this... having lived through the TMI meltdown on the east coast at that time...

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:00am PT
Ed - hear that. Tweaked and its thousands of miles away. Wonder if we'll be
drinking Caesium-137 atoms out of our Sierra streams this summer?

The blue glow in the spent pools is freaky.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:32am PT
http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/energy/nuclear/the-spent-fuel-danger-in-japans-nuclear-disaster?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+IeeeSpectrum+%28IEEE+Spectrum%29&utm_content=FeedBurner+user+view

Fortunately, the total amount of spent fuel on-site in the Japanese plants is relatively small explains, Edwin Lyman, a physicist in the UCS Global Security Program. Before Friday's disasters, Japan had routinely transported some of the spent fuel to other parts of the country and other countries entirely, such as the United Kingdom and France, for processing. "The good news, if there is any, is that, from the numbers I've seen, the inventory of spent fuel in these pools was relatively small and they were well below capacity," Lyman says.

http://my.firedoglake.com/kirkmurphy/2011/03/15/why-fukushimas-spent-fuel-rods-will-continue-to-catch-fire/ - corniss choppers link is the best

sorry folks I've lost it completely, my apologies I'll STFU now - here is hoping that people in the Carrier group off shore have the technology, experience and know how to do what has to be done

http://spectrum.ieee.org/energy/nuclear/nuclear-reactor-renaissance/1
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:35am PT
I don't find it all too freaky, having worked with radiation all my professional life...
certainly there will be elevated levels of radiation in the atmosphere from the reactor venting

realtime news feed with no analysis or background from reporters who don't know anything more about this than the general public certainly isn't a good way to get information

in any such emergency, the safety system designs are pushed into the territory of the unknown, which should be obvious. since the designs attempt to address the possible worst case situations the expectation is that, in the end, these accidents will not result in a catastrophic reactor core containment breach and a Chernobyl-like disaster.

the fact is that we can't test these systems in the extreme, and we can't anticipate all the possible failure modes. The affect of the tsunami on the diesel generators and the extent of the damage to the power grid probably didn't make the list of likely failures... from now on these scenarios will be addressed. that doesn't help now

all living species on the earth have had to put up with varying amounts of radiation, it didn't seem to bother anyone prior to the discovery of radioactivity around the turn of the 19th to 20th centuries... we have, as a culture, an extreme phobic reaction to the idea of any additional radiation, quite unaware of the exposures we are subjected to "naturally." we even tolerate medical uses of radiation of which we have little understanding or knowledge of, and we do not understand the environmental existence of radioactivity and the implications for our exposure.

health effects have been studied for low level radiation doses and have been inconclusive, probably because they are not a factor in disease... some studies even claimed a effect for low doses.

how much radiation we might be exposed to awaits the final act of this drama playing out in Japan, I know that the workers and managers at those power plants are working through this disaster with the intent to prevent any wider tragedy. unfortunately, only time will tell if those safety systems are capable of withstanding the earthquake and its aftermath.



Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:41am PT
unintuitively, it is the short lived stuff that is more radioactive than the long lived stuff...

the faster something decays radioactively, the less of it there is to decay

uranium, which is dug out of the earth, has a long lifetime and isn't particularly dangerous, all naturally occurring radioactive isotopes are long lived, if they weren't, they would have all decayed away long ago

LLNL is the home of the National Atmosheric Release Advisory Center https://narac.llnl.gov/ which provides forecasting for the spread of hazardous material...
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:57am PT
MIT's nuclear information hub's lastest blog post addresses the spent fuel rod pools, and the breach in reactor 2

http://mitnse.com/
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 16, 2011 - 02:05am PT
No need to jump to conclusions based on preliminary, almost certainly incomplete, and perhaps outright wrong or speculative information. And there's probably bugger all any of us can do about any consequences for ourselves and the world outside northeast Hokkaido in any event. Many have an alarmist if not apocalyptic streak in face of events such as these, but whether it's paranoia or a reasonable defence mechanism, it probably won't help.

I posted a day or two ago regarding the agencies doing relief work, and still think that donating to them is the right thing to do for now.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 02:14am PT
I dunno, Radical, define "worst disaster" and "modern human history"?

Chernobyl was far worse, and doesn't sound like there is any chance of it getting to that level.

2004 tsunami was worse...

WWII? (maybe not technically a disaster?)

Climate change? (we have no idea how bad that is going to get, so in the future).



Meh, this is depressing, I'm going to bed. On the bright side, we're not to Chernobyl's level, yet (thankfully).


cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 02:23am PT
I think the crews are back, and the only reactor in any sort of possible bigtime trouble (with regards to a containment breach) is Reactor #2. From what I understand, it isn't possible to have a Chernobyl because the reactors are shut down and Chernobyl had NO containment structure.


Also, even in the event of a total breach, there will be a huge amount of dispersion over the ocean before reaching here (bad for parts of Japan, but not as bad for us as some in the media make it sound).
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 02:34am PT
Hmmm... I thought I had read workers were back, now I can't figure out where. Let's hope for the best overnight.

(edit: Moosie a few posts back, dunno where he got that info)
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 16, 2011 - 03:14am PT
Rox..I can understand your california bashing and i lived in Idaho for a short while but i just read that the radioactive waste from 3 Mile Island is buried in your homestate...chop , chop....



There was a reactor criticality accident at the INEL west of Idaho Falls in 1961. A small, primitive Army reactor went critical and a steam explosion killed all three operators inside the containment.

When I took Radcon tech classes, a retiree who had been one of the emergency responders to the accident spoke in school...showing slides and answering questions.

A control rod was pulled too far out of the reactor, leading to core meltdown. Apparently the rods could be pulled by hand...one had been "sticking"and a military investigation surmised one or more individuals had jerked violently and caused the fuel to go critical.

The reactor vessel jumped up 9 feet. The outer extension of the control rod impaled one man against the top of the enclosure.

Due to the extensive radio- isotope contamination, all three had to be buried in lead coffins.

When I worked at INL forty- plus years later, there were still low level radioisotopes in the ground within a hundred fifty feet of where this experimental reactor had been.

Two books:
Idaho Falls: The Untold Story of America's First Nuclear Accident by William McKeown

Atomic America: How a Deadly Explosion and a Feared Admiral Changed the Course of Nuclear History by Todd Tucker

Reactor design and safety.. as well as radioactive waste handling have come a long way since. I left the nuclear industry and went back to college...but don't regret my short time as a nuke.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 16, 2011 - 03:21am PT
I woke up today to the news that radioactive steam is again rising from the power plant and that the workers had evacuated.

Hopefully rrrAdams can give us an update.

Unseasonably cold weather has moved in across Japan and it is currently snowing and hailing on the northeast coast. The evacuation centers are without heat. At least the prevailing winds will soon start moving the contamination out to sea.

American Forces in Japan have been very busy. So far, helicopters from the U.S.S. Ronald Reagan have delivered over 25 tons of supplies. The Air Force and Marine Corps are conducting search and rescue flights and along with the army, organizing overland convoys of supplies for the relief centers. We have also provided a great deal of the transportation for foreign rescue teams and large numbers of Japanese Self Defense forces.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 03:51am PT
On MSNBC just now, the French are saying that it could easily reach a 7 (out of 7) making it equal to Chernobyl if not more. It could turn out to be the worst Nuclear Reactor disaster ever.

Acute radiation exposure studies have been done and we know them well. It is the low dose chronic exposures over long periods of time that are absorbed into the body through: the skin, breathing, eating, or drinking that are not so well known. External exposure is one thing. Internal exposure is another. These internalized radionuclides (radioactive isotopes, aka radioisotopes) can be stored for long periods of time in fatty tissues and the body has a hard time removing them, exposing the body internally for long periods of time. Inside our bodies even alpha decay (which on the outside of our bodies can be blocked with the thickness of a piece of paper) can do serious damage.


Biological Effects of Radiation, by NRC
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/basic-ref/teachers/09.pdf


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radionuclide



General Atomic (GA) Poster:










Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:02am PT
When they are talking about the French, I'm assuming they are referring to the French Nuclear Commission (or what ever they are officially called.) It is the same group that said it is already a 5-6 out of 7. They know what they are talking about.


(Tongue in cheek: They are French. They like to be right. And they know what they are talking about, because France is the Nuclear Energy capital of the World.)

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:03am PT
hey there say, jan... thank you for the updates on the rescue situations...

also, jennie, thank you for those book titles...
someone i know, may want to read them...


:)
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:23am PT
I had posted this days ago, and need to clarify, as it may be misleading or misunderstood...
The 6"-12" thick stainless steel clad vessel is intact (primary containment), as is the drywell (surrounds the vessel, secondary containment), as is the reactor building itself (sourrounds the drywell, another containment). "When we take credit for something as a 'containment', it means containg 'pressure' as well as contamination', and the thin sheet metal that surrounds the refuel floor does not qualify as a 'containment' structure. So, there are multiple layers to keep the 'bad stuff' in...

As stated above, the ONLY things we take credit for as 'containment' are air tight, and can hold significant pressure. So, a GE Mark I only has two containment structures that we take creadit for: the Rx Vessel (primary), and the Drywell, which includes the torus (secondary). There are other 'fission product barriers' (fuel cladding, reactor building itself), but since these cannot contain pressure, we do not take credit for these as 'containment'.

Also, as to reports that a hydrogen explosion in the torus breached that system... There is no ignition source in the torus... If the torus has been breached, and I had to speculate as to the cause, I would guess that significant steam was vented to the torus, and when it condensed, it created a vacuum greater than equalization valves could compensate for, and this vaccuum caused part of the structure to implode a bit, which could lead to a breach that subsequant pressure could find its way out. It really can handle significant pressure, but not a vacuum.



Lastly... IF the water in the spent fuel pool was allowed to heat up, and boil away, this is uncalled for, as it is easily kept full if just monitered... Thing is, with no power, they cannot remotely monitor it, so they need to visually make sure of the levels in these pools... Note that units 4 - 6 were in refuel outages, so the recent fuel from the rector is in there, as well as brand new fuel that would have been reloaded in after the outege... Note that the new fuel is NOT hot, or active until it goes into the reactor and is exposed to significant neutron flus to start the chain reactions.

That spent fuel, especially the fuel that was just removed from the reactor needs to also be kept covered and cool, and it is much easier to get water there than in the Rx.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:43am PT
I read yesterday that modern designs are arranged so that the coolant will circulate by convection if the power goes off, meaning one can basically walk away from the reactor after the control rods are in and it will cool itself with no pumps.

Do I have this right Adam?

Would this require the manual opeation of certain valves to enable?
This is correct, and I think that they are designed to "fail-safe", meaning when power is lost, the system is designed to "fail" to the correct positions, with no power required. (E.g., power holds a valve open that would need to be closed in the even of an emergency, so it fails closed, and vice versa, where power holds the valve closed, but would need to be open in an emergency)
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:56am PT
I just read all 733 posts in one sitting. Thank you all for this informative discussion. I learned from every post.

While following the news online, the article that hits home the most for me was this one that appeared in the NY Times a few hours ago: "Last Defense at Troubled Reactors: 50 Japanese Workers" (http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16workers.html?hp);

"...The workers are being asked to make escalating — and perhaps existential — sacrifices that so far are being only implicitly acknowledged..."

The reader's comments on the article (156 thus far) brought tears to my eyes.

I wrote a haiku to honor the selfless 50 workers who are staying like brave samurai on this suicide mission. What will their fate be?

50 techs steadfast
the bushi of Daiichi
Reactor 2 melts
Delhi Dog

climber
Good Question...
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:09am PT
I have been through many earthquakes over the years...
But this may spare some future sorrow...

Directly opposite of what we've been taught over the years
I can remember in school being told to "duck and cover" or stand in a doorway during an earthquake. Not only was I taught this, but passed that information on over the years to my students...

This guy's findings are absolutely amazing. I hope we all remember his survival method if we are ever in an earthquake


EXTRACT FROM DOUG COPP'S ARTICLE ON THE: "TRIANGLE OF LIFE"

My name is Doug Copp. I am the Rescue Chief and Disaster Manager of the American Rescue Team International (ARTI), the world's most experienced rescue team.. The information in this article will save lives in an earthquake.

I have crawled inside 875 collapsed buildings, worked with rescue teams from 60 countries, founded rescue teams in several countries, and I am a member of many rescue teams from many countries...
I was the United Nations expert in Disaster Mitigation for two years.. I have worked at every major disaster in the world since 1985, except for simultaneous disasters.

The first building I ever crawled inside of was a school in Mexico City during the 1985 earthquake. Every child was under its desk. Every child was crushed to the thickness of their bones. They could have survived by lying down next to their desks in the aisles. It was obscene, unnecessary and I wondered why the children were not in the aisles. I didn't at the time know that the children were told to hide under something.
Simply stated, when buildings collapse, the weight of the ceilings falling upon the objects or furniture inside crushes these objects, leaving a space or void next to them. This space is what I call the "triangle of life".
The larger the object, the stronger, the less it will compact. The less the object compacts, the larger the void, the greater the probability that the person who is using this void for safety will not be injured. The next time you watch collapsed buildings, on television, count the "triangles" you see formed. They are everywhere. It is the most common shape, you will see, in a collapsed building.

TIPS FOR EARTHQUAKE SAFETY
1) Most everyone who simply "ducks and covers" WHEN BUILDINGS COLLAPSE are crushed to death. People who get under objects, like desks or cars, are crushed.

2) Cats, dogs and babies often naturally curl up in the fetal position. You should too in an earthquake... It is a natural safety/survival instinct. You can survive in a smaller void. Get next to an object, next to a sofa, next to a large bulky object that will compress slightly but leave a void next to it.

3) Wooden buildings are the safest type of construction to be in during an earthquake. Wood is flexible and moves with the force of the earthquake.. If the wooden building does collapse, large survival voids are created.. Also, the wooden building has less concentrated, crushing weight. Brick buildings will break into individual bricks. Bricks will cause many injuries but less squashed bodies than concrete slabs.

4) If you are in bed during the night and an earthquake occurs, simply roll off the bed. A safe void will exist around the bed. Hotels can achieve a much greater survival rate in earthquakes, simply by posting a sign on The back of the door of every room telling occupants to lie down on the floor, next to the bottom of the bed during an earthquake.

5) If an earthquake happens and you cannot easily escape by getting out the door or window, then lie down and curl up in the fetal position next to a sofa, or large chair.

6) Most everyone who gets under a doorway when buildings collapse is killed. How? If you stand under a doorway and the doorjamb falls forward or backward you will be crushed by the ceiling above. If the door jam falls sideways you will be cut in half by the doorway. In either case, you will be killed!

7) Never go to the stairs. The stairs have a different "moment of frequency" (they swing separately from the main part of the building). The stairs and remainder of the building continuously bump into each other until structural failure of the stairs takes place. The people who get on stairs before they fail are chopped up by the stair treads - horribly mutilated. Even if the building doesn't collapse, stay away from the stairs. The stairs are a likely part of the building to be damaged. Even if the stairs are not collapsed by the earthquake, they may collapse later when overloaded by fleeing people. They should always be checked for safety, even when the rest of the building is not damaged.

8) Get Near the Outer Walls Of Buildings Or Outside Of Them If Possible - It is much better to be near the outside of the building rather than the interior. The farther inside you are from the outside perimeter of the building the greater the probability that your escape route will be blocked.

9) People inside of their vehicles are crushed when the road above falls in an earthquake and crushes their vehicles; which is exactly what happened with the slabs between the decks of the Nimitz Freeway... The victims of the San Francisco earthquake all stayed inside of their vehicles. They were all killed. They could have easily survived by getting out and sitting or lying next to their vehicles. Everyone killed would have survived if they had been able to get out of their cars and sit or lie next to them. All the crushed cars had voids 3 feet high next to them, except for the cars that had columns fall directly across them.

10) I discovered, while crawling inside of collapsed newspaper offices and other offices with a lot of paper, that paper does not compact. Large voids are found surrounding stacks of paper.

Spread the word and save someone's life... The Entire world is experiencing natural calamities so be prepared!

"We are but angels with one wing, it takes two to fly".

In 1996 we made a film, which proved my survival methodology to be correct. The Turkish Federal Government, City of Istanbul, University of Istanbul Case Productions and ARTI cooperated to film this practical, scientific test. We collapsed a school and a home with 20 mannequins inside. Ten mannequins did "duck and cover," and ten mannequins I used in my "triangle of life" survival method. After the simulated earthquake collapse we crawled through the rubble and entered the building to film and document the results. The film, in which I practiced my survival techniques under directly observable, scientific conditions, relevant to building collapse, showed there would have been zero percent survival for those doing duck and cover. There would likely have been 100 percent survivability for people using my method of the "triangle of life." This film has been seen by millions of viewers on television in Turkey and the rest of Europe, and it was seen in the USA, Canada and Latin America on the TV program Real TV.


Cheers,
DD



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:36am PT
I woke up today to the news that radioactive steam is again rising from the power plant and that the workers had evacuated.
From what I gather, the exposure levels are such that the staff of the plant who were evacuated, as a precaustion, are such that they can safely return, to augment the minimum staff that was there to just pump water.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:42am PT
... it [Fuku] could easily reach a 7 (out of 7) making it equal to Chernobyl if not more. It could turn out to be the worst Nuclear Reactor disaster ever.
This alone shows a fundamental lack of understanding of the differences in design, reactor type, and containment between the Fuku and Chernobyl sites.

It's analogous to saying, that a solo aid climber with a huge rack and lots of experience can suffer the same or worse fate than a free soloist if both were on the upper pitches of El Cap when a severe storm blew in.

nature

climber
Mysore Karnataka India
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:59am PT
Apparently the Indian media is talking about the fallout from the explosions landing in the mainland today and tomorrow.

wtf?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:25am PT
Again... Radiation can be measured to excruciatingly small degrees, it's all a matter of how much. As I've said before... Coal fired power plants release WAY more radioactive particles than do nukes, since most coals have radon and radon producing elements in it. If you go downwind of a coal plant, you can detect this with sensitive enough instruments. Or, if you were to take a sufficiantly sensitive intrument into your house, it would scream and go 'off scale' if you got it anywhere near a smoke detector, since most of them have amerisium in them.

And, are we talking about the mainland of India? I can't see anything in Japan being detected in India, since the wind doesn't even blow that way... It would have to go almsot all the way around the world first, and would be attenuated, decayed, and dispersed, as it went.





To put dose rate (radiation intensity) verses dose (radiation absorbed) into perspective...

Say that you get a medical chest x-ray...

In order to expose the very fast film to get the image, the film needs about 200 mR total (note that this is more than my average yearly dose [~125 mR] working at nukes). Since this exposure is made in a matter of 1-2 seconds, that means dose rates are 720 R/hr (720,000 mR/hr) for a 1 second exposure and 360 R/hr (360,000 mR/hr) for a 2 second exposure.

Point being... Being breifly exposed to even an extremely high dose rate does not equal bad. That's why the principles of ALARA (As Low As Reasonable Acheivable) include time, distance, and shielding.

Time exposed X dose rate = dose (I.e., less time equals less dose)

Distance because the inverse square law means that as the distance is doubled, the radiation intensity (dose rate) is quartered, etc...

Shielding because radiation intensity (dose rate) is attenuated by radiologically dense materials, thus less once it has passed through the shielding



This will explain much, and it's a pretty easy read...
http://www.drvxray.com/xray_exposure.htm

(Note, unites used are those used in the US.)
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:43am PT
Bhunter,

Thanks for posting that article.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/16/world/asia/16workers.html?_r=1&hp

Nuclear reactor operators say that their profession is typified by the same kind of esprit de corps found among firefighters and elite military units. Lunchroom conversations at reactors frequently turn to what operators would do in a severe emergency.

The consensus is always that they would warn their families to flee before staying at their posts to the end, said Michael Friedlander, a former senior operator at three American power plants for a total of 13 years.

“You’re certainly worried about the health and safety of your family, but you have an obligation to stay at the facility,” he said. “There is a sense of loyalty and camaraderie when you’ve trained with guys, you’ve done shifts with them for years.”



These guys are heroes. They know what it will cost them personally to stop this.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:46am PT
DD,

Thanks for posting that. Great info. I'm gonna print a copy of your article. Is there an online version of the film?

DOUG COPP'S ARTICLE ON THE: "TRIANGLE OF LIFE"

2 thumbs up.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:06am PT
rrrADAM,

Not going to keep arguing with you. You would be arguing with France's ASN nuclear safety authority, not me.

From before the French said it is a 5-6 out of 7.

http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=212107

PARIS - France's ASN nuclear safety authority said on Monday the nuclear accident in Japan could be classed as level 5 or 6 on the international scale of 1 to 7, on a par with the 1979 US Three Mile Island meltdown.

The estimate of the severity of the accident at Tokyo Electric Power Co's Fukushima Daiichi plant, based on the ASN's assessment of data provided by Japan, is above the rating of four given by Japan's nuclear safety agency.

"Level four is a serious level," ASN President Andre-Claude Lacoste told a news conference, but added: "We feel that we are at least at level five or even at level 6."

I said . . .
On MSNBC just now, the French are saying that it could easily reach a 7 (out of 7) making it equal to Chernobyl if not more. It could turn out to be the worst Nuclear Reactor disaster ever.

You said . . .
This alone shows a fundamental lack of understanding of the differences in design, reactor type, and containment between the Fuku and Chernobyl sites.

It's analogous to saying, that a solo aid climber with a huge rack and lots of experience can suffer the same or worse fate than a free soloist if both were on the upper pitches of El Cap when a severe storm blew in.


Once again you would arguing with France's ASN nuclear safety authority, not me. I'm guessing they know what they are talking about. They are not comparing nuclear designs. They are comparing the emergency situation and the critical nature of the disaster. We have at least 4 nuclear reactors that are serious problems now and nothing is stopped. The disaster is continuing to unfold.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:06am PT
The French Embassy in Tokyo has advised its citizens to evacuate Tokyo and move further south as the Australian Embasy has already done while all the major airlines from Europe have cancelled flights to Tokyo and are only flying to Osaka instead. The Chinese have just announced that they will evacuate 35,000 of their citizens from Japan in the next few days.

Elevated Radiation has been reported at both American bases in Tokyo and Americans there are being advised to stay indoors.

Another large group of military people and supplies just left Okinawa by plane for northern Japan. All of the American ground support is being done through our base in Misawa, Japan and then trucked south along the main east coast highway. Our efforts have been given the name Operation Tomodachi - Operation Friendship.

Misawa Air Base is receiving only 40% normal electricity. Gasoline is rationed to 10 gallons per car once a person has less than 1/4 tank.

http://www.misawa.af.mil/
Delhi Dog

climber
Good Question...
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:06am PT
Klimmer (and others),

Check out the links that GLee posted on the other thread...'In the event you are caught in an earthquake...'


From Marla Petal, Ph.D., Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey:
http://www.earthquakecountry.info/dropcoverholdon/Petal_on_Copp.pdf

From the US Red Cross:
http://www.bpaonline.org/Emergencyprep/arc-on-doug-copp.html

Good stuff we're sharing here!

Cheers,
DD


Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:27am PT
Fructose asked:

(1) Were you in Okinawa when it had the 7.0 in 2010?

(2) What's the highest point there on the island? Looks on a map it's got some 500' elevations. Do you all there feel there's plenty of high escapes in the event you had a tsunami like the one that hit Sendai?

I was in Okinawa last year when we had the 7.0 earthquake. Most of our quakes here are a kind of bump bump as a chunk slides under the tectonic plate and it settles back down. Last year's was one of two big rolling quakes I have experienced here, but not the worst. The worst one happened in the 1980's when the ceiling of the concrete building I was in appeared to undulate in waves like the ocean.

I did spend two months up at Misawa Air Base in far northern Honshu about 6 years ago and experienced a rolling quake once or twice a week my whole time there. That many quakes made me feel rather uneasy. At the time, people said it was good to have small ones as that prevented a big one from happening. Obviously that was wrong.

As for Okinawa, we are more protected from quakes than mainland Japan. The tectonic plates are further east and we are surrounded by coral reefs as well as sea walls. The island has a backbone of mountains going down the middle so it is fairly easy to get to high ground. Also helpful is the fact that all the houses and utility poles are made of reinforced concrete to protect from an average of 5 big typhoons a year. I note that concrete houses in mainland Japan survived the tsunami whereas wooden house became kindling.

All in all, Japan is a land of natural disasters and these are part of what has formed the Japanese character. Some people think this is even the reason Japan became the first Asian country to modernize. They were used to picking up the pieces and re-inventing themselves so they recovered quickly after Admiral Perry shot his way in.The Chinese it is argued, were used to being the center of the east Asian world and lived in a more stable environment which made it much harder for them to adapt and change.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:06am PT
I was very impressed with the article Delhi Dog posted by Doug Copp on earthquake survival techniques.

Unfortunately, the American Red Cross disagrees with his many of his assertions. http://www.bpaonline.org/Emergencyprep/arc-on-doug-copp.html

Here's a link to Myth-buster organization: Snopes.com and what they have to say on the subject.
http://www.snopes.com/inboxer/household/triangle.asp


Sorry to be a downer on the subject, but there are real concerns that Mr. Copp is sharing information that might get more people killed or injured in a U.S. earthquake.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:38am PT

The Emperor spoke to the people of Japan today - a sign that they are really worried about public panic.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:45am PT
people want answers even when there are none.
how bad will the reactor problems be? at this point, no one can tell, and it will take years to investigate the full extent of what happened.

the French authorities are providing information based on very incomplete information, but they somehow feel compelled to do so. Given that there is no basis for providing that information, they err on the side of caution, preparing people for the worse.

radioactive elements have chemical attributes and those attributes can contribute to the health problems by concentrating the elements in various parts of the body. Cesium behaves like Potassium and will be incorporated into the same biological processes. Cs137 beta-decays (emits an electron) to Ba137 which is stable, but it often ends up in an isomer, which then decays by gamma emission in a minute or so. The Cs will also gamma decay.

Strontium 90, Sr90, is another fission product which has chemical properties similar to Calcium. It beta-decays to Yttrium 90, Y90, and beta-decays in about 64 hours. It has uses as a medical isotope. This decay ends up in Zirconium 90, Z90 which is stable.

Both Sr90 and Cs137 have 20ish year half lives... that is, half of the isotopes decay in that time period... The atmospheric testing of the 50s put a "pulse" of these radioisotopes into the environment which is measurable today as the elements where incorporated into biological processes.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:05pm PT
The latest from the MIT guys

http://mitnse.com/

News Updates and Current Status of Facilities
Posted on March 16, 2011 10:59 am UTC by mitnse

Units 1 and 2: TEPCO has released estimates of the levels of core damage at these two reactors: 70% damage at Unit 1 and 33% at Unit 2. They have also stated that Unit 1 is being adequately cooled.

Outlook: It is difficult to make conjectures at this point about the final disposition of the damaged fuel without further information. However, during our only operating experience with a partially melted and subsequently cooled core, Three Mile Island, the fuel mass was fully contained by the reactor vessel, resulting in minimal radiation release to the public. A decision is currently being made on how to best supply cooling water to Unit 2.

Unit 3: At 8:34 AM JST, white smoke was seen billowing from the roof of Unit 3. The source of this smoke was not investigated because workers were evacuated due to radiation levels. These levels had been fluctuating during the early morning hours before rising to 1 millisievert/hr around the time that the smoke appeared. It was unclear at the time whether these rising levels were a result of some new event at Unit 3, or were lingering as a result of Unit 2’s recent troubles.

Outlook: In order to provide some perspective on worker doses to this point, radiation sickness sets in at roughly 1000 millisieverts. A future post will deal further with the health effects of various amounts of radiation. Response to the smoke seen at Unit 3 appears to be in an information gathering phase at this point. Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano speculated that the smoke from Unit 3 might be the result of a similar wetwell explosion to that at Unit 2, but there is not enough information currently available to support or refute that statement.

Units 4-6: Flames at Unit 4 were reported to be the result of a pump fire, which caused a small explosion that damaged the roof of Unit 4 (See TEPCO’s press release on the most recent fire at http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/press/corp-com/release/11031606-e.html); . Efforts at Units 4-6 are focused on supplying cooling water to the spent fuel storage pools. Temperatures in these pools began to rise in the days after the quake. At the time of the quake, only Unit 4’s core had been fully offloaded to the spent fuel pool for maintenance; roughly 1/3 of the cores of Units 5 and 6 had been offloaded. This explains in part why the temperature in Unit 4’s pool has risen faster than at the other reactors: it has a higher inventory, both in fuel volume and in heat load.

Outlook: The fuel within these pools needs to remain covered with cooling water in order to prevent the low levels of decay heat present from causing it to melt, and also in order to provide shielding. Boiling of the water results in reduction of the water level in the pools, so ifwhen the pools get hot enough for boiling to begin, water needs to be added to replace what boils off. The staff of Unit 4 plan to begin pumping water to the spent fuel pool from ground level as soon as radiation levels from Unit 3 are low enough for them to return. This pumping operation should be relatively easier than injection of cooling water into the reactor vessels at Units 1-3 because the pools are at atmospheric pressure.

Sources: TEPCO, World Nuclear News
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:13pm PT
people want answers even when there are none

I get what you’re saying and agree to a point; but real time sensor data adjacent to the plant and the type and composition of radioactivity needs to be made available. Meaningless terms like the radioactivity is decreasing are throw away terms: Decreasing from what? The news every morning since Saturday is that after another explosion, the radioactivity is decreasing. The place looks like a war zone.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:23pm PT
Re: Fritz, Delhi Dog

The triangle of life is, indeed, nonsense. The main concern in a modern building is getting clunked on the head from stuff falling down (books, dishes, the fridge, light fixtures), so getting under a table or desk is a good idea.

Running outside is generally considered to be a BAD idea, because building facades and windows come down in a shower of death and can clunk you in the head as you are running out the door (This has, indeed, been the case).

Buildings in the US are not likely to collapse. Unless you work in downtown Oakland...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:31pm PT
Haven't read through the entire article yet, as I'm on my lunch break, but it does have some good pics, and appears to cover a bunch:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1366670/Japan-earthquake-tsunami-French-claim-scale-nuclear-disaster-hidden.html

Just looking at those pics, it is apparent that the reactor buildings of some units have sustained significant damage, which would lead me to believe that the secondary containment structures have been breached. That said, there are other things that could cause such damage and dose rate spikes, so even I am speculating here. As was said above, by Ed, it will be some time, likely years, before we know exactly what has happened, and what failed, and to what degree.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:34pm PT
Doug Copp has been debunked many times in the last five years. Don't let your urge to be free of dogma and find fault with conventional advice/wisdom/studies get you killed!
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 16, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3TM9GL2iLI
Majid_S

Mountain climber
Bay Area , California
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
Doug Copp who runs the American Rescue org or whatever is full of sh*t and has absolutely no credential among rescuers in any shape or form and yet, he had been under microscope by LEs for some time for running scams .
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:10pm PT
Ok, learning here.

I didn't know squat about Doug Copp before and his "Triangle of Life" . . .

Apparently he has been debunked numerous times from what people have said here.

Ok, so maybe 2 thumbs down.

So, get under a strong table or lie next to it?

Personally, I like door frames. I always run to the nearest door frame and stand under it. If the poo-poo hits the fan I can still take off and run.

(On the day of Earthquakes I try to stay out of high-rise buildings and concrete/brick buildings. Wood and stucco dwellings are good. Just a premonition I get. Ok, I'm kidding about the premonition part. Got nothing.)

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:10pm PT
We know politicians are lying when their lips are moving so when they
tell us 'No Danger of Fallout in the US' its almost instinctive to
think the bastards are lying again out of habit.

The tsunami made it all the way across the Pacific and we occasionally get
dust from Mongolia deposited on the snow turning it red so the idea that
radioactive particles can also make it across is reasonable. Will they?



Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:16pm PT
Will they?

Well, that is the billion dollar question isn't it?

Can't hurt to prepare. If it doesn't happen then you have gotten yourself and your family ready for possible similar related disasters that could happen right here in the USA.

Fallout from Chernobyl did make it around the World. True the amount was very little. But it is measurable/detectable.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:32pm PT
Just read all of the article I linked on th eprevious page... I agree with most of it, but not all. There is a lot of useful and correct information in it.

To note... They measured up to 400 mSv at the site for a brief time, then it dropped. Using the inverse square law, if they measured that at the fence, at twice the distance (2 X distance from fence to source of radiation), it would be only 100 mSv, and twice that would be 25 mSv, and twice that (just 8 times the distance from the source of radiation to the fence) it would be just 6.25 mSv... Point being, you don't have to get very far before even that "elevated spike" would be insignificant.

It's the contamination that is of concern, as that can be blown by the wind. That said, the dose rates of that radiation (contamination) will be very low. It's injesting that contamination that is of concern, and that is dependand on type and amount. The Plutonium is a BAD thing (the worst), depending on how much may escape and where it goes.
Gene

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:35pm PT
TEPCO news conference going on now.
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv

Almost all answers are 'We'll let you know tomorrow.'
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:35pm PT
"The tsunami made it all the way across the Pacific and we occasionally get
dust from Mongolia deposited on the snow turning it red so the idea that
radioactive particles can also make it across is reasonable. Will they?"


We don't know, of course.

I would suggest that each person do what they feel is best for themselves(so long as it does not involve abusing the freedoms of another, of course). For some, this may mean a trip to a further inland region - just in case. For some, stocking up on water, foods, fuel and such. For some, something different.

It makes rational sense to be wondering how this will affect us, but for myself, I have real difficulty thinking of myself at this point, since not only are my options limited(I can't hoard, moving would be difficult, etc.), but the overwhelming difficulty the Japanese are having right now is paramount. My energy must go into sending thoughts of compassion and strength to those suffering. This is the best use of my resources, and though some would say it is too ephemeral and of no physical help, it is what I can do.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:44pm PT
stzzo,

Yes, this is a tough one. Most, like (well over) 99%, of buildings structurally will survive the EQ, but all of them will have deadly crap falling off the sides, and a lot of people will die when a brick or a window hits them in the head.

Of course, if I were in one of those garages under an apartment building in Berkeley, I'd probably run like hell, unless I knew it had been retrofitted. Or, if I were in Istanbul, I might also run.


Best strategy - check on the retrofit status of any apartment you plan to rent, try to avoid the ones that are unsafe. (wood frames houses are, in general, very safe, assuming your bookshelf doesn't fall on your head, or in the case of a friend of mine in Northridge, a bike, bike rack, bookshelf, and a table saw blade falling on the guest bed, empty thankfully.)
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 16, 2011 - 01:52pm PT
The radioactive materials in the vented steam (vented to relieve pressure in the secondary containment vessel) is mostly what you get from bombarding air and water with neutrons. These are very short-lived (half-life of seconds) isotopes of light elements, mostly nitrogen. Using sea water as a coolant adds some other stuff into the mix, but by and large, this is not so dangerous unless you are right there at the release point and time (and those folks working at the plant are for sure very courageous heros). That is why they are measuring the radiation spikes. The rapid lowering of radiation levels after a venting has more to do with the quick depletion of radioactive isotopes than it does with the volume dilution of the vented material.

It will get very dangerous if the so-far contained heavier radioactive nuclei start to become part of the mix.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 02:25pm PT
The radioactive materials in the vented steam (vented to relieve pressure in the secondary containment vessel) is mostly what you get from bombarding air and water with neutrons...
Not likely, as they also vented steam from the Rx vessel, and since we know for certain that the fuel has been damaged, there are fission products mixed in with the steam vented from the vessel to the torus.
crøtch

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 03:38pm PT
Forgive me if this has already been asked, but does the fact that Boron is being added to the cooling water imply that there is worry that the fuel will reach criticality?
WBraun

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 03:51pm PT
I love how all the lab-coats are saying not so bad.

This fuking thing is a total runaway monster.

All while the lab coats still try and maintain it's not .....

They are at the total mercy of providence at this point and the workers are sacrificing their lives to try and avert a total catastrophe to the entire Japanese country.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:09pm PT
Rather listening to Fox news/, ABC, CNN or the French get it yourself updates.

Best Website access is:

http://www.iaea.org/ or http://www.facebook.com/iaeaorg for latest updates on nuclear safety as well as resource for latest info on Japan.

*note that due to the large number visitors seeking information from the website, response times may be slow or access may be intermittent. The Facebook account provides the same updates and may be a timelier source.

Other sites to look at for radiation/health info, explaining “Radiation in Everyday Life”, current weather prognosis info for Japan, Japanese Meteorological Agency’s website, Impact of nuclear and radiological accidents, info about boiling water reactors[PDF]:

http://www.who.int/hac/crises/jpn/faqs/en/index.html

http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Factsheets/English/radlife.html

http://www.wmo.int/pages/mediacentre/news/index_en.html

http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/indexe.html or http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/2011_Earthquake.html

http://www-ns.iaea.org/tech-areas/emergency/ines.asp

http://www-ns.iaea.org/tech-areas/emergency/international-response-system.asp?s=1&l=4

http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/basic-ref/teachers/03.pdf

Official contacts and updated official information from Japan

Nuclear and Industrial Safety Administration press releases
http://www.nisa.meti.go.jp/english/

Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs
http://www.mofa.go.jp/

Japanese Fire and Disaster Management Agency
http://www.fdma.go.jp/en/

Should keep you busy for a while. Test will be required to pass to next step.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:19pm PT
U.S. Calls Radiation ‘Extremely High’ and Urges Deeper Caution in Japan
DigitalGlobe, via Reuters

WASHINGTON — The chairman of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission gave a significantly bleaker appraisal of threat posed by the Japanese nuclear crisis than the Japanese government, saying on Wednesday that the damage at one crippled reactor was much more serious than Japanese officials had acknowledged and advising to Americans to evacuate a wider area around the plant than ordered by the Japanese government.


http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/17/world/asia/17nuclear.html
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:22pm PT
From the same article

Mr. Jaczko’s testimony came as the American Embassy, on advice from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, told American to evacuate a radius of “approximately 50 miles” from the Fukushima plant.

The advice represents a far more grave assessment of the situation at the stricken reactors than the decisions made by the Japanese themselves, who have told everyone within 20 kilometers, about 12 miles, to evacuate, and those between 20 and 30 kilometers to take shelter. And the recommendation comes as the Japanese government has said it will be giving less information about the situation.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:27pm PT
Forgive me if this has already been asked, but does the fact that Boron is being added to the cooling water imply that there is worry that the fuel will reach criticality?

yes

Or as the TEPCO spokesman put it, "The possibility of recriticality is not zero."

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2011/03/new-fire-reported-at-fukushima-reactor-no-4/1
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:29pm PT
Pentagon preparing for a nuclear worst-case scenario at Fukushima
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4773885


http://www.stripes.com/news/http-www-stripes-com-news-pentagon-preparing-for-a-nuclear-worst-case-scenario-at-fukushima-1-1379-1.137969


Pentagon preparing for a nuclear worst-case scenario at Fukushima
By Chris Carroll
Stars and Stripes
Published: March 16, 2011

WASHINGTON — If the deteriorating situation at a Japanese nuclear plant veers toward a worst-case meltdown scenario, people across the country — including 86,000 American servicemembers, civilian employees and their dependents — could face an unprecedented atomic disaster.

The Pentagon on Wednesday began laying out precautions to keep troops safe, announcing a 50-mile no-go zone around the unstable Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex that is wider than the official Japanese evacuation zone. The U.S. Embassy in Japan told American citizens within 50 miles of the plant to evacuate if possible or stay indoors.

Meanwhile, military doctors began advising U.S. air crews flying rescue missions within 80 miles of the stricken complex to take potassium iodide tablets to combat harmful radiation effects. Already, troops on some bases in Japan and aboard ships offshore — including two air crew members on the USS Ronald Reagan who had to take iodide tablets Tuesday — have been exposed to radiation from the nuclear plants, although at levels not believed high enough to pose a serious risk.


graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:35pm PT
Gregory Jaczko, the chairman of the commission, said in Congressional testimony that the commission believed that all the water in the spent fuel pool at the No. 4 reactor of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station had boiled dry, leaving fuel rods stored there completely exposed. As a result, he said, “We believe that radiation levels are extremely high, which could possibly impact the ability to take corrective measures.”

If his analysis is accurate and Japanese workers have been unable to keep the spent fuel at that inoperative reactor properly cooled — covered with water at all times — radiation could make it difficult not only to fix the problem at reactor No. 4, but to keep workers at the Daiichi complex from servicing any of the other crippled reactors at the plant.

Mr. Jaczko said radiation levels may make it impossible to continue what he called the “backup backup” cooling functions that have so far prevented full nuclear meltdowns at the other reactors. Those efforts consist of dumping water on overheated fuel and then letting the radioactive steam vent into the atmosphere.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:41pm PT
A ray of Hope:


FUKUSHIMA, Japan – A nearly completed new power line could restore cooling systems in Japan's tsunami-crippled nuclear power plant, its operator said Thursday, raising some hope of easing the crisis that has threatened a meltdown and already spawned dangerous radiation surges.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 04:52pm PT
Sometimes the characters on this site remind me of the little green buses stopping in El Cap Meadow. They have created a taffic hazard and may get hit by swerving RV's and are oblivious to everything except for thinking that climbers must be idiots for risking their lives up there. In other words they are clueless. Clueless to teh hazards they create, cluless to the risks that climbers may or may not be taking up on the big stone.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 05:13pm PT
Speaking of dying, it seemed rather apparent to me(although i hoped i was wrong)after day one coverage of this catastrophe, that the death toll was being grossly underestimated by the Japanese authorities...
From what I gather, all that I have seen has been 'confirmed' deaths, as in bodies counted, and/or identified. If you think about it for a second, "death toll" means a 'count of the dead'.





And what will any of those links tell us that we don't already know?

Werner is right.....

Lab coats are wrong at every turn here....posting nuclear doctrine and then getting stuck on their programming and running a return loop....does not compute.....does not compute.....it is safe....it is safe....this can not happen...happen...happen...

I see this sh#t everyday as Werner does also.....education , lack of judgement, an inability to think and programed tunnel vision and it all amounts to getting it wrong..

What the hell is this power company still doing charge of this mess? Where is the international atomic agency? Where is the back up plan for this sh#t? Are you kidding me?

You can not have a system in which a mistake is not an option and then expect the people in that system to respond in any appropriate way when a mistake does happen.

Send the big boys in...

So, who would 'the big boys' be? Since it's not the 'lab coats', I assume you prefer people who do not understand the science of it? Or, perhaps ones who understand no science at all?

Who do you suggest? Larry 'The Cable Guy'? 'Cause he'd, git 'er done!
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 05:15pm PT
Riley is obviously upset, as many of us are. Earthquake, Tsunami, Nuclear Disaster (the first time I have used the D word for that), people without adequate food, shelter, water. I think everyone wants the best for the Japanese. Just so everyone understands the Nuclear Reactor issues will not be stable for many days. It will take months to figure out exactly what happened.

It is however, important that people put the Nuclear Events into context. With 45% of our energy coming from Coal, how many of us worry about that?

Try this on for size and use a rational approach to our energy decisions.



The Lung Association’s report reveals the real public health threat from coal-fired power plants.

Coal-fired power plants that sell electricity to the grid produce more hazardous air pollution in the U.S. than any other industrial pollution sources.
More than 400 coal-fired power plants located in 46 states across the country release more that 386,000 tons of hazardous air pollutants into the atmosphere each year.
Particle pollution from power plants is estimated to kill approximately 13,000 people a year.
“Power plant pollution kills people,” said Charles D. Connor, President and CEO of the American Lung Association. “It threatens the brains and nervous system of children. It can cause cancer, heart attacks and strokes.

“It’s time that we end the ‘toxic loophole’ that has allowed coal-burning power plants to operate without any federal limits on emissions of mercury, arsenic, dioxin, acid gases such as hydrogen chloride and other dangerous pollutants,” said Charles D. Connor, president and CEO of the American Lung Association.

“People living closest to these plants, especially children, seniors, pregnant women and those with chronic disease face the greatest risk, but it doesn’t stop there. Pollution from coal-fired power plants takes flight and travels far into other states—threatening public health.”


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/14/power-plant-air-pollution-coal-kills_n_833385.html
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 16, 2011 - 05:46pm PT
Also, the fact that this involves radiation, and many just don't understand the details of it, brings out a LOT of fear in people... But the FACT is, thus far, the Deep Water Horizon that exploded, killed 11 people, and dumped MILLIONS of barrels of oil into the Gulf, desimating the ecosystem of several states, and ruined the lives of countless people and businesses, most of which have not recovered, and likely never will, is worse than what is happening at Fuku. Fuku has killed how many? It has significantly contaminated how much? Again, what are the facts? Everybody is speculating all the what if's, but is important is WHAT has happened, and is continuing to happen. The vast majority of these what if's will likely never be realized. (E.g., global contamination; the public getting cancer; etc...) Even the 'speculated' lethal doses that the volunteers working at Fuku will recieve, are just that, speculation of worst case scenarios. Until we see actual dose rates recieved, from their TLDs, we won't know.

So, to those with pitch-forks and torches for nuclear energy, did you also rally just as much for no more drilling? As that one event was far more damaging to the environment than was Chernobyl.
Mad

Social climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 05:58pm PT
If we strive to keep seeing the beauty of what life is, everything that is a result of our exploration, has after effects...and all we can do is learn from the experience...no matter the depth and breadth of our current knowledge. And what is knowledge? It is the lesson learned...and what we do with it is up to us as individuals. We take care of each other. The earth is just being itself...it is not intentionally out to get us..it is doing what it does.....so what do we do in response? Keep learning and help one another.

MAD
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:08pm PT
The European Union's energy chief, Guenther Oettinger, told the European Parliament that the plant was "effectively out of control" after breakdowns in the facility's cooling system.

"In the coming hours there could be further catastrophic events, which could pose a threat to the lives of people on the island," Oettinger said.

"There is as yet no panic, but Tokyo with 35 million people, is the largest metropolis in the world," he said.

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:21pm PT
, but is important is WHAT has happened, and is continuing to happen.

I disagree with you. At one point this did have the potential to become a major disaster and burying our heads in the sand doesn't do any good. Running around like ones head is cut off doesn't help either, but ignoring the potential is one of the things that concerns people.

So far those folks who support the nuclear industry have said nuclear energy is safe because they plan for so many things, yet they haven't answered how they did not plan for a Tsunami in a country that is known for Tsunamis, so hopefully you could see how people just might be concerned.

Many of us have also been concerned about the use of coal and oil, but just because those are dangerous doesn't mean we should ignore the dangers of nuclear energy.

Another thing.. Both government and industry have histories of hiding the truth. Sometimes for good reason, but sometimes because of things like pride. Japan has a history of hiding things because of pride. So I think its appropriate for people to question seriously the information they recieve, including what the media protrays as the media also has a bad reputation for over stating things. So its this nightmare of trying to figure out what is happening with one group trying to hide or downplay things and another trying to dramatize them.

As you point out, No one has died yet because of this situation at the nuclear plant. The key word is yet, because as you have pointed out, we just don't know yet what will happen. We don't even know how bad a complete meltdown would be. Maybe it wouldn't be too bad. But maybe is a hard word to use when talking about nuclear energy.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:42pm PT
And yes...that would be the military in this case....Anybody who can take over, think and has a set.....should have happened on Saturday already...

Well, at least Obama has his Basketball picks in.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:49pm PT
This is the output of the SCRAMMed reactors with time. The good news is that the initial decay is way fast, the bad news is that the asymptotic tail stretches out for a long time.




John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:51pm PT
I think they are going to be able to get them into control and this will all mostly go away, apart from the things we hopefully learn. Just my gut feeling.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:53pm PT
I think so too John, I'm really hoping that that is the case.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 06:54pm PT
Bluering, this has been a great thread so far with just about everyone -- liberals, conservatives, moderates -- having a good civil discussion of the issues, without partisan sniping. Let's keep it that way and put our political posts in other threads.
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:18pm PT
I am no expert. The prospect of power finally getting to the plant and the ability to possibly use the primary cooling system for some or all of the facilities will be a major milestone in working the problem.

GOod Luck.

I still can't find my "adopted" daughter, a wonderful foreign exchange student, Saori. I hope you are safe, warm, and well fed.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:21pm PT
The prospect of power finally getting to the plant and the ability to possibly use the primary cooling system for some or all of the facilities will be a major milestone in working the problem.

Yeah, and I hear that is getting close to happening. Good luck indeed.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:28pm PT
Seamstress - I am so sorry that you are waiting to hear from your Saori. I hope that she is able to get word to you soon. It must be very difficult for all those trying to get word out.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:33pm PT
so Riley is all upset because of what might happen and the fact that it doesn't appear that anyone educated has the answers that he wants right now...

...it is better to look at what hasn't happened, which is a result of those same educated people having designed the reactors the way they were, and their honest assessment that they cannot not predict, with absolute certainty, what is going to happen.

At Chernobyl roughly 1.5 hours elapsed between the beginning of the tests and the explosions that initiated the tragic events we know about. During that time a large number of decisions were made by people, many of the decisions were wrong. There were 50 deaths directly attributable to the accident.

In Japan the "worst case" scenario is playing out in that the reactors will be lost, but there most likely will NOT be the same dispersal of radioactive materials. The major difficulty in working through this part of the core melt down is managing the cooling, which requires water to be circulated in an "open" loop, meaning that as the impurities in the water are activated they will eventually be released outside of the containment into the atmosphere. This is not at all the same thing as the core exploding and breaching the inner containment.

At Chernobyl the graphite moderator which surrounded the fuel rods ignited and burned and contributed to dispersing the radioactive contents of the fuel. The Japanese reactors are different and do not have this sort of design.

The possibility that the fuel rods melt and that the fissile material will collect into a critical mass capable of sustaining a chain reaction has also been mitigated in this design, and with additional precautions (such as adding neutron "poisons" to the cooling) will not, in all likelihood, result in the fictional "China syndrome" scenario...

It is really very easy to sit here thousands of miles away and call for "the big boys" to deal with this, but the "big boys" who ever you think they are, cannot do anything different than what is happening now, which is managing the core meltdown in such a way as to preserve the inner containment and avoid catastrophic failure of the reactors causing human and environmental calamity.

The die was cast with the earthquake/tsunami and now we are seeing how it will all play out...
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 07:36pm PT
Riley,


And no one is upset......just start making good decisions....or get somebody who can....
And yes...that would be the military in this case....Anybody who can take over, think and has a set.....should have happened on Saturday already...

Man....this is what I live everyday...people are paralysed in an emergency..people who talk and try to show me what they know...then when the real deal hits they fall apart and they cant think and slink off to corner....where is the big talker now? When the hard core sh#t really has to get done...very few people can do it....
We all know this as trad climbers also.....it is one of the reason we are climbers....that is for the people who actually are climbers on here...

Just as you ( I assume) have specific training in dealing with medical emergencies, the guys at the power plant also have that training. If I were to base my opinion of the medical field solely on news bites I would probably assume you guys have your head up your a*#. Give these guys the same benefit of the doubt.

My only point about someone basing a negative opinion on Nuclear Energy is that they should learn about the impacts of energy and understand the impacts that are blindly accepted prior to making a decision and crying foul.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:00pm PT
Ed - well said! The past is prologue. We deserve to burn in atomic fire
for all of our mistakes.

But God, we pray that you spare our children!

Please!!!


Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:15pm PT
Just looking at the satellite photos, I find it hard to believe that if power can be restored, there are functioning cooling systems onsite to power up. Just looks like carnage.

I could be wrong. You'd think if the design parameteres anticipated the hydrogen explosions, the cooling systems would be designed to withstand those blasts.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:18pm PT
USGS has updated the population exposed to intense shaking estimates, as well as losses.



Also, at least one (very short) acceleration ~3g was recorded(and a few of >1g), which is *huge* (most stations with hard shaking reported 0.3-0.4g)

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:27pm PT
hey there say, seamstress... very sad to hear of your friend... did anyone ask you yet, what area she is from, or do you not remember? (was that where the extra concern came from, from not knowing?)...

hope you will find a way to find out...
god bless...
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:33pm PT
Riley,

I already posted this link: Some of the BOLDED items are done by me without changing the text.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster

International spread of radioactive substances
Four hundred times more radioactive material was released than had been by the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. However, compared to the total amount released by nuclear weapons testing during the 1950s and 1960s, the Chernobyl disaster released 1/100 to 1/1000 the radioactivity.[51] The fallout was detected over all of Europe except for the Iberian Peninsula.[52][53][54]

The initial evidence that a major release of radioactive material was affecting other countries came not from Soviet sources, but from Sweden, where on the morning of 28 April[55] workers at the Forsmark Nuclear Power Plant (approximately 1,100 km (680 mi) from the Chernobyl site) were found to have radioactive particles on their clothes.[56] It was Sweden's search for the source of radioactivity, after they had determined there was no leak at the Swedish plant, that at noon on April 28 led to the first hint of a serious nuclear problem in the western Soviet Union. Hence the evacuation of Pripyat on April 27, 36 hours after the initial explosions, was silently completed before the disaster became known outside the Soviet Union. The rise in radiation levels had at that time already been measured in Finland, but a civil service strike delayed the response and publication.[57]

Contamination from the Chernobyl accident was scattered irregularly depending on weather conditions. Reports from Soviet and Western scientists indicate that Belarus received about 60% of the contamination that fell on the former Soviet Union. However, the 2006 TORCH report stated that half of the volatile particles had landed outside Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. A large area in Russia south of Bryansk was also contaminated, as were parts of northwestern Ukraine. Studies in surrounding countries indicate that over one million people could have been affected by radiation.[58]

Recently published data from a long-term monitoring program (The Korma Report)[59] show a decrease in internal radiation exposure of the inhabitants of a region in Belarus close to Gomel. Resettlement may even be possible in prohibited areas provided that people comply with appropriate dietary rules.

In Western Europe, precautionary measures taken in response to the radiation included seemingly arbitrary regulations banning the importation of certain foods but not others. In France some officials stated that the Chernobyl accident had no adverse effects.[citation needed] Official figures in southern Bavaria in Germany indicated that some wild plant species contained substantial levels of caesium, which were believed to have been passed onto them by wild boars, a significant number of which had already contained radioactive particles above the allowed level, consuming them.[60]

[edit] Radioactive release
The external gamma dose for a person in the open near the Chernobyl site.
Contributions of the various isotopes to the (atmospheric) dose in the contaminated area soon after the accident.Like many other releases of radioactivity into the environment, the Chernobyl release was controlled by the physical and chemical properties of the radioactive elements in the core. While the general population often perceives plutonium as a particularly dangerous nuclear fuel, its effects are almost eclipsed by those of its fission products. Particularly dangerous are highly radioactive compounds that accumulate in the food chain, such as some isotopes of iodine and strontium.

Two reports on the release of radioisotopes from the site were made available, one by the OSTI and a more detailed report by the OECD, both in 1998.[61][62] At different times after the accident, different isotopes were responsible for the majority of the external dose. The dose that was calculated is that received from external gamma irradiation for a person standing in the open. The dose to a person in a shelter or the internal dose is harder to estimate.

The release of radioisotopes from the nuclear fuel was largely controlled by their boiling points, and the majority of the radioactivity present in the core was retained in the reactor.

All of the noble gases, including krypton and xenon, contained within the reactor were released immediately into the atmosphere by the first steam explosion.
About 1760 PBq of I-131, 55% of the radioactive iodine in the reactor, was released, as a mixture of vapor, solid particles, and organic iodine compounds.
Caesium and tellurium were released in aerosol form.
An early estimate for fuel material released to the environment was 3 ± 1.5%; this was later revised to 3.5 ± 0.5%. This corresponds to the atmospheric emission of 6 t of fragmented fuel.[62]
Two sizes of particles were released: small particles of 0.3 to 1.5 micrometers (aerodynamic diameter) and large particles of 10 micrometers. The large particles contained about 80% to 90% of the released nonvolatile radioisotopes zirconium-95, niobium-95, lanthanum-140, cerium-144 and the transuranic elements, including neptunium, plutonium and the minor actinides, embedded in a uranium oxide matrix.



Riley, you earlier posted that you thought 1,000's had died due to Chernobyl. Unfortunately, some of teh hardest hit were Children who drank Cow's Milk from cows that had grazed on contaminated grass. Thyroid cancer was the most common impact to the children's health.

In the aftermath of the accident, 237 people suffered from acute radiation sickness, of whom 31 died within the first three months.[63][64] Most of these were fire and rescue workers trying to bring the accident under control, who were not fully aware of how dangerous exposure to the radiation in the smoke was. Whereas, the World Health Organization's report 2006 Report of the Chernobyl Forum Expert Group from the 237 emergency workers who were diagnosed with ARS, ARS was identified as the cause of death for 28 of these people within the first few months after the disaster. There were no further deaths identified, in the general population affected by the disaster, as being caused by ARS. Of the 72,000 Russian Emergency Workers being studied, 216 non-cancer deaths are attributed to the disaster, between 1991 and 1998. The latency period for solid cancers caused by excess radiation exposure is 10 or more years; thus at the time of the WHO report being undertaken, the rates of solid cancer deaths were no greater than the general population. Some 135,000 people were evacuated from the area, including 50,000 from Pripyat.


Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:41pm PT
Have finally gotten direct word from a cousin who lives in Tokyo; he said that it's very strange because all the birds have left.
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:50pm PT
Dunno, he said he can't find any birds this morning and it's very quiet and he just hopes everything gets back to normal soon.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:52pm PT
I have no clue how many total deaths have occurred due to Chernobyl Riley (either do the experts). I assumed you were upset by indicating that you were an expert in your field while these guys at the plant were clueless. I have a sneaking suspicion that if 2,000 extremely sick patients showed up at your hospital in an hour that you would sh#t bricks and we could all chime in on the internet how clueless the medical world was. However, I believe that response would show a high degree of ignorance and lack of understanding.

Making arrogant and stupid insinuations against people risking their health to protect other people does not reflect too positively on your judgement under pressure so I either have to assume that you were upset or you are being an ass.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:56pm PT
There very well may have been thousands of deaths (4000-9000) from Chernobyl. An article and a letter from Nature

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v437/n7062/full/4371089a.html
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 08:59pm PT
Dunno, he said he can't find any birds this morning and it's very quiet and he just hopes everything gets back to normal soon.


According to at least one geologist (that is not a bird scientist), many animals use Earth magnetism to orient themselves and align themselves. This could have a lot to do with the quake. They left.

Same with some marine life.

I'm no expert, just telling you what I've heard.
WBraun

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:15pm PT
LOL ^^^

But!!

When you see helicopters dumping buckets of water on to the reactors you know right then and there the whole shebang has been breached and they are now winging it to save the the island ......
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:19pm PT
I hope he doesn't mind me sharing

We here are O.K. in Tokyo. But Sendai and all the other north prefectures having a very difficult time, I'm hearing. And the other problem is the nuclear power, which increasing the dose in the air even in Tokyo now, and I couldn't find birds singing this morning strangely..this is like a S.F. movie I'm in..
But I know we'll get by and everything's gonna be alright, cross my fingers:)
Marchan came home very late on the Earth quakes day, and she's alright. Thank you for thinking about her. I appreciated it a lot to you.
Oh well, I don't know what to say, but we here are all O.K., and wishing to be things getting better soon.
Anyway, thank you very much for your email, as well as your pray for everyone of us in Tokyo and Japan.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:22pm PT
hey there say, aya.... ohmy... as to this:

Mar 16, 2011 - 05:41pm PT
Have finally gotten direct word from a cousin who lives in Tokyo; he said that it's very strange because all the birds have left.


i had read a few article on how silent tokyo was, but NOTHING as to this... this sounds like a bad sign, you know... critters kind of get of feel for when to leave... sadly, people-folks cannot do so...


thanks for sharing with everyone, aya...
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:43pm PT
"Have finally gotten direct word from a cousin who lives in Tokyo; he said that it's very strange because all the birds have left."

Yes, if a NYTimes reporter had gotten this quote from your friend, Aya, it would have been round the world and back again several times by now. A story headline, even.

Bluering's comment about perhaps the quake triggering the birds departure does have merit. It seems animals DO have an ability to sense natural danger in a way we people cannot. But I think that the person probably would have noticed the lack of birds right away after the quake, if not realizing in hindsight they had been gone already AT the time of quake.

The birds are lucky(if they have traveled, that is); there's no "big bird" suggesting to them what to do. They follow their inner compass. I just do hope the birds have traveled, and not been killed.(I know that reading this surely is causing someone to face-palm, but it is how I feel).
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:44pm PT
A bit surprising that the JSDF hadn't already got this done.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123247144

http://www.af.mil/photos/slideshow.asp?id={A56CEA6C-E54B-4400-AFD5-5CDD6E44C302}

Their resources must be stretched to the limit.

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:47pm PT
F*#k, you nuke guys are biased to the point of being out to lunch.....
Thanks for the education on your industry....I have a real good view of why this stuff has been.shut down for so long and a good idea of why it willl be shut down for a lot longer.

Nuke guy? LOL. I have spent 25 years cleaning up Environmental messes from Tennessee, New Jersey, the Midwest on over a dozen Superfund Sites, last place was getting rid of weapons filled with Nerve Agent and now trying to clean up 53 Million Gallons of Highly Radioactive Waste on the Worlds largest and most costly Environmental Cleanup Project.

You fix patients, I fix the Environment. What people do not want to accept is that Modern Nuclear Energy is way cleaner and safer than Coal which currently supplies 45% of the Energy We all use to keep our PC's on line.

EDIT:

I apologize Riley, you are not upset, I was mistaken. You must be an arrogant ass.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 09:51pm PT
In Japan the "worst case" scenario is playing out in that the reactors will be lost, but there most likely will NOT be the same dispersal of radioactive materials. The major difficulty in working through this part of the core melt down is managing the cooling, which requires water to be circulated in an "open" loop, meaning that as the impurities in the water are activated they will eventually be released outside of the containment into the atmosphere. This is not at all the same thing as the core exploding and breaching the inner containment.

Ed, you're much smarter then me, and as scientist at one of our two national nuclear labs, are an expert in this field. But I believe your assessment here may be a bit dated. Did you see the link I posted earlier? Here it is again.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/17/world/asia/17nuclear.html

WASHINGTON — The chairman of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission gave a far bleaker appraisal on Wednesday of the threat posed by Japan’s nuclear crisis than the Japanese government had offered. He said American officials believed that the damage to at least one crippled reactor was much more serious than Tokyo had acknowledged, and he advised Americans to stay much farther away from the plant than the perimeter established by Japanese authorities.

...

If the American analysis is accurate and emergency crews at the plant have been unable to keep the spent fuel at that inoperative reactor properly cooled — it needs to remain covered with water at all times — radiation levels could make it difficult not only to fix the problem at reactor No. 4, but to keep servicing any of the other problem reactors at the plant. In the worst case, experts say, workers could be forced to vacate the plant altogether, and the fuel rods in reactors and spent fuel pools would be left to meltdown, leading to much larger releases of radioactive materials.


rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:17pm PT
dito recommendation for the NYTimes articles
http://www.nytimes.com/
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:34pm PT
Did you say the same thing when BP dumped oil in the gulf all summer?

Who's the alarmist, Johnson????

There are no signs of any permanent damage. The whole thing was dealt with pretty well once we committed to it. That whole deal is gone. Just like that.

Gone!

You and Werner need to get a room.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:50pm PT
Ed, you're much smarter then me, and as scientist at one of our two national nuclear labs, are an expert in this field. But I believe your assessment here may be a bit dated.

Hi Graniteclimber

Not to be nitpicky, but there are seventeen U.S. Gov’t nuclear labs. In addition to Livermore… Los Alamos National Laboratory, Nevada Test Site, Sandia National Laboratory, Hanford national Laboratory, Idaho National Engineering Lab, Savannah River Site, Oak Ridge, Y-12, Kansas City , Pantex etc.....
Dave

Mountain climber
the ANTI-fresno
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:51pm PT
"Or are you talking a giant power extension cord, that they needed already 6 days ago; to power up a system...buildings and pumps that are already blown up on fire or breeched and melted out....:



Riley,

Tom Lehrer once said in a comedy skit, if you don't know what are talking about, it is best to shut up.

Take his advice.

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:55pm PT
And while I have utter respect for you, Werner, you apparently fail to realize how the 'modern world' of petro-chemicals and alloy deveopment has affected your safety and that of you teams.

Those choppers that rescue numbnuts of El-Cap don't run on bio-diesal. The pilots are usually Vietnam vets, and the alloys we use today in cams is outstanding.

The ropes are way better.

And radios. Yeah...they're pretty cool too. Not to metion headlamp technology.

All a result of greedy capitalists...


The Japanese are a key fator in all of this. They develop a lot of the tech.
WBraun

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:57pm PT
Bluering

You miss the point completely.

It's completely beyond your comprehension ......
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 10:59pm PT
On a light note....

"dito recommendation for the NYTimes articles"{/i]
http://www.nytimes.com/

The computer-generated voice used on this NYTimes video sounds so much like the ones in XtraNormal moivies, that I can't help imagining the Larry King/Sarah Palin one that BVB made.....
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:01pm PT
graniteclimber - I don't have any additional information than anyone else who is not there working the problem, and even they have limited information.

The cooling ponds are a potential problem, I agree, but not as big a problem as the reactor cores themselves, as you can in the plot that Mike Bolte put up above, the heat generated by the radioactive isotopes in the spent fuel decreases considerably with time, and the spent fuel is in a configuration much more suitable for storage and for controlling that heat.

As the MIT site points out, there has to be a cooling system failure (that has occurred), the water has to boil out (that is in the process, though some water had been restored to the ponds), the rod has to overheat in air, and then the cladding has to fail (by oxidation)... all these things taken together are not likely, and they also take time to happen, which means that there is time to manage those problems...

...the short term attention is and should be on managing the failed reactors to get them in some "safe" mode.

The caution shown by the US officials and their assessment is totally appropriate, given that we don't know what could happen, and the possibility of a dispersal of radioactive material from a cooling pond failure is certainly not ruled out at this point.

[edit] Jennie is correct in pointing out that there is a nuclear security complex of labs and facilities, Livermore and Los Alamos are generally referred to as the "design labs."

bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:03pm PT
Bluering

You miss the point completely.

It's completely beyond your comprehension ......

I do not mean this lightly, Werner, but maybe you can lay it down for me without the usual Hindu bullsh#t. Make it simple, in a tongue I that I know. Ya know?
WBraun

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:07pm PT
Bluering

I already did and you missed the point.

99% of everything we've made that needs to be plugged into electricity to run is really not needed for mankind to live comfortably and happy in life .....
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:07pm PT
The U.S. has just very publicly told the Japanese government to grow some balls and start facing the situation. This can only be intended as a slap in the face to the Japanese government. They would only take this step if private discussions were going nowhere.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-send-special-nuclear-team-japan-nuclear-regulatory/story?id=13148044

U.S. Officials Alarmed By Japanese Handling of Nuclear Crisis
U.S. Officials Fear Fukushima Could Become 'Deadly For Decades'

BY MARTHA RADDATZ
March 16, 2011

U.S. officials are alarmed at how the Japanese are handling the escalating nuclear reactor crisis and fear that if they do not get control of the plants within the next 24 to 48 hours they could have a situation that will be "deadly for decades."

"It would be hard to describe how alarming this is right now," one U.S. official told ABC News.


President Obama has been briefed by nuclear experts.

The Japanese have evacuated most of the reactor personnel from the Fukushima nuclear complex and are rotating teams of 50 workers through the facility in an attempt to cool it down.

"We are all-out urging the Japanese to get more people back in there to do emergency operation there, that the next 24 to 48 hours are critical," the official said. "Urgent efforts are needed on the part of the Japanese to restore emergency operations to cool" down the reactors' rods before they trigger a meltdown.

"They need to stop pulling out people—and step up with getting them back in the reactor to cool it. There is a recognition this is a suicide mission," the official said.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:07pm PT
Bluey...I think werner is calling Crowley right now to make it simple for you...brace yourself....rj
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:08pm PT
99% of everything we've made that needs to be plugged into electricity to run does is really not needed for mankind to live comfortably and happy in life .....

You are wrong, Werner. 100% is really not needed.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:08pm PT
99% not needed...the other 1% is Lockers butt plug...
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:13pm PT
Would our government so blatantly tell OUR citizen nuke workers to "get back in there" knowing it was "recognized as a suicide mission?"

No doubt many of those workers going in have volunteered, fully understanding it's suicidal in a way that we, safely overseas, cannot begin to understand.

I'm wondering why no mention if robotics instead of humans is possible.If we have robots capable of performing some of the maneuvers needed in those buildings, I hope - sincerely - they have been offered, if not already in use.

It also occurs to me just now that perhaps in the future, the employment of robotics for such emergency work might be something to be looked into. Too costly? More costly than the lives of humans? Maybe we want our energy too cheap, if we aren't willing to lay down and do what we expect another to.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:14pm PT
Bluering

I already did and you missed the point.

99% of everything we've made that needs to be plugged into electricity to run does is really not needed for mankind to live comfortably and happy in life .....


Errr, I agreed with you on that post. I even said I don't own a cell-phone, Iphone, Iwhatever, or whatever.

I agree with you on this! We don't need this crap 'plugged in' all the time. I'm gonna come to the valley and rip yer head off because we're agreeing and still arguing!!!!!

You are so wasted, Werner!@

What I said earlier is that all the Greenie Fags using laptops and Iphones are more responsible than me, yet I'm the conservative demon!!!!!!

GaaHHHHH!!!!!!

Idiots. and Hypcites!
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:19pm PT
Questions for the fizzycists;

The second explosion at #3 was huge and moved some big chunks of steel thru the air that could clearly be seen in the video. From some of the recent photos it looks like they really could have blown the lid off it. At least off the secondary containment.

Now with this design there's a cooling pool in the top floor and above, actually part of the secondary containment. (or the illustrations are inaccurate, something rrrAdam would know.)

Given the violence of the explosion, could it smush together, (not likely, but possible) the used fuel and get it to go critical again?

If it was scattered about in small bits by the explosion would it cool rapidly enough in air to not burn any remaining cladding? (more surface area for unit volume)


Edit,

I see this thread has devolved into idiocy, so I'd understand if knowledgeable people have moved on to something more productive.
WBraun

climber
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:22pm PT
The U.S. has just very publicly told the Japanese government to grow some balls and start facing the situation.

This should really be an international concern and all advanced nations using nukes should be volunteering along with the Japanese to try and avert this potential catastrophe.

If these things go into meltdown the whole world will feel the effects in various ways they do not really see yet .....

kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:33pm PT
There are transcripts of some very informative Q & A sessions the Union of Concerned Scientists are holding daily at :

http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear_power/nuclear_power_risk/safety/japan-nuclear-crisis-briefings.html

The 3 scientists replying to reporters include Ed Lyman, who spoke this afternoon before the Senate briefing that was mentioned front page on the NY Times. Someone posted the link unthread.

Tomorrow the UoCS will release a report "on the U.S. nuclear industry's safety record in 2010".
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:33pm PT
Riley, I no more appreciate Environmental Disasters then you do dying patients. So long as we liev the way we will do I will have plenty of work. Unfortunately.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:39pm PT
Given the violence of the explosion, could it smush together, (not likely, but possible) the used fuel and get it to go critical again?

Seems doubtful. It'll just be a big hot pile of pure evil. Why there aren't robots to deal with this kind of mess is a question that I bet will eventually come up. Big lead-lined Roombas would come in really handy at this point.

Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:49pm PT
Happie and Bluering, robots were used to clean up much of the radioactive contamination inside Three Mile Island reactor.

But it’s doubtful robots exist to manipulate and repair cooling systems in these Japanese reactors.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 16, 2011 - 11:57pm PT
Yep, but no further work seems have been done. This article is two years old, the last lines say it all.

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/09088/959200-96.stm

The first, "Reconnaissance," completed within a year, was put into action in 1984, five years after the accident, creating "a major leap" in robotic technology, Dr. Whittaker said. It served cleanup duty for four years inside the containment building basement, then was succeeded by "Core Sampler." A third robot, "Work Horse" was built but never used.

The robots, which were submersible in water, were made of materials that wouldn't absorb radiation and lacked crevices where radioactive dust could accumulate.

Operated by humans at a distant control panel, the robots had to unroll enough electrical cord to provide power hundreds of feet down corridors deep inside the containment building. It was a major engineering feat that Dr. Whittaker initially designed on a napkin.

The robots carried cameras and equipment to measure radiation. They also bore high-pressure water sprayers, core drillers and scrapers.

Over the years, CMU's two robots cleaned up enough radiation in the basement to allow humans briefly to enter and evaluate conditions. A vacuum system was used to remove the damaged nuclear fuel from the reactor.

Still slightly contaminated, the containment building will remain sealed until TMI reactor No. 1, which is still operating, is decommissioned.

The $1 billion cleanup took 14 years to complete. Without the CMU robots, GPU would have been forced to recruit workers for short stints of cleanup duty at high cost and health risk.

"His team made the difference for us, when you look at the contribution it made in terms of human exposure and money to train people and bring people in," Mr. Pavelek said. "When you look at the money and expense [CMU saved], it was phenomenal.

"I have to tell you, I was amazed at the talent," he said. "[Dr. Whittaker] is an exceptionally intelligent man, but the team of students he put together astonished us."

Dr. Whittaker called it "a galvanizing experience that seeded the robotics movement."

"Before this, there was speculation on what robots might do and what the technology might become, but there were no robots at work in the world," he said. "It propelled new technology from ideas to implementation."

Since then, Dr. Whittaker has developed robots used inside mines and in exploration of seas and space. His team also developed the world champion robotic car. As part of Astrobotic Technology Inc., he hopes to win the $20 million Google Lunar X Prize by landing a robot on the moon in December 2010.

TMI occurred at a time when technology to clean up nuclear accidents didn't exist and few thought a cleanup would ever be necessary. Thirty years later, the experience still serves as the nuclear power industry's ultimate lesson in the importance of safety and the need to anticipate solutions to unforeseen problems.

"The perspective is, 'It will never happen again,' and it does," Dr. Whittaker said. "Then the perspective is, 'We'll be ready for it,' and we're not."
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:08am PT
Scientists Project Path of Radiation Plume
By WILLIAM J. BROAD
Published: March 16, 2011
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/17/science/17plume.html?_r=1

Source: NYTimes

A United Nations forecast of the possible movement of the radioactive plume coming from crippled Japanese reactors shows it churning across the Pacific, and touching the Aleutian Islands on Thursday before hitting Southern California late Friday.

Get Science News From The New York Times » Health and nuclear experts emphasize that radiation in the plume will be diluted as it travels and, at worst, would have extremely minor health consequences in the United States, even if hints of it are ultimately detectable. In a similar way, radiation from the Chernobyl disaster in 1986 spread around the globe and reached the West Coast of the United States in ten days, its levels measurable but minuscule.

The projection, by the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization, an arm of the United Nations in Vienna, gives no information about actual radiation levels but only shows how a radioactive plume would probably move and disperse.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4774552



Dang it all this isn't good.


We will all be "Down Winders"




Simulation of the plume . . .

Forecast for Plume's Path Is a Function of Wind and Weather
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/16/science/plume-graphic.html?ref=science
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:09am PT
This is a Martin Mars water bomber. There must be something similar in the soviet union that can get to the site quicker than these planes from Vancouver Island.


I'm stil advocating a kamikaze brigrade building a berm around the entire site and start pumping water in, bomb the reactors with water with forest fire fighting planes. Bring some fire boats in and start pumping water

How much longer are the Navy guys going to wait before doing something ?


Nuke plant design faulty from the start
http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/fukushima-mark-nuclear-reactor-design-caused-ge-scientist/story?id=13141287
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:09am PT
man! lets send super riley! if he is half as good as he talks he can walk across the ocean, reamin calm under pressure and tell those poor Japanese a thing or two!

more than likely though he will be as useful as baby sh#t. i cant belive the crap coming out of his mouth. his ancestors probably helped burn the witches as the stake as part of the ignorant mob.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:21am PT
PAY ATTENTION PEOPLE



Dang it all this isn't good.


We will all be "Down Winders" soon . . .




Simulation of the plume . . .

Forecast for Plume's Path Is a Function of Wind and Weather
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/16/science/plume-graphic.html?ref=science


I know this is very low concentrations, but the point it will be here on Friday and well into Saturday, and then the more major plume will come in after that I would imagine dispersing all over the US.

Low levels yes, but it is gonna be here.




We are not talking high dosage acute exposure, we are talking low dose chronic exposure. You will breath this stuff in. You will eat it. It will fall into water sources. Very low dose chronic exposure inside the body is a major concern. They do not know the full effect of this. Acute yes, but long term chronic not so much. There are some studies and evidence for latent illnesses that can develop 10, 20, 30 years later due to low level chronic exposure from radioisotopes absorbed into the body.



Biological Effects of Radiation, by NRC
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/basic-ref/teachers/09.pdf

graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:45am PT
Would our government so blatantly tell OUR citizen nuke workers to "get back in there" knowing it was "recognized as a suicide mission?"

Our government would send in the military. Suicide missions are part of the job description for them.

That is what the Russians did to control Chernobyl. They sent in their military.








Chernobyl military graveyard. (Many of the workers who drove or piloted these died from radiation poisoning or cancer.)





graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:46am PT
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
The sky is falling!
SPLAT!
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:54am PT
Chernobyl military graveyard. (Many of the workers who drove or piloted these died from radiation poisoning.)

someone already posted a link to this ...


Four hundred times more radioactive material was released than had been by the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. However, compared to the total amount released by nuclear weapons testing during the 1950s and 1960s, the Chernobyl disaster released 1/100 to 1/1000 the radioactivity

In the aftermath of the accident, 237 people suffered from acute radiation sickness, of whom 31 died within the first three months

oh and riley, i got a job for ya. lets use your fat ass as a plug for the damaged reactor core. we'll stick ya in head first so the world doesnt have to listen to you.
tooth

Trad climber
The Best Place On Earth
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:00am PT
When I was in Russia in the 90's I met some men who were sent in with the military to clean it up. They were saying it was taking a good 10 years to start dying from all their cancers, and by then everyone they knew were sick or dead.

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:03am PT
Of the 72,000 Russian Emergency Workers being studied, 216 non-cancer deaths are attributed to the disaster, between 1991 and 1998. The latency period for solid cancers caused by excess radiation exposure is 10 or more years; thus at the time of the WHO report being undertaken, the rates of solid cancer deaths were no greater than the general population. Some 135,000 people were evacuated from the area, including 50,000 from Pripyat.

tooth, i think you are correct. it does take a while to get things like leukemia.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:04am PT
Hopefully the jet stream will stay north and take the radiation into Canada....?
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:08am PT
Some sayings from Japan-

"Children learn to smile from their parents.”

“The world is its own magic.”

“Knowledge is not skill. Knowledge plus ten thousand times is skill.”

“Blood is just red sweat.”

“I don't have dreams. How can I say it? I myself am a dream.”

A person, who no matter how desperate the situation, gives others hope, is a true leader.”

“In a mad world, only the mad are sane.”



graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:08am PT

Four hundred times more radioactive material was released than had been by the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. However, compared to the total amount released by nuclear weapons testing during the 1950s and 1960s, the Chernobyl disaster released 1/100 to 1/1000 the radioactivity

Hawkeye, this was on Wikipedia and the footnote goes here:

http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Booklets/Chernoten/facts.html

Read in context, it's not very pretty.
In the aftermath of the accident, 237 people suffered from acute radiation sickness, of whom 31 died within the first three months

This is also from Wikipedia. But read it in context:


In the aftermath of the accident, 237 people suffered from acute radiation sickness, of whom 31 died within the first three months.[63][64] Most of these were fire and rescue workers trying to bring the accident under control, who were not fully aware of how dangerous exposure to the radiation in the smoke was. Whereas, the World Health Organization's report 2006 Report of the Chernobyl Forum Expert Group from the 237 emergency workers who were diagnosed with ARS, ARS was identified as the cause of death for 28 of these people within the first few months after the disaster. There were no further deaths identified, in the general population affected by the disaster, as being caused by ARS. Of the 72,000 Russian Emergency Workers being studied, 216 non-cancer deaths are attributed to the disaster, between 1991 and 1998. The latency period for solid cancers caused by excess radiation exposure is 10 or more years; thus at the time of the WHO report being undertaken, the rates of solid cancer deaths were no greater than the general population.

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:39am PT
wondering why this thread is ignoring Kyshtym

is it still that big a secret?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyshtym_disaster

what we learned from it may have saved the northwestern US from a repeat performance, complements of the Hanford high-level waste tank farm

i've been told by my uncle at Hanford that Kyshtym was worse than Chernobyl

and in meetings i attended about handling Hanford tank 101SY, the 'burp tank'; the fear was it could be more dangerous than Kyshtym

(my cousin helped design the reprocessing facility that handled 101SY)


Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:48am PT

The three U.S. bases around Tokyo have chartered planes to evacuate the families of the military people stationed there.

Meanwhile the Japanese dumped four bucketloads of water on the reactor by helicopter and are now "reevaluating" the situation. Apparently four bucketloads didn't lower the radioactivity at all. They're reassuring everyone that the riot control water canon will be in place this afternoon.

Meanwhile speculators have driven the dollar to first time lows against the yen.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:52am PT
Jan, was the emperor's television address the first time that an emperor has spoken on television?

Also, if I understand correctly, Japan's politicians are relatively weak in terms of power. The real power is mostly held by senior bureaucrats, even more so than other liberal democracies. If the politicians seem ineffectual, it may be because they are.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:24am PT
During the Cold War, national security policies prevented government
authorities from disclosing the risks and health hazards associated with
living near or working at weapon production facilities. These facilities
released harmful levels of radiation into the environment



Radioactive Iodine -131 is a major uranium fission product, comprising nearly 3% of the total products of fission.

Radio Iodine decays with a half-life of 8.02 days with beta and gamma emissions.

Due to its mode of beta decay, iodine-131 is notable for causing mutation and death in cells which it penetrates, and other cells up to several millimeters away. For this reason, high doses of the isotope are sometimes paradoxically less dangerous than low doses, since they tend to kill thyroid tissues which would otherwise become cancerous as a result of the radiation.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iodine-131

http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/csem/iodine/exposure_pathways.html



Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:51am PT
Once again, I’ve enjoyed this discussion immensely. I haven’t been captivated by a single news event like this since Sept. 11, 2001.

The contributions of rrrADAM and the other nuclear scientists (from Livermore and Hanford, etc.) on here have been very incredibly helpful in terms of understanding the technical aspects of this situation. I am physician and in the past I have been reluctant to comment on most medical discussions on here, but that may change…without someone like rrrADAM taking the time and effort to patiently answer questions on here over and over again regarding his technical specialty with nuclear reactors, I’d be at a serious loss.

Other comments have been equally insightful:

Dingus Milktoast summed up things pretty well with the following: “The backup generators flooded, apparently. So I am not willing to give a tip of my hat to the prescient powers of nuclear design engineers. ‘They design these things to withstand blah blah blah….’ And are taken out by a flood. Not Good.”

Someone else pointed out the irony of a multi-billion dollar nuclear plant disaster being mitigated with a simple fireman’s rig: portable pumps and some fire hoses in the sea. Yikes. Not a great confidence-inspiring example of a working redundancy plan to “preserve the inner containment.”

Once the NYTimes mentioned yesterday that 50 workers were staying behind as sacrificial lambs to hold the lid on it, the poster BMACD’s words rang true as he pretty much told it like it is: “whoever the fuk the engineering morons are that designed a seaside nuke plant to be earth quake proof but neglected to protect the backup cooling systems and generators from associated tsunami damage should immediately be choppered onto the site now to man the firehoses until they fukkin croak from radiation over dose.”

The mudslinging between the various voices is also informative, as the dissenting opinions help clarify issues and also provide amusement. I enjoyed Golsen’s comment (to some doctor): “I have a sneaking suspicion that if 2,000 extremely sick patients showed up at your hospital in an hour that you would sh#t bricks and we could all chime in on the internet how clueless the medical world was.”

I work in a busy Emergency Department and even if 20 extremely sick patients show up at once it would be a complete cluster. [FYI: I trained at the busiest Emergency Dept. in California (LA County USC Medical Center) and attended disaster drills there. They sucked. When we had a mock mass casualty event to test our triage and wash down decon capabilities, there were so many snafus and clusterf*#ks, it was embarrassing; and that was when we KNEW that we had a simulated disaster drill planned! I spoke to Dr. Celentano, the head of Disaster Management, and asked, “So what would really happen if/when a dirty bomb goes off in the Rose Bowl?” He replied, “Tens of thousands or more will die and we will not be able to do anything about it.”] A disaster, by definition, overwhelms the existing resources to manage it.


The reality is that this problem involves all of us. We use energy. It comes from somewhere. A few nights ago, I read by candlelight (I often have only one light bulb on in my house at time and I don’t use heat in the winter except for my wood stove, which only burns wood from my yard, nor do I use AC in the summer despite weeks of 100-100 degree days (my house is old and completely uninsulated, btw, I just deal with 40 degree temps inside with down booties, long johns, and down jacket, and the summer heat by wearing a wet shirt and staying as wet a possible). The two candles were plenty of light and it was romantic. I think if more people were introspective about their energy use, the obsession with oil, the wars and environmental risk required to maintain a steady supply, and our conventional forms of controversial power such as coal and nukes, would become much less appealing. I also drive a 13 year old Jetta diesel that still gets about 50 mph, btw. Ok, I’ll stop with the self-righteousness.

Back to the topic, my girlfriend’s family lives 140 miles from the Daiichi plant, just north of Tokyo. Last May, I strolled along the beaches of Miyako in Iwate prefecture after a week of scrambling in the snowy mountains of nearby Tohoku. This video shows the tsunami breaking over the protective beach barrier in Miyako (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5-zfCBCq-8I);. It broke my heart. There are so many kind elderly people in villages like this that in no way could evacuate fast enough to make it out alive. Beyond tragic.

Ironically, just 140 miles away from where I live in California is one of only 2 nuclear power plants in my state. It’s the Diablo Reactor Cluster on Avila beach near San Luis Obispo. It’s design to handle a 7.5 magnitude quake and draws it’s secondary cooling water from the Pacific. It has to throttle back to 80% during simple storms just to prevent kelp from clustering the cooling water intake. In 2008, one of the reactors was taken offline for 2 months due to jellyfish clogging the intake. In addition, after the plant’s completion, a new seismic fault called (the Hosgri fault) was found offshore. Protests took place forcing PG&E to seismic retrofit the plant to make it safe. A 25 year old engineer hired shortly thereafter noticed that the seismic retrofitting took place in error…the blueprints had been reversed for two identical reactors, thus negating the safety retrofit! Then in 2008, the USGS discovered a new fault in the area, the Shoreline fault a mere 600 meters from the plant. Jeanne Hardebeck, the research geophycicist behind the discovery, wrote in a recent issue of Rolling Stone Magazine:

“’The important issue is whether the two faults can rupture together.’ A rupture beginning on the Shoreline Fault that continued on the Hosgri Fault could bring the maximum earth-shaking power of the larger fault directly to the nuclear facility. ‘We’ve certainly not ruled it out,’ Hardebeck says. Diablo Canyon is engineered to withstand a 7.5 earthquake from the more distant Hosgri Fault — a design based on the USGS projections that that fault is likely to max out at a 7.3 magnitude temblor. (For comparison, the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan was built to withstand a 7.9 quake, but got hit by a 9.0.) But Hardebeck cautions that the USGS estimate ‘is not a very precise number.’ While she has not calculated the margin of error, Hardebeck says ‘it’s certainly a few magnitude points of uncertainty — and possibly even more than that…A 7.7 on that fault would not be surprising to me,’ Hardebeck says.

So there you have it folks, bringing it closer to home. A nuclear reactor on a sea cliff in central California next to two seismic faults, one of which is a few hundred yards a way, with a cooling system that routinely gets plugged by kelp and jellyfish. My fellow Supertopoians (many of whom are in California), it could have been us!

I write this as I sit under a single compact florescent bulb, writing by battery-powered laptop. I’m wearing 2 pile jackets and my feet are cold (ok, I’m wearing just flip flops), but I’m comfortable. Goodnight.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:17am PT
It's getting worse, the water in spent fuel pool number 4 is now confirmed by multiple sources as empty… ‎....that means 4 (!) out of the 6 reactors are now in a state of variable malfunction. With spent rods now in pool number 4 now exposed, the release of radiation is significant enough to thwart further cooling maneuvers of the other reactors and their spent fuel pools. The water will boil off, the fuel rods will continue to burn and release more radioactivity, and the fuel rods in the containment vessels will fail. Core melt appears probable at this point. Experts, please tell me I'm wrong. I think I need to rent the China Syndrome.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:25am PT
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iU29-CtBza8xA01r9IzPwksyP1WQ?docId=9e518d4998224fd8b705cc3fe9903eb6

Bungling, cover-ups define Japanese nuclear power

(AP) – 31 minutes ago

TOKYO (AP) — Behind Japan's escalating nuclear crisis sits a scandal-ridden energy industry in a comfy relationship with government regulators often willing to overlook safety lapses.

Leaks of radioactive steam and workers contaminated with radiation are just part of the disturbing catalog of accidents that have occurred over the years and been belatedly reported to the public, if at all.

In one case, workers hand-mixed uranium in stainless steel buckets, instead of processing by machine, so the fuel could be reused, exposing hundreds of workers to radiation. Two later died.

"Everything is a secret," said Kei Sugaoka, a former nuclear power plant engineer in Japan who now lives in California. "There's not enough transparency in the industry."

Sugaoka worked at the same utility that runs the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant where workers are racing against time to prevent a full meltdown following Friday's 9.0 magnitude quake and tsunami.

In 1989 Sugaoka received an order that horrified him: edit out footage showing cracks in plant steam pipes in video being submitted to regulators. Sugaoka alerted his superiors in the Tokyo Electric Power Co., but nothing happened. He decided to go public in 2000. Three Tepco executives lost their jobs.

The legacy of scandals and cover-ups over Japan's half-century reliance on nuclear power has strained its credibility with the public. That mistrust has been renewed this past week with the crisis at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant. No evidence has emerged of officials hiding information in this catastrophe. But the vagueness and scarcity of details offered by the government and Tepco — and news that seems to grow worse each day — are fueling public anger and frustration.

"I can't believe them," said Taketo Kuga, a cab driver in Tokyo, where low levels of radiation was observed Tuesday, despite being 140 miles (220 kilometers) away from the faulty plant.

Kuga has been busy lately driving to airports and train stations people eager to get out and flee southward. And it unsettles him the information about radiation is all over the Internet, hours before officials make their announcements.

"I don't feel safe," he said.

Tokyo Electric Power Co. official Takeshi Makigami says experts are doing their utmost to get the reactors under control.

"We are doing all that is possible," he told reporters.

Worried that over-dependence on imported oil could undermine Japan's humming economy, the government threw its support into nuclear power, and the industry boomed in profile and influence. The country has 54 nuclear plants, which provide 30 percent of the nation's energy needs, is building two more and studying proposals for 12 more plants.

Before Friday's earthquake and tsunami that triggered the Fukushima crisis and sent the economy reeling, Japan's 11 utility companies, many of them nuclear plant operators, were worth $139 billion on the stock market.

Tepco — the utility that supplies power for Japan's capital and biggest city — accounted for nearly a third of that market capitalization, though its shares have been battered since the disasters, falling 65 percent over the past week to 759 yen ($9.6) Thursday. Last month, it got a boost from the government, which renewed authorization for Tepco to operate Fukushima's 40-year-old Unit 1 reactor for another 10 years.

With such strong government support and a culture that ordinarily frowns upon dissent, regulators tend not to push for rigorous safety, said Amory Lovins, an expert on energy policy and founder of the Rocky Mountain Institute.

"You add all that up and it's a recipe for people to cut corners in operation and regulation," Lovins said.

Competence and transparency issues aside, some say it's just too dangerous to build nuclear plants in an earthquake-prone nation like Japan, where land can liquefy during a major temblor.

"You're building on a heap of tofu," said Philip White of Tokyo-based Citizens' Nuclear Information Center, a group of scientists and activists who have opposed nuclear power since 1975.

"There is absolutely no reason to trust them," he said of those that run Japan's nuclear power plants.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:51am PT
Thanks QITNL. "Help your fellow man; respect nature." A singular yet complete mantra to live by indeed!

Unfortunately, I just found out I was wrong, my girlfriend's family is only 100km or less from the area in the adjacent prefecture ...but they are safe for now.

So, the latest NYTimes picture shows helicopters dumping water? This seems ridiculously futile. Remember what happened to those similar helicopters (and their pilots) in Chernobyl?

Initially I was joking about the China Syndrome until I saw Tom Cochrane's post...OMG, it IS the China syndrome!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:54am PT
Jan, was the emperor's television address the first time that an emperor has spoken on television?

Yes, evidently this was the first time that the current emperor has spoken directly to the Japanese people on television. Previous to this, the last time a Japanese emperor spoke to the Japanese public was in 1945 after two atom bombs had been dropped and the emperor had to tell the people of Japan that the country was accepting unconditional surrender and that the people "must bear the unbearable". The symbolism could not be more somber.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:13am PT
Also, if I understand correctly, Japan's politicians are relatively weak in terms of power. The real power is mostly held by senior bureaucrats, even more so than other liberal democracies. If the politicians seem ineffectual, it may be because they are

Yes, a large part of the problem now is that Japan is in a very transitional period politically, the biggest such transition since WWII.

One can well argue that the Japanese have a weak political system because the Americans favored it being that way because of WWII and in order to keep Japan as a close ally during the Cold War. We finagled to keep the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) (which is actually a conservative party), in power as the sole governing party for all but a couple of the past 56 years. Real power was wielded by the bureaucrats.

Japanese people were content with this system for many years as they also distrusted strong leaders as a result of the war. They saw America and Japan as being in an elder brother / younger brother relationship or that of a sempai/ kohei apprenticeship. Lately however, they have become restless with this system and the inevitable nepostism and corruption that it brought. There has also been a rebellion against unelected bureaucrats making all the important decsions.

The current leaders are liberal compared to the LDP and are striving for transparency but they are very inexperienced and have made many policy mistakes. The Japanese have had four prime ministers now in four years but the bureaucrats are reluctant to to be decisive now, unlike during the Kobe quake, because they fear being accused of undermining the politicians who don't like them.

For sure, the post war era is over with this catastrophe. What will be really interesting to see, is what the new system will be. Perhaps people will flee back to the comfort of the LDP, or blame them more for establishing all these nuclear plants with so little oversight. Perhaps Japan will become more leftist. No doubt they will be forced to rely more heavily on the Americans for yet awhile. Okinawa for sure will be put on the back burner as all energy goes to rebuilding the mainland.

China of course, and South Korea will be the major winners here.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:46am PT
QITNL-

I agree about the multi-nationals, especially in the Anglo-Saxon world. British people were complaining to me 30 years ago that one of the biggest reasons for their decline was that British companies invested in the more profitable colonies instead of at home.

However, some countries regulate their multinationals much more than we do and some countries like China act as one big multinational. The West, especially individualistic America doesn't want to admit it, but this has been a faster and more efficient way to modernize than laissez fair capitalism.

I think the long term future however must rely on an ecological model, a self sustaining rather than growth and profit oriented one. Perhaps this nuclear accident will speed that process.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 17, 2011 - 06:56am PT
Japan is a nation of the worlds finest foot soldiers, with the worlds worst generals. Paris Hilton could have handled this better than their political leaders have done.

Further reading has revealed that 3 top GE engineers quit in disgust over this Mark 1 reactor design @Fukushima and became leading anti nuke environmentalists way back then.

Is the policy of no containment structures for the spent rods pools global ? What a major oversight that is. Tom Cochrane thanks for bringing attention to the Hanford site problems. Even more reasons for me not to sleep at night.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:09am PT
As I said, pages ago, before the nukes had any real spotlight, "we needed to get power to those plants in order to keep the fuel covered and cool". That is still the priority.

People pointing at helicopters dropping water and saying that shows they don't know what they are doing is wrong, as they are working with what they have... Which is no power. Dropping water or using fire hoses form fire engines is part of the plan to cool the fuel pool when all else fails. But getting water into the Rx vessel is another story... There is a lot of pressure in that system, so the pressure differential between the Rx stsem and a fire hose means that you can't use a hose to inject water into the Rx Vessel... The pressure of the injection system needs to be greater than the pressure of the vessel in order to get it in. This takes POWER. And getting power to the plants is not as easy as going to Lowes and buying a few generators, or running an extension cord from Tokyo to the plants.

The decisions being made are based an MANY circumstances, and most people outside the situation have no idea of the details that lead them to make the decisions they are making. Sending in the military, would do what? They would make decisions based on what?


And NOTHING can be made 100% safe, period! Try to imagine a design that would withstand a direct hit from an meteorite the size of a house... See what I mean? The system, as designed, has mitigated to a high level, what could have happened, even though the system wasn't designed specifically for the tsunami. Can/could it have been better, yep! And this will be taken into account in the future, both near and far. I can't talk about that plant in particular, other than it is the same reactor design as the nuke I work at, a GE Mark I... But I can say that my plant has several additonal layers of protection that were added on over the years, each making the system more robust. E.g., We even have SAMA (Severe Accident Mitigation Alternatives) Deisels that are for charging the baterries that run emergency systems.
http://www.nrc.gov/reactors/operating/licensing/renewal/applications/fitzpatrick/appendix-g.pdf


Point is, it's not like these nukes are designed and constructed to meet minimum requirements, and just run to make power... The entire industry is ALWAYS modifying and making changes to enhance safety. They look for any and every way to maximize safety, and even though this costs LOTS of $$$, we still do it. My plant is also 40 years old, but we are still adding additional layers, on top of additional layers, that have been added through the decades to make it safer, and safer.

Also, the nukes share information with other nukes imediately, to ensure that any issues (real or percieved) are addressed at all plants... This is done through not only the NRC, but also INPO:
http://www.inpo.info/
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:18am PT
Power plants can be designed to SHUT DOWN in the event of a power loss, and to do so AUTOMATICALLY, as a function of their design, and without depending on computers, pumps and electricity backups. But the American designers don't like them, as they are NOT HUGE, MASSIVE MONEYMAKING INSTALLATIONS.

This is incorrect, as all plants in the US are designed to automatically SCRAM when they lose offsite power. You are not reading, as I have already explained this...

The reactors are scrammed with a system that uses pressurized nitrogen to actuate the CRDs (Control Rod Drive) and insert the control rods in a matter of seconds. The valves that control this "fail safe", meaning, if a valve needs to be opened to serve its safety function, it is held closed with power... If the power fails, it automatically opens. And vise versa, if a valve needs to be closed to serve its safety function, it is held open with power... If the power fails, it automatically closes. That is what "fail safe" means... It will 'fail' to the safe position.

And, the EDGs automatically start, with pressurized air starting them, with valves that "fail safe" as above, and those EDGs automatically run pumps that have valves that also "fail safe".

And, as an added layer of safety, there is redundancy built into all of these systems, so if one were to stick, it would be bypassed, so the system still "fails safe".



So, it certainly seems a lot more unsafe when you actually believe something that just isn't so, huh?
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:55am PT
RrrAdam, I respect your testament that there are many safeguards in place, but the Chernobyl accident was triggered during a test to verify and make redundant a safeguard mechanism.* In this effort to make Chernobyl safer, an unprecedented extreme accident occurred. So re-assurance about redundant (failing) safeguards and that the Japanese workers are trying their best to mitigate what appears to be evolving into a multiple “core melt” incidents at Daiichi don’t really allay the fearsome outcome if it doesn’t work. I appreciate the fact that there are no quick fixes here, but is lighting up half of Tokyo with neon signs really worth the risks of nuclear power? Is it worth those fifty workers dying over the next 5 years or sooner from leukemia? I’d say no.

Google the horrifying videos of the Chernobyl “biorobots” (the soldiers forced to manually clear the radioactive debris of the roof and dump back into the fuming reactor) and the “kamikaze firemen” who were the first responders at the scene. These biorobots worked for 40 seconds at time in shifts, and even that was in retrospect too dangerous for some. It’s not worth it, man. I really don’t think we need so much electricity.

I appreciate your concern for safety and reliance and confidence on redundant mechanisms, but when faced with the consequences of everything failing, a nuclear failure just doesn’t appear worth it. Now the Chernobyl sarcophagus is failing, and a new structure being engineered to contain it further…

If we have to keep learning these typing of lessons to produce “safe” nuclear energy, it’s not worth it. We aren’t ready for it. As one of the Soviet scientist said (paraphrased), “we just don’t have the technology to work in these condition around this stuff safely.”

[At Chernobyl, if I understand correctly, the concern was the backup diesel generators took long to become fully operational (~45 seconds) to pump the vast amount of water needed to cool the fuel rods in the event of an emergency shutdown, and thus efforts to harness the power from the nuclear powered steam turbine as it was winding down was attempted to augment the pumps until the diesel generators were working at full capacity. They were testing this when things started going wrong and fast!]
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:14am PT
Bargain... As has been said, numerous times in this thread, Chernobyl was a flammable dangerous design in what ammounted to a tin shack, so there was no chance of containment whatsoever. Those two items alone, make Chernoby completely different, thus any comparison between it and TMI or Fuku isn't valid, other than they were reactors.

As I said earlier...
It's analogous to saying, that a solo aid climber with a huge rack, portaledge with rain fly, sleeping bag, and lots of experience can suffer the same or fate than a free soloist if both were on the upper pitches of El Cap when a severe storm blew in.


In the above analogy, we can say that they are both climbers, but there is a huge different between the two, and the likely outcome if both were subjected to the same event (E.g., winter storm)... Just like between Chernobyl and TMI / Fuku, but they are/were both reactors.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:34am PT
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42124500/ns/world_news-asia-pacific/


I don't think any of that matters anymore....

re: Workers contaminated and exposed to radiation...

We are ALL exposed to radiation, most natural, some man-made.

I am exposed to radiation in my job inspecting nukes... As I've said, numerous times, about ~125 mRem per year, and that is less than people who fly 2-3 times per week, people who live in Denver, or in New Enland, recieve annually. It is about what a person gets when they get a chest x-ray.

I have also been "contaminatied", more than once... OMFG!!!!!!!!! Should I worry? Am I gonna die? Nope! They wiped it off with a 'wet wipe', like you'd wipe a baby's ass with, and I went home, 'contamination free'. Dose recieved, 0 mRem from it. And, anyone who smokes get's an 'uptake' of radioisotopes, as well as anyone who lives near a coal fired power plant.



As I've said... It's all about how much and what. That article says they recieved 'how much' dose? And contaminated by 'what'?

But I do understand... When one doesn't understand, "exposure to radiation" and "contamination" sounds REALY scary!



People are buying Geiger Counters like crazy on the internet, and there is a lot of money to be made off of this fear. But guess what... When people get it, and turn it on, it will click, and they will freak out convinced that radiation and contamination from Japan has made it to them, not knowing that it will click anywhere you turn it on due to background radiation... How many people know the background dose artes for the area that they live? You HAVE to know this first, to see if there is any radiation above ambient background.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:46am PT
Adam, my point was more about the dangers of nuclear power when the tofu hits the fan so to speak. Chernobyl failed… as the managers there were trying to make it safer. The Daiichi reactors all have multiple safety systems... that failed.

So are you saying that all modern reactors now have fail proof containment structures that can never have a core failure that will compromise the structure (not including a direct meteor strike nor invasion by the Transformers)? That’s like saying climbing equipment never fails. What would Todd Skinner say about it?

Sure modern systems might be safer, until they fail. Then we have to deal with the mess for decades or centuries…

As to BMACD's question, it does seem shortsighted not to have containment structures for the spent rod pools...

Adam you have a lot of confidence in your systems, but have you considered the need to have an outsider look at your nukes and give a real worst case scenario assessment? I think there will be a lot of nuclear power plants in the country that will be undergoing intense scrutiny soon...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:49am PT
Adam..you are crazy...
Wow... You sure told me.


Edit... Nice edit, AFTER I quoted you and replied.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:01am PT
Adam you have a lot of confidence in your systems, but have you considered the need to have an outsider look at your nukes and give a real worst case scenario assessment? I think there will be a lot of nuclear power plants in the country that will be undergoing intense scrutiny soon...
I have an educated confidence, because I understand the details. My confidence is NOT 100%, but very close to it. And outsiders DO look at the systems. In fact, the American Society Of Engineers (ASME), for one, as ASME Sec III is for the code for construction, repair, and replacement of safety related nuclear systems. ASME Sec XI is for Inservice Inspections of safety related nuclear componants.

And, as I said, initially within this thread, before Fuku really became news... We need to get power to those plants, to keep the fuel cool. Why did I say this, sounding an alarm, before it was really ringing? Because it's a big frick'n deal, and I knew the potential consequences of not getting power to those units. ALL of this is due to a loss of power, offsite first, then failure of the EDGs an hour later due to the tsunami. Yes, that should not have happened, and I am confident that modifications will be made to ENSURE this can't happen again. This is why there are so many systems available at my plant for power in the event of a loss of power, or even a terrorist act.

But it has happened, and for the most part (I can't express that enough), the robustness of the containment designs have kept much of the bad stuff in, as the problems are local... So, they have 'for the most part' served their function.

If, they had power... NONE of this would be occurring. If they got power back within a couple days, NONE of this would be happeing, and it would have all been contained 100%.


This is why I had initially said, "we need to get power to those plants".
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:12am PT
So what does that say about the quality of technical science reporting...

This is a really good book, that explains much of 'why' we are where we are regarding science...

It even has an entire chapter devoted to the decline in science reporting, both in quality and frequency.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:43am PT
I'm on a bus heading from NC to DC. It's notable that uniform military folks are onboard, CBRN patches on shoulder. That's chemical biological radiological nuclear specialists. Some body up there must need advice, or they are mobilized to deploy with OGA's responding.

Granted fallout from worst case scenario in japan will be limited, but seems possible if not probable now.

Available Asia passenger charter aircraft maxed out now.

CBRN's sleeping peacefully btw.

Our govt is now, probably from the start, taking extensive and conservative precautions.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:52am PT
Adam- Swedish early warning nuke moniters are starting to pick up radiation. They are expecting this to travel across most of the northern hemisphere. Even across USA to Europe. This is not contained....That is.why i say none of that stuff matters anymore.
OK... Think about what you just wrote for a moment here... IF they are detecting this (Fuku) in Sweden, then the jet-stream and/or lower atmospheric winds have blown BACKWARDS for some time, enough for it to blow across all of Asia/Russia/Middle East/Eastern Europe, OR it has already been blown accross the Pacific, the US, the Atlantic, and Western Europe to reach Sweden.

Think about it. Use that gray matter between the ears.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:55am PT
OR it has already been blown accross the Pacific, the US, the Atlantic, and Western Europe to reach Sweden.

Well, duh!
OK, and IF this has happened, this hasn;t been detected here, or in Western Europe 'why'? We and they have just as sensitive intruments as they do.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:00am PT
Earlier this morning I wrote...
Point is, it's not like these nukes are designed and constructed to meet minimum requirements, and just run to make power... The entire industry is ALWAYS modifying and making changes to enhance safety. They look for any and every way to maximize safety, and even though this costs LOTS of $$$, we still do it. My plant is also 40 years old, but we are still adding additional layers, on top of additional layers, that have been added through the decades to make it safer, and safer.

Also, the nukes share information with other nukes imediately, to ensure that any issues (real or percieved) are addressed at all plants... This is done through not only the NRC, but also INPO:
http://www.inpo.info/

And, sure enough, here at my nuke (Note that this went to ALL nukes), we recieved direction from INPO to verify certain things, BECAUSE of what has happened in Japan... Just an experpt, as it is 'limited distribution':
Verify the capability to mitigate conditions that result from beyond design basis events, typically bounded by security threats, committed to as part of NRC Security Order section B.5.b issued February 25, 2002, and severe accident management guidelines. Include, but do not limit, the verification to the following:
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:03am PT
The person doing the monitoring is in Sweden but the monitering device is somewhere over the pacific...it didn't say where..
Then what you wrote...
Adam- Swedish early warning nuke moniters are starting to pick up radiation.
...is misleading, as I, and apparently DMT, took your words to mean in Sweden.



This is my main issue... Misunderstandings, misinterpretations, and misleading information... All of that leads to BS speculation and fear that is not appropriate given the actual threat.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:05am PT
Bet ya it's detectable in the aleutians too, easy to imagine trans polar transport to Sweden.

Within a few days minuscule amounts will be detectable all over the n hemisphere.

I agree it's no big deal outside the immediate area and the plume for a couple hundred miles out to sea, but rrrADAM, you come across as having your head in the sand now.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:10am PT
Fear and speculation are ALWAYS part of the human equation. Its something you pointy headed technicians and engineers need to relearn over and over and over again.

Your calls for calm consideration will be ignored. You all in the Nuke business need to understand this and come at your PR campaign in a vastly different manner.

Calculators and long winded explanations will not calm the riled beast.

DMT
Agreed.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:12am PT
It's almost midnight in Japan and we've had less information today than on any previous day. All they've told us is that they dumped four bucket loads of water this morning which may or may not have helped (they can't say), and they have managed to spray the # 2 reactor with several tons of water from police water cannons. They think the water canons have worked as they think they may have seem steam rising from the cooling tank afterward.

Tokyo electric is now announcing they hope to have power up and running to the # 2 by tomorrow. Of course nobody has any clue whether the equipment will still pump or not even with electricity, or how that might help the other 5 reactors on site.

Meanwhile, the Dept. of Defense and my university have been sending out emails instructing govt. ID holders on what the evacuation procedures are. Okinawa is of course still doing fine and no one here is going anywhere.

Meanwhile, I'm giving it up and going to bed. Hopefully I'll wake up to some better news tomorrow.
Delhi Dog

climber
Good Question...
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:15am PT
Good post up there Dingus.

DD
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:15am PT
Thanx for the link, QITNL... From that article:
"It is only a question of very, very low activities so it is nothing for people to worry about," De Geer said.

"In the past when they had nuclear weapons tests in China ... then there were similar clouds all the time without anybody caring about it at all," he said.


And, as DMT just correctly said, "people will still be afraid", ignoring or not trusting that it is insignificant. It's the picking and choosing of what the media reports, and pays attention to... "Radiation detected...", vs "Insignificant levels of radiation detected...".
stevep

Boulder climber
Salt Lake, UT
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:15am PT
I don't think he's got head in the sand. He's just saying that based on existing info, those of us in the US shouldn't panic. This isn't Chernobyl, and most likely won't ever be. That was a running reactor that exploded pretty much directly into the atmosphere. This is not that. And even with Chernobyl, the really bad effects were liimted to the Eastern Europe/Ukraine area. It's not like Japan got alot of radiation out of that. And the US is just as far from Fukushima as Japan was from Chernobyl.
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:16am PT
In Washington, NRC Chairman Gregory Jaczko said in congressional testimony Wednesday that a deep pool in unit 4 holding uranium fuel at the Fukushima Daiichi facility sat empty of water needed to prevent releases of radiation. “And we believe that radiation levels are extremely high,” he added. WP-17MAR2011

“Extremely high” is a meaningless subjective term that conveys no understanding to the event which is occurring. The world needs real time radiation data placed in geospatial position and compositional context for a more complete understanding of this crisis. It appears that the Japanese government and Tokyo Power are unable or unwilling to comply. The DOE and the DOD need to step up to the plate and force Japan to greater informational transparency, as well as release data which one would hope these USA government agencies are capable to collect from afar given that in the DOD case their hardware was designed to fight a nuclear war, that never came; and the in the DOE case that they dreamed up that hardware.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:33am PT
I didnt mean to call out rrrADAM. Just saying that the super calm tone lends itself to misinterpretation. We're not a bunch of idiots here, and this is obviously currently an out of control emergent situation.
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:42am PT
Thanks, rrrAdam for all the info and links to stories with actual information rather than all the hype. I can't even watch the news anymore because all the speculation, the leading questions by the reporters, etc are driving me nuts.
WBraun

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:23pm PT
DMT -- "Its something you pointy headed technicians and engineers need to relearn over and over and over again."

LOL

You're as bad as I am ... LOL

Lab coats ..... :-)

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:36pm PT
Ok here it is...I know we will have to rehash and repeat the entire thread concerning doses, dispersion...panic for the 100th time....the point is there is no containment...
I'm not gonna rehash anything, as some people choose not to believe it for their own reasons, Howeverm I will try to put some of what you just said into a propper perspective... If you, or others choose to accept it, fine, if not, oh well...

See bold above...

First, we do NOT know the magnatude of the breach in secondary containment, as from all I've heard, it is secondary containment that is likely breached, and in just one reactor. The rector vessel (Rx) from ALL accounts is still intact, and that is the primary containment.

So, we have steam and fission prodcuts vented to releave pressure from the RX, and this can get out of secondary if it is breached. Steam and some products do not equal the core, not even remotely.

Also, the amount of breach in secondary aslo matters... Remember, Chernobyl had no containment, so it was ALL esposed to the atmosphere, and the intense fire spread that material in a plume up to 30,000 feet high. At Fuku, the amount of contamination that can spread is proportional to the size of the breach (think a window, more stuff can pass through a bigger window than a smaller one, or even just a crack in the glass), the amount of contamination available to be spread (fission products), and a FORCE to push it through the breach (think window again) to the outside.


Imagine a pile of fine ash in your house (contamination is the same)... What would it take to get that ash outside of your house, and blowing around? (E.g., space under your front door, small window, large window, etc) See, it is relative to size of the breach? And, it would also take some force to get it out of your house through that 'breach', otherwise, it would just site there.

Now, if we want to look at the cores of Units 1-3, then we need to put that pile of ash in an airtight vessel in your house... Even though a window may be open, it isn't get out of the vessel.

So, sayng that "there is no containment" is a bit misleading, as there is a containment structure, but it has been breached, and we don't know to what degree... Using the analogy I've givem that would be like saying "there is no house", when only a window is open.


That said... The spent fuel pools are another story, as that is not contained in a vessel. BUT, it also isn't anywhere near as active as that which is in the core, and was critical less than a week ago.


And again... Material from Chernobyl spread all around the world, and was detectable here in the US. How many of us have a 3rd eye as a result? In fact, just because it is detectable does not mean it is something we need to worry about. Technically speaking, we are ALL exposed to contamination still in the environment from the A-bombs dropped at the end of the war and ALL nuclear bomb testing. It is a matter of how how what type, how much, and for how long.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:48pm PT
Thanks rrrADAM. If there has been no water added to the Rx vessels for a few days, what is likely going on in there?

Edited... Cause I realized folks with family in japan visit this thread.

I do really appreciate you coming here to help us understand.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:48pm PT
Here you go NWO, just what you need.


http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/03/16/ex-rad-militarys-radiation-wonder-drug/
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:51pm PT
Thanks rrrADAM. If there has been no water added to the Rx vessels for a few days, what is likely going on in there?
What water was there would turn to steam, expand in volume 1600 times, and have to be vented to protect the Rx, and thus go dry, causing extensive fuel damage.
Gary

climber
Desolation Basin, Calif.
Mar 17, 2011 - 12:54pm PT
So, where is all this stuff going to be stored? What's the half-life?
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:04pm PT
And. Right or wrong, this will put the brakes on all nuke construction, lead to the closure of others, cause more coal and gas plants to be built short term, and hopefully get us serious about large scale investment in renewables and reducing our out of control energy demands. This was all clear 36 hours post tsunami.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:36pm PT
Thanks rrrADAM. If there has been no water added to the Rx vessels for a few days, what is likely going on in there?


What water was there would turn to steam, expand in volume 1600 times, and have to be vented to protect the Rx, and thus go dry, causing extensive fuel damage.

And what does extensive fuel damage mean for the fuel that is in these pools? Did I understand correctly that these pools are not inside the containment facility? That part has me confused. Are the pools inside the area of the reactor building that has been blow off in one of the explosions? maybe two explosions? I have lost track of some of what has happened.

Thanks for any help understanding.

Edit: DMT is right to point out how messed up the media can get things. Ack.. But it sucks that they use phrases like. the radiation level has gone down, or up. Instead of saying what it is. Surely they know with all the detection equipment we have.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 17, 2011 - 01:49pm PT
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:00pm PT
So, where is all this stuff going to be stored? What's the half-life?
What is contained will stay onsite. The contaminated water can be run through resin filters, already onsite in 'rad waste', that will clean up the vast majority of it, thus consentrating the bad stuff in the resin.

The half-lives vary depending on fission product... Some just seconds, some eons:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fission_products_(by_element)


For an idea of the likely disposition of the stuff at Fuku, check here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Mile_Island_accident#Cleanup
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:02pm PT
Spent fuel is in pools that are now exposed to the sky, and apparently dry. Zero containment.

Reactor vessels, which are burly themselves, are inside secondary containment structures that are believed to be at the least cracked. Likely multiple reactor vessels have boiled dry, no current way to add water to cool. Fuel currently melting.

Gene

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:03pm PT
Hi John,

The spent fuel is stored in pools outside of the containment areas. This allows the possibility of using helicopters and fire trucks to replenish the water supply in the pools.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spent_fuel_pool

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12762608

g
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:04pm PT
radiation detection is on site
we know where those detectors are

giving the world a second-by-second location of every radioisotope coming from the site will not be possible

there are people working hard to estimate what the nature of the radioactive material is and how the dispersal will occur, given the uncertainties the partial technical information has to be used to make the best response policy, which includes many factors beyond the simple technical issues

with all due respect for rrrADAM one cannot down play the magnitude of this failure. Our ability to cope with the very technical operations of a facility such as a nuclear reactor, where the failure of that facility has huge consequences, depends on our ability to foresee the challenges that will drive the facility to failure. obviously we did not foresee all of these factors in this case, which was beyond worst case scenarios that were used to plan.

this situation, our ability to foresee the potential problems, is not isolated to the Japanese reactor program, but is a factor in all reactor programs, and is a major impediment to the use of nuclear power, as it should be. from a technical standpoint, this accident should throw a very different light on the US program, and many of our practices, e.g. re-certifying old reactors, should be scrutinized carefully. my opinion is that those BWR Generation II reactors are not commercially viable if you include the costs of insuring against failure. it might be hard to justify the continued use of any Gen II reactor.

the scale of the human and economic calamity must be a factor in our decisions to deploy these technologies and finding the appropriate balance with the commercial economic viability, an important societal discussion. whether or not you think the nuclear geeks are blind or that the person on the street has an irrational fear of radiation, the final act of deploying or not deploying nuclear power will ultimately come down to our best guess, as a society, of the likelihood of events like what is being played out in Japan right now. history, which is being made this minute, has provided its verdict loud and clear.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:12pm PT
And what does extensive fuel damage mean for the fuel that is in these pools?
Depends on the damage... If the zircaloy is comprimized, then the fission products can be released. This can be kept to a minimum if the fuel is kept covered.


Did I understand correctly that these pools are not inside the containment facility? That part has me confused. Are the pools inside the area of the reactor building that has been blow off in one of the explosions? maybe two explosions? I have lost track of some of what has happened.
Yes, you understand correctly... In this design of BWR, the spent fuel pools are on top of the reactor building (the 'refuel floor'), right next to the reactor cavity. That floor, is not within any containment designed to keep any pressure in (I.e., outside primary and secondary containments). What you see in many of those pictures is the refuel floor, so the spent fuel pools are now exposed to the environment.

The only reason (speculating) I can see that any of these could be allowed to heat up, boiling off the water, and potentially exposing the fuel (I have read that the fuel in the spent fuel pools did not catch fire, that it was an oil fire adjacent to them), is that dose rates were so high at neigboring units to keep people off of the refuel floors to ckeck the levels... Remember, no power, means no remote level indicators.

The fuel pools are SUPER easy to be kept full, if just monitored and maintained, as a single portable pump could easily supply the water needed to keep them full.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:21pm PT
Where is Tesla when you need him ? Did he unlock technology which would have made nuke plants unnecessary ?


I'm finding it very offensive how some are downplaying this absolutely catastrophic nuclear accident as it unfolds under the disguise of an industry expert kool-aid drinker. Millions of people are at high risk. The plant design was hopelessly inadequate. ALL OTHER PLANTS currently are characterized with the same flaw of uncontained spent rod storage. What an embarrassment it must be to be a part of the nuclear energy industry right now.

One full meltdown is going to domino logisistics for the rest. The long term impact is going to be comparative to 9/11 if not greater than
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:22pm PT
Thanks Adam, I appreciate you answering my questions.

I have another.. haha.

If the radiation level is too high for workers to check the pools, and they have run dry, then what is the worst case scenario? These are spent fuel rods, so how much contamination could they cause? Could they heat up and melt through the flooring, covering the reactor below, making it even more difficult to work on the reactors below? If they do fully melt, what kind of radiation danger are we facing? We.. meaning Japan or the world.

Thanks again for answering my questions.


And thanks Ed for that sobering analysis.
Gene

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:23pm PT
TEPCO is claiming that pouring water on the spent fuel pool has been effective. At 8:40 pm JST time, half an hour after the pouring started, the reading at the gate of the plant was 292 microsieverts/hr. At 11:00 pm, about four hours ago, the reading was 289 microsieverts/hr., a reduction of 1.0%.

Effective?

g

EDIT: The pool involved is the one at Reactor 3.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:24pm PT
with all due respect for rrrADAM one cannot down play the magnitude of this failure. Our ability to cope with the very technical operations of a facility such as a reactor where the failure of that facility has huge consequences depends on our ability to foresee the challenges that will drive the facility to failure. obviously we did not foresee all of these factors in this case, which was beyond worst case scenarios that were used to plan.

this situation, our ability to foresee the potential problems, is not isolated to the Japanese reactor program, but is a factor in all reactor programs, and is a major impediment to the use of nuclear power, as it should be. from a technical standpoint, this accident should throw a very different light on the US program, and many of our practices, e.g. re-certifying old reactors, should be scrutinized carefully. my opinion is that those BWR Generation II reactors are not commercially viable if you include the costs of insuring against failure. it might be hard to justify the continued use of any Gen II reactor.
Agreed... If I sound like I'm downplaying it, my bad, as that's not my intent... I have said numerous times, "this is a big frick'n deal".

And, as our management says, "our jobs rely on the public's confidence in our ability to operate safety". This is WHY I try to clear up so many misconceptions, as there is a lot of misinformation and misunderstanding out there.

And, as I said, INPO just notified all US nukes of issues that need to be looked at to ensure that operating nukes will meet not only their design basis, but also beyond, up to but not limited to flooding and damage to systems that are beyond the design basis. As per that notification, all items MUST be addressed within 1 week, 2 weeks, and 30 days, depending on item.


We have spent literally billions just at my nuke alone in the 40 years it has been online, upgrading and enhancing safety features, and we still invest that money even today... The latest is a dedicated emergency deisel generator system just for security (E.g., cameras, intruder detection systems, etc...), including its own building, at a cost in the millions of dollars. To the bean counters, it is well worth the money, given that nuclear generation at my company (5 units) accounts for 55% of the profit, so the other 200+ coal, solar, wind, hydro, and gas-fired generation plants equal 45% all together.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:31pm PT
rrrAdam. Are you seeing the up to date imagery of these reactor buildings? It's a mangled disaster zone. Nothing is remotely easy, let alone super easy. It's like pissing on a house fire what they've been trying w helos.
Bless 'em that they are trying.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:33pm PT
Gene, it means that the radiation as measured at the gate was not due to the exposed spent fuel. That radiation is largely gamma radiation and is confined in location to the spent fuel. The bigger threat, as rrrADAM and others said above, is if the fuel cladding fails due to the fuel high temperature, then the content of the fuel rods is no longer contained and can be spread by various means, e.g. wind borne dust, convection from heating due to fires, etc.

In this case, "effective" means that the fuel is covered and the time-to-failure is increased, hopefully to the point that the spent fuel retains its mechanical integrity
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:40pm PT
when you look at a modern car after a wreck it is certainly is an impressive mess, the consequences of which the persons on board are saved at the expense of the car...

that's good design..

as bad as the reactor buildings look now, if, in the end, the reactor cores are contained with little radioactive contamination to the site, it will be a huge success... the buildings are designed to be sacrificed one "system" at a time to preserve the integrity of the containment of the reactor core and to be able to manage that in the event of a complete fuel failure.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:41pm PT
Brings it home - Radioactivity in Granite at the Cemetery.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8JKSbKLp04&feature=related

All these yrs of climbing granite, sleeping on it, breathing granite
dust and still A-ok.


Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:45pm PT
rrrADAM, without the Price-Anderson Act of 1957 there would be no commercial nuclear energy in the US because of the cost of insurance.

WBraun

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:46pm PT
I never really saw rrrAdam as downplaying this thing he's just giving information as he knows it and answering questions along with pointing out disinformation.

He's a quality humanitarian person here.

Ed is doing the same and you tell by his posts his high humanitarian qualities.

This so nice that these guys are giving this information from their respective backgrounds instead of having to wade thru the media info.

Thanks a lot guys it's really appreciated ....
Gene

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:51pm PT
Thanks Ed.

The NHK broadcast of the TEPCO press conference I saw implied that the reduction of 3 microsieverts/hour was a measure of the effectiveness of the water spraying effort.

Like Werner and others have said, I truly appreciate Ed and rrrAdam explanations. Thanks both of you.

g
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:55pm PT
Status as of 22:00 3-17

http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/news_images/pdf/ENGNEWS01_1300368041P.pdf

646 uSv/hr at the fence. (it has been as high as 10mSv/hr for brief spikes in the last couple of days)


A lot of the reporting has had their milli's and micro's mixed up.
Mason

Trad climber
Yay Area
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:55pm PT
Has anyone seen this? Can we consider it more fear mongering?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQXDt4VdS0E&feature=player_embedded

Edit: More a statement than a question i guess.

Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 02:59pm PT
i didn't mean to imply that rrrADAM was downplaying this disaster... but when we get all technical and discuss each individual detail at length it is easy "to loose sight of the forest for the trees," I do it all the time myself... important to take a deep breath, step back and survey the situation

much of the concern over this is based on the threat we perceive to ourselves. what the Japanese people are going through is unimaginable, now is a time to seek ways to help them overcome something even larger than just the failure of the nuclear reactors, they have been through even more than that.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 17, 2011 - 03:04pm PT
Thank you ALL so much. While some of the posts are silly, I'm learning more here than I could ever hope to learn from cable news.

Thanks.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 17, 2011 - 03:33pm PT
Perspective.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:01pm PT
Very good chart, however, recall the diferrence between:

Acute short term high dose exposure (outside the body)
Lots of studies done. Effects are known.

vs.


Chronic long-term low dose exposure (inside the body)
Health problems will take 10, 15, 20 years to show-up at times.
Not so many studies have been done. Effects are not known as well.


The effects from both are very real and serious though.

Read footnote #2. They recommend not trying to estimate the cancer risk below 1mSV, yet there will be health risks especially if it is Chronic long-term low dose exposure from being absorbed into the body through breathing, eating, or drinking these low dose radioisotope sources in trace amounts and stored in the body.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:07pm PT
Chiming in...

rrrAdam, Ed, Jennie, and others...

Thank you - there are many of us lurking here, and we appreciate your explanations, please don't get discouraged and leave!

lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:17pm PT
What Japan has always been good at is at robotic technology. Looks like they spent too much time and $$$ in copying a human that will talk, walk and do chores for you. They should have done more on machinery to fight fires.

If they do not have electricity to system in 48 hours look for the US to get in the picture using remote imagery machines, portable ready mix plant, pumping equipment and using a controlled insulated progressive density concrete mix for mitigation to surround the vessel.

Japan Government is what the US did in our disaster with BP. Waited too long. Also goes the blame game just as with BP and TEPCO saying they did not cut corners in safety or precautions. Cover ups just like any other country that has its pockets in these industries. Regulations? What stinking regulations? $$$$ for inspectors to look the other way. But there are improvements in some industries with these issues. Problem is and will always be $$$$$$$$$. This is good. Called Safety.

Fu%king Republicans will criticize but will they say we need better control and when the vote comes for these changes: LOL. Hell! They want all these protection agencies to go.

I say put all Republicans in that half mile reactive zone with Newt in charge, with Rush on his left and Beck on his right and his fellow republicans, give them business suits tell them they are safe, line them up and let them put the fire out.

Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:36pm PT

 robots depend on electronics for their "brains"
 electronics are not robust against the levels of radiation they would encounter in these nuclear reactor environments
 the robot option is not an option in this case

in general it would be great to have robots doing a lot of this dirty work, but it is much more difficult then it would appear, once you get the electronics to work, the motors have to work, etc...

I don't think there has to be corruption for the rules to be bent in favor of less now to mitigate a future that may or may not come to pass. industry can argue, has argued, that failure scenarios be "reasonable" and will push back on scenarios that would result in major costs. generally, industry can make a good argument that "no one knows, or can know" what might happen. generally, humans prepare to prevent historic problems, see DMT's post above about fighting the last war. unfortunately industry is "convinced" only in light of actual events. the problems with these Japanese nuclear reactors will now be the actual, demonstrated, "worst case" and future designs and modifications to current designs will be designed to avoid them.

it is an ad hoc cost-benefit analysis that plays out in regulatory politics all the time, in the full view of the electorate (here in the US) and with their participation. our current commercial reactor program is based on that sort of politics, which is not to say that anything particularly sinister has happened. one has to answer the question: "how do you know that might happen"

we run up against the fact that our ability to predict the past is a lot better than our ability to predict the future
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 17, 2011 - 04:53pm PT
Thanks, Cleo...I'm lurking...taking in the excellent discussion.

Just a note on spent fuel:

The recommended period of pool storage for a spent fuel assembly is 19 months...after which they can be stored in dry casks...their gentler heat being dissipated by convection within. However, many spent fuel assembly racks in the United States remain in pools for several years...lacking terminal space to store them.

Japan's ovecrowded cooling pools indicate a similar dilemma. Many racks are full of largely cooled fuel.

The pool at Fukushima Dai-Ichi Unit 4 is/was a particular issue because the fuel rods in it were just removed from the reactor core during refueling in December 2010. They are generating more heat than the lower activity fuel at the other reactors on the Dai-Ichi site.

(Commercial power reactors are typically refueled at three to five year intervals; some of the test reactors at Idaho's INEL went six to eight years between core changeout)
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:06pm PT
If the radiation level is too high for workers to check the pools, and they have run dry, then what is the worst case scenario?
From what I understand, which is sketchy at best, is that the Unit 4 spend fuel pool had boiled, and partially to fully exposed the fuel. Since most of it has cooled down considerably, (speculation here) the worst case scenario would be fuel damage, including loss of some of the zircaloy allowing fission products to escape. Being down in a pit, ~40', if that floor is exposed to the wind (I.e., the outer building is now gone), those products can be blown out.




These are spent fuel rods, so how much contamination could they cause?
I can't answer that, as I'm just not qualified, and I'm not going to guess on that. I can say, "potentially a lot", but that doesn't say much.



Could they heat up and melt through the flooring, covering the reactor below, making it even more difficult to work on the reactors below? If they do fully melt, what kind of radiation danger are we facing? We.. meaning Japan or the world.
No, it is extremely unlikely that spent fuel could get hot enough to melt.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:11pm PT
when you look at a modern car after a wreck it is certainly is an impressive mess, the consequences of which the persons on board are saved at the expense of the car...

that's good design..

as bad as the reactor buildings look now, if, in the end, the reactor cores are contained with little radioactive contamination to the site, it will be a huge success... the buildings are designed to be sacrificed one "system" at a time to preserve the integrity of the containment of the reactor core and to be able to manage that in the event of a complete fuel failure.

Well said, Ed... Much better than I could have done.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:14pm PT
rrrADAM, without the Price-Anderson Act of 1957 there would be no commercial nuclear energy in the US because of the cost of insurance.
I didn;t know about that... I'll ahve to check that out. Makes sense though, as when we have multiple units down for outages, our stock goes up... When I asked someone why, since we weren't generating making $$$ I figuured it would go down, they said because our cost of insurance went way down.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:18pm PT
Concerning the use of robots (Ed's Post). High level rad can do them in, but in moderate levels (ie: way above what you want a human exposed to) robots and more commonly robotic arms (manipulators) can and are used. In fact we had some manipulator pieces ready to ship to us and were asked this morning by another entity within DOE whether we can sacrifice them for use in Japan.

There are many behind the scenes government actions being taken to try and help the Japanese, this is just one example.
Gene

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:20pm PT
Hey Adam, Ed and other informed folks:

From what I gather from the media, TEPCO is focusing on the Reactor 3 spent fuel container because it is the only one of the storage pools that has MOX fuel which, due to its plutonium component, has the potential for more serious contamination.

Can you folks comment.

Thanks again for shedding light on this topic.

g
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:28pm PT
Maybe a dumb question, but;

Being down in a pit, ~40', if that floor is exposed to the wind (I.e., the outer building is now gone), those products can be blown out.

If the rods are throwing heat, won't that cause some sort of convection, raising the bad stuff to the surface?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:30pm PT
(Commercial power reactors are typically refueled at three to five year intervals; some of the test reactors at Idaho's INEL went six to eight years between core changeout)
All the plants I have worked in the the US run on 18 month OR 2 year fuel cycles... BWRs tend to run 2 year cycles, replacing about half of the fuel, so they get 4 years out of a fuel bundle. PWRs refuel about half their core every 18 months.

It has to do with the amount the fuel has been enriched, as NAVY nukes run much longer between cycles since they have much more enriched fuel.

Unfortunately, here in the US, we do not reprocess fuel, and from what I understand, we only use 15% of the fissile material in our assemplies, but some of the fission products are neutron absorbers, so it make it inefficient to continue to use the fuel. Point being, we waste 85% of the usable fissile material since we don't reprocess, like is done elsewhere.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:31pm PT
Good point, Brandon. Yes.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:36pm PT
Golson - "In fact we had some manipulator pieces ready to ship to us and were asked this morning by another entity within DOE whether we can sacrifice them for use in Japan."

I sincerely hope that the answer was "yes" and without hesitation. Even if the robotic items end up not getting used, or don't work, it is an act of humanitarianism I think would be difficult for even the hardest-boiled egg(head) to say no to.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:38pm PT
If the rods are throwing heat, won't that cause some sort of convection, raising the bad stuff to the surface?

So, and I don't know much about this, but I'm a pragmatic sort of person, in the future would a particulate filter over the entire campus be a practical safeguard?

From what I'm understanding, the long range danger comes from particulate, not direct radiation.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:41pm PT
Thank you very much:

I never really saw rrrAdam as downplaying this thing he's just giving information as he knows it and answering questions along with pointing out disinformation.

He's a quality humanitarian person here.

Ed is doing the same and you tell by his posts his high humanitarian qualities.


And thank you also for the picture of Tesla's great achievement with the Wycliff Tower, which was scrapped when the big money realized there was no way to charge people for freely available power...designed to freely power towns, houses, and vehicles from a distance:


graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:41pm PT


Robots Are Tougher Than You, Part 2: Nuclear Radiation

Robots are invulnerable to radiation that would kill humans. This week, we’ll take a glance at a few hard-working nuclear bots to see what they do and how they do it. In the past, remote-controlled drones have been sent to disaster areas such as Chernobyl and Three Mile Island to collect structural samples and to map radiation levels. As far back as 1985, the half-ton, imaginatively named "Rover No. 1" from GPU Nuclear Corporation was busy collecting concrete samples from the Unit 2 reactor of Three Mile Island (it went critical in 1979). A little more than a decade later, the Carnegie Mellon-designed Pioneer robot (a mini-bulldozer with a 300-ft. umbilical cord) was sent to the Ukraine to explore the melted core of the Unit 4 reactor at Chernobyl (the result of an explosion that killed 32 people). Luckily for us, new nuclear disaster zones are scarce. Even so, radioactive robots have plenty of opportunities for action…. —Daniel H. Wilson, Resident Robiticist

The Nuclear Power Plant
We’ve all seen Homer Simpson standing outside a leaded glass window with his arms shoved into rubber gloves, juggling rods of plutonium. Homer is actually using a form of telerobotics, in which an operator controls robotic manipulators that take the place of human hands. Early designs used a pure mechanic coupling so that human movements were translated directly to the machine—the equivalent of poking radioactive material with a stick. What more would you expect from Homer?

Dismantling Nuclear Weapons
Sometimes, however, technicians don’t want to be on the same continent as the robot, much less the same room. That requires a semi-autonomous robot arm that uses actuators and its own power source to grip and manipulate objects, while still taking remote commands from a human teleoperator. Schilling Titan II robot arms have been up to the task of dismantling nukes. The "Dual Arm Work Module" uses two six-degree-of-freedom arms, one for holding parts and the other for cutting apart the warhead one layer at a time. You aren’t likely to see these robots again, however, since during the course of operation they become highly radioactive and must eventually be stored as hazardous waste. These bots can’t be fixed either, so they are designed to be highly redundant: If one tool breaks, another system can compensate.

Radiation Tests
At the Gamma Irradiation Facility at White Sands Missile Range, researchers routinely irradiate advanced electronics to see how they would perform in a crisis (you know, “just in case”). In December 2005, however, a cobalt-60 radiation source became jammed, wantonly spraying Gamma radiation that would be lethal to a human within 30 seconds. The solution was to borrow a 600-lb. bomb-disposal unit (called "Mighty Mouse") from nearby Sandia National Laboratory. Following some DIY modification, the robot unscrewed a metal plate and cleared the jam. Afterwards, Mighty Mouse was available for beers with scientists (Gamma radiation does not leave metal radioactive). Nevertheless, robots like Mighty Mouse are often designed with seals, so they are easy to wash down with special decontaminating chemicals after a hard day of manhandling nukes.
mike m

Trad climber
black hills
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:43pm PT
999...1000 boom
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:53pm PT
much of the concern over this is based on the threat we perceive to ourselves. what the Japanese people are going through is unimaginable, now is a time to seek ways to help them overcome something even larger than just the failure of the nuclear reactors, they have been through even more than that.
Agreed.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:53pm PT
the Russians have a long history of developing electronics designed to operate in high rad environments, such as a nuclear war. We learned about this when a defecting pilot brought over one of their latest fighter planes with what appeared at first to be ancient electronics on board

At least one such robot was used at Chernobyl to go in and look at the 'Elephant's foot'; the pile of slag left below the melted reactor core

we used the best cameras we could devise to keep track of the big hydrogen burps going on in Hanford tank 101SY, but they only lasted a few hours before needing replacement
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 05:58pm PT
From what I gather from the media, TEPCO is focusing on the Reactor 3 spent fuel container because it is the only one of the storage pools that has MOX fuel which, due to its plutonium component, has the potential for more serious contamination.

Can you folks comment.
Plutonium is very bad stuff. Check the wiki article on it.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 17, 2011 - 06:03pm PT
My uncle in Richland WA (Hanford)) has told me about handling Plutonium buttons with his bare hands; with the cautionary note that you really don't want any dust particles into your lungs. He is now a healthy 90 years old...
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 06:39pm PT
Happy, the answer was yes.

Tom, thanks for your work on the burping tank. We still have 53 million gallons of highly radioactive waste in storage tanks at the Hanford site. The waste is not from the Nuke Power industry but is an undesireable product of Plutonium weapons production. I manage construction, Start-up and Commissioning of 3 of 5 facilities designed to vitrify that waste.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 17, 2011 - 06:47pm PT
I manage construction, Start-up and Commissioning of 3 of 5 facilities designed to vitrify that waste.
That is a great solution to part of the problem with waste..
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:02pm PT
Thanks Adam. It is neither cheap nor easy, but like your plant I know my facilities are significantly safer than commercial chemical plants with like hazards.


Edit:
Here is a picture of the plant.

Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:10pm PT
The danger of the spent fuel rods shouldn't be underestimated. This is now theorized as a bigger concern than that of the reactors themselves, according to the authors of this article.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/18/world/asia/18spent.html?pagewanted=2&hp

Paraphrased summary:

‘Richard T. Lahey Jr., a retired nuclear engineer who oversaw General Electric’s safety research in the early 1970s and who wrote a classified report for the United States government several years ago on the vulnerabilities of storage pools at American nuclear reactors, chimes in:’

“Tokyo electric has also brought up the possibility of the spent fuel rods melting and achieving "recriticality", i.e. resuming the fission process that they were originally intended for in the reaction chambers. Although this is unlikely, "..if recriticality occurs, pouring on pure water could actually cause fission to take place even faster....If a lot of fission occurs, which may only happen in an extreme case, the uranium would melt through anything underneath it. If it encounters water as it descends, a steam explosion may then scatter the molten uranium…”

So it sounds like there is a possibility of spent fuel (which is not surrounded by a containment vessel) resuming fission? It doesn't sound so spent to me…

-------------


Also, in reference to Tom Cochrane’s concerns of maintenance flaws and cover-ups a la China Syndrome, a climber physicist friend from the PacNW just wrote on my FB page this morning:

“…Some of my coworkers did work at Fukushima in the 90's as part of regular maintenance operation. We built and operated a large robot arm to clean the scale buildup in the cooling pumps in the reactor. The lengths that Tokyo Power went to to cover up even the smallest deviation were astounding. These included paying the contractor several times the going rate with the understanding that broken or damaged parts were written up as being inspected instead of being repaired and mysterious 'extra' bolts or washers found in the core were not recorded in the log book.”

-------------


As per the radiation dose threat table pasted by Cintune, the data is from 2001. I graduated from my Emergency Medicine residency in 2008, thus in that 7 year period more data has come in from long term effects of CT scanning. The teaching in 2008 was that a single CT scan gives an adult a 1:2000 chance of acquiring a terminal malignancy (the risk doubles if you are under the age of 18). Thus if you are 15 years old and get hit by a car and come to my ED unconscious with low blood pressure concerning for internal bleeding and/or a spine fracture, you will most likely get a “pan scan” which includes 5 CT scans (head, neck, chest, abdomen, and pelvis). That single exposure gives you 1:200 chance of dying of cancer from that single diagnostic test alone. This data came before the widespread use of the even more powerful CT scanners (e.g. 64 slice) used today…which give great images, but expose you to more radiation. Thank you, but I’d much rather have surgery for my suspected appendicitis, than a diagnostic test than could be both inconclusive and ultimately harmful. (BTW, once you reach age 50, the radiation risk is considered negligible, as theoretically you won’t live long enough to die of the cancer.)

-------------


As for the use of robots to examine the meltdown core in Chernobyl, watch the documentaries (available on YouTube). The primitive protective gear used by the Russian scientist investigating the aftermath was shockingly crude. At one point they use a remote controlled toy tank bought for $15 rubles at a department store with a camera strapped to it. Watch the follow-up British documentary of the scientists investigating the Chernobyl sarcophagus to see if anything is leaking...several cry when they describe the deaths of their 40 year colleagues of vague causes (stroke, heart disease, etc.) since the first documentary was made. They also lament how much they underestimate the danger of the exposures themselves...and these were the "experts."
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:30pm PT
“…Some of my coworkers did work at Fukushima in the 90's as part of regular maintenance operation. We built and operated a large robot arm to clean the scale buildup in the cooling pumps in the reactor. The lengths that Tokyo Power went to to cover up even the smallest deviation were astounding. These included paying the contractor several times the going rate with the understanding that broken or damaged parts were written up as being inspected instead of being repaired and mysterious 'extra' bolts or washers found in the core were not recorded in the log book.”


This kind of crap makes me more mad than just about anything. Earlier in this thread people wanted to throw the designers under the bus. Don't blame them. The designers built a plant with inherent limitations but one that surely met all of the design criteria. If the design criteria was wrong, then that is partially a nuke safey engineering responsibility but primarily a Management Responsibility.

I have studied disasters in Chemical Plants, NASA and other industries for over 15 years as part of my job. In most of the disasters, management had a significant role. And if they didnt? They are management, its their job to be responsible.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:31pm PT
If a meltdown occurs, worst case scenario, at least it's there - oceanside - and not upwind.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:37pm PT
rrrAdam,

great stuff, tfpu.

Are you in a position to say if nuclear tech with regard to safety esp has advanced much (like a magnitude or more) in the last 30 years? Or is all pretty much the same, boilerplate basics, whatever? Curious to your input.

What would you say is the one greatest advance made in the industry regarding safety in the last 30 years?

This is going to be hot political issue in the future - like never before - now that this has happened and now that fossil fuel prices are set to soar - the citizenry more than ever need to be informed on this.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:49pm PT
HFCS,
I work with a lot of ex-Navy Nukes (about 20 of them) . As Adam said, their fuel is more highly enriched and therefore, there are proliferatoin concerns with the fuel. Having said that, I heard some things today about the design of their reactors that makes them seem way more advanced than the ones in Japan.

Adam can probably tell more details than me.
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 07:55pm PT
Fukushima is providing all the informing I need to make a decision as to whether I want Nukes in the future. There will be massive propaganda to tell us that this could never happen in the US.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:20pm PT

There's something to be said for not having this, of course, but without nuclear power it's gonna take a lot more of this:


So either way it's a harsh reality to be faced.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:21pm PT
Fukushima is providing all the informing I need to make a decision as to whether I want Nukes in the future. There will be massive propaganda to tell us that this could never happen in the US.


Or it could usher in a new review and re-thinking of safety inplementation.

There is an appropriate Churchill quote here;

“You can always count on Americans to do the right thing - after they've tried everything else.”

But the Japanese are the same way.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:36pm PT
We will undoubtedly hear lots of propaganda for and against. You can count on the NRC to perform a detailed review and there will undoubtedly be some changes in the important to safety systems and reforms in terms of accident scenarios and design basis events. The NRC are not beholden to industry, however, they are beholden to the president (for what its worth).

Where I work, we are constantly and thoroughly reveiwed by the Defense Nuclear Facility Safety Board which answers to the president. While we are not building a reactor, we are building the worlds largest Radio-chemical processing facility which will be used to clean up 53 million gallons of highly radioactive waste. I came to this job from a plant that destroyed perehaps the worlds most dangerous chemicals, Sarin and VX. All I can tell you is that the nuclear industry is more stringent than that one, for what its worth....
Dave

Mountain climber
the ANTI-fresno
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:36pm PT
"Chronic long-term low dose exposure (inside the body)
Health problems will take 10, 15, 20 years to show-up at times.
Not so many studies have been done. Effects are not known as well."

Not true. The BEIR IV and IV reports used the health studies of a number of cohorts of uranium miners, followed for decades, to estimate the health effects of high and low dose chronic exposure to radon gas and radon daughters (alpha particles - like plutonium fallout).

The reports were the ultimate basis for the EPA's radon concentration limit for homes.
Dave

Mountain climber
the ANTI-fresno
Mar 17, 2011 - 08:44pm PT
"From what I gather from the media, TEPCO is focusing on the Reactor 3 spent fuel container because it is the only one of the storage pools that has MOX fuel which, due to its plutonium component, has the potential for more serious contamination.

Can you folks comment.
Plutonium is very bad stuff. Check the wiki article on it"

"My uncle in Richland WA (Hanford)) has told me about handling Plutonium buttons with his bare hands; with the cautionary note that you really don't want any dust particles into your lungs. He is now a healthy 90 years old..."

Agree with Tom. My grandfather worked on the Manhattan project, and helped develop nuclear power sources for "listening devices" placed to listen in on china. According to my dad, he brought home plutonium blocks that my dad messed with as a kid.

As an alpha emitter, it can't hurt you unless the charged particles (or dust, from fallout of plutonium) are inhaled or eaten. Then, yeah, its really bad news.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:47pm PT
"When you say it's gonna happen now,
When exactly do you mean?
See I've already waited too long
And all my hope is gone..."
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 09:53pm PT
Helen calicott has some interesting things to say about nuclear power. for those of you that still think it is worth the risk I ask how you are going to convince your neighbors to put it in your back yard ?

There are lots of alternatives for saving energy. Most older houses in california are not even insulated, lets start there. Your neighbors probably won't object to that.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:18pm PT
^^^ well, that depends, now... on whether you count making stuff in the house, like solar panels, rice cookers, or maintaining the house, like roads, street lights, or maintaining yourself, like food, or clothes, or a new #6 cam, or keeping your lifestyle, like visiting the doctor or having a job or having a fire department or a university for your kids...

there's a lot more to it than electricity consumed at an individual home. concrete, alone, consumes 5% of electricity. CONCRETE! I've never personally bought concrete, but that doesn't mean I don't use it.


I agree, though, that we should be able to sell produce and sell power back to the grid, but I don't think we're shedding the coal/nuke monsters anytime soon.




Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:28pm PT
residential is 22% of the energy use in the US.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:32pm PT
I agree, though, that we should be able to sell produce and sell power back to the grid, but I don't think we're shedding the coal/nuke monsters anytime soon.


Yeah. Maybe in 20-50 years we can though. So let's not get all crazy, uh?

Nuclear/Coal/oil has to be used for now. BUT!!! This is the time to be researching alternatives, as we are doing. Doesn't mean they are viable yet though. Not enough to do away with conventional sources.

Be realistic!
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:35pm PT
We're lucky that we haven't had to deal with this in the US yet. The Union of Concerned Scientists released a report today listing "14 'near-misses' at U.S. nuclear plants during 2010 and evaluates the NRC response in each case".

http://ucsusa.org/nuclear_power/nuclear_power_risk/safety/nrc-and-nuclear-power-2010.html


SFGate has a story about the Diablo Canyon reactor at San Juis Obispo:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/03/17/BUA01IDTUO.DTL

Diablo Canyon nuclear plant 'near miss' in report

"For 18 months, operators at the Diablo Canyon nuclear plant near San Luis Obispo didn't realize that a system to pump water into one of their reactors during an emergency wasn't working.

It had been accidentally disabled by the plant's own engineers, according to a report issued Thursday on the safety of nuclear reactors in the United States......

...Engineers at Diablo Canyon inadvertently created the problem while trying to solve another issue, according to the report.

A pair of remotely operated valves in the emergency cooling system was taking too long to move from completely closed to completely open. So engineers shortened the distance between those two positions, according to the report.

Unfortunately, two other pairs of valves were interlocked with the first. They couldn't open at all until the first pair opened all the way. No one noticed until the valves refused to open during a test in October 2009, 18 months after the engineers made the changes....."

cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:35pm PT
Geez, bluering, for once I agree with you, why do we vote differently?? (don't answer that, it is rhetorical!!!)


kunlan - Ed made a very good point way back... we have assess the relative safety / disaster effect with the benefit of each. Perhaps nukes aren't as safe as we think (which we think is lots safer than coal). I said this once before - it is a bit like comparing plane crashes (big, horrible, scary, and very infrequent) to car crashes (small, and so frequent even pilots are more likely to die in a car than a plane). Assuming nobody is staying home (not using power) ... do we drive or fly? And what about those near plane crashes - did we learn from them?

kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:44pm PT
Cleo - have you read the reports? The NRC is very effective in some cases, and ineffective in others.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:46pm PT
No, kunlan, sorry for spouting prematurely, and maybe my comments weren't actually directed at you.

Thanks for the link - I will take a look.
cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 17, 2011 - 10:48pm PT
I think Dr. F and bluering more or less agree.

GROUP HUG!!!!

Okay, I'm signing off, thanks for the good discussion, guys.




BLD

climber
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:24pm PT
Cragman, glad to see that pointed out here again.

The people in the sunami effected areas have experienced something so far from normal.
It seems that in Japan most are familiar with the ground shaking. The surge of water and it's wrath must have them shaken in a different way. Lay on top of that cold, snow, hunger, thirst, radiation and death of family and most of your neighbors.

I wish I could help......

B

Studly

Trad climber
WA
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:28pm PT
I wish I could help also. Prayers and best wishes to the people of Japan.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 17, 2011 - 11:52pm PT
hey there say, cragman and studly... yep, if all of us, and of course there must so many more in the world, doing this, even now:

but if we all chip in and pray for something, even giving a few hours of our time, or meals, everyday, hopefully some miracles can happen for who knows how many, in japan that are homeless and foodless...

many nice miracles happened for our flanders/doug, and many were amazed... it is the joint prayers and wishes in love as a unit, that are so special...

we can do this for the japanese, and take on the nuclear worries, secondary, as well...

it is WHAT we can do, when can't do anything...
and, it is WHAT we can do everyday, at anytime as well, even when we CAN do things...

it is a wonderful thing for anyone to do...
so here we go:


:)
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:21am PT
In all of the ramblings regarding the nuclear factor, let us not forget that there are thousands dead, dying, or searching for the living as we speak, not to mention hundreds of thousands homeless!

Right now this is the most immediate issue.

Normally, when a country is hit by such a massive earthquake, thousands of rescuers flood in from all over the world to help. This started to happen right after the quake but now everyone is afraid and those there are rushing for the exits.

Also, remember the nuclear plant is in the middle of a disaster area. There are thousands of people there who need help. But even the Japanese rescuers are afraid to help them. They have been told to remain sealed of indoors but are running out food and water. Many of them are stuck there and not able to leave.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:22am PT
Just heard that one of my friend's family is safe

He has a friend in Sendai though that he has been unable to contact.
BLD

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:32am PT
Given the destruction all around Fukushima, the entire crew there must have been understandably frizzle fried from day one. I'm thinking most of them never had a chance to check on their loved ones. One would think that the higher ups would have taken this into consideration. They have had there hands and minds full while staying at their posts. Gotta hand it to them for that and all they have done. I think it's fair to everyone that someone take over and put this to bed.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:34am PT
I woke up to the good news this morning that the U.S. military has finally been called in to use our nuclear intelligence gathering technology to establish just how much and what kinds of radiation is being leaked and how far. They are also providing overhead photos of the plant so we can finally know which reactors are in what degree of trouble. Accurate knowledge is always the basis of effective action.

I think the most frustrating aspect of life in Japan for any western person is the difficulty of communication and the lack of detailed information. This goes way beyond language difficulties which are already considerable, to much deeper issues of the culture.

I recently spent 20 minutes on Kadena Air Base trying to find out if the reason I couldn't use my credit card at the gas pump. The possibilities were my card not being accepted or the whole military credit card system being down. Both are frequent occurrences over here and a simple yes or no would have sufficed.

Instead, the woman at the kiosk apologized profusely, went round and round in circles with verbal platitudes and told me nothing. Eventually she called a young guy who spoke better English and he went through the same routine. Finally, he got the manager of the whole complex to talk to me.

When I explained all I wanted was a simple answer to save the price of a phone call to the U.S. that evening, he asked the kid who told him right away that my card had been refused. He then spent another five minutes explaining to the kid with instructions to tell the woman, that it isn't good enough to just apologize to Americans, you have to give them an explanation of what is wrong and if possible why. Obviously he got to be the manager because he understands western culture.

Magnify these cross cultural communication problems by the thousands and you have an idea of the difficulties of understanding the current reactor problem. Meanwhile, thanks to American technology we will finally be getting some straight forward answers!
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:35am PT
from a colleague there:

"Thank you so much for your sincere messages.
We are very much encouraged by your words.

Not just Sendai, many other places in Japan were damaged,
and the shortage of the electric power forces
many people in Eastern part of Japan a lot of difficulties.
I do hope everyone's safe and relief.

Earthquake was terrible, but the true disaster was brought
by Tsunami. My house locates about 20km from the coast
and the Tsunami comes up to ~10km line from the coast
as far as I saw in the satellite image.
It was never imagined.

The area attacked by Tsunami includes the coast we usually
go in summer, Sendai airport, and some shopping centers
we often visit. Ishinomaki, an area that was terribly damaged,
we enjoyed driving, hot spring, nice seafood just two weeks ago...

When the quake happened on Friday (just after the Subaru proposal
deadline!) I was in my office at the 8th floor
of our building. Some big shake begins, and I came out from my office
to the elevator lobby. The terrible big shaking then begins and
lasted more than a few minuets. Within a minuet or so, I cannot
stand any more. All the big shelves or lockers start sliding....
That was of course the biggest earthquake I have experienced.

After evacuated from the building and it seemed to settled for a while,
I walked down the hill (Aobayama), and in two hours, I come back
home to see, my family are safe there.

We felt more than 100 small or middle quakes since then!
Monday morning some of us come back to the university
to see the offices.....it was....just terrible.
University classes will be closed until the end of April
and we talk students to leave Sendai, if possible,
to their family places.

The electricity comes back to my house 4 days after the quake,
so it is getting better.
But still at many places lifeline (water, gas) has not come back yet.
We are now facing the problem of the shortage of
the food and other daily things
(but this should be better anyway within a few weeks, I suppose)
and the nuclear plants accidents (just 100 km from Sendai).

Finally, thank you so much again for your kind message.
We are alive, and we'll be back!"
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:37am PT
It isn't hard to find trustworthy organizations that are helping with tsunami/earthquake relief work, to donate to.

They include:
Japanese Red Cross Society
UNICEF
Save the Children
International Medical Corps
Medecins sans Frontieres
World Vision

The Japanese Red Cross, and International Red Cross, is apparently coordinating efforts.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/global-development/2011/mar/14/donate-help-japan-after-tsunami-earthquake
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:38am PT
Japan requests 10,000 radiation suits, 3000 Masks and Boron from France!

http://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message1402077/pg1


Needed gear for this epic battle of Japan against nature as it evolves
deeper into horror.

Japan will be the victor without doubt.


WBraun

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:42am PT
"Japan will be the victor without doubt."

They already lost.

They can only submit to nature.

No mortal being can overpower nature ......
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:43am PT
U.S. nuclear officials suspect Japanese plant has a dire breach

A leak in a spent fuel pool at the Fukushima nuclear plant would be an unprecedented problem with no clear remedy, experts say.

By Ralph Vartabedian, Barbara Demick and Laura King, Los Angeles Times

March 18, 2011

Reporting from Los Angeles, Kesennuma, Japan, and

U.S. government nuclear experts believe a spent fuel pool at Japan's crippled Fukushima reactor complex has a breach in the wall or floor, a situation that creates a major obstacle to refilling the pool with cooling water and keeping dangerous levels of radiation from escaping.

That assessment by U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission officials is based on the sequence of events since the earthquake and information provided by key American contractors who were in the plant at the time, said government officials familiar with the evaluation. It was compelling evidence, they said, that the wall of the No. 4 reactor pool has a significant hole or crack.


http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-japan-quake-wrapup-20110318,0,1937413,full.story
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:18am PT
Not being alarmist just sharing good information that everyone can use now and in the future . . .

It's times like these that we think about what we should do and what we should have done. We can all prepare our families and friends for events that possibly will happen now and in the future. Everyone needs to have a Family Disaster Plan. Turns out we should have KI tablets in our emergency home kits as well. Well now we know.

Everyone is thinking about these things now, and getting KI tablets and other radiation emergency equipment is hard to do right now. Most companies specializing in these items are getting slammed really hard and out of stock.

Found a good article on the emergency alternatives to KI:

Plan "B" for anyone caught without Potassium Iodide (KI) tablets in a nuclear emergency...
http://www.ki4u.com/plan_b.htm
http://www.ki4u.com/illwind.htm
http://www.ki4u.com/products1.php




I have a CD V-700 Geiger Counter (reads in mR/hr = milli-Roentgens per hour). It reads beta and gamma decay, not alpha. I have done a survey in my classroom, outside along the exterior walls of the classroom, and in my house and around the exterior of my house. I did these surveys 2 days ago (3-15) and again today (3-17). All normal background levels of radiation as expected (0.0 - 0.05 mR/hr). I'm curious if I will be able to detect that coming in from Japan. I will resurvey tomorrow (3-18) and again on Monday at school (3-21). I'll survey over the weekend at home. Very interested to see if I will pick-up additional radiation levels beyond the normal background level. We'll see.


Survey Meter Readings:


0- 200 cpm/ 0.0 - 0.05 mR/hr = Background readings
(My surveys have all been normal background readings so far)

200 - 400 cpm/ 0.05 - 0.1 mR/hr = Suspect contamination

> 400 cpm/ > 0.1 mR/hr = Contamination


Dose Rate (conversions):

1.0 mR/hr = 0.01mSv/hr


also


100 Rem = 1.0 Sv (Sievert)




Anyone else doing geiger surveys or thinking about it?



Forecast for Plume's Path Is a Function of Wind and Weather
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/16/science/plume-graphic.html?ref=science
Anastasia

climber
hanging from an ice pic and missing my mama.
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:25am PT
For christ sake we blew up atomic bomb in the Nevada desert and people still go there to climb and gamble! This is not the end of the world.
AFS
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:27am PT
It's called curiosity and science. I want to know. I know it will be very low levels, but I want to know if it is detectable by my CD V-700 geiger counter. We'll see.



Who said it was the end of the world?
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:31am PT
Let us know if you find any arks with it. Or Chicken Little.
WBraun

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:33am PT
It's coming ... some kind of end

One should hurry and sit in cave and do special yoga one breath and heartbeat per week.

When it's all over one should reappear and continue on ......
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:35am PT
Does drinking too much beer and watching hockey make Canadians have an extreme lack of curiosity?

I want to know the answer to that question also.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:39am PT
Klimmer, you have some radical beliefs, plus you are a bit over the top at times and this pushes peoples buttons. It has nothing to do with your curiosity level, and more to do with what appears to many to be a chicken little approach.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:45am PT
It's impossible not to make fun of such a silly as klimmer.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:45am PT
a few years ago a group of us from NASA flew over to Tokyo for meetings in Yokohama and Tskuba with our NASDA counterparts regarding the big research centrifuge that was being designed and built by the Japanese for the International Space Station Centrifuge Accommodation Module CAM. This was their barter contribution for hitching space shuttle rides for their lab elements. We were hosted in a fancy hotel where everything was computerized, the door, the curtains, even the shower, the toilet, and the bed. In the morning we took the train and then walked to the offices for meetings. There was a long table where we American engineers sat on one side facing our Japanese counterparts on the other side; all of us sitting up straight in our best suits. Our Station Struc and Mech Manager hyper-genius Hungarian drinking buddy and pool shark leader, very politely presented our long list of challenges as to why their design would not work; and in fact could destroy the station with vibration. All day the polite technical negotiations proceeded; particularly for the incredibly complex hub which had to rotate smoothly while passing water, waste water, power, ventilation and data for the multiple animal cages; with moving counterweights to maintain balance as the animals moved around. Then in the evenings we were treated to big pizza and kereoke parties until a reasonable hour. Then our Hungarian tour guide would lead us on a merry chase across the nightclub scene, flirting with girls and playing pool until an unreasonable hour. First thing in the morning we would all again be sitting up straight in our suits and going over the tangle of technical challenges. We spent the weekends exploring the coastal towns and offshore islands. The Japanese listened very politely and intelligently to all the issues, but never admitted to the simple fact that their design wasn't going to work. We were then given a grand tour of their station modules being prepared in Tskuba. One of my friends wound up going back there for the next several years for continued similar meetings. Eventually the CAM was canceled 'for lack of funds'. The Japanese lab modules are now upstairs attached to station. I never heard how they paid for the elevator ride...
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:59am PT
i do not necessarily agree with everything Klimmer says, but do not consider him silly for looking around beyond the glass box of conventional wisdom

i appreciate much of the information he provides; whether or not it is real or disinformation

(patterns of disinformation reveal shadows of the realities being obscured)

Radiation Network
http://www.radiationnetwork.com
Welcome to RadiationNetwork.com, home of the National Radiation Map, depicting environmental radiation levels across the USA, updated in real time every minute. This is the first web site where the average citizen (or anyone in the world) can see what radiation levels are anywhere in the USA

Swedish Government: Radiation To Cover Entire Northern Hemisphere
http://www.prisonplanet.com
Suggesting that levels of radiation leaks from the stricken Fukushima plant are being grossly underreported by Japanese authorities, a Swedish government agency told Reuters today that not only will the radiation reach North America, but it will subsequently cover the entire northern hemisphere.

well, i grew up water-skiing the columbia river just down stream of hanford, and me and my many cousins are all still around
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:13am PT
Thanks for those sites, I will definitely "monitor" them.


This isn't good . . .

U.S. nuclear officials suspect Japanese plant has a dire breach

Source: Ralph Vartabedian, Barbara Demick and Laura King, Los Angeles Times March 18, 2011

Reporting from Los Angeles, Kesennuma, Japan, and—
U.S. government nuclear experts believe a spent fuel pool at Japan's crippled Fukushima reactor complex has a breach in the wall or floor, a situation that creates a major obstacle to refilling the pool with cooling water and keeping dangerous levels of radiation from escaping.

That assessment by U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission officials is based on the sequence of events since the earthquake and information provided by key American contractors who were in the plant at the time, said government officials familiar with the evaluation. It was compelling evidence, they said, that the wall of the No. 4 reactor pool has a significant hole or crack.

snip

A breach in the pool would leave engineers with a problem that has no precedent or ready-made solution, said Edwin Lyman, a physicist with the Union of Concerned Scientists.

"My intuition is that this is a terrible situation and it is only going to get worse," he said. "There may not be any way to deal with it."

more


Read more: http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-japan-quake-wrapup-20110318,0,2262753.story

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4776437



Stzzo,

Not luck. I was using good reliable and trustworthy sources that I know were not, and are not lying, and were not, and are not candy coating things.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:17am PT
I understand all of that Riley, but sometimes a persons approach makes them difficult to listen to, no matter how right they may be. I have a lot of beliefs that are much different then most folks, ( closer in line with Werners, but not the same ) and hollering about them doesn't work. You can't force people to listen. They will just get more stubborn and defensive. In emergencies, if someone is freaking out, then occasionally something like a slap will get their attention long enough to calm them down, but slapping people all the time just doesn't work. klimmer isn't necessarily slapping people with how loud he is, just how forceful he can be, plus how different some of his beliefs are. You on the other hand slap folks with your tone, but thats another story and I think that you are aware of it.

Here is one belief I have that I bet most folks wont ascribe to, and would make them whig a bit if I tried to post every other post about it. I believe that one of the causes of natural disasters is a build up of karma. Certain kinds of karma create different kinds of disasters. This disaster with the nuclear reactors I believe ties into the hubris, pride and attitudes of superiority that the Japanese have as a nation. Plus Their unwillingness to admit to needing help. The other night I was meditating and praying and realized that one thing that would ameliorate this disaster is if the Japanese would ask for help. This doesn't mean that everything will just immediately go back to being hunky dory. But it does mean there is a chance to pull it back from the brink.

This belief is quite different then most folks and I have found that it doesn't do any good to push it on people.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:18am PT
Sven U. Grenander JPL
The reason why Potassium Iodine is so well known is that most cancers don't have a clear cause, you can't tell what radiation hit triggered them. Thyroid cancer on the other hand is easily traced to Iodine 131 which is concentrated by your thyroid. Since you can prevent the accumulation by filling your thyroid with stable Iodine it is thought of as a preventative even though it only helps the thyroid.

Live Radiation Monitoring from West LA on USTREAM: .
http://www.ustream.tv
Live Radiation Monitoring from West LA @ USTREAM: .
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:46am PT
i agree with John Moosie that Karma is involved

however i think there are other forces in play beyond that and beyond geological and meteorological 'natural events'

i was privately told years ago by a black programs insider that they had figured out how to create these sorts of natural appearing events as depopulation measures. i was also told the general sequence of planned deployment. so far a lot of things are playing out just the way he indicated

there is a war going on here; and it is not about something the popular media is talking about

don't make the mistake of assuming you know everything or that we are powerless to change the future

it isn't over until it's over

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:57am PT
By Shinichi Saoshiro and Mayumi Negishi Shinichi Saoshiro And Mayumi Negishi – 52 mins ago

TOKYO (Reuters) – Japanese engineers conceded on Friday that burying a crippled nuclear plant in sand and concrete may be the only way to prevent a catastrophic radiation release, the method used to seal huge leakages from Chernobyl in 1986.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/wl_nm/us_japan_quake
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:02am PT
A female worker at the Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco) plant wrote a blog post about the battle to keep the reactors from overheating, saying the brave workers at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power plant were risking their lives to keep the situation under control.

Michiko Otsuki removed the post on Thursday, writing that it was being used in a way she hadn't intended. But the Singaporean site the Straits Times translated the entire statement and posted it online. The post, which Otsuki uploaded to the social networking site Mixi, has already been quoted by the Guardian, the AFP, and other international news outlets.

"In the midst of the tsunami alarm (last Friday), at 3am in the night when we couldn't even see where we going, we carried on working to restore the reactors from where we were, right by the sea, with the realisation that this could be certain death," she wrote on Tuesday. "The machine that cools the reactor is just by the ocean, and it was wrecked by the tsunami. Everyone worked desperately to try and restore it. Fighting fatigue and empty stomachs, we dragged ourselves back to work. There are many who haven't gotten in touch with their family members, but are facing the present situation and working hard."

She apologized to residents who lived near the reactors, but also noted that workers at the facility were risking their lives to place the crisis under control. "Watching my co-workers putting their lives on the line without a second thought in this situation, I'm proud to be a member of Tepco, and a member of the team behind Fukushima No. 2 reactor," she wrote.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_thelookout/20110317/us_yblog_thelookout/worker-at-japanese-nuclear-plant-were-putting-our-lives-on-the-line
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:43am PT
however i think there are other forces in play beyond that and beyond geological and meteorological 'natural events'

You can't be serious...

The sheer unbridled arrogance of the idea humans could initiate or 'create' a 9.0 earthquake at a depth of 19.9 miles defies reason. I mean, seriously?
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:53am PT
i was privately told years ago by a black programs insider that they had figured out how to create these sorts of natural appearing events as depopulation measures. i was also told the general sequence of planned deployment. so far a lot of things are playing out just the way he indicated

there is a war going on here; and it is not about something the popular media is talking about

This is one of the stupidest things I've ever read in my life....


Depopulation attempt right?.... so lets estimate up and say that 20,000 people have been killed. That is .00000285714286 percent of the worlds population.... its nothing, why even try?
stevep

Boulder climber
Salt Lake, UT
Mar 18, 2011 - 09:49am PT
These are undoubtedly the same ninjas that planted the super-nano-thermite in the World Center and created jet plane holograms....

This has been a pretty good thread, let's not go off in to la-la land.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 09:57am PT
Thanks Adam. It is neither cheap nor easy, but like your plant I know my facilities are significantly safer than commercial chemical plants with like hazards.


Edit:
Here is a picture of the plant...

[snip]
I have friends who work at Hanford... Check with the QC / NDE guys, and ask them if they know Adam (rrrADAM) the climber from California, although I haven;t worked with many of them since the 90's, so they won't know I've moved to North carolina, and took a fulltime job at a nuke.





ncrockclimber

climber
NC
Mar 18, 2011 - 09:57am PT
This has been a great thread with a lot of well thought analysis.

It seems like there has been a pause in the flow of new information regarding this situation. Any thoughts as to what the hell is going on over there?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:03am PT
rrrAdam,

great stuff, tfpu.

Are you in a position to say if nuclear tech with regard to safety esp has advanced much (like a magnitude or more) in the last 30 years? Or is all pretty much the same, boilerplate basics, whatever? Curious to your input.

What would you say is the one greatest advance made in the industry regarding safety in the last 30 years?

This is going to be hot political issue in the future - like never before - now that this has happened and now that fossil fuel prices are set to soar - the citizenry more than ever need to be informed on this.
As I've said in this thread, the entire industry is CONSTANTLY looking to improve safety, and we have spent well over a billion $$$ at my plant alone since it's came online in the early 70's to enhance and improve safety. We are still in the process of doing so... Adding additional layers of safety and redundancy. As I posted yesterday, we just got a notice from INPO to look at certain things that Fuku has raised.

The newer designs are even safer than the older ones, as they have all the 'lessons learned' already built into them, where as ours are added on in addition to the original systems.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:06am PT
i agree with John Moosie that Karma is involved

however i think there are other forces in play beyond that and beyond geological and meteorological 'natural events'

i was privately told years ago by a black programs insider that they had figured out how to create these sorts of natural appearing events as depopulation measures. i was also told the general sequence of planned deployment. so far a lot of things are playing out just the way he indicated

there is a war going on here; and it is not about something the popular media is talking about

don't make the mistake of assuming you know everything or that we are powerless to change the future

it isn't over until it's over




Tom,


That is sure to send a few STers over the cliff to commit "hare-kare" as the responses so far elude to. But I would like to talk about it and hear what you were told and what you know if at all possible.

Maybe we could start another thread considering such topic?

There is a war going on. I agree with you. It does seem the wrong immoral side of the war uses natural disasters as a tool of convenience to allow the worse possible outcome and to their dark advantage. The Shock Doctrine on steroids.

What did the Georgia Guidestones that were dedicated on 3-22-1980 say? What was number 1 on their dark wish list?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones
http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/magazine/17-05/ff_guidestones

And just think, they were not bashful at all to admit it.


Not trying to hi-jack this thread. We should start another one . . .
dirtbag

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:10am PT

Not trying to hi-jack this thread. We should start another one . . .


Please don't.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:16am PT
Fukushima is providing all the informing I need to make a decision as to whether I want Nukes in the future.

. . .

for those of you that still think it is worth the risk I ask how you are going to convince your neighbors to put it in your back yard ?
Many at the plant live VERY close to it, and raise there families there, including nuclear engineers and health physicists... I libe less than two miles from my plant. What does that tell you?

Seriously, think about it for a second, as those who have intimate knowledge of the plant and the health effects of radiation live close by, with their kids.


Do you seriously think we are all stupid, and people who don't REALLY know much about it 'know the real truth'?

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:21am PT
As I've said in this thread, the entire industry is CONSTANTLY looking to improve safety, and we have spent well over a billion $$$ at my plant alone...

Which just goes to show that Nuclear Energy isn't worth the cost and risk. Your plant has cost multiple billion dollars and taking care of the waste for thousands of years has it's own huge costs. Add to that the cost of any accident, which the Japanese will find adds billions more and there are better options.

If many billions were spent installing solar and wind everywhere, the economies of scale would kick in in huge ways and there would be no danger of untold catastrophes.

The infinite hubris of an industry that claims that meltdowns will only happen once in 10,000 plant years is unmasked by the proven falseness of it in reality. Storing the waste basically forever is just as much folly.

Nuclear energy relies on a constancy that doesn't exist on our planet and relies on human perfection that doesn't exist either. Time for power that won't become even more unmanageable as economies collapse and safety becomes more unaffordable.

For a person with their eyes open, there is almost no conceivable way these Japanese reactors are going to come to a happy ending that won't cost a few to a lot more lives and gadzillions of dollars and this is happening in a first world nation, not Soviet Union. (the excuse for Chernobyl by apologists)

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:29am PT
certainly more correct then the experts

You are incorrect. Given the information that was available, the experts drew a more accurate conclusion. The fact that Klimmer guessed that the available info was wrong and drew conclusions that turned out to match the outcome based on what he guessed was actually happening doesn'tmake him more correct, just lucky :-)

I'm all about someone arriving at a conclusion that there's a problem, as long as that conclusion is based entirely on known info. Otherwise, it's just conjecture and should be labeled as such.
And he REPEATEDLY posted incorrect information, based on his limited and misunderstood knowledge of radiation, and the mechanisms involved in the spread of contamination.

Much of this was quoted, then directly refuted, for all to see in the early days of the event.

Point, being, misleading or just plain wrong info actually does damage in situations like this, when people are struggling to understand.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:40am PT
I don't know, D. I'm not a business man. I would assume that any profit includes interest on any outstanding loans.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:55am PT
RrrADAM:
re: your question:
Do you seriously think we are all stupid, and people who don't REALLY know much about it 'know the real truth'?


No! I appreciate all the helpful information, you and others with a nuclear background have posted.

However 60 + years of nuclear plants in the U.S. have shown that many earlier scientists and engineers were amazingly short-sighted.

I grew up as a triple-down-winder in S. Idaho. We had occasional fallout from bomb tests in S. Nevada, occasional fallout from slight mistakes at Hanford, and occasional fallout from the INL site only 90 miles east of where I lived.

My peers and I survived it all, and our cancer rates seem to be on par with the general population.

I am still appalled at the arrogance of the people who made, what now seem like incredibly stupid decisions about how to control and dispose of nuclear radiation, and radioactive byproducts.

So---likely not stupid decisions: but arrogant, mis-informed, and rushed expedient decisions were made.

The results in Idaho is: a radioactivity contaminated aquifer upstream of where many of us live.

I strongly suspect that history will show that stupid decisions are still being made in the nuclear industry.

It really is all about corporations making money, isn’t it?
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:12am PT
It is sad that the nuclear reactor problem has all but erradicated any thinking on the plight of the people who are struggling to survive the quake/tsunami.

NYTimes.com top story at time of this post is about Libya. 2ns is "Frantic Effort at Plant as Japan Raises Warning Level.

Nothing about the people who have been displaced and probably suffering loss of loved ones.




Re: The "black programmer" - I do think that would be better served in another thread. It is a topic I have interest in. BUT. Postings from the various sides of the debate will melt-down this thread. Truthfully, the reactor issue would have been better served as a separate thread at one point.

The aspect of Japan's humanity has been lost.


edit: found by clicking on a thumbnail image, after clicking into the "Raised Levels" story:



http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/03/12/world/asia/20110312_japan.html#28
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:18am PT
Part of the American effort, by satellites and aircraft, is to identify the hot spots, something the Japanese have not been able to do in some cases.

Critical to that effort are the “pods” flown into Japan by the Air Force in the past day. Made for quick assessments of radiation emergencies, the Aerial Measuring System is an instrument system that fits on a helicopter or fixed-wing aircraft to sample air and survey the land below.

Getting the Japanese to accept the American detection equipment was a delicate diplomatic maneuver, which some Japanese officials originally resisted. But as it became clear that conditions at the plant were spinning out of control, and with Japanese officials admitting they had little hard evidence about whether there was water in the cooling pools or breaches in the reactor containment structures, they began to accept more help.


http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/19/world/asia/19japan.html?pagewanted=2&hp
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:32am PT
And he REPEATEDLY posted incorrect information, based on his limited and misunderstood knowledge of radiation, and the mechanisms involved in the spread of contamination.

Much of this was quoted, then directly refuted, for all to see in the early days of the event.

Point, being, misleading or just plain wrong info actually does damage in situations like this, when people are struggling to understand.

And not just regarding nuclear issues, either.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:42am PT
first close-up video released.

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/world/2011/03/17/nhk.aerials.reactors.nuke.plant.nhk?hpt=C2
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:49am PT
Agreed happie... There are more people still suffering now, than have or will suffer when the nuclear issues have played out, both in the near and far future.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:51am PT
Well it's midnight in Japan and what exactly has been accomplished today no one knows. More press conferences with vague information. All the reactors were sprayed with water canon including one from a U.S. base. The level of radiation did not go down afterward. Nothing was said about whether the heat did or not. The French are shipping in plane loads (tons) of boron.Nothing got worse but nothing seems to have gotten better either.

There is however, a palpable sense of relief that international experts are arriving as no one trusts the Japanese government at this point. Thousands of people in the area surrounding the reactors are fleeing westward. Soon they too will create a humanitarian disaster that threatens to eclipse the tsunami victims living in shelters. The Japanese government mentioned for the first time today that they might have to evacuate the tsunami victims to other regions of Japan.

Once again hoping that tomorrow will be a better day.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:52am PT
rrradam - No offense, but....do you realize you just took it right back to a sort of damage control statement for nuclear energy in your post?

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:08pm PT
Seems the situation can only get better. And it will.
So what if gamma radiation is so strong now that humans cannot approach the
reactors and modern computer operated equipment has a reduced operating life
of perhaps hours until the chips fail (fire trucks?) and the containment is cracked and leaking unspeakable isotopes and some zirconium cladding fires fizzle away at the fuel bundles creating plumes?



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiation_hardening
Radiation effects on electronics
Fundamental mechanisms
Gradual accumulation of holes in the oxide layer in MOSFET transistors leads to worsening of their performance, up to device failure when the dose is high enough; see total ionizing dose effects.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
Tom C.

I just want to be clear here. You think that it is reasonable to think that some black ops people in the government created a 9.0 earthquake to depopulate the earth by 10,000 people?
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:19pm PT
rrrADAM and HFCS,

Prove it. Show me specifically where I was wrong.

You guys just throw out continual ad hominem attacks and say I'm wrong yet never prove it. You know just saying someone is wrong and then never proving it is a tactic that some very dishonest politicians use. It is called labeling, and then hoping the label sticks with never a shred of evidence. Say the lie long enough and loud enough and you hope others will believe it.

It's like the GOP saying Global Warming is a fallacy. Creating No Child Left Behind (NCLB) in which they have left every child/student behind including their parents, teachers, and administrators, hoping to crush public education. Or Race To The Top (RTTT) which is really race to the bottom. Someone wins and everyone else loses. "The Clear Skies" initiative which is anything but. "The Patriot Act," which is worse than George Orwell's world of 1984. I can go on and on. It is a very dishonest and deceptive tactic, yet you use it continuously.

Prove it.
Brandon-

climber
Done With Tobacco
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:29pm PT
I just want to be clear here. You think that it is reasonable to think that some black ops people in the government created a 9.0 earthquake to depopulate the earth by 10,000 people?


Here is proof that the quake was created by man, lol.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YRqcxjdRzGw

Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:32pm PT
I'm not am alarmist. A pragmatist. It was obvious 2days after the quake this thing was out of control. Also obvious the world wide public would freak out.

No new nukes for now. Shut down some old ones. China and the rest of us build more gas and coal plants. Cause the wider public still not freaked about the nasty negative externalities of them. And theres massive profits to be made still. Hopefully we'll pull our heads out and massively reallocate resources to renewables. And curb demand.

But you need an educated, thinking public, we've massively divested in public education. It will take a generation to change that. Wait we are intensifying our attack on public education.

This fuku disaster won't be resolved til it's buried in an enormous pile of sand and concrete.

I'm no expert on anything, but that helps me not get lost in the weeds. Klimmer is pretty darn good at it too.
dirtbag

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 12:52pm PT
Wind, same problem, plus it chops up many beautiful birds of prey.

Fatty, a study released a few years ago concluded the Altamont wind farm has killed a few million birds.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:00pm PT
Tom C.

I just want to be clear here. You think that it is reasonable to think that some black ops people in the government created a 9.0 earthquake to depopulate the earth by 10,000 people?

and you guys thought it was a natural disaster. hehe.....

i think tom c and klimmer are members of the same club.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
And for all us eggheads, it'd be fun sometime to have a discussion about Drake's equation and the variable (L), related to the inherently self-annililatory nature of intelligent life. Cause we're really talking about mitigation strategies here. Some of us want mid term progress. Big money wants more big money in the short term for shits and giggles.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:04pm PT
the inherently self-annililatory nature of intelligent life.

So food for thought: let's not lay all the blame on intelligent life then. For it was kinda set up from the get go by the constraints innate to this universe. If you get my drift...

.....

EDIT

-Just as intelligent life on earth was "set up" a couple hundred years ago to exploit the easy to get fossil fuels that pooled on the surface in Penn. One thing led to another and before any one generation knew it - boom - 7 billion people on this finite planet - and now later this century the bubbling crude fueling the party is going to run out.

So who - or what - is really to blame? Can you even blame anyone or anything?
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:04pm PT
I lived near a nuclear plant for 42 years with no incidents. I also had great faith in that company because of the people who worked there and the culture of the company. Mid sized companies are big enough to afford real training and safety programs, but not so big that bureaucracy drowns out all reality. Their safety record was excellent, and they made money. At that time, I worked in telecom and followed all utility proceedings in that state very carefully.

I have no faith in the ability of a government or regulatory agency to regulate any industry effectively. They can only make it harder and raise the incentive to hide problems. Having lived through many regulatory proceedings, it is amazing how varied the backgrounds are of the people who get to make the decisions. Many proceedings focused on technical decisions end up being college courses that most of these regulators would flunk at the end.

I would never want to live next to a coal or natural gas plant. Even though natural gas is a lot greener than other fossil fuels, the volatility scares me. The accidents in that industry hit the paper the next morning, and then disappear from our minds. The human suffering and environmental impact of coal is very large. The high human price paid to simply extract coal from the ground is huge. You won't see that on the front page of the paper very often. Coal plant emmissions have damaged this planet far more than any other generation technology that I know.

Wind can be a contributor, but it is not base load friendly today. Most renewable resources suffer from the same issue - it's availability is often contingent on weather. Our need for power is not similarly related. Storage mechanisms for power are not terribly efficient. Imagine "storing"power by pumping water uphil with excess generation, then releasing it when the wind stops blowing (sun stops shining, etc.) There are a lot of impacts to those type of storage mechanims.

Solar sounds great - but the economics are still marginal. There are downsides that people don't appreciate yet with the current state of that technology. We are building a couple of commercial solar facilities today. Acres of panels ties up a lot of land, needs to be tied into transmission lines, etc. The panels deteriorate very rapidly.

Energy is inherently dangerous. There are costs to all technology. There ain't no such thing as a free lunch. The team operating an asset determines much about the potential for disaster.

How do you ensure that any energy plant operates safely, and can respond to emergencies? If a company has an inappropriate safety/technical program, what do you do? Punishing a company does not fix a problem. It fosters behavior to hide the problems. Installing a operating team that is top notch to work on site and oversee operations for a perdiod of time at the company's expense. That makes sense to me. You don't see companies pledging to staff new plants with a mixture of seasoned staff drawn from facilities with great oeprating records. The focus of applications is always on the designs, costs, procedures, but not on the staff.


golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:10pm PT
It will take many days before the situation there is stable. This is not TV.

I don't know if Nuclear Energy is "cost effective". However, if you think that the costs of coal fired power plant derived energy (45% of our Electrical Power) includes all of the health and environmental impacts in their cost equation, then you are sadly mistaken.
Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:15pm PT
We currently and likely never will be able to appropriately identify and price negative externalities for energy. We should try, but titanic forces of profit and greed have the upper hand in this fight.

HFCS, I'm picking up what you're laying down up there. I can't get on board with moral relativism though.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:25pm PT
hey there say, jan.... thanks for sharing from japan...

as to this:

The Japanese government mentioned for the first time today that they might have to evacuate the tsunami victims to other regions of Japan

i know i had a far-fetched hope that somehow these folks could have been moved to where they could get shelter, food and water... but perhaps now, they will find a way to do this...

even if it is only a group at a time... though, sadly now, too, it seems it will be harder still though to find a suitable area, with food in the other areas, now gone from the shelves as well...
:(

they are still in the prayers of many folks...
please keep sharing, jan... thanks for the update...
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 01:29pm PT
Yo GOP Nuclear Energy/Nuclear industry apologists . . .

I got your talking points right here. Didn't you guys get the memo? . . .


Coulter tells O’Reilly: Radiation is good for you
Ann Coulter on O'Reilly : Discusses her column on Japan "A Glowing Report on Radiation"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FNFF61E_Dg

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x564610







Oh no, here we go. Ionizing nuclear radiation is good for you, just like The Patriot Act, Clear Skies Intiative, NCLB, Taxing the Rich is Bad, Taxing the Middle Class and the Poor is Good, Unions are Bad, Corporate America is Good, Teachers are the Ultimate Evil of Society and We Must Radicaly Defund Public Education, We Must Crush All Public Endeavors Run for The Good and Privatize Everything. Our GOD is Money, Greed, Power and Screw Everyone Else (I got mine why should I care?). . . and on, and on, and on.

Q: How did you learn to read, write, and do math? Who can you thank for that?






Fattrad,


Qs: Why are you the evil one and why do you celebrate evil? Did you not learn anything when you read The Torah?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:10pm PT
rrradam - No offense, but....do you realize you just took it right back to a sort of damage control statement for nuclear energy in your post?


Yea, I need to just stick to relevant issues and details I can speak on... I have a bad habit of knee-jerk replies at times, and can get off on a tangent...

Like 'klimmer'... Which, BTW, you HAVE been shown where you've been wrong, in detail, numerous times, in numeroous threads, yet you just continue to reload and keep shooting.

In fact, I would wager that this isn't the first time you have heard this, and not just on this site?


Thing is, you REALLY believe you are right, even when shown you are wrong... I doubt this would make any sense to you:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

Here is the Cornell research paper it refers to:
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.64.2655&rep=rep1&type=pdf
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:26pm PT
rrrADAM,

Once again, I'll make it easy for you. On this thread, where have I been wrong? Specifically. Where?

I will admit to one error:
I thought the "Triangle of Life" sounded like good information, then others chimed in and exposed that the guy who came up with that has been debunked. I didn't know anything about the guy or the triangle of life until then. I admit I was wrong about that. Mybad.


You have given good information, but also and everyone can clearly see for themselves, you have been a nuclear industry apologist throughout the thread.



Edit:

Hey, I understand. Like I said my dad has been in the nuclear industry for 30 years. I know. We have had many arguements. But he does admit that there are massive problems in the industry. He is very honest about that.



Like Al Gore said,

"It is hard to convince someone of the truth of something when their job demands that they don't understand it," or something to that effect (paraphrased).
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:29pm PT
Seamstress, I was wondering if there were any nukes in the seattle/portland area. from humbolt north to alaska is a subduction fault zone similar to Japan and prone to high 8 earthquakes. Hope the nuke was designed for high 8 quakes otherwise they should shut it down ; because the quakes will happen.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:55pm PT
Kept wondering why there were no specifics on how the back up diesel
generators at Fukushima failed when the 7 meter tsunami washed over the
site. Thinking it has to be so stupid and embarrassing they don't want it
to come out.

Basement Generators

Back-up diesel generators that might have averted the disaster were positioned in a basement, where they were overwhelmed by waves.

“This in the country that invented the word Tsunami...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-17/japan-s-nuclear-disaster-caps-decades-of-faked-safety-reports-accidents.html


So the basements are full of sea water drowning the diesels.
An epic design flaw? Maybe maybe not.
But did General Electric design it this way or were water tight doors or
vents accidentally left open?

Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:56pm PT
klimmer, and everyone else, the idea of a thread like this is not to make it into a competition of who is "right" and who is "wrong," we have been trying to explore what might be happening and how that affects the people of Japan, and us... there is a lot of misinformation, a lot of wisdom, and some puzzling through of the event, no one knows what the "truth" is, it's as simple as that, and part of the process of understanding is dealing with a lot of contradictory information.

I always get the impression from you that you believe that someone knows "the truth" and is hiding it from the rest of us, it is a mission of your's to reveal the conspiracy and proclaim that you knew it all along. That's my impression...

You bring it upon your self because of your world view, a view in which there are conspiracies to hold back important information and perhaps to control us through the release of misinformation. That is not my experience at all, my experience is that people make all sorts of decisions based on no information at all because there is none, or they have grossly misunderstood what information they have. Never attribute maliciousness where incompetence is more likely.

By the way, you should worry about the calibration of your radiation monitor, and what, exactly, it is measuring... very easy to get incorrect readings due to the detailed inner workings and then draw erroneous conclusions based on instrumental effects... happens all the time.

I don't care if you are right or wrong as long as you are being intelligent and respectful in this discussion, at least if you think you are trying to inject information. rrrADAM has been that all along, if you can't deal with being told you might have misrepresented, misunderstood or mis-stated some bits of information than your apparent need to be infallible gets in the way of the central point of the thread...

...it seems that you are never wrong, and especially when someone questions you.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 02:56pm PT
Sorry Rick James.
Mybad.
Too much truth.


Ed,

Not true. I can admit to being wrong many times. I've been shown to be wrong and I will admit it, no problem. I just don't like being called wrong, nutjob, crazy, bat-poop crazy like so many ad hominem labels. I say prove it.

I understand that there is much that others can dissagree with me on. No problem. I do try and stay on topic though. Who should care if I believe in Santa Claus? Just stick to the current arguement. Just because someone has a different belief system than you, does that make them wrong on everything and an opportunity to bring it up whenever they feel they are losing an arguement. (Dang it all I'm losing the arguement, I'll just mention that he believes in Santa Claus again, and that he is bat-poop crazy and nuts. Yea, that works. Right out of the GOP playbook. Cool.)



I would like this thread to eventually start talking about solutions to the problem and what we can do to help the people of Japan. I'm thinking we have many sins as a nation to atone for (Hiroshima and Nakasaki, and the internment camps during WW2). We can help in a tremendous way and we are I know. But we can do more. Maybe it is time to take in families that have lost everything and give them a safe new start here in America if they so desire. Many other countries could do the same. We are all gonna have to step-up big time.

"If you do it unto the least of these you have done it unto me."



Thanks for the advice. My CD V-700 seems to be in calibration. It has a source mounted on the side and takes you through the steps and what the geiger counter should be reading and it does.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:11pm PT
useful update here:

http://mitnse.com/
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:27pm PT
Hahaha...

Not true. I can admit to being wrong many times. I've been shown to be wrong and I will admit it, no problem.

Moment of truth:
Can a 12VDC car battery electrocute you if you press its terminals with your fingertips, even if you licked them first?

yes or no?

In the famous retort of Dr. F,

yes or no?
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:27pm PT
Mike - Thank you !!! Finally some facts. If only the Japanese government could be so forthcoming.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:32pm PT
i'd like to maintain a clear distinction between:

1. things i've personally observed and report as such

2. personal opinions based upon my experience and information sources

3. unusual things people have told me; often without my having a means to make a definitive analysis. Sometimes I pass on such information for two reasons:
a. to see if anyone else has information either to support or refute the information; and b. to see what sort of reaction people have to the idea



people sometimes tell me really interesting information that doesn't fit very well with common knowledge; probably because i am safe to talk to and don't just come back with knee-jerk ridicule

i sometimes discuss such information sources with friends who are old retired insiders with deep knowledge

some such information then stays in my category for unverified unusual reports

some goes in my category for partially evaluated unusual phenomena

--------------

i certainly don't claim to know it all; and ST is certainly not the best place to build or defend one's professional reputation...

i believe there have been orders of magnitude more deaths in japan as a result of the quake and tsunami than the reported body count; based upon personally seeing the results on-the-ground of several other major disaster events; and extrapolating to what has been made known about this one

and concerns about the nukes are serving to block out the aftermath stories of both the quake and the tsunami


the mention i made above came from a very interesting source about 20 years ago and included a long list of supposed program plans that seemed highly improbable to me at the time. however almost everything on that list has now happened; to my great chagrin. i really don't like thinking about the additional list items that have not happened (yet?)

and yes, he described in some detail how such a quake and tsunami could be induced.

and i don't yet know how to evaluate the veracity or practicality of what he told me

perhaps i should just defend my reputation by keeping quiet about it...

|-)~
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:35pm PT
Thank Mike Bolte for that update link.

While I was reading about the Chernobyl catastrophe, I was shocked to discover how much water was necessary to cool the fuel rods during an emergency shut down:

"The reactor that exploded in Chernobyl consisted of about 1,600 individual fuel channels, and each operational channel required a flow of 28 metric tons (28,000 liters (7,400 USgal)) of water per hour." [Medvedev, Zhores A. (1990). The Legacy of Chernobyl, W. W. Norton & Company. ISBN 978-0393308143.]...

Yes that's 7400 gallons per hour per channel. If all channels were simultaneously operational (I'm not sure if that is possible), that water demand would be 11.84 million gallons per hour for mere cooling when the reactor is shutdown. Adam, how much water does your reactor need?

Due to the need for this enormous volume of water to keep things cool, I can understand the logistical difficulties of placing huge diesel backup pumps more than 25' in the air to avoid a once in a century tsunami.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:48pm PT
The solution to the use of nukes is arrays of self-shutdown, mini-nukes each installed in an entombable container outfitted with:

a) manual, gate-valved, external water flooding ports with various types of connectors (on-site pumps, pumper trucks, etc.)

b) adjacent elevated floodplain about the size of a football field with a topology that feeds to drains connected to the flooding ports above so a maximum of airdropped or cannoned water would actually hit the flooding drains.

c) manual, gate-valved, external concrete pumping ports for entombment

d) Much better engineered spent fuel containment than are currently used today (though in Japan's case the storage of spent fuel above the nukes was probably driven by urban space concerns endemic in their culture and was probably thought to be 'clever' at the time.).

e) Follow the French lead on vitrification of waste with onsite or regional vitrification facilities and temporary onsite vitrified waste storage.

But if true full [fuel and reactor] life cycle costs were factored into the above deployments I question whether they'd really be commercially viable.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:50pm PT
This is along the lines I was thinking... toying with... when I asked rrrAdam yesterday if there had been any step change advances in design in the last 30 years that he knew of that he could tell us about.

Seems to me, there could be lots of improvements gleaned from this disaster in Japan that would render any next gen systems (which we might call true 21st century) many step changes higher in improvement safety-wise.
Seamstress

Trad climber
Yacolt, WA
Mar 18, 2011 - 03:51pm PT
Mike,

That was an intersting link. Thanks.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:00pm PT
and yes, he described in some detail how such a quake and tsunami could be induced.

and i don't yet know how to evaluate the veracity or practicality of what he told me

There are certainly lots of substantial underwater slopes around the world at places like the Canaries that could probably be triggered to artificially create a Tsunami with a sufficient application of energy (think nuclear), but such triggering events would have undeniable human fingerprints. Quakes are another matter altogether, however. Yeah, I think we've proven at this point you can trigger small ones with the appropriate amount of liquid injection at just the right point - but 19.9 miles deep? Gettaoutahere! Total fantasy compounded by hubris and god-like species arrogance!

The Klimmer-effect is strictly about a lack of ability to discriminate between what can be imagined (scifi/fantasy), what is plausible, and what one 'needs' to believe for whatever reason. Ed hits it on the head when he states this is all about an insistent child-like belief there MUST be one or more master god/parent authorities to whom we can blame for our lives and lot. That we might be self-directed, self-fulfilling orphans of the universe with no other guide than probability is simply either too unpalatable, unthinkable, or frightening.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:02pm PT
If you go back and find the plot of the output of one of the reactors after they shut off the fission reaction, you can see the output immediately drops to around 7%, then over timescales of a few weeks only drops to 3% of the running output. The two large reactors are 800MW reactors so you still are producing megawatts of power weeks after they are shut down.

Our friend Klimmer can have his class calculate the volume of water per day required to keep the cooling bath at temperatures below boiling. Good example of science and mathematics at work.

Hint for the kids: it is alot of water.

This "waste" heat from reactors is another significant environmental effect of nuclear reactors that has been discussed alot in the last 30 years.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:07pm PT
I wouldn't doubt for a minute that there's some secret program in the US military where some crackpots have sold their superiors on researching the concept of human-triggered earthquakes and/or tsunamis. (Neither of which would have been of likely application against the former Soviet Union. Nor would it be a very aimable weapon.) There are think tanks paid to think up wacky ideas, and no end of public money for such things. So perhaps someone researched the idea, stringing along the funders for a while. Maybe even is still looking at it, in a Spy v Spy routine. After all, would you want to be the one who cancelled such a program, if even one US citizen got a hangnail as a result? Or a tiny bit of the funding spigot got turned off? Once such nonsense is entrenched, it's very hard to get rid of.

Another example being Freeman Dyson's idea of a spacecraft propelled by fusion explosions.
luggi

Trad climber
from the backseat of Jake& Elwood Blues car
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:13pm PT
http://www.abc.net.au/news/events/japan-quake-2011/beforeafter.htm
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:20pm PT
I think that most everyone would agree to let Ann Coulter go to Japan and test out her theories on radiation and human health on herself...
...go for it girl!
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:37pm PT
Another example being Freeman Dyson's idea of a spacecraft propelled by fusion explosions.

this was actually an idea espoused by Ted Turner, the inventor and developer of micro-nukes (fission, not fusion).

you can read about it in John McPhee's 'The Curve of Binding Energy'; a book very relevant to this whole discussion about nuclear power plants

my recollection is that he demonstrated the practicality of the pulsed explosion propulsion method, using a coke machine to drop propulsion grenades through a blast shield; and my understanding is that he actually flew the thing. his idea was to build a whole operating base on a big blast shield and launch it from Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. the idea was under continuing development until scrapped by the nuclear test ban treaty

A project to explore the feasibility of building a nuclear-pulse rocket powered by nuclear fission. It was carried out by physicist Theodore Taylor and others over a seven-year period, beginning in 1958, with United States Air Force support. The propulsion system advocated for the Orion spacecraft was based on an idea first put forward by Stanislaw Ulam and Cornelius Everett in a classified paper in 1955. Ulam and Everett suggested releasing atomic bombs behind a spacecraft, followed by disks made of solid propellant. The bombs would explode, vaporizing the material of the disks and converting it into hot plasma. As this plasma rushed out in all directions, some of it would catch up with the spacecraft, impinge upon a pusher plate, and so drive the vehicle forward.

Project Orion originated at General Atomics in San Diego, a company (later a subsidiary of General Dynamics) founded by Frederick de Hoffman to develop commercial nuclear reactors. It was de Hoffman who persuaded Freeman Dyson to join Taylor in San Diego to work on Orion during the 1958-59 academic year.

http://www.century-of-flight.net/Aviation%20history/space/orion.htm
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:50pm PT
b) adjacent elevated floodplain about the size of a football field with a topology that feeds to drains connected to the flooding ports above so a maximum of airdropped or cannoned water would actually hit the flooding drains.

healyje,

in the world of nukes every component that is important to safety must meet minimum design basis event (DBE) criteria. in other words your floodplain must be shown to survive an earthquake DBE. that is difficult to do.

in japan, they clearly erred on the heigth of the Tsunami and the location of the EDG's.

edit:

The Klimmer-effect is strictly about a lack of ability to discriminate between what can be imagined (scifi/fantasy), what is plausible, and what one 'needs' to believe for whatever reason. Ed hits it on the head when he states this is all about an insistent child-like belief there MUST be one or more master god/parent authorities to whom we can blame for our lives and lot.

the KLIMMER EFFECT, thats too good not to repeat! i wonder what the klimmer effect is on his kids in his class?

Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 04:59pm PT
Tom has pointed out a really outstanding book. The Curve of Binding Energy is one of McPhee's best and he wrote a lot of excellent books.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:04pm PT
As for Japan problem is bad communication and is undermining the crisis response more. For a country that has been changing prime ministers yearly and consuming its own with nasty political infighting, making it a dreary milepost on a road to apparent ungovernability.

Asians are proud people; they just like us feel "we" "who" know what is best.

The other problem is another country culture something the US needs to understand, we do know this about Japan that is why it is taking time to let it all sink in. Trust is another issue. But as for other countries as well. Hence the State Dept. that sometimes knows more what to do since US companies know [lessons learned] best on a current situation and resolution of a problem and knowing the culture by living there.

The military and Pentagon never understood this. Go, pack, get there, set up command and start shooting. When they get there they had no clue on communicating with local people. When we were in Viet Nam the local men would hold hands in jester of friendship, while all the GI’s thought they were gay.

In our current wars it took some understanding till the US military: "Oh! I get it now" since we did not understand or miscommunicaton. Example when GIs would use hand jesters to communicate it meant the opposite. We killed a lot of innocent people from that mistake.

Translation or language is another issue. That is why recruitment for the CIA wants people that understand the language or has lived in a particular country that someone posted for jobs with the agency.

Sorry Klimmer: Ed is right, I have mention this as well in several of your posts.


Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:05pm PT
A project to explore the feasibility of building a nuclear-pulse rocket powered by nuclear fission. It was carried out by physicist Theodore Taylor and others over a seven-year period, beginning in 1958, with United States Air Force support. The propulsion system advocated for the Orion spacecraft was based on an idea first put forward by Stanislaw Ulam and Cornelius Everett in a classified paper in 1955. Ulam and Everett suggested releasing atomic bombs behind a spacecraft, followed by disks made of solid propellant. The bombs would explode, vaporizing the material of the disks and converting it into hot plasma. As this plasma rushed out in all directions, some of it would catch up with the spacecraft, impinge upon a pusher plate, and so drive the vehicle forward.


There is no way that this would have been allowed to be done. We could have attempted, but ET would have put a stop to it. Don't we all know about ET's fascination with anything Nuclear here on Earth and shutting down at will our nuclear warheads? ET is trying to save us from ourselves. Right?

;-)




Oh boy, "The Klimmer Effect." Glad I can amuse you all. Eyes rolling . . .



Now how about this from before . . .


I would like this thread to eventually start talking about solutions to the problem and what we can do to help the people of Japan. I'm thinking we have many sins as a nation to atone for (Hiroshima and Nakasaki, and the internment camps during WW2). We can help in a tremendous way and we are I know. But we can do more. Maybe it is time to take in families that have lost everything and give them a safe new start here in America if they so desire. Many other countries could do the same. We are all gonna have to step-up big time.

"If you do it unto the least of these you have done it unto me."


TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:06pm PT
Could we generate a tsunami through resonant frequency amplification with the use of explosives? Probably. But, that would be stupid, wouldn't it? Like that couldn't be detected!

my question exactly

sounded stupid to me also

is anyone looking?

the idea as told to me twenty years ago involved:
1. analysis to characterize heavily stressed fault line sections
2. a line of deep bore holes along the stressed fault line with water injected as a lubricant
3. deep bore hole placement of a fission device as a trigger, with the energy release disguised as a natural release

also requires a lot of heavy equipment work over a period of years



it seems like spectrum analysis could detect the use of this method

he claimed the first target would be the Indian Ocean, then Japan, then US West Coast

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:09pm PT
jesus H f*#king christ!!!!

will you f*#king whackos take your conspiracy theory f*#king bullshit elsewhere?!?!? then i will delete this post. you guys can't f*#king be real.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:09pm PT
By Michael A. Levi, Wednesday, March 16, 12:05 PM

Explosions. Radiation. Evacuations. More than 30 years after Three Mile Island, the unfolding crisis in Japan has brought back some of the worst nightmares surrounding nuclear power — and restarted a major debate about the merits and the drawbacks of this energy source. Does nuclear energy offer a path away from carbon-based fuels? Or are nuclear power plants too big a threat? It’s time to separate myth from reality.

1. The biggest problem with nuclear energy is safety.

Safety is certainly a critical issue, as the tragedy in Japan is making clear. But for years, the the biggest challenge to sustainable nuclear energy hasn’t been safety, but cost.

In the United States, new nuclear construction was already slowing down even before the partial meltdown at Three Mile Island in 1979; the disaster merely sealed its fate. The last nuclear power plant to come online started delivering power in 1996 — but its construction began in 1972. Today, nuclear power remains considerably more expensive than coal- or gas-fired electricity, mainly because nuclear plants are so expensive to build. Estimates are slippery, but a plant can cost well north of $5 billion. A 2009 MIT study estimated that the cost of producing nuclear energy (including construction, maintenance and fuel) was about 30 percent higher than that of coal or gas.

Of course, cost and safety aren’t unrelated. Concerns about safety lead to extensive regulatory approval processes and add uncertainty to plant developers’ calculations — both of which boost the price of financing new nuclear plants. It’s not clear how much these construction costs would fall if safety fears subsided and the financing became cheaper — and after the Fukushima catastrophe, we’re unlikely to find out.

2. Nuclear power plants are sitting ducks for terrorists.

It’s easy to get scared about terrorist attacks on nuclear plants. After the Sept. 11 attacks, a cottage industry sprung up around the threat, with analysts imagining ever-more horrific and creative ways that terrorists could strike nuclear facilities and unleash massive consequences.

There are certainly real risks: Nuclear expert Matthew Bunn of Harvard University has pointed out that well-planned terrorist attacks probably would produce the sort of simultaneous failures in multiple backup systems that Japan’s reactors are experiencing. But it’s much harder to target a nuclear power plant than one might think, and terrorists would have great difficulty replicating the physical impact that last week’s earthquake had on the Japanese plants. It also would be tough for them to breach the concrete domes and other barriers that surround U.S. reactors. And although attacks have been attempted in the past — most notoriously by Basque separatists in Spain in 1977 — none has resulted in widespread damage.

To be sure, the water pools in which reactors store used fuel, which reside outside the containment domes, are more vulnerable than the reactors and could cause real damage if attacked; there is a debate between analysts and industry about whether terrorists could effectively target them.

3. Democrats oppose nuclear energy; Republicans favor it.

Yes, the GOP base is enthusiastic about nuclear energy, while the Democratic base is skeptical. Moreover, many Republican politicians support assistance to the industry such as loan guarantees for nuclear developers, while many Democrats oppose them. But the politics of nuclear power have changed in recent years, mainly because of climate change.
Democrats, including many supporters in the environmental movement, have become more open to nuclear power as a large-scale zero-emissions energy option. Steven Chu, President Obama’s energy secretary, has been enthusiastic about the nuclear option. When asked to compare coal and nuclear energy in 2009, Chu responded: “I’d rather be living near a nuclear power plant.”

The biggest prospective boost for nuclear power in the past two years was an initiative championed by Democrats and scorned by Republicans: cap-and-trade legislation. Cap-and-trade would have penalized polluting power sources such as coal and gas emitters, thus tilting the playing field toward nuclear power. Department of Energy simulations of the ill-fated Waxman-Markey climate bill projected that it would have increased nuclear power generation by 74 percent in 2030.

Yet although Democrats may have become more accepting of nuclear power, few became fully enthusiastic. Japan’s tragedy may make many reconsider their stance.

4. Nuclear power is the key to energy independence.

When people talk about energy independence, they’re thinking about oil, which we mostly use in vehicles and industrial production. When they talk about nuclear, though, they’re thinking about electricity. More nuclear power means less coal, less natural gas, less hydroelectric power and less wind energy. But unless we start putting nuclear power plants in our cars and semis, more nuclear won’t mean less oil.

This wasn’t always the case: During the heyday of nuclear power, the early 1970s (45 plants broke ground between 1970 and 1975), oil was a big electricity source, and boosting nuclear power was a real way to squeeze petroleum out of the economy. Alas, we’ve already replaced pretty much all the petroleum in the power sector; the opportunity to substitute oil with nuclear power is gone.

5. Better technology can make nuclear power safe.

Technology can increase safety, but there will always be risks with nuclear power. The Japanese reactors at the center of the current crisis use old technology that increased their vulnerability. Next-generation reactors will be “passively cooled,” which means that if backup power fails like it has in Japan, meltdowns will be avoided more easily. (Passive-cooling systems vary, but their common feature is a lack of dependence on external power.) Other lower-tech improvements, such as stronger containment structures, have also mitigated risk.

But what happened in Japan reminds us that unanticipated vulnerabilities are inevitable in any highly complex system. Careful engineering can minimize the chance of disasters, but it can’t eliminate them. Operators and authorities will need to make sure that they’re prepared to deal with unanticipated failures even as they work to prevent them.

Most energy sources entail risks. In the past year, we’ve seen an oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, fatal explosions at the Upper Big Branch coal mine in West Virginia and now the crisis in Japan. The American public will need to decide whether the risks of nuclear power — compared with those of other energy sources — are too high.

Michael A. Levi , a senior fellow and director of the program on energy security and climate change at the Council on Foreign Relations, is the author of “On Nuclear Terrorism.”

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:42pm PT
obviously we shouldn't be mentioning anything outside the paradigm of uncontroversial common knowledge:

yeah, sounded pretty wild to me at the time, particularly coming from a guy with extensive credentials in the icbm program

obviously not anything you should be troubled with hearing about...

do you really want to restrict everyone from exploring unusual areas of interest??!

(and just how did you get interested in rock climbing??)

IMHO some of you would fit right in with the spanish inquisition

It's fine for Klimmer to go off and explore wild ideas; and he doesn't deserve a lot of the treatment he gets.


back off!

:-)

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:44pm PT
you and klimmer should get a room. put your tin hats on and tell each other stories.
bmacd

Social climber
100% Canadian
Mar 18, 2011 - 05:58pm PT
My apologies to rrrADAM for the disrespect, and for what its worth I am still pro nuclear, but generation IV designs only. Still praying for all those affected ...
john hansen

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:11pm PT
I have been holding off saying anything, but I wonder why they did not airlift in large generators the first day when they knew there were problems with the on site generators? They must have plenty in other parts of the country.

Being a private sector contractor I would think that if you had a "Full Speed Ahead" signal and an open wallet you should be able to mobilize the equipment you need and get it to the site. I mean,, you need ten miles of roads cleared so you can bring in flatbeds, then get some big old dozers in there and do it! I am sure somewhere in Japan they have SkyCranes that could lift large generators,, they are bringing them in now from US bases, why did they wait so long?
Are there not large pumps that could be brought in and adapted to the existing equipment? It just seems they are using a limited response when they should be throwing all possible resources available at it. You see pictures of towns with loaders and excavators where they have cleared the roads to at least make them passable. Much of the country in the south was unaffected. Given enough money and man power it seems they could do more.

Perhaps they are too confined in their own industry, or too insulated to think of this as a national instead of a corporate problem.. Maybe they had to wait for a building permit or some such BS...

Then again I could be a fool..
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:21pm PT
Factoid:

93 out of the 104 U.S. nuclear plants have battery backup power to run the cooling generators for only four hours. (Japan's battery backup was 8 hour capability.)

Source: MSNBC
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:25pm PT
re: climbing

It's impossible to make climbing failsafe. So it's incumbent upon us as we move forward to ask ourselves whether we're willing to risk it. Clearly, the answer should be no.



Adapted from a crazy anti-nuclear action group spokesperson - who'd be out of a job if not for her crazy anti-nuclear action group.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:30pm PT
not the point Tom,
this is for the most part an informative thread. many people interested in the tragedy, wishing the Japanese people well, understanding of the unfolding nuclear tragedy.

if you want to interject fairy tales go start another thread (imho).

if you want to proclaim that this was some man-made event from some american black ops, go start another thread as i am pretty sure most posters here would find the very idea laughable and offensive.

exploring the unknown is great. but the unknown only becomes understandable with verifiable facts, not your fairy tale conjectures.

edit:
concerrning your back off, what are you going to do? call your black ops guys after me??? klimmer would not like that it does not abide by gods will....
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:32pm PT
good point hcfs.

we risk coal fired power plant emissions every day and not too many people bitching about that.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:37pm PT
Oh! No! Well forget about experts and saving or restoring the facility The Japanese are doomed.

They just announced that General Electric has sent also nuclear engineers to Japan to working with Tokyo Electric Power Co., the plant's operator, to prevent a meltdown, a company spokesman told the Wall Street Journal. (Msnbc.com is a joint venture between NBC Universal and Microsoft. GE is a part owner of NBC Universal.)

Comcast just took ownership 51% in last couple of months. If anyone has done business with Comcast such as having TV cable service with them you can count on them fu$king it up.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:38pm PT
Simple question,

As part of the new 21st century FAILSAFE design,

why can't new nuclear power stations be built over 2,000' deep vertical shafts. Then in the event of ANY worst case scenario, the whole shebang - fuel + 500 ton containments - can be jettisoned... straight down into hell fire. Then access to this nuclear satan could be terminated with a 2,000' thick door.

I bet Japan wishes it had this sort of shaft under each of its fuel containment systems right now.

Just another afternoon musing from a washed up (or is it washed out) former systems engineer.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:42pm PT
it is interesting to look at this whole question of using nuclear energy in the context of using fire

we have been using fire for a long time

we know a lot about fire and have come to depend upon it

yet we still periodically get into a lot of trouble with fire

and we still tell kids not to play with matches

one could discuss at what point are we are sufficiently mature to use fire

nuclear energy is sort of a next step with greater capability and risks

one could discuss at what point are we are sufficiently mature to use nuclear energy
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:43pm PT
Tom,

Thanks for some back-up, I do appreciate it.

I don't understand the hostility towards thinking outside the box.

Some STers would have put Sir Isaac Newton to the death for even imagining the end of the world would occur by 2060 AD along with Christ's return. Spending so much time on Bible Code etc. Dang it all. What was he thinking?????



I do agree . . .

The thread should be about Japan, what they are going through, the dangers they face, what we might face, and how we can help.

I do think we need to bring over Japanese families here to America that have lost everything and give them a new start if they agree to it and the Japanese government oks other countries taking them in.



High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:44pm PT
What's more,

knowing how things work around bureaucracies, I'd give my left nut to know if anyone's even considered that idea - the straight to hellfire idea for rogue nuclear fuel gone Sarah Palin - let alone pushed it more than a page or two - in all the history of the nuclear power plant safety designs.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:45pm PT
I don't understand the hostility towards thinking outside the box.

that's the whole problem.....you consider your fairly tales to be thinking...
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:47pm PT
I don't understand the hostility towards thinking outside the box.

Refer back to (1) Healyje's post and (2) rrrAdam's wikilink.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

Klimmer Effect-
lack of ability to discriminate between what can be imagined (scifi/fantasy), what is plausible, and what one 'needs' to believe for whatever reason. Ed hits it on the head when he states this is all about an insistent child-like belief there MUST be one or more master god/parent authorities to whom we can blame for our lives and lot.

Klimmer Effect-

http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1443937&msg=1444304#msg1444304

Any worse, we might need California's 5150.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:49pm PT
Sir Isaac Newton to the death for even imagining the end of the world would occur by 2060 AD along with Christ's return

a perfect example of why you incur wrath, you have misread and misrepresented Newton's statements to make your own points. You are an unreliable scholar, Klimmer...
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 18, 2011 - 06:58pm PT
Some STers would have put Sir Isaac Newton to the death for even imagining the end of the world would occur by 2060 AD along with Christ's return. Spending so much time on Bible Code etc. Dang it all. What was he thinking?????

He was thinking like a late 17th century philosophe.

Which is why we today sensibly separate out that part of his work that has stood the test of time and call it "science" while we set aside all of his end-of-the-world wingbattery and refer to it as theological speculation.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:21pm PT
A new life begins for those who are alive in the tsunami ravage area


TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:21pm PT
one of the best things about ST is the ability to put something out there and rapidly receive feedback from someone more knowledgeable


Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:25pm PT
guys, you are just feeding klimmer's fantasies by taking him seriously enough to respond to.

Along the lines of building nuclear power plants on top of trap doors and tunnels to hell, I've been wondering why you can't dump many tons of concrete on these reactors. That would obviously prevent the radioactive materials from entering the atmosphere. These plants are already billion dollar write offs and will eventually be buried in concrete anyway.

Is it the risk of making a bomb out of the concrete tomb if the heat dissipated is still at too high a rate? Perhaps you could mix something into the concrete that would increase its thermal conductivity to help drain energy away. rrrADAM do you know about this? Anybody know how to to that kind of calculation?
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:25pm PT
There was a time that I was pro nuclear. Prior to 9-11-2001 I took a class on The Physics of Energy (Physics 301 SDSU), and at the time I was a proponent of fission nuclear energy.

The Genie is out of the bottle now. It is too dangerous (ie 3 Mile Island, Cherynoble, and now Fucu in Japan), and the waste is an unbelievable problem and nightmare. All that and the possibility of terrorism. I could go on and on. I'm not a proponent of nuclear any more, except for off-world space based applications of very safe designs. Apparently the MSL going to Mars is going to be nuclear powered, not sure of the process or design. I should look it up.

However, I'm a realist too. We will not be able to get rid of all the nuclear waste and clean up the Earth without the technology of the Integral Fast Reactor (IFR), and the newer generations of this design that have been developed.


IFR:

Passive fail-safe safety based on the laws of physics (Homer Simpson could run it)

It takes spent fuel rods stored all around the world and uses them again for energy. Don't have to mine more Uranium.

The nuclear waste as a final by-product has the half-life of 300 years. That is much better than 4.5 billion.

Many advantages to this design. Standardize the design and make them all the same. The safest possible design.

Place them on high security Military bases such as Nellis AFB in Nevada. It could be Area 52 right next to Area 51 (lol).

Safely and securely transport spent fuel rodes from around the US first, and then the world, and extract all the useable energy getting to the final waste with a much safer half-life of 300 years. Store safely in the best possible location, where ever that might be, the site in Nevada, Nellis AFB or somewhere else???

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_Fast_Reactor

http://www.skirsch.com/politics/globalwarming/ifr.htm

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/interviews/till.html



In a timely fashion de-commision all other Nuclear Fission power plants that are not an IFR design, and clean them up. Plenty of jobs to do.

Work like mad to bring on-line all sources of clean renewable energy resources, primarily Solar. Use rooftops not wilderness.



Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:32pm PT
wow riley,
they even managed without the "big boys". maybe it was all your caliming that they were incomeptent idiots and that "you'd been there."

arrogant ass.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:33pm PT
klk, actually, Newton didn't believe in the Bible as a source of quantitative prophecy, he thought it was a book of parables... actually...

this has been gone over before when Klimmer brought it up in another thread, he "forgot" that his attribution was shown to be factually incorrect... which he tends to do...

here is what I wrote:




this was not an estimate of when it would happen, it was a lower limit... Newton didn't believe in interpreting the Bible that way, which is why he did the calculation, to show that the people in his time were making idiotic statements... if he were around today, he'd be similarly moved to show that extracting those exact dates from the Bible are absurd...

"This I mention not to assert when the time of the end shall be, but to put a stop to the rash conjectures of fanciful men who are frequently predicting the time of the end, and by doing so bring the sacred prophesies into discredit as often as their predictions fail."- I. Newton

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:37pm PT
Sir Isaac Newton to the death for even imagining the end of the world would occur by 2060 AD along with Christ's return

a perfect example of why you incur wrath, you have misread and misrepresented Newton's statements to make your own points. You are an unreliable scholar, Klimmer...


No Ed I'm not. Have you read the book he wrote regarding these topics? Have you watched the very detailed and scholarly DVD NOVA: Newton's Dark Secrets? I can make it easy for you and give you a link to watch it on-line:

NOVA: Newton's Dark Secrets
http://www.google.com/url?q=http://video.google.com/videoplay%3Fdocid%3D3019297788008155038&sa=U&ei=NuiDTYLbKZGWsgPivOnlAQ&ved=0CCMQtwIwAA&usg=AFQjCNGJFtP2BjVXLN-2FmOq_HYaUlYJKQ

I haven't misrepresented anything regarding Newton.

The greatest amount of his studies and notes found were those regarding the Bible and searching for Bible Code, his thoughts on theology, and they far outnumber his science studies. He also had 30 bibles.


"This I mention not to assert when the time of the end shall be, but to put a stop to the rash conjectures of fanciful men who are frequently predicting the time of the end, and by doing so bring the sacred prophesies into discredit as often as their predictions fail."- I. Newton


Yes, he proved that it wasn't any time soon, at least in his day. He realized like most good Theologians and those who study the end time and who truly study the word of GOD, that certain events must take place first. The end can not come at any time, not until key events happen and then happen in a very prescribed sequence according to the Good Book. The sacred prophecies have to be fulfilled. He worked out these events according to the word of GOD, and his best estimation for them happening. Yes, it was an estimation, but to show that it couldn't be any time soon, in relation to his day.

Oh, yea, he was not a trinitarian. He believed Jesus was not equal to GOD, but his Son. How could the Son and the Father be one? It is a mystery of the ages. I give him a break on that.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:44pm PT
man, i have been told now. time to find the bomb shelter or a cave so i can tremble in safety...

edit:

you ever stop to go read what you write? think about how that comes across? here is a hint, go try it.
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:57pm PT
Ed, yeah, I understand that you're wary of the way that folks who can't think historically go batshit crazy once they learn that Newton was involved in stuff from eschatology to alchemy. Folks generally don't understand that science emerged historically or even that the word itself doesn't get used widely until the 19th century.

But I don't see that it does any good to keep on pretending that Newton was a Deist. Nor does it matter, except for the sort of native history-of-science stories you'd tell to a 6th grader. Only a 6th grader would see Newton's premillennarianism as a warrant for mixing apocalyptic and lab science today.

Snobvelen's article is the best one I know, although I just don't care to get involved in the debates over whether/when Newton was really a Unitarian or simply anti-Trinitarian or whatever.

http://www.isaac-newton.org/pdf/Snobelen%20Newton%202060%20CJH%202003%20hi%20res.pdf
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 07:58pm PT
I gotta go but you are a internet bully and.a.coward....any time pussy....any f*#king time...

Who cares what you think coward. You don't know me or what I do.....just shut up

Wow, way to be diplomatic. Lighten up, Riley.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 18, 2011 - 08:04pm PT
Klimmer

A while ago I gave you some information so I will repeat it.
First go to Wikipedia type in “Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH)” read it.

Now download the software:

http://www2.parc.com/istl/projects/ach/ach.html it is free.
Hit the download button

It is a process for making a well-reasoned, analytical judgment, questions your assumptions and gain a better understanding of an issue, alternative perspectives, prods you to look for additional evidence, helps you identify and question assumptions, and stimulates new ideas about the issue at hand.

It is hard but look at the tutorial and will give added links for you to help learn this process. There is an upgrade or newer version.

There is nothing wrong thinking "outside the box" this will help. Really what can you lose. It will fry your brain, read it over again and again, but if you take the time and I mean time you will gain from this tool.

*note: this does not necessary make it correct since there are flaws in the process but they will tell you this. It is only a tool.
BLD

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 08:07pm PT
Will someone dial 9 WAAAA WAAAA

I think we need a Wambulance
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 18, 2011 - 08:37pm PT
Mike

My naïve understanding of the situation in Japan is that they need to cool the spent fuel pool since it lost the water normally used for that purpose. Using an insulating concrete or increase its thermal conductivity would make things worse by prohibiting the flow of heat leading to even higher temperatures in the spent fuel.

They are thinking about using sand and other materials to cover the rods and then saturate this fill with water I assume. Getting the material is another issue so it would require to be done by robotic machinery, getting a pump head into the containment area and filling it with water slurry or flowable fill for this matrix. An open cell insulated could work, they have a volcano going off and that would mean there would be pumice available to use in this process. Pumice is very porous and the voids would help in this process. silica sand would help since it can take the temperature.

My two cents if it is worth anything
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 09:02pm PT
I gotta go but you are a internet bully and.a.coward....any time pussy....any f*#king time...

Who cares what you think coward. You don't know me or what I do.....just shut up


dude,
i am simply calling you out for posting such arrogant BS earlier on this thread. seriously, go read what you wrote. you think cuz you have given enemas to patients under pressure that you can fix a nuclear incident?
BLD

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:23pm PT
So, they rescued a young man today that was trapped under the rubble for 8 days.

He is now at a hospital and to weak to talk.

That's gotta give some hope to those looking for their lost loved ones.

B
GDavis

Social climber
SOL CAL
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:33pm PT
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:33pm PT
thanks klk great article!
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:39pm PT
So, they rescued a young man today that was trapped under the rubble for 8 days.

He is now at a hospital and to weak to talk.

That's gotta give some hope to those looking for their lost loved ones.

B

hoping for that dudes recovery.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:41pm PT
The very lowest level a thread can go is where people start sniping at each other personally, and those recriminations take up pages. Let it go. Of course we don't agree on everything.

On another note

we risk coal fired power plant emissions every day and not too many people bitching about that.

THere are areas around Chernobyl that can't be repopulation for 20,000 years. Coal can do nothing like that. Japan is a small country and oceanside land is even more important. 20,000 years is a long time to give up substantial areas.

The magnitude of the screwedness possible by a big accident, the cost and length of time we have to manage the waste, and more point to nuclear not being worth it. How'd you like to have a mortgage on your house that your Great, great, great, great...Great Great grandkids would still have to make payments on or risk disease or worse?

Peace

Karl
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:45pm PT
here is the local area news cast about looking for the radiation plume from Japan...
http://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2011/03/18/miniscule-radiation-fallout-reaches-california/

and the South Coast Air Quality Management District... nothing
http://www.aqmd.gov/

WBraun

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 10:53pm PT
Those rods are getting hot and they're hot to go.

They're gonna melt all the way thru the earth and come the other side while some nuke expert is sitting on the can .......
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:12pm PT
Can't wait for this years Facelift, when everyone gets to meet face to face, and work together as a team.
BLD

climber
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
Hey look there is a cargo ship in my back yard! Oh wait my house is gone! No wait, all the houses are gone??? Oh, there's one...... What's up with the cars on the roof? Hey have you seen my dog? Where is everybody? Why is the power plant pouring out smoke? My kids are at school..... Is the school still there? My wife works at food co, did that area get hit?

This thread has drifted into a knowledge and cut and paste competition. Not that the information posted in the neuclear disaster section wasn't incredibly informative. I learned quite a bit and frankly was set at ease.

The original post was about the quake and tsunami which forsure caused the complications with Fukushima.

It seems that once the posibility of fallout was to hit the US the people in the disaster zones were forgotten. (even in the main stream media)

In Tee Ball we tell the five year olds to keep their eye on the ball while they swing the bat and the ball is not even moving.

What do you tell the 40 year olds when the ball is moving?

I don't know what to do about the reactors or the spent file rods but based on the the intelligence of some of the folks posting here. I'm guessing the people heading out to fix Fukushima got it under control.

B

My thoughts and prayers are with all of them.



TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 18, 2011 - 11:49pm PT
Sitting silent in their classroom, the 30 children whose parents have not come to collect them after tsunami swept away their town

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1366898/Japan-tsunami-earthquake-30-children-sit-silent-classroom-parents-vanish.html#ixzz1H0rlVWe2
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:02am PT
from a link off of the previously referred to MIT site:

the readings above background in the area around the Dai-ichi nuclear power plant

for scale the normal human dose from natural background radiation for a year is 2.4 mSv, there are 8760 hours in a year which is a rate of 0.27 microSv/hr...

the gamma-ray exposure 1m above ground in the US is mapped here:


1 Sv = 100 R so 1 uR/hr for one year is roughly 0.1 mSv of natural background gamma-radiation from terrestrial sources (uranium, thorium, potassium)
dirtbag

climber
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:08am PT
dirtbag,

So you are saying that we should shut down the windmills???


You are a silly round man.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:12am PT
Roger: Can't wait for this years Facelift, when everyone gets to meet face to face, and work together as a team.

Roger that. We do squabble sometimes, at least some of us. But everyone gets along fine in person. No news that people say things on the internet, and anonymously, that they'd never say to someone's face, and that it's very easy to misunderstand what's being said without the nuances of tone, expression and gesture.
BLD

climber
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:19am PT
TGT, that is brutal.

It's so sad and even more sad that their government hasn't done more to help all.

They down play the severity of everything.

Look at the death toll and then look at the population of the cities that are gone.

The numbers don't add up!

I think the next few days are going reveal the start of what the truth is over there.

Another thing that is so f#cking disturbing. They pump 34 billion or whatever? Into the banks to help the ¢$$$$$$. And then ask for help?

Get your eye on the ball people!

This is a tragic event but watch how it becomes a embarrassing event for the japanese government!

B
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:24am PT
My experience living within ten miles of Three Mile Island in 1979 was pretty scary for a while there. Turned out okay, though, by pure luck. Going bouldering about a mile away from the dread island tomorrow, actually.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:27am PT
Roger what Tami says. The priority now is to offer and provide help to Japan and its people, with the primary conduit for private donations being the International Red Cross. That's all we decently can do that may help.

Overall, once there is reasonably complete and reliable information, and a bit of time to think, I suspect that Japan and its people will overall be seen to have done a good job of preparing for and responding to a triple disaster, perhaps even a very good job. Probably better than any other nation might do. And they may recover more quickly. Yes, it's a disaster, and the human, economic and environmental damage is enormous. But let's wait for a bit of context, eh?

Those from the US with 20:20 hindsight, and who are full of ideas as to what should be done in Japan, should remember New Orleans. The US, and FEMA, should be over in Japan helping now, and learning.

It does highlight how unprepared we are in BC for such an event. We probably wouldn't have a big tsunami in Vancouver, but there would be one on the west coast of the island, particularly Victoria. And 9.0 on the Juan de Fuca fault would likely translate into a lot of old buildings and structures collapsing in Victoria and Vancouver (just like Christchurch), and a lot of structural damage.
WBraun

climber
Mar 19, 2011 - 02:48am PT
Oh sh'it!!!

The thread was going all directions with with all kinds of cool, crazy, and stupid stuff and then!!!!

The thread control Nazis show up.

Everyone was already hyper tuned to the suffering to begin with ......
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 19, 2011 - 02:48am PT
I would like this thread to eventually start talking about solutions to the problem and what we can do to help the people of Japan. I'm thinking we have many sins as a nation to atone for (Hiroshima and Nakasaki, and the internment camps during WW2).

Not nearly as many sins as the former Japanese government and Imperial Army had to atone for. Please read some WWII history. And don't mention this line of thinking to the Japanese. Given their shame culture, they would rather forget about that whole era of history.

Maybe it is time to take in families that have lost everything and give them a safe new start here in America if they so desire.


While many young Japanese would jump at the chance to live in America, most wouldn't and for sure, the elderly who make up a large percentage of the survivors, would not want to move outside Japan. They didn't even want to live in Tokyo with their children who work there, that's why the northeastern area is filled with elderly people.

In general, Japanese people do not feel comfortable living outside of Japan more than a few years. Their culture is so unique and their society so safe and well ordered and pleasant, only countries like Switzerland can match it in appeal.

The best thing you can do is donate to the Japanese Red Cross, and maybe later on, groups like Habitat for Humanity will call for volunteers.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:32am PT
The Japanese national television network, NHK, is now broadcasting some interesting information along with diagrams, on how exactly they are cooling the reactors with water canon and fire engines.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/nhk-world-tv

From what I've seen, the electric company Tepco tried to handle this as an internal matter and the Japanese government which was preoccupied with saving lives from the earthquake and tsunami, relied on their reassurances for way too long.

Only after the arrival of international experts, did the Japanese government take charge and order the Tokyo fire fighters and their trucks to the scene. The "Hyper Rescue" firefighters are the ones who have rigged efficient water pumping and spraying finally. They also figured out how to position the hoses on still standing buildings so that the firefighters do not have to be close to the reactors in order to spray them.

I fear that in the end a lot of Tepco employees will suffer and die from radiation because they did not have the expertise that the high rise firefighters of Tokyo do, but were still willing to risk their lives and health to try to save others.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:24am PT
By the way, you should worry about the calibration of your radiation monitor, and what, exactly, it is measuring... very easy to get incorrect readings due to the detailed inner workings and then draw erroneous conclusions based on instrumental effects... happens all the time.
Without having to look, at the manual and/or online, do you know whether your survey meter and counter has a GM tube or an ion chamger, and the benifits and drawbacks of each?

BTW... The counter is easy, if you even know what GM tube stands for.


Without having to look, can you tell us why it is easy, with the appropriate instruments, for someone to tell exactly which radionucliotide is in a sample of contamination? Do you know what a DAC and/or DAC Hour is? Can you tell us, without having to look, exactly what a Roentgen is, quantitatively? You 'spelled' out the word in a previous thread. How 'bout a curie?


ALL of these questions are relevant concerning 'contamination', as your tools will detect gamma for anyone, BUT, if you understand how they work, you can get an idea of type and exact location (not just general).


I have also been "contaminatied", more than once... OMFG!!!!!!!!! Should I worry? Am I gonna die? Nope! They wiped it off with a 'wet wipe', like you'd wipe a baby's ass with, and I went home, 'contamination free'. Dose recieved, 0 mRem from it.

I go through a PCM (Personal Contamination Monitor)... If it alarms, I go through another to verify, and to qualitify type and quantity of contamination (usually it's just gas [E.g., radon]), then I am frisked with a Geiger Counter to locate. Health Physicist wipes it off with wet wipe, refrisks to verify its gone, then I go through the PCM again, wait for "clean", then exit the RCA (Radiologically Controlled Area).

And, as a double check, EVERYONE goes through a monitor as they leave site.


And, again, anyone who smokes get's an 'uptake' or rodaioactive particles, as well as anyone who lives near a coal fired power plant.


rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:36am PT
93 out of the 104 U.S. nuclear plants have battery backup power to run the cooling generators for only four hours. (Japan's battery backup was 8 hour capability.)
What this leaves out is, that ALL US planats have SAMA (Severe Accident Mitigation Alternatives) Diesels that are dedicated to continually charge these batterries. These were 'add ons' to the nukes after 9/11. So, they are almost like an entirely different EDG system.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:47am PT
I disagree with Japan, and some others, moving Fuku from a 4 to a 5 on the scale, where Chernoby is a 7 and TMI is a 5. It is CLEARLY a 6, as it goes FAR beyond what happened at TMI, but is still FAR below what happened at Chernobyl. Even what's happened at just 1 of the worst units at Fuku puts it beyond TMI, and they have 6 units in varying degrees of distress.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:55am PT
I don't understand the hostility towards thinking outside the box.
Brutha... It is GOOD to have an open mind, just not so open that your brain falls out.

Critical thinking requires disciplined thinking.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 08:00am PT
Perhaps you could mix something into the concrete that would increase its thermal conductivity to help drain energy away. rrrADAM do you know about this? Anybody know how to to that kind of calculation?
I am know very little about thermodynamics, so I can't really answer that, other than...

Just like in your car's radiator, water abosorbes the heat, then gives it off to the radiator, then it goes back to the engine for more heat. There has to be a heat sink, a place to dump the heat, so where would it go from the concrete, as I would believe you would have little heat transfer from concrete, and it would almost insulate it keeping the heat in.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 08:15am PT
Oh, yea, he was not a trinitarian. He believed Jesus was not equal to GOD, but his Son. How could the Son and the Father be one? It is a mystery of the ages. I give him a break on that.
So good of you to give Mr Newton a break on that... Too bad he weren't alive today, and perhaps participating in this thread, as I'm sure you could 'set him straight'.

BTW... Jesus certainly didn't believe he was God, which is why he "prayed to God".



Now, enough of this nonsense, and back to what is happening for real to the people of Japan, not what is happening in the minds of fanciful people.

Edit... And I am fully aware that I am certainly more guilty than most concerning getting into pissing matches, and getting off topic. I am easily baither and even trolled because of this. :/
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 08:40am PT
THere are areas around Chernobyl that can't be repopulation for 20,000 years. Coal can do nothing like that. Japan is a small country and oceanside land is even more important. 20,000 years is a long time to give up substantial areas.

This is very misleading, as the city of Chernoby is frequented by 'nuclear tourists', some people live there, and they can all see the plant not far off in the distance (see below). The accident site itself is where people are restricted from going due to contamination.

And, people even still live in the city:
Though the city today is mostly uninhabited, a small number of people reside in houses marked with signs stating that the "Owner of this house lives here". Workers on watch and administrative personnel of the Zone of Alienation are stationed in the city on a long term basis.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl


Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 19, 2011 - 10:28am PT
I just watched the Saturday night 11 pm news on NHK.

The Fire Chief of the Tokyo firemen dealing with the reactors has given a very detailed report on NHK. He mentioned that when they got on site, they discovered contrary to previous information (read Tepco reports), there was too much debris on the site roads to maneuver the trucks closely or pump sea water easily.They then had to clear debris and find alternate routes as well as running hundreds of feet of firehose to get the water where it was needed.

Finally we got some information from technical professionals instead of Tepco officials and politicians, and everyone is feeling much better now.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 10:55am PT
See previous reply, Ron, as it is clearly a 6.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 19, 2011 - 11:22am PT
I just finished watching another hour long NHK program titled, "Japan the Past Week", which gave a chronological account of the earthquake, tsunami, evacuation and nuclear problems.

I was impressed with how much emotion Japanese people were showing. It probably doesn't look like much to foreigners, but I was surprised.

Two of the three Tokyo fire chief leaders almost cried while giving their reports about the difficulty of the work and the bravery of the men they supervise. The chief noted that as he left for the Daichi reactor, he texted his wife that he was going to the nuclear plant and she texted back, "Please go to save the nation".
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:11pm PT
What has, and still is happening there is terrible, Jan... Just terrible. :/
WBraun

climber
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:17pm PT
"According to the Japanese foreign ministry, 128 countries and 33 international organizations have offered assistance."

So this is good news ...
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:24pm PT
It's incredible that in spite of blowing the hell out of three reactors to one extent or another, including at least one that probably has a breached primary containment vessel, the threat to the general public so far has been nill.

Outside the gate, radiation levels are minuscule.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/health/2011/03/19/134658088/radiation-data-near-nuclear-plant-offers-little-cause-for-concern?ft=1&f=1001


The designs do work!

PSP also PP

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 19, 2011 - 12:53pm PT
The designs do work!


TGT If that is working then that means you are OK with a few massive failures.
I wonder how many other nuclear supporters think the same way. In other words we need nukes and we have to accept a few massive failures now and then.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 19, 2011 - 01:12pm PT

source of data from IAEA Update

More go to web site.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 01:15pm PT
TGT If that is working then that means you are OK with a few massive failures.

That was one of the most idiotic leaps so far posted.

How did you come up with that?
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 01:51pm PT
I saw NBC's visit to Chernobyl last night.

At one point their personal meter went from 700 to 7000 in just a couple of steps. And then back again when they stepped back. What are the units here, anyone know: 700 microsieverts per hour? per year, what?

I already know a 5 - 7 sieverts "dose" can kill. According to a couple of tables I reviewed. It is interesting that these tables only said acute dose and didn't actually put these numbers in terms of a specific time like per hour or per day.

So perhaps like sodium cyanide: Whether you take your 3 tablets over the course of an hour or day (as long as its "acutely") a "per hour" or "per day" doesn't matter.

Anyone know more about this?
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 01:53pm PT
That's been the problem with the reporting.

Evidently knowing the difference between milli and micro is not a requirement for being a reporter or editor.


the highest fence line reading I've seen was +/- 650 uSv per hr. You wouldn't want to hang out there for a day.

A bit farther away it's 3 times average background, but that's misleading. That's probably less than living in upstate New York or Denver. Background rates vary widely.

It's probably more like a couple of sq km of superfund site.

klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 19, 2011 - 02:03pm PT
That's been the problem with the reporting. Evidently knowing the difference between milli and micro is not a requirement for being a reporter or editor.

Not many folks with a basic functional competence in science and/or engineering are going to go into journalism.

Why would they? If you have some functional science literacy, and you're on of the rare science literates who isn't living out at the intersection of Autism Highway and Asperger Way, and you can translate scientific and engineering information into clear prose at a 6th grade reading level, you can write your own ticket in the corporate world.

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 02:08pm PT
TGT,

So these meters were likely reading microsieverts per hour your saying? they measure on a "dosing per hour" basis?


.....

klk,

If you have some functional science literacy, and you're on of the rare science literates who isn't living out at the intersection of Autism Highway and Asperger Way, and you can translate scientific and engineering information into clear prose at a 6th grade reading level, you can write your own ticket...

Interesting. Lots of truth in there, I think.

...and if not in the corporate world, then elsewhere.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 02:38pm PT
Yes, it's a cumulative dose and measured in hrs or years of exposure.

For comparison chest CT is around 6 mSV delivered in a few seconds.

If you hung out at the gate at Fukushima or Chernobyl for an hour you would accumulate 600 uSv or be getting the equivalent of a CT scan for every ten hrs you were there. You wouldn't want to live there, but a short visit is going to be harmless.

It's cumulative. the average American accumulates a bit over 6 mSv per year.

All radiation follows the inverse square law so it drops off by the square of the distance from the source. The insidious damage comes from the elements that become incorporated within the body like iodine and cesium. Iodine has a half life of only eight days so most of it will be gone soon. The cesium is going to be around a long time.

There will be farmland around the site taken out of production because some of those elements will tend to become concentrated in certain plants, milk etc.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:00pm PT
The thing to keep in mind is that the detection equipment referenced was designed to pick up the signature of a clandestine nuclear test and monitor the test ban treaty.

It's incredibly sensitive and just because it detected something it doesn't correlate to a health hazard.

These have been up since day one cruising the pacific as well.

http://www.af.mil/information/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=192
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:01pm PT
As I posted earlier, regarding dose and dose rate...

To put dose rate (radiation intensity) verses dose (radiation absorbed) into perspective...

Say that you get a medical chest x-ray...

In order to expose the very fast film to get the image, the film needs about 200 mR total (note that this is more than my average yearly dose [~125 mR] working at nukes). Since this exposure is made in a matter of 1-2 seconds, that means dose rates are 720 R/hr (720,000 mR/hr) for a 1 second exposure and 360 R/hr (360,000 mR/hr) for a 2 second exposure.

Point being... Being breifly exposed to even an extremely high dose rate (as those 'dose rates'are EXTREMELY high) does not equal bad. That's why the principles of ALARA (As Low As Reasonable Acheivable) include time, distance, and shielding.

Time exposed X dose rate = dose (I.e., less time equals less dose)

Distance because the inverse square law means that as the distance is doubled, the radiation intensity (dose rate) is quartered, etc...

Shielding because radiation intensity (dose rate) is attenuated by radiologically dense materials, thus less once it has passed through the shielding



This will explain much, and it's a pretty easy read...
http://www.drvxray.com/xray_exposure.htm

(Note, unites used are those used in the US.)




graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:08pm PT
I remember a scene in a movie where they had a radiation exposure in a lab or classroom and quickly did the math to figure out who was at great risk and who was safe because they were further away. Some Manhattan project movie I think but even that seems like it is science fiction now as this stuff is far from absolute.


Was it this? This must have been the first and last time someone "handmade" a critical reaction.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Slotin#The_criticality_accident

The criticality accident


A re-creation of the incident. The upper half of the beryllium shell is grasped by a thumbhole. The inner plutonium core (or cavity for it) is not visible.




On May 21, 1946, with seven other colleagues watching, Slotin performed an experiment that involved the creation of one of the first steps of a fission reaction by placing two half-spheres of beryllium (a neutron reflector) around a plutonium core. The experiment used the same 6.2-kilogram (13.7 lb) plutonium core that had irradiated Harry K. Daghlian, Jr., later called the "Demon core" for its role in the two accidents. Slotin grasped the upper beryllium hemisphere with his left hand through a thumb hole at the top while he maintained the separation of the half-spheres using the blade of a screwdriver with his right hand, having removed the shims normally used.[2] Using a screwdriver was not a normal part of the experimental protocol.

At 3:20 p.m., the screwdriver slipped and the upper beryllium hemisphere fell, causing a "prompt critical" reaction and a burst of hard radiation.[9] At the time, the scientists in the room observed the "blue glow" of air ionization[citation needed] and felt a "heat wave". In addition, Slotin experienced a sour taste in his mouth and an intense burning sensation in his left hand.[2] Slotin instinctively jerked his left hand upward, lifting the upper beryllium hemisphere and dropping it to the floor, ending the reaction. However, he had already been exposed to a lethal dose (around 2100 rems, or 21 Sv) of neutron and gamma radiation.[14] Slotin's radiation dose was about four times the lethal dose, equivalent to the amount that he would have been exposed to by being 1500 m (4800 ft) away from the detonation of an atomic bomb.[15]

As soon as Slotin left the building, he vomited, a common reaction from exposure to extremely intense ionizing radiation.[2] Slotin's colleagues rushed him to the hospital, but irreversible damage had already been done. His parents were informed of their son's inevitable death and a number of volunteers donated blood for transfusions, but the efforts proved futile.[2] Louis Slotin died nine days later on May 30,[16] in the presence of his parents. He was buried in Winnipeg on June 2, 1946.[2]

At first, the incident was classified and not made known even within the laboratory; Robert Oppenheimer and other colleagues later reported severe emotional distress at having to carry on with normal work and social activities while they secretly knew that their colleague lay dying.

The core involved was subject to a number of experiments shortly after the end of the war and was used in the ABLE detonation, during the Crossroads series of nuclear weapon testing. Slotin's experiment was set to be the last conducted before the core's detonation and was intended to be the final demonstration of its ability to go critical.[15]

The accident ended all hands-on critical assembly work at Los Alamos. Future criticality testing of fissile cores was done with special remotely controlled machines, such as the "Godiva" series, with the operator located a safe distance away in case of accidents.


High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:16pm PT
Thanks for all the clarification.

Thought this was pretty cool:



Not bad. For an evolved hairless ape. ;)
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:20pm PT
With all sincerity, I'd be grateful if you'd elaborate on this. What sorts of job positions are you thinking of?

The world of corporate tech is basically divided into halves: on one side, all the wonks doing the research/app development. On the other, management, PR, marketing, The Board, potential investors, Wall Street, policy folks, etc.

The wonks tend to be tragically under-socialized as well as typically lacking in verbal and literary skills. The rest of the world is lacking in technical competence. There are entire genres of jobs that do nothing but mediate these two halves, both inside and outside of particular companies and sectors. Investment banking, financial analysis, law, and marketing are four of the obvious big money areas where a mix of technical background with actually writing ability and presentability is highly bankable.

The ability to take weird, technical ideas, simplify them, and present them in ways that are appropriate to the target audience-- say, potential investors or a legislator or a jury--is highly marketable. That's one of the reasons K-12 math and science education has collapsed in this country, very few folks who have the talent to do it properly are willing to put up with the crummy salaries and cultural abuse that are the special province of teaching in the public schools.

Even if you are a literary version of the tragically under-socialized math geek, there are niches for you in industry that pay better than journalism or even academia. In the Bay Area, even Technical Writers -- the lowest rung on the career ladder for folks with that mix of skills --start at salaries much higher than those of a journalist (if there were even jobs in that sector) or even Assistant Professors in Humanities at either of the two world-class research universities.

Look at how pathetically grateful all of us have to be to Adam for his useful posts on this topic. And that includes those of us who have some sort of science background.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 19, 2011 - 03:21pm PT
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 19, 2011 - 04:00pm PT
Granite and Riley,

The accident you discussed at Los Alamos is vividly portrayed in the movie:

"Infinity"
and acted by Matthew Broderick, portraying the life of physicist Richard Feynman.

It's a very good movie. I highly recommend it. The accident you speak of at Los Alamos is vividly acted out. Pretty serious stuff and very sad. Richard Feynman was part of that Manhattan Project team.
Sparky

Trad climber
vagabon movin on
Mar 19, 2011 - 04:04pm PT
For those of you who have a audio system with a subwoofer set up to your computer...listen to Japan's quake. Pretty impressive stuff.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_thelookout/20110318/ts_yblog_thelookout/listen-to-japans-massive-quake

Lots of energy between 4hz and 8hz on the recording...but the recording was sped up 16 times to make it more audible. That puts the real thing at 1/4hz to 1/2hz. Put another way, the Earth rocked back and forth every 2-4 seconds. Scary stuff.

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 04:16pm PT
re: Harry Daghlian

Some of you might find his biography interesting. Here's a bit:

http://arnold_dion.tripod.com/Daghlian/
http://arnold_dion.tripod.com/Daghlian/accident.html


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_K._Daghlian,_Jr.

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 04:42pm PT
What is a "demon core" and what does it have to do with the disaster in Japan?

1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demon_core

2. arguably, nothing
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 05:01pm PT
Geek alert...

I got into the 'inspection business' through NDE (Nondestructive Examination), which is basically inspecting things without having to ruin them. One technique, radiography (hello, Ed), uses either x-rays or gamma rays from radioisotopes that have been 'activated' by neutron flux in a reactor. The two most common in industrial radiography are Iriduim-192 (Ir-192) and Cobalt-60 (Co-60).

These sources are TREMENDOUS gamma emitters, with a 100 curie Ir-192 source putting out 590 R/hr (590,000 mR/hr)at 1 foot, and 100 curies of Co-60 putting out 1,400 R/hr (1,400,000 mR/hr) at one foot, AND the kicker is these are VERY small... The average Ir-192 source is only .142" in it's maximum dimension, and Co-60 is under .25". And, these are ALWAYS emitting intense radiation, so they are kept shielded in depleted uranium, and handled remotely to aquire an image. They decay down, just like any source, with half lives of 76 days for Ir-192, and ~5 years for Co-60.

I have used a 300 curie Co-60 source, that if oyu were to hold that little pea sized object close to you for just 10 minutes, you would get a leathal dose... Just touching it with your finger for less than a second would cause radiation burns in a day or so.

Note that there is a lot more punch to Co-60, due to its energy (~1.14 MeV, capable of pair production [actually creating matter [a positron / electron pair] from a single photon of that energy, a la E-mc^2) and compton scatter), where Ir-192 has only about .65 MeV... For a sense of reference, a normal x-ray at the doctors office is only about .06-.1 MeV, or 65 - 100 KeV.

We use these sources to radiograpgh welds, and other stuff, just like a dentist x-rays your tooth.

I ended up becoming the Radiation Safety Officer at one of the companies I worked for doing radiography and other types of NDE.



Below are a few images you may find of interest, the first two were done of a couple valves out here at my plant recently, and the last is an image of the actual Liberty Bell that was shot some time ago by an old school radiogragher I knew... They actually had to get Kodak to make a special piece of film to shoot that, due to it's size...






Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 19, 2011 - 05:16pm PT
cool images
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 05:28pm PT
rAdam,

Did you already mention the plant you work for, also your job function? or did you decide to keep these private? Which would be totally understandable of course.


Thanks for your useful links above.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 05:46pm PT
I did my apprenticeship way back when at a steel fabrication plant with an N stamp.

The radiography was always done on the graveyard shift behind roped off areas. Along with a cobalt source there were some huge X ray machines that as an electrician I'd have to run power for once in awhile. These things were so big they had water cooled X ray tubes.

Now any plant that size has its own community of semi feral cats. The cats used to like to snuggle up to the Xray machines at night because they were warm.

It killed some of them, but we had an large number of odd patterned calicos as well.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 05:54pm PT
I work at a nuke in North Carolina.

I am a QC/NDE Inspector for my utility, and work mainly at my plant, although we other units so I work at all of them during refuel and inspection outages.

I am also in charge of all Radiography (RT) done at any of our nuclear sites, given one of my certs... I own and write the procedures for RT, as well as I certify people to do it at our sites, or review their certs if they are contractors. I also do a lot of Ultrasonic Inspections, as well as Civil, Mechanical, and Welding inspections, along with a few other NDE methods... Mainly ensuring that all work done on safety related systems is done IAW the applicable code or Spec (E.e, ASME, ANSI, etc...).

As I wrote in another reply, I am a federally protected employee who doesn;t report to anyone at the site, so I can be a 3rd party. I enforce and ensure parts of 10CFR50, especially Appendix B, and Appendix J. I interface a lot with the NRC, and several other oversight organizations.




Prior to hiring on fulltime out here... I lived in Long Beach, Ca, (The LBC, where I grew up) and inspected nukes all over the country as a contractor during outages, and major construction projects at nukes... Been doing nukes since about '96, and before that my QC/NDE experience was in petrochem and aerospace, even done parts fo the Space Shuttles, bridges, amusement park rides, and even brewries... Working fulltime at a few labs in Torrance and Long Beach, Ca.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:02pm PT
rAdam,

Thanks for the reply.

Surprised you have enough time left over to mix it up - quite well I might add - on the God, religion, philosophy and science threads. As that can be a full-on occupation...

EDIT to ADD

...I mean, to get to a place, a level of understanding, where you don't sound like an idiot.

Ref: Klimmer.

(How do you make a downward ^^^ anyways?) ;)
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:03pm PT
A very important conversation that is not white-washing it all on RT TV . . .

As best I can tell, this is from Thursday (3-17) or Friday (3-18).

Thom Hartmann: Radiation & nuclear experts reveal the best and the worst of what's coming next
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x564858
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BdnY69sMsLA


*Note the conversation regarding external radiation exposure vs. internal radiation exposure. This is what I've been saying all along.

Also just heard on NPR (3-19) that the food supply grown, raised in the region surrounding Fuku does indeed show elevated radiation levels now, such as Milk and other plant products. But then they are quick to say the low levels do not pose any harmful levels to health.

No, there isn't any "safe" levels for chronic internal exposure to radiation taken up by the body. It is a big unknown mostly. The effects are long term and don't show up for 10, 15, 20 years. There are few studies.

Like Tom Hartman did in Germany after Chernobyl I would go grocery shopping for food in the grocery store with a Geiger counter (apparently he made the German authorities nervous when he did so - ahhhhh too bad for them). I wouldn't purposefully purchase food that set it off. Yes, I'm fully aware there are food products sold right now everyday, in the grocery store like particular salts that will set-off my Geiger counter. I'm not purchasing or eating those either. Nor am I eating Coleman Lantern mantels, nor am I eating off of Fiesta Ceramic Ware made in the 50s and 60s with bright red glazes that have Uranium oxides (I have a plate, Cup and Saucer for demo purposes and it makes the Geiger counter sing rapidly when I hook it up to an external speaker for all to hear) nor am I sleeping with my fire alarm that has Americium-241 under my pillow at night to be safer from fires . . .
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:10pm PT
rAdam,

Thanks for the reply.

Surprised you have enough time left over to mix it up - quite well I might add - on the God, religion, philosophy and science threads. As that can be a full-on occupation.
I'm a science geek... I judge science fairs locally, representing my company, and even help the kids who we pick to move on to county and state fairs to improve their projects, and I prepare hands on lesson plans and ideas for teachers to "WOW" kids into science, and make it cool... Mainly for elementary and middle school levels.

Here's one I did recently for a middle school science teacher:

The Yellow Lemon

Wanna know how to change the color of a lemon? It’s all about speed baby…

We all know that as a motorcycle, car, or boat comes towards and passes us, the sound we hear changes from an “Eeeeeee” to an “Ahhhhhhhh” as it passes. That is the Doppler Effect. This is due to the sound waves becoming compressed as they come towards us, like a towel on a kitchen floor being pushed up against a wall, it has to crumple up. Counting the number of waves over a particular distance gives its wavelength, and counting the number of waves over a set amount of time gives its frequency. The pitch of the sound that we hear is the frequency or number of cycles per second (Hertz, abbreviated Hz). For example middle C on a piano is 262 Hz, and the A above that is 440 Hz. As the waves get compressed, the cycles per second goes up, as does the pitch – The “Eeeeeee”. As it passes, it now gets stretched out, like pulling that crumpled up towel leaving fewer bumps. The result is fewer cycles per second, or lower pitch – The “Ahhhhhh”.

Now the same thing happens with light… For example the radar gun that the cops use to give a ticket works on the same principle. Radio waves, which is light below the frequency of the visible light we see, can be compressed or stretched in the same way. As a car moves towards the radar gun the radio waves get compressed and stacked up, just like our towel, thus the frequency of light changes as a direct result of that relative motion. Same goes if the car is moving away from the gun, as the radio waves will get stretched out. A small computer in the radar gun is able to quickly calculate the speed of the car based on the change of frequency.

Now, imagine a lemon… A bright yellow lemon. The frequency of yellow light is about 518 THz (TeraHertz) or 518,000,000,000,000 Hz. If you or the lemon move really fast (as in millions of miles per hour fast) away from each other, the light waves will stretch and the frequency will change, just as above, and the lemon will change color towards red – From yellow (518 Thz), to orange (492 THz), to red (460 THz), depending only on speed. If you or the lemon move towards each other, really fast, it will change color towards blue – From yellow (518 THz), to green (570 THz), to blue (640 THz).

Astronomers use the same technique to measure the speed of galaxies moving away from us in our expanding universe, as the light from them gets redder the faster they are moving away from us. A few of them, like our neighbor the Andromeda galaxy, is getting bluer, meaning it is moving towards us, and will eventually collide with our own Milky Way Galaxy far into the future. They even use the technique to measure how fast a galaxy is rotating, as one side appears redder and the other bluer, as one side rotates towards us while the other rotates away.

“If you want to build a ship, don't drum up people together to collect wood and don't assign them tasks and work, but rather teach them to long for the endless immensity of the sea”
~Antoine de Saint-Exupery

So, if we make science "cool and interesting", many kids will want to learn it and look deeper on their own.


Wanna know the funny part? I'm basically self-taught, as I am a highschool drop-out.
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 19, 2011 - 06:29pm PT
I am a highschool drop-out

heh

me, too
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:03pm PT
HFCS,

To add a little more clarity to what I do now, at the nuke, as I kinda wear a few different hats...

I am in a group called NOS (Nuclear Oversight Section)... They have this group at all US sites, and we do not report to anyone at the site. We are basically the in-house oversight group, that looks at EVERYTHING in the plant, from Operations, to Licensing, to Chemistry, to the Healt Physics Department, to Security, to Maintainance (that's mainly my part), to Management, etc... We are in the business of looking for weaknesses or things that are wrong. We are all federally protected, as we often make waves UP the chain, as well as down. We do NOT suggest how to make things right, as that would compromise our independance, as then we would have to evaluate the results of OUR own suggestions/recomendation/actions... Like the fox guarding the henhouse.

(My wife hates the fact that I've done this for so long, that I tend to do it ALL THE TIME, as evidenced by the discourse I get into online, including at home. :/)


We in NOS all interface with several regulatory and oversight agencies often (E.g., NRC, INPO, EPRI, WANO, etc), as they are the outside oversight groups, and they value our input, insight, and findings. I also sit on a couple TACs (Technical Advisory Committees) with EPRI, doing R&D for new technologies, to either adapt them for nuclear, or to see if there is a benifit to nuclear applications. We also 'benchmark' other utilities to look for 'best practices', and they us. Nukes in the US, and even many outside the US (WANO) are very transparent in this way, as there is a constant exchange of information.


I do enjoy discourse, as I am into edification, and especially appreciate when someone shows me a different perspective on things, even showing me that my head is in my a*# at times... DMT, for one, has done this from time to time throughout the years.



Oh, and I am a Gemini, like long walks on the beach, my spelling sux, and was one of the founding members and even used to be one of the owners of rockclimbing.com years ago, but I was even more of an internet ass back then.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:05pm PT
Get your NY Times articles while you can. In a week they will start charging to view their articles.

"Lessons From Chernobyl for Japan"

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/20/weekinreview/20chernobyl.html?_r=1&hp

Excerpt:

"The death of a nuclear reactor has a beginning; the world is watching this unfold now on the coast of Japan. But it doesn’t have an end.

While some radioactive elements in nuclear fuel decay quickly, cesium’s half-life is 30 years and strontium’s is 29 years. Scientists estimate that it takes 10 to 13 half-lives before life and economic activity can return to an area. That means that the contaminated area — designated by Ukraine’s Parliament as 15,000 square miles, around the size of Switzerland — will be affected for more than 300 years. All last week, workers frantically tried to cool the six reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi plant 140 miles north of Tokyo. But one had to look at Ukraine to understand the sheer tedium and exhaustion of dealing with the aftermath of a meltdown. It is a problem that does not exist on a human time frame."

-----------


Some ideas posted recently that I like:

 Tom Cochrane “one of the best things about ST is the ability to put something out there and rapidly receive feedback from someone more knowledgeable."

 Hfcs' idea of a 2000’ deep mineshaft to deep six the whole thing when it's FUBAR ;)

-----------


An idea that I don't like:

 that 90% of all US reactor have only 4 hours of battery back-up power... (yikes!)

-----------


What is strange to me in terms of the back up cooling design, why not incorporate passive thermosiphon methods to allow the warmth of the heated water to draw cooler water up and circulate it, much like a passive solar hot water heater? Reliance on power to operate everything seems foolhardy...



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:10pm PT
An idea that I don't like:

that 90% of all US reactor have only 4 hours of battery back-up power... (yikes!)

You seem to have missed an earlier reply by me regarding this some pages back... You really should look at it.

We have dedicated SAMA Diesel generators that are there only to charge these batterries, indefinately, if need be. So, basically, we have two independant and redundant systems to provide backup electricty (E.g., the EDGs and the SAMAs).



...why not incorporate passive thermosiphon methods to allow the warmth of the heated water to draw cooler water up and circulate it,...
We do... IT is caled "Natural Circulation", and from what I understand (remember, I know little about thermodynamics) it won't last indefinately, and there is no heat sink (Service Water or Torus) to send the heat to when in this mode.




While some radioactive elements in nuclear fuel decay quickly, cesium’s half-life is 30 years and strontium’s is 29 years. Scientists estimate that it takes 10 to 13 half-lives before life and economic activity can return to an area. That means that the contaminated area — designated by Ukraine’s Parliament as 15,000 square miles, around the size of Switzerland — will be affected for more than 300 years. All last week, workers frantically tried to cool the six reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi plant 140 miles north of Tokyo. But one had to look at Ukraine to understand the sheer tedium and exhaustion of dealing with the aftermath of a meltdown. It is a problem that does not exist on a human time frame."

See also post made today regarding Chernobyl, and the people who live in the city, and the 'nuclear touriosts' that visit it.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:19pm PT
Get your NY TImes articles while you can. In a week they will start charging to view their articles.


That is sure to go over really well and make them more popular. Not.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:30pm PT
I am a Gemini, like long walks on the beach,

What, is ST turning into some sort of dating website?

Yes, it will be interesting to see if the NYT's subscription based model will work. They've got a lot of free, quality competition.
hb81

climber
Mar 19, 2011 - 07:40pm PT
To anyone interested in the topic of nuclear power plants (and the problems that come with them) I can highly recommend this movie:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qoyKe-HxmFk

A documentary about the first final storage for used nuclear fuel that is under construction (and will be for another 100 years) right now in Finland.
Very interesting and thought-provoking as they're discussing the various problems that arise when one tries to construct a place that should last 100,000 years. Yes that is one hundred thousand years.

Great stuff!

edit: here's the complete movie on youtube (shh!)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XygsveIwfk
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 19, 2011 - 10:14pm PT
rAdam,
Oh, and I am a Gemini, like long walks on the beach...

rAdam,

thanks for the additional material. Including THAT one. :)

I think you're now the go-to man on this thread concerning nuclear matters!
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 19, 2011 - 10:35pm PT
If you read the body of the article the levels in the spinach are still really low.
Spinach doesn't grow fast enough that it could take up that much cesium this quickly, particularly given the really cold weather in Japan over the last week where growth would have stopped.

There's more likely an other preexisting source or it got contaminated on the way to market.

There are going to be a lot of radiation detections around the world now that have nothing to do with Japan just because its being looked for with an intensity that it hasn't before and old unused instruments drug out of storage, used by people that are unpracticed in their use.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 19, 2011 - 10:41pm PT
people seem to be looking at the radioactive material blowing out to sea as if it is now safely gone somewhere else

when required to travel on airliners, i tend to keep my nose glued to the window

flying from the US to Japan, it is easy to see where the islands are, long before they are visible over the horizon, by the white wakes of fish boats going to and from Japanese harbors; like spokes to a giant wheel

my experience shopping in Japanese grocery stores is that they resemble what we would call a huge fish market, more than anything else with which we are familiar in the United States
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 20, 2011 - 02:16am PT
It's 3 pm in Japan and things are not looking as hopeful today as yesterday. The power to the pumping stations is still not on and the pressure is rising again in the worst affected reactor. They are planning on a controlled release of radioactive air into the environment.

Meanwhile, I'm wondering at Klimmer's statement about not eating the mantel of a coleman lantern. He seems to insinuate there is radioactivity in that? I thought the problem was asbestos? I ask because I once had a Sherpa kitchen boy eat the mantel out of one of my kerosene lanterns.

I found out about it when he asked me for stomach medicine. When I asked him why he thought his stomach hurt (always a revelatory question in Nepal), he told me that he had a sore throat and he thought eating the mantel might help. When I incredulously asked him why he would think that, he replied that he needed the strongest magic he could find. He figured a little piece of cloth that glowed with fire and never burned up would be it, so he ate an old one before replacing it with a new one.



Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 20, 2011 - 02:21am PT
Apparently lantern mantles have both cerium and thorium in them, as those elements radiate a lot of energy in visible wavelengths. They make a woven cotton bag, impregnate with nitrates of rare earths, and when you install the mantle and burn it down, it converts the nitrates into nitrites, forming a 'bag'.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gas_mantle

Learn something new, and fascinating, every day. Doesn't sound like eating one of the mantles would be a good idea, though.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 20, 2011 - 02:23am PT
Coleman made their lantern mantels out of Thorium through the 90s...

eating it was not a good thing as the alpha-radiation is absorbed by the digestive lining. Breathing any of the dust wouldn't be a good thing either...

They are currently made out of Yttrium...
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 20, 2011 - 02:27am PT
on "natural circulation", you need a cooling bath as well as a heat source, otherwise the heat source just keeps raising the temperature of the water until it boils.

Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 20, 2011 - 02:45am PT
Given that it's still snowing, there can't be much if any new grass which cattle could graze on outside. It seems more likely that they're eating stored fodder at this time of year. It would also be a natural reaction for farmers to bring surviving cattle indoors in any event, although I wonder if there are all that many cattle there to begin with.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 20, 2011 - 11:22am PT
Last night, we watched the movie, Fat Man and Little Boy (1989) starring Paul Newman and John Cusack. I thought it was really good on many levels.

Cusack plays a young scientist, an amalgam I think between Harry Daghlian and Louis Slotin, the two young scientists who died following accidental exposures. In the movie he has an accident adapted from this scene:


rAdam or Ed,

I think I have a pretty good idea, but can you tell me what would've happened if Slotin (or Cusack in the movie) was not able to flip the neutron reflector off the core how that would've played out? 10 seconds later. One minute later. 5 minutes later. Something like that. Do we know?

Heroic that all three men (two in reality and Cusack in the movie) had the presence of mind to disengage the criticality.

.....

EDIT to ADD

Oh, guess who played Oppenheimer? ANSWER: Dwight Schultz. He was "Broccoli" on Star Trek: TNG and Voyager. He was most excellent, too, I thought, as Oppie.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 20, 2011 - 03:45pm PT

Thanks for the info on the Coleman mantel. We'll never know if that Sherpa would develop cancer as I always feared, since he died in an accident when he slipped and fell on snow covered stone steps while drunk.

Meanwhile there is a very good editorial in the New York Times by the former Tokyo bureau chief Nicholas Kristof explaining the difference between the Japanese people as a whole and their often incompetent government.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/20/opinion/20kristof.html?hp
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 20, 2011 - 07:12pm PT
hey there say,jan... one of my friends that fullfilled her previous travel arrangement, is soon to head back to japan... think it is by way of tokyo...

i was just wondering what she will find--as to getting in and out to her town of kanagawa...

how is tokyo, at the moment, as to planes, etc... and such...
i may email her if i can ... course, she knew how it was, up close, when she left... but i am just wondering if it is harder, now, from folks leaving...

thanks jan...
:)
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 20, 2011 - 07:45pm PT
probably not the place for this discussion, but, the two accidents are discussed together on page 74 of this document:
http://www.orau.org/ptp/Library/accidents/la-13638.pdf

they were separated in time, one was 8/21/45 and the other 5/21/46, but the Pu sphere that was a part of the accidents was the same.

The number of fissions per second as a function of time is given the plot from that document:


you see it drops off due to the transient nature of neutron transport. Prompt criticality is where criticality equals 1 considering only the direct fission neutrons, the other neutrons are the ones reflected back into the assembly, the reflector being what caused the accidents in both cases.

What would have happened? Eventually the assembly heats up until the mechanical configuration changes to decrease the heat source, which is the reflector...
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 20, 2011 - 08:35pm PT
Thanks.

That whole criticality subject is fascinating, it's history, everything. Somehow I missed learning about any of that bitd. Wow.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 20, 2011 - 08:47pm PT
The cavalier non-chalance of Slotin in handling this "demon core" and experimenting with criticality in such a casual manor is pure idiocy, esp. afer Daghlian died the year before doing the same. Read the 4th paragraph about "tickling the dragon's tail". I guess OSHA wasn't around back then.

Mark Twight wrote in Extreme Alpinism, "the burned hand teaches best."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demon_core
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 20, 2011 - 09:00pm PT
RJ, the reactors in Japan that are having problems were built in the early 1970s, and they must have been designed in the 1960s. They're not state of the art, although a key challenge - safely disposing of reactor waste - remains.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 20, 2011 - 09:02pm PT
Seems to be a tsunami's worth of drift here.

This disaster is still unfolding and could get seriously fukked into a cocked hat.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Mar 20, 2011 - 10:24pm PT
Who puts plants so close together that if one goes bad the others need to be evacuated?

The designers of those plants should be thrown to the wolves.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 20, 2011 - 11:48pm PT

Nothing like a crisis to bring people together!

Who would have guessed that we could reach an agreement finally on ST,
about wolves?
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:00am PT
Roxjok, Ron, & Jan: Re
Nothing like a crisis to bring people together!

Who would have guessed that we could reach an agreement finally on ST,
about wolves?


Sunnibeaches! Maybe that's why Idaho has been plagued with wolves.

They are hunting for all the engineers, physicists, and politicians that have turned Idaho's INL nuke site into a radioactive dump ground. That nuclear dump has seriously infected the Snake River Aquifer with very dangerous radioactive materials.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:05am PT
Neebee-

All I know about what is going on in mainland Japan is what I see or read online. From what I hear, the only inconvenience in Kanagawa is that there will be fewer commuter trains into Tokyo for a long while due to electricity shortage. Your friend is able to text if not call Japan, and get much more detailed information.

I live in Okinawa which is thousands of miles south of the main islands of Japan. We are one hour flight from Taiwan and 2 hours flight from Tokyo. The Americans in mainland have been given the choice of a voluntary evacuation but Okinawa is not affected in any way.

Most of us who have been here many years prefer to stay here to support Japan and our Japanese friends rather than running away.

Meanwhile I have several online American military students who were able to contact me yesterday and tell me that they are working 16 hour a day as relief workers in Sendai, the tsunami center, and would be turning in their homework late!






Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:11am PT
Perhaps the giant ferocious bloodthirsty wolves that RokJox and Jennie fantasize about are real, but the result of native wolves mutating when exposed to radiation?
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:19am PT
Years ago a friend of Frank's from USF who had worked at Hunter's Point Naval base in San Francisco, told us that the navy had dumped many barrels of radioactive waste into the Pacific ocean and that they were guaranteed to last only 50 years before leaking.
MH2

climber
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:21am PT
If I had to be in a disaster I'd wish I could have it in Japan. They are holding up admirably. The one good friend we have in Tokyo has said that the only difference for him, personally, is that he is busier than usual. I doubt that is the whole truth, though. Thanks, Jan, for the NYT Op Ed link.

In '67 I had a summer job at a nuclear fuel reprocessing plant. It was already a big question how to deal with nuclear waste and the West Valley plant had a lot of problems. Just one small picturesque example: guys would bring home tools that had been contaminated rather than throw them away. The story may finally have a good ending, though:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Valley_Reprocessing_Plant

Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:36am PT
Mighty Hiker:

Re --
Perhaps the giant ferocious bloodthirsty wolves that RokJox and Jennie fantasize about are real, but the result of native wolves mutating when exposed to radiation?


Sorry, but I don't think the new wolves are hanging out down in the radioactive sagebrush flats at the INL Nuke site. If they did: the guards would probably mistake them for disguised terrorists.

The wolves insatiable hunger seems to be a typical byproduct of the party mentality that results when Canadians move to warmer climates.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 21, 2011 - 01:50am PT
Coleman made their lantern mantels out of Thorium through the 90s...

As usual, Ed is correct. I had a Rad safety course in the ealry 90's and we used alpha detectors on Coleman lantern Mantles.



When delibertly taken risks run bad, somebody who made the decisions needs to pay for the mistakes. Its not like these were just mistakes, they weren't accidents, they were actions delibertly taken, and delibertly planned for. Yet the people making the decisions don't take part in the results if the results are bad. That represents a broken feedback loop, and as a design for getting good decisions it sucks as bad as a furnace that never shuts off. Like that damn reactor design. If your decision makers never die because of their bad decisions, they will remain functioning, alive to make more bad decisions, and will think little of doing so.

No Feedback makes for bad engineering and bad politics. Kill a couple politicians and a few billionaires for f*#king up, and you WILL get fewer f*#k-ups. No Lie.


Rokjox and others,

this was not a deisgn "flaw". People need to understand how engineers work. They are given criteria and Design Basis Events to work to. Without a Tsunami, this would not have been in the news. The Tsunami Wall was way shorter than it should have been. In other words, the designers designed the wall with certain assumptions that did not account for a wall of water nearly three stories tall. This is a Systematic Failure. The Agency that regulates Nukes in Japan, would not have licensed the facility (or at leat thats how it works in the US) if the Agency thought that a Large Wave could take out the EDG's.

At the Waste Treatment Plant in Hanford, our oversight agency is the DNFSB. They are very critical of every assumption, even questioning the USGS on Volcanic Event assumptions.

I actually agree with Rok on the part about holding Management responsible. If you through the BP exec into Jail without bail for the spill in the gulf (of course until the trial ) then there would be many fewer accidents. People tend to blame teh engineers. That is in most casses incorrect as they often do not have the last say.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 21, 2011 - 01:56am PT
Fritz,

it is amazing the things that our Government did with Hazardous, Toxic and Radioactive waste back in the day. Your pic doesnt even begin to show. And now, a huge amount of taxpayers money is being spent to clean up the sins of the past. It needs to be done and government agencies are much smarter about this.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:59am PT
From MIT NSE Nuclear Information Hub
Status Update – 3/20/11 at 3:30 pm EDT re: Stabilisation at Fukushima Daiichi

"Despite contradictory comments by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission to US politicians and media, most observers in nuclear industry and regulation consider the measures taken by Japanese authorities to be prudent..."

http://mitnse.com/2011/03/20/status-update-32011-at-330-pm-edt/
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 09:22am PT
and milk from cows 20 miles away contained lethal iodine-131 and caesium-137
Huh? If it's "lethal", how are they still alive to be producing milk?

Certainly sounds scarier than negligable 'tace amounts', though, huh?
Gene

climber
Mar 21, 2011 - 09:32am PT
A lot of contradictory information still coming out still.

There have been some "Baghdad Bob" moments in this epic.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 11:18am PT
Adam- i thought I read there were levels 7 to 9 times the government limit found in spinach and milk? How is that negligible?

1. The word used was "lethal", which it is hardly.

2. Please, tell me what the "government limits" are for Cesium and Radioidine in spinach and milk.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
UPDATE AS OF 10:30 A.M. EDT, MONDAY, MARCH 21:
Fukushima Daiichi
Tokyo Electric Power Co. continued efforts on Monday to restore power to its reactors at Fukushima Daiichi as well as stabilize cooling in the used fuel pools of some reactors. Reactors 1, 2 and 3 are in stable condition and reactors 5 and 6 are stable and being cooled by systems powered by electricity that was restored over the weekend.

The Tokyo Fire Department sprayed cooling water into the reactor 3 used fuel pool for about 4.5 hours, ending early Monday morning. At reactor 4, Japan’s Self-Defense Force sprayed water into the pool for about two hours. Overall, 13 fire engines have been used in the spraying. Efforts to spray water into the used fuel pools at reactors 3 and 4 reactor buildings and used fuel pools was stopped on Monday while TEPCO assessed the effectiveness of these efforts.

Workers were evacuated from the area around reactors 2 and 3 Monday when smoke was observed coming from the secondary containment buildings.

Electricity is expected to be restored to both reactors 3 and 4 by March 23.

Radiation dose rates at monitoring posts are slightly higher than on past days. Rates at the plant site boundary range from 1 to 3 millirem per hour. Radiation dose rates in the area where fire trucks have been located are reported to be 2 to 3 rem per hour, with some isolated areas as high as 30 rem per hour.

Fukushima Daini
All reactors are in cold shutdown and are stable
http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/


Note - 1-3 mR/hr at the fence is significantly higher than normal, BUT it is pretty small, as 2 mR/hr* is the dose-rate at a boundary that a nonmonitered member of the public can be exposed when radiography (RT) is performed... I know, as that's what I've set the boundary at for a long time doing RT. In fact, if I only have a single 10 second exposure to make, I can have up to 720 mR/hr at the boundary, as a person could only pick up 2 mRem in that 10 seconds, as the limit is *actually 2 mRem in an 1 hour (isodose)... But we usually NEVER go above 50 mR/hr using isodose.

Also, while very high, 2-3 R/hr, is a common field that people work in during outages at nukes, they just can't work there long, to keep the dose down. There are even jobs which people are exposed to 30 R/hr, although rare, and they are very planned out with mock-ups prior to the work being done, to reduce time (dose), and there will be several people who will take turns to spread the dose out.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 01:13pm PT
Oh, and regarding the discussion a few days ago regarding electronics functioning in EXTREMELY high radiation fields...

Just today, we were discussing with one of our contractors who provides remote video equipment, some designed for very high radiation fields, whether or not he can image some specific areas of the Rx, and he does NOT think his equipment will hold up to the EXTREMELY high fields in that specific area for very long.

So, apparently, when we are talking about extremely intense fields, there is a limit that even electronics built specifically for high radiation fields can withstand.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 21, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
Years ago a friend of Frank's from USF who had worked at Hunter's Point Naval base in San Francisco, told us that the navy had dumped many barrels of radioactive waste into the Pacific ocean and that they were guaranteed to last only 50 years before leaking.


http://walrus.wr.usgs.gov/farallon/radwaste.html

Farallon Island Radioactive Waste Dump

"There is intense public and media interest in this issue, and we need to have the best information available when we respond to inquiries or participate in discussions on the issue of radioactive waste dumped near the Farallones."

--Barbara Boxer; United States Congress (D-California). June, 1990

Issue

More than 47,800 drums and other containers of low-level radioactive waste were dumped onto the ocean floor west of San Francisco between 1946 and 1970; many of these are in the Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary.

Questions

Where are the drums?
Is it appropriate and safe to dispose of radioactive waste in the marine environment?
Some Answers

Although the drums were to be dumped at three specific sites, there are no drums at the exact location of the site covered by this study.

Preliminary maps show the location of many drums, but only 15 percent of the radioactive waste dump area has been mapped.

This information can be used to sample around the drums to determine if the radioactive material is leaking or otherwise affecting the environment.

Summary

Between 1946 and 1970, approximately 47,800 large barrels and other containers of radioactive waste were dumped in the ocean west of San Francisco. The containers were to be dumped at three designated sites, but they a litter sea floor area of at least 1,400 km2 known as the Farallon Island Radioactive Waste Dump.

The exact location of the containers and the potential hazard the containers pose to the environment are unknown.

The USGS developed computer techniques and contracted with private industry to enhance sidescan- sonar data--collected in cooperation with the Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary--to detect objects as small as 55-gallon steel barrels while conducting regional sidescan-sonar surveys. Locations of probable 55-gallon containers derived from the enhanced sidescan sonar images were plotted on a map covering a 125-km2 area.

The U.S. Navy, the USGS, and the Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary pooled their expertise and resources to verify the new computer enhancement techniques developed for detecting targets on sidescan sonar images the size of 55-gallon barrels.The acoustic intepretations were verified using the USN DSV (Deep Submergence Vehicle) Sea Cliff and the unmanned Advanced Tethered Vehicle (ATV).

Barrels and other physical features were found without fail where image enhancement had indicated they would be found.

Without maps as guides to probable barrel sites, previous attempts to locate the barrels using submersibles were like trying to find a needle in a haystack. In contrast, using the new acoustic maps to drive from one barrel site to the next, each Sea Cliff and ATV dive verified the predicted absence or presence of barrels.

The interagency cooperation among the USN, USGS, and Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary has provided the technological, scientific, and practical expertise to develop a cost-effective and time-efficient method to locate the barrels of radioactive waste. This method can be used to locate containers of hazardous waste over a regional scale in other ocean areas such as Boston Harbor and the Kara Sea in the Arctic.

For additional information, contact Herman Karl
Phone: (650) 354-3084
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 21, 2011 - 02:01pm PT
So no pictures of the spent fuel pools or reactors can be taken due to the camera's being fried by gamma sleeting thru the electronics. Imagine a camera tied to a long stick being held up to an opening for a quick peek
has been thought of.

Wonder if any sort of communication gear can work near the hot sources
other than tin cans and string?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 05:29pm PT
In which country Adam?

"Please, tell me what the "government limits are"

The word you used was minuscule Adam.

Shouldn't you know the limits already?
Oh wait- you're not a food inspector...my bad
The country in which you were referring to in your reply.

And I used the word negligable... "...negligable 'tace amounts'..."

You should know that, as you even quoted me, and got it right the first time:
Adam- i thought I read there were levels 7 to 9 times the government limit found in spinach and milk? How is that negligible?


1. The word used was "lethal", which it is hardly.

2. Please, tell me what the "government limits" are for Cesium and Radioidine in spinach and milk.




And, let's remember, that my repy was made taking issue with the word "lethal"...

As in, quoting again, "and milk from cows 20 miles away contained lethal iodine-131 and caesium-137"
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 21, 2011 - 06:00pm PT
rAdam,

Check out this table from a radiation page at Wiki:

It expresses the weighting factor (W) between grays and seiverts. So if you know, is it correct to interpret from this table that medium speed neutrons - specifically neutrons 100 keV – 2 MeV - are the most disruptive to living tissue?

Ref: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sievert

EDIT to ADD

For example, for these neutrons:

.1 gray (20) = 2.0 sieverts
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 21, 2011 - 06:05pm PT
From this table, would it also be correct, generally speaking, to say that alpha particles, certain fission products and the aforementioned neutrons - in the range 100 keV – 2 MeV - are the most dangerous sorts of radiation if they were to be ranked?

.....

BTW, found this interesting:

Bananas are naturally radioactive - due to their potassium content.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banana_equivalent_dose

Food for thought:

(1) In the media: "Traces of radioactivity found in bananas!!"

(2) Bananas are radioactive enough to be detected by radiation sensors used to detect possible illegal smuggling of nuclear material at U.S. ports.

EDIT to ADD

(3) This might even be more interesting: Never knew what a micromort was til today!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micromort

Heading into the backcountry to Temple Crag adds how many micromorts to a climber's portfolio? if the goal is to send Sun Ribbon Arete in a day?

Climbers beware-
Spending 10 hours on Sun Ribbon Arete adds 5 micromorts to a person's ledger!!
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 21, 2011 - 07:16pm PT
Alpha radiation is very dangerous if a source gets inside the body. It will rarely penetrate a sheet of paper...so won't go beyong outer skin layers.

Neutrons will go several hundred feet in air...can be shielded by hydrogen containing substances like water and paraffin.

Gamma rays can go great distances and are best shielded by heavy stuff like lead, steel, dense concrete etc...
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 21, 2011 - 07:27pm PT
I hear the power is back. That would be really good news!


http://www.france24.com/en/20110321-hopes-rise-power-restored-fukushima-reactors-tsunami-earthquake-japan-nuclear
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 07:55pm PT
It expresses the weighting factor (W) between grays and seiverts. So if you know, is it correct to interpret from this table that medium speed neutrons - specifically neutrons 100 keV – 2 MeV - are the most disruptive to living tissue?

I don't know.. I'm not a health physicist, but I can ask one tomorrow at work if I remember.

Hoever, I don't know of any significant neutron sources, here on Earth, that are not man made... Fission and fussion creates free neutrons.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:07pm PT
Alpha radiation is very dangerous if a source gets inside the body. It will rarely penetrate a sheet of paper...so won't go beyong outer skin layers.
True... Although I wouldn't say 'really dangerous' as it depends on the source, as some have very shourt half-lives, therefore the *TEDE (Total Effective Dose Equivilant) would be small. In fact, radon decays by emitting alpha particles, and even it's short-lived daughters decay by alpha as well, yet the primary health hazard is the particles it decays into (namely lead), not the radiation from it (gamma or alpha).

*The sum of the deep-dose equivalent (for external exposures) and the committed effective dose equivalent (for internal exposures).



Neutrons will go several hundred feet in air...can be shielded by hydrogen containing substances like water and paraffin.
True, but... They will travel much further than just 100's of feet. In fact, they will continue to travel until they are either absorbed or they decay, as I believe neutron by themselves only last about 10-15 minutes, until they decay into protons, via beta decay, in this case, giving off an electron and an anti-neutrino.



Gamma rays can go great distances and are best shielded by heavy stuff like lead, steel, dense concrete etc...
True, and this also depends on the energy og the gamma ray, as higher MeV gammas are far more penetrating than less energetic ones.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:08pm PT
Thanks, man. Interesting stuff all the way around.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:10pm PT
I edited my reply to you above, HFCS, so you may wish to reread.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:28pm PT
People confuse radiation (easy to protect against) with radioactive material (hard to protect against if it spreads everywhere as dust.)

If the plant is emitting radiation, that's not a problem. If it's emitting radioactive debris - watch out!
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 21, 2011 - 08:40pm PT
http://www.badassoftheweek.com/akaiwa.html

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 21, 2011 - 09:18pm PT
So,
I am at DOE HQ all week in DC. First thing one knowledgeable guy told me was to plan on lots of changes and our plant has a very low probability of any type of criticality rxn. I had already anticipated but not sure what the extent of the changes will be. Keep in mind I am building a plant to Vitrify waste, not a nuke reactor.

GraniteC, if you really want to get youur dander up try searching for the ocean dumps of chemical weapons. I am pretty certain that it is public knowledge (and if it isnt you did not hear it from me) at the end of WWII we took german ships full of Chemical Agent annd weapons and sunk them in the Atlantic. I would wager that the tonnage of that in the oceans far exceeds any radioactive material. Although, there was significant radioactive realeases from the Hanford site during the Manhattan Project and through the cold war.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Mar 21, 2011 - 10:04pm PT
While Alpha radiation is the least penetrating type of radiation and will not penetrate dead skin layers…it is much more dangerous than beta or gamma if it’s ingested or inhaled because its power to ionize is 10 to 1000 times greater (20 average) that of beta and gamma.

There are a number of case histories of workers refurbishing walls receiving severe damage from natural alpha emitters in inhaled dust.

Chronic exposure to radon, which emits alpha particles, may severely damage lung tissue. The alpha emitter polonium-210 is suspected of playing a role in lung cancer and bladder cancer related to tobacco smoking. Polonium-210 was used to kill Russian dissident and ex-FSB officer Alexander V. Litvinenko in 2006.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 21, 2011 - 10:20pm PT
I remember the story of Alexander, I followed it.

This gives one an appreciation of the substance:
The symptoms seen in Litvinenko appeared consistent with an administered activity of approximately 2 GBq (50 mCi) which corresponds to about 10 micrograms of 210Po. That is 200 times the median lethal dose of around 238 μCi or 50 nanograms in the case of ingestion.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Litvinenko_poisoning
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 21, 2011 - 10:45pm PT
hey there say, jan.... thanks for the share... you are right, and she can check the computer in her hotel, too... i had forgot about that... they would have a news report in japanese, somewhere, that would be more update than the states, etc....

thanks, jan... say how are you today?
hope all is well...

*wow, how did the students do... are they all okay?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 07:41am PT
Well Adam I am confused because there has been negligible amounts found in food in multiple countries, and both negligible and non-negligible amounts found in Japan- so to clarify and be precise which country are you asking for the levels in spinach and milk?


Are you serious? What part don't you understand in my last reply to you:
In which country Adam?

"Please, tell me what the "government limits are"

The word you used was minuscule Adam.

Shouldn't you know the limits already?
Oh wait- you're not a food inspector...my bad
The country in which you were referring to in your reply.

And I used the word negligable... "...negligable 'tace amounts'..."

You should know that, as you even quoted me, and got it right the first time:
Adam- i thought I read there were levels 7 to 9 times the government limit found in spinach and milk? How is that negligible?


1. The word used was "lethal", which it is hardly.

2. Please, tell me what the "government limits" are for Cesium and Radioidine in spinach and milk.




And, let's remember, that my repy was made taking issue with the word "lethal"...

As in, quoting again, "and milk from cows 20 miles away contained lethal iodine-131 and caesium-137"


OK, let me see if I can break it down for you...

Initially, I responded to the report of "lethal" doses of radioiodine and cesium forund in cow's milk. (see above)

YOU then replied that you "'think you read' that levels were 7 to 9 times the "government limit" found in spinach and milk".

So, I asked you what the "government limits" were for radioiodine and cesium in spinach and milk... Your words, so I asked YOU what those limits were.

You asked 'for which country'... To which I replied, the one that you were inferring in your reply above (I.e., ... 7 to 9 times...)

(Do you even know which country you were talking about? If so, then why are you asking me which country YOU wre talking about)



So, here we are...
What are the "government limits" for radioiodine and cesium for the country to which you were reffering? Or, were you just talking out of your arse? And, for extra credit, please explain how those levels are "lethal".


Seems pretty clear, just as it seemed clear without me having to spell it all out again.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 07:57am PT
Yesterday I wrote...
Oh, and regarding the discussion a few days ago regarding electronics functioning in EXTREMELY high radiation fields...

Just today, we were discussing with one of our contractors who provides remote video equipment, some designed for very high radiation fields, whether or not he can image some specific areas of the Rx, and he does NOT think his equipment will hold up to the EXTREMELY high fields in that specific area for very long.

So, apparently, when we are talking about extremely intense fields, there is a limit that even electronics built specifically for high radiation fields can withstand.


And since one test is worth a thousand expert opinions... We used the probe anyway last night, and it lasted less than 8 hours before it fried... Now we have to buy it... $80,000!
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 22, 2011 - 10:24am PT
Oh my god, can't you people just stop? It's like you're purposely misinterpreting each others' words just for the sake of argument. Stop acting like children and have a normal discussion, please!! I keep reading this thread because it has a lot of good information, especially from Adam, in it, but it's getting so aggravating to have to wade through all the BS. I know it's a lot to ask of you people, but can't you just grow up and quit with the you're wrong, no you're wrong, see ha you were wrong, no you're an idiot, no you're an idiot nonsense just in this thread?
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 22, 2011 - 10:49am PT
It's close to midnight again in Japan and I just watched the NHK foreign service for the latest news. It seems they now have electricity wired up to all the reactors and have begun work on the equipment which was ruined by sea water. They are planning to restore power first to the control room of the number 3 reactor to try to learn what is happening there. The heat in the reactors is the same or falling, and the radiation is slowly falling. It seems we might have seen the worst and things are slowly getting better.

Two big storm fronts are again moving in from China with really unseasonable cold. It will start snowing again in some places. The good news is that the wind will blow from northwest to east for 5 days again, moving any radioactivity out to sea. Meanwhile the old continue to succumb to hypothermia. A teenager and his grandmother were rescued yesterday after spending 9 days in their collapsed house.The first dead American has turned up - an English teacher in one of the local schools.

Meanwhile NHK is showing video of our aircraft carrier, the Ronald Reagan, which is being used as a floating helicopter pad for ferrying supplies. Our Navy is concentrating on flying along the coast looking for towns and even smaller settlements which are not accessible by road due to landslides, and arranging onsite landings to leave off relief supplies. We have also established another helicopter base at Sendai and continue to truck supplies southward from Misawa Air Base.

Usually the Japanese press either ignores the American military presence (their preferred mode) or criticizes it. To have them positively feature our relief efforts is highly unusual. Already one can see that one of the political losers as a result of this disaster is the Okinawan movement to get rid of the bases. All money and energy will now be focussed up north for a number of years. Economically however, Okinawan vegetable growers should reap a windfall.And on that, good night!
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 11:14am PT
So I was talking about the country of "Japan"...

So we have that set..."JAPAN"
Ok, to help you with your answer I need just a little more Information

Let us be precise now
Are you now asking for the lethal dose or the neglible dose?


For the, what, 4th time... What are the "government limits"? Now that we have established that you were talking about Japan (no surprise there), what are the government limits in Japan for radioiodine and cesium, since you said '7-9 times the government limits' for those radionuclides.

Get us some numbers, if there actually are any, to validate your statement, THEN we'll see just how 'negligable' even 7-9 times that amount really is.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 12:22pm PT
I'm waiting, brutha... You said they were 7-9 times the 'government limit', trying to 'shore up' the use of the word "lethal".

So, what is that limit for each radionuclide?

Your words... Qualify them with some facts, please.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 12:28pm PT
UPDATE AS OF 9:30 A.M. EDT, MARCH 22:
Tokyo Electric Power Co. has reconnected external power supply at Fukushima Daiichi reactors 1, 2, 5 and 6. Offsite electricity is providing power to cooling pumps for the used fuel pools at reactors 5 and 6. Components and circuits at reactors 1 and 2 are being checked before power is restored to them. The company on Tuesday was installing cable at reactor 4 and power is expected to be restored at reactors 3 and 4 on Wednesday (Japan time).

TEPCO said the radiation level at the main gate at Fukushima Daiichi has declined from 33 millirem per hour to 25 millirem per hour.

Fire departments on Tuesday continued to pump water into the used fuel pools at reactors 3 and 4. Seawater is being pumped through a manually laid hose and sent to a water truck for continual spraying. Firefighters have sprayed a total of 3,600 tons of seawater, or about three times the pool’s capacity, in recent days.

Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary, Ukiyo Edano, reported the detection of low levels of iodine 131 and cesium 137 in seawater near the plant. There is no threat to human health, officials said.

Prime Minister Naoto Kan has ordered the governors of four prefectures (Fukushima, Ibaraki, Gunma and Tochigi) to suspend shipments of spinach and milk from specified areas. However, Kan said the levels of airborne radiation in those areas pose no risk to human health.

The Fukushima Daini reactors remain in safe condition today.


http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/



Any word on the humanitarian efforts there? Especially concerning all of the displaced survivors of the areas hit by the thsunami? Seems Lybia is upfron in the current news. :/
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 22, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
I appreciate Adam's calm input more than ever.

re: rAdam

What's more, I've always appreciated rAdam's efforts at accuracy and validity in his posts.
WBraun

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 02:05pm PT
Well they are saying now:

Radiation level 1,600 times above norm in Fukushima nuke zone
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 22, 2011 - 03:16pm PT
Thom Hartmann RT TV: Is the Japan nuclear situation worse than you know?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x565830
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyLM3fKaJ_I


*They also get into the fact that there are no safe levels of radiation exposure above natural background levels.

No industry white-wash just the very real possibilties . . .
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 22, 2011 - 04:35pm PT
...you seem to have lost your rational mind... something has happened...

Radiation poisoning? Eating too many K-laced bananas?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 04:58pm PT
You like the Jerry Springer Show, don't you, Riley (radical)?


And, just for your information, for your 'calculations'... The NRC puts the annual dose limit of a woman who 'declares' a pregnancy at 500 mRem. At least now you can have some actual numbers to plug into your 'calculations', since you seem to throw numbers out there, off the top of your head... Or, perhaps they come from your backside?


Are you familiar with the term GIGO?

Garbage In, Garbage Out!
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 22, 2011 - 05:18pm PT
Adam,
Maybe you should remind folks just what you and your fellow Rad-Techs do at a power plant. I am one of those construction workers that trust you guys with my life during outages. You are the ones that go in first and survey the areas we are going to work in. You map out the hot spots and the cold areas. You tell us the dose rates and are totally into keeping our dose as low as possible. You are one of those people that know the most about radiation and you are simply sharing that knowledge here. Your not a plant manager or a part of plant operations. I look at your work like I look at the safety department. This is still a climbers forum and it is a bummer when we start getting pissed off at each other over simple misunderstandings.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 22, 2011 - 05:34pm PT
Roger,

I'm not a Rad-Tech, I'm NOS/QC. I stated this, a few pages back in a lot of detail, even the plant that I work at, and my history. Including that, at one time, I was the Radiation Safety Officer for an NDE company that did Radiography.

Look here, about half-way down the page:
http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1436585&tn=1240

And the next page.
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 22, 2011 - 06:01pm PT
Adam,
I knew you had posted about your job scope, just couldn't remember. I guess what I was getting at was the fact that everyone in the radiation department is pretty knowledgeable and safety conscious. We tend to refer to everyone that works in that part of the plant as rad-techs. No disrespect intended:-)
Gene

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 07:57pm PT
Here are some numbers about contaminated veggies in Fukushima Prefecture.

If a person eats 100 grams [about 3.5 ounces] of the vegetable with the largest detected amount of radioactive materials for about 10 days, it would be equal to ingesting half the amount of radiation a person typically receives from the natural environment in a year, the ministry said.

If a person keeps eating the vegetable at the same pace, the amount of radiation intake could exceed the amount deemed safe, the ministry said.
http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/03/80314.html

So it appears that 20 days of veggie consumption equals the amount of natural background radiation, which means that 20 days of eating veggies equals twice the amount of background radiation. Seem pretty small to me, but I have no idea if the body concentrates the radiation. No Fukushima veggies for me.
WBraun

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 08:05pm PT
Yeah

The lab coats will always say you're within the safe margin,

They have data from their machines.

We aren't machines.

Still we're more defective then ever and becoming ever more so, all while giving the illusion we are advancing.

They give the illusion "Think outside of the box" all while all their data is in a box they've created because their brain and soul is dead.

Their computer is their prized creation in the form of their box.

Everyone is hooked to it.

No one can think anymore without it.

Don't chya love my Andy Rooney rants ......
Dave

Mountain climber
the ANTI-fresno
Mar 22, 2011 - 08:51pm PT
"*They also get into the fact that there are no safe levels of radiation exposure above natural background levels."

Right. So if you live in Denver you should be dead then? We get 2 - 2.5 times the worldwide or US average background exposure. So by your logic we should all have cancer. But Colorado residents have no higher incident rate for cancer than the US average.

Werner / Riley - maybe you should actually read the science before making blanket assumptions of incompetence, institutional thinking, and conspiracies. I pointed to the BEIR reports once before to debunk one of Klimmer's other strikeouts. If you have insomnia, take a read. They are better sources of information than "that one book." Much of the information was from independent studies of uranium miners, who died or got sick before we had knowledge of what was a safe exposure, or how to ventilate for radon.

Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 22, 2011 - 09:33pm PT
American Red Cross website, with information about the earthquake and tsunami, what they're doing, and how to donate.

http://www.redcross.org/portal/site/en/menuitem.1a019a978f421296e81ec89e43181aa0/?vgnextoid=af4f8ddf76cce210VgnVCM10000089f0870aRCRD

Donations: http://www.redcross.org/portal/site/en/menuitem.d8aaecf214c576bf971e4cfe43181aa0/?vgnextoid=46f51a53f1c37110VgnVCM1000003481a10aRCRD&vgnextfmt=default

Other organizations that you can donate to or support, which the US Red Cross says should be supported: http://www.redcross.org/en/otherdonationsites/

Canadian Red Cross, and how to donate: http://www.redcross.ca/article.asp?id=38380&tid=001

And I bet that Lolli will tell us what the Swedish Red Cross is doing.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 22, 2011 - 09:36pm PT
Finally heard back from my friend Ryuichi,

His family is all safe and he finally heard from his friend in Sendai that he and his family all made it out.

Gene

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 09:38pm PT
Good news, TGT.
Gene

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 10:46pm PT
Major Japanese banks are negotiating a $2.5 BILLION loan package with TEPCO.

In typical understatement:
Tepco, which needs cash for repairs at quake-hit power plants and other expenses, is applying to lenders for loans, the person said.
http://e.nikkei.com/e/fr/tnks/Nni20110323D23JF685.htm
Gene

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 10:50pm PT
Thanks Riley,

I posted that three hours ago.
g
Gene

climber
Mar 22, 2011 - 11:01pm PT
Riley,

Love to tip a brew or two with you as well.

Let's let science and fact, where we can find them, lead us in our discussions here. This is a totally balls to the wall, five alarm clusterf*#k with very little info coming from TEPCO at al. Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I'm sure we will be parties to this disaster, one way or another, for a very long time.

Also, no matter who says what, agree or disagree, NukeBot or whatever, as long as they explain themselves and give a valid rationale for their views, DON'T SHOOT THE F*#KING MESSENGER!

Piss out.
g
PSP also PP

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 23, 2011 - 12:32am PT
Thanks Radical finally a perspective that sees the forest through the trees.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 23, 2011 - 12:39am PT
Thanks radical.

I've never heard of Douglas Lummis. He must be a visiting professor at the University of the Ryukyus here in Okinawa. What he quotes Takashi as saying about the Tepco officials willing to risk worker's lives to try to save face for themselves, their company and the nuclear industry sounds about right to me.

So does his evaluation of the damage left behind to all the sensitive equipment in the basement due to sea water. In fact, I'll bet the basement is still filled with it and it may even be quite radioactive if the water sprayed onto the exposed rods has leaked downward.

The governor of the most affected prefecture refused to allow the president of Tepco to apologize saying the people of his prefecture were too angry, fearful, and exasperated to accept an apology. In Japan that's almost unheard of and the ultimate refutation.

cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 23, 2011 - 02:13am PT
what about rescue efforts? are they getting thru? what stories have you folks heard, beyond nuclear?
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 23, 2011 - 04:04am PT
cleo-

The U.S. Navy is using helicopters from our aircraft carrier off shore to search for villages which have been cut off by landslides, and land in those places with provisions.
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 23, 2011 - 09:51am PT
I can't find any info on Hirose Takashi - what credentials does he have?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 23, 2011 - 10:56am PT
OK, Riley... Pay attention here...

The limit for iodine-131 is 55 Bq per kilogram for infant food and 300 Bq per kilogram for other foods regulated by the FDA. For meat and poultry, which are regulated by the Department of Agriculture, the limit is 55 Bq per kilogram.

. . .

In Japan, some milk was reported to contain 1,510 Bq of iodine-131 per kilogram.""

Hmmm , not negligible...?

Yes, still pretty "negligable"...

Even at the lessor of 55 Bq/kilo, the amount reported in the milk is just 27 times the amount. Limits are set VERY conservatively (see regulatory dose limits vs any detectable effect).

And, in just 8 days (remember the halflife of radioiodine) the amount will naturally decay to just 13.5 times the limit, in 8 more days, 6.8 times the amount, and in 8 more, 3.4, in 8 more 1.7, and 8 more we're at .85 times the "conservative limit... Point being, in about a month, it will decay down to less than the "conservative limit".

So, that is pretty negligable. I agree that it is prudent to limit the consumtion of said food stuffs, as I too agree with erring on the side of being "conservative"... My point is, is that it really isn't as bad as most think it to be.

Do the math for yourself for the "300 Bq per kilogram for other foods regulated by the FDA", and you will see that it IS negligable. (I.e., 5 times the "conservative" amount, and decays to less than the limit in about 20 days)

And, just so you know, we in the US tend to still use Curies rather than Becquerels... We need to get with everyone else in the world on this.



And, for the umpteenth time, people (even pregnant women) in New England get a relatively high dose of gamma and alpha from radon even well above 500 mRem/year (above the "conservatove" limit for pregnatnt women), and people in Denver (again, even pregnant women) and those who fly 2-3 times per week get a much higher gamma dose as well... In fact, they ALL get a higher dose (alpha, beta, and gamma) than the average nuke worker, myself included.

Point peing... Is there any detectable increas in the rate of birth defects in New England or Denver? Nope... Because it's all about what and how much. NEGLIGABLE doses have been shown to have no detectable effect.




Edit... My math was off. :/
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 23, 2011 - 10:57am PT
End of day here and things are looking worse today. One day forward, one day back.

The tap water in Tokyo has become polluted enough that the government is telling people with children under five to serve them bottled water only. Of course there has been a run on bottled water and now a shortage.

Black smoke rose from the #3 reactor for a few hours, effectively halting work on restoration by mid afternoon. Evidently black smoke rises from that reactor regularly every couple of days and they have no idea why.

Soil samples 5 cm. deep 30 km. north of the reactors have been found with 1,600 times the normal amount of radiation.

Scientists figure the tsunami was so huge because the sea bed on the Asia plate raised up 500 meters (1,500 feet) at one point. Then when the Pacific plate slipped underneath, the Asian plate settled down again along a 200 mile swathe of eastern Japan.

The reason we see standing pools of sea water still, is that many coastal areas in the east are now below sea level and will require dikes to drain. That plus the radioactivity will wipe out farming in the area for a long time to come. The fact that so many of the residents were elderly means that we are seeing the end of a whole way of life for many.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:04am PT
That plus the fact that so many of the residents were elderly means that we are seeing the end of a whole way of life for many.

That sux! What a great proud people, with a vibrant culture.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:39am PT
This graphic captures alot about the health effects of radiation in an easy-to-digest way. Click on it to see a readable version.

http://xkcd.com/radiation/


May have been posted before, it is hard to wade through all the noise on this thread.
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:41am PT
So Adam, could people in Tokyo, where people have recently been advised not to let children drink water, conceivably stock up on a bunch of tap water and have it be safer to drink, say in a week or two, when there REALLY isn't any bottled water left?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:44am PT
I can't answer that, as I don't know exactly what is in the tap water... If it were just radioiodine, then yes, after a given amount of time divided by the half-life (8 days). Cesium has a MUCH longer half-life, measured in years.


rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:46am PT
Radiation: Facts Versus Fears, from...



This really is a MUST read for any and all who do not understand the details, and to see what really is considered 'negligable', relative to what many people get naturally. (E.g., just smoking a pack a day gives one an intake with a dose of WELL OVER 1 Rem/year [1,000 mRem], or about 8-9 times the dose of the average nuke worker)
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 23, 2011 - 02:39pm PT
Is this right?
Radio Iodine has a half life of 8 days. If no more new fallout gets into the
water supply from Fukushima the present 'twice the safe limit' will drop
to 'half the safe limit' in 16 days. Making the water sort of safe to drink.

16 days is a long time to be thirsty.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 23, 2011 - 03:06pm PT
Half-life is 8.0197 days
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iodine-131


And, again, limits set by regulatory agencies tend to be extremely conservative, because they just don't know for sure... So it is a "conservative limit", which is most likely far lass than the "safe limit".
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 23, 2011 - 09:06pm PT
More on the relief efforts;

Setting up a forward refueling point using a C130 for a mobile gas station, in a snow storm. (Gas station for helicopters)

http://www.af.mil/photos/slideshow.asp?id={D8905F19-3743-4642-96E6-D3691A845502}

Essex and the 31st MEU

http://www.navy.mil/search/display.asp?story_id=59211

Misawa AFB really just recovering. This will be the focal point for ongoing relief efforts.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123248204

Official State Dept notification to US citizens in Japan.

http://www.usmc.mil/unit/mcbjapan/Pages/2011/110322-message.aspx




cleo

Social climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 23, 2011 - 09:14pm PT
Scientists figure the tsunami was so huge because the sea bed on the Asia plate raised up 500 meters (1,500 feet) at one point. Then when the Pacific plate slipped underneath, the Asian plate settled down again along a 200 mile swathe of eastern Japan.

wait, WHAT? Where did you hear that? I've never heard of anything like that, and I know quite a bit about plate tectonics.

Also, if that were true, the tsunami would've have been a helluva lot bigger, methinks.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:01pm PT
This whole thing is scary. I understand how "limits" for all manner of chemicals and rad materials are derived, I have worked around the nastiest chemicals that man has ever made (Sarin and VX) and I still find this incredibly sad. I am surprised that the EDG's (Emergency Diesel Generators) were in a low lying area at the plant. So even though I work for DOE and have a wealth of knowledge of how decisions are made and safety is factored into plant design, I am still very upset for the people of Japan.

The technical side of me though, says that we (Americans) must be smart about how we decide what our Electrical Power source is. It never pays to let emotions factor into these decisions (although I did factor it in below). I have been thinking about the wealth of data out there on deaths attributed to various power sources (e.g. coal fired power plants, nuclear). And the environmental costs of using various power sources.

It seems logical to me that we can rank various electrical power sources. The factors that must be considered are (not in any particular order (must include all lifecyle impacts/costs such as extraction - coal mining):

1. Safety to Human Health (What are the known impacts directly attributed to any poweer source); must include long and short term and also extraction.
2. Environmental Impacts (Long and short term impacts) these would include wastes generated such as Green Housee Gases, Solid and Liquid Wastes. danger to the Ecolgy (e.g. Salmon killed due to dams); loss of useable surface area (e.g. Wind farms, Solar take huge land areas)
3. Cost per MW (or other unit of Power) Generated - this must include lifecyle costs such as waste disposal and decommissioning the plant.
4. Reliability - We are spoiled and expect that power is always there.
5. Stakeholder (Public) Acceptance - (Obviously today Nuclear has some challenges)
6. And the real Wildcard? Politics which is somewhat related to #5.

There could be other factors. I dont presume to have all of them listed. All of this is doable. For uncertainties? Thesee could be ranked much like a project Risk Management Plan (Probability and Impact Analysis).

After taking all this into account, it would be very illustrative in terms of understanding how various power sources stack up against each other.

It never pays to let emotion settle things whether you are arguing with your spouse (or other ST Users!). And yet, as logical as I think I am, in this situation I do feel my emotions factoring into things.

By using a process like the one above, one may argue about data used in the model, or factors, or uncertainty of teh data, but I believe that the process is sound.

I live in an area where within a 50 mile radius we have Wind Farms, Nuclear, Hydro (damns), Coal fired and gas fired power plants. It is a relatively rural area and I know damn well we supply tons more power than we use. I have a thought that if cities were responsible for all of thier own sh#t (such as power, waste, etc.) then people may actually think about these things. Such as it is, the population centers just assume that their crap should be dealt with in a rural area and no more thought is provided. Just my opinion.

Anyway, thoughts are with the impacted people of Japan.


Brandon Lampley

Mountain climber
Boulder, CO
Mar 23, 2011 - 11:49pm PT
Golsen

Environmental racism and environmental socioeconomic discrimination are the facts of life. NIMBY is everyones natural response, density rules. Poor rural areas get the generation, we'd offshore it if we could. We all share in global climate change, but SOx, NOx, and especially particulate are relatively local.

If only we made generation and siting decisions as you wish we would. Regulatory agencies just don't have that power (yet). And profitability is the 800 lb industry gorilla that matters.

Oh, and is it not obvious to more folks yet there are multiple meltdowns, primary containment breaches, and spent fuel burning and blowing around over there?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 11:00am PT
After radiation spike, tests show tap water safe for babies in Tokyo
By the CNN Wire Staff
March 24, 2011 10:33 a.m. EDT

http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/24/japan.nuclear.disaster/index.html?hpt=T2
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 24, 2011 - 11:20am PT
David J. Atkinson:
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s published standard for Iodine-131 contamination in drinking water is 3 picocuries per liter, which is equal to about 0.1 becquerels per liter. The drinking water in Tokyo has been tested at 210 becquerels per liter which we are told is "safe" for adults if consumed only temporarily. Do you think 2,100 times the US standard is safe?

David Atkinson is a NASA program manager, colleague and friend, who was in Japan with his family at the time of the earthquake. They managed to fly home a few days later.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
Where did you get that it is still 210 Bq from?

Ah... Your friend's write up is dated.


Did you read the article?
Tests from 6 a.m. at the Kanamichi Water Purification Plant, which provides water to 23 wards in Tokyo as well as five other cities, showed 79 becquerels of radioactive iodine per kilogram of water, the city government said in a news release.

A becquerel is a measurement of radioactive intensity by weight.

This is below the 100 becquerel level, the maximum considered safe for infants ages 1 and younger. And it is well below the 210 becquerel reading measured Tuesday night.




And where is he getting 3 X 10^-12 Ci from?

In fact, he seems to be off by several orders of magnitude from the actual EPA limits or radioiodine:
4 Becquerels per liter (108 pCi/L)
http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/csem/iodine/standards_regulations.html

In fact, the FDA seems to even support the numbers on the article:
170 Becquerels per kilogram (4,600 pCi/kg)
(same source as above)




Perhaps you should redo the math with the correct numbers. (I.e. current levels and appropriate limits) Then, you may wish to correct your NASA friend.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 24, 2011 - 01:36pm PT
‘Minuscule’ Amounts of Radiation From Japan Detected by California Station
By Simon Lomax and John Hughes - Mar 18, 2011 3:34 PM PT
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-18/-miniscule-amounts-of-radiation-from-japan-detected-by-sacramento-station.html

Officials: Trace Amounts of Radiation Found in Riverside, Anaheim
Monitoring at several Southern California sites has not picked up any radiation above normal background levels.
http://www.ktla.com/news/landing/ktla-local-radiation-monitors,0,2685193.story

Track the plume live:
http://www.zamg.ac.at/pict/aktuell/20110315_fuku_Cs-137-glob_12.gif

Livermore lab team activated to track radiation plumes in Japan
By Suzanne Bohan
Contra Costa Times
Posted: 03/16/2011 04:37:03 PM PD
http://www.contracostatimes.com/environment/ci_17629141?nclick_check=1

So where can the public watch on-line this Livermore Lab tracking of the radiation plumes?

Ed, would you know?





All of my radiation survey measurements (last week until now) with my calibrated CDV-700 have all been within normal background levels (0 - 0.05 mR/hr).
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 24, 2011 - 01:44pm PT
Another confusing and worrisome day in Japan.

Children under ten and pregnant women are being supplied free bottled water by the Japanese government. Spots of high radiation are being found in unexpected places due to local wind patterns. The American government continues to evacuate non essential personnel.

Two Tepco employees ended up in the hospital with radiation burns from a bizarre accident that inspires little confidence in either the employees or management of Tepco. They went into the reactor wearing only short rubber boots and then had water seep in over the tops of them. Since the water was radioactive, they got burned. The question is how would anyone assume that the water below the rods was safe after the imprecise spraying that has been done?

Meanwhile, various professors who specialize in radiation studies are trying to reassure the public that it's not too bad, by drawing comparisons to Chernobyl. However, to tell people that Fukushima is not unusual, random patterns of radiation were detected in Chernobyl also, does nothing to reassure. So far no one has had the courage to even mention that typhoon season with its 150-200 mph winds will officially begin in May. Imagine what one of those will do to scatter radiation if they don't get a lid on it by then?

And final good bit of news for the day is the news that as more and more sea water is pumped in and boiled off, the more salt is stuck on the insides of the pipes which will eventually raise the pressure again. One wonders when an outside agency will tell them to stop trying to save face and just incase the monster in sand and concrete?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 01:47pm PT
All of my radiation survey measurements (last week until now) with my calibrated CDV-700 have all been within normal background levels (0 - 0.05 mR/hr).


Regarding your specific survey meter...
When properly calibrated, the response of this instrument is within the range of plus or minus 15 percent of the true gamma radiation dose rate from Cobalt 60 or Cesium 137 radioactive sources.
I hope you know that this means that for radionuclides OTHER than C0-60 and Cs-137 (although Ir-192 gammas are about the same energy as Cs-137, so it will be just as accurate for that as well), it will be well outside that +/- 15% accuracey.
WBraun

climber
Mar 24, 2011 - 01:55pm PT
Interesting analysis Jan ...thanks.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 03:13pm PT
Two Tepco employees ended up in the hospital with radiation burns from a bizarre accident that inspires little confidence in either the employees or management of Tepco. They went into the reactor wearing only short rubber boots and then had water seep in over the tops of them. Since the water was radioactive, they got burned. The question is how would anyone assume that the water below the rods was safe after the imprecise spraying that has been done?

I'm not quite understanding some of this, so if you could please clarify...


They went into the reactor wearing only short rubber boots and then had water seep in over the tops of them.
I have to assume you mean "Went into the reactor building", as nobody can go into the reactor, ever... Unless it is offloaded, and full of water, then divers in dry-suits have on occasion gone in, but stay clear of the lower internals. Usually they send in a submersible ROV.


Since the water was radioactive, they got burned.
What was the source of this water? Are we sure it wasn't thermal burns, rather than radiation burns?


The question is how would anyone assume that the water below the rods was safe...
Nobody would, and I can't for the life of me see how someone would get into contact with water from "below the rods". This is the part I don;t understand the most, so can you please clarify.


And thanx for the updates, Jan... It is appreciated.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Mar 24, 2011 - 03:17pm PT
So where can the public watch on-line this Livermore Lab tracking of the radiation plumes?

Ed, would you know?


not sure it's available for public realtime tracking, but you can go to the NARAC page...
https://narac.llnl.gov/

It is really a tool for response organizations...
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 24, 2011 - 03:55pm PT
rrrAdam,

3 nuke workers exposed to high radiation, 2 sustain possible burns

Submitted by Saidani on 2011年3月25日

From Kyodo

Three workers were exposed to high-level radiation Thursday while laying cable at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, and two of them were taken to hospital due to possible radiation burns to their feet, the nuclear safety agency and the plant operator said.

The three men in their 20s and 30s were exposed to radiation amounting to 173 to 180 millisieverts while laying cable underground at the No. 3 reactor’s turbine building. Exposure to 100 millisieverts is the limit for nuclear plant workers dealing with a crisis but the limit has been raised to 250 millisieverts for the ongoing crisis, the worst in Japan.

The two hospitalized are workers of plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co.’s subcontractors and had their feet under water while carrying out the work from 10 a.m., according to the utility known as TEPCO and the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency.

The two, who were diagnosed with possible beta ray burns at a Fukushima hospital, will be sent to the National Institute of Radiological Sciences in Chiba Prefecture by early Friday and will stay there for about four days, the agency said.

As the workers had stepped in a 15-centimeter-deep puddle, radioactive water may have seeped through their radiation protective gear, causing radioactive materials in the water to stick to their skin, TEPCO said, adding that the burns are caused by direct exposure to beta rays.

The technicians were wearing nonwoven protective suits of U.S. chemical firm DuPont Co.’s Tyvek brand, full-face masks and rubber gloves, but the two later hospitalized were not wearing boots, letting radioactive water in their shoes, according to the utility and the agency.

Radiation at the surface of the puddle stood at 400 millisieverts per hour, while the amount in the air reached 200 millisieverts per hour.

TEPCO said Wednesday there was no puddle at the site and the radiation level was just around a few millisieverts per hour. The workers did not measure the radiation amount before starting the cable-laying work on Thursday, it said.

Following the incident, workers at the first and the basement floors of the No. 3 reactor’s turbine building were told to evacuate the area.

The radiation levels the three were exposed to this time are lower than the maximum limit of 250 millisieverts set by the health ministry for workers tackling the ongoing emergency at the Fukushima plant. The accumulative amounts of radiation to which they have been exposed are also below this criteria, TEPCO said.

Usually in Japan, the upper radiation exposure limit for nuclear plant workers is set at 50 millisieverts per year, or 100 millisieverts within five years, but the level comes to a cumulative 100 millisieverts in the event of a crisis. The health ministry has further relaxed these standards to deal with the crisis in Fukushima.

With the latest exposure cases, the number of TEPCO workers who have been exposed to radiation exceeding 100 millisieverts at the plant comes to 17, the operator said. None of them have been exposed to radiation exceeding a cumulative 250 millisieverts, the agency said.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 24, 2011 - 03:59pm PT
Re. the injured TEPCO workers:

excerpt from http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/25/world/asia/25japan.html?_r=1&hp

....Mr. Edano said the three injured workers had suffered radiation burns on their legs while dragging an electrical cable through contaminated water in the effort to restore a crucial pump at Unit No. 3. Two were taken to Fukushima Medical University Hospital and were expected to be transferred to the National Institute of Radiological Science in Chiba City, east of Tokyo. He did not elaborate on the status of the third worker. Hiro Hasegawa, a Tokyo Electric Power Company spokesman, said that the third man had not been hospitalized but that he could not comment further.

The workers were burned as contaminated water poured over the tops of their low boots, soaking their feet and ankles, the Asahi Shimbun newspaper reported, citing sources with Tokyo Electric Power, the plant’s operator.

The three were employed by a subcontractor of Tokyo Electric, Mr. Edano said, and were trying to connect a cable to an injection pump in the basement of the turbine building next to the No. 3 reactor. They were exposed to more than 170 millisieverts of radiation, he said. That is more than the old maximum of 100 millisieverts for workers but less than the new maximum of 250 millisieverts instituted in the days after the disaster. The injuries would appear to raise questions about whether the new maximum is too high....
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 24, 2011 - 04:01pm PT
None of them have been exposed to radiation exceeding a cumulative 250 millisieverts, the agency said.

"None." So not even one has received a dose of 1 sievert or more. And in contrast how many died in the tsunami?

Perspective matters.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 24, 2011 - 04:50pm PT
Ed,

Thanks. It looks like it's for official business only and on a need to know basis. We obviously don't need to know. And we don't know the secret password or handshake . . . ;-) (just kidding)


https://narac.llnl.gov/

The National Atmospheric Release Advisory Center, NARAC, provides tools and services to the Federal Government, that map the probable spread of hazardous material accidentally or intentionally released into the atmosphere. NARAC provides atmospheric plume predictions in time for an emergency manager to decide if taking protective action is necessary to protect the health and safety of people in affected areas.

Located at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, NARAC is a national support and resource center for planning, real-time assessment, emergency response, and detailed studies of incidents involving a wide variety of hazards, including nuclear, radiological, chemical, biological, and natural emissions.

In an emergency situation (if lives are at risk), event-specific NARAC support for non-NARAC customers can be requested through the Department of Energy Watch Office (202-586-8100).


Bummer.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 05:25pm PT
Just so you know...

An acute whole body dose (aquired in a short time, I.e., minutes or hours) of 25 Rem (250 mSv) would be medically detectable in a person, as they would have a low white blood cell count. Other than that, they likely wouldnt show any other symptoms. They would have a slight increased risk of developing cancer later on.

An acute whole body dose of 10 Rem (100 mSV) wouldn't likely even be medically detectable, in any way.

It really takes quite a bit to get Acute Radiation Syndrome (ARS):
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acute_radiation_syndrome


Contact burns are another story, as while the whole body dose may be relatively low, the dose to a specific area or organ can be extremely high, depending on type of exposure. This is why specific organs and etremities have different limits, which are all higher than the limit for whole body dose... In some cases, like extremities, it is very high.

I have a friend who burned his had with a 35 Curie Co-60 source, pretty bad (he forgot to retract the radiography source, and grabbed the collimated source to set up his next RT shot)... Calced out to 1,750 Rem (17.5 Sv / 17,500 mSv) to his hand in less than a minute, and his film badge showed a whole body dose of 22 Rem (220 mSv)... He never got sick, but his hands blistered and swelled up pretty bad. His fingers on that hand now look kinda like 'witch fingers', coming to points with mis-shapen fingernails... That happened about 30 years ago, he's in his late 50s now, and is still alive and kickin... Showing no effects other than his hand as a reminder.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 24, 2011 - 06:30pm PT
Current Situation

As far as the reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi site are concerned, there is some good news to report from the last 24 hours, although the overall situation is still very serious.

With AC power connected, instrumentation continues to be recovered in Units 1, 2 and 4. Workers returned after being evacuated from Units 3 and 4 on March 23, following confirmation that black smoke emissions from Unit 3 had ceased.

Reactor pressure is increasing in Unit 1, pressure readings are unreliable in Unit 2, and stable in Unit 3 as water continues to be injected through their feed-water pipes. The temperature at the feed-water nozzle of the Reactor Pressure Vessel (RPV) is decreasing at Units 1 (243 ºC) and 3 (about 185 ºC), and stable at Unit 2 (about 102 ºC).

Units 5 and 6 are still under cold shutdown, they are undergoing maintenance using off-site AC power and existing plant equipment.

Dose rates in the containment vessels and suppression chambers of Units 1 and 2 have decreased slightly.

March 19 statis:


March 24 statis:


5 and 6 are stable or in no immediate concern.

photos or graphs and update from IAEA

click on to enlarge
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 24, 2011 - 06:40pm PT
Thanx granit, kunlun and lost for the details. It's appreciated.

Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 25, 2011 - 12:06am PT
A belated thanks to Jan for all the great posts and good information you have shared on this thread.

Thank you!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 25, 2011 - 12:21am PT

And thanks to the technical guys for filling in the details!

Most of my information comes from the Japanese national broadcasting system, NHK.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 25, 2011 - 02:54am PT
From Bad to Worse-


JAPAN RAISES POSSIBILITY OF BREACH IN REACTOR VESSEL


New York Times
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/26/world/asia/26japan.html?ref=global-hom
Tokyo, March 25

The development, described at a news conference by Hidehiko Nishiyama, deputy director-general of the Japan Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, raises the possibility that radiation from the mox fuel in the reactor — a combination of uranium and plutonium — could be released.

One sign that a breach may have occurred in the reactor vessel, Mr. Nishiyama said, took place on Thursday when three workers who were trying to connect an electrical cable to a pump in a turbine building next to the reactor were injured when they stepped into water that was found to be significantly more radioactive than normal in a reactor. The No. 3 unit, the only one of the six reactors at the site that uses the mox fuel, was damaged by a hydrogen explosion on March 14. Workers have been seeking to keep it cool by spraying it with seawater along with a more recent effort to restart the reactor’s cooling system.

In another development on Friday, the Japanese government said it would help people who wish to leave the area around the crippled plant, a sign that efforts to reassure frightened residents have failed to persuade people to stay.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 25, 2011 - 08:50am PT
The article Jan quotes begins with this sentence :

"Japanese officials on Friday began quietly encouraging people to evacuate a larger swath of territory around the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, a sign that they hold little hope that the crippled facility will soon be brought under control..."

I complete disagree with this author's conclusion. The fact that they are evacuating a larger swath implies that they are prudently cautious, not that they have little hope. I really don't appreciate the Monday morning quarterbacking here from the journalistic peanut gallery.

As Mr. Friedlander stated in the article toward the end:

"...But Michael Friedlander, a former nuclear power plant operator for 13 years in the United States, said that the presence of radioactive cobalt and molybdenum in water samples taken from the basement of the turbine building of reactor No. 3 raised the possibility of a very different leak.

"Both materials typically occur not because of fission but because of routine corrosion in a reactor and its associated piping over the course of many years of use, he said.

"These materials are continuously removed from the reactor’s water system as it circulates through a piece of equipment called a condensate polisher, which is located outside the reactor vessel. The discovery of both materials in the basement suggests damage to that equipment or its associated piping, as opposed to a breach of the reactor vessel itself, Mr. Friedlander said.

The condensate polisher is also located in the basement of the turbine building, where the tainted water was found. By contrast, the reactor vessel is actually located in a completely different, adjacent building, and would be far less likely to leak into the basement of the turbine building."



It appears to me that the Japanese have been ceaselessly working hard to troubleshoot and methodically fix the problem, while others stand back and criticize without helping. It's understandable why the Japanese aren't giving press releases to the media frenzy- they are too busy focusing on the solution...

I have tremendous respect for the people working at that plant right now.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 25, 2011 - 08:55am PT
One sign that a breach may have occurred in the reactor vessel, Mr. Nishiyama said, took place on Thursday when three workers who were trying to connect an electrical cable to a pump in a turbine building next to the reactor were injured when they stepped into water that was found to be significantly more radioactive than normal in a reactor. The No. 3 unit, the only one of the six reactors at the site that uses the mox fuel, was damaged by a hydrogen explosion on March 14. Workers have been seeking to keep it cool by spraying it with seawater along with a more recent effort to restart the reactor’s cooling system.

First, some of this doesn't make sense...
...turbine building next to the reactor...The Turbine Building is another building all together from the reactor building... AND the reactor (primary containment) is in the drywell (secondary containment), which is deep in the reactor building, so that statement makes no sense.

I also don't see this this contamination event as proof that the Rx vessel or it's systems has been breached, as there is just too little info there to draw a valid conclusion... They didn't even say that the workers were contaminated with Plutonium, which isn't hard to assay. There are other avenues for the water in the Rx vessel to get out that do not involve a breach of the Rx vessel, and we know that they have happened, as designed...

Example...
Rx Vessel pressure rises due to heat flashing the water to steam which expands in volume by 1600 times... That pressure needs to be released, and it is done with Safety Relief Valves (11 of them on my Rx)... These blow down to the torus (part of secondary containment, not primary), and we have some reports suggesting that the torus has been breached, thus some of what was in the Rx Vessel could have a path out into the plant... Water of course travels down, and many of the ECCS (Emergency Core Cooling Systems, the pumps they want to get running) systems are adjacent to and below the level of the torus, so it could leak into these rooms if the torus is breached... Where were the workers working?


Can we get anymore information on this?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 25, 2011 - 09:04am PT
VERY good video about radiation and health risks... Puts it into perspective:
http://www.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/world/2011/03/23/sotu.boice.0320.cnn.cnn.html
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 25, 2011 - 09:31am PT
Japan steps up nuclear plant precautions; Kan apologizes
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fgw-japan-nuclear-plant-20110326,0,5763742.story

The workers rrrAdams was writing about continued working despite their radiation alarms going off with radiation exposure "about 10,000 times the level of radiation found in coolant inside a reactor."

"..Water used in the cooling process seeped into the workers' boots and came into contact with their skin, authorities said. The third worker was protected by his clothing. All three were equipped with radiation-detection devices, which sounded an alarm, but they continued to work, officials with TokyoElectric Power Co. said. That revelation prompted Japanese nuclear officials Friday to call for a review of safety procedures at the site..."

These guys earn serious props.

Also in the article, the Prime Minister Naoto Kan apologized to the people of his country. "... to farmers and business owners around the plant for damage caused."

That's right, the leader of Japan apologized to his people. This is humility. The United States could learn from this. The last time I heard an American politician apologize was in a courtroom before a sentencing judge.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 25, 2011 - 09:40am PT
Adam, I took it to mean that due to the high levels of radiation in the water where the workers where trying to connect electricity to a pump, in a place where they wouldn't expect high levels of radiation (i.e. the turnbine building), some might assume that there may have been a core leak that then may have found it's way into the turbine building. However, its sounds like analysis of the water isn't consistent with a core leak, but more with leakage of coolant from pipes or equipment associated with the condensate polisher...

Mr. Friedlander (NY Times March 25 "JAPAN RAISES POSSIBILITY OF BREACH IN REACTOR VESSEL" http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/26/world/asia/26japan.html?ref=global-hom); and you have drawn the same conclusion.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 25, 2011 - 10:23am PT
Here's a long report plucked from MSN this morning. It covers much of the current situation in Japan.

msnbc.com staff, Reuters, AP news service reports
TOKYO — Japanese nuclear safety officials said Friday that they suspect that the reactor core at one unit of the troubled Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant may have breached, raising the possibility of more severe contamination to the environment.

"It is possible that somewhere at the reactor may have been damaged," said Hidehiko Nishiyama, a spokesman for the nuclear safety agency. But he added that "our data suggest the reactor retains certain containment functions," implying that the damage may have occurred in Unit 3's reactor core but that it was limited.

Officials say the damage could instead have happened in other equipment, including piping or the spent fuel pool.

Operators have been struggling to keep cool water around radioactive fuel rods in the reactor's core after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami cut off power supply to the plant and its cooling system.

Damage could have been done to the core when a March 14 hydrogen explosion blew apart Unit 3's outer containment building.

This reactor, perhaps the most troubled at the six-unit site, holds 170 tons of radioactive fuel in its core. Previous radioactive emissions have come from intentional efforts to vent small amounts of steam through valves to prevent the core from bursting. However, releases from a breach could allow uncontrolled quantities of radioactive contaminants to escape into the surrounding ground or air.

Operators stopped work Friday at units 1 through 3 to check on radiation levels.

Meanwhile, radiation injuries to workers complicated the battle to control the plant on Friday, two weeks after a quake and tsunami that also left more than 27,000 people dead or missing.

More than 700 engineers have been working in shifts around the clock to stabilize the six-reactor Fukushima complex since the multiple disaster.

But they had to pull out of some parts of the complex, 150 miles north of Tokyo, when three workers replacing a cable at one reactor were exposed to high contamination by standing in radioactive water on Thursday, officials said.

Two were taken to a hospital with possible radiation burns after the water seeped over their boots.

"We should try to avoid delays as much as possible, but we also need to ensure that the people working there are safe," said Japanese nuclear agency official Hidehiko Nishiyama.

Safety fears at the plant and beyond — radiation particles have been found as far away as Iceland — are compounding Japan's worst crisis since World War Two.

More than two dozen people have been injured trying to bring the plant under control.

Two of the reactors are now regarded as safe in what is called a cold shutdown. Four remain volatile, emitting steam and smoke periodically, but work is advancing to restart water pumps needed to cool fuel rods inside those reactors.

"It's much more hopeful," said Tony Roulstone, a nuclear energy expert at Cambridge University.

The United States has been offering aid to its ally Japan, and two of its barges will together provide 525,000 gallons (2.0 million liters) of water for cooling the reactors.

Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) said the three injured workers were carrying radiation meters but ignored an alarm when it rang. Engineers would be briefed again on safety.


Heightened by widespread public ignorance of the technicalities of radiation, alarm has been spreading.

Vegetable and milk shipments from the areas near the plant have been stopped, and Tokyo's 13 million residents were told this week not to give tap water to babies after contamination from rain put radiation at twice the safety level.

But it dropped back to safe levels the next day, and the city governor cheerily drank water in front of cameras at a water purifying plant.

Despite government reassurances and appeals for people not to panic, there has been a rush on bottled water and shelves in many Tokyo shops remained empty of the product on Friday.

"Customers ask us for water. But there's nothing we can do," said Tokyo supermarket worker Masayoshi Kasahara.

The government is dipping into stockpiles, and there have been donations of bottled water from abroad.

The National Police Agency said Friday the death toll has topped 10,000, and more than 17,440 people are listed as missing. Hundreds of thousands have been left homeless.

The U.S. and Australia halted imports of Japanese dairy and produce from the region, Hong Kong said it would require that Japan perform safety checks on meat, eggs and seafood, and Canada said it would upgrade controls on imports of Japanese food products. Singapore, too, has banned the sale of milk, produce, meat and seafood from areas near the plant.

Concerns also spread to Europe. In Iceland, officials said they measured trace amounts of radioactive iodine in the air but assured residents it was "less than a millionth" of levels found in Europe in the wake of the 1986 Chernobyl disaster — the world's worst nuclear accident.

Radioactive iodine is short-lived, with a half-life of eight days — the length of time it takes for half of it to break down harmlessly. However, experts say infants are particularly vulnerable to radioactive iodine, which can cause thyroid cancer.

New readings Thursday showed the city's tap water was back to levels acceptable for infants, but the relief was tempered by elevated levels of the isotope in two neighboring prefectures: Chiba and Saitama. A city in a third prefecture, just south of the plant, also showed high levels of radioactive iodine in tap water, officials said.

Tap water in Kawaguchi City in Saitama, north of Tokyo, contained 210 becquerels of radioactive iodine — well above the 100 becquerels considered safe for babies but below the 300-becquerel level for adults, Health Ministry official Shogo Misawa said.

In Chiba prefecture, the water tested high for radiation in two separate areas, said water safety official Kyoji Narita. The government there warned families in 11 cities in Chiba not to give infants tap water.

"The high level of iodine was due to the nuclear disaster," Narita said. "There is no question about it."

Radiation levels also tested dangerously high in Hitachi in Ibaraki prefecture, about 70 miles south of the Fukushima plant, city water official Toshifumi Suzuki said, adding that officials were distributing bottled water.


The limits refer to sustained consumption rates, and officials said parents should stop using tap water for baby formula, although it was OK for infants to consume small amounts.
Video: U.S. sees progress in Japan relief operation (on this page)

Despite the appeals, shelves were bare in many stores across Tokyo.

Maruetsu supermarket in the city center sought to impose buying limits on specific items to prevent hoarding: only one carton of milk per family, one 5-kilogram (11-pound) bag of rice, one package of toilet paper, one pack of diapers. Similar notices at some drugs stores told women they could only purchase two feminine hygiene items at a time.

Maruetsu spokeswoman Kayoko Kano acknowledged that the earthquake and tsunami resulted in delays of some products.

Some frustrated shoppers have turned to the city's many vending machines as an alternative. The machines are found everywhere in the city and one can feature about three dozen different beverages — ranging from hot coffee and green tea to power drinks and juice. A 500-milliliter bottle of imported water costs about 100 yen (about $1.25).

A spokesman for Procter & Gamble Japan said its plant was fully operational but that rolling blackouts in Tokyo may be affecting distribution. "Consumers are nervous, and they may be buying up supplies," Noriyuki Endo added.


Worse hardships continued in the frigid, tsunami-struck northeast. Some 660,000 households still do not have water, the government said. Electricity has not been restored to some 209,000 homes, Tohoku Electric Power Co. said. Damage is estimated at $309 billion, making it the most costly natural disaster on record.

In one bright spot of economic news, Toyota Motor Corp. — which had suspended production due to damage to suppliers' factories and power shortages in the quake zone — said it will soon resume production of the Prius and two other hybrid models.

But rival Honda Motor Co. said the suspension of car production at its Saitama and Suzuka factories will be extended to April 3.

The economic woes spawned by the disasters were especially painful for farmers in the region near the nuclear plant.

Sumiko Matsuno, a 65-year-old farmer in Fukushima, spent Thursday frantically harvesting vegetables from her fields.

"We are digging up all our carrots and onions as fast as we can. We can't sell them but we need them ourselves for food," she said. "We are really worried about our future. If this goes on, it is going to really hurt us."

Exhausted rescuers are still sifting through the wreckage of towns and villages, retrieving bodies.

Amid the suffering, though, there was a sense that Japan was turning the corner in its humanitarian crisis. Aid flowed to refugees, and phone, electricity, postal and bank services began returning to the north, sometimes by makeshift means.

"Things are getting much better," said 57-year-old Tsutomu Hirayama, staying with his family at an evacuation center in Ofunato town.

"For the first two or three days, we had only one rice ball and water for each meal. I thought, how long is this going to go on? Now we get lots of food, it's almost like luxury."

The Associated Press, Reuters and msnbc.com staff contributed to this report.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 25, 2011 - 11:58am PT
Japan March 26 just after midnight

The reactor situation is still unclear. Part of the problem is actual lack of knowledge and the other problem is the Japanese habit of speaking in a vague way. It is said that western people talk to convey information and opinions while Japanese people talk to establish a group rapport.

I have several times had someone say to me that they are used to working with Americans and so they will get right to the point, yet half an hour later, I'm still clueless as to what their point is. I think this gap in communication skills is part of the problem here. It doesn't occur to the Japanese officials that people want technical details. I believe they perceive their job is just to reassure everyone once or twice a day by apologizing and offering condolences.

Evidently the salt build up from pumping sea water into the cooling system is being taken seriously as it has been announced that the U.S. Navy is sending two huge barges from our base in Yokosuka, loaded with fresh water and very large pumps to pump water onshore to the cooling units of the reactors. So far there are 12,000 of our service men and women directly involved in tsunami relief. Of course there are thousands more supporting them from bases all over the Pacific.

Another big snow storm is coming and temperatures remain around freezing in the day and in the 20's at night. Evacuees report that they are finally getting enough heat, food, and water as well as blankets. 79% say they would like to rebuild their lives in the same place they lived before. However, 60% believe they will NOT be able to because of no funds to do so.

kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Mar 25, 2011 - 12:10pm PT
Lack of data from Japan distresses nuclear experts

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-sci-japan-quake-secrecy-20110325,0,3610246.story

Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Mar 25, 2011 - 12:15pm PT
Here's an article about just what Jan just said about the 'culture of silence'.

Lack of data from Japan distresses nuclear experts

Nuclear scientists and policy experts say the quality and quantity of information coming out of Fukushima has left gaping holes in their understanding of the nuclear disaster nearly two weeks after it began.


By Ralph Vartabedian, Los Angeles Times
March 24, 2011, 5:24 p.m.

How did Japanese workers at the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant jury-rig fire hoses to cool damaged reactors? Is contaminated water from waste pools overflowing into the Pacific Ocean? Exactly who is the national incident commander?

The answers to these and many other questions are unclear to U.S. nuclear scientists and policy experts, who say the quality and quantity of information coming out of Japan has left gaping holes in their understanding of the disaster nearly two weeks after it began.

At the same time, they say, the depth of the crisis has clearly been growing, judging by releases of radioactivity that by some measures have reached half the level of those released in the Chernobyl accident of 1986, according to new analysis by European and American scientists.

The lack of information has led to growing frustration with Tokyo Electric Power Co., known as Tepco, and the Japanese government, which has parceled out information with little context, few details and giant blind spots. It has left the international community confused about what is happening and what could come next.

"Information sharing has not been in the culture of Tepco or the Japanese government," said Najmedin Meshkati, a USC engineering professor who has advised federal agencies on nuclear safety issues. "This issue is larger than one utility and one country. It is an international crisis."

Almost every step of the way, the problems at the Fukushima Daiichi plant have been understated by those in charge in Japan, outside experts say, leaving observers scrambling to analyze the situation as best they can from afar.

The public health concern is growing with news that the radiation has spread, leading to advisories on food and water. An Austrian meteorological institute, the Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, said this week that computer models showed the emissions of radioactive cesium from the plant might already amount to 50% of what was released from Chernobyl, and that releases of radioactive iodine could be 20% of the Chernobyl total.

Edwin Lyman, a physicist with the Union of Concerned Scientists in Washington, said Thursday that his own modeling of the data had confirmed the Austrian analysis, suggesting that Japan might ultimately have to exclude humans from a large area and face a remediation effort more costly than thought.

"Confusion seems to be growing," Lyman said.

But Masaru Tamamoto, a professor of Asian and Middle Eastern studies at the University of Cambridge in Britain, said the handling of the crisis by Japanese government and corporate authorities is consistent with a culture that carefully guards information from the public and leaves decisions in the hands of anonymous bureaucrats.

Japan, Tamamoto said, lacks a nonprofit sector of government watchdog organizations that work closely with the news media to investigate and publicize government coverups. It leaves the public comfortably reliant on official pronouncements, he said.

"The public lives this way every day, and that's the way things are," Tamamoto said. "Even if you demanded the information, nobody has the information. Even the prime minister blurted out at one point that he didn't have information."

Tamamoto said that even significant nuclear contamination in the country might not be enough to prompt a change in this highly controlled and guarded bureaucracy, adding, "If this doesn't do it, I can't imagine what else would do it."

Experts contrast the events at Fukushima with the U.S. handling of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico last year. Even though American watchdogs were highly critical of the accuracy of information, the national incident commander overseeing the crisis provided daily televised briefings. A video of oil leaking at the bottom of the gulf was put on the Internet.

By contrast, critics say, until recent days few detailed photographs of the equipment or the personnel working at the Fukushima plant have been made public.

It remains unclear whether there is an incident commander managing the day-to-day crisis and exactly who holds the authority for the operations at the plant. Tepco officials have never said whether water poured onto the reactors and the pools of still-radioactive spent fuel are draining directly into the Pacific or flooding the sub-basements of the reactor buildings.

"I have this image that they are forcing seawater through the piping somehow," said Frank N. von Hippel, a Princeton University physicist. Von Hippel said he wasn't quite sure how the repair efforts were accomplished, but added, "I have a lot of sympathy for these people."

It's also unclear how hydrogen gas escaped from the reactors and exploded. And though Japanese officials have said there may be a breach in one of the reactors, they have offered no details, photographs or data about it.

Even U.S. government agencies, including the Energy Department and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, have been circumspect about what's going on at Fukushima, saying they are there at the invitation of Japan and cannot become the primary source of information.

But in at least two instances, U.S. officials have asserted an independent voice and offered candid warnings and explicit data. The NRC last week advised U.S. citizens to evacuate from within a 50-mile zone around the plant, more than double what Japanese citizens had been told to do. And this week the agency released radioactivity data that showed a highly radioactive plume on the ground extending northwest of the plant.

Nuclear experts have sharply criticized the International Atomic Energy Agency, which promotes the peaceful use of nuclear energy and reports to the United Nations, for not taking a more aggressive role in the crisis.

"The IAEA has been missing in action," said Meshkati, the USC professor. He testified before a U.N. commission in 1993, calling on the IAEA to adopt an international capability to respond to nuclear emergencies, a proposal he said fell on deaf ears.

"We don't have an international mechanism to deal with a nuclear crisis," Meshkati said. "We are still in the same place we were all these years after Chernobyl."

On Wednesday, when black smoke was seen rising from one of the Fukushima reactors, U.S. scientists had to speculate about whether it was coming from a motor that caught fire or a reactor that was sending up radioactive particulates. The answer was not forthcoming from sources in Japan.

ralph.vartabedian@latimes.com
Copyright © 2011, Los Angeles Times

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-sci-japan-quake-secrecy-20110325,0,3610246.story


Not exactly the definition of an open democracy it would seem.

edit:
Kunlun, you reading my mind or am I reading yours?
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 25, 2011 - 01:04pm PT
Thanks Reilly.

"..We don't have an international mechanism to deal with a nuclear crisis," Meshkati said. "We are still in the same place we were all these years after Chernobyl..."

This is shamefully ridiculous and unacceptable. Why do we not have an impartial international on-call team available to respond cooperatively and assist in nuclear accidents such as these?
Gene

climber
Mar 25, 2011 - 02:40pm PT
Jan is wise:
The reactor situation is still unclear. Part of the problem is actual lack of knowledge and the other problem is the Japanese habit of speaking in a vague way. It is said that western people talk to convey information and opinions while Japanese people talk to establish a group rapport.

From Kyodo News (Japan)
Prime Minister Naoto Kan said at a press conference Friday evening that the situation at the plant involving leaks of radioactive materials and other serious problems ''still does not warrant optimism.''
He failed to address what the Japanese people and the international community most want to know -- whether the ongoing crisis will be brought under control soon -- only saying that the government is putting all its efforts into preventing a worsening of the situation.

''There were problems regarding radiation management. We will strengthen management further,'' Tokyo Electric Executive Vice President Sakae Muto said separately.
http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/03/81116.html

TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 25, 2011 - 09:30pm PT
About 2/3rds of the weekly slide show is relief effort related.

http://www.af.mil/photos/slideshow.asp?id={2654579F-33CA-4191-91FE-7C6654620F7B}

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 25, 2011 - 10:44pm PT
It's funny how so much rhetoric is still directed at downplaying the risks and consequences and keeping the virtue of nuclear power intact.

Anyway you look at it, there's no happy outcome for these plants and this situation, Only Disaster that will cost health and billions for the forseeable future...OR much worse..the unthinkable nearly permanent nuking of a substantial area of Japan plus undying consequences for the rest of the country

And the only thing separating the two outcomes is Grace, Luck, whatever you want to call it.

We better wake up when we have the chance.

It feels like some cosmic tragic poetry that Japan should be the place for another radiation nightmare. I can't put my finger on it.

We are living in transformative times. Life changes at an accelerated rate. We will speak of these times in History.

peace

Karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 25, 2011 - 11:59pm PT
The creepy animation doesn't mean anything without knowing the units involved. Kinda like food coloring in the terlt.


What happened on the 14th is probably far worse than has sunk in. That they can even get in the building is incredible. Given the architecture that put a spent fuel cooling pool on top of the containment, I'd like to hear some conjecture from someone that knows, just what is left after this and where it ended up?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_N-wNFSGyQ&feature=related

there are some huge chunks of structure lofted hundreds of feet in the air.

The really amazing thing is that after this, that the contamination is as far as we know so far so localized and at low enough levels that any work at all can occur on site.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 26, 2011 - 12:01am PT
And to think it all might have been avoided by either (a) simply not putting the generators down in the basement in tsunami country; or (b) someone, anyone (an unsung hero?), in a position of leadership with a little engineering savvy and concern - anytime really in last 20 years - pushing to get this awful design (accident waiting to happen, generators in the basement) overhauled to a new and higher and better safety standard.

But alas this is crying over spilt milk, I guess.

.....

Humans being all too human. That seems to be the human story.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 26, 2011 - 01:06am PT

For sure the electric power company has a vested interest in minimizing things. However, it is just about impossible for a Japanese to pronounce a single straightforward declarative sentence.

I always tell my American students the first night of a cross cultural class that they are going to learn among other things, when yes means yes, definitely it will happen; when it means maybe it will happen; and when yes means hell no it will never happen, because you will never hear a Japanese say a straight forward no. The degrees of yes depend on body language and sounds that the speaker makes while saying yes.

Likewise, the worst thing an American can do other than getting soapsuds in the bathwater, is to point to an individual Japanese and ask, what do you think of this, what is your personal opinion? All you will get is spluttering, a comment about the weather, a referral to someone with higher status, or in desperation if they are alone, I've heard them answer "I have no opinion".

When you see this on paper, it sounds like they are incompetent, or in person, just being difficult, yet they have one of the world's most modern and high tech and humane societies. Such is the riddle of Japan. They also have no names on their streets, and the houses are numbered in the order they were built rather than in any logical numerical order, yet people find their way around. It's just a totally different way of thinking and living in the world and takes years for an outsider to learn. Even so, every day here is still an adventure in subtlety and puzzling out the true meaning of things.

The problem is that the very cultural characteristics that work so well in the confines of their own over crowded and well ordered country, do not translate easily to the outside world. I always tell my Japanese students that they need to become bilingual and it isn't just a matter of learning English, they have to adopt international manners and body language and speak louder etc. etc. and understand that they need to be able to switch back and forth between the two communication styles (my African American students always have interesting things to tell them about that).

I fervently hope that this whole episode will help the Japanese to understand that Japan is not a closed country anymore, that what they do affects the rest of the world, and that they have to communicate better.

In the meantime, I take heart from the fact that there is a team of American military nuclear experts in Tokyo giving technical advice but I'm sure they are just biting their tongues to keep from jumping before a microphone and saying what's really going on. In due time however, they will retire from the military and the truth will come out.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 26, 2011 - 08:39am PT
There must be a really interesting story behind this press release !


SENDAI, Japan – U.S. naval barges loaded with freshwater sped toward Japan's overheated nuclear plant on Saturday to help workers struggling to stem a worrying rise in radioactivity and remove dangerously contaminated water from the facility.

Defense Minister Yoshimi Kitazawa said late Friday that the U.S. government had made "an extremely urgent" request to switch to freshwater. He said the U.S. military was sending water to nearby Onahama Bay and that water injections could begin early next week.

The U.S. 7th Fleet confirmed that barges loaded with 500,000 gallons of freshwater supplies were dispatched to the Fukushima plant.

hb81

climber
Mar 26, 2011 - 09:34am PT
There must be a really interesting story behind this press release !

As far as I understood they're afraid that salt from the seawater will cristallize on the hot surfaces and constrict the cooling.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 26, 2011 - 09:58am PT
The interesting part of the story is the way the Japanese defense minister has worded his rationale for doing it. I take it to mean that our nuclear experts have stepped in and over ridden the advice of the Japanese Tepco electric company that runs the reactors.

Edit:
And now the national broadcasting station NHK is confirming it.

SDF, US forces cooperating to solve nuclear issue

Top officers of Japan's Self-Defense Forces and the US Pacific Fleet have agreed to share information on the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant and cooperate in solving the problem.

The head of the SDF Joint Staff Office, General Ryoichi Oriki, and Admiral Patrick Walsh met at the Defense Ministry in Tokyo on Saturday afternoon.

Walsh commands all the US units working for relief operations in the quake-hit area in northeastern Japan.

He told reporters after the meeting that some of his senior staff in charge of communication with SDF officers have specific knowledge and technical skills relating to nuclear power.

His comment suggests that the US military is already having experts take up the matter.

He said he is sharing with the SDF all the ability and experience his experts can offer. He added that US forces are doing their best to help to fix the problem.

US forces are sending a vessel carrying a large amount of fresh water to be used to cool the nuclear plant.

The US said it expects to continue talks with the SDF and further support the affected area.
Saturday, March 26, 2011 20:17 +0900 (JST)
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 27, 2011 - 12:50am PT
rAdam,

Hey, engineering minds want to know! :)

NBC News tonight talked about the fact that our U.S. nuclear plants store their spent nuclear fuel in these giant cement casks after its been removed from the cooling pools. So the question is, why are these giant casks, even though they're made of steel and concrete, not UNDERGROUND? so that they are even more doubly or triply safe from terrorist attacks etc. NBC did not explain this part of the story to the engineering minds in its audience.

What's your take, if you have one?

I get the fact that these are supposed to be temporary, awaiting delivery to some ultra permanent location deep underground (Yucca, wherever) but in the interim how much harder would it have been to store them underground as opposed to above ground?

In this NBC report, I gotta say they looked like sitting ducks set above ground like they were.

It's probably damn safe, but my level of confidence isn't where it used to be, gotta say, since learning recently safety generators in tsunami country were put down into a basement - by design. Can you elevate my "level of confidence" any? Thx.

.....

Edit to Add

"Security experts worry terrorists could target the casks with a missile or airplane." (Same report.)
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:21am PT
Because they are cooled by convection (air).

And they are pretty solidly constructed and very robust... I just read the x-rays of welds on some yesterday in fact.

Further reading on dry fuel storage:
http://www.nrc.gov/waste/spent-fuel-storage/dry-cask-storage.html


Also note that I do NOT speak for my plant/utility, or even my industry... Just as someone who is knowledgeable about it, and am merely trying to help people understand fact from myth, as there is a LOT of fear out there that is NOT based in reason or fact.
WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:24am PT
The experts always reassure the laypersons in the green garden with, ....

Don't worry .....
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:32am PT
The experts always reassure the laypersons in the green garden with, ....

Don't worry .....
I'm sure that when you go to rescue someone, and if they are worried, you do the same, right? Now, I'm sure you don't lie to them, but you do try to quell their fears, if they are fearful about aspects of the rescue, right? You probably do this just by "explaining some details to them", so they understand, to reassure them. Especially if it is a nonclimber, who is totally unfamiliar with any of the gear. (Get the analogy there?)
WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:33am PT
No

When I get near them I tell them they should run for their lives.

Just ask Skully aka Capt Kirk

He'll confirm ....
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:35am PT
Also note that I do NOT speak for my plant/utility, or even my industry... Just as someone who is knowledgeable about it,

Most people around here get that, thanks again.

and am merely trying to help people understand fact from myth, as there is a LOT of fear out there that is NOT based in reason or fact.

For sure.

.....

Still not clear why they couldn't build these casks underground. At least they'd be out of view and it seems to me somewhat more protected. Thanks for the link, I'll read it in the morning - in lieu of church service. ;)

Later...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:35am PT
Sorry, Werner... I was editting, so you may wish to reread... I rarely get my replies right the first time.
WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:45am PT
It's OK Adam

Don't get too worked up

There's a real world out there and it doesn't just operate on nuts, bolts, logic and reason alone .....
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 02:12am PT
Not taking any chances doctors learn they must never say OOPS! or UH-OH!
when making a mistake during an operation as the unconscious patients
brain 'will hear it' and worry.

Japan is understandably worried by the Fukushima fallout without the
buffer of being rendered unconscious. The authorities were doing a good job
of making a reactor core breach seem no big deal.

And then I see this story.

10 Million Times Normal Radioactivity outside Japan Nuclear Reactor No. 2
March 27, 2011
http://deathby1000papercuts.com/2011/03/10-million-times-normal-radioactivity-at-japan-nuclear-reactor-no-2/
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 27, 2011 - 02:19am PT
There is also a good summary of all this in the New York Times.

Significantly, Mr. Amano, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency is sounding more pessimistic now for the first time and saying that it will be weeks or months before the situation is brought under control.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/27/world/asia/27japan.html
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 03:01am PT
The pathos in this story struck me.


Finally we are seeing people on our journey. When we wave one of the
vehicles down, the driver removes his respirator long enough to say that
yes, he is working on the emergency at the plant.
But his speech is flecked with panic. He insists he cannot speak to
journalists and hurries away.

more

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/fear-and-devastation-on-the-road-to-japans-nuclear-disaster-zone-2253509.html





Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 27, 2011 - 07:08am PT
Here's a photo taken from an NHK program showing water in the basement of the reactors. They are proposing to try to pump it out of the basement and store it in the turbine tank directly above.

They believe the radioactive water is leaking from the pipes of the cooling system. In order to get the reactor under control, they need to fix the cooling system but the water is so highly radioactive, they can't get close enough to do that.

Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:07am PT
From this morning's NY Times, another serious setback. Adam, it looks like they speculate a little better about the source of the leak...

Higher Levels of Radiation Found at Japan Reactor Plant
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/asia/28japan.html?_r=1&hp=&pagewanted=all

...The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said that water seeping out of the crippled No. 2 reactor building into the adjacent turbine building contained levels of radioactive iodine 134 that were about 10 million times the level normally found in water used inside nuclear power plants...

...The higher levels may have suggested a leak from the reactor’s fuel rods — from either the suppression chamber under the rods or various piping — or even a breach in the pressure vessel that houses the rods, the Japanese nuclear regulator said earlier...

...Mr. Nishiyama, of the Japanese nuclear safety agency, said that it was likely that radiation was leaking from the pipes or the suppression chamber, and not directly from the pressure vessel, because water levels and pressure in the vessel were relatively stable...

...Michiaki Furukawa, a nuclear chemist and board member of the Citizens’ Nuclear Information Center, a Tokyo-based watchdog, said the higher reading would have made recovery work at the reactor difficult. He said exposure to 1,000 millisieverts an hour of radiation would induce nausea and vomiting, while levels between 3,000 to 5,000 millisieverts an hour could be lethal...

...It is not easy for any liquid to travel from the reactor building to the adjacent turbine building. There are only two pipes that connect them, and they have many valves along them that should have closed automatically after the earthquake and before the tsunami arrived...

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:51am PT
Assuming this means radiation could have possibly eaten threw both the steel and cement encasement?

Ummm... No.

Radiation doesn't 'eat through' anything.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 27, 2011 - 12:06pm PT
Now the Japanese are saying that they misread the radiation gauges and grossly overestimated the amount of radiation leaking into the basement water, but they don't know what the reading should be or when they will get a more accurate one.

They have also discovered that the storage tanks are already full so they will have to come up with alternative storage tanks before they can begin pumping the water out which will be necessary to do electrical repairs to fix the cooling pumps. More spraying evidently. Good thing the U.S. sent two barges with fresh water for that job.

It's midnight over here and I can't think about this anymore.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Mar 27, 2011 - 12:06pm PT
Is it possible the steel and cement encasements were damaged in the various hits they've been exposed to(quake, tsunami, explosions at plant, perhaps even work being done to contain damage), and that is how the highly radioactive water is escaping?

The NY Times article linked above shows a photo of a few Japanese grieving at a mass funeral for their loved ones. But the story is about the reactors. I feel so for the people who are dealing with the mast basic tragedy; the loss of their children, lovers, parents, friends, and that their hour of need has been completely overshadowed by the tsumani which is the reactor breakdown.

Even so - has anyone surmised just what really "is" the worst case scenario, should they continue to find difficulty in getting the reactor "under control." I really would like to see what some of our ST experts in a "what if" situation. Perhaps that's an exercise in futility,and just not the way scientific types work, but....?
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 12:50pm PT
Assuming this means radiation could have possibly eaten threw both the steel and cement encasement?

Ummm... No.

Radiation doesn't 'eat through' anything.

i beg to differ. i think radiation has eaten through rileys brain. if you remember, he thinks he could have fixed this situation and done a better job at dealing with it even though he doesnt know a damn thing about radiation..

edit:
i goofed. it is probably the fear of radiation that is racking rileys brain cells but dont worry about him, he thinks he is one of the big boys.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 12:57pm PT
He said exposure to 1,000 millisieverts an hour of radiation would induce nausea and vomiting, while levels between 3,000 to 5,000 millisieverts an hour could be lethal...

This is incorrect...

People who get x-rays or CT scans, or radiation treatment of tumors, are exposed to this, and even far above, for a very brief time. It is all a matter of 'how long' they are exposed to it... See the 'per hour' reference in the quote above? I explained this in detail several days ago, in this very thread.

Even at 5,000 mSv/hr, if you are only exposed to that dose rate for 1 minute, you would only get a dose of 83 mSv, and that would NOT lead to nausea or vomitting, much less be fatal.

There is a difference between dose and dose rate. Think UV exposure from the sun... On a high UV day, there woud be a huge difference between 20 minutes and 8 hours in that sun, and the 'absorbed dose' (I.e., sunburn).
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 27, 2011 - 01:50pm PT
We use a couple of products on the rescue boats that work wonders for us; and might have some utility for this situation in freeing up corroded equipment and control systems. These products are really helpful for this sort of work. [no, i don't have any financial interest in either company ;-)~]

One product is called 'SaltAway'; that we mix with water and spray all over the boats each time we return from an ocean rescue. We also use it to flush contaminated and corroded engines. It removes salt buildup and corrosion from all sorts of metals and is safe to use on a wide variety of materials. SALT-AWAY PRODUCTS, P.O. BOX 8797, Newport Beach CA 92658; 888-SALT-AWAY

The other product is called 'Fluid Film'. We spray it directly onto electrical junction boxes and switches and all our tools, equipment, engines, and pumps after immersion in salt water. It fizzes for a while as it removes corrosion and then leaves a lubricating film. http://www.fluid-film.com/products/

btw; we did a particularly challenging boat salvage a couple of days ago; where we had three of us on the dive team who hadn't worked together before, but we got along great. In the course of the day we came to realize that all three of us were experienced El Capitan climbers...
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 27, 2011 - 02:05pm PT
One of the most remarkable and alarming aspects of this series of events, is that neither the US nor France nor Germany nor the IAEA appears to have any confidence in the ability of the Japanese government and TEPCO to competently manage any aspect of the situation, from technical issues to logistics to public communications.

I have never seen a situation in which a modern state was publicly rebuked-- by both actions and public statements --for its handling of a domestic natural disaster by the relevant agencies in other co-operating governments.

Maybe the Katrina debacle, but even that was nothing like this.

At this point, how could anyone have any confidence in anything the Japanese govt. or TEPCO claim? Each time there's a new announcement, we have to wait for it to be empirically vetted by the relevant experts in the US or GB or France or Germany or even the IAEA.

Just amazing, especially given the previous record of the Japanese in responding to other natural disasters like the Kobe quake.

If you want to see a complete meltdown, just look at TEPCO and the Japanese government.

Just awful to watch. However this turns out, it will be years and years before we have anything like a clue of what actually happened and when. How long will it take before folks actually trust government pronouncements on anything regarding public safety in the affected areas?
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 03:41pm PT
sorry radical,

you are not my type and your PMS is too much for me anyway. one mmoment you are blowing up and teh next all humble and zen and sh#t. there might be meds for that.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 03:55pm PT
Does radiation eat through stuff? Yes. Example 1: fast neutrons can eat holes
in the crystal structure of steel cladding surrounding the pressure vessel,
weakening it. Example 2: a magnifying lens will concentrate the Suns
radiation to eat a hole in ice.

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 04:13pm PT
I was correct the whole time...if you were a man you would say that....
And yes, I would have handled this disaster far better and still would.
But I would probably take a pay cut....

Riley

yep,

arrogant ass....
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 04:36pm PT
Talk some more about back ground radiation. It literally scares me Adam that you are an inspector for this stuff.
I was still on the fence but now I vote "NO" everytime on nukes- thanks for the education Adam. No contingency, no plan, no damn clue. The lack of forethought, carelessness, and irresponsibilty in this industry...

Oh, please...

'Education' implies learing... Being able to aquire facts and apply reason in order to 'learn'.

The fact that you continually copy and paste stuff that is full of obvious flaws, yet cannot identify the flaws, even when all the relevant information has been provided within this thread by myself and many others, that should allow you the opportunity to identify such flaws, shows that you are impervious to facts and reason. So you haven't learned anything, thus no education whatsoever concering most of the issues discussed here. In fact, concering this, you appear to be 'unteachable'. Even the latter part of the quote of you above shows that.

There are three basic ways to talk to complete idiots.

The first is to assail them with facts, truths, scientific data, the commonsensical obviousness of it all. You do this in the very reasonable expectation that it will nudge them away from the ledge of their more ridiculous and paranoid misconceptions because, well, they're facts, after all, and who can dispute those?

Why, idiots can, that's who. It is exactly this sort of logical, levelheaded appeal to reason and mental acuity that's doomed to fail, simply because in the idiotosphere, facts are lies and truth is always dubious, whereas hysteria and alarmism resulting in mysterious undercarriage rashes are the only things to be relied upon.
http://articles.sfgate.com/2009-09-25/entertainment/17118073_1_fundamentalist-health-care-complete-idiots

Unfortunately, I don't believe you will be able to read that article, and see how it applies to you, as you look at things too subjectively where what is needed is objectivity.

Like in my job, and your questioning (dramatic trolling actually) my ability to do it... You would prefer someone who does it subjectively, rather than objectively? Someone who does it, 'how they think it should be done', rather than by the letter of the law, code, and specification, and if there is any uncertainty to err on the conservative side (I.e., reject the part).


"Men occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of them pick themselves up and hurry off as if nothing happened."
~Winston Churchill

"The trouble with the world isn't that people know too little, but that they know so much that just ain't so."
~Mark Twain

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 04:46pm PT
cornis...

My reply was reffering to "radiation eating through the steel vessel and concrete" (I even quoted that in my reply).



Oh, and radiation does not "eat a gap into DNA making it cancerous":
Also, DNA repair mechanisms are able to mend most changes before they become permanent mutations, and many organisms have mechanisms for eliminating otherwise permanently mutated somatic cells.

Mutation is generally accepted by biologists as the mechanism by which natural selection acts, generating advantageous new traits that survive and multiply in offspring as well as disadvantageous traits, in less fit offspring, that tend to die out.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutation
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 05:23pm PT
Did you read what I posted? About the radiation eating through the steel containment and concrete?
Did you read it? If so, then do you understand what you read and posted? It's a pretty good article, that even covers much of what I have in the weeks I've posted to this thread.

Please, copy and paste the part of that article YOU believe says that. As it appears that you do not know the difference between corium and radiation... Even despite your own article, whcih clearly describes the process.

Point being, you do not even understand what it is that you read and post, but are CONVINCED you do.


Now, I could be wrong, and would love to be enlightened if I am... Please show me where in your article it says, or even implies, that "in a severe accident radiation can 'eat through the steel containment and concrete'".


Note - A direct reply to this is warranted... Either a "You're right, I didn't understand what I posted... My bad" (takes balls to do that though), or "Here it is, Adam... Read it.". None of the crap we went through last week when I questioned your posting that '"lethal" doses of Iodine and Cesium were found in cow's milk'.



You know... I think your emotions impede your ability to think reasonably and even freely... Perhaps you should practice more Zen, and less Samurai, as sometimes you even go all Kamikaze.

"A closed mind cannot think freely."
~Bruce Lee
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 05:40pm PT
rrrADAM - aren't semantics wonderful? The root cause of any ions creation
is less important than what the little bastards do once they are created.
The atomic causes, being invisible to human senses, are just very annoying.


No worries that it slipped your mind that ionic reactions are naturally happening inside all of us continually without any nuclear triggering
energy.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 27, 2011 - 06:54pm PT
Corniss, Radical,

Refresh my memory. How much physics and chemistry also biochemistry and molecular biology background have you guys had? Seems to me (a) you're taking not just a little but a great deal out of context; (b) you're not even trying to get where Adam's coming from; (c) sure you care - but you care less about getting things straight than you care about posting and being heard - that's the impression. Why not take a break for awhile.

(1) Context matters.
(2) A little knowledge is a dangerous thing.

.....

rAdam is doing a Grade A job.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 27, 2011 - 07:33pm PT
Ed already pointed it out. Sometimes Adam sounds like an apologist for the nuclear energy industry. He has said he realizes that it has dangers, but then he says over and over how safe it is because they planned for this or that event. There doesn't appear to be a lot of balance. More then once he has defended the Japaneses handling of this by saying basically, well not much radiation has leaked, so they are doing a good job. But it has been shown more then once that they have screwed up. Jan has pointed out that some of the screw up is based in Japanese culture, of saving face, and also in how they communicate. This has led to a lot of frustration around the world. This thing has come close to a complete meltdown multiple times, and Adam says he doesn't know what a complete meltdown would involve, nor how bad that could be, yet he still defends the Japanese handling of it, and he still defends the nuclear industry by saying things like, these things are planned for. But now we find out that the company that built this plant ignored many of the dangers of the fault that lays offshore. Known dangers. This leads to many questions about the industry and makes one wonder why Adam defends it so vigorously.

So what if they plan for dangers if they underestimate the danger. Coal does kill, but it doesn't create a long term danger. Decks do collapse, but these aren't long term dangers. Nuclear energy has long term dangers that just haven't been addressed. Its not very comforting to hear, well we plan for many contingencies. Especially when one knows how often corners are cut, or just how blind science and people can sometimes be. Some countries do a slightly better job of addressing long term dangers, such as Frances handling of spent fuel. But America still hasn't really addressed this problem and the solution America has come up with, of burying it in some mountain, doesn't seem like much of a solution.

I get where Riley is coming from, though I don't care for his methods. He must think that his methods are useful in some way, but I don't see how.

This is just what I see and is not some condemnation of Adam or Riley. I think that they are likely both good guys. Coal dust versus nuclear waste. I don't know at this point. How pays for the long term upkeep of this plant in Japan? Especially if the company goes bankrupt. Who pays in America for these kinds of problems. Someone one gets rich, and the rest of us pay long term.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 07:54pm PT
This thing has come close to a complete meltdown multiple times, and Adam says he doesn't know what a complete meltdown would involve, nor how bad that could be, yet he still defends the Japanese handling of it...
Really? Show me where I have said, or even implied any of the above?

It's as easy as copy and paste.

I have said, numeorous times, that people confuse "fuel damage" and "meltdown", and have tried many times to explain the difference, and what causes fuel damage, namely zirconium-oxidation. The article that radical liked even correctly defines 'meltdown' and also explains the faliure mechanism of the zircoly cladding of the fuel.

I have said that much of what the Japanese are doing appears to be all they could do given what they had to work with. (I.e., no power). And, I even said that it is inexcusable that the fuel pools could be allowed to go dry, as that is a pretty easy thing to keep water in, relative to the other issues they have.

Hell, to the best of my recolection, it was I who raised the flag of concern in this thread about the nukes just a couple hours after the quake, when I heard that they had lost all power and that the EDGs were not running... Saying that the quake and tsunami were terrible, 'but that if they didn't get power back to keep the fuel cool, this could be a big frick'n deal'.


So, where did I say, or imply that I'd have no idea of what a complete meltdown would involve? Or, have defended how the Japanese have handled this?

All I have done is to point out errors in reports, and to try to explain what many people do not understand.


But now we find out that the company that built this plant ignored many of the dangers of the fault that lays offshore. Known dangers.
They did not ignore the fault off shore when they built the plant. It was designed for a lessor magnituide quake, and still withstood the mag 9 that hit it, and the EDGs ran for almost an hour afterwards... It was the tsunami of 30 that they didn't plan for, as they only planned for one of 25 feet.

Now, I'm sure to you, that may sound like 'defending', but it isn't... I am merely pointing out that your statement(s) is(are) wrong.




I think I'm done here... Get you info from radical, klimmer, or Tom and/or his 'NASA friend' who can't even plug the correct numbers into his articles or formulae. And to think, some of you even ignore Ed.

WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 07:59pm PT
The only complete meltdown so far is some peoples brains.

And .....

It's a known fact from day one that the fricken monster has been breached long before they finally admitted the thing got away from them and that they had to use desperate measures to avert a complete global catastrophe ....
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:11pm PT
NHK Japan Sunday News-Fukushima probably exceeds Chernobyl and there's no end in sight (+ many more vids at DU link)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x567212
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7CIgA9TSAK8
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:18pm PT
Wow, Christian Dems go down in Baden Wuerttemburg--

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/world/europe/28germany.html?_r=1&hp

First reaction suggests it was fallout from the Fuku debacle because Merkel has been so pro nukes.

http://www.faz.net/s/Rub140FE71795B040E9A425EA8F1DB744F2/Doc~E2B2619A00CAF4EC9B8256A58F7128703~ATpl~Ecommon~Sspezial.html
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:29pm PT
These are spent fuel rods, so how much contamination could they cause?


I can't answer that, as I'm just not qualified, and I'm not going to guess on that. I can say, "potentially a lot", but that doesn't say much.

I apologize Adam, I thought I had asked you about what a complete melt down might look like, but it appears that I only asked about what would happen if the spent fuel storage pools ran dry and stayed dry because workers couldn't enter the facility.

I still say that they screwed up by not clearing the roads into the facility, or at least asking for help in doing that. Instead they kept saying that everything was okay, which Jan explained was a cultural thing, when really things weren't okay , unless explosions blowing roofs off is "okay".

I don't think you seem to understand that it is not very encouraging when you say they planned for a Tsunami, but not a big enough one. How do we know if the nuclear industry has made good enough plans for anything? We can't really, so then we have to decide if the risk is worth it. You seem to think that it is because you trust what you have worked with. But others don't trust because they have experience with companies taking risks that they shouldn't have. I haven't made up my mind if nuclear energy is worth the risk anymore. At one time I supported it.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:32pm PT
High Fructose Corn Spirit - why pull the 'you're not educated enough
to have an opinion' ploy? That's a bit lame.

The authorities spun 3 mile island, Chernobyl and now Fukushima. If TEPCO
was smart they'd put helmet cams on everyone and sell the footage
for mega millions to help pay for the damage. Even I'd sit through a
stupid commercial break just to see what happens next.



link to a radiation hardened camera that could be adapted
https://fscimage.fishersci.com/images/D10424~.pdf







WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:35pm PT
This how they do it .... :-)

Its just some harmless steam being vented.
Nothing to worry about.
I know this because I am smarter that you, and I know SCIENCE!
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:51pm PT
thank you rrrADAM and Jan and others

i've been reading a wide range of sources on the situation; and this thread is particularly informative

insults and bruised reputations are not just inappropriate responses to such a serious situation; especially if immature emotionalism results in critical failures to cope
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Mar 27, 2011 - 08:58pm PT
I think Neil put it best, a long time ago...
Although concerning a different subject entirely,
his lyrics seem to fit this as well...

Witch Hunt
The night is black
Without a moon
The air is thick and still
The vigilantes gather on
The lonely torch lit hill

Features distorted in the flickering light
The faces are twisted and grotesque
Silent and stern in the sweltering night
The mob moves like demons possessed
Quiet in conscience, calm in their right
Confident their ways are best

The righteous rise
With burning eyes
Of hatred and ill-will
Madmen fed on fear and lies
To beat and burn and kill

They say there are strangers who threaten us
In our immigrants and infidels
They say there is strangeness too dangerous
In our theaters and bookstore shelves
That those who know what's best for us
Must rise and save us from ourselves

Quick to judge
Quick to anger
Slow to understand
Ignorance and prejudice
And fear walk hand in hand...



Quoting Neil:
The idea for the trilogy was suggested by an older man telling that he didn't think life was ruled by love, or reason, or money, or the pursuit of happiness -- but by fear. This smart-but-cynical guy's position was that most people's actions are motivated by fear of being hungry, fear of being hurt, fear of being alone, fear of being robbed, etc., and that people don't make choices based on hope that something good will happen, but in fear that something bad will happen.
I reacted to this the way all of us tend to react to generalities: "Well, I'm not like that!" But then I started thinking about it more, watching the way people around me behaved, and I soon realised that there was something to this viewpoint, So I sketched out the three "theaters of fear," as I saw them: how fear works inside us ("The Enemy Within"), how fear is used against us ("The Weapon"), and how fear feeds the mob mentality ("Witch Hunt").

As it happened, the last theme was easiest to deal with, so it was written first, and consequently appeared first on record, and the other two followed in reverse order for the same reason.
Source: "Counterparts". Rush Backstage Club Newsletter. January 1994


See ya... It's been interesting, and elightening at the same time. But my head just hurts from banging it on the same walls.
WBraun

climber
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:06pm PT
You have to remember that in the light of the recent disaster in Japan along with 3 mile and Chernobyl in the years past that people have great mistrusts with Nukes.

They're looked at in the same light as the devil himself .....
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:08pm PT
Because it's not just a "ploy." Education and experience matter.

Really, why does this even need to be explained on a climbing forum, too, of all places? Is it not glaring when a lack of climbing experience expresses itself on this forum? Well it's no less glaring to those with the experience when it happens in a "science" subject. And it happened a lot on this thread. To no shame or embarassment either.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:23pm PT
See ya... It's been interesting, and elightening at the same time. But my head just hurts from banging it on the same walls.

No one asked you to bang your head against the wall. Explaining is one thing, but you take it personal and that gets you into trouble, ie causing you to feel like you are banging your head. look how many people have said thank you, over and over, including me. You let Riley get to you. Ease up a bit, breath a little bit and get over it. The apologist is just my perspective. I didn't say it to beat you up. I said it so that you could take a look at how you appear to some folks. Perhaps I did a poor job of it. I apologized. I apologize again.
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:24pm PT
Really, why does this even need to be explained on a climbing forum, too, of all places? Is it not glaring when a lack of climbing experience expresses itself on this forum? Well it's no less glaring to those with the experience when it happens in a "science" subject.

Americans no longer believe in skills or accomplishment or achievement or even hard work. The only exceptions are in whatever weird little libidinal investment they personally have. And the second they leave that little niche, they immediately believe that accomplishment and skilll are just elitist mystification.

Although there are plenty of climbing sites where folks no longer even believe in skill or accomplishment matter much in climbing.

One of the problems is that most Americans no longer get anything even vaguely resembling a training in lab science, let alone an introduction to what is involved in peer review. We can't afford the sort of dough it would cost to put not just k-12 but even all undergrads into serious research environments. So instead they just memorize a bunch of random crap for multiple-choice exams.

That's one of the reasons that folks constantly refer to "information" or talk about whether or not someone is "smart" rather than talking about whether or not they have a particular skillset. The only skillset we ever measure in education anymore is the ability to take multiple-choice exams.

The rest is just noise to most people.

One of the ironic unintended consequences of the democratization of education, especially higher education.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:28pm PT
The flip side of that is that some with education think that those without education or degrees can't possibly know something. I ran into that too many times with medical doctors. They are the doctor and you are just the peon who couldn't possibly know.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:37pm PT
But in my field where I am paid to fix and catch mistakes, and train folks to do the same, in failing systems, in an industry that is created to deal with 100's of mistake a day it is obvious.


Radical, if you dont mind....what is your field?

hi cokjox! how is it hangin? i didnt know this was a popularity contest. go beat your chest looks like on this thread you are beating me in the contest!

Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 27, 2011 - 09:56pm PT
RRRRAdam:

I think John Moosie expresses my thoughts as well as his.

No one asked you to bang your head against the wall. Explaining is one thing, but you take it personal and that gets you into trouble, ie causing you to feel like you are banging your head. look how many people have said thank you, over and over, including me.

I have followed this thread for the back and forth views expressed on the Japanese: earthquake/Tsunami/nuclear problems.

I value the diversity of opinion on this forum.

Radical’s opinion is welcome. Your opinion is welcome.

Everyone polite and intelligent is welcome.


My sympathy to the Japanese people: during this horrible triple-disaster.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:01pm PT
Looked through the lens of the 'theory of constraints' bringing the Fukushima reactor complex into safe mode has one seemingly unsolvable bottle neck in the process.

Workers getting large (unsafe) radiation doses. Difficult to do repairs
when a guy can only spend a few minutes wrenching on some broken pipes
before waddling away for his life in a 90lb rad suit + air tanks.

How to remove this constraint is 'the' question that needs an answer.



Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:01pm PT
Adam, I hope you're not really done with this thread, because I've found all the info you've passed along really helpful.

Thanks.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:13pm PT
Rokjox: Sniff, sniff: Thank you. (I did not post the Jan photo)

I try to be nice, when people don't "piss me off."

You've been pretty sweet on this thread, for an old curmudgeon, too.

Don't leave, we enjoy your knowlege and at least some of us read EVERYTHING.

And Radical is a good guy, he is just all the time in a posistion where sh#t is coming down on SOMEBODY real serious, and that can get you real used to being Right and insisting on your answers going forward.


A lot of people fall into the "I am the expert, and you don't know shit" trap. Nothing unusual about that!
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 27, 2011 - 10:47pm PT
hey there say, all.... i posted in its own thread, just so the main body, here will see and be aware, if they have friends in those areas, etc...

here is some new quake news:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110327/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake_tsunami_alert

think they said it was a 6.5 ...


no damages were reported yet...
info is on the thread...
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 11:08pm PT
It will take an unreal effort- but we don't really know because this company is incabable even of reading its own gages properly.
This is a joke...

riley lets talk about the incorrect reading. a worker risking his life goes in, scared, tired, misreads the instrument and runs out....

my understanding is that you are a nurse. an expert at changing diapers and performing enemas...a real science buff!

reading for two weeks on this does not make you an expert it makes you only 2 weeks slightly more informed than a moron....

You don't get it Adam....
You really think you are the only one who can learn, or understand or knows facts?
Few people are more curious or bigger nerds than me.

But that doesnt matter- the biggest boy geniouses have known, and I have known many, can not apply what they have learnt and make a judgement to save their lives or anybody elses and when you apply the stress of a very serious personal situation like their own livelihood, ego, or future they fall apart or the decision falls apart; same thing occurs when they are responsible for one or many lives

I tried to explain this two and a half weeks ago.

You don't see this in your field because a mistake is never ever supposed to happen-

But in my field where I am paid to fix and catch mistakes, and train folks to do the same, in failing systems, in an industry that is created to deal with 100's of mistake a day it is obvious.


Did you read what I posted? About the radiation eating through the steel containment and concrete?
It is like you look at the bridge with a huge crack in its foundation and instead focus on the dandilion that is floating some pollen up on the road way.

I see these mistakes everyday.....everyday for twenty years......and I see it in what you post.

Cut the sh#t....

wow riley...again you show that you are an arrogant as#@&%e....worse than before.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 27, 2011 - 11:26pm PT
Hawkeye: Are you back to being "Mr. NEGATVE?"

RE your assertion about Radical:
my understanding is that you are a nurse. an expert at changing diapers and performing enemas...a real science buff!

reading for two weeks on this does not make you an expert it makes you only 2 weeks slightly more informed than a moron....

I suspect many people do not know that nursing programs demand two years of the same science education that all college science graduates are afflicted with.

In my long ago U of Idaho education, the poor nursing students sit through (and had to pass) the same courses in chemistry, calculus, physics, and biology that the other science majors suffered through.

Tell me things have changed??

RRRAdam is obviously a bright person, but he admits he did not finish high school.

So-------just spit it out! Why is Radical less qualified to state his findings than RRRAdam?

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 27, 2011 - 11:50pm PT
so if i read for 2 weeks on ER's i will be an expert? isnt that what you inferred upthread? you are whacked....

I am humble.....
you have no f*#king clue. you are an arrogant ass.....
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 27, 2011 - 11:55pm PT
I don't think Riley is claiming to be an expert on nukes. I think he is claiming to be an expert on handling emergencies.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:09am PT
Cheers right back at you. I'm not worried. I think I understand where you are coming from. My landlord is a retired two star general and he can get a bit worked up at times, but he is also a very competent man and doesn't suffer fools. If his wife hadn't gotten sick and he retired to take care of her, he would have likely gotten 4 stars. He was a hard charger. So I dig. You do come across as a bit arrogant at times though. And I'm not trying to be mean. Just helping you see that Hawkeye may have something of a point. I don't know your and his history, so I don't know why the anger. Seems pointless to get so pissed, but then I got seriously pissed at Skipt. So f*#k man. It is what it is.
WBraun

climber
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:38am PT
So who are you Hawkeye?

We know everyone else on this page.

So you want to challenge Riley and run your mouth you better identify yourself.

Otherwise STFU because you have no say.

Throwing darts from behind a curtain is a coward .......
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:48am PT
If you never heard of this, you're not alone, but the first meltdown ever happened just outside of LA over 50 years ago. Just a couple a miles a way from Stoney Point. It's not scheduled for clean-up until 2017.

http://articles.latimes.com/2009/jul/13/local/me-meltdown13

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/thedailymirror/2009/07/santa-susana-meltdown-.html

http://www.thefreelibrary.com/SANTA+SUSANA+MELTDOWN+RELEASED+MASSIVE+RADIATION+STATE-FUNDED+PANEL...-a0152450340

Calif State Government site: http://www.dtsc.ca.gov/SiteCleanup/Santa_Susana_Field_Lab/

Map: http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=embed&hl=en&geocode=&q=santa+susanna,&sll=34.23233,-118.695838&sspn=0.006662,0.014452&ie=UTF8&radius=0.41&rq=1&ev=zi&hq=santa+susanna,&hnear=&t=h&ll=34.23233,-118.695838&spn=0.004435,0.006416&z=16














John Pace peers into SRE after partial meltdown

Interview with John Pace (last living survivor): http://www.enviroreporter.com/investigations/rocketdyne/meltdown-man/all/1/











For Release Saturday A.M., August 29, 1959
CANOGA PARK, CA

“During an inspection of fuel elements on July 26 at the Sodium Reactor Experiment, operated for the Atomic Energy Commission at Santa Susana, California by Atomics International, a division of North American Aviation, Inc., a parted fuel element was observed.

The fuel element damage is not an indication of unsafe reactor conditions. No release of radioactive materials to the plant or its environs occurred and operating personnel were not exposed to harmful conditions…

In each case, all seven tubes of the fuel element remained in the core. This fuel loading, nearing the end of its useful life, was scheduled to be removed in the near future.”


This press release — issued five weeks after the end of the United States’ worst nuclear reactor meltdown — was the public’s first notification that something unusual had happened up on “The Hill.” For the next 20 years, it remained the only public notification about the accident at the Santa Susana Field Laboratory on a mountaintop in California’s eastern Ventura County, on the border with the San Fernando Valley.

http://www.enviroreporter.com/investigations/rocketdyne/50-years-after-america%E2%80%99s-worst-nuclear-meltdown/

graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 02:47am PT
Radical, this thread would not be what it is without both your and rAdam's contributions. Your positions are very different but you both have something to say. I hope both you keep at it!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 28, 2011 - 10:18am PT
Here's a photo from the late night news report on NHK showing the service tunnels where the reactor water is leaking. They note that the amount of radioactivity in the tunnels is the same as the radioactivity on the floor of the turbine room so they believe it comes from the same source.

Their best guess is that the earthquake, hydrogen explosion and general corrosion of the pipes has caused a leak of reactor water into the basement and now the service tunnel. It will be a couple of days however, before they can verify exactly which radioactive elements are present in the water.

The most scary thing is that they're claiming the water in the tunnel is only 10 cm. or about 4 inches from overflowing, out into the open where it can enter the sea.


Otherwise, the tsunami victims have gone back to radio to keep in contact now that the internet and cell phones are down while the postal system, NTT, has just announced that it will deliver packages to evacuation centers from tomorrow.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 28, 2011 - 10:42am PT
It's the iodine and Cesium molecules in the water that's radioactive, not the water itself.

Meanwhile, the American military is rushing big pumps to the nuclear plant. With radioactive water only 4 inches below the surface, they better be fast.



Let us hope there is a lot of outside help being donated that we aren't hearing about. Japanese- American physicist Michio Kaku is being quoted as saying he thinks it's time to pull the utility company off the site, put a panel of international scientists in charge and send the Japanese Army in.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 28, 2011 - 11:26am PT
Nancy McKeown
As an American living in New Zealand, I have to say this rings a few bells here too...
Daily Kos: Truth in Advertising and the News
http://www.dailykos.com
As an American living in Europe, I have to say that watching the US news is like watching your beloved Aunt Agatha slowly go insane. What's worse is watching it with my wife. She's French and though we have similar political views, because her background is as a French political advisor in Paris
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:13pm PT
rox, i call it like i see it. anyone who comes on here like riley, claims he can do a better job at dealing with the Nuclear emergency because of his experience at dealing with medical disasters, but has no clue as to what the hazards are in radiation or reactors, is a dangerous fool.

this is the same thing as sitting in elcap meadow, watching the guys on el cap die in a storm (while YOSAR is waiting for good enough weather to effect a rescue) and questioning YOSAR why they dont risk their lives to rescue the stricken climbers. read back on this forum and you will see some climbers wondering why yosar did not rescue some poor guys. riley is doing the same thing on this thread.


i am very gainfully employed and aware of my skills as an engineer and project manager. you find a job yet Rox? or are you still living off your old lady?
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:22pm PT
Ugh. Getting worse. One step forward, two steps back...

NY Times March 28 Japan Fears Nuclear Reactor Is Leaking Contaminated Water
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/world/asia/29japan.html?hp

The highlights:

The contaminated water level is now about three feet from the exit of the vertical, U-shaped tunnel and rising...the tunnel leads from the reactor’s turbine building, where contaminated water was discovered on Saturday, to an opening just 180 feet from the sea, said Hidehiko Nishiyama, deputy director-general for the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency...

"We are unsure whether there is already an overflow” of the water out of the tunnel, Mr. Nishiyama said. He said workers were redoubling efforts to first remove the water from the Reactor No. 2 turbine building. Government officials have said that the water is probably leaking from broken pipes inside the reactor, from a breach in the reactor’s containment vessel or from the inner pressure vessel that houses the nuclear fuel....

...The nuclear safety agency also reported that radioactive iodine 131 was detected Sunday at a concentration 1,150 times the maximum allowable level in a seawater sample taken about a mile north of the drainage outlets of reactor units 1 through 4....

...The high levels of radioactivity have made it harder for them to get inside the reactor buildings and control rooms to get equipment working again, slowing the effort to cool the reactors and spent fuel pools.

...Workers pumped less water into the reactors Monday in an attempt to minimize the overflow of radioactive water from them, slowing down the cooling process, Tokyo Electric Power Company, the operator of the plant, said...



klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 28, 2011 - 12:25pm PT
at one point, this thread had two folks participating who actually had some competence.

now it's just randoms exchanging their ignorance and occasionally posting a link for those who can't surf.


it's basically just like almost every climbing thread on rc. com
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 28, 2011 - 02:19pm PT
We (Hanford Site DOE) were asked this morning whether we had any large double shell tanks which could contain up to 250,000 gallons of liquid radioactive waste and could we ship them to Japan. Unfortunately, we only had three with a Volume of 40k gallons. (All the others we have would involve tearing buildings down to get at.) It would also take weeks to get them barged down the Columbia and shipped to Japan. The takeaway is that many countries including the USA are working behind the scenes to try to do what they can for Japan.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Mar 28, 2011 - 02:29pm PT
golsen - would a modern oil tanker do the trick? Double hull, extensive spill prevention measures, huge capacity, lots of metal shielding.

Hard to believe that there are people working on this issue have not consulted with Radical.

by the way - are you greg olsen, lived in seattle, climbed at Index in the early 1980s?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 28, 2011 - 03:08pm PT
Mike,
sounds reasonable. The only thing is, you want to avoid mixing it with other nasty stuff (such as oil) so as to not make the eventual cleanup of that stuff any worse. That could result in limiting your options for future treatment and or add additional treatment steps. But then again, spilling it into the ecosystem is not a good option either. They better get it figured out sooner rather than later with the goal of stopping teh spread of contamination and isolating it. They may end up buying the super tanker and TEPCO may still be delusional with regards to their environmental liability (not that I know anything about how that works in Japan).
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 28, 2011 - 03:18pm PT
I dont know fatrad. I thought you wanted to drop some plutonium on some foreign soil in the mideast? :)

I would have to look at it closer. I have cleaned up lots of stuff but not plutonium in soil. Large quantities are obviously a mess, and stuff that can be spread by the winds are also a mess.
hb81

climber
Mar 28, 2011 - 04:13pm PT
Looked through the lens of the 'theory of constraints' bringing the Fukushima reactor complex into safe mode has one seemingly unsolvable bottle neck in the process.

Workers getting large (unsafe) radiation doses.

Well, the Russians "solved" it by throwing some 600 - 800,000 people at it and most of them didn't have a chance to say 'no' since they were military reservists and were ordered there.
Of course nowadays this is hardly possible with all the world watching the events pretty much live.

Is there protective clothing / equipment that will shield you completely from radiation? I'd guess it depends on the levels?

graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 06:35pm PT
Tokyo (CNN) -- The containment structure surrounding one of the reactors at a quake-battered nuclear power plant is damaged and may be leaking radioactive material, the Japanese government's point man on the crisis said Monday.

http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/28/japan.nuclear.reactors/index.html?hpt=T2



Expert: ‘Breach of containment’ scariest words for scientists

PORTLAND, Ore. – A physicist who’s been on national news talking about the Japanese nuclear crisis said Friday the word “breach” is one of the most frightening words known to nuclear engineers.

Michio Kaku’s comments came after news that Japanese nuclear experts said they suspect there has been a possible breach at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear complex.

http://www.katu.com/news/local/118692859.html

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 28, 2011 - 06:52pm PT
Never thought I would see something that would make George Bush's handing of Katrina look good.

Far be it for me to defend these guys; however, the information flow has totally sucked. Absolutely, positively. Compounded with the Japanese culture of not telling things straight up. Compounded by a company that may or may not be acting like BP. Point is, until all the facts come in we won't know, and if any investigation is conducted through the Japanese Government we may never know what was going on.

It is important to keep in mind the events that precipitated the Nuclear Event. A catostrophic force of nature. It could happen to dozens of cities across the USA and result in all kinds of death and mayhem...

WBraun

climber
Mar 28, 2011 - 06:56pm PT
I called it 12 days ago March 16th

When you see helicopters dumping buckets of water on to the reactors you know right then and there the whole shebang has been breached and they are now winging it to save the the island ......
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 06:58pm PT
Voice of America:

http://www.voanews.com/english/news/asia/east-pacific/Japan-Warns-Residents-Against-Returning-to-Nuclear-Zone-118758949.html

Partial Meltdown Suspected at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

Martyn Williams | Tokyo March 28, 2011


Japanese officials suspect a partial meltdown of fuel rods is to blame for high levels of radioactive contamination in water inside the Fukushima nuclear power plant.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 28, 2011 - 07:38pm PT
Meltdown is probably what has been happening all along. BREACH of Containment is the real reason for fear.

The Fuel rods generate lots of heat, and the geometry is such that water is flowed through the reactor to keep the rods cool. The primary mechanism of cooling is convection and conduction where the Heat Transfer (Q) is proportional to the Surface area (A) and Q is also proportional to the temperature difffernece between the Fuel and the coolant. Think of your radiator in your car - high surface area provides high cooling.

If the rods melt (meltdown), then they could form a pool of molten fuel in the bottom of the containment vessel. Then to transfer heat you have minimized the surface area and lost the ability to keep the molten material cool.

I do not know the critical parameters of the material (concrete and steel - type?); however, the potential for the Containment vessel to Breach (fail) is significantly increased if there is a pool of the molten material in the bottom of the containment vessel.

I don't know that much about reactors, but have forgotten more about heat transfer than most people will ever learn. In the plant we are building (to vitrify Nuclear Waste) we have gone to great lengths to insulate concrete from the effects of high temperatures and we have also provided a complex means to transfer radiant (not radiation) heat via specially manufactured cooling panels.

The event in Japan will not be at a controlled place for weeks due to the high heat of the natural decay given off from the fuel rods.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 08:41pm PT
Meltdown is probably what has been happening all along. BREACH of Containment is the real reason for fear.

If full uncontrolled meltdown occurs leading to "core on the floor" a catastrophic breach of the containment structure is almost inevitable. That's is what I read, but I'd like to hear rrrAdam's opinion.

Stars and Stripes on a worst-case scenario: http://www.stripes.com/news/http-www-stripes-com-news-pentagon-preparing-for-a-nuclear-worst-case-scenario-at-fukushima-1-1379-1.137969

Nuclear scientists use the term “core-on-the-floor” to describe radioactive fuel burning through protective containment layers, hitting water and bursting into the atmosphere in a huge steam explosion, spreading clouds of radioactive gas and dust.

It’s never happened before, but experts fear it may soon become reality in one or more reactors at the Fukushima nuclear complex, which was gravely damaged in last Friday’s 9.0-magnitude earthquake and ensuing tsunami.

“We are right now closer to core-on-the-floor than at any time in the history of nuclear reactors,” said Kenneth Bergeron, a former Sandia National Laboratory researcher who spent his career simulating such meltdowns, including in reactors of the type at the Fukushima plant.

Even in such a scenario, only people very near the plant — and well inside the 12-mile exclusion zone the Japanese government has set up — would be in danger of burns and other acute radiation effects, experts say.

But on U.S. bases hundreds of miles away, people still would need to take quick steps to limit exposure or else risk long-term cancer effects.

In the most devastating nuclear accident to date, at Chernobyl, there was no meltdown. Instead, the reactor exploded and burned for days, hurling radioactive dust laced with cesium, strontium, and radioactive iodine high into the air, which later menaced broad swaths of Europe as the materials fell back to Earth.

If one or more of the Fukushima reactor cores melt out of their containment vessels, the release could be smaller and less violent. But whether the effects would be less risky than Chernobyl, which officials estimate killed 50 people initially and will eventually lead to the cancer deaths of thousands, is an open question.

Fukushima “could even be more dangerous, depending on wind and weather,” said Bergeron, who is now a nuclear safety consultant and writer.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 28, 2011 - 08:43pm PT
Funny about the use of radio. In the end in so many emergencies, it all comes back down to radio. Amateur Radio from Japan is still going bang on the drum from minutes after all the quakes stopped. If you use Morse Code, even the language barrier drops away a bit. Get in the car, fire up the engine and after dark, you can talk a thousand miles, and ask for a radio patch or a relay to speak to loved ones outside the zone of destruction ...

Ham Radio is NOT obsolete.

This link is for you RJ: http://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/korea/ham-radios-find-place-in-high-tech-world-1.139146
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 28, 2011 - 10:39pm PT
This is what happened at TMI, but the melt did not burn through and so did not hit the water table. Instead, it combined with other materials and formed a self-insulating ceramic melt that by pure luck kept everything contained.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corium (nuclear reactor)

So we can only hope the same happy accident repeats itself in this case.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 28, 2011 - 11:14pm PT
http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123248837
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:22am PT
The head of the American Nuclear Safety Commission is arriving in Japan this morning and the Japanese government is talking about nationalizing the Fukushima plant on a temporary basis. That says to me that they are getting ready to use the Japanese military and maybe some American volunteers to go after it Chernobyl style. So far, every dire prediction by physicist Michio Kaku has come about one after the other.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:27am PT
TEPCO unable to provide proper food and rest to the workers.

How hard can it be to truck in enough food or bedding?


http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-japan-workers-20110329,0,319767.story

They sleep with just one blanket apiece anywhere there's space — in a conference room, in the hallway, near the bathroom. Because deliveries of supplies are limited, they get by on very little food: Breakfast is packages of high-calorie emergency crackers and a small carton of vegetable juice; dinner consists of a small bag of "magic rice" (just add bottled water) and a can of chicken, mackerel or curry. There is no lunch — handing out a noontime meal would be too complicated in the crowded two-story building.

These are the grueling, Spartan living conditions for workers at the Fukushima nuclear power plant who are racing to connect electric cables, repair machinery and check equipment in order to avert a meltdown at the facility 150 miles northeast of Tokyo.



"I don't think the workers have the energy they need to work under these extremely tough conditions," said Kazuma Yokota, who heads the Japanese Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency's local office in charge of inspections at the plant. The facility's operator, Tokyo Electric Power Co., or Tepco, did not immediately respond to Yokota's comments.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:48am PT
One thing that has been made obvious is that the Japanese use of the just in time delivery system is a disaster when they have a disaster as there is no emergency inventory to fall back on.

The other problem is that nobody in Japan can take the initiative. When our soldiers were in Iraq without good body armor, their families and American charitable organizations got them what they needed while our government fiddled. In Japan that doesn't happen. Government officials or Tepco executives have to order those things and they're obviously overwhelmed.



WBraun

climber
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:53am PT
They need to take all those spent fuel rods and stuff em in every ICBM in the world and launch all that sh'it off to Mars.

Except once on the way to mars the martians will get pissed and retaliate.

WTF

This nuke business has got to go .....
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:14am PT
News Flash... Nuclear Energy Really IS Safer then Decks

Came home today, the power was finally back on after 8 days, and dang.. my deck collapsed under all the snow. After two weeks I haven't had any radiation from Japan, but heavy wet snow wiped out my deck. I think that I can safely say that nuclear energy is definitely safer then my deck. Not kidding about the deck.. its toast.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:16am PT
The Christian Science Monitor is reporting that the U.S. military offered to help cool the reactors almost immediately after the quake and tsunami and were turned down by the Japanese government who said they could take care of it by themselves?!
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:20am PT
What??? they are sending all their wet heavy snow this way?
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:25am PT
Did you have any contingency plants? Where were your emergency generators situated? Did you have redundant desks or just one?
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:27am PT
The Christian Science Monitor is reporting that the U.S. military offered to help cool the reactors almost immediately after the quake and tsunami and were turned down by the Japanese government who said they could take care of it by themselves?!

Do you have a link for this?
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:37am PT
I believe in winging it. No generator. But I do plan to hire a much better public relations firm then the Japanese did to keep the world fully updated on the horrible loss of bug life that was flattened when my substandard, built by a dirtbag, deck collapsed. I'm certain it will take hours, maybe even days for the bug population to recover and I fully plan to do everything in my power to see that they get a helping hand in their recovery from this most serious disaster. I will spare no expense in bringing in all the experts needed to fix this problem as quickly as possible. I do understand that no amount of money can bring back lost loved ones and we will be seeking prosecution against the low down dirty scumbag who built this deck and used substandard materials. We want everyone to know that we followed all the codes and did our best to do everything in the most proper way..cough..bribes..cough, cough.. We at ultrashacks America strive for the highest standard in dirtbag accommodations, and we will spare no expense in searching the world for the cheapest quality crap we can find.
WBraun

climber
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:37am PT
Jan

That's normal human nature although they should have gone for that help right away with that serious nature of radioactive poisoning.

We encounter the same mindset in Yosemite rescue at times.

They'll call in a distress and then decide they might be able to get themselves out of their situation, a self rescue.

9 times out of 10 they won't fully realize the complete extent of their predicament and logistics until they actually start their self rescue.

Then they realize they're over their heads due to various problems that originally got them into that position and change their minds later.

What you end with all that is loss of time which is sometimes very critical.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:41am PT
Quote of Dr. Helen Caldecott in the interview Jim linked to:

"Chernobyl, which had only been operating for three months, has devastated forty percent of the European land mass. "

You don't have to convince me that nuclear power is dangerous, more dangerous than Canadian-built decks even (that whole deck thing was a joke) but what is Dr. Caldecott an expert in? Exaggeration?
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:53am PT
Citing the research of Soviet scientists Valery Burdakov and Vyacheslav Fiin, Caldicott argued that NASA's Space Shuttle program was destroying the Earth’s ozone and that 300 total shuttle flights would be enough to "completely destroy the Earth's protective ozone shield," although there is no scientific evidence to back up this claim.

Dr. Caldicott? You spelled it wrong, Jim. It's Dr. Caldi-Kook.

This is the kind of expert you listen to?
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:55am PT
Jim, maybe you shouldn't believe everything you google up.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 03:09am PT
Well I guess you should really have her Nobel prize

Jim, she never got any Nobel prize.

You have reading comprehension problems.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 03:23am PT
Excuse me, she was a nominee only.

There is a huge difference between having oneself nominated for the Nobel and actually winning it.

She was a nominee who did not receive the prize. ANYONE can have themselves nominated. Other nominees that didn't get the prize include Adolf Hitler, Joseph Stalin and Benito Mussolini. Having oneself nominated means NOTHING.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 29, 2011 - 11:15am PT
Impressive video!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b-2iByqHVI&feature=player_embedded
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 29, 2011 - 11:38am PT
In TGT's video, compare the :28 sec mark to the 4:58 mark.

Unbelievable...
WBraun

climber
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:04pm PT
Apocalyptic .....
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 29, 2011 - 01:32pm PT
And Tepco bumbles on.

The latest mishap came Tuesday, when three workers trying to connect a pump outside the Unit 3 reactor were splashed by radioactive water that gushed from a pipe. Though they were wearing suits meant to be waterproof and protect against high levels of radiation, nuclear safety official Hidehiko Nishiyama said the men were soaked to their underwear with the contaminated water.

They quickly washed it off and were not injured, officials said.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/as_japan_earthquake;
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 29, 2011 - 02:14pm PT
TGT's video again.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b-2iByqHVI&feature=player_embedded
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 29, 2011 - 05:15pm PT
They got 15 minutes of warning, sometimes more and sometimes less. But that's not a lot of time. Also, the waves were higher and went further then they expected. So even places designated as being safe spots to escape the tsunami got hit. Also, if your house had collapsed and you were stuck in it, the tsunami warning did not help.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 29, 2011 - 09:08pm PT
Major reserve mobilization.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123248835
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 29, 2011 - 09:54pm PT
The U.S. Department of Energy said Tuesday it has shipped a robot to Japan, along with several "radiation hardened cameras" as test of whether such devices could be helpful to the Fukushima workers trying to survey areas of the complex where radiation levels are too high for them to go.

An Energy Department spokesman said the U.S. the first robot is a test to see if the Japanese workers can make use of U.S. designed remote controlled machines designed to conduct environmental cleanup "in environments that are obviously quite different than the nuclear reactor in Japan."



bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 29, 2011 - 10:09pm PT
The CEO of TEPCO may have commited suicide
That is very honorable thing to do, IMO.

I wish our CEO's would take responsiblity after they commit serious crimes


That's ridiculous, and frankly, pretty f*#king insensitive.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Mar 29, 2011 - 10:10pm PT
Re: TGT's Kesennuma video...I'm speechless.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 29, 2011 - 10:29pm PT
Wasn't he the one who left a press conference crying last week?
Dunno about honorable, seems like the easy way out, but that's a cultural thing.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 29, 2011 - 11:05pm PT
The worse case scenario is happening -- melt down.

Now what?

How are we (the world) gonna stop this?



If we can get this under control (someday . . .) we have to stop using nuclear.

We have to reprocess all the spent fuel through-out the world with fool-proof, and fail-proof redundant IFR new generation designs, and get as much energy out of the spent fuel as possible, and turn it into nuclear waste with a limited 300 yr. half-life for safe long-term storage.

We have to clean-up the world.

Safe, clean, renewable energy only. We do have the technology.

We will have to wrestle the control from the oil industry that has us by the throat. But how?
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:03am PT
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:14am PT
The Japanese people are the best of us in my opinion.


I hope they don't take this as a personal failure and are hard on themselves as they are already going through so much.


Whether or not this idiot CEO has killed himself, I really couldn't give a sh#t, but for sure he hasn't even been heard from for two weeks.


And we are supposed to trust these nuke pricks with corners of entire states- with our world?
f*#k those guys! everyone turn your power off 25% of the time! that will show them.


The other side of it is that folks like new world order and Klimmer do even more harm then the industry itself.
Over reaction and bad science, like Adam fought so hard against, is what has destroyed the environmental movement or at least damaged it so badly.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:18am PT
President Sarkozy is making a trip to Tokyo today with French nuclear experts in tow. The head of the U.S. nuclear regulatory agency is already there. Quietly, without fanfare, the Japanese government is reaching out for international help as it seems quite clear that Tepco can not handle the situation.

I'm betting that the International Atomic Energy commission will end up establishing international safety standards and emergency disaster management teams for the future.First the Wall Street debacle and now this has made it clear to me at least, that unbridled private enterprise is endangering us all. In a global economy regulation has got to be by international regulatory bodies. These problems are beyond any one nation to handle.

I would like to hope that Fukushima, along with the Wall Street debacle, will be seen as turning points in the change from the industrial society mentality to the true Information Age where the sustainability of our planet becomes more important than corporate profits.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:23am PT
Someone made this cartoon to help explain the accident to children.
Now w English subtitles. Cultural differences to the Nth power between us the Japanese.

http://www.viralviralvideos.com/2011/03/17/japanese-cartoon-explaining-nuclear-meltdown-after-tsunami/
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:29am PT
Jan makes an excellent point. Japan is wealthy and was well-prepared for what happened, although the post-disaster reaction has sometimes been clumsy and slow. These things, whether it's food prices, the banking and finance industry, environmental and labour standards, nuclear regulation, or preventing dictators from abusing their own peoples, are increasingly global, and should be regulated as such. It's abundantly clear that effective and efficient regulation is often required.

The increasing adoption of CE standards as the de facto world standard for many goods and services speaks for itself - the marketplace also wants reasonable standards.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:42am PT
Corniss-

The Japanese are much more practical than we are about normal bodily functions. This is the land of mixed bathing and love motels after all. Pornographic comic books are readily available and vending machines sell beer and condoms.

The cartoon about nuclear boy and his poo is entirely in keeping with their school books. First grade children's books also talk about poo as part of the learning to read and be sociable process with similar illustrations. Japanese children are used to seeing it discussed in public from an early age and even small children pick up after their dog.

One subtle but interesting feature of this children's cartoon is that two out of the three reactor poo doctors look Japanese but the third one is Caucasian.

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 30, 2011 - 12:42am PT
no riley. not at all. i am merely quoting you, don't know why that gets you hot. i usually don't have that effect on heterosexuals. sorry , you are not my type.


Hawkye....bahahahaha
I can write that all again for you hawkeye.....I stand by it 1000 percent...
Read it again and.again...hopefully something will sink in...

What an absolute ass hat...



Who are you again?
You never did post your name coward..

Hawkeye- upholding the honor of corporate, greed , power and CEO incompetance for the next millennium....why?

Because the people dying trying to take care of this regardless of some of the greatest incompetence the world have ever seen don't really matter to hawkeye. The Japanese people in general don't really matter to hawkeye... hawkye really doesn't give a damn about anything ..
He is the man who would have been torturing the heritics 600 years ago...
The coward of cowards

Glad you are here hawkye- you illustrate the ignorance of man, the heart of this problem and why this occurs......my dancing fool....


you should see a psychologist. they will let you know if there is a girl in there that wants to get out...
john hansen

climber
Mar 30, 2011 - 01:10am PT
Radical, it is amazing,, I said a week or so ago. It just seems that this company is so insulated from the world. So many resources available..

With a a couple hundred million bucks and a free hand it seems they could do much better on the logistical end of this thing.

It took them over a week to get firetrucks on site. It is incredible that the goverment would not intervene as soon as it became apparent there were problems. Being in the construction field it just seems so obvious to mobilize all of the available help as soon as possible, no matter what the initial cost.

Have the American military bring in big portable pumps and generators with their biggest helicopters. Get all the Bulldozer's with in 30 miles to clear a road from the tsunami affected area's to the reactor's.

And at the very least ,hire a caterer for those crews.You would think that just regular folks would be setting up sites just outside the evacuation zone to make meals for delivery to the workers. After almost three weeks you would hope they could at least get meals to the site.

If you had to , you could build a lead lined van to deliver food in a few hours.







Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Mar 30, 2011 - 01:19am PT
Well, this is a triple disaster. Did the US do any better in New Orleans in 1995, responding to just one disaster? If what happened in Japan had happened in California instead, would the US be doing any better?

With the exception of power for cooling the reactors, and the resulting overheating, it appears that the Japanese were well prepared for what happened, which is 90% of preparing for any disaster. Which is why the death toll is likely 20,000 - 30,000, instead of ten or twenty times that.

It appears that the response to the earthquake and tsunami could have been and be brisker. The problems with the reactors are in a somewhat different league. Do we really have enough information to reasonably judge, given that the response to any disaster of this magnitude takes time to really develop momentum? The estimate is that rebuilding may cost $300 billion.

It's easy to sit on our davenports, sofas, ottomans, chesterfields and other comfortable things, and pontificate. Who here has made a donation to the Red Cross, to help?
john hansen

climber
Mar 30, 2011 - 01:47am PT

Even here on the remote, Big Island in Hawaii, I could have 10 or 20 excavator's working within the next few days if there was an emergency like this. They should have all possible resource's

Money should not be an issue in such a national disaster.

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 30, 2011 - 01:49am PT
hey there say, mighty hiker... as to this helpful note:

Who here has made a donation to the Red Cross, to help?

oh my... i can't make a donation now, as i have been entrusted with a a meager sum, just to barely pay my rent, and that many times leaves out food for me...

but a gal, i know, from boston, who has seen her daily hard chores and has a meager amount more than me, well she HAS sent a bit to the red cross, and she got a telephone hug from me...

just a simple gal, she is, and she only knows that folks are hurting,she also, was concerned if our friends were alive...

but i know, when i can, i hope to help folks in some ways, too...
(**she put the donation as to being from both of us, as i always encourage her to have a good day--and it should NOT have been so, it was her caring heart, only, and her hard earned money)... she was the little hero, there... :)

:)

graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 30, 2011 - 02:42am PT
Well, this is a triple disaster. Did the US do any better in New Orleans in 1995, responding to just one disaster? If what happened in Japan had happened in California instead, would the US be doing any better?

In its initial response to the Tsunami, Japan did better. But three weeks into the Orleans disaster, the U.S. was doing better. Also, if that was a nuke plant in California or Louisiana, the U.S. would be on it. As it is, the meltdown is in Japan and you get the sense that American (and European) experts have a better handle on what is going on and what needs to be done than the Japanese.

It can take time for them to get their act together, but its been THREE WEEKS now. Everything that they said that would not happen as happened, it it keeps getting worse.

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 30, 2011 - 03:38am PT
What's the best case scenario for dealing with this nuke plant over the next 100 years? It's messed up and contaminated. What will they have to do to make that safe and contained?

What's the worst case scenario of the same?

What are the chances for either?

Even if there's no full meltdown, it boggles my mind what it would take to wrap this up

PEace

Karl
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 30, 2011 - 03:55am PT
Most people who are donating are doing so to the Red Cross on behalf of the human tsunami victims.

There is also a site where you can donate to Greatergood.org to supply food to the animals left behind by the tsunami evacuees and the pets that somehow managed to survive when their owners did not. Japanese veterinarians and kennels are rounding up and taking care of these animals but need money for food and medicine too.

https://www.theanimalrescuesite.com/store/item.do?siteId=310&itemId=44084&adId=69839&placementId=184573&origin=
Aya K

Trad climber
New York
Mar 30, 2011 - 09:21am PT
Here's another organization to help the animals http://jears.org/ to which I have donated.
You can follow them on facebook; they are posting tons of photos and videos and nice stories and sad stories and so on.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 30, 2011 - 11:10am PT
Here, this reminded me of this thread:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36nYeo2m8CM
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 30, 2011 - 11:13am PT
Another end of day in Japan but I believe a big conceptual break through was made today even though the technical problems remain daunting.

The head of Tepco has been hospitalized for high blood pressure and that was the face saving opening that the Japanese prime minister needed to assume control of the situation. Almost simultaneously he announced that "The Japanese and US governments are working together to tackle trouble at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.

"

Four joint Japanese and American working groups have been formed which will be housed in the prime minister's official residence. Members include Japanese cabinet members and the head of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

Also noteworthy today was the arrival of the CEO of nuclear power in France. Speaking to an NHK reporter on her arrival at Narita Airport, Anne Lauvergeon pledged full cooperation. She brought along a team of experts, the first such group to arrive from France since the outbreak of the incident.



Not coincidentally, Tepco announced today that due to the corrosion caused by seawater, the four damaged reactors at Daichi will never be used again. Up until today they were euphemistically talking about repairing them. Probably the Japanese government's threat to nationalize the company had something to do with that.

Who knows? This may be the beginning of post war Japanese politicians with backbone. Among other points, this crisis has driven home the need for strong political leadership in Japan when disaster strikes, something that has been shunned since WWII. The Japanese Self Defense Forces which have often been maligned in Japan as useless have also proved their worth in tsunami relief. With the U.S., France, and the International Atomic Energy Commission offering advice and aid, I would say that the post WWII era is officially over for Japan.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 30, 2011 - 01:30pm PT
The investment that every single country in the world combined is making per year for low-carbon energy technology is less than the cost than this one accident will probably cost Japan

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12895157

depending on how you figure costs and for how long

Peace

Karl
monolith

climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 30, 2011 - 02:52pm PT
^^^To bad we lost rrrAdam^^^

Now we can talk about lemmings and sheep instead. Maybe Klimmer can make a bad 3d pic.
MisterAnswers

Social climber
Ark on the Moon
Mar 30, 2011 - 03:28pm PT
MisterAnswers is back!

My Klimmer alert went off on this thread a few days ago, but in fact his contributions were not so nutty.

But, in the process of reading through this thread I have discovered a Question!

Question: Does Radical have a substance abuse problem or is he off his meds?

Answer: Don't know. This is a tough one. Sometimes he seems normal (by ST standards), sometimes he is a complete raving idiot whose posts are impossible to read. Either explanation could work. He claims to be a doctor (please Dog, let this not be true) and if that is true he no doubt has access to lots of interesting drugs. I'll give a tentative answer that he has a substance abuse problem.

The only thing that is certainly true is his contributions to this thread drag it down, down, down. Let's vote him off the thread! Everyone can play. Post "radical: on" or "radical: off".

Maybe if he goes away, some of the people who have information to add to the thread will come back (Mr Radical, note that they all left) and join JanfromJapan.
WBraun

climber
Mar 30, 2011 - 03:38pm PT
The only thing dragging down this thread and forum is an anonymous dumbshit like you who only wants to start a flame war.

Fuk off tool ....

Plus you're so stupid you can't even read.

Riley never said he's a doctor dumbshit!
MisterAnswers

Social climber
Ark on the Moon
Mar 30, 2011 - 03:47pm PT
I can shorten WBraun's response:

Radical: on
monolith

climber
Berkeley, CA
Mar 30, 2011 - 04:04pm PT
rrrAdam: On

MisterAnswers: Witch hunts are done in separate threads. Consult with Jim Brennan since he's got the protocol down.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 30, 2011 - 05:05pm PT
Hawkye..
Are we done again?
You slink away again
Like I told you two weeks ago....anytime ...
I fight everyday for people....and I would love to fight you


so your manhood is really threatened huh?

i point out that you have PMS/PTSD symptoms and you want to fight? i hate it when i get sh#t on my hands so even bitch slappin you is out of the question.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Mar 30, 2011 - 05:14pm PT
gee thanks for the advice rokjox!
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 30, 2011 - 05:40pm PT
Would love to keep sorta on the topic and not on each other.

This seems to happen with a sensitive topic threatens our real sense of the world and our safety. We don't want to come to terms with the reality that we live around industries that could easily poison us with tortuous sickness or make miles of land uninhabitable for 20,000 years.

and I agree that RRradam was certainly downplaying the real costs and hazards, in whatever technical terms he was capable of doing, they didn't match the plain realities of the situation.

When people say almost nobody died at 3 mile Island and a handful at Chernobyl, that's just happy talk like saying cigarette smoke isn't really proved to cause cancer, it's just a coinkydink that so many smokers die.

Personally, I can understand these happy talk pronouncements that "yeah we found Plutonium in your back yard but in such minute quantities there's no immediate health hazard" It's like saying, "You just fell off the top of El Cap but there's no danger for several thousand feet, just nice soft air!" Authorities say it because of wishful thinking, because people close to the plant don't want to think they're screwed yet and neither does the government

We need to get real or we'll all suffer that last 10 feet of the fall someday, the part where you hit reality

Peace

Karl
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Mar 30, 2011 - 05:59pm PT
It was nice while it lasted, but this thread is in full meltdown mode now.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 30, 2011 - 06:00pm PT
I agree that RRradam was certainly downplaying the real costs and hazards

Bs.

We don't want to come to terms with the reality...

The species, let alone many a human culture or human individual... doesn't want to come to terms with a bunch of realities (in other words, truths), not just one or two.

Heck, for then that might mean... the destruction of cherished beliefs... the undermining of the mission... the end to time-honored institutions... whatever.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 30, 2011 - 06:05pm PT
When people say almost nobody died at 3 mile Island and a handful at Chernobyl, that's just happy talk like saying cigarette smoke isn't really proved to cause cancer, it's just a coinkydink that so many smokers die.

What distinguishes your talk from the sleepyass type c personalities (aka wusses) of the world who think rockclimbing should be illegal? -Because of the scores of deaths that happen "needlessly."

Fewer people died from nuclear practices at 3MI than from rockclimbing. Where's the perspective. Get real, man.

See, this is what happens when informed folks get scared away by all the bs: then the bs comes out in even more force - in legions, in confederacies.

cf: confederacies of loons (or is it, confederacies of dunces)
cf: leagues of morons

.....


Radical and Klimmer are from the same camp, just opposite poles. They should hook up.
stevep

Boulder climber
Salt Lake, UT
Mar 30, 2011 - 06:40pm PT
I don't think Adam downplayed too much.
Even though things don't seem too be doing too well, I still don't think this has risen to the level of Chernobyl. And I think he admitted it was worse than TMI.

He also said he was disappointed in the level of communication and info from the Japanese. Without that, it is somewhat difficult to tell how big the prob is.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 30, 2011 - 06:46pm PT
Japan’s Gov. not in charge or does not have a clue on what is going on, TEPCO has not a clue what is going on and looks like IAEA does not have a clue either or holding back information. Sound familiar?

Why did it take so long for the US to respond with BP. One, the US did not have a clue on how to fix it, since they relied on the expertise of BP. Two: BP executives’ were clueless [They had countless warnings but ignored them] and in turn had no backup system or ignored this do to cost $$$$$ or safety and Cheney’s deregulations. Three: Thinking if they could get in under control, still use the well for oil. And Four: The issue of preserving the evidence “The pump” to see who was at fault. Figure/finger pointing? There are other issues but the above is just a few.

Ok! Back to Japan same thing thinking. Hey! Not too bad, maybe we can fix it and get it back up and running but again no direction, too proud not for asking help and too late in decision-making.

Anyway latest news is the government plans to spray a water-soluble resin over debris at the crippled facility or # 3 power plant to prevent radiation leaks from spreading further, officials said Wednesday. An unmanned, remote-controlled vehicle will spray the solution in order to affix radioactive substances onto the debris the officials said.

The work will begin on a trial basis on Thursday.

Within the compound, masses of debris are strewn about the plant as a result of explosions, and this is making it very difficult for plant workers to bring the crisis under control.

While frantic efforts are underway to cool reactors and remove water contaminated with high levels of radiation from facilities in the plant, the government hopes to facilitate by the task by making it safe for workers to perform.

The resin is designed to prevent dirt containing radioactive substances being scattered in the wind, the officials said, adding that the operation will be carried out by Tokyo Electric Power Company owner of the atomic power plant.

Spraying resin over the debris at the plant is a temporary measure before fundamental measures are taken to contain radioactive substances, the officials added.

Also the US is sending [should be there now] special cameras to help in this situation.

So look for 4 to be buried and two a possible usage.

End

And just one more bit of information recently revealed.

Last paragraph and in bold.

Though the IAEA is best known for the role it plays in monitoring whether countries such as Iran are complying with international nuclear weapons treaties, most of its resources are dedicated to promoting the peaceful use of nuclear energy, a mandate it has had since its founding in 1957.
Countries have no obligation to follow the IAEA's advice. "The IAEA is not a nuclear watchdog; it is an arbitrator," says Robert Kelley, a recently retired IAEA analyst.

"The IAEA doesn't have specialists trained to deal with a nuclear catastrophe," says Iouli Andreev, who headed a team of Soviet specialists that responded to the world's worst nuclear accident at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in Ukraine.

An IAEA spokesman declined to comment

Mr. Andreev says the IAEA was similarly dependent on Soviet information during the Chernobyl crisis in 1986. Then, the IAEA received data provided in part by Mr. Andreev's team, "but much of that information was false," Mr. Andreev says. In the immediate aftermath of the accident, Soviet officials took pains to convince the international community that the accident wasn't as dire as many feared.

The IAEA's difficulty in engaging in Japan has been particularly surprising given that its director general, Mr. Amano, is a former Japanese government official with deep knowledge of his country's nuclear infrastructure.

*Excerpt from March 17th Wall Street Journal article: Environment & Science, title: Nuclear Agency’s Assessment Lags by David Crawford and Flemming Hansen

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 30, 2011 - 07:06pm PT
And I think he admitted it was worse than TMI.

That he did. More than once, too.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 30, 2011 - 07:07pm PT
http://inmotion.magnumphotos.com/essay/chernobyl

Some people say it isn't true since it is obvious to any educated person that Nuclear energy is safe and only 23 died as a result of Chernobyl.
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Mar 30, 2011 - 07:41pm PT
So I hear that the reactor that is melting down could form a hydrogen bubble that could expload sending lots of really nasty stuff into the atmosphere; like maybe plutonium ? If that happens will the other reactors become off limits and they will then do the same thing? living in berkeley I am thinking we are definately down wind and that isn't good.

Could you guys cool it with the personal attacks it feels like junior high school.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:17pm PT
So I hear that the reactor that is melting down could form a hydrogen bubble that could expload sending lots of really nasty stuff into the atmosphere; like maybe plutonium ? If that happens will the other reactors become off limits and they will then do the same thing? living in berkeley I am thinking we are definately down wind and that isn't good.

Could you guys cool it with the personal attacks it feels like junior high school.

Yes, your definitely gonna die someday in the future
S.Leeper

Social climber
Ft. Useless, Virginia
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:18pm PT
some impressive footage

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9qAjG7zitNE&feature=
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:19pm PT
Israel has sent special equipment,
The evil one

Yes, it is called a missile.

Do not look up
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:38pm PT
HFCS wrote

What distinguishes your talk from the sleepyass type c personalities (aka wusses) of the world who think rockclimbing should be illegal? -Because of the scores of deaths that happen "needlessly."

Fewer people died from nuclear practices at 3MI than from rockclimbing. Where's the perspective. Get real, man.

See, this is what happens when informed folks get scared away by all the bs: then the bs comes out in even more force - in legions, in confederacies.

cf: confederacies of loons (or is it, confederacies of dunces)
cf: leagues of morons

Get real? Take Chernobyl, some 150,000 square kilometres in Belarus, Russia and Ukraine are contaminated and stretch northward of the plant site as far as 500 kilometres. An area spanning 30 kilometres around the plant is considered the “exclusion zone” and is essentially uninhabited. There are 187 small communities in the exclusion zone that remain virtually abandoned to this day. A few inhabitants chose to return to their homes in the exclusion zone, but children are not allowed to live in this area. For practical purposes, large areas, when 10s of thousands lived are uninhabitable for the next 20,000 years. If Japan's situation gets much worse, the happy talk will be gravely understated. When I brought up the exclusion zone, Rrrradam said it was exaggerated and that people still live there (defying government directions)

From

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jan/10/chernobyl-nuclear-deaths-cancers-dispute

"At the children's cancer hospital in Minsk, Belarus, and at the Vilne hospital for radiological protection in the east of Ukraine, specialist doctors are in no doubt they are seeing highly unusual rates of cancers, mutations and blood diseases linked to the Chernobyl nuclear accident 24 years ago.

But proving that infant mortality hundreds of miles from the stricken nuclear plant has increased 20-30% in 20 years, or that the many young people suffering from genetic disorders, internal organ deformities and thyroid cancers are the victims of the world's greatest release of radioactivity, is impossible.

The UN's World Health Organisation and the International Atomic Energy Agency claim that only 56 people have died as a direct result of the radiation released at Chernobyl and that about 4,000 will die from it eventually.

They also say that only a few children have died of cancers since the accident and, that most of the illnesses usually linked to Chernobyl are due to psychological distress, radiophobia or poverty and unhealthy living.

But other reputable scientists researching the most radiation-contaminated areas of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine are not convinced. The International Agency for Research on Cancer, another UN agency, predicts 16,000 deaths from Chernobyl; an assessment by the Russian academy of sciences says there have been 60,000 deaths so far in Russia and an estimated 140,000 in Ukraine and Belarus.

Meanwhile, the Belarus national academy of sciences estimates 93,000 deaths so far and 270,000 cancers, and the Ukrainian national commission for radiation protection calculates 500,000 deaths so far.

The mismatches in figures arise because there have been no comprehensive, co-ordinated studies of the health consequences of the accident. This is in contrast to Nagasaki and Hiroshima, where official research showed that the main rise in most types of cancer and non-cancer diseases only became apparent years after the atomic bombs fell.

With Chernobyl there have been difficulties in gathering reliable data from areas left in administrative chaos after the accident. Hundreds of thousands of people were moved away from the affected areas, and the break-up of the Soviet Union led to records being lost.

Controversy rages over the agendas of the IAEA, which has promoted civil nuclear power over the past 30 years, and the WHO. The UN accepts only peer-reviewed scientific studies written in certain journals in English, a rule said to exclude dozens of other studies.

Four years ago, an IAEA spokesman said he was confident the WHO figures were correct. And Michael Repacholi, director of the UN Chernobyl forum until 2006, has claimed that even 4,000 eventual deaths could be too high. The main negative health impacts of Chernobyl were not caused by the radiation but by the fear of it, he claimed.

But today Linda Walker, of the UK Chernobyl Children's Project, which funds Belarus and Ukraine orphanages and holidays for affected children, called for a determined effort to learn about the effects of the disaster. "Parents are giving birth to babies with disabilities or genetic disorders … but, as far as we know, no research is being conducted."

See, there is this effect of happy talkers... no need to do any research, radiation is safe, only proved deaths are real deaths and we can't prove very much.... These are all scientists involved in the above studies that put the health effects of Chernobyl between about 60 deaths and millions of cancers. If real scientists can't come to any agreement that's remotely close, I say we don't know enough to trust the technology or the scientists.

The difference between this and rockclimbing is this, In rockclimbing, you risk your own life knowing it's dangerous. With nukes, you risk thousands or millions of lives of OTHERS, while telling them there's virtually no chance of a serious accident. Japan proves otherwise and people need to get their head out of the sand in that.

I'm not calling Rradam any names or saying he's a bad guy, or saying that about any of ya'll. I'm disputing what's been said here. It's obvious that if, before this disaster, we had a discussion about the likelihood of this very event happening, it would have been downplayed, minimized and dismissed. But time will show this plainly, the situation is hell and will cost many mints before it's over.

peace

Karl

hb81

climber
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:48pm PT

unreal...

It just keeps getting worse and worse throughout the video... seems like it wasn't one wave but more like 3 or 4 ones that followed each other.
How you can have the guts to film while all hell breaks loose around you is beyond me.

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 30, 2011 - 08:51pm PT
I am not a nuclear reactor expert. However, I am an expert at cleaning up some of the worst environmental messes that man has ever made. There is not a 5 minute fix to this Nuclear event. It will take weeks before some sort of progress will be made. It is not a TV show where a happy ending will appear in two hours, so break out your popcorn, relax and recognize that there is a lot of help over there. You are not hearing about it because nobody wants to further humiliate the Japanese (through criticizing or taking control) nor do they want to step on their toes after they have already suffered a disaster to their collective psyche. Instead the external help is behind the scenes trying to do as much as possible. Yeah, it may not make for the kind of News you all want, too bad, welcome to reality.

The workers are trying to contain the radioactivity and keep the fuel rods (either spent or in the reactor containment vessel) cool. That is their mission and so far given all the circumstances they seem to have been doing it fairly well. One problem they have at this point is that contaminated water (from cooling) is filling up secondary containment areas, creating issues with the workers as well as the potential for further release into the environment. All types of options are being examined, and there are experts at the DOE National Labs working to develop and explore any options that may be likely to help.

It is fine to worry about this, it is a mess, make no mistake about it. But try and keep it in perspective. In 2008 there were 39,000 deaths due to transportation accidents in the USA.

http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s1103.pdf

Should we all stop driving to climbing areas? Should we drive tanks? Lower the speed limit to 10mph? If the Nuclear Accident in Japan continues on its present course I would bet money that the death rate of it will be insignificant as compared to driving in the US.

Does this mean that the Nuclear Accident is something to forget about it? Absolutely not. But cries of hysteria are based not on an understanding, nor are they based upon science, nor are they based upon the relative risks to human health and the environment. They are based on emotion. Some of you roasted Adam for trying to provide an educated perspective. It reminds me of witch hunters. Fry the person who does not think like you and lets get the crowd in a frenzy so everyone will agree. The days of Rumsfeld? Bush?

Sometimes I am not sure what is more pathetic, a mob response against someone like Adam or the accident itself.


TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 30, 2011 - 09:06pm PT
Amen!
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 30, 2011 - 09:08pm PT
It is fine to worry about this, it is a mess, make no mistake about it. But try and keep it in perspective. In 2008 there were 39,000 deaths due to transportation accidents in the USA.

http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s1103.pdf

Should we all stop driving to climbing areas? Should we drive tanks? Lower the speed limit to 10mph? If the Nuclear Accident in Japan continues on its present course I would bet money that the death rate of it will be insignificant as compared to driving in the US.

Bad analogy.

people get cavities, ban coffee. pfft
klk

Trad climber
cali
Mar 30, 2011 - 09:23pm PT
http://www.npr.org/2011/03/29/134960843/Environmentalist-Monbiot-Supports-Nuclear-Power


read it and weep, hippies!


heh
S.Leeper

Social climber
Ft. Useless, Virginia
Mar 30, 2011 - 09:31pm PT
How you can have the guts to film while all hell breaks loose around you is beyond me.


I was thinking the exact same thing.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Mar 30, 2011 - 10:48pm PT
George Monbiot sees the light and decides Nuclear Energy is the wave of the future...? Make that f*#king idiot fly to Japan and help those floundering TEPCO employees save the melting reactors and see if Mister opinionated feels so warm and glowing about this toxic energy source...rj
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 30, 2011 - 11:02pm PT
MNIM,

why is that a bad analogy?
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 30, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
Golsen

why was mine?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:09am PT
MNIM,

electrical energy is a commodity that everyone on this thread uses. There is an actual benefit for mankind for electrical power. It's easy to debate on the quantity of power each of us uses but frankly, nobody on this thread is "green" otherwise we would save our electrons for something more useful and important to our basic survival than bantering on the internet.

Why is it alright to risk 39,000 deaths per year driving? Where are the outcries? Where is the call to stop driving? I have worked around nerve agents, WMD's, radionuclides, hazardous waste, etc. Always safety has been paramount. The safe thing to do is to stay in bed in the morning and not drive to work. Unfortunately, most of us cannot do that financially. So instead, we drive to work (one of the riskiest tasks of our day) and do not think twice about it.

The point I am trying to make is to weigh the Risk-Benefit analysis on everything in your life. Make an informed decision. If we relied upon the general (uneducated) public, then climbing would be outlawed in National Parks because the typical US citizen and or politician see no good reason to climb and or think it is dangerous because frankly, they are ignorant.

SO I challenge the vociferous No Nuke people on this thread to weigh coal versus Nuclear energy. Yes, renewable's are great, but at this point they will not solve our immediate energy demands. Weigh the impacts to human health and the environment for each. Go to the American Lung Association Web Site and read about emissions from coal fired power plants. If after careful objective analysis you reach an informed decision. Great. Good for you.

But if all you can do is come out against Nuclear energy because you watched CNN and or bought into ill-informed hysteria, then you are only fooling yourself and are a part of the "nuclear witch hunt".

Don't tell me how bad it is in Japan (I totally get how bad it is, probably more than most), tell me about the thousands of people who die each year due to poor air quality. Tell me about the decades of hazardous air pollutants that create most of our electrical power. Tell me how you have weighed Health, Environment, Cost etc. to reach an informed decision with regards to your opinion on the best energy source.

My heart is in this because my entire career has been cleaning up the worst stuff you could imagine. Metal Plating Wastes at the Derewal Site in NJ, Pesticides with organic arsenic compounds contaminating 20 miles of the Vineland River in NJ as it emptied into the Atlantic. Coal Tar Contaminated Sediments in the Chattanooga River, TN. Pestides at KemPest Site, MO. Refinery Waste in UT. The search for biological and chemical agents at Dugway Proving Grounds, UT. The safe destruction of chemical agent WMD's at the Umatilla Chemical Agent Disposal Facility (UMCDF) OR. Now I am at the largest and most complex cleanup site in the world at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation, WA. The cleanup of 53 Million gallons of Highly radioactive waste from the Manhattan project and the cold war. I am the kind of professional who would clean up a place like the mess in Japan.

So long as people blindly follow others to the edge of the cliff we will fall. I don't care if you and I see eye to eye. But I do expect people to make informed decisions. Otherwise, you are part of the problem.

StahlBro

Trad climber
San Diego, CA
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:39am PT
Crazy tsunami footage on NOVA right now.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:43am PT
golsen
You and I a life time apart on solar. I lived in a house for over two years that was all solar. Had all the electricity I needed and the solar setup was junk. A good friend just put a solar setup on 1/3 his house. He averaged 15kwh per day during the shortest Month of the year during one of the wettest winters of late.

3 companies in the Bay Area put out solar farms in less than three years that are putting out 6 Mega Watts. That is three companies that did it not governments, not utilities.

If solar panels were put on every building in the lower half of the US we would have more electricity than we could use.

You do not believe in alternativse because you do not want to. You work with Hazardous materials every day. So if a plant goes bad every once in a while and they fence off a 30 mile radius it's no big deal and people should get over it because that is life.

It is common knowledge that the driving habits of people needs to be changed and the popularity of hybrids and electrics goes to show that people know it. Communities are trying to be more bicycle friendly. Everybody with any sense knows something has to be done.

People will always prefer to live in ignorance or denial because it is easier. Just look at the eating habits of the average person. Look at how many people smoke, or do not exercise.

Saying Nuclear energy is fine and the fact that it kills a few people every once in a while is no big deal, because people die in cars every day? Well that is just nuts.

People do not want to look at new technologies because if they did they might have to change and one things is absolutely undeniable and that is, people do not like to change.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:01am PT
Our societies have a 100 year history of exploiting technology development to centralize money and power and monopolize goods and services. It is time for our societies to grow up; and for individuals to take back control of their lives. The technology to do that is available, but has been suppressed in favor of large corporation monopoly profits; and at the expense of destroying our world.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:56am PT
ut cries of hysteria are based not on an understanding, nor are they based upon science, nor are they based upon the relative risks to human health and the environment. They are based on emotion. Some of you roasted Adam for trying to provide an educated perspective. It reminds me of witch hunters. Fry the person who does not think like you and lets get the crowd in a frenzy so everyone will agree. The days of Rumsfeld? Bush?


Ummm.. so its okay for you to roast those who disagree with Rradam, but is not okay for us to roast him? Roger that..


And because driving is dangerous, we should ignore the dangers of nuclear energy?

I'm hysterical for asking these questions?

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 31, 2011 - 03:02am PT
hey there all, say.... not sure if it was david em??? or not, but someone posted this very ongoing, informative map of japan, and the quakes as they update, and, it will zoom in and show terrain...

here is the link:
http://www.japanquakemap.com/

very nice, i was able to see where my friends were, and the coastline, etc...

thank you for sharing this map...
hope the link is of use to some folks...


god bless...
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 31, 2011 - 08:32am PT
Michio Kaku (well known physicist and popularizer of various science topics) speaking briefly on whats going on in Japan and the worst case scenario.

http://naturalnews.tv/v.asp?v=604AB3FA803FF3647DF6E34EC5E8C8A0
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 31, 2011 - 08:52am PT
John,
no. While ST certainly has its share of roastings, I am merely pointing out that that this energy debate thing must not be emotionally based. If it were then you should go cut some firewood to heat your home.

MNIM, glad you got solar. There is not however, enough land or surface area to feed all of our needs in the USA. I applaud those that do use it though.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 31, 2011 - 09:54am PT
golsen,

I disagree with your assessment that there is not enough land mass. So my friend is generating 15kwh per day on average in the middle of a rainy winter. His panels cover 1/3 of his house. Cover his entire house that triples. How many houses/buildings are in the Greater Bay area? In LA, in Phoenix? In the lower half of the US? Add in a few small solar farms and expand that to the whole country and yes there is enough.

I think there is a need for other sources of electricity but there is not a good reason for Solar to not be the back bone of a good system. In addition Solar is a distributed system so from an emergency or security stand point it is a better solution.

With Wind and hydro thrown in there the need for a dependency on coal and nuclear is significantly reduced.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Mar 31, 2011 - 10:19am PT
As a some what interesting side note my friend with solar is a hard core Republican that hates Liberals and Environmentalists. He got solar because he got tired of paying well over $300 a month in electric bills. When he was getting his quotes he showed everyone that came out his electric bills and said; I want my monthly payment to be less than this.

He has 3 plasma tv's, several computers and turns on all his lights. Runs the heater and in the summer he stated he wanted to be able to run the AC all day. He can now run everything he wants without thinking of his electric bill.

His monthly payments are less and he no longer has an electric bill.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 31, 2011 - 11:56am PT
We absolutely must have nuke power, we have no choice if mankind isn't going to die back to a billion or less.

Now that got my attention. What is your basis for this?
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:01pm PT
Otherwise, the future looks a lot like life as a Apache or Pima Indian 200 years ago. That is, ya'll ain't going to have to worry about your weight any longer, or your dieting.

That was a excellent post there. Well done.
bluering

Trad climber
Santa Clara, CA
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:11pm PT
Rocky, is it possible for you to make concise and coherent point?

Nobody read all yer crap/
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:13pm PT
Rocky, is it possible for you to make concise and coherent point? Nobody read all yer crap/

I just read his post, it was one of his best. What are YOU thinking?!
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:41pm PT
Excellent posts Rokjox!

Gemini, Apollo, Shuttle Astronaut John Young::

"We have to get off this planet and we have to get off fast!"
WBraun

climber
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
This planet can easily sustain 6 billion more.

It's only problem is mismanagement.

This planet is run by idiots in the guise of experts .....
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 31, 2011 - 12:51pm PT
the only knowledgeable people allowed to persist in posting on taco threads are those with a very high tolerance for rude disrespectful foolish responses


it is much more important for each of us to reinforce our own myopic self-destructive world view, than to learn anything new that might help us survive


Werner Braun Mar 31, 2011 - 09:43am PT
This planet can easily sustain 6 billion more.

It's only problem is mismanagement.

This planet is run by idiots in the guise of experts .....

Agreeing with Werner Braun on this.

I've been saying for a long time that we don't have a population problem.

We have a management problem. We don't know how to balance ecological systems or maintain life support systems.

That is why I have devoted my professional career to systems management.

We have much to learn




The management problem can largely be considered to originate from barbaric ethics:

disrespect

dishonesty

selfish greed

rude social manners

myopic levels of awareness

self-serving decision making
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 31, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
There has been an absolute sea change in Japan overnight. The Japanese government is now boasting that Americans, French, and international experts are helping out and Prime Minister Kan is now calling for an international nuclear safety commission to be set up which will study the Fukushima disaster to learn from it and set up new international rules for nuclear safety.

Tepco management is getting more and more blame as some of the workers are starting to speak out about working with not enough food, sleeping on the floor with one blanket, and only the heads of work groups having radiation detection badges because the company ran out. No wonder the government has asked for international help.

Meanwhile, NHK is putting on programs about the tsunami survivors who have now gone from shock and joy at being alive to depression as they contemplate what they have lost and how difficult it will be to replace it. They are still short of everything but psychologists are starting to counsel people in the evacuation centers and are describing many people with PTSD.

U.S. military television in Japan is beginning to report more on the relief work done and tonight they showed the U.S. Marines arriving in remote islands off the coast in amphibious landing carriers full of supplies as the harbors have been destroyed and normal boats can't dock there. And finally, two of the handfull of undamaged fishing boats went out from Sendai today for the first time and caught fish "to raise everyone's spirits". Their catch was distributed in the evacuation centers.

Today was the first hopeful day since this began. Realism has set in for both good and bad. Without realism however, nothing can be accomplished.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 31, 2011 - 01:06pm PT
I agree with both Werner and Tom.

One of the things a person learns from living in Asia is just how many people the world can support if they cooperate with each other. We don't need half the amount of space or material goods to be happy that people in North America think we do.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 31, 2011 - 01:16pm PT
Some truth . . .


Full meltdown in full swing? Japan maximum nuclear alert
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x568223
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MognnB0g56Y
http://www.llrc.org/indexpage.htm
http://www.euradcom.org/




There is enough resources/energy for everyone on Earth with a plethora left over, as well as off of Earth. It is the haves vs. have nots. Their point of view is they don't want you to succeed. They don't want you and me here on Earth. They want it all for themselves. The rich powerful elite are beyond evil and full of greed. Everyday in the news we get a face full and eye full of it. Verification of this truth occurs day after day.


"Vengence is mine" says the Lord.

Their day is coming. I don't have to lift a finger. I need to concern myself with, and abide by, The Greatest Commandment and GOD will take care of the rest. GOD will take care of them.

"I will destroy those who destroy the Earth."

I don't have to worry about it. They will get their due. Karma happens.




The New American Dream
By William Rivers Pitt
t r u t h o u t | Op-Ed
Tuesday 29 March 2011
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=439x768063
http://www.truth-out.org/the-new-american-dream68847

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:14pm PT
i appreciate a lot of the information you post; even if it is not all well qualified

however i have a basic disagreement with this sort of rational:


Their day is coming. I don't have to lift a finger. I need to concern myself with, and abide by, The Greatest Commandment and GOD will take care of the rest. GOD will take care of them.

we are all entitled to our own religious beliefs, however nutty they may appear to others

however this comment uses religious beliefs to assign all responsibilities to some assumed omniscient diety; as a mechanism for shirking personal responsibilities for improving the world
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:18pm PT
Aerial video of the tsunami wave that hit Japan

http://freevideocoding.com/flvplayer.swf?file=http://flash.vx.roo.com/streamingVX/63056/1458/20110311_japan_wave_successions_sky_1000k.mp4&autostart=true
philo

Trad climber
Somewhere halfway over the rainbow
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:20pm PT
Word!
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 31, 2011 - 02:57pm PT
Risk assessment and earthquake protection is headed for another massive round of upgrading.

Realitation.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Mar 31, 2011 - 03:03pm PT
There is enough resources/energy for everyone on Earth with a plethora left over, as well as off of Earth. It is the haves vs. have nots. Their point of view is they don't want you to succeed. They don't want you and me here on Earth. They want it all for themselves. The rich powerful elite are beyond evil and full of greed. Everyday in the news we get a face full and eye full of it. Verification of this truth occurs day after day.


"Vengence is mine" says the Lord.

Their day is coming. I don't have to lift a finger. I need to concern myself with, and abide by, The Greatest Commandment and GOD will take care of the rest. GOD will take care of them.

"I will destroy those who destroy the Earth."

I don't have to worry about it. They will get their due. Karma happens.



we are all entitled to our own religious beliefs, however nutty they may appear to others

however this comment uses religious beliefs to assign all responsibilities to some assumed omniscient diety; as a mechanism for shirking personal responsibilities for improving the world



TC,


You do realize I was referring to vengence on the corrupt powerful elite of the World who have put us into this mess, right?

We do bear personal responsibility. And it is our responsibility to be the best stewards of the Earth and the natural resources given to us, and to care for the Earth. And there is more than enough resources/energy to go around for everyone with excess. That is not in dispute.

What I was referring to was taking personal vengence out on them. That is not our responsibility. We aren't supposed to hate and warmonger. Vengence is GOD's, as the Good Book says. And yes he will take care of that. We aren't supposed to worry ourselves with vengence, hate, and war.

And if we (mankind) didn't worry about that so much (hate, vengence, and war), the World would be a more peaceful place, and half the World's problems would be solved.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 31, 2011 - 03:14pm PT
hey there say, DMT.. thank you kindly for the picture of tokyo and for the info...

i have been very much afraid for the folks in tokyo, and the coast, there, as i sometimes get the thoughts that this is due to happen again, in year? years to come... :(

i wish the people could have some answers for this time... the earth is moving, and has been, but it's proved to more intense these last years...

once again, thank you for sharing...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 31, 2011 - 04:23pm PT
The last quake and tsunami of this size occurred 1,200 years ago in almost the same area so it's doubtful one this size will happen anytime soon.

Ironically a Japanese professor had just spent the past two years traveling up and down the coast warning people that his geological studies showed that the Soga earthquake and tsunami in 800 A.D. had reached miles inland and that many of their tsunami shelters would be inundated if another one of that size happened again.

He especially implored them to relocate the schools. Of course no one listened and now the schools he said were in danger are missing all of their pupils and teachers.

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 31, 2011 - 04:30pm PT
hey there say, jan.... oh my... say, thanks so much for the latest share of yours...

:)
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Mar 31, 2011 - 04:47pm PT
Tokyo Electric had previously announced plans to spray a water and synthetic resin mix around the complex to envelop radioactive particles, so they can't spread any further. Still, persistent rain and wind on Thursday forced authorities to postpone the start of that effort.

The Japanese utility and the government have gotten new help from beyond its borders.

On Wednesday, a 155-person Intial Response Force comprised of Marines from Naval Support Facility Indian Head, Maryland, was directed to deploy to Yokota, Japan, according to Defense Department spokeswoman Leslie Hull-Ryde.

The force "is specifically trained in areas of chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear and high yield explosion operations," she said. "... the IRF can provide capabilities for monitoring support for agent detection and identification; casualty search, rescue, and personnel decontamination; and emergency medical care and stabilization of contaminated personnel." The Marines will arrive in Japan as early as Friday, she said.

A French nuclear group, Areva, has sent five specialists who are experts in treating contaminated water, the group said Wednesday.

Klimmer "And if we (mankind) didn't worry about that so much (hate, vengence, and war), the World would be a more peaceful place, and half the World's problems would be solved". 99% of your Elite's or people that run the systems you criticize are your own people: Christians, maybe you should change religions.

And Fatty what is Israel doing, only thing I think of is Mossad trying to collect information to Japan's 2010 deal with Iran for 5 Nuke plants which I am sure is off the table for the time being on both sides or could be that they are collecting the dangerous spent fuel to put into small containers so they can put under the back seats of their many enemies auto’s so they get cancer in the ass. But you would know that since this technique has been done long time ago and two things their enemy looks for just like our guys: checking for bombs under them with mirrors, dogs and handheld devices and anything radioactive before they get into their cars.

Tom and Golson good points and Werner correct on mismanagement.






.
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Mar 31, 2011 - 04:52pm PT
I think Klimmer posted this above, but in case you missed it, good and unfortunately depressing video; interview with European Nuclear Safety scientist.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x568223


It seems the Pollyanna (everything is just fine)crowd is slowly disappearing from the discussion. Hiding in shame I suppose.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Mar 31, 2011 - 05:02pm PT
Another perspective, FWIW.
Nuclear testing 1945-1998


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9U8CZAKSsNA



High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Mar 31, 2011 - 05:32pm PT
Rockermike,
It seems the Pollyanna (everything is just fine)crowd is slowly disappearing from the discussion. Hiding in shame I suppose.

I'm surprised at you.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 31, 2011 - 07:57pm PT
It has been 20 years since I had radiation safety training. But I work at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation so I feel somewhat compelled to comment.

If you read the last link I put up they mention twice the news black out among the workers, but the article also slips in some "matter of fact" statements about plutonium pockets inside the plant that is slowing them down??This is something that has not been reported beyond the initial finding that there were small amounts of some plutonium found in the soil, with at least some of it coming from the plant.

There are very few isotopes of Plutonium that give off gamma radiation. It is an Alpha emitter and therefore if you wear a properly outfitted respirator, HEPA cartridge, follow basic techniques then Plutonium will most likely not prevent workers from performing their duties. That is not to say that there may not be other radiation concerns.

See the link from the EPA

http://www.epa.gov/rpdweb00/radionuclides/plutonium.html



Health Effects of Plutonium
How can plutonium affect people's health?
External exposure to plutonium poses very little health risk, since plutonium isotopes emit alpha radiation, and almost no beta or gamma radiation. In contrast, internal exposure to plutonium is an extremely serious health hazard. It generally stays in the body for decades, exposing organs and tissues to radiation, and increasing the risk of cancer. Plutonium is also a toxic metal, and may cause damage to the kidneys.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Mar 31, 2011 - 08:55pm PT
Putzmeister to the rescue!



http://chronicle.augusta.com/latest-news/2011-03-31/srs-concrete-pump-heading-japan-nuclear-site

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 31, 2011 - 09:38pm PT
TGT, I could not get your link to work. Sounds like they are getting ready for Concrete?
Gene

climber
Mar 31, 2011 - 09:47pm PT
From the cited article:

Initially, the pump from Savannah River Site, and another 70-meter Putzmeister now at a construction site in California, will be used to pump water—and later will be used to move concrete.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Mar 31, 2011 - 10:00pm PT
Hi Riley,

you have had some good points concerning the reports of how the workers are being treated. I have no clue as to how things are done in Japan, but as you are aware, the price of proper Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) is insignificant when dealing with either nasty disease, radiation or chemicals. So I would not be surprised to hear that there were many issues with protecting the workers. If this were in the states, the workers would be protected to the fullest extent.

That does not address the potential for contamination to spread, and hopefully, the help that the Japanese is receiving includes running some models which would predict radiation levels to the general population (I am reasonably certain this is being done for the Japanese and us).

I have done a little research and do not have any idea of the extent of contamination around the plant. However, Plutonium seems to have a fairly strong affinity for soil. In the short term this will prevent the spread of contamination but could end up with increased costs if remediation is required.

No matter how you look at it this is an ugly event for human health and the environment.

However, after cleaning up lots of bad places, I wonder if it would have been any better if it had been a huge coal fly ash lagoon. That stuff would have been sent out to sea and nobody even thinking about it.

Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Mar 31, 2011 - 11:06pm PT
Golsen,
I am going thru my safety training right now at Hanford. It always impresses me the extent that these company's go thru to keep their workers safe. Just all the different types of respirators and how to use them is a class by itself. All the best stuff. Oh yea, if you don't pass every test with a 80% score you are gone the same day. Serious stuff for sure. The radiation protection classes are really hard and a lot of people don't make it. I've probably done 20 outages and I still get freaked out that I might fail one. I feel safe working at our plants.
Roger
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Mar 31, 2011 - 11:37pm PT
DMT: Thanks for the "big wall" analogy.

If you use the right gear, if you follow protocol and if you execute your tasks carefully and without mistake... every time, you can be safe in an otherwise deadly environment.

It is great that "Acts of God" like rockfall, lightning strikes, earthquakes, & Tsunamis never happen to properly prepared big wall climbers or nuclear plant workers.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 1, 2011 - 12:19am PT
Thanks Riley.

I think I got a feel for what you do to and there will be good karma coming your way. Proper training, remembering that there are no short cuts when it comes to safety helps to keep it in perspective. My boss at the plant that destroyed cold war era munitions filled with nerve agent had an excellent perspective. I remember telling him that we would miss an important milestone and be late on some weapons destruction. He looked at me and said, "when we are rid of these weapons and we have done so safely 10 years from now, the people of Oregon won't care that it took longer than planned. They will just be glad that we did so safely." This is the type of public servant that you want to have looking after such a dangerous process. In other words, the most important thing on our agenda was safety of the workforce and by protecting them we had already protected the surrounding communities. That is a lesson that I use in my current job.

Roger,
I hope that your work on the outage at the Nuke Reactor plant goes well. Stay safe, and remember that if you feel in danger, stop and let people know.

Nuclear workers are protected by PAAA. If you still feel like you are in danger then email me. I have lots of experience in persuading management to do the right thing.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 1, 2011 - 12:54am PT
Rokjox,

saying that we should use Nuclear Reactors because the manufacturing process for Solar causes pollution is crazy talk. Think about it. Uh, Nuclear waste is just a wee bit more toxic and the last time someone broke a solar panel we just broke out the broom and recycled the glass.

golsen,

My Uncle worked at Hanford for about 15 years. I have heard a few stories about that place. Nothing about it inspires confidence, that is why they put a locked fence around it.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:08am PT
I'd like to recommend the the link posted by cintune on atomic testing.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9U8CZAKSsNA

It is most instructive to see how much fall out we have all been exposed to in the past 55 years. It's really hard to justify why that much further testing was needed for such already lethal weaponry.

It's also instructive that of the first five bits of plutonium found at Fukushima, three of them were determined to be from nuclear testing, and not the reactor itself. Of course that ratio has changed now I'm sure.

Speaking of which, when I was doing a lot of meditation and my senses were more highly attuned, I was on my futon on the floor here in Okinawa one night back in 1985, and felt what I knew was a nuclear blast. I had felt earthquakes before, but this was a much more sustained roaring rumbling feeling coming through the ground with vibrations but no shaking like an earthquake and went on for over 5 minutes.

Later I mentioned it to some students and one of them who worked in Navy intel later pulled me aside and told me it was definitely not an earthquake I felt, but he couldn't say more than that. I looked in the papers and nothing was ever mentioned, so I figured it could not have been the Americans, Russians or Chinese involved anywhere in the neighborhood or they would have been accusing each other.

I surmised the French or maybe the Israelis had tested in the Pacific and since water carries sound more efficiently than land, that's why I could feel it on this tiny island. After watching cintune's link, I noted that there was indeed heavy testing going on in the western Pacific during that period of time.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:30am PT
It seems more likely to have been the French, although perhaps they let the Israelis test at their site. A mid-Pacific atmospheric atomic test in the mid 1980s seems improbably conspicuous for Israel.

Israel likely detonated its first atomic bomb in the uninhabited South Shetland Islands in late 1979, in the far South Atlantic, but they've surely set off a few more since.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 1, 2011 - 01:58pm PT
Cryos, the God of Cold Fusion.

Cryos help us in our time of need.

The problem is, not enough people believe in Cryos. So it's understandable if he doesn't what to give us cold fusion.

It might still work. Pray to Cryos. What do you have to lose?
WBraun

climber
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:03pm PT
None of your prayers will be answered.

You've all disrespected material nature for 100's of years and and still are doing so today ......
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:05pm PT
Where do you think all the electricity; NEW electricity for all the pretty little electric cars is going to come from? TRILLIONS of watts of new electricity?

Rokjox has a point that many are missing. Kind of a conundrum here. If you think electrical cars are the ticket for reducing greenhouse gases, then building more coal fired powerplants kind of defeats the purpose.


EDIT:

Werner, change you've to we've and I agree with you buddy.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
New York, NY
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:16pm PT
"If this were in the states, the workers would be protected to the fullest extent."

Like happened in the World Trade Center buildings on 9/11/01?

When the S#!t hits the fan in a way never really anticipated, the forces scramble.

The workers on 9/11 went in without protection of any kind in some instances. Plenty exposed have sickened and died in this last decade.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 1, 2011 - 02:28pm PT
Happie,

different situations. Different hazards. While the Nuclear plant is terribly crippled if not nearly out and out destroyed, the workers are wearing PPE over there now and their exposures is even being reported in the media....Not sure I get your point.

By the way, I was trying to respond to the Plutonium find. Since it is an Alpha Emitter, then if you dont breathe or eat it, then you will be safe. We have the technology to prevent that for trained workers. If there was a large scale release with the wind going towards Tokyo then you obviously have a different situation.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 1, 2011 - 11:16pm PT
Woohoo!

Dog found in the ocean floating on debris 3 weeks after the Disaster!

http://www.mediaite.com/tv/japanese-dog-found-alive-floating-on-debris-3-weeks-after-earthquake-disaster/
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 1, 2011 - 11:34pm PT
unmanned drone flies over Fukushima reactors. Captures clear pics of
the damage.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1372589/First-clear-pictures-true-devastation-Fukushima-nuclear-plant-Japan-flies-unmanned-drone-stricken-reactor.html
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 01:26am PT
They did squat to protect my Uncle when he worked at Hanford. That is in the USA. The standards are the same.

I am familiar with the Semi Conductor industry. It is bad, but nothing close to the Nuclear Industry.

What your saying about Solar is completely off base. Again, a personal friend, solar installation, an electric car and an electric truck. They produce more than they use. They charge their vehicles daily. Their solar installation is 7 years old.

Talked to my other buddy today. Told him about this discussion and he corrected me. His installation covers 1/6th of his house. If his entire house was covered even on the worst day he would produce double what he uses and he's a power hog.

EDIT: he produced 25khw today.

The bottom line is, Solar will never work for you because you do not want it.

EOM
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 2, 2011 - 02:20am PT
Those plants look pretty jacked in those drone images CC. I don't know how there can be any talk of restoring the cooling systems and now there's stress about all the water they pump in there because it leaks out contaminated. What to do?

Not a happy problem

Peace

Karl
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Apr 2, 2011 - 11:04am PT
The aerial photos, in the link Cornice Chopper shared, show how difficult any work at the Fukushima reactors will be.


golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 2, 2011 - 12:48pm PT

Fukushima Daiichi
A U.S. Navy barge containing freshwater to cool the reactors and used fuel pools at the Daiichi site has been towed to the pier. It will be connected to the pumps with hoses.

Meanwhile, injection of freshwater continues at reactors 1-3 and workers continue to spray freshwater on the used fuel pools for reactors 1-4.

TEPCO is evaluating the use of a synthetic resin that would be sprayed over debris at the site to prevent the spread of radioactive dust.

Additional equipment, including the biggest concrete pump in the world, is being provided by U.S. companies. The pump’s 70-meter boom can be controlled remotely. It has been in use at the Savannah River Site, helping build a U.S. government mixed oxide nuclear fuel plant. Concrete pumps are already in use at the site to assist with spraying water into the used fuel pools.

My hypotheses is that the spent fuel pools are leaking but who knows? Apparently there is containment (like a concrete pool) capturing much of that water that they are filling up but all of the contaminated water should be captured and fed to large storage tanks.

Since this is an emergency situation I hope that they are thinking ahead to lessen the disaster in terms of wastewater management. I don't think that they will have enough capacity to capture all the water unless they start treating it rapidly. There are skid mounted units which can filter the water which will undoubtedly capture some of the radiochemicals (solid phases). This is really tricky here, because if this is extremely radioactive, they don't have the time to set up an emergency treatment system because it would have to be designed for hands off or no maintenance. If there are lots of radioactive solids then those filters which require changing will concentrate the radioactive material. If they had been thinking ahead then they will know this and there are some potential mitigation strategies they can use.

Knowing the water chemistry and the phase of the radioactive material is key to what comes next. Some radiochemicals may be in the liquid phase and may beremoved via ion exchange (think your home water softener). Again, the rad will be concentrated into the resin so this must be factored into how to maintain the unit.

Simply by filtering and ion exchange, they could remove most of the radioactive elements from the water (big assumption without seeing the actual analysis of water chemistry). The simple, quick and dirty system I described will most likely let the radioactive iodine through. If I were them I would let it through as the half-life is very small. In the time they have, it will be very difficult to design and build a system to remove everything.

A simple system above won't meet the USA's clean water act but its a damn site better than letting the untreated water leak into the environment while everyone masterdebates the issues.

They will be keeping these things cool for weeks or months and treating the water is much easier if you don't crap the system up so bad (rad talk for make it so radioactive) as to make it non-maintainable. I guess you can just replace the whole skid, that is an option too.

The article above describes some sort of chemical fixant which would immobilize particulate onto some surface. This seems a viable option, but I would definitely be thinking about the water and the impacts of the fixant on water treatment as they are using mass quantities and generating a lot of contaminated water.

Lastly, the pumper truck they are getting from the Savannah River site can be used to deliver concrete,( while the operators are up to 1 mile away). They will try and ascertain whether they have the nuclear fuel sufficiently cool prior to any dumping of concrete. Further, they will be looking at the existing concrete foundation, potentially make some blind dumps to contain and shield the fuel so that eventually workers can get closer so as to properly cocoon the thing with large concrete structural walls and roof. Or at least that's what I would be thinking.

When it is all over with there will be cocooned reactors there at least for our eternity. Then you can think of them as monuments to man's stupidity, monuments to how a plant that was 40 years old prevented a totally catastrophic nuclear release, or even a monument to the workers. It all depends upon how you view things.


EDIT: Just saw this....Confirmed my suspicions with regards to water management.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/03/world/asia/03japan.html
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 02:08pm PT
Then you can think of them as monuments to man's stupidity, monuments to how a plant that was 40 years old prevented a totally catastrophic nuclear release

To late for that.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 02:12pm PT
“Today we found highly irradiated water in the pit where the electricity cables are contained,” Nishiyama said at a news conference. “It seems that there is a crack on the side of the concrete wall of the pit. Some water is spilling out of the crack to the sea.”

There are other leaks they have not found.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 2, 2011 - 03:58pm PT
Minute traces of plutonium are found in nature, especially plutonium-239 and 244....Pu-239 found in uranium ores from spontaneous fission of U-238, which emits free neutrons that are absorbed by other U-238 nuclei, becoming U-239 which decays to neptunium-239 which, in turn, decays to plutonium 239.

...also plutonium produced by the natural bombardment of uranium ores with cosmic rays.

Most "man made" plutonium released into the environment settles near the source...(plutonium atoms are heavy). Elemental plutonium is not H2O soluble but can bond with organic substances in water.

When I worked at the Idaho National Lab, health physicists spoke of an incident, decades ago, in which an engineer was discovered with a vial of plutonium in a drawer of his desk. Since Pu is a low gamma emitter it wasn't hazardous while contained in the vial. But had the vial broken and gotten into food or ingested in someone's cream and coffee... it would have been deadly.

Fotunately, the vial was detected by sensitive instruments during a routine rad survey of the building. The engineer was fired (and he may have faced legal indictment)


In the cold war era, fuel handling and storage were less scrutinized and secure. When I worked there, recently, all aspects of fuel treatment and administration were monitored by a sizable force of security guards.

Anders wrote:

"Israel likely detonated its first atomic bomb in the uninhabited South Shetland Islands in late 1979, in the far South Atlantic, but they've surely set off a few more since."

All humans...animals... have trace amounts of plutonium in their bodies...both from natural sources and human genesis... ie, the 500+ atmospheric and underwater bomb tests in 20th century.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 05:19pm PT
Just recently in the Chinese News (yes I read it daily) there was an incident where I man found a piece of metal the size of a lighter rummaging through a dump. He got sick and died within two weeks. Within a Month his brother and son died. His wifes child was born with life threatening birth defects.

Around 20 people were affected before it was traced down and stored safely. It was plutonium.

Those that say Plutonium is safe are not telling the whole story.

“They don’t want to go there,” said Robert Alvarez, a nuclear expert who, from 1993 to 1999, was a policy adviser to the secretary of energy. “The spin is all about reassurance.”

It found core temperatures in the reactors soaring as high as 2,250 degrees Celsius, or more than 4,000 degrees Fahrenheit — hot enough to liquefy many reactor metals.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 2, 2011 - 05:29pm PT
MNIM,

if you get it inside of you it can kill. I think that everyone has said that. However, it is an alpha particle emitter. The alpha radiation will not go through paper or your skin. I posted some links to it already from the EPA site. If you are not careful, don't wash your hands, etc, then you can inadvertently ingest or inhale it and then it can be deadly. Not sure about two weeks though unless you ingest a lot! IT is not some type of magical poison. The effects are very well documented.

mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 05:47pm PT
It may have been a Month. He's dead.

I am sure his wife does not care if he died in two weeks or four.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 2, 2011 - 07:30pm PT
Japan's damaged nuclear plant in Fukushima has been emitting radioactive iodine and caesium at levels approaching those seen in the aftermath of the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Austrian researchers have used a worldwide network of radiation detectors – designed to spot clandestine nuclear bomb tests – to show that iodine-131 is being released at daily levels 73 per cent of those seen after the 1986 disaster. The daily amount of caesium-137 released from Fukushima Daiichi is around 60 per cent of the amount released from Chernobyl.

"This is not surprising," says Wotawa. "When the fuel is damaged there is no reason for the volatile elements not to escape," and the measured caesium and iodine are in the right ratios for the fuel used by the Fukushima Daiichi reactors. Also, the Fukushima plant has around 1760 tonnes of fresh and used nuclear fuel on site, and an unknown amount has been damaged. The Chernobyl reactor had only 180 tonnes.

Moreover the human body absorbs iodine and caesium readily. "Essentially all the iodine or caesium inhaled or swallowed crosses into the blood," says Keith Baverstock, former head of radiation protection for the World Health Organization's European office, who has studied Chernobyl's health effects.

Iodine is rapidly absorbed by the thyroid, and leaves only as it decays radioactively, with a half-life of eight days. Caesium is absorbed by muscles, where its half-life of 30 years means that it remains until it is excreted by the body. It takes between 10 and 100 days to excrete half of what has been consumed.

While in the body the isotopes' radioactive emissions can do significant damage, mainly to DNA. Children who ingest iodine-131 can develop thyroid cancer 10 or more years later; adults seem relatively resistant. A study published in the US last week found that iodine-131 from Chernobyl is still causing new cases of thyroid cancer to appear at an undiminished rate in the most heavily affected regions of Ukraine, Belarus and Russia.

Caesium-137 lingers in the environment because of its long half-life. Researchers are divided over how much damage environmental exposure to low doses has done since Chernobyl. Some researchers think it could still cause thousands of new cases of cancer across Europe.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 3, 2011 - 02:48am PT
The bad news from NHK:

An advisor to the prime minister has pledged an all-out effort to contain the leakage of radioactive substances from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power complex within a few months.

The first deaths at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant itself, though, were confirmed Sunday by the operator. A 21-year-old and a 24-year-old were believed to be conducting regular checks at the complex when the 9.0-magnitude earthquake hit March 11.


And the good news:

A search of the site found no other leaks Sunday.


And the hopeful news:

Next, they plan to inject polymer into a pipe that connects the pit to the rest of the system. Polymer can absorb enormous amounts of water and expands 50 times its original size.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 3, 2011 - 05:19am PT
Just recently in the Chinese News (yes I read it daily) there was an incident where I man found a piece of metal the size of a lighter rummaging through a dump. He got sick and died within two weeks. Within a Month his brother and son died. His wifes child was born with life threatening birth defects.

Around 20 people were affected before it was traced down and stored safely.


Not so long ago..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goi%C3%A2nia_accident
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 3, 2011 - 12:32pm PT
NHK is estimating 27,000+ people have been killed.

45,500 buildings have been destroyed and 190,000 damaged.

They believe that it will take 4 years to clear away all of the debris.

In one village the inhabitants were so sure that the 35 ft. tsunami wall that had taken two decades to build was impregnable, that when the tsunami warning went off, many people ran to the top of the wall expecting to be safe and were the first ones swept away.

I think now they have given up on modern technology being able to deal with nature. The Prime Minister has proposed today that the government buy the land under the destroyed property and move the residents to higher ground.
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Apr 4, 2011 - 05:46am PT
Looks like the radioactive water will be dumbed into the pacific....


http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/04/04/japan.nuclear.reactors/index.html?hpt=T1

Gene

climber
Apr 4, 2011 - 02:29pm PT
TEPCO is dumping 3,000,000 gallons of low-toxicity water into the ocean in order to free up storage for more toxic water accumulating at the plant. I hope there's a good plan for the more toxic goop once the storage tanks are filled.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 4, 2011 - 02:51pm PT
I hate being right on this issue. I wrote two days ago about the need for treating the water. I hope that they are working on a means of treating the "more" contaminated" stuff or they will end up dumping that as well. What the press should be reporting is what is in the water in terms of the radioactive elements, what sampling is being done, etc. It does make a difference.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 4, 2011 - 09:33pm PT
A few pics that give a bit more close up feel for the devastation.

Not much left but foundation slabs.

http://www.af.mil/photos/slideshow.asp?id={EF5D0178-BD06-4EF5-A0D1-97E6740B6211}

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Apr 4, 2011 - 10:06pm PT
hey there say, jan... thank you again, for your info that you've gleaned...

i did not understand or know much about the size of the tsunamie wall...

take care, and thanks again..
:)
Gary

climber
Desolation Basin, Calif.
Apr 4, 2011 - 10:30pm PT
I hate to interrupt this parade of negativity, but...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kG8wZjKEnNQ
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 4, 2011 - 11:12pm PT
I hate being right on this issue. I wrote two days ago about the need for treating the water. I hope that they are working on a means of treating the "more" contaminated" stuff or they will end up dumping that as well. What the press should be reporting is what is in the water in terms of the radioactive elements, what sampling is being done, etc. It does make a difference.

I have to think that they just don't have the means and time to treat millions of gallons of water (when they don't have treatment solutions ready to go anyway) in any time frame that frees up the storage space for the even worse water they need to store.

So in the ocean it goes. All a part of what Fubar situation do when you're in check and checkmate could be around the next corner

peace

Karl
WBraun

climber
Apr 4, 2011 - 11:16pm PT
OH

But the ocean is the great reservoir of mercy which swallows all our mistakes, purifies them and sends them back as clean rain so we may wash more mistakes.

In this case hopefully ..... ?????
WBraun

climber
Apr 4, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
This is exactly what I/we envision was happening when the first info was shown how this monster got away and was breached.

Then all the nuke experts came here and gave us the spiel how we're all paranoid and have fear.

No ... not that.

Just reasonable understanding that nukes will eventually find a way to get loose on us and screw us.

We are forced to make mistakes.

WE are not in full control.

We are subordinate.

And we've become arrogant thinking otherwise.

Material nature will always keep teaching us a lesson until we submit to her.

The lab coats are rascals .....
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 4, 2011 - 11:57pm PT
WE are not in full control.

We are subordinate.

And we've become arrogant thinking otherwise.

Material nature will always keep teaching us a lesson until we submit to her.

The lab coats are rascals ....

Wise words.
----


I have already read it is in the ground water. Not the core, but radiation.

Most of what I have read they have been stating for a while that it will be Months before it is contained.

What I really found amazing was that it took TEPCO over two weeks to state that a least 3 of the reactors would never come back online. I figured that was obvious after they blew up.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Apr 4, 2011 - 11:59pm PT
Werner: Re your quote:
The lab coats are rascals .....


Yep!

But they believe they think they are doing good, by "calming folks down."




On the bright side: I have lived through 60 years of "oops moments", from the "nuclear folks."

I live 90 miles west of the INL: which started up in the 1950's and has had multiple accidents with radioactive releases. More importantly: they have polluted a huge aquifer with radioactive materials. My well water comes from that aquifer. The INL is also the "temporary storage site" for most all the nuclear power plant waste from the U.S.

I live downwind from the Hanford site, and have been impacted by their "oops moments" since the 1950's.

Lastly: the bomb testing in Nevada in the 1950's produced fallout that occasionally drifted north. Historical records show that South Idaho got some of that bomb fallout.

I'm pissed off, but still alive.



Why don't I trust the apologists?


golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 5, 2011 - 12:42am PT
Guys,
I dont have time tonite to try and gauge the seriousness of this. I am also in no way saying that this is not seriousness; however, the media saying that radioactive water is spilling into the ocean is very similar to meeting some climbers you don't know tell you the climb is hard. It could be 5.3 or 5.13. In other words without some analytical results ew don't know. The media may not know and they probably dont care as long as they sell their story.

What they need to be doing two weeks ago was planning for treating the nasty stuff to remove most of that nsaty prior to discharge into the ocean.

Werner, sometime I will share here the story of a "labcoat" then you can decide yourself if they are all bad.

cheers.

mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 5, 2011 - 02:46am PT
They are not all bad, they create the technology others decide how to use it. I am sure you have read the accounts of those who created the technology and what went through their heads.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 5, 2011 - 02:55am PT
Some good news!

The little dog who floated out at sea for 3 weeks on the roof of his house, has been recognized on television by his owner. The owner who is living in a shelter, is on his way to pick him up.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 5, 2011 - 03:04am PT
What amazes me is how people are so stridently against solar and even more stridently for Nuclear. The are ardent in how it will not work and yet every person that I know that has solar ends up producing more than they use. None of them have installations that cover even half of their structures. They are constantly impressed at the ROI and the technology is just getting better and better.

Those against solar complain about how dirty it is yet the alternatives are even worse. Chernobyl and Fukushima have already produced more pollutants that the manufacturing if solar has or will in the near future. Once on the roof it just does not explode.

The Ocean is big, it is not infinite and as we are so often reminded, it is a small world.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 5, 2011 - 03:04am PT
They have already been reunited.

mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 5, 2011 - 03:11am PT
Plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. said Tuesday that samples taken from seawater near one of the reactors contained 7.5 million times the legal limit for radioactive iodine on April 2. Two days later, that figure dropped to 5 million.

The Indonesian Government is now planning to build four nuclear reactors on Bangka Island - near a volatile fault line - by 2022 to boost the nation's energy supplies.

Of course no immediate threat. Like when you jump off a bridge. No immediate threat. It is what happens after the immediate moment that should get people to slow down for a bit to think things through.
hb81

climber
Apr 5, 2011 - 07:25am PT
Of course no immediate threat.

These "x-times of the legal limit" kind of figures are really starting to p*ss me off. What is the legal limit anyway? Just tell us some hard figures instead of confusing everyone.
Or the "lightly" contamined water they are relasing... what is in there and how much of it?

Either they don't know themselves or they do know and don't want to tell the public.

Gene

climber
Apr 5, 2011 - 01:13pm PT
This article is worth reading. Scary.
The problems continue to pile up at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant, creating an unprecedented hazardous environment for the under-equipped front-line workers trying to bring the situation under control.

But given the potential widespread damage from the crisis, officials acknowledge that labor safety is not the top priority anymore.

"Under circumstances where there is no end to new problems faced, we cannot deny that the company is depending on the spirit of the workers," an executive of Tokyo Electric Power Co., the plant operator, said. "Unless we are able to both secure workers' safety while settling the nuclear accident, TEPCO will in the end face very serious criticism."

http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201104040147.html
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 5, 2011 - 01:49pm PT
March 31, 2011
Radioactive Iodine-131 in rainwater sample near San Francisco is 18,100% above federal drinking water standard
via Energy News
http://enenews.com/radioactive-iodine-131-in-rainwater-sample-near-san-francisco-is-18100-above-federal-drinking-water-standard

UCB Rain Water Sampling Results, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Nuclear Engineering:
http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/RainWaterSampling

http://www.picassodreams.com/picasso_dreams/2011/03/radioactive-iodine-131-in-rainwater-sample-near-san-francisco-is-18100-above-federal-drinking-water-.html





graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Apr 5, 2011 - 02:02pm PT
is very similar to meeting some climbers you don't know tell you the climb is hard. It could be 5.3 or 5.13. In other words without some analytical results ew don't know.

It's more similar to someone telling you this who you know lies and always downplays how hard it is. So you don't know how hard it is, only that its a lot harder than he wants you to realize.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Apr 5, 2011 - 02:38pm PT
I am of the opinion that this ends Japans fishing. Thats it japan you no longer get to plunder the sea for all its worth you now get to eat whats left on your coast.

You will pay the sea back with no fishing and not until the tuna and the rest of the fish stocks you have decimated are returned to levels of sustainability will you and your boats be allowed back into the sea.

Not sure how you figure this silver.
The japanese have been pulling in harvests from the seven seas.
Their absolute favorite fish comes from the north Atlantic.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 5, 2011 - 02:40pm PT
I think he means that it should end, not that it will end.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 5, 2011 - 04:39pm PT
It's not just the Japanese fishermen.

Recreational Salmon fishing season opened here in Monterey Bay this past weekend. The big parking lot by the launch ramp was jam-packed with an all night party starting Friday evening with live bands; with boats by the hundreds going out an hour before first light on Saturday morning. It was like a D-day invasion for fish.

The favorite offshore fishing areas looked like a horizon-to-horizon city of fishing boats. Every move by the CA Fish and Game boats was discussed on the open VHF Channel 11; along with the news of what everyone was catching; tracking the moves of the big party boats; and chasing 'radio fish'.

The Harbor Master complained that the crowd was only one quarter of what it used to be back before the fish were nearly wiped out and fishing seasons were eliminated or severely limited.

The recreational take is a small fraction of the take by commercial fishing boats.

Not sure if there will be a commercial salmon fishing season. The California commercial salmon fishery will not open prior to May 1, 2011 and the 2011 season structure will be decided at the Pacific Fishery Management Council meeting in San Mateo, California on April 9-13.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 5, 2011 - 10:37pm PT
The document also suggests that fragments or particles of nuclear fuel from spent fuel pools above the reactors were blown “up to one mile from the units,” and that pieces of highly radioactive material fell between two units and had to be “bulldozed over,” presumably to protect workers at the site. The ejection of nuclear material, which may have occurred during one of the earlier hydrogen explosions, may indicate more extensive damage to the extremely radioactive pools than previously disclosed.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 5, 2011 - 11:10pm PT
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/06/world/asia/06nuclear.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

U.S. Sees Array of New Threats at Japan’s Nuclear Plant
By JAMES GLANZ and WILLIAM J. BROAD
Published: April 5, 2011
United States government engineers sent to help with the crisis in Japan are warning that the troubled nuclear plant there is facing a wide array of fresh threats that could persist indefinitely, and that in some cases are expected to increase as a result of the very measures being taken to keep the plant stable, according to a confidential assessment prepared by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

Among the new threats that were cited in the assessment, dated March 26, are the mounting stresses placed on the containment structures as they fill with radioactive cooling water, making them more vulnerable to rupture in one of the aftershocks rattling the site after the earthquake and tsunami of March 11. The document also cites the possibility of explosions inside the containment structures due to the release of hydrogen and oxygen from seawater pumped into the reactors, and offers new details on how semimolten fuel rods and salt buildup are impeding the flow of fresh water meant to cool the nuclear cores.
David A. Lochbaum, a nuclear engineer who worked on the kinds of General Electric reactors used in Japan and now directs the nuclear safety project at the Union of Concerned Scientists, said that the welter of problems revealed in the document at three separate reactors made a successful outcome even more uncertain.

“I thought they were, not out of the woods, but at least at the edge of the woods,” said Mr. Lochbaum, who was not involved in preparing the document. “This paints a very different picture, and suggests that things are a lot worse. They could still have more damage in a big way if some of these things don’t work out for them.”

The steps recommended by the nuclear commission include injecting nitrogen, an inert gas, into the containment structures in an attempt to purge them of hydrogen and oxygen, which could combine to produce explosions. The document also recommends that engineers continue adding boron to cooling water to help prevent the cores from restarting the nuclear reaction, a process known as criticality.

Even so, the engineers who prepared the document do not believe that a resumption of criticality is an immediate likelihood, Neil Wilmshurst, vice president of the nuclear sector at the Electric Power Research Institute, said when contacted about the document. “I have seen no data to suggest that there is criticality ongoing,” said Mr. Wilmshurst, who was involved in the assessment.

The document was prepared for the commission’s Reactor Safety Team, which is assisting the Japanese government and the Tokyo Electric Power Company, which owns the plant. It says it is based on the “most recent available data” from numerous Japanese and American organizations, including the electric power company, the Japan Atomic Industrial Forum, the United States Department of Energy, General Electric and the Electric Power Research Institute, an independent, nonprofit group.

The assessment provides graphic new detail on the conditions of the damaged cores in reactors 1, 2 and 3. Because slumping fuel and salt from seawater that had been used as a coolant is probably blocking circulation pathways, the water flow in No. 1 “is severely restricted and likely blocked.” Inside the core itself, “there is likely no water level,” the assessment says, adding that as a result, “it is difficult to determine how much cooling is getting to the fuel.” Similar problems exist in No. 2 and No. 3, although the blockage is probably less severe, the assessment says.

Some of the salt may have been washed away in the past week with the switch from seawater to fresh water cooling, nuclear experts said.

A rise in the water level of the containment structures has often been depicted as a possible way to immerse and cool the fuel. The assessment, however, warns that “when flooding containment, consider the implications of water weight on seismic capability of containment.”

Experts in nuclear plant design say that this warning refers to the enormous stress put on the containment structures by the rising water. The more water in the structures, the more easily a large aftershock could rupture one of them.

Margaret Harding, a former reactor designer for General Electric, warned of aftershocks and said, “If I were in the Japanese’s shoes, I’d be very reluctant to have tons and tons of water sitting in a containment whose structural integrity hasn’t been checked since the earthquake.”

...Nuclear engineers have warned in recent days that the pools outside the containment buildings that hold spent fuel rods could pose an even greater danger than the melted reactor cores. The pools, which sit atop the reactor buildings and are meant to keep spent fuel submerged in water, have lost their cooling systems.

The N.R.C. report suggests that the fuel pool of the No. 4 reactor suffered a hydrogen explosion early in the Japanese crisis and could have shed much radioactive material into the environment, what it calls “a major source term release.”

Experts worry about the fuel pools because explosions have torn away their roofs and exposed their radioactive contents. By contrast, reactors have strong containment vessels that stand a better chance of bottling up radiation from a meltdown of the fuel in the reactor core.

“Even the best juggler in the world can get too many balls up in the air,” Mr. Lochbaum said of the multiplicity of problems at the plant. “They’ve got a lot of nasty things to negotiate in the future, and one missed step could make the situation much, much worse.”
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 5, 2011 - 11:22pm PT
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2011-04-05-japan-radiation_N.htm

EPA: Traces of radiation in Boise water
By Oren Dorell, USA TODAY

New data from the Environmental Protection Agency shows radioactive iodine detected in drinking water of Boise and Richland, Wash., according to radiation monitoring ordered since problems erupted at Japan's Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant.

both towns are home for me and my family
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 5, 2011 - 11:35pm PT
A rise in the water level of the containment structures has often been depicted as a possible way to immerse and cool the fuel. The assessment, however, warns that “when flooding containment, consider the implications of water weight on seismic capability of containment.”

Experts in nuclear plant design say that this warning refers to the enormous stress put on the containment structures by the rising water. The more water in the structures, the more easily a large aftershock could rupture one of them.

This is an interesting analysis. First and foremost, it is Engineering 101 that when designing any type of column, vessel, containment, that the structural integrity is maintained when filled with the design liquid. So what they are saying is that if the containment vessels are full, and if another earthquake/aftershock occurs, then the containment vessels are subject to increased stress. No sh#t. Unfortunately, the press is twisting basic engineering into fear. Is the situation bad? Damn right, there are enough problems to worry about without bad press that only serves to sell the news. I have worked with PR folks on both sides of the fence and they always have an agenda. Unfortunately, fair and accurate reporting is not number 1 because it does not sell the news.

There are lots of things to worry about, but be sensible about who or what you listen too.

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 5, 2011 - 11:47pm PT
Unfortunately Riley, under our current economic climate a vote for no nukes (which is fine if that's how you feel) is a vote for coal fired power plants, which is simply less dramatic in it's harm to human health and the environment.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:40am PT
So what they are saying is that if the containment vessels are full, and if another earthquake/aftershock occurs, then the containment vessels are subject to increased stress. No sh#t. Unfortunately, the press is twisting basic engineering into fear. Is the situation bad? Damn right, there are enough problems to worry about without bad press that only serves to sell the news

Except a couple of the containment vessels have been compromised so they may no longer sustain the stresses they were built to withstand.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:37am PT
One of the comments on that NYTimes article. Let me know where you think he gets this wrong

"In the whole history of nuclear plants there have been three core melt downs... one in France, one in the Ukraine, and one in Pennsylvania.

Now, we have three more happening simultaneously in Japan. Alongside those three melt downs in progress (@ 5000 degrees F) they also offloaded core rods at reactor four into the spent fuel storage pond... which unfortunately had it's side wall torn off by that huge hydrogen explosion (weeks ago) and is therefore the 4th melt down happening at that one plant.

Chernobyl was one core meltdown. Chernobyl was also shut down with control rods in the water. Chernobyl was a couple hundred pounds of fuel. All in all, expect this to kick out way more radiation over time, than Chernobyl. You've got roughly a hundred tons of spent fuel in each of those storage ponds that are all vulnerable... sitting in close proximity and above the cores that are melting down those old GE mach one (cheap) core containment at #1, #2, and #3.

Added bonus; they just started running MOX fuel in reactor #3... that's plutonium from soviet nukes, they've got multiple bogies on their screen. That 2.75 million gallons of 100x contaminated water was just more of the same they've been dumping all along. Meanwhile that 100 thousand x contaminated water which came from the containment "tub" at core 2 is leaking into the ocean also, that's why they have no time to waste pumping it out of there; that and you have to know that #2 is in full meltdown which means it will burn it's own way through containment and the water would follow.

Chernobyl was the ultimate bad ending for a couple hundred pounds of uranium fuel... meanwhile what is happening at an old plant that should have been closed in February just before the tsunami... is four cores with thousands of pounds of uranium, some plutonium, and spent fuel rods amounting to hundreds of tons in jeopardy, especially in reactor four where the core is in there with them and the pool has lost its water from 45 feet of coverage down to around 5 feet of coverage.

Anyone who thinks they have that plant "under control" is delusional."

Seems to me that there's two basic ways this can go, pumping water into the damaged units to cool them, something that will have to be done for a LONG TIME, and inevitably results in thousands of tons of Radioactive water that can only be dumped in the pacific, or the units melt down to the groundwater (cause their containment vessels are compromised) and then they explode and it gets real ugly. The pool has lots of fuel and no containment vessel. Is there any not-screwed scenario where this gets under control eventually with utter jacking the environment?

Peace

Karl
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:52am PT
you can rough it out at
Chernobyl
150 tons
and
Fukushima
1,500 tons
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:54am PT
Fubar
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:57am PT
I'm with Karl. The western "work and spend consumer society" party is over. Cancer deaths world-wide will continue to rise. Your and my offspring and loved ones will suffer. Wars for "safe energy" will escalate. The "haves" will kill the "have-nots" with increasing abandon, to try to hang on to yesterday's dream. Its a downward spiral from here on out.

Personally I think our only hope now is for Klimmer's UFOs to come in with some spaceage radiation cleanup techniques. ha I hear there have been UFO sightings over Japan.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:59am PT
One thing that comes to mind about us silly humans

We have all these nuclear powered warships bristling with weapons that are designed to blow the crap out of, among other things, other nuclear powered warships.

Somehow I doubt they've engineered these reactors to truly resist the stress of being hit with the world's best weapons and then sinking to unimaginable pressures at the bottom of the ocean. Fortunately, we've settled on only going to war with the poorest and weakest nations on the planet but what happens if, say, the Iranians were to get lucky with their soviet missiles during a confrontation like Cheney and Fatty wanted to have over...hmmm, Irans nuclear program... and blew the crap out of a nuclear warship?

Peace

karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:02am PT
Not that I'm a total pessimist. I think something beautiful may be blossoming in this world. It's just that this blossoming brings tremendous growing pains with it, witness the middle east.

The bug wraps itself in it's own funk, sleeps for a few months and comes out after an epic struggle with wet wings but eventually flies away beautiful.

Peace

Karl
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:19am PT
"In the whole history of nuclear plants there have been three core melt downs... one in France, one in the Ukraine, and one in Pennsylvania.”


The SL-1 Army reactor west of Idaho Falls, ID went into meltdown after an operator caused criticality in Jan of 1961. Three were killed by the steam explosion or possibly by the neutron flux.

Substantially smaller than Chernobyl and Three Mile Island reactors…it was a prototype power reactor for Army bases in the arctic.

Historically, not one of the more significant reactor accidents…but certainly not a red herring.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:20am PT
The western "work and spend consumer society" party is over.... Your and my offspring and loved ones will suffer. Wars for "safe energy" will escalate. The "haves" will kill the "have-nots" with increasing abandon, to try to hang on to yesterday's dream. Its a downward spiral from here on out.

Seems about right.


I think something beautiful may be blossoming in this world. It's just that this blossoming brings tremendous growing pains with it.

The bug wraps itself in it's own funk, sleeps for a few months and comes out after an epic struggle with wet wings but eventually flies away beautiful.

Nicely put.

.....

Growing pains with every turn of the wheel of life. Sad, yes. But there was no other way for the Great Mother to do it.

In THAT understanding one can take refuge, sanctuary.
WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:23am PT
All us rascals will be reborn over and over to suffer this sh'it!

There's no escape.

Unless .......
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:25am PT
Yes.

It's simply called... ecological savvy.

Ecological savvy in how the world works and how life works.

Goodnight, mortals.
WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:32am PT
Yeah it's all over.

We fuked up the world.

Sorry kids, it's all our fault.

It happen the minute we put on the lab coat.

But it was grand while it lasted.

Rolls eyes .....
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:20am PT
Just trying to call the spades spades as there's a lot of happy talk with little basis going on via the vested interests.

Check out this recent video where a former nuke executive analyzes images of what's happening with one spent fuel pool. The fuel is exposed completely.

http://vimeo.com/21789121

The longer we get happy talk that has no chance of coming true, the longer we don't truly prepare and plan based on reality

More recently, evidence that Unit one has periodic criticality chain reactions ongoing

http://vimeo.com/21881702

peace

Karl
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Apr 6, 2011 - 04:19am PT
Yeah it's all over.


whats all over, exactly? The world will move on and while these events are serious, they will not change much in the long run. You're making sensationalistic exaggerations based on your unique view of reality, which is extremely short sighted. Yet that doesn't stop you from making stupid assertions.

and you live in a world created by "lab coats" so its pretty hypocritical to condemn them while enjoying the world and its conveniences. Do you use lightbulbs? ride in airplanes? ever driven a car?
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 07:27am PT
Isn'r rhar like saying if you've ever clipped a bolt, it's hypocritical to speak out on any issue of climbing ethics?

Peace

Karl
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Apr 6, 2011 - 08:31am PT
Amazing vimeo videos of Arnie Gundersen. Thanks Karl.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:24pm PT
This happy talk is a figment of your imagination. There are however, people not quite ready to lay down and die. People who maintain optimism in the face of adversity. Don't shoot them for their positive attitudes.

DMT

Nuclear happy talk is well documented and already refuted. I've been reading up on Chernobyl and the happy talk that the people involved got. Evacuated residents were told they would come back in three days, they never came back.

When people are continually reassured "This level of contamination poses no immediate threat to human health" the happy talkers know that it will be received as "Don't worry, it's cool" when the real literal meaning is often "It takes years to develop cancer"

In Belarus and the Ukraine, the thyroid cancer spikes came many years later but in mass. So many years later, the happy talk government was able to deny benefits to affected people because how can you prove it, so far down the line, even if the cancer spikes happen to coincidence with the fallout zones rather well.

So why shoot the messenger? If a climber radios down from 28,000 feet that a storm in coming in in 4 hours, that he has no Oxygen and lost his crampons, we don't say, not to worry, he is in fine health and in no immediate danger. We assess if something can be done and what the risks of action and inaction are.

Peace

Karl
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:37pm PT
If you want to read something really depressing here's Greenpeace's list of
of nuclear accidents:

http://archive.greenpeace.org/comms/nukes/chernob/rep02.html

It is strangely arranged by the month it happened, not by year.


Here's a better list:
http://www.atomicarchive.com/Reports/Japan/Accidents.shtml
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:37pm PT
It's only natural for the geriatric group - the graybeards - the 50 and 60 somethings - to be more philosophic if not pessimistic about the ways of the world, the human condition, and all of life's predicaments they perceive. -For their days are almost up and they're acutely aware of it. Also they're acutely aware how the party - the Great Circle of Life - is going to go on without them. Sucky I know.

You've noticed, kids are hardly bothered by such concerns. All that matters to them is sex and adventure and sex and adventure and sex... beyond the fact that their carousel light is not flashing red. -Like that old guy's at supertopo. ;)
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:41pm PT
Isn'r rhar like saying if you've ever clipped a bolt, it's hypocritical to speak out on any issue of climbing ethics?

Great idea. Anyone who has ever clipped a bolt is not allowed to complain, chop, or otherwise denigrate any bolt.

I like it.
WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
Your days are not up HFCS.

99.9999999999% of everyone will be reborn continually into this sh'it!

I don't care what you think but I guarantee you will be reborn in your next life also into this sh'it.



WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 12:54pm PT
Locker

You're a pretty decent good human being and it's a good bet you'll come back in a human body.

But it all depends on the consciousness one develops in this life and karma .....

But the goal is not to come back into the material world.

Escape .....
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:05pm PT
You will never transcend as long as you think of it as "escaping". Escaping implies forced suffering. You weren't forced to come here. Your higher self chose to come here. The way out is to figure out why and what is to be gained. Then seek that. Trying to escape means you are trying to override what your higher self wants for you.

Personally, I think my higher self is an idiot for choosing to come here and I would like to kick my higher self's ass. Then send it down here for a weekend cruise.

But that thinking is why I am doomed. haha.. oh well.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:22pm PT
From NHK:

March 11 quake moves seabed 24 meters off Miyagi

The Japan Coast Guard says the seabed right above the seismic focus of the powerful earthquake on March 11th moved 24 meters to the east off Miyagi Prefecture in northeastern Japan.

After the magnitude 9.0 quake, the coast guard analyzed data on its benchmarks, which had been set on the seabed at a depth of more than 1,000 meters.

They found that one benchmark 120 kilometers east of the Oshika peninsula had moved about 24 meters to the east-southeast and rose 3 meters.

Another point 70 kilometers east of the peninsula was found to have moved 15 meters east-southeast and sank 60 centimeters.

The same point moved 10 centimeters after a magnitude 7.2 earthquake 6 years ago.

But they say such a large shift caused by the latest earthquake is unprecedented.

The coast guard will report its findings to a government panel on earthquake research next week in hopes that the data will help clarify the movement of the fault that caused the March 11th earthquake.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/06_31.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:24pm PT
Also from NHK:

US marines finish clean-up on remote island

US Marines finished clearing debris on a remote Japanese island off disaster-hit Miyagi prefecture on Wednesday.

The operation involving about 300 marines and heavy construction machinery started last Friday on Oshima Island. The March 11th tsunami left huge amounts of debris in its wake, including ships.

The Marines say they cleared about 2,000 tons of debris in 5 days.



On Wednesday, marine officers visited islanders and reported that the clean-up has finished. They offered encouragement to residents, and said they believe the Tohoku region will recover from the great damage.

Islanders said they are grateful to the marines for coming to help them when they are helpless in the aftermath of the unprecedented disaster.

The residents gave the marines a painting that showed the island before the disaster, as a token of gratitude.

US forces plan to begin work to survey whether ships and other debris are submerged in the seas surrounding the island.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/06_26.html
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:31pm PT
All these recent posts alluding to "happy talk" reminded me of Sam Harris. He mentioned "happy talk" recently in a discussion on the afterlife.

Perhaps he had Karl or Werner in mind when he said this:

"I think, therefore, that this concept of the afterlife really functions as a substitute for wisdom. For really absorbing our predicament. Which is that everyone is going to die. There are circumstances that are catastrophically unfair, evil sometimes wins, and injustice sometimes wins. The only justice we're going to find in this world is the justice we make, and I think we have an ethical responsibility to absorb this really down to the soles of our feet. This notion of afterlife and the "happy talk" about how it's all going to work out and how it's all part of God's plan is a way of shirking that responsibility. So that's where I am."

Sam Harris
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:31pm PT
So UC Berkeley has monitored rainwater 181 times the drinking water standard in Iodine.

http://www.businessinsider.com/san-francisco-rainwater-radiation-181-times-above-us-drinking-water-standard-2011-4

But at the UC Berkeley site, here

http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/RainWaterSampling

They make a point of downplaying any risk of that radiation by saying this:

"For example, in the rain water we collected in 18 hours between March 17 and March 18 we observe an activity of the isotope of I-131 (Iodine-131) of 4.26 Bq/l. At this level, you would need to drink 632 liters of this rain water to obtain the same radiation effects you obtain on a round-trip flight between San Francisco and Washington D.C. Therefore, the increase in radiation levels in the rain water due to the events in Japan remain extremely small."

But this seem like a very disingenuous comparison, particularly coming from nuclear engineers who hopefully know there's a huge difference between ingesting ionizing radiation that will be stored in a gland, and external sources. as explained here:

http://www.businessinsider.com/why-radiation-and-contamination-is-like-comparing-apples-and-oranges-2011-4

"Why does it make no sense to compare in-flight radiation exposure and ingesting radioactive isotopes? It is wrong to compare internal emitters with external emitters (i.e, ingesting radioactive isotopes versus in-flight exposure or background radiation). It is like comparing warming oneself near a fire versus eating a red hot coal....

Radiation and contamination are not the same thing. Taking a flight will expose one to cosmic radiation not radioactive contamination. When radioactive isotopes enter into water, crops, milk that leads to radioactive contamination. Contamination occurs when material that contains radioactive isotopes is no longer contained. It is important to remember that radiation cannot spread or get "in" or "on" people; rather it is radioactive contamination that can do precisely that. Here lies the essential difference between the two.......

Ionising Radiation

If humans ingest radioactive elements, those "hot coals" stay with us. Particularly nasty radioactive elements include radioactive iodine. Radioactive iodine is also readily absorbed by the body and becomes incorporated within it, and is therefore difficult to eliminate from the body. The radiation it emits can cause cancer over a period of time.
Fast moving photons (gamma rays), electrons (beta rays) and helium nuclei (alpha particles) can crash into other molecules and change their structure. Beta particles may ionise molecules they hit, damaging DNA in cells, and disrupting their normal activities. If this happens to a DNA molecule, the damage is caused to the genetic information, and this may turn the cell cancerous.
Ionising radiation has the power to break molecular bonds in living tissue causing damage, even in small doses, it can cause cancer in humans and other living beings"

Now cows consume contaminated water and grass and concentrate it in the milk and we drink it. Perhaps it's all still safe. I'm still drinking the milk. But note that hardly any news sources carried this story. How are we going to gauge when there's a problem if the happy talkers don't raise any flags but rather use false comparisons to downplay the risk?

After all, federal drinking water standard may be low but there has to be some rational with them and 181 times the standard seems significant? If that is comparable to only 1/632 of the dose we get flying across the country, maybe planes need radiation shielding eh?

Peace

Karl

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 01:54pm PT
I'll tell you what's catastrophically messed up - wisdom is a pain in the ass and ignorance is bliss and there's no way to straighten this out.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:06pm PT
Karl - you don't have this quite right.
Radiation and contamination are not the same thing. Taking a flight will expose one to cosmic radiation not radioactive contamination. When radioactive isotopes enter into water, crops, milk that leads to radioactive contamination. Contamination occurs when material that contains radioactive isotopes is no longer contained. It is important to remember that radiation cannot spread or get "in" or "on" people; rather it is radioactive contamination that can do precisely that. Here lies the essential difference between the two.......

This is all about the biological effects of ionizing radiation -- high-energy photons like gamma rays and x-rays or energetic particles like neutrons, "beta" radiation (electrons) and alpha particles (very commonly released when these heavy isotopes decay). So to say "cosmic radiation is not radioactive contamination" is not right. Cosmic rays (photos or particles) fly through your body all the time, and more per second per surface area do so if you are in a plane at 35000 ft than if you are at sea level. If they fly through your body, you never know. If they interact with an atom or molecule in your body and the energy is absorbed and damages the cell you have been irradiated. Swallow some radioactive iodine and the same statements are true. The iodine decays, ionizing particles or photons are emitted and they either fly through your body and have no effect or their energy is absorbed and a cell is damaged.

At this level, you would need to drink 632 liters of this rain water to obtain the same radiation effects you obtain on a round-trip flight between San Francisco and Washington D.C.

Whether this is disingenuous only depends on how carefully the language was considered. "the same radiation effects" would suggest that the calculation has been done to take the type of radiation, the absorption cross section of the human body to that radiation and the amount of radiation into account in making the statement.

Stated another way, they imply that they took the radiation density (the "bq" unit) and the properties of the human body for absorption of the particular radiation in either internally- contained Iodine or in the external radiation field at 35000 ft and converted into radiation does (the "rad" or "sv" unit) and calculated the same dose.

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:09pm PT
Would some of you like some sugar and cream to go with your depression or you guys just like it straight?
WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:35pm PT
No one is depressed.

We are all happy .....
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:48pm PT
I'm happy!

The thing your explanation fails to emphasize Mike, and it's important, is that if you fly across the country, that radiation goes right through your body for a short time but that radiation stops going right through your body once you descend to the ground that is protected more by the atmosphere.

If you ingest radioactive Iodine, it lodges itself in your thyroid gland where, at very, very close range, it irradiates the very same cells intensely, over and over, until the source decays. This sort of radiation doesn't penetrate very far but is very harmful and intense to the body's cells. That causes cancer.

PS Here's video of a guy finding radiation in Missouri rainwater

http://pissinontheroses.blogspot.com/2011/03/video-radioactive-rain-and.html

Peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 02:55pm PT
I find it interesting that people get upset and offended when somebody tries to sort out the facts of a situation which has negative implications. It's like they are doing something wrong.

I experienced the same backlash when trying to explain the phenomena of Peak Oil a few years back. (The Saudis were still claiming they could provide 25$ a barrel oil for decades..more happy talk) Lots of people lined up to deny it but it was the emotion that they were determined not to believe and blame the messenger that showed me that this is a part of human nature...denial.

Any of you out there still want to deny that we are approaching a point where oil production is peaking and will gradually diminish over time?

Of course, problems with Nuclear and the fact Oil is becoming scarcer are dovetailing dilemmas as electricity from Nukes could help us mitigate loss of petrol availability in parts of the transportation sector. We have a difficult squeeze chimney to negotiate.

Ps. In fact, I'm one of the happiest people I know and I know great people. It's sort of like climbing, just because I know a climb is going to have hard or grueling sections doesn't necessarily bum me out

Peace

Karl
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:08pm PT
REM: "ITEOTWAWKI and I feel fine"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0GFRcFm-aY



It's not the end yet. But it does get depressing thinking about it. Many things have to occur in a very specific order and then an end of this age of man comes to a close, and a new one begins. The Earth doesn't end, its "The Millenium" 1000 years of peace. I can't wait.

But right now we have an incredible amount of work ahead of us to take care of things and to clean up the mess we made of things. It will get worse before it gets better, unfortunately. You can blame man's stubbornness, greed, and contemptuous hate of GOD. All of these problems are our own. We had to do it our way didn't we? Have we learned our lesson yet? Probably not.



Edit:

By the way, I am happy in my soul, but I am also constantly concerned and watching. Jesus said to watch and be ready, but to help and stay busy also doing what must be done. I try to be. I do what I can do.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:14pm PT
So Werner,.. does Charlie Sheen really have tiger's blood?
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:18pm PT
This notion of afterlife and the "happy talk" about how it's all going to work out and how it's all part of God's plan is a way of shirking that responsibility. So that's where I am."

Errr.. just so you know. Karl, myself and Werner do not believe that "it will all work out", as though we have to do nothing. We believe in reincarnation, and thus if we don't do anything in this lifetime, then we will be coming back to this world. And if the world keeps spiraling down, then things could get a lot worse. We would rather try to face it in this lifetime, rather then try to put it off.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:24pm PT
from http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/05_38.html

updated at 17:23 UTC, Apr. 06

Plant radiation monitor says levels immeasurable

A radiation monitor at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant says workers there are exposed to immeasurable levels of radiation.

The monitor told NHK that no one can enter the plant's No. 1 through 3 reactor buildings because radiation levels are so high that monitoring devices have been rendered useless. He said even levels outside the buildings exceed 100 millisieverts in some places.

Pools and streams of water contaminated by high-level radiation are being found throughout the facility.

The monitor said he takes measurements as soon as he finds water, because he can't determine whether it's contaminated just by looking at it. He said he's very worried about the safety of workers there.
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:28pm PT
Any of you out there still want to deny that we are approaching a point where oil production is peaking and will gradually diminish over time?

Karl already knows this. But FYI: Worldwide, it peaked LAST decade. We're NOW into the descent already. "Pray" that it is (a) gradual and managed (like getting "lowered off" to use a climbing metaphor) and not (b) catastrophic and bloodletting (like in a big leader fall after runout) with deep cratering impacts everywhere.

But keep this to yourself. Don't share this info with the public for goodness sake.
"We certainly don't want to spook the markets."

.....

EDIT

re: bold-faced government lies

What, is a bold-faced government lie ANY WORSE than a bold-faced Abrahamic or Buddhist lie?

For christsake, where do you think the politicans and bureaucrats learn to tell their feelgood lies because it's okay, righteous? ANSWER: Church or Mosque or Synagogue. Duh, Losing. I mean, Winning.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Apr 6, 2011 - 03:46pm PT
Karl - I agree, but all this stuff is well defined. Integrated dosage flying for an hour in a plane or ingesting an amount of radioactive material, dose rate, radiation density without considering the biological cross-sections--all this stuff is easy to calculate or measure. Everyone just needs to be talking about the same thing using a common language. So, I still don't know how carefully this sentence was considered and crafted:

"At this level, you would need to drink 632 liters of this rain water to obtain the same radiation effects you obtain on a round-trip flight between San Francisco and Washington D.C."

If "radiation effects" means integrated dose, then don't worry. If those folks who made the comparison don't know the difference between rates and integrated totals then look at this more carefully. But you can't really claim "disingenuousness" unless you know more than the rest of us.

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 04:02pm PT
Mike, the data would be right there for us to calculate (ie, it would be easy to find out the radiation for such a flight and compare it with the radiation in that rainwater)

But supertopo is already sucking too much time. I think it already speaks volumes that the rainwater was 181 times the federal standard for drinking water and yet the feds don't mandate any extra radiation shielding on planes to my knowledge.

Those forms of radiation just aren't comparable.

Peace

Karl
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 6, 2011 - 05:05pm PT
Thought I would just "cheer it up" around here . . .

When you are in the trenches looking up, from that point on everything looks better and can't be any worse right? . . .


History Channel: “Prophets of Doom”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gi53kq4vzY


Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maslow's_hierarchy_of_needs








(All kidding aside, it will get worse, but one day it will get better also. We have miles to go and things to do to help make things right.)
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 6, 2011 - 06:20pm PT
Solar panel installations may surge in the next two years as the cost of generating electricity from the sun rivals coal-fueled plants, industry executives and analysts said.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-05/solar-energy-costs-may-already-rival-coal-spurring-installation-boom.html
monolith

climber
Berkeley, CA
Apr 6, 2011 - 06:31pm PT
Comparing different things like rainwater vs flying can be very useful in explaining the situation to the laymen. It's ok to be critical of the comparison as long as one knows all the factors that went into the comparison.

Planes can't be shielded due to weight issues so the ICRP and the FAA have set the limits for flight crew to 2,000 mrem per year.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Apr 6, 2011 - 06:48pm PT
As of 4/6/2011

The Japanese government is considering strengthening oversight of the nuclear industry by separating the regulatory agency from the ministry in charge of promoting nuclear power. The Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, which is part of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, has been criticized for being too cozy with companies it is supposed to police.

Last week Prime Minister Naoto Kan said he would consider whether and how to remove the conflict of interest. This could include moving the regulatory body under control of the cabinet and merging it with an advisory group, according to a report Wednesday in the Mainichi Shimbun newspaper.

Hmmmm! Sounds like on how Japan’s solving this crisis: they are learning or taking lessons from us.

What is happening in Washington with the way the Republicans think and act, we would all be dead.
lostinshanghai

Social climber
someplace
Apr 6, 2011 - 07:11pm PT
www.nukepills.com/dirty-bomb-emergency-kit.htm

You can also buy on line from Amazon but they say Quote:

"Currently unavailable.
We don't know when or if this item will be back in stock."
Gary

climber
Desolation Basin, Calif.
Apr 6, 2011 - 07:15pm PT
Oh, crap. I'm going for a hike.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 6, 2011 - 07:34pm PT
Ask yourself the same about rrrAdam.

DMT

I don't remember shooting a rrrAdam, but having a discussion where we have differences of opinion about how to interpret risk, priority, and benefit levels implied by data and events.

peace

Karl
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 6, 2011 - 09:04pm PT
suspecting rrrAdam had his chain jerked by mgmt
Port

Trad climber
San Diego
Apr 6, 2011 - 10:00pm PT
suspecting rrrAdam had his chain jerked by mgmt

No, he got tired of repeating himself to a brick wall that wont listen.
WBraun

climber
Apr 6, 2011 - 10:04pm PT
No ...

He tried to deceive us with fancy words.

We're too smart for those lab coats ......
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 6, 2011 - 11:10pm PT
There is a significant difference between ingesting radiation and standing in the sun or getting an xray.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Apr 7, 2011 - 12:51am PT
Here's a story for rrrAdam. I'd like to read his response on this.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-japan-water-20110407,0,2011011.story

...."There is nothing like this, on this scale, that we have ever attempted to do before," says Robert Alvarez, a former assistant secretary of the U.S. Energy Department.

Japanese officials estimate that they already have accumulated about 15 million gallons of highly radioactive water. Hundreds of thousands of gallons are being added every day as the plant's operator, the Tokyo Electric Power Co., continues to feed coolant into the leaky structures.

Ultimately, the high-level radioactive substances in the water will have to be safely stored, processed and solidified, a job that experts say will almost certainly have to be handled on a specially designed industrial complex. The process of cleaning up the water could take many years, even decades, to complete. The cost could run into the tens of billions of dollars.

Victor Gilinsky, a former member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and longtime advisor on nuclear waste, said the problems facing Japan are greater than even the most highly contaminated nuclear weapons site in the U.S., the Hanford Nuclear Reservation in Washington state.....
WBraun

climber
Apr 7, 2011 - 02:09am PT
These are the best photos yet of the Fukushima complex.

http://cryptome.org/eyeball/daiichi-npp/daiichi-photos.htm

http://cryptome.org/eyeball/daiichi-npp4/daiichi-photos4.htm

http://cryptome.org/eyeball/daiichi-npp3/daiichi-photos3.htm

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 7, 2011 - 03:40am PT
it looks like rrrAdam went back and deleted some of his posts on this thread

(posted at 12:26...looks like the ST clock is off)
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 08:06am PT
I agree Karl; peace. I like your answers, reasonable and calm as always. I appreciate your views even when I might not (yet) agree with them.

I always appreciate you too Dingus. So glad you're here and you look pretty hot in your avatar picture too!

;-)
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Apr 7, 2011 - 11:09am PT
Reports just now of a 7.4 earthquake near the east coast of Honshu, Japan at 7:34am Pacific time. Tsunami warning.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/
Gene

climber
Apr 7, 2011 - 11:12am PT
http://wwitv.com/tv_channels/6810.htm will take you to live NHK English coverage of the 7.4 quake at 11:32pm local time or 7:32 am PST.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 7, 2011 - 11:41am PT
Speaking of human folly and over reliance on technology, I came across a fascinating article today on the existence of large upright stones, some as much as 600 years old, all up and down the east coast of Japan. Their purpose is to warn of tsunami and not to build in low areas.

One is placed on a hillside with the warning that people should not build below that line as a tsunami came that high. In fact it marks pretty much where the current waters reached. The people of one little village only heeded the warning and built their houses on the hill above the stone. School children in that area are taught about the stones so they are widespread knowledge in the region.

However, since land is scarce in Japan, the temptation to build on the flat land next to the water is great and people were lulled into a false sense of safety by 35 foot tsunami walls. Sadly, most of the schools where information on the stones is taught were located on the flat lands next to the sea and were among the places devastated.

One can of course wonder if these tablets are so well known, how it is a past president of Tepco could say that the threat from a tsunami never entered management's mind during his tenure there?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110406/ap_on_re_as/as_japan_earthquake_warnings_in_stone
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Apr 7, 2011 - 01:34pm PT
hey there say, all...

i just saw there a new earthquake in japan, about 49 min... ago...

but i see you posted as to that...

here is the link:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110407/ap_on_re_as/as_japan_earthquake

hard stuff :( whewww... :(
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 7, 2011 - 03:56pm PT

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/07/idUS69567724820110407
Google has invested €3.5 million (roughly $5 million) in a German 18.7-megawatt solar power plant in a small town near Berlin.

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2011/04/ge-building-biggest-solar-panel-factory-in-usa-400mw-year-thin-film.php
GE to Build the Biggest Solar Panel Factory in US (400 Megawatts per Year)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-07/ge-expects-600-million-investment-in-solar-technology.html
In solar, for every point in efficiency, Abate sees a 10 percent reduction in cost.

http://www.gizmag.com/solar-thermal-cell/18346/
Researchers at Wake Forest University have developed a new type of polymer solar-thermal device that combines photovoltaics with a system that captures the Sun's infrared radiation to generate heating. By taking advantage of both heat and light, researchers say the device could deliver up to 40 percent savings on the cost of heating, as well as helping reduce power bills by producing electricity.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 03:56pm PT
it looks like rrrAdam went back and deleted some of his posts on this thread

Ironic, because it seems TEPCO has deleted public data from it's website that the Fairwinds guy used as evidence that a re-criticality was occurring at the plant.

For details, hear this update

http://vimeo.com/22062314

Natually, the NRC and Nuclear industry understands that public perception of this event, however it turns out, will deeply affect if nuclear is an accepted energy source in the foreseeable future. Honesty and transparency can not be expected from vested interest whose whole existence is at state. Listen to the hypocrisy identified in the minute of the update posted, behind closed doors they call it perhaps the worst disaster of our times, in public...Happy Talk

Peace

Karl

golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 7, 2011 - 04:40pm PT
Here's a story for rrrAdam. I'd like to read his response on this.


...."There is nothing like this, on this scale, that we have ever attempted to do before," says Robert Alvarez, a former assistant secretary of the U.S. Energy Department.

Japanese officials estimate that they already have accumulated about 15 million gallons of highly radioactive water. Hundreds of thousands of gallons are being added every day as the plant's operator, the Tokyo Electric Power Co., continues to feed coolant into the leaky structures.

Ultimately, the high-level radioactive substances in the water will have to be safely stored, processed and solidified, a job that experts say will almost certainly have to be handled on a specially designed industrial complex. The process of cleaning up the water could take many years, even decades, to complete. The cost could run into the tens of billions of dollars.

Victor Gilinsky, a former member of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and longtime advisor on nuclear waste, said the problems facing Japan are greater than even the most highly contaminated nuclear weapons site in the U.S., the Hanford Nuclear Reservation in Washington state.....

Kunlan, I work on cleaning up the Hanford waste in Washington State. I don't believe that what Mr. Galinsky said was totally accurate and it is difficult to take these soundbite quotes from the press and make sense of them. What he must be referring to in bold above is the fact that the Japanese incident may not have adequate containment for all its wastewater. I have mentioned on this thread probably a couple weeks ago about looking for tanks and then last week about the need for some type of treatment for this waste. I assure you that Hanford's 53 million gallons is much worse in terms of chemistry. Hanfords waste was derived by the production of plutonium for weapons and a variety of chemical processes (Google PUREX).

I also underlined a quote above. The word "highly" is very subjective. I have stated on this thread before (and so have others), the composition of the water must be published. The worst element that I have seen reported in the water is Cesium and that is bad, but what levels of Cesium?

I am in no way downplaying the significance of this event in terms of risk to human health and the environment. But words like high, low, medium don't say a whole lot and do not lead to a scientific understanding of the magnitude of the problem.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 7, 2011 - 05:40pm PT
Thanks Riley, just doin my thing.

If you want to see what is in the Hanford tanks, grab a periodic table. We have everything on it and probably some isotopes not found in many other places. The Japanese waste at least is dervied by one kind of reactor and tow types (I think) of fuel). Hanford waste came from multiple sources, vintages of reactors, and multiple different chemical processed used to seperate out the weapons grade stuff from all the other nastiness.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 7, 2011 - 05:51pm PT
youtube of a guy with a Geiger counter showing us his personal
collection of radioactive sources. Handling them with bare hands.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PkV7BJOhp4&NR=1

Never thought to look but there are a lot of youtubes of ordinary stuff around the home that make a Geiger counter click.

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 06:18pm PT
I am in no way downplaying the significance of this event in terms of risk to human health and the environment. But words like high, low, medium don't say a whole lot and do not lead to a scientific understanding of the magnitude of the problem.""

Particularly when the incident is still fully in progress and they pump amazing amounts of water into the buildings everyday. No telling what will have to be dealt with when the smoke clears

Peace

karl
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 7, 2011 - 06:33pm PT
Karl,

thats why I posted several days ago about the treatment. If the Japanese are thinking clearly, they would be looking at the water chemistry/treatment, and attempt to perform some type of treatment on this stuff ASAP. If they spend $1 Billion right now, to reduce the volume of contaminated water by say 90%, I predict that they will save tenfold and or lessen that release of contamination into the environment. These costs may sound high, trust me they are not.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 07:09pm PT
It FUBAR for sure. No matter how much they are willing to spend, there's the issue of how much they can get started asap as they're pouring all this water in but where can it go? Where can they store it all while getting treatment up and running, and how long before they can get treatment up and running.

This must all be complicated by the hot site with mangled plumbing. Who knows how to get all this going?

Nightmare

Peace

karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 08:18pm PT
I think you have to stay centered in yourself, work on your own transformation, and then do whatever inspires you to share, write, fight or climb from that centered space

If we act from ego, we wind up chasing our tail, or fighting against people who just fight back.

peace

karl
High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Full Silos of Iowa
Apr 7, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
I think you have to stay centered in yourself...

No worries, a couple here have this down to an art form.

fight... from that centered space

No problemo for these guys.

But then again,
If we act from ego, we wind up chasing our tail

Exactly.



LOL!
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 09:05pm PT
I should note that by saying "centered in yourself" I mean "being present from your deep sense of Being" and not center on our idea of "Me! Me! Me!"

Mindfulness is not getting lost in our endless stories and reactions but "Be Here Now"

It's a cliche by now but it works

Peace

Karl
WBraun

climber
Apr 7, 2011 - 10:21pm PT
"Be Here Now"

Aren't we all here now?

If not where are we?

:-)
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 10:54pm PT
Over there , maybe ? Zappa
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 7, 2011 - 10:59pm PT
"Be Here Now"

Aren't we all here now?

If not where are we?

I'm sure you're aware Werner, that it's possible to be so distracted by thoughts/worries of the future, memories and wounds from the past, and the chatter of the mind, that our attention is so divided that we lose the present moment.

Peace

karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 7, 2011 - 11:01pm PT
I was there then
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 8, 2011 - 12:06am PT
That's what the haters say all us old guys on supertaco are about
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 8, 2011 - 10:16am PT
Meanwhile back in the land of the techies, there's an interesting article in the New York Times about the hundreds of American engineers who are already drawing up plans in coordination with Toshiba who actually did the reactor construction, for how to dismantle the plants once they are finally brought under control.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/08/world/asia/08toshiba.html?_r=1&ref=global-home
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 8, 2011 - 10:30am PT
By dismantle, do you mean the guys with the brooms who come along after they are forced to detonate a nuclear bomb to stop the meltdown?
I still think these links are the most informative things I have seen. The first shows the current level of radiation exposure we are experiencing here in various US cities, and the 2nd link shows projected/possible radiation transport based on current weather models. Click on the different links in the little blue box and give the weather maps time to fully load as they are animated. http://www.radiationnetwork.com/
http://transport.nilu.no/products/fukushima
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Apr 8, 2011 - 01:29pm PT
Japan has been hit by a 7.1 aftershock.

http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=weather/earthquake_center&id=8060595
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 8, 2011 - 02:54pm PT
Here is a photo of one of the old tsunami warning stones.

This one says:

“High dwellings are the peace and harmony of our descendants.
Remember the calamity of the great tsunamis.
Do not build any homes below this point.”









TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 9, 2011 - 10:46pm PT







http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/2011/04/09/2011-04-09_stranded_japanese_farmer_75_found_alone_in_minami_soma_city_rocked_by_tsunami_ea.html

The video inbeded in the story is an interesting and a bit unexpected contrast on what's happening at the other end of the socioeconomic spectrum,.

Jan,

Those stones are a precursor to the stones that will be eventually placed on the concrete filled monuments at fukushima.
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Apr 9, 2011 - 11:03pm PT
thanks Jan - those stones are really cool (and sad)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 10, 2011 - 01:57am PT
The stones are sad but the latest news on nuclear energy and the carelessness with which it was handled in Japan is absolutely shocking. The New York Times is reporting that after the latest 7.1 aftershock, two other reactors lost their cooling and had diesel generator failures. Both of those plants are to the north of the Fukushima complex.

The plants suffered temporary losses of cooling to spent fuel pools after electricity cutoffs and problems with backup diesel generators. The Higashidori plant lost all outside power. Although it had three backup diesel generators, two were out of service for periodic maintenance. The remaining one worked for a while, but later, after some outside power was restored, it stopped because some of its oil spilled out.

At the Onagawa plant, three out of four outside power lines went down, but the plant continued to operate on the fourth line. Although diesel backup was not needed, it was discovered that one of the plant’s two diesel generators had been out of order since April 1.

In a separate article, it was explained that most of the dangerous work at all the reactors in Japan is done by unskilled, itinerant temporary workers whose own safety is compromised along with the safety of the facilities. It is these workers who are being offered large amounts of money now to work at Fukushima.

The only good news is that the Japanese government has decided they need to create a commission separate from the nuclear industry to oversea that industry and to answer directly to the cabinet as it becomes more and more obvious that the owners of the nuclear plants had no clue to the dangers lurking and probably would have ignored them in favor of greater profits anyway.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Apr 11, 2011 - 05:47am PT
hey there say, all.... could not sleep, so i got up to pray...

say, got on line, too, and just sadly saw this:
hard aftershocks,about nearly an hour agao, and a tsunami warning, though, not sure what came of it:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110411/ap_on_bi_ge/as_japan_earthquake


well, all for now...
god blesss...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 11, 2011 - 07:27am PT
This latest aftershock took place south of Fukushima so the fault line is gradually adjusting itself further south. This means that Tokyo could still have a big quake.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 11, 2011 - 09:45am PT
Arnie Gundersen (nuclear engineer): Demonstrates How Fukushima's Fuel Rods Melted and Shattered
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x572279
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwvVJpyf_VY



Simple but to the point . . .
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
www.climbaddictdesigns.com
Apr 11, 2011 - 11:19am PT
"In a separate article, it was explained that most of the dangerous work at all the reactors in Japan is done by unskilled, itinerant temporary workers whose own safety is compromised along with the safety of the facilities. It is these workers who are being offered large amounts of money now to work at Fukushima."


Are these the men the media has dubbed the Fukushima Fifty? The ones we call brave citizens aware of the cost they are paying? Shame. Shame. Shame, even if this is a separate group of people. Of COURSE those poverty-stricken men are doing the work, and aware of the cost. They sacrifice themselves so that their families will have a chance. It has been this way throughout time - it is part of why girl babies are killed, children are sold into servitude, and people accept what would otherwise be untenable situations. Those who take advantage of another's poverty(low wages, unsafe conditions, abusive behavior, scrimping on costs....) are scum of the earth.
Gene

climber
Apr 11, 2011 - 06:45pm PT
The Nuclear Safety Commission of Japan released a preliminary calculation Monday saying that the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant had been releasing up to 10,000 terabecquerels of radioactive materials per hour at some point after a massive quake and tsunami hit northeastern Japan on March 11.

The disclosure prompted the government to consider raising the accident's severity level to 7, the worst on an international scale, from the current 5, government sources said. The level 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale has only been applied to the 1986 Chernobyl catastrophe.
http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/04/84721.html

As Jan has pointed out many times, there is much hidden between the lines of these statements.

g
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 11, 2011 - 06:59pm PT
klimmer-

Saturday, February 26, 2011
Arnie Gundersen has inflated his resume, yet frequently claims that Energy cannot be trusted
by Rod Adams
I have just started listening to the Vermont Public Radio debate between Arnie Gundersen and Meredith Angwin on the subject of whether or not Vermont Yankee should remain running. After listening to the moderator's introduction of Mr. Gundersen, I had to stop and share some thoughts.

Here is the transcript of that introduction.
Arnie Gundersen, who lives here in Burlington, is Chief Engineer of Fairewinds Associates is a well-known authority on the subject, someone who has figured prominently in recent accounts of Vermont Yankee circumstances.

Mr. Gundersen, who has almost four decades experience in the nuclear power industry, earned his Bachelors and Masters in Nuclear Engineering from RPI. He was a licensed reactor operator and put in twenty years in the industry. He's led teams of engineers dealing with nuclear reactors at 70 nuclear plants around the nation. He was appointed by now Governor Peter Schumlin to the Vermont Yankee Oversight Panel in 2008 and it's his expertise that qualifies him as an expert witness on various aspects of Vermont Yankee, including plant safety, its decommissioning fund, and the suitability of the plant being extended past 2012.
There are several exaggerations in that brief statement. Because he has been an expert witness, Mr. Gundersen has been required to provide an accurate resume to public bodies; you can find one such document at the end of the testimony that he provided in March 2006 to oppose the Public Service of Vermont's decision to allow Entergy to increase the power output from Vermont Yankee.

A careful reading of that resume reveals only one mention of any kind of license to operate a reactor. In the section of his resume headed Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) 1971 to 1972, there is the following statement: "Critical Facility Reactor Operator, Instructor. Licensed AEC reactor operator instructing students and utility reactor operators in start-up through full power operation of a reactor." Here is a quote about that critical facility from a contact who attended RPI at the same time as Gundersen did.
It operated at no pressure, room temperature, licensed to 100W, highly enriched U, open tank of water.
A second exaggeration comes in the statement that Gundersen has "almost four decades experience in the nuclear power industry." His resume shows that he graduated from school in 1972 and that he stopped working for Nuclear Energy Services in 1990. From that point on, his full time employment was as a math and science teacher at a series of private schools. His resume lists several items under the heading of Nuclear Consulting 1990 - Present, but it would be interesting to hear the opinion of nuclear professionals about how those activities count as experience in the nuclear industry.

An Atomic Insights reader who is personally familiar with the work that Gundersen did at Northeast Utilities during the period from 1972-1976 read the posted resume and shared the following comment with me using the polite and understated language that is common among engineering professionals.
I think he exaggerated his responsibilities for projects at NU, 1972-6.
I spoke to that contact at length a few days ago, he told me that Gundersen was assigned to the licensing group and did not have any real design engineering responsibilities while at NU.

Though I cannot prove it beyond a shadow of a doubt, I am quite certain that Mr. Gundersen or someone in his company provided the information to the moderator - I have both introduced people and been introduced enough times to know how that process works. It would be difficult for him to claim with any kind of credibility that he did not know what the moderator was going to say, so he needs to accept responsibility for the claims made.

My point in providing these details is to illustrate the inconsistency involved in having a man who is prone to inflate and exaggerate the facts about his own career experience repetitively speaking about the job performance and alleged lack of integrity of hundreds of qualified professionals whose production gets measured and evaluated every day by some very demanding inspectors.

Gundersen is a man who uses a pair of 39-year-old university degrees to claim the title of "nuclear engineer" so that he can get paid $300 per hour to seek to destroy valuable assets like Vermont Yankee. That plant produces about 4.8 billion kilowatt-hours of emission free electricity every year. Gundersen's claim to expertise includes a number of questionable statements about the real world experience he gained after earning those entry level tickets. Gundersen has a legitimate claim to have earned a pair of respectable degrees, but the claim that he developed and maintained any reliable knowledge about topics like plant maintenance, operations, radiation health effects, and economics should be viewed with a bit more skepticism.

Update: (Posted on March 4, 2011 at 0810) The Brattleboro Reformer published an article yesterday accusing me of Shooting the messenger. There is an interesting comment thread associated with the article. My view is that messengers displaying evidence of having arrived after a questionable journey deserve to be scrutinized.

Since posting this, I have noticed a few more inconsistencies in the claims made by Mr. Gundersen about his career path. In 2008, he applied to become a member of the Diablo Canyon Safety Committee. On that application, he made the following statement about his experience:
Since 1970 Arnold Gundersen has been an expert witness in nuclear litigations at the Federal and State hearings such as Three Mile Island, US NRC ASLB, Vermont State Public Service Board, Western Atlas Nuclear Litigation, U.S. Senate Nuclear Safety Hearings, Peach Bottom Nuclear Power Plant Litigation, &c. He has also testified at the Czech Senate on nuclear matters.
I went back and checked the resume linked to above. According to that resume, Mr. Gundersen earned his BS in Nuclear Engineering from RPI in 1971, so he was still an undergraduate student in 1970. That leads me to the conclusion that either there was a judge somewhere who has rather low standards for expertise for his witnesses, or that Mr. Gundersen needs someone to give him a calendar for Christmas.

When noticing that, I also reread the first job listed on his resume. Here is how that job was described:

"Public Service Electric and Gas (PSE&G) - 1970
Assistant Engineer:
Performed Shielding design of radwaste and auxiliary buildings for Newbold Island Units 1 & 2, including development of computer codes."

The date listed for that job was before his graduation date. My guess is that it was a summer internship since Newbold Island, NJ is 218 miles from Troy, NY, the home of RPI. That would be a long commute if the job was done during the school year.

this dude is a joke. his resume is a lie, his agenda is making money off of controversy. he is the "cheif engineer" of the consulting company he owns. pretty freaking hilarious.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 11, 2011 - 07:30pm PT
Good to know.

I saw the video at Democratic Underground. Watched it and thought it interesting.

Can't verify everyone's credentials nor am I gonna try. I usually take people at their word unless it is pointed out that they are lying.

I wouldn't suspect someone like this to lie about what they do and what their credentials really are. Doesn't anyone tell the truth anymore?

Thanks. So should I delete the other post or leave it?

I'll leave it. You got on record that he seems to be a liar and he exaggerated his credentials.

Good to know.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 11, 2011 - 07:34pm PT
klimmer, you really can be a decent sort of person, makes me want to apologize for getting on your case against spaceships on the moon!

i could'nt tell you if the guys video was right or not. but he was fired from the nuclear industry, sued them and now consults against them. hard to tell the truth these days as everyone has an agenda.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Apr 11, 2011 - 09:55pm PT
hey there say, jan, as to the fault line moving south, (think you said),
thanks for the share.... didn't know all of what this meant, but i have now also heard of another quake/aftershock, too...

:(
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Apr 11, 2011 - 11:20pm PT
Hmmm - Klimmer, you might want to think a little more about this philosophy out there in the big bad internets.

Can't verify everyone's credentials nor am I gonna try. I usually take people at their word unless it is pointed out that they are lying.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Apr 12, 2011 - 12:43am PT
It's now a LEVEL 7 on the IAEA scale, in case you missed it in Gene's post.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Apr 12, 2011 - 12:43am PT
OK! Things are very ugly!

Worst Case scenario has now been accepted by the Japanese Government.

From AP tonight: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/as_japan_earthquake

By YURI KAGEYAMA and RYAN NAKASHIMA, Associated Press Yuri Kageyama And Ryan Nakashima, Associated Press – 50 mins ago
TOKYO – Japan's nuclear regulators raised the severity level of the crisis at a stricken nuclear plant Tuesday to rank it on par with the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, citing the amount of radiation released in the accident.

The regulators said the rating was being raised from 5 to 7 — the highest level on an international scale overseen by the International Atomic Energy Agency. However, there was no sign of any significant change at the tsunami-stricken Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant.

The new ranking signifies a "major accident" with "wider consequences" than the previous level, according to the Vienna-based IAEA.

"We have upgraded the severity level to 7 as the impact of radiation leaks has been widespread from the air, vegetables, tap water and the ocean," said Minoru Oogoda of Japan's Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency.

edit: apologies to Gene who stated this information earlier in a less "stress-full" manner. I looked at his post and then went searching for more sensational information.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 12, 2011 - 12:47am PT
Its a 7 now. Thats good news. Since 7 is the worst rating they have, then that means it can't get any worse.

Whew..sigh of relief..
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Apr 12, 2011 - 12:51am PT
John Moosie: Re your comment:

Its a 7 now. Thats good news. Since 7 is the worst rating they have, then that means it can't get any worse.

Whew..sigh of relief..



Damn straight Dude!

Everything will get better now!



Where's an "expert/apologist" when we need one to "spin" this news??
Daniel Eubank

Sport climber
Woodbridge, VA
Apr 12, 2011 - 03:14pm PT

Japan ups nuke crisis severity to match Chernobyl

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20110412/D9MI2HB00.html
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 12, 2011 - 04:28pm PT
Regarding Haweye's post regarding Gunderson's qualifications:

Here's a bottom line in my opinion: what Gunderson has been saying about conditions of the situation and at the plant keep turning out to be true and what the utility and government have been projecting about the same keeps turning out to be understated. Maybe they both have some vested interests but I've seen way too much evidence of downplaying the seriousness of this situation to buy the establishment party line.

Let's face it. They upgraded from a 5 to a 7 but are still downplaying the danger saying "only 10 percent of what was released at Chernobyl has been released here" without noting that radiation is still being released and no end to that release is in sight. They are evacuating a much larger area around the plant but saying it's not a big deal because there is immediate danger, that it would only be a problem if these people stayed long term. Which means they should get out in the next month but we don't hear that they may never come back! If it doesn't even become a danger for a month, how long does it take to become safe again?

The outcome of this accident will guide the destiny of the whole nuclear power industry which means billions and many careers and political contributions and lobbyists are riding on this. Don't swallow the happy talk. They are still up radioactive sh#t creek

Peace

Karl
Gene

climber
Apr 12, 2011 - 11:21pm PT
A worthy read, although long. The fact that it is a Japanese source is relevant to me.

http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201104120153.html
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 12, 2011 - 11:32pm PT
when will they have to admit that if Chernobyl was a seven, then this must be an eight? Once they evacuate the northern third of Japan?
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 02:21am PT
A critic of the happy talk and disingenuous comparisons between external and internal emitters of radiation

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/apr/11/nuclear-apologists-radiation

now that Japan has upgraded the event to a 5, all the newscasts are emphasizing that this doesn't mean the situation has got any worse (which can only mean that it was erroneously classified all this time) You can't have it both ways

Peace

karl



Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 13, 2011 - 02:31am PT
I think it is clear that this is not an accident on the scale of Chernobyl, in my opinion, but also from what is happening now, the cores are largely secured, that was not the case in the Chernobyl accident at this stage. The change in the severity is indicative of the amount of information that we are getting now, much better and different from what we were getting when the crisis happened. It is the nature of nuclear accidents that we cannot approach them until the radiation levels are low enough to allow close range inspection. We will have to wait even longer to inspect the interior of the vessels as the fuel assemblies cool and the radiation is further reduced.

The NRC and various other organizations were running models in computer simulations to try to understand what the data they were getting meant in terms of the severity of the accident. I believe that they felt the accident was more severe than the initial reports from Japan, and this is documented in the newspaper articles but in the US policy to restrict access to the area within 50 miles of the plant.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 02:43am PT
Ed, It seems like you are basing your statement on the assumption that the accident is mostly over and that the situation is stabilized. I'm wondering if that's reasonable to assume that we can compare the incidents when this one is far from under control (unless I'm wrong)

They are pouring tens of thousands of tons of water into these buildings every day, water that gets radioactive and which is open to leaking, which they have no treatment systems in place for. If the water keeps being poured, lots of it will leak into the ocean, they they stop, the situation gets nasty again no?

So there's no fat ladies singing yet don't you think? These plants have 10x the amount of fuel that Chernobyl had and the spent fuel pool has no containment vessel. What is your opinion of the worst case scenario? I think we're pretty close to exceeding rrrAdam's although people haven't started to get really sick (yet)

Peace

karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 13, 2011 - 09:55am PT
What is your opinion of the worst case scenario? I think we're pretty close to exceeding rrrAdam's although people haven't started to get really sick (yet)



Read this...
http://resources.nei.org/documents/japan/FactSheet_Chernobyl_Fukushima_4-12-11.pdf

Note that the scale, is basically divided into levels that are ~10 times greater than the previous level... Thus, if Fuku has released only 10% of what was released at Chernobyl, that would make it a 6... Which is what I had said weeks ago, when I disagreed with their placement of it at 5. That said, Fuku has clearly released (controlled and uncontrolled) thousands of times more than was released at TMI, so, based on that, I can see the argument for making it a 7.

Also note the latter part of that page:
Long-Term Health Effects
The unique nature of the Chernobyl accident resulted in widespread airborne dispersion of radioactive
cesium as fallout, which has a half-life of 30 years. The incident left the area in a 30- kilometer radius
around the facility as a long-term restricted zone.

Although measurements of radioactivity in the air and water near the Fukushima plant have been evident
at varying levels, wide dispersion of [significant] radioactive materials has not occurred at the facility. While there may
be localized spots that will require monitoring and remediation, it is unlikely that any significant areas of
land in Japan will have long-term restrictions.

That's pretty much inline with what I predicted, when you asked for me to do so...
So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything. The effected units will be multi-billion dollar paperweights, that require monitoring and maintainance, costing more money. While possible, I doubt units 5 or 6 will come back online like the other unit at TMI did, and is still operating to this day. But I may be wrong there, as they still can produce electricity, so there will be considerable reason to get those newer units back online... But I doubt politics and the public will allow it.

Worst reasonable case scenerio... All of the above, BUT delays in people returning to the surrounding areas due to the surveys and samples showing high levels of contamination, then having to clean up the contamination costing additional billions of dollars. Time frame? No idea... Depends on how much and how they have to decontaminate.



Anything outside the 'fence' (current Owner Controlled Property), from what I gather a mile from the units, being uninhabitable for a lifetime(s), or even decades? Slim to nil!




ZERO health effects on anybody from the 'general public', just like TMI, despite what some people believe... As not 1 person died as a result of TMI, NOT ONE! And the vast majority of experts agree that the negligiable amounts released during the TMI accident have shown ZERO effects attributable to it, other than psychological and political.

http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1451327&msg=1457608#msg1457608


I also believe that once all is said and done, this will end up being a 6 on the scale, not a 7.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:38am PT
According to the NY Times, Japanese officials are being conservative in their estimates of the amounts of radiation released, similar to how "true emissions from Chernobyl" do not match the official estimates from the Soviet government.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/13/world/asia/13japan.html?pagewanted=all

.....Even so, some people involved in the energy industry have been hearing about the results of the Speedi calculations for days. A senior executive said in a telephone interview on April 4 that he had been told that the Speedi model suggested that radioactive materials escaping the Daiichi complex were much higher than Japanese officials had publicly acknowledged, and perhaps as high as half of the releases from Chernobyl.

Mr. Nishiyama and Mr. Shiroya said separately on Tuesday that that estimate had been wrong. But their two government agencies also released different figures for the level of emissions so far, and there appeared to be a degree of supposition embedded in the numbers.

Mr. Nishiyama’s agency said that emissions totaled 370,000 terabecquerels; a terabecquerel is a trillion becquerels. The agency’s figure is 20 percent of the former Soviet Union’s official estimate of emissions from Chernobyl.

But most experts say that the true emissions from Chernobyl were 1.5 to 2.5 times as high as the Soviet Union acknowledged. Mr. Nishiyama’s agency appears to have assumed that true emissions from Chernobyl were twice the official figure, and so calculated that the current nuclear accident had released 10 percent as much as Chernobyl.

Mr. Nishiyama’s agency is part of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, which promotes the use of nuclear power. Mr. Shiroya’s commission, which is independent from nuclear power operators and their equipment providers, issued an estimate that emissions totaled 630,000 terabecquerels.

Although Mr. Shiroya did not provide a comparison to Chernobyl, that works out to 34 percent of the official Soviet estimate of emissions and 17 percent of the unofficial higher estimate.

Mr. Shiroya also said there was a threefold margin for error involved. The outside estimates of total releases would range from as low as 6 percent to as high as 51 percent of the unofficial totals from Chernobyl.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
I guess I'm still hearing people compare this incident with Chernobyl as if this incident were over and radioactivity wasn't being released anymore. Isn't this false?

Does anybody know what dangers still exist and how much is still being released. How much water is being poured in there and how much radioactive water is being recovered? How much storage exists for contaminated water? Where's the "end in sight" to this radioactive pollution?

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 13, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
Some pics of the tsunami hitting the Fuku plant, and it's effects...

Initial impact...

As it comes on to the site...
(The water looks to be about 4'-6' high in this pic)

Inside the plant, most likely in the Turbine Building, after flood waters rose so rapidly that it breached this door...
(Note that this is NOT a watertight door, as are on rooms [at least they are in the US] leading to the Reactor Building and/or where ECCS Systems, including ECCS Pumps and the EDGs, are housed)

A view of where I believe all of their Service Water* (Pacific Ocean) buildings and pumps were...
(The aqua colored structures in the upper left are likely their 'screen wash' system that removes debris from the water intake.)
*Service Water is what they use as their 'heat sink', it is NOT the water that is used in the reactors.





PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Apr 13, 2011 - 03:05pm PT
good article in the Daily Kos about a town in germany that has gone nuclear free. there are alot of options besides nuclear.especially conservation. It's politics and money that is trying to promote nuclear. One major flaw of nuclear is they all seem to be placed right next to a major water body . If the sh#t really hits the fan it goes into the water. Large bath tubs storing fuel rods in areas where there are 9.0 earthquakes; how absurd is that?! 300 year old rocks saying don't build lower than here, but they do it anyway. Poor science at work. What is downstream of TMI probably the chesapeake bay, but I haven't checked. when they designed these in the 60's water bodies were considered places for sewage. Nuclear is just a really complicated way to do more shitting in the nest. Fukushima is a timely wake up call.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 13, 2011 - 03:40pm PT
http://cryptome.org/eyeball/daiichi-npp/daiichi-photos.htm

The above shows some good overview pictures of the destruction. Since I live in an energy rich area that provides way more energy than we generate, and it is an area with Nuclear, Gas fired, wind, hydro, and coal within about a 60 mile radius, well, I respect your opinion but I would respect it much more if you had it in your back yard.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 13, 2011 - 04:23pm PT
golsen... Thanx for those pics. A colleague and I are trying to determine where the EDGs are, so it would be helpful to find some 'before' hi-res pics as well. We don't know the plant layout, but recognize many structures, even the pits where the SW & CW Pumps used to be, the equipment vault and spent fuel pool in Unit 2, and even the drywell dome (yellow/orange object) in Unit 4, since it was in an outage, so it is off to the side.

It looks to us that the EDGs are housed in out-buildings on the inland side of the Reactor Buildings, judging by the vents in those buildings, but we want to see all of the buildings before the tsunami hit, as most on the Service Water side is gone.


The EDGs ran as expected until the tsunami hit... That is known. From what he has gathered from an SRO is that the tsunami flooded the space where the underground diesel storage tanks that supply the EDGs are housed, and that water got into the tanks... The water, being denser, went to the bottom of the tanks, where they draw from, and that salt water got into the EDGs taking them out. He believes with minor work, they could be brought back online.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Apr 13, 2011 - 04:44pm PT
In radical's link.

In the parking lot, I spotted a panel with one of those messages typically seen at industrial or construction sites. It was a billboard erected by the "TEPCO Fukushima-1 Nuclear Power Plant Safety Committee."

The message, obviously unchanged since March 11, makes what can only be read now as an extremely ironic proclamation: "This month's safety slogan: Be sure to check everything and do a risk assessment. Zero disasters for this year."
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 13, 2011 - 04:45pm PT
We will find out years from now when Americans are dying from the effects of this, that this was far worse then we were informed, and that we are ingesting and drinking radioactive particles in our drinking water as we speak. A cover up on a massive scale so as to not alarm the population and have any negative effect on the economy or impact Japan or nuclear power here in the US.
crøtch

climber
Apr 13, 2011 - 05:09pm PT
WRT to airborne radioactivity reaching the US, the air sampling results from UC Berkeley are encouraging.

http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/AirSamplingResults
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 13, 2011 - 06:53pm PT
The idea of not panicking the public by downplaying the severity of any disaster is such a standard practice in most societies that it makes me wonder.

It does seem like the best course. To slowly day by day get the public
used to the idea that something is wrong to lessen the shock by withholding
bad news.

Getting everyone acclimated to a new unpleasant reality while
repeating the mantra 'its being handled by experts' and 'there is
no danger'.

Here we are a month later, calmly getting on with our lives
while thousands of tons of nuclear fuel rods smolder in the ruins.

Who would have guessed?






Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 07:28pm PT
From the democacy Now site where they interview Dr. Michio Kaku

The Japanese government is trying to calm fears about radiation levels and food safety in the region around the heavily damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power facility, even as it has raised the severity rating of the crisis to the highest possible level. "Radiation is continuing to leak out of the reactors. The situation is not stable at all," says Dr. Michio Kaku, professor of theoretical physics at the City University of New York and the City College of New York. "The slightest disturbance could set off a full-scale meltdown at three nuclear power stations, far beyond what we saw at Chernobyl."

Listen here

http://www.democracynow.org/2011/4/13/expert_despite_japanese_govt_claims_of

Peace

Karl
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 13, 2011 - 07:32pm PT
Studly, I assume you are thinking conspiracy theory? So all the National Lab and EPA and other agency rad monitors in the USA are in on the conspiracy? Guys like Ed,Adam, myself who work on either government projects, nuclear reactors or work for the government are lying to keep our jobs?

While I am not responsible for any of the "measurements", I do work for the Department of Energy. There is nothing that I have worked on that is worth lying or dying for and that is why I find your comments not only insulting but highly ignorant of the current risks people right here in the US face everyday.

The unfortunate part of all this is that people flip their switch and don't give it any more thought than that, out of sight, out of mind. As long as the power is generated miles away from their house they dont care.

So forgive me if I find the anti-nuclear response somewhat disingenuous following a huge natural catastrophe. Wonder why the nuclear industry has not advanced as much as it could have? Because of the over-reaction to TMI and people not willing to make fair comparisons to current technologies, companies and politicians have not invested in improvements. The unfortunate part of this is that we are all losers and choking on the fumes from coal fired power plants that produce 45% of our energy.

Furthermore, those of you who said that the Japanese reactors are state of the art are incorrect. That technology is 40 years old. 40 years ago we were programming computers with punch cards if you were actually lucky enough to have access to one.

For the past two days I have been up near the largest concentration of highly radioactive waste in the US, possibly the world. I drove by one Nuclear Generating Powerplant to get there. I am for more concerned with getting hit on the way home from work.

EDIT:

Adam, if I get any before shots I will post them. Not being a nuclear reactor expert I am sure your guess at the location of the EDG's is better than mine.
hb81

climber
Apr 13, 2011 - 07:42pm PT
Adam, where did you find these pictures? Were they just released?
I have not seen any pics of the tsunami hitting Fukushima in the media so far...

Oh and one more question: if the diesel tanks are underground, what do they store in those large white tanks that can be seen next to the reactor buildings? Water?

As for your theory about water coming into the tanks and being pumped into the generators: What about the idea that they just got drowned in the flood and malfunctioned? Or are they located high off the ground?

Edit: just read that you said they are (or at least should be) behind watertight doors. Considering the pressure and force of the tsunami wave I wonder if those doors held...
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 07:56pm PT
Golsen wrote

For the past two days I have been up near the largest concentration of highly radioactive waste in the US, possibly the world. I drove by one Nuclear Generating Powerplant to get there. I am for more concerned with getting hit on the way home from work.

So Golsen, How many guys with machine guns would it take to break in to where that highly radioactive waste is stored and put a bomb there to spread it everywhere? Wouldn't it be WAY easier than the 9-11 plot?

Just sayin'

Safe Smafe, science hasn't even begun to consider all the risks. We have no waste solution and if modern nuclear tech is so safe, why will nobody insure them still (cause Insurance companies aren't irrational dupes like us right?)

Even the latest technology doesn't mean a spent fuel pool isn't vulnerable to a terrorist attack from a plane or group of armed men who don't care for their lives. Why do we need solutions that are not only expensive but deadly in ways that solar, wind, Biofuels from Algae or many other technologies are. If billions are poured elsewhere, elsewhere becomes more economical.

Peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:01pm PT
and I'd like to repost something from Jan that didn't make the news widely. Just shows that this Fuku mess isn't just a fluke and how easy it could be repeated, even after we've already seen what's already happened.

"...The New York Times is reporting that after the latest 7.1 aftershock, two other reactors lost their cooling and had diesel generator failures. Both of those plants are to the north of the Fukushima complex.

The plants suffered temporary losses of cooling to spent fuel pools after electricity cutoffs and problems with backup diesel generators. The Higashidori plant lost all outside power. Although it had three backup diesel generators, two were out of service for periodic maintenance. The remaining one worked for a while, but later, after some outside power was restored, it stopped because some of its oil spilled out.

At the Onagawa plant, three out of four outside power lines went down, but the plant continued to operate on the fourth line. Although diesel backup was not needed, it was discovered that one of the plant’s two diesel generators had been out of order since April 1.
..."

Aftershocks were far from unexpected...
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:16pm PT
In all seriousness, I cannot say because it would compromise security. However, I will say that to get there one would need to go through the first checkpoint about 20 miles from the waste. This can be found on a public map.

Keep in mind the waste I am referring to is from the Manhattan project and the cold war (weapons production) and I am in no way condoning the generation of that waste, my job is to clean it up.

Also keep in mind Karl, that there are more chemical plants which offer a much easier terrorist target than most nuclear sites.

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:21pm PT
A few years ago some college girls got entrance to spent fuel pool with backpacks on just by smiling and asking. I have trouble believing that bombing any chemical plant would have quite the terrorist impact as bombing a nuclear site near a major city.

Peace

Karl
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:25pm PT
You remember Bohpal, right? No bomb's just poor safety management.

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:32pm PT
So the basic suggestion here is that we need to dramatically decentralize our life support systems
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 13, 2011 - 08:57pm PT
Just because there is something else that is dangerous doesn't mean we should ignore the danger of nuclear energy. As for your example of driving being more dangerous. If you die in an accident, that doesn't mean that road is closed for the next 1000 years. This is the problem with nuclear energy. Its waste is dangerous for a very very long time. I can chose to risk my life driving, or breathing coal dust, but do I have the right to risk closing large areas of land for generation after generation.

Gene

climber
Apr 13, 2011 - 09:05pm PT
This deal is still spinning out of control.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/13_35.html
jstan

climber
Apr 13, 2011 - 09:11pm PT
I suppose increased concentrations of radioactive nuclides in the water of the spent rod pool could come about by at least two, and probably more, mechanisms.

1. The spent rods had reached a temperature elevated enough to allow leaching into the sea water.
2. Rods had melted and flowed together thereby increasing the critical mass.

But I am just supposing. Experts on this board can probably help here.



http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42578432/ns/world_news-asiapacific/

More signs of fuel rod damage at Japan nuke plant
Utility says it is still working on a blueprint to end radiation crisis

msnbc.com staff and news service reports
updated 1 hour 19 minutes ago

TOKYO — Water in the spent fuel storage pool at the No. 4 reactor at Japan's crippled Fukushima nuclear plant has risen to about 194 degrees in one sign that spent fuel rods may be damaged, according to a report in NHK World.

The Tokyo Electric Power Company or TEPCO discovered Tuesday that the temperature was much higher than the normal level of about 104 degrees.
The finding is the latest setback for the utility company as it tries to contain damage at the nuclear plant, devastated by a March 11 tsunami and now rated on a par with the world's worst nuclear accident, the 1986 Chernobyl disaster. TEPCO said Wednesday it was still working on a detailed plan to end the country's nuclear crisis as tests showed radiation levels in the sea near the complex had spiked.

Engineers moved a step closer to emptying highly radioactive water from one of six crippled reactors, which would allow them to start repairing the cooling system crucial to regaining control of the plant.

Japan's nuclear safety agency said the latest tests showed radiation nearly doubled last week, to 23 times above legal limits, in the sea off Minamisoma city near the plant.

But radiation in Tokyo, 150 miles from the plant, had fallen to pre-disaster levels on Tuesday, the science ministry said late Wednesday.

TEPCO's analysis of a 400-milliliter water sample taken Tuesday from the No. 4 unit's spent nuclear fuel pool revealed the damage to some fuel rods for the first time, according to Kyodo News. The sample detected higher-than-usual levels of radioactive iodine-131, cesium-134 and cesium-137.

The storage pool at the No. 4 reactor housed all the fuel rods that were in operation at the reactor, NHK World reported. Since the quake and tsunami, TEPCO has used fire engines and special vehicles to spray more than 1,800 tons of water to try to cool the rods at the No. 4 reactor.

University of Tokyo Professor Koji Okamoto told NHK World that the temperature of 90 degrees indicates that cooling is continuing, although some of the water in the pool may be boiling.

Okamoto said high radiation indicates the possibility of radiation leaks from damaged fuel.

Slowing the recovery effort, a series of strong aftershocks this week has rattled eastern Japan, forcing temporary evacuations of workers and power outages at the nuclear plant.

"As instructed by Prime Minister Kan we are working out the specific details of how to handle the situation so they can be disclosed as soon as possible," TEPCO president Masataka Shimizu told a news conference in Tokyo.

Shimizu has been largely absent from the recovery operation, only visiting the area on Monday. He refused to comment on public calls for his resignation, and again apologized to the Japanese people for the crisis.

"We are making the utmost effort to bring the reactors at Fukushima Dai-ichi to a cold shutdown and halt the spread of radiation," he said.

TEPCO's Tokyo head office has been the target of angry protests over the nuclear crisis , and authorities took no chances on Wednesday, with riot trucks and security officers guarding the front gate during the news conference.

The government earlier this week revised its rating of the severity of the crisis to level 7, the worst possible on an international scale. The only other level 7 was the 1986 disaster at the Chernobyl plant in what is now Ukraine, though that explosion released 10 times the radioactivity that has come from Fukushima Dai-ichi so far.

But experts were quick to point out the two crises were vastly different in terms of radiation contamination, and on Wednesday, Russia's nuclear chief said Japan was exaggerating the scope of the disaster.

"It is hard for me to assess why the Japanese colleagues have taken this decision. I suspect, this is more of a financial issue, than a nuclear one," Sergei Kiriyenko said on the sidelines of a meeting of major economies in southern China.

There have been fears of contamination among Japan's neighbors, but China said the impact there had been small, noting the radiation was just 1 percent of what it had experienced from Chernobyl.

The toll of the disaster is rising. More than 13,000 people have been confirmed dead, and on Wednesday the government cut its outlook for the economy, in deflation for almost 15 years, for the first time in six months.

"The biggest risks, or uncertain factors for the economy, are when power supplies will recover, whether the nuclear situation will keep from worsening," Economics Minister Kaoru Yosano said.

The total cost of the triple catastrophe has been estimated at $300 billion, making it the world's most costly natural disaster. TEPCO said it was working on a compensation plan.

The Yomiuri newspaper reported on Wednesday that the government may cap TEPCO's liability to as little as $24 billion for damages. Bank of America-Merrill Lynch has estimated compensation claims of more than $130 billion.

Seawater radiation spike
Radiation readings in seawater near the crippled plant spiked last week, Japan's Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said Wednesday.
Seawater samples collected on Monday from around nine miles off the coast of Minamisoma city showed radiation in the water rose to 23 times the legal limit from 9.3 times on April 7, said Hidehiko Nishiyama, a NISA deputy director-general.

He later said NISA had asked TEPCO to assess the quake resistance of the buildings, and to look into how they could be reinforced against aftershocks.
"We need to think about how these aftershocks are affecting the buildings, which are already damaged," he said.

Japan has expanded the 12-mile evacuation zone around the plant because of high accumulated radiation.

No radiation-linked deaths have been reported and only 21 plant workers have been affected by minor radiation sickness.

Still, the increase in the severity level heightens the risk of diplomatic tension with Japan's neighbors over radioactive fallout. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told Kan on Tuesday he was "concerned" about the release of radiation into the ocean.
To cool the fuel, TEPCO sprayed 195 tons of water for 6 hours on Wednesday morning.

The company thinks the pool's water level was about 5 meters lower than normal, but 2 meters above the fuel rods, NHK World reported.
TEPCO believes the water level is likely to rise by about one meter after the water spraying on Wednesday.

The Associated Press, Reuters, Kyodo News and NHK World contributed to this report.


Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 13, 2011 - 09:42pm PT
Sorry you feel so offended golsen. I don't know about any conspiracy theory, but you sound like a shill to me. Nobody knows exactly what and how much is coming out of that plant, and we are all downwind of it, and nobody knows how harmful that effect will be with it in drinking water, milk, plants, and animals or in what concentrations it is ending up in different places here in the US.
I have been following a website that tracks the atmospheric transport of the Fukushima nuclear fallout as well as the volcano fallout that has effected Europe from the Eyjafjallajokull volcano in Iceland. This website was developed largely due to grants from the European Space Agency. It is pretty sobering to see waves of fallout hitting us here in the US even if they are just estimations since no one knows exactly how much is coming out. But this website allows you to see that much of it stays togather in concentrations as it hits up and down the west coast and then spreads inland thru satellite data.
http://transport.nilu.no/products/fukushima
Click on the graph links on the right of the page.
Heres a current snapsnot of fallout coming at the Aleutians right now, and looks like California has a little nuclear haze...
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 09:58pm PT
You remember Bohpal, right? No bomb's just poor safety managent

Thing is, explosions at chemical plants don't create exclusion zones, basically no-man's lands for 20,000 years, the whole history of historical civilization is shorter than that.

That's huge. What kind of exclusion zone would we have to deal with if Indian Point were to meltdown? Millions evacuated for life?

Peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 10:01pm PT
FWIW, here's what congressman Denham says

"Dear Mr. Bralich,

Thank you for contacting me regarding nuclear energy infrastructure in the United States. I appreciate hearing your thoughts on the safety and security of U.S. nuclear reactors.
The Japanese natural disaster and nuclear crisis of March 11, 2011 was a terrible tragedy, affecting individuals across the globe. My thoughts and prayers are with our Japanese allies who were hit by an earthquake which caused a tsunami and damaged their nuclear reactors. It will be a while before we can adequately account for the after-effects of this tragedy and properly address the needs of the affected population. In light of this deep misfortune, I understand your concerns about the safety of U.S. nuclear plants.
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Chairman Gregory Jaczko testified before the House and Senate on March 16, 2011, stating that U.S. nuclear reactors are safe. The 104 U.S. commercial nuclear reactors have significantly improved their operating reliability and are more closely watched by on-site NRC inspectors and regional staff than in any other time in the 500 years of nuclear industry's existence. Between 2005 and 2009, there were no abnormal occurrences, accidents, or deficiencies that caused alarm for public health and safety.
Exceptional security measures were taken to strengthen U.S. reactors after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on our nation. In the wake of the attack, the NRC ordered measures to protect reactors, control rooms, and spent fuel storage pools. It is these actions that make up the difference between the security of U.S. and Japanese reactors. Although the designs are the same, the U.S. has exceeded the security measures of those practiced by the Japanese. These precautions include the reactors' ability to sustain adverse events such as loss of crucial operating and safety systems due to natural events, fires, aircraft impact and explosions. The plants can withstand a total loss of electric power, the condition that ruined the reactor and fuel cooling systems at Fukushima. Additionally, U.S. plants are adequately protected against flooding from inside or outside the plant and have developed strategies for dealing with potential earthquake damage to critical facilities.
Currently, of the 104 U.S. commercial nuclear reactors, 62 have been approved to operate for an additional 20 years beyond the initial 40 year licensing period and others, such as the Diablo Canyon Plant near San Luis Obispo, are also expected to seek license renewals. Rest assured, public safety is a major concern of mine, especially since California is a major front for nuclear energy innovation. I am confident in the nuclear industry in the United States and will continue to work to ensure its safe delivery of clean, efficient, cheap energy alternatives.
Finally, I encourage you to visit my website at www.denham.house.gov to get the most current information on my work in Congress. Once again, thank you for contacting me. Please keep in touch.




Sincerely,

JEFF DENHAM
United States Representative"
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 13, 2011 - 10:42pm PT
thanks to Karl Baba:

Fukushima Now Worldwide Emergency 11 April 2011
11 April 2011 Fukushima Overtakes Chernobyl: Now Worldwide Emergency
- Dr Michael Colgan
Since our earlier press releases,1 Fukushima has become a lot worse. Today, 11 April 2011, at a press conference in Tokyo, in the face of continuing increases in radiation, the Japanese Government announced will extend the mandatory evacuation zone around the stricken nuclear plant to 30km and evacuate contaminated towns including Namie, Iitate and Minamisoma. Even outside the new evacuation zone, Kyodo News reports that, “radiation ranges from 590,000 to 2.19 million Bequerels/cubic meter”. These numbers far exceed the levels at Chernobyl, which ranged up to 550,000 Bequerels/cubic meter. Also today, Japan Broadcasting Corporation reported figures from Tokyo Electric Power Company of 300,000 Bequerels of iodine-131 per cubic centimeter, in the sea close to the intake of Fukushima No 2 Reactor, measured on Saturday.9 April. That is 7.5 million times above the legal limit. It also reported 200,000 Bequerels per cubic centimeter, or 5 million times above the limit measured at 9am today. Today’s sample also shows cesium-137, with a half-life of 30 years, at 1.1 million times above the limit. All of this water is sending plumes of radiation into the air. Yesterday, Sunday,10 April 2011, the Japan Times raged against Tokyo Electric Power Co by quoting nuclear engineer Tetsunari Iida, that the catastrophe has grown "beyond the reach" of Japan's nuclear establishment. Satoshi Sato, a Japanese nuclear industry consultant, called the current strategies a "waste of effort." He said, “Plant instruments are likely damaged and unreliable because of the intense heat, and pumping more water into the reactors is only making the contamination problem worse.” The past week has seen numerous unsuccessful attempts to control cooling water leaking back out of the damaged reactors, radioactive to millions of times beyond the acceptable limit, so radioactive that contact with it would be lethal within six minutes. “Screaming with radioactivity,” US nuclear engineer Michael Friedlander told The Washington Post, which reported waste water levels at ten million times over the limit. This is unbelievably extreme radioactivity, by far the worst ever from a reactor accident, released into the environment, completely beyond the limits of any possible shielding or cleaning. There is now no strategy in place that will stop the radiation release, indicating that the Fukushima catastrophe is far worse than Chernobyl. As of today, 11 April 2011, some nuclear experts in Japan consider that the Fukushima reactors, holding 1,760 tons of nuclear fuel, versus 180 tons at Chernobyl, are beyond control. Hidehiko Nishiyama, deputy director-general of the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA), stated yesterday, "We cannot say what the outlook is for the next stage”. The desperate Tokyo Electric Power Company has also deliberately poured more than 10,000 tons of less radioactive water, a mere 100 times or so over the limit, directly into the Pacific Ocean. This clear violation of international law has aroused furious diplomatic objections from China and South Korea, now resounding and multiplying throughout Asia. Meanwhile, Japanese politicians foment strategies to remove Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, for bungling the whole problem. Despite all the doom and gloom, I feel somewhat confident that TEPCO have now accepted the loss of face, and have finally engaged the best minds from Exelon, and Bechtel, the largest US nuclear operators, to fix it. It will still take many months, however. Meanwhile you have to protect yourself. Radiation over America and Canada In a head-in-the-sand refusal to acknowledge publicly that North America is sitting under a radiation cloud from Fukushima, the US and Canadian governments have yet to take official action to protect the public. Not so in Europe, where the radioactivity measurements show a much smaller fallout, only about 10% of that in North America. Nuclear authorities know well that even the small level of fallout in Europe is poisonous. On 7 April 2011, the French Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety (IRSN), and CRIIRAD the French nuclear research institution, issued an information package on the risks of radioactive iodine-131. They advise all citizens, that the risks from Fukushima, “are not negligible.” They especially warn pregnant women and infants against "risky behavior," such as consuming rain water, fresh milk, goat, sheep, and cow cheeses, and vegetables with large leaves. As we reported earlier,1 radiation from Fukushima began hitting the west coast of North America on Monday 14 March 2011, three days after the Japanese earthquake. It has increases dramatically since. The next strong plume is forecast to blanket California April 12-14. For the past three weeks, large amounts of fallout have been coming down with the rain over British Columbia. Simon Fraser University researchers collected samples on Burnaby Mountain and in downtown Vancouver. They first detected the iodine-131 signature in samples from March 19, 20, and 25. Here are the results (measured in Bequerels/L, that is, decays of iodine-131 per second/ per litre of rainwater) March 18 0 Bq/l March 19 9 Bq/l March 20 12 Bq/l March 25 11 Bq/l 12 Bq/L is equal to 324.3 picoCuries per liter. (Conversion calculator here) EPA drinking water limit for Iodine-131 is 3 picoCuries per liter. So the rain in Vancouver is up to 108 times over the limit. A good example of the US food chain contamination is milk. On 8 April, Forbes reported that milk samples from Phoenix and Los Angeles containing iodine-131 at levels equal to the maximum of 3.0 picoCuries per liter permitted by the EPA, The Phoenix samples contained 3.2. The Los Angeles samples contained 2.9. On 10 April, Forbes reported the highest levels yet, 8.9 picoCuries per liter in samples from Little Rock, three times over the limit. There are now more than 100 similar reports on the internet from universities and research organizations throughout North America Protect Your Family In previous reports from the Colgan Institute,1 I documented the unfolding catastrophe, and advised protective measures against absorbing radioactive iodine-131 that has entered North America. Iodine-131 has a half-life of only 8.2 days, that is, half its radiation decays in that period, and it is much less dangerous. With daily iodine supplementation of 200-400 micrograms, and avoidance of cow’s milk and fresh cheese, except after freezing it for two weeks, you can avoid most of it. We also advise people to avoid Japanese seafood and vegetables, and avoid rain on your skin. Western beaches and seaweed in North America are becoming progressively polluted with radiation, and, regrettably, it might be wise to avoid them also this summer. These measures will do a lot to prevent radiation from accumulating in your body to levels likely to cause disease. Now is also a good time to catch up on your family emergency preparedness kit, with 20 gallons of clean water, and long-term storage food. The Nuclear Future Fukushima is a very serious catastrophe. It shows clearly that any technologically advanced civilization, including the US and Canada can be rendered helpless in a second by a nuclear accident. There is no safe level of man-made radiation. Some people seem to have forgotten the history. My own mentor Richard Feynman, and Robert Oppenheimer, the developers of the Hiroshima bomb, both came to oppose nuclear development in the end. Einstein, whose genius made nuclear power possible, was against using it from the very beginning. In the 1950s, Linus Pauling, the only two-time winner of the Nobel Prize, warned the public repeatedly about any exposure to radiation. Pauling’s writings were endorsed by thousands of scientists worldwide, which finally led John F. Kennedy to sign the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty with the USSR on 5 August 1963. Now, in the race for global energy supremacy, the nuclear industry is using its endless taxpayer funding for thousands of “expert” puppets to sing nuclear lullabies to the masses. If I see another nuclear safety story set to the theme of Snow White, I really believe I will vomit. Are we just sheeple to be herded by such fairy tales? Another million cancers swept under the carpet? Another million malformed babies? If we can even conceive them. US male sperm counts are now so low in that five million couples cannot In 1964, geneticist Hermann Mueller, another Nobel Prize winner, spelled out in his treatise, Radiation and Heredity the genetic damage of ionizing radiation in humans. He accurately predicted the reduction of sperm counts, sperm viability, and fertility rates in the US that has occurred over the last three decades. Now is the time to object to nuclear power. Now is the time to besiege your representatives to turn towards the real green energy of wind, and solar, and tidal force, before we have another disaster that could turn the Earth into a radioactive cinder. Colgan Institute Reports on the Fukushima disaster 12, 13 ,16, 17, 31, 30 March, 1, 4, April, www.colganinstitute.com http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/node/1944 (tetsu@isep.or.jphttp://blogs.forbes.com/jeffmcmahon/2011/04/10/epa-new-radiation-highs-in-little-rock-milk-philadelphia-drinking-water/ http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/radiation-levels-reach-new-highs-as-conditions-worsen-for-workers/2011/03/27/AFsMLFiB_story.html CRIIRAD: Doses reçues par INGESTION d'iode 131 (7 Avril 2011) [EN - Ingestion of 131 iodine : Bq and doses] CRIIRAD: Accidents nucléaires au Japon : dossier spécial CRIIRAD: Contamination de la France par les rejets de la centrale de Fukushima Daiichi QUELS SONT LES RISQUES ? (7 Avril 2011) (corrected version) [EN - risk in France (and Europe)] http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2011/04/fukushima-evacuation-zone-set.html 10. http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/a... 11. Yoko Kubota and Kiyoshi Takenaka, Reuters April 11, 2011, 8:56 am "Cowardice asks the question, 'Is it safe?' Expediency asks the question, 'Is it politic?' Vanity asks the question, 'Is it popular? But, conscience asks the question, 'Is it right?' And there comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but one must take it because one's conscience tells one that it is right." Martin Luther King, Jr. See More
By: Michael Colgan

TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:00pm PT
I've been to only one nuke plant.

It took two weeks to get the clearance into the gate.

There was an extensive mandatory security and safety procedure briefing.

There were lines painted on the pavement that delineated a demarcation past where deadly force was authorized against ANY unescorted persons without prior authorization. We were hundreds of yards from anything nuclear.

I was working on a completely trivial system and there was still a written procedure like a space launch.

Stick to taking pictures Karl.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:05pm PT
TGT...How did you survive the deadly force zone...? rj
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:07pm PT
TGT....You were doing trivial procedures...? Please don't tell me nuclear janitors make a hundred thou a year...? rj
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:11pm PT
Commissioning a precision chemical feed system to kill critters in the cooling intake steam and prevent fouling the heat exchangers.

Having someone with an MP5 and a black uniform standing around is a bit distracting.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:28pm PT
How to fight a Zirconium fire: Don't. If metal fines become ignited it is advisable to allow the material to burnout. Fire can be controlled by smothering with dry table salt or using Type D dry powder fire extinguisher material. Wear reflective heat resistant suit.

How to fight Zirconium cladding fire inside nuclear reactor pressure vessel
that has boiled dry:** See Unusual Fire and Explosion Hazards:a runaway oxidation reaction—referred to as a zirconium cladding fire—will proceed as a burn front (e.g., as seen in a forest fire or a fireworks sparkler) along the axis of the fuel rod toward the source of oxidant (i.e., air or steam). The heat released from such fires can be even greater than the decay heat produced in newly discharged spent fuel.

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=4&ved=0CC8QFjAD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.iamaterials.com%2Fmaterials%2FMSDS%2FZirconium.doc&rct=j&q=zirconium%20metal%20zircalloy%20%2C%20msds&ei=jF-mTdWxI4q6sQONpLX6DA&usg=AFQjCNG32d0WN0ba2ixGqPuqgrKp1QgWow&cad=rja

http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11263&page=39
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:30pm PT
I've been to only one nuke plant.

It took two weeks to get the clearance into the gate.

There was an extensive mandatory security and safety procedure briefing.

There were lines painted on the pavement that delineated a demarcation past where deadly force was authorized against ANY unescorted persons without prior authorization. We were hundreds of yards from anything nuclear.

I was working on a completely trivial system and there was still a written procedure like a space launch.

Stick to taking pictures Karl.

So are you telling me at 13 guys with AK47s instead of box cutters couldn't just have their way with the place? I'm sure that automatic weapons could bypass the clearance/briefing proceedures

Peace

karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:33pm PT
Yer clueless
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:40pm PT
Clue me in Bro. What am I missing here?

These things have to be reckoned ahead of time. My congressman tells me they changed procedures to protect plants but hey, they were already planning to reinforce cockpit doors before 9-11.

But calling me clueless while you're championing the safety of nuclear energy while one of the greatest accidents in nuclear history is completely unresolved seems a little off the mark.

I'm sure you would have discounted the possibility of this Japan scenario ever happening if asked one day before the quake hit

peace

karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:43pm PT
I'm not discussing security procedures any more than this,

I intentionally misidentified the arms.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:51pm PT
From the democacy Now site where they interview Dr. Michio Kaku

The Japanese government is trying to calm fears about radiation levels and food safety in the region around the heavily damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power facility, even as it has raised the severity rating of the crisis to the highest possible level. "Radiation is continuing to leak out of the reactors. The situation is not stable at all," says Dr. Michio Kaku, professor of theoretical physics at the City University of New York and the City College of New York. "The slightest disturbance could set off a full-scale meltdown at three nuclear power stations, far beyond what we saw at Chernobyl."

Listen here

http://www.democracynow.org/2011/4/13/expert_despite_japanese_govt_claims_of

Peace

Karl




Thanks for posting that Karl. PhD Michio Kaku is a very honest man. I sure like him. Very interesting listen . . .
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 13, 2011 - 11:57pm PT
Karl - I'm thinking that this problem has no solution but have to keep trying. They can't say that of course.

In the meantime some of nuclear tech is fascinating.

example: According to Nuclear Regulatory Commission staff, the total decay heat in a spent fuel pool is 3.9 megawatts (MW) ten days after a one-third-core offload.

That's a fairly staggering number. The Number 4 pool had recent full core offload plus dozens of older ones. No human could have witnessed the fireworks as that boiled dry then auto ignited like giant sparklers making the hydrogen that blew the building apart.

Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:00am PT
Busby on RT: 400,000 to develop cancer in 200 km radius of Fukushima
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x573116

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0H-mtsdsgg
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:03am PT
From

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/14_03.html

Note that if they are already finding fish with 25 times the limit for Cesium, with it's long half life, in small fish, then its virtually certain to concentrate in higher levels in larger fish that eat those small fish. These larger fish are more likely to swim larger distances, outside areas already closed to fishing. The worldwide fishing industry is notorious already for fudging the facts on their catches.

You'll have to ask yourself soon, does my dinner have oil from the gulf or cesium from Japan onboard?

"The health ministry has detected radioactivity above the legal limit in fish caught off Fukushima Prefecture and 11 kinds of vegetables grown in the prefecture.

The ministry says it found 12,500 becquerels per kilogram, or 25 times the limit, of radioactive cesium in small fish called sand lances caught off Iwaki City, south of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant on Wednesday. It also discovered 12,000 becquerels, or 6 times the limit, of radioactive iodine in the fish.

On April 7th, sand lances caught off the city were already found to be contaminated with radioactive cesium in excess of the limit. Sand lances caught off Ibaraki Prefecture, south of Fukushima, were also found to be polluted with the radioactive substance.

The central government says sand lances are currently not being sold as fishing cooperatives in the 2 prefectures are not in operation.

Radioactivity was also detected on 11 kinds of vegetables sampled in Fukushima on Monday.

Authorities detected 1,960 becquerels per kilogram, or 4 times the legal limit, of cesium on Japanese parsley, known as Seri, grown in Soma City.

On Wednesday, the government banned the shipment of some shiitake mushrooms grown outdoors in eastern Fukushima after detecting radioactivity above the legal limit.
Thursday, April 14, 2011 07:28 +0900 (JST)"
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:16am PT
Wonder if the Bering Sea crab fishermen and checking for isotopes yet?


i.e. all the bait fish they load into the pots...



Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:39am PT
So are you telling me at 13 guys with AK47s instead of box cutters couldn't just have their way with the place? I'm sure that automatic weapons could bypass the clearance/briefing proceedures


TGT may not take pleasure in me agreeing with him…but security IS considerably concentrated at U.S. nuclear facilities. The physical barriers and security force at the INEL reactor I worked in would rout thirteen terrorists with AK47’s .

A few years ago, an army elite tactical unit from Fort Benning.…flew into the INEL, landing a large airplane on the highway, and attempted a raid on the facility at night… (The guard force had been advised it would happen within a two week window). They failed to gain entrance either through the gate or over the fences…fortunately no live bullets… so they were able to return to Georgia in full health… but somewhat subdued spirits.

…or so I was told by INEL guards.

Karl, some nuclear reactors grant limited tours through educational organizations. Such a visit may not change your opinion of the nuclear industry but might alter your perceptions of security and give you opportunity to scrutinize reactor operations at closer proximity.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:45am PT
TGT... " having someone holding a MP5 and wearing black clothing is pretty distracting " Were you able to get her phone number...? rj
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:57am PT
Studly, no shill here. Most of my career has been in cleanup of the worst sites you can imagine and some that you can't.

A cover up on a massive scale so as to not alarm the population and have any negative effect on the economy or impact Japan or nuclear power here in the US.

I was responding to your "cover up" assertion. Asking you if you trust the many different sources to tell you the truth or not here in the US. Apparently you can as you did offer up a reference so I suppose that your statement above was made in an emotional moment due to all of the concerns each of us have about this incident.

And Karl, 20,000 years is a long time, not sure where you got that from. More fear mongering? My CHEMIST tells me the half-life of Cs-137 is 33.6 years. (She could be off on this but her PhD dissertation revolved around Cesium so I tend to believe her).


My only point is that many of you are reacting from fear and not from a logical examination of where our energy comes from and all of the environmental risks associated with each source. Nor are many of you able to keep it to the facts which are serious enough without the exaggeration.

EDIT:

Jennie's point is very well taken. I worked for DOD for 10 years and will not name sites. The last place I worked at they scanned my finger print and I had 5 gates to gain entrance under the purview of armed guards. They took my badge and examined my picture against their computer picture. That was DOD and from what I have seen, the DOE and Nuclear facility security is much tighter than that and the guards are much scarier looking and seemingly better trained.

Oh and one more thing Karl. As an experienced Chemical Engineer I can assure you that it would be far easier to wreak havoc in a city with commonly available chemicals than you could possibly imagine.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:03am PT
Sometimes fear is logical.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:10am PT
Good point John. But I would much rather have my fear based upon reality than the boogey man
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:13am PT
the trouble with this sort of security is that it requires continual very high attention

don't blink!

eventually the empire falls asleep

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:24am PT
Golson, As Karl has pointed out. The nuclear industry keeps saying..everything is in control.. Not using those words, but trying for that effect. Yet the facts that keep coming out of this are worse then they say.

We planned for a large earthquake.. Oops.. not that large.
Who could have forsaw such a large Tsunami?.. oh.. I don't know. maybe the people who put the rocks in place.

These are the kinds of things we keep hearing.

You keep saying. Well.. other things like driving and chemical plants are also dangerous. And I keep saying, but not in the same way, with potentially very long term consequences.

I am very glad that the nuclear industry is taking some of these things seriously. But I'm tired of being treated like .. You just can't handle the truth..

Plus.. and this is the biggie.. the nuclear industry doesn't get an.. oops... Not one. Or don't you understand that?

The letter Karl received from the Senator was basically saying. Well, we do things better then the Japanese.. Really??????

I hope that you can understand that it is difficult to trust an industry that keeps saying.. everything is okay.. when they also say.. well we don't really know what would happen in a complete meltdown. Maybe there would be an explosion. maybe there wouldn't.

...

Anyway.. I didn't mean to rant so long. I do appreciate your and Adams commentary on this forum. This is a difficult subject and I hope you will forgive me for not exactly trusting everything that comes out of it.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:25am PT
while the 137Cs physical half life is roughly 34 years, it's biological half-life, the time it hangs around in the body before being leaving is 70 days in humans. That means that you do not accumulate 137Cs which is a good thing.

reactor accidents are waiting games because the prompt radiations have to die off before people, or even machines, can get close to the location of the accident. During the wait the reactors have to be managed in such a way that they do not overheat and in so doing cause more problems.

the damage to the power plants and the limitations of working in them have necessarily slowed down the progress in re-establishing the "normal" cooling loops, which may also be damaged and not functional. it is a disaster to run the water through the plants and dump it into the sea, but the alternative choice is to not cool the cores, which is no choice at all.

so while we wait the radioactive elements are released into the environment, and that is not a good thing, certainly. we can only hope that the reactors can be managed in this "safe" mode until it is possible to effect the necessary repairs first to stop the discharges but secondly to secure the reactors in some form of entombment that will not lead to future radioactive leaks.

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:31am PT
we can only hope that the reactors can be managed in this "safe" mode until it is possible to effect the necessary repairs first to stop the discharges but secondly to secure the reactors in some form of entombment that will not lead to future radioactive leaks.

It is difficult to maintain hope when the system is so fragile.. including the human ego that was running this show. Tepco kept saying that everything was being done that could be done. Yet when the powerlines were being readied, the road to the place hadn't been cleared so the power company could easily string the line. That delayed things by over a day. These kinds of things make it hard to trust that they even know what "everything" is.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:42am PT
Just to come up with a quick answer about where I got it, I googled 20,000 years exclusion zone and got this from here

http://schuylerthorpe.wordpress.com/2011/03/18/25-years-later-the-ghost-of-chernobyl-persists/


"....Officials say Ukraine is likely to spend billions of euros on confinement upkeep costs before it finds a way to bury the reactor components, perhaps under layers of underground granite rocks. Even then the area around the plant will remain unsuitable for thousands of years. Asked how long before people can settle down and grow crops at the site, Chernobyl power plant director Ihor Gramotkin said: “At least 20,000 years......”

I could be wrong about security at plants. I had heard about the lax security when ABC news sent "student" to check out reactors on 25 campuses and this prompted a federal investigation.

element of that report are available from

http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/LooseNukes/

including this from here

http://abcnews.go.com/Primetime/LooseNukes/story?id=1206529&page=1

A four-month ABC News investigation found gaping security holes at many of the little-known nuclear research reactors operating on 25 college campuses across the country. Among the findings: unmanned guard booths, a guard who appeared to be asleep, unlocked building doors and, in a number of cases, guided tours that provided easy access to control rooms and reactor pools that hold radioactive fuel.

ABC News found none of the college reactors had metal detectors, and only two appear to have armed guards. Many of the schools permit vehicles in close proximity to the reactor buildings without inspection for explosives.

A spokesman for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, which oversees the nation's campus research reactors, said that, based on the ABC News findings, the agency has opened an investigation into at least five of the schools.

"The NRC will not hesitate to take strong enforcement action should we find a violation," said Eliot B. Brenner, director of the NRC's Office of Public Affairs. The NRC is also reviewing the adequacy of reactor security plans at other schools as a result of the ABC News investigation, Brenner said.

But critics in Congress say that the ABC News findings reveal another area where the NRC has been slow to respond to potential terrorist threats.

"The security problems exposed here offer yet more evidence that, four years after 9/11, the NRC has not done nearly enough to secure our nation's nuclear facilities," said Rep. Edward Markey, D-Mass., a senior member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, which oversees the NRC."

This was in 2005. Well after 9-11

Now these reactors may be like easy - bake ovens compared to a big nuke plant but terrorists could still do some serious baking with them.

Just sayin

Peace

Karl



Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:50am PT
Be sure and check out my last post on the previous page

Ed writes

...
reactor accidents are waiting games because the prompt radiations have to die off before people, or even machines, can get close to the location of the accident. During the wait the reactors have to be managed in such a way that they do not overheat and in so doing cause more problems.

the damage to the power plants and the limitations of working in them have necessarily slowed down the progress in re-establishing the "normal" cooling loops, which may also be damaged and not functional. it is a disaster to run the water through the plants and dump it into the sea, but the alternative choice is to not cool the cores, which is no choice at all.

so while we wait the radioactive elements are released into the environment, and that is not a good thing, certainly. we can only hope that the reactors can be managed in this "safe" mode until it is possible to effect the necessary repairs first to stop the discharges but secondly to secure the reactors in some form of entombment that will not lead to future radioactive leaks"

I think this is a fair assessment of the situation. Where we might disagree is that I find this checkmated sort of situation, with so much at stake, (and they could still lose the battle) to be unacceptable in consequences and risk. We're stuck with it now in Japan, but we just can't set ourselves up for accidents where we can't get close enough to prevent vast disaster. That's one of the problems with Nuke accidents.

Peace

karl
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:54am PT
John, the outcome doesn't depend on your hope or despair...

Karl, there has been an extensive program to secure all of those reactors, and other radioactive material since 9/11, a major program of multiple departments of the USG (Energy, Defense, Homeland Security). In addition, developing replacements for commercially used radioactive materials is an active area of R&D also funded by Energy and Homeland Security.

The situation is much better now than at the time of your report.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:58am PT
20,000 years would be the half-lives of various core materials spewed out at Chernobyl. It is what is being avoided in Japan, so far. It's 100's of years if only 137Cs...

jstan

climber
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:06am PT
I think the question as to the length of time before people can live near an accident site has to be approached on practical terms. If you lived in economically stressed times and cannot feed your children, even though living next to excellent unused farm land, what would you do? Dying at 35 is tomorrow. Your kids are hungry today.

In practical terms, nuclear accidents offer the prospect of shorter life span.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:06am PT
Tom writes

the trouble with this sort of security is that it requires continual very high attention

don't blink!

eventually the empire falls asleep

Yeah, I was thinking that too. The bad new is that if they have to maintain enough security 24/7/365 to ward off a concerted terrorist attack at each nuke plant, that's just another risk/expense that speaks against the technology and it's cost effectiveness.

The empire is at risk of degradation. Look at our recent economic woes and now we're going to be facing peak oil. After the soviet union collapsed, the vigilance over their nukes got pretty slack. That's one sucking thing about nukes, they require money and vigilance over longer periods than humans have a right to vouchsafe.

Some interesting stuff from here

http://abcnews.go.com/Nightline/LooseNukes/story?id=1208241

.....A report released this year by Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government says that there is enough material in the former Soviet Union to build 80,000 nuclear weapons -- and only half of it is secured.

"There's certainly a huge amount of material," Brooks said. "The Cold War produced in both sides exceptionally large quantities of material."

At the height of the Cold War, the Soviet Union sent nuclear material to 17 Soviet republics and allies, including a reactor in Latvia.

But with the collapse of the Soviet Union, there was neither the money nor the political will to support these reactors. Today, the Latvia reactor's control room is covered with dust -- it was shut down seven years ago. But the nuclear fuel remained, protected by only a rickety gate, a few guards and some dogs.

Other sites in Russia were protected by simple locks or just wax and some string -- the same technology used to seal official letters hundreds of years ago. The Energy Department says the United States has upgraded security in about half of the sites in the former Soviet Union. But the only failsafe protection is to remove the material and take it to a secure location.....

....Ultimately, only about 6.5 pounds -- a fraction of what is needed to build a nuclear bomb -- was removed from Latvia. At a cost of $340,000 for the operation, that's about $51,500 a pound. In the next five years, the United States expects to spend more than $500 million to reduce the nuclear threat worldwide, including in the former Soviet Union.....

But critics say we don't have time and point to 18 confirmed incidents of nuclear smuggling in the last decade.

....Nuclear physicist Peter Zimmerman said not enough is being done to protect America. "All of our recovery efforts are fragmented," he said. "They're under-funded. The United States can afford to spend the money to recover this material ... a lot more than it can afford to replace a city......."

Peace

karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:20am PT
Ed writes

20,000 years would be the half-lives of various core materials spewed out at Chernobyl. It is what is being avoided in Japan, so far. It's 100's of years if only 137Cs...


Since 100s of years is the whole history of the United States, I find that to be a long time. We'll see about the "so far" and hope for the best. I don't think we know the extent of the contamination yet. We know there's more than 137c, for example

from March 29th

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42301452/ns/world_news-asia-pacific/

TOKYO — Highly toxic plutonium is seeping from the damaged nuclear power plant in Japan's tsunami disaster zone into the soil outside, officials said Tuesday, further complicating the delicate operation to stabilize the overheated facility.

"The situation is very grave," Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano told reporters Tuesday. "We are doing our utmost efforts to contain the damage."

Experts had expected traces would be detected once crews began searching for it, because plutonium is present in the production of nuclear energy.

Plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. said the amounts found at five sites during testing last week were very small and were not a risk to public health.

TEPCO official Jun Tsuruoka said only two of the plutonium samples were believed to be from a leaking reactor. The other three samples were from earlier nuclear tests, he said. Years of weapons testing in the atmosphere have left trace amounts of plutonium in many places around the world.

But finding plutonium is a concern because it is the most toxic of isotopes that can be released from a nuclear reactor. It can be fatal to humans in very tiny doses and does not decay quickly.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:23am PT
John, the outcome doesn't depend on your hope or despair...

Never said or implied that it did. I was responding to Golsons continued complaint about all the fear. Its difficult to have hope that the nuclear industry can do a good job as a whole with such a dangerous material.

His fear seems to be that we wont allow nuclear energy to continue.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:01am PT
Another interesting article today in the New York Times written by a Japanese about how the ongoing disaster has affected the psychology of the general public.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/opinion/14iht-edmakihara14.html?ref=global

There's another article about how many Japanese who weren't even near the disasters are now experiencing Traumatic Stress symptoms, feeling earthquakes that aren't there.

I'm sure this is only the beginning.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:10am PT
As for nuclear safety, I certainly hope it has improved. I had an Army Special Forces officer living next door to me in government quarters here in Okinawa back in the late 1980's, who told me how much fun they had invading nuclear facilities around the Pacific Northwest to test their security.

He mentioned that they were able to penetrate the highest security one (sorry I didn't ask for the name) by digging under the fence and that when they entered the control room, the operators on duty were sound asleep. They left notes on their consoles letting them know they had been there and then snuck back out of the place without ever being detected.

This was all part of a conversation about some of the more fun things he had done as part of his job. Another time they were called on to guard a bunch of "nutty professors" who were doing a research project in Panama. He was still amazed at how smart and lacking in common sense they were. Of course being a professor, I had plenty of my own stories to add on that score!
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:23am PT
Jan wrote

He mentioned that they were able to penetrate the highest security one (sorry I didn't ask for the name) by digging under the fence and that when they entered the control room, the operators on duty were sound asleep. They left notes on their consoles letting them know they had been there and then snuck back out of the place without ever being detected.

Truth is stranger than fiction!



;-)

Karl
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:45am PT
Years of weapons testing in the atmosphere have left trace amounts of plutonium in many places around the world.

But finding plutonium is a concern because it is the most toxic of isotopes that can be released from a nuclear reactor. It can be fatal to humans in very tiny doses and does not decay quickly.


Jun Tsuruoka is right about our weapons testing heritage, Karl…but in context of reactor leakage, he neglected to interject that nuclear bombs were intended to spread radioactive materials over a wide area…nuclear reactors are designed to contain radioactivity.

The blast and rising heat storm from a BOMB forces heavy radionuclides like plutonium into the upper atmosphere … which ultimately settle throughout the planet. When containment fails at a nuclear reactor, heavier elements such as uranium and plutonium settle out very quickly and do not reach the upper atmosphere or get blown far by typical winds.

Elemental plutonium and uranium are not water soluble but their oxides are. Plutonium can bind with some organic substances in water… the natural process for the removal of plutonium from water is adsorption onto sediments.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:21am PT
Could you clarify what you are saying Jennie?

Since they found plutonium outside the plant, it obviously isn't completely contained. One of those reactors uses MOX fuel.

How far could plutonium get from the plant if that MOX reactor melted down? What would be the consequences for how far?

Thanks

Peace

karl
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 14, 2011 - 05:22am PT
Just the point that uranium, plutonium and other transuranic remnants of weapons testing were transported into the upper atmosphere by the explosion and firestorm of nuclear bombs... and ultimately deposited worldwide, Karl.

Some may read the Tsuruoka quote and conclude that these heavy radio nuclides are as transmigrant from a relatively quiescent reactor accident as from the extreme blast, heat and fury a nuclear bomb detonation.

The hazards (in the Fukushima breach of containment) from uranium, plutonium and other heavy isotopes will be more localized. The lighter airborne radio nuclides, if they’ve been transported in prodigious enough quantities, will be a greater peril to the wider population.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 07:57am PT
Adam, where did you find these pictures? Were they just released?
I have not seen any pics of the tsunami hitting Fukushima in the media so far...
A colleague emailed them to me.


Oh and one more question: if the diesel tanks are underground, what do they store in those large white tanks that can be seen next to the reactor buildings? Water?
Assumeing you are talking about the large white tanks on the ocean side of the Turbine Building [not the Reactor Buildings]... There are many tanks onsite, they could be dimineralized water, efluent water, or any number of things. I can't tell you what they are from just those pictures, which is why I'm looking for pictures from 'before', or a detailed plant layout... To assume or speculate would do no good, as too much of that has been done thus far. We use a term in nuclear: "Trust but verify"


As for your theory about water coming into the tanks and being pumped into the generators: What about the idea that they just got drowned in the flood and malfunctioned? Or are they located high off the ground?
It's not MY theory, it is what an SRO understood to have happened... I had initially thought the same thing as you, that they flooded, but this does make better sense, given our EDG in the US, which is WHY I'm trying to get a better understanding of their plant layout, so I can 'verify' if that may be the case. If they are anything like our EDGs, they are at a higher level, behind extra sturdy watertight doors. Again, I need better pics or a plant layout to answer whether or not those were higher up... See above regarding speculation.


Edit: just read that you said they are (or at least should be) behind watertight doors. Considering the pressure and force of the tsunami wave I wonder if those doors held...
Here in the US, they are the same as watertight doors on US Battleships... They will hold, as they are also built to contain or withstand explosive force.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 08:10am PT
So Golsen, How many guys with machine guns would it take to break in to where that highly radioactive waste is stored and put a bomb there to spread it everywhere? Wouldn't it be WAY easier than the 9-11 plot?

Just sayin'
I won't go into any details regarding security, other than...

The security force is likely the same size a normal county sherrif's department, but MUCH better armed and trained.

Navy Seals, and other US Special Ops Forces, regularly test the security at all US sites.


If you search the net, or nrc.org, you can get more details concerning the requirements, especially post 9/11.



A few years ago some college girls got entrance to spent fuel pool with backpacks on just by smiling and asking.
Source please? This would be very newsworthy, so if this happened, it should be easy to post a link to verify. While they used to give tours of plants before 9/11, even then, ALL people (100%) who go into the protected area are searched, including their belongings. And by searched, I mean more so that to get on a plane.

Edit... I see you linked something about "campus research reactors", and I cannot speak for those, as I work at commercial nukes, and if 13 terrorists attacked a nuke in the US, they would be dead very quickly. They would much rather attack a soft target, like a busy mall or elementary school, creating TERROR, rather than dying trying to attack a hard target. What happened at those campus reactors is really bad, and they answer to the NRC just as we do, so I seriously doubt that is still the case, and they likely were fined heavily for the 'findings'.

Some info, you likely won't read, yet addresses everything you are asking about security:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part073/

And, again, what I do:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part050/
-Specifically:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part050/part050-appb.html
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 14, 2011 - 10:42am PT
security at every location that contains fissile material, and "special nuclear material" has been substantially upgraded since 2005, and the various security "exercises" have benefited those upgrades.

It is a mistake to quote those old reports as indicative of what the situation is right now.

I think it is also true that eternal vigilance is difficult to maintain, and that the tendency to believe that you would not lose the last "war" you fought indicates that you would do well in future "wars" should give us all pause. It is common sense to secure these materials in a place which is defendable against a force whose objective is to take control of them.

The program of securing nuclear materials world wide has also progressed greatly since 2005, though this statement can only be taken in a relative way, that is, we have to be prepared for the possibility that not all of the material has been secured. In our favor is the fact that most national entities see it in their interest to maintain control, and verifiably, so there is much international cooperation on this front.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 11:59am PT
Adam, I see by your edit that you found my source

Ed writes

security at every location that contains fissile material, and "special nuclear material" has been substantially upgraded since 2005, and the various security "exercises" have benefited those upgrades.

It is a mistake to quote those old reports as indicative of what the situation is right now.

2005 is an "Old" report? Here's where the nuke industry gets my goat sometimes. Some ugly thing happens and everybody says, "that's the Old way we used to build things, it's better and smarter and foolproof now."

But 2005 is not very long ago and if security was lax then (and don't forget Jan's story about the military testing the "highly secure site" by digging under the fence and finding the guys sleeping at the console) YEARS after 9-11, then....???? I just don't think humans are smart enough to anticipate the future enough to be responsible for this technology.

Because it's 2011 now and the Japanese are among the smartest and most prosperous people on the planet and the biggest users of nukes and if this can happen to them, then i have to wonder in which year we can breath a sign of relief and say "No worries now, this technology is finally foolproof and no disaster can happen which will make some town a no live zone for hundreds of years"

I think when we're that smart, we'll have figured out new energy technology.

Which we'd need to anyway cause uranium is a very limited resource which will run out, leaving old reactors which take big bucks and time to decommission. This can be extended by reprocessing fuel, the ultimate proliferation risk, which can be used to make weapons that could destroy the whole world (the only way we can really cut proliferation is by abandoning this tech everywhere)

Sort of reminds me that it's been a pretty darn recent proposal by our own high level politicians (like Cheney) to bomb Iranian nuclear sites for doing what they are allowed under the NPT. Hopefully their sites are protected from bombs too or what sort of environmental crisis would unfold if we did that?

PEace

karl
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:16pm PT
current snapshot of the Fukushima nuclear fallout. There is nothing to worry about as far as you know, because really its just a fawking crapshoot and there is a sh#t load of nuclear waste falling out of the sky on your head, and anyone that portends to know that we are perfectly safe and in no danger, your children are fine, blah blah blah, is full of sh#t. Stay out of the rain and keep your kids out of it.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
But 2005 is not very long ago and if security was lax then (and don't forget Jan's story about the military testing the "highly secure site" by digging under the fence and finding the guys sleeping at the console) YEARS after 9-11, then....????
You are assuming that security was 'lax' at US commercial nukes prior to 2005, it was not. It has just gotten substantially better since then, just as it had gotten substantially better after 9/11, and prior to that it had continuously gotten better. NOTHING is static, but is dynamic, and always improving. I was working at a nuke when 9/11 happened, and was very surprised at the response of security already onsite... It was intense*! I had initially thought it was the National Guard.

I started inspecting nukes in '96, and it was VERY secure then. In fact, I cannot see the story Jan told happening from my time in nukes on, as even digging near the "double fences" would be remotely detected... Well armed security often responds to wildlife setting off such sensors. I won't go into other details about trying to get to 'vital' areas within the plant, of which the control room is one, other than saying, it is IMPOSSIBLE to get there undetected, if even alive. I can't speak for security in the 80's, but will caution that stories often get exagerated and have elements added when speaking amongst friends over a beer or 12... Kinda like 'chicks getting to the secure areas on just a smile'.


Edit...
* A friend I was working with at the nuke we were at during 9/11 looked Lebanese (we called him Omar, jokingly), but was really Latino... On night, he was coming in to work and had his girlfriend driving. There was a checkpoint out in the forest, long before one can see the plant, and it would be a pain for her to have to make a u-turn in their crappy old Caddie after she dropped him off, so he told her to just let him out about 25 yards from the checkpoint... He got out, went to the trunk to get his dufflebag, and started walking to the gate. At about 20 feet from the guard-shack, the guard came out with gun drawn and said, "FREEZE!!!! Drop the bag, and put your hands in the air!" He dropped the bag, and put his hands in the air, just someone came out of the forest in face paint and ghillie suit and pressed an AR-15 to his head. He started shaking, and almost peed himself.

When he got into work, and told me the story... I asked him, "Where his sense of humor was? And that he should have reached in the bag and yelled 'Praise Allah'!" He didn't think that was funny. On my way out, as he was relieving me, I talked to the same guard who drew down on him, and told him what I'd said, and he said, "Man... We would have made a mistake of that boy if he had joked like that."

Note - I never was serious about him saying that, but was trying to make light of an intense situation.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:01pm PT
Kinda like 'chicks getting to the secure areas on just a smile'.

actually, that was ABC news telling that story, documenting it, and the NRC investigated.

I wasn't "assuming" anything about commercial nuke sites, as even university easy-bake oven reactors could cause a plenty nasty disaster, particularly since they tend to be in urban areas.

As for the alleged high security now, that's great but comes nowhere near solving the myriad of deadly problems we have around nuclear energy, the main technology which is the source of weapons with the power to destroy all life on this planet and the source of electricity technology that could make whole areas uninhabitable if it goes wrong. Those are pretty large demerits so when DMT believes I have a chip on my shoulder about nukes, it's because there are rational reasons for that and I've amply cited them here.

After all those hijackings to Cuba, airport security was totally beefed up and yet 9-11 happened. The twin towers were designed to withstand an airliner hitting them but they still went down. Some other nuke plant in Japan was designed to have no issues with a 7.1 earthquake but the 7.1 aftershock they had still messed with it because the quake rocked things more than anticipated.

Moral? We think we know more than we do. We think was can protect more than we can, and there's always something we didn't plan for. Thus, best not to play with fire than can't be put out with a fire truck

Peace

karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 01:06pm PT
Karl...
...I have a chip on my shoulder about nukes, it's because there are rational reasons for that and I've amply cited them here.

Much of what you have cited here is either old, misleading, or just plain wrong... But, even when this is pointed out, you still hold on to it, using it to shore up your 'chip' and to make erroneous extrapolations... Which does not really equal 'rational reasons', my friend. In fact, it can be considered the antithesis of it.

I'm not going to bother picking apart the rest of your post, as it would do no good, and I just get frustrated.

My point is that, you are on the other extreme that you accuse me of being on... BUT, I am not merely speculating or cherry picking info, what you call 'happy talk'.


Oh, and I was editting in some humor to my post above when you were posting, so you may wish to reread... It may lighten the load of that 'heavy' chip, my friend. ;-)

See... In the end, you and I are still more alike than different... We both care about our environment, and our fellow man, A LOT! We don't inherit the Earth from our parents, but instead borrow it from our grandchildren, and we both want to return it to them in the future in better condition that we got it. I pack out trash left by others, just like I assume you do, Karl.


~Adam
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:11pm PT
And, Karl...

I'm with you on renewables and green energy, as are the utilities:
Progress Energy to build NC's first poultry waste-to-biogas plant

RALEIGH — From farm waste to fuel, poultry litter in southeastern North Carolina has found a new purpose. Progress Energy Carolinas has signed a contract with Poultry Power USA to purchase the output of a poultry waste-to-biogas energy plant to be located in Montgomery County, N.C. Poultry Power USA will build, own and operate the 36-megawatt (MW) power plant and sell the electricity to the utility for use with its customers.

“Turning poultry litter into power is an important milestone in the development of bio-waste energy resources in our state,” said Lloyd Yates, president and chief executive officer of Progress Energy Carolinas. “Innovative renewable energy technologies, aggressive energy efficiency programs and a state-of-the-art power system are important parts of a balanced approach to meeting our region’s future energy demands.”

http://www.citizen-times.com/article/20110413/NEWS/304130047/Progress-Energy-build-NC-s-first-poultry-waste-biogas-plant?odyssey=mod%7Cnewswell%7Ctext%7CFrontpage%7Cp

From chicken poop, brutha. And this technology IS used all over the country to use methane produced by waste products to power plants. And the plus is that methane is ~20 times more of a green-house gas than is carbon dioxide, so it is being used and burned (into CO2 and CO, again less of a GH gas), rather than just escaping to the environment.



In my neighborhood, just 3 miles from the plant, there is a PhD who does a lot of work on biodiesel from algae, and she even had a special on Discovery or History about it some years ago... She does a lot of this from her house, where she has a lab, and we often see her experiments in her yard. She worked out at the nuke as well a while ago, I believe as a chemist.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:28pm PT
Adam writes


Much of what you have cited here is either old, misleading, or just plain wrong... But, even when this is pointed out, you still hold on to it, using it to shore up your 'chip' and to make erroneous extrapolations... Which does not really equal 'rational reasons', my friend. In fact, it can be considered the antithesis of it.

I'm not going to bother picking apart the rest of your post, as it would do no good, and I just get frustrated.

My point is that, you are on the other extreme that you accuse me of being on... BUT, I am not merely speculating or cherry picking info, what you call 'happy talk'.

I'd like to point out that I'm not against YOU at all. I'm criticizing the technology and taking issue with statements regarding the gravity of the situation. I think your educated statement of the worst reasonable case scenario is almost certainly already the case and will be found to be worse when the facts are uncovered.

I've cited sources for my statements and you've done little to debunk them. You can say some are old or whatever but the basic fact is, one of the very worst accidents is unfolding RIGHT NOW, in one of the smartest, richest, industrial nations of the world, and if they didn't have four full-on meltdowns, it's partly or fully due to LUCK!

And that alone should point to all the reassuring statements as happy talk.

So it's nothing personal, but I do not accept your criticism that my qualms about the nuclear situation are fearful and irrational because the unfolding of events keep bolstering my case and keeps showing the statements from the industry to be downplaying and inaccurate. Something the Japanese people are realizing as well.

Those folks aren't going back home within a few months as you say. They increased the evacuation zone and noted that it wasn't because of immediate danger but long term exposure that the risk came from. That means, months from now, it's still going to be empty houses kilometers from the plant

But don't take it personally. I totally believe you when you say you mean well, but it's sort of like we all love our country and yet don't seem to notice we're the biggest war mongers on the planet. We have to lead in a good way because we're facing a squeeze economically and in resources.

Peace

Karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 14, 2011 - 02:37pm PT
36MW?


That's a lot of chickenshit!

Many of the larger sewage treatment plants burn methane from the primary digesters in large stationary generators.



There are some large scale algae farms getting underway in the Imperial valley. A long way from being comercially viable yet though. Don't know what their CO2 source will be.

A large Calif cement plant was seriously researching an algae farm for carbon sequestration a couple of years ago but CARB has made it impossible to stay in the state. They are leaving for Mexico and Texas.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:09pm PT
I was responding to Golsons continued complaint about all the fear. Its difficult to have hope that the nuclear industry can do a good job as a whole with such a dangerous material.

His fear seems to be that we wont allow nuclear energy to continue.

John, my fear is that nuclear energy won't continue due to irrational public lynchings without a full analysis and understanding of the alternatives. From the persepctive of protection of human health and the environment, I still believe that Nuclear is better than Coal.

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:13pm PT
I know you have no issues with me, Karl, and I don't take any of your replies to me personally.


I think your educated statement of the worst reasonable case scenario is almost certainly already the case and will be found to be worse when the facts are uncovered.
. . .
Those folks aren't going back home within a few months as you say.
Actually, my friend... I think you are CONVINCED of this! To the point that you passionately feel it in your bones... And since you feel it so profoundly, and are thus convinced of it, anything that suggests otherwise you hold in contept and distrust. IF, months from now, my less than worst case scenario is realized, will you not be convinced of a cover-up? That it is still being downplayed?


Also, you are misrepresenting or misunderstanding what I said, as my 'worst case scenario' did NOT say within a few months, so you are changing what I said to suit you...
(Note that this is what I am talking about when I say that your info is often old, misleading, or just plain wrong... But then you run with it.)
So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything. The effected units will be multi-billion dollar paperweights, that require monitoring and maintainance, costing more money. While possible, I doubt units 5 or 6 will come back online like the other unit at TMI did, and is still operating to this day. But I may be wrong there, as they still can produce electricity, so there will be considerable reason to get those newer units back online... But I doubt politics and the public will allow it.

Worst reasonable case scenerio... All of the above, BUT delays in people returning to the surrounding areas due to the surveys and samples showing high levels of contamination, then having to clean up the contamination costing additional billions of dollars. Time frame? No idea... Depends on how much and how they have to decontaminate.

Anything outside the 'fence' (current Owner Controlled Property), from what I gather a mile from the units, being uninhabitable for a lifetime(s), or even decades? Slim to nil!

ZERO health effects on anybody from the 'general public', just like TMI, despite what some people believe... As not 1 person died as a result of TMI, NOT ONE! And the vast majority of experts agree that the negligiable amounts released during the TMI accident have shown ZERO effects attributable to it, other than psychological and political.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:19pm PT
ZERO health effects on anybody from the 'general public', just like TMI, despite what some people believe... As not 1 person died as a result of TMI, NOT ONE! And the vast majority of experts agree that the negligiable amounts released during the TMI accident have shown ZERO effects attributable to it, other than psychological and political.

Adam,

once the press has it's way with an issue (an intentionally dirty phrase) it is very difficult to go back and repair the public perception.

I even heard on NPR this week that they over did it with TMI. But that falls on deaf ears.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:21pm PT
Just to clarify Adam. my references to your worst case scenario and my references to your saying they would be back in a few months were in different parts of my post. Thank you for quoting the relevant sections above where you write

So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything.

I'm saying your reasonable prediction is already wrong due to the state long term reasons for the increased evacuation.

Then you write

Worst reasonable case scenerio... All of the above, BUT delays in people returning to the surrounding areas due to the surveys and samples showing high levels of contamination, then having to clean up the contamination costing additional billions of dollars. Time frame? No idea... Depends on how much and how they have to decontaminate.

Anything outside the 'fence' (current Owner Controlled Property), from what I gather a mile from the units, being uninhabitable for a lifetime(s), or even decades? Slim to nil!

ZERO health effects on anybody from the 'general public', just like TMI, despite what some people believe... As not 1 person died as a result of TMI, NOT ONE! And the vast majority of experts agree that the negligiable amounts released during the TMI accident have shown ZERO effects attributable to it, other than psychological and political
.

Zero health effects to the public, even with your worst case? The classification to a 7 already belies that and studies of radiation health effects tell me that with all the contamination that's already spread in to sea, land and air, that more cancers are bound to happen and, years from now happy talkers will deny this while statisticians will confirm it, just like at Chernobyl where dignified scientists guess in the range of 4,000 to a million casualties from it.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:22pm PT
Adam,

once the press has it's way with an issue (an intentionally dirty phrase) it is very difficult to go back and repair the public perception.

I even heard on NPR this week that they over did it with TMI. But that falls on deaf ears.

I know... Just like vaccines can cause autism. Just ask anybody, in the know.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:25pm PT
The China Syndrome hit the screen on March 16th 1979

TMI happened on March 28th


Most of America can't differentiate between celluloid fantasy and history.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 03:38pm PT
More jibberish that Adam will have to go back and edit and delete again...
The only things I edited/deleted were where I posted, when asked, too detailed information of where and who I work for (even though it can be gotten from elsewhere), as it can appear that I speak for my company, which I do not. That would be a code of ethics violation... And where I shared public pics taken at my plant, and a couple non-private emails sent to all personnel, that also can be viewed as a code of ethics violations.

In an effort to be 'transparrent' I posted a little too much info, and I don't feel like skating close to a line that can cause me to lose my job, especially when I get rotten vegetables thrown at me for my effort.

If you feel I deleted more than that, please post, as you said pages back:
That is why I copied all that ridiculous crap almost four weeks ago now.
When I have time I will take a look at what he thought it was necessary to delete and repost it...
http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1436585&msg=1461414#msg1461414

So... I'm 'all in', Riley. You gonna 'call', or 'fold'?
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:01pm PT
I think the discussion would be healthier if radical refrained from attacks, particularly personal.

I know you can do better bro and nobody wins attacks

Peace

karl
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:16pm PT
riley has pms or ptsd now? that time of hte month? whats with the buddist crap? The Dhammapada

try reading some of it poseur...

Do not speak harshly to anybody; those who are spoken to will answer thee in the same way. Angry speech is painful, blows for blows will touch thee.



Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:20pm PT
well we like to flail the inefficient USG for things, but nuclear security has vastly improved since 2005 (and since 2001) at least in part to the findings of such news reports as Karl has posted.

Further, I invite any and all of you to tell me just how much to believe a male, age 18-25 years old, who is a part of an "elite unit" when he is relaying a story about how his unit performed on an operation where one side was going to win and the other loose at the game they've been trained to play... in this case, a "red team blue team" effort simulating an attack on a nuclear facility...

in fact we have both these stories here, and both told to women, that in one case, the aggressors easily defeated the defenders (Jan's) and that in the other the defenders had no problem repelling the aggressors (Jeanie's)...

At best I take these stories with a grain of salt and usually await the findings of the team overseeing the operations to get a view of what important issues were uncovered and what needed to be changed... bragging rights notwithstanding.

I'd say we needed a bit more balanced information in judging what the actual risks are.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:29pm PT
well we like to flail the inefficient USG for things, but nuclear security has vastly improved since 2005 (and since 2001) at least in part to the findings of such news reports as Karl has posted.


I think for me the safety from terrorism is a very secondary issue. I'm glad if it's improved but what 9-11 shows is that when something out of the box happens, you find you didn't prepare.

For example. let's say a higher level person at the plant develops Schizophrenia or another disorder than causes him to wish to sabotage the plant cause God told him to. How hard would it be for someone with access and knowledge to render the plant into deep trouble (sabotage the control room and backup?)

Maybe this could happen at a chemical plant too but our point is that nuclear has much longer lived effects to a area

Peace

karl
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:31pm PT
F*#k off idiot.

I am hopeful that the discourse on nuclear energy will be several notches higher in intellect than this. Unfortunately, if you read every post in this thread, it is many of you who are against it that have resorted to this type of discourse, while Adam has done an excellent job sticking to the facts.

I am fairly certain that we can all agree that we want reliable, inexpensive electrical power that poses the least impact to human health and the environment. Sounds simple right?

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:35pm PT
I agree that the dialog should not be attacking and personal and when you write

I am fairly certain that we can all agree that we want reliable, inexpensive electrical power that poses the least impact to human health and the environment. Sounds simple right
?

I agree that we WANT that. It appears that this goal is elusive and will require heroic investments and efforts to get there as oil and natural gas become scarce. I too see that Coal looms as the easy, cheap dirty solution and if nuclear weren't such a nightmare, I'd celebrate it as our escape from the temptation of CO2 belching coal.

There is a longer road that takes us to a better place with renewable fuels but we can shorten it dramatically by pouring funding and scale into it. We're spending too much of that contemplating a return to nukes

Peace

karl
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:37pm PT
Oh please Karl....play patty cake nicy nice on your own time...
What good does it do when people just walk around you and keep in doing it?

This aadam ahole is in charge of inspecting these things? He thinks radiation is not a danger as it relates to cancer because DNA has the ability to fix itself!!
He has all the education of a two week nuclear safety course.


Instead of spending time editing old posts Adam get your dumb ass over there and help
Damn cowards using uneducated migrant workers to do the dirty work...

I wish I could help with this situation- but I can certainty see why is occured from the responses on this thread on both sides.

You know we fired four absolute lunatics this week, 3 nurses and 1 doctor, after over a month of my write ups and we placed their licenses under review, and I will be doing everything I can to stop them from practising.

Adam wouldn't be done wiping nuclear jiz off his chin in the same circumstances..

And you're a liar to boot Adam- I know what you deleted- and I expected it- and it will be posted when I am good and ready.


i suggest that you raid your hospitals medicine chest. you are one sick individual.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:38pm PT
Oh please Karl....play patty cake nicy nice on your own time...
What good does it do when people just walk around you and keep in doing it?

because this discussion isn't about you and I or Adam and TGT. It's about putting both cases before the numerous lurkers out there who haven't entrenched their position. If you behave in a way that reduces your credibility, you lose all the value this thread could have

PEace

Karl
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:46pm PT
There is a longer road that takes us to a better place with renewable fuels but we can shorten it dramatically by pouring funding and scale into it.

Karl, I absolutely agree with you here and that is why 30 years ago I went into Chemical Engineering where energy is such a large part of the study.

The unfortunate realities of DC Budget politics these days show a huge uphill battle for the Dept. of Energy to fund this reasearch which would help us acheive these goals. With the Conservative Congress wanting to cut medicare/medicaid/SS I have a hard time believing that the longer term energy needs will be brought forward as an issue. I hate to say it but in my opinion most of the politicians are far shorter sighted than their constituents (liberal or conservative).

Here is a good link on DOE's Budget for 2010:
http://www.cfo.doe.gov/budget/10budget/Content/OrgControl.pdf

Renewable Energy Research did go up but form 2009 to 2010 but is a very small fraction of what is required.

Here is 2011:
http://www.cfo.doe.gov/budget/11budget/Content/Orgsum.pdf

This budget has not passed (obviously) but is the one that DOE put forward.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:57pm PT
Golsen wrote

The unfortunate realities of DC Budget politics these days show a huge uphill battle for the Dept. of Energy to fund this reasearch which would help us acheive these goals. With the Conservative Congress wanting to cut medicare/medicaid/SS I have a hard time believing that the longer term energy needs will be brought forward as an issue. I hate to say it but in my opinion most of the politicians are far shorter sighted than their constituents (liberal or conservative).

It's so hard to say. You can hear the administration talk in a way that acknowledges that a resource crisis in on the way but they're still unwilling to make the investment in alternatives.

I believe this is because of the incredible money that's behind the status quo oil, coal, gas, and nuclear. This pays for politics. But it's not only that, I think they make the calculation that it's not world pissing off the utilities when Nuclear, coal and controlling prices and access to the remaining oil in the world is the most secure strategy to retaining our power during the short and medium terms. Maybe global warming is worth some money and lipservice but not so much it rocks the boat. The future will be somebody else's immediate problem someday.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 04:59pm PT
And you're a liar to boot Adam- I know what you deleted- and I expected it- and it will be posted when I am good and ready.

Like I said, Riley... I'm 'all in'. You gonna 'call', or 'fold'.

Accept it... Your bluff was called, and you are still bluffing, holding us all hostage with your drama. If you had the cards, you would 'call' in a second, as for you, it's all about winning... Which is why when armed with a less than stellar hand, you posture up and bluff. But you just don't have it in you to 'fold', even when caught bluffing, can you?

You thrive off threads digressing into dramatic banter, don't you? Even when it distracts and ruins the thread, you just don't care, do you? That's a shame.


Let's face it... Even me replying to you is a waste of my time, and a distraction and waste of everyone else's time as well. But I'm stupid like that.

So...... Pardon me if I ignore you now, as I have NEVER been able to pee on those little piss flies that buzz around in the urinals, so I have learned to stop trying, and to just let them buzz around the urinal cake. And I don't feel like getting hooked into the drama by being part of your tantrum(s) anymore.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 14, 2011 - 05:07pm PT
there is critical information on this thread

none of us have time for rude noises
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 05:07pm PT
Karl,
you do have some points there and that's why getting some longer term energy policy is very difficult when we must depend upon short term (relatively) politicians to develop it.

This chart is somewhat depressing as the percentage of power providers in the next 25 years (% of power obtained from various sources) seems pretty constant.


http://www.eia.doe.gov/state/

By the way, I posted this:

I am fairly certain that we can all agree that we want reliable, inexpensive electrical power that poses the least impact to human health and the environment.

because when you boil it all down, most of us want the same thing and simply disagreee on the best path to get there. This will be a big challenge for mankind this century.

cheers to you,



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 05:08pm PT
For example. let's say a higher level person at the plant develops Schizophrenia or another disorder than causes him to wish to sabotage the plant cause God told him to. How hard would it be for someone with access and knowledge to render the plant into deep trouble (sabotage the control room and backup?)

Karl,

Just today I replied to you with this concerning security:
Some info, you likely won't read, yet addresses everything you are asking about security:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part073/

You didn't read it, did you? How do I know? Because if you had, you would see that what you are now asking is specifically addressed by that specific part of the Code of Federal Regulations:
(B) Active (e.g., facilitate entrance and exit, disable alarms and communications, participate in violent attack) or passive (e.g., provide information), or both, knowledgeable inside assistance;


Now, c'mon, brutha... If you are provided with detailed answers to your questions, and links, isn't it fair enough to expect you to read them? Otherwise, why ask the question if you do not want to look into the answer?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 05:51pm PT
Anyway.. I didn't mean to rant so long. I do appreciate your and Adams commentary on this forum. This is a difficult subject and I hope you will forgive me for not exactly trusting everything that comes out of it.

John, I just saw this. No forgiveness required.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 14, 2011 - 06:02pm PT
I was actually trying to scare that anonymous hawkeye guy up again.
Anyone figure out who this nitwit is yet??
Is it rradam??
They are about right on integrity- but not really sure about the rest.

Karl- sometimes ya gotta throw down- my attitude,judgment and response to absolute lies, distorted opinions or aggression have been constant over this entire thread.
If TGT, hawkeye or rradam have any credibilty left after 6 weeks of this disaster than this an an utterly hopeless situation.

I am done on this thread because it has been a skipping record for weeks- you can read the same mumbo jumbo from all sides at the bottom of any news article.

And Adam, I know at least three other posters who copied the thread 4 weeks ago- so don't worry, we are gonna have a little rradam, before and after party, on its own thread some day- then again I really don't care what you do- you know I know what you have deleted, and that is all that matters.

But I leave you with the question.
Which is worse: incompetance, impotence, evil, cowardice, or just not giving a sh#t.

cheers but not peace
riley

edit:
""Like I said, Riley... I'm 'all in'. You gonna 'call', or 'fold'.

Huh, bluff??? called?? this is a game to you??
You already lose rradam- you have already been busted. Would be nice to start the "game" over but you have already shown your cards and lost silly boy.


Rubber stamp, industry insider, inspector with out a clue- pretty much the worst piece of garbage there is in this world.

Thanks for the education rradam- you helped turn me from pro-nuclear to seeing this for what it really is....I will use your name and your posts on this thread when donating, giving time and joining groups associated with this very important cause...
game over..


dude, i know exactly who i am. however, you have not got it figured out whether you are nice enlightened buddist or man on the rag....
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Apr 14, 2011 - 06:26pm PT
People say they care that power should come from clean sources but when the choice is between none at all or nuclear/coal will they choose to live in the dark?

If it happened here.
what would you do?..
(crank the sound)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3nnguU-gWE&feature=related

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 06:38pm PT
You didn't read it, did you? How do I know? Because if you had, you would see that what you are now asking is specifically addressed by that specific part of the Code of Federal Regulations:

Are you kidding. Seriously?

You linked probably 100+ pages of government regulations and I'm supposed to read the whole thing?

I did look at the security regs where they require 10 armed guards minimum but it's all still sorta vague. They have to have a written plan but there's lots of wiggle room in all these regs.

I posted links to the ABC show which was meant to be consumed for information and you obviously didn't read those links but then I'm supposed to check out all your fine print...Please... Really. If you know what the protections against a nutcase are, just type the generalities up quickly. I sort of don't think you can know who is going to lose it or not but can certainly screen out people. More important that one person couldn't do a lot of damage but I don't know that.

Peace

Karl

Edit: I know weapons are even more closely monitored and guarded but let's not forget that a few nukes got loaded on a plane by accident this year.

http://articles.cnn.com/2007-09-05/us/loose.nukes_1_nuclear-weapons-nuclear-warheads-missiles?_s=PM:US

"Six nuclear warheads on cruise missiles were mistakenly carried on a flight from North Dakota to Louisiana last week, prompting a major investigation, military officials have confirmed.

The plane took the cruise missiles from Minot Air Force Base to Barksdale Air Force Base for decommissioning Thursday, the Air Force said.

"This is a major gaffe, and it's going to cause some heads to roll down the line," said Don Shepperd, a retired Air Force major general and military analyst for CNN....Shepperd said the United States had agreed in a Cold War-era treaty not to fly nuclear weapons. "It appears that what happened was this treaty agreement was violated," he said.

The warheads should have been removed from the missiles before they were attached to the B-52 bomber, according to military officials. Watch the report on the military's investigation

The crew was unaware that the plane was carrying nuclear weapons, the officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the extraordinary sensitivity and security surrounding the case.

The mistake was discovered after the plane's flight to Louisiana.....

THIS YEAR, long after 9-11~!

Sort of speaks to my point in a way, even the most serious sh#t gets screwed up with humans minding the store, no matter how secure the happy talk says.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 14, 2011 - 06:41pm PT
For those who hate links, here's about 1% of the material I'm supposed to read to follow up on Adam's post


Physical Protection of Special Nuclear Material of Moderate and Low Strategic Significance

§ 73.67 Licensee fixed site and in-transit requirements for the physical protection of special nuclear material of moderate and low strategic significance.

(a) General performance objectives. (1) Each licensee who possesses, uses or transports special nuclear material of moderate or low strategic significance shall establish and maintain a physical protection system that will achieve the following objectives:

(i) Minimize the possibilities for unauthorized removal of special nuclear material consistent with the potential consequences of such actions; and

(ii) Facilitate the location and recovery of missing special nuclear material.

(2) To achieve these objectives, the physical protection system shall provide:

(i) Early detection and assessment of unauthorized access or activities by an external adversary within the controlled access area containing special nuclear material;

(ii) Early detection of removal of special nuclear material by an external adversary from a controlled access area;

(iii) Assure proper placement and transfer of custody of special nuclear material; and

(iv) Respond to indications of an unauthorized removal of special nuclear material and then notify the appropriate response forces of its removal in order to facilitate its recovery.

(b)(1) A licensee is exempt from the requirements of this section to the extent that he possesses, uses, or transports:

(i) Special nuclear material which is not readily separable from other radioactive material and which has a total external radiation dose rate in excess of 100 rems per hour at a distance of 3 feet from any accessible surface without intervening shielding, or

(ii) Sealed plutonium-beryllium neutron sources totaling 500 grams or less contained plutonium at any one site or contiguous sites, or

(iii) Plutonium with an isotopic concentration exceeding 80 percent in plutonium-238.

(2) A licensee who has quantities of special nuclear material equivalent to special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance distributed over several buildings may, for each building which contains a quantity of special nuclear material less than or equal to a level of special nuclear material of low strategic significance, protect the material in that building under the lower classification physical security requirements.

(c) Each licensee who possesses, uses, transports, or delivers to a carrier for transport special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance, or 10 kg or more of special nuclear material of low strategic significance shall:

(1) Submit a security plan or an amended security plan describing how the licensee will comply with all the requirements of paragraphs (d), (e), (f), and (g) of this section, as appropriate, including schedules of implementation. The licensee shall retain a copy of the effective security plan as a record for three years after the close of period for which the licensee possesses the special nuclear material under each license for which the original plan was submitted. Copies of superseded material must be retained for three years after each change.

(2) Within 30 days after the plan submitted pursuant to paragraph (c)(1) of this section is approved, or when specified by the NRC in writing, implement the approved security plan.

(d) Fixed site requirements for special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance. Each licensee who possesses, stores, or uses quantities and types of special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance at a fixed site or contiguous sites, except as allowed by paragraph (b)(2) of this section and except those who are licensed to operate a nuclear power reactor pursuant to part 50, shall:

(1) Use the material only within a controlled access area which is illuminated sufficiently to allow detection and surveillance of unauthorized penetration or activities,

(2) Store the material only within a controlled access area such as a vault-type room or approved security cabinet or their equivalent which is illuminated sufficiently to allow detection and surveillance of unauthorized penetration or activities,

(3) Monitor with an intrusion alarm or other device or procedures the controlled access areas to detect unauthorized penetration or activities,

(4) Conduct screening prior to granting an individual unescorted access to the controlled access area where the material is used or stored, in order to obtain information on which to base a decision to permit such access,

(5) Develop and maintain a controlled badging and lock system to identify and limit access to the controlled access areas to authorized individuals,

(6) Limit access to the controlled access areas to authorized or escorted individuals who require such access in order to perform their duties,

(7) Assure that all visitors to the controlled access areas are under the constant escort of an individual who has been authorized access to the area,

(8) Establish a security organization or modify the current security organization to consist of at least one watchman per shift able to assess and respond to any unauthorized penetrations or activities in the controlled access areas,

(9) Provide a communication capability between the security organization and appropriate response force,

(10) Search on a random basis vehicles and packages leaving the controlled access areas, and

(11) Establish and maintain written response procedures for dealing with threats of thefts or thefts of these materials. The licensee shall retain a copy of the response procedures as a record for the period during which the licensee possesses the appropriate type and quantity of special nuclear material requiring this record under each license for which the original procedures were developed and, for three years thereafter. Copies of superseded material must be retained for three years after each change.

(e) In-transit requirements for special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance. (1) Each licensee who transports, exports or delivers to a carrier for transport special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance shall:

(i) Provide advance notification to the receiver of any planned shipments specifying the mode of transport, estimated time of arrival, location of the nuclear material transfer point, name of carrier and transport identification,

(ii) Receive confirmation from the receiver prior to the commencement of the planned shipment that the receiver will be ready to accept the shipment at the planned time and location and acknowledges the specified mode of transport,

(iii) Check the integrity of the container and locks or seals prior to shipment, and

(iv) Arrange for the in-transit physical protection of the materials in accordance with the requirements of § 73.67(e)(3) unless the receiver is a licensee and has agreed in writing to arrange for the in-transit physical protection.

(2) Each licensee who receives special nuclear material of moderate strategic significance shall:
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 14, 2011 - 07:37pm PT
THIS YEAR, long after 9-11~!


Karl, not that it matters but that nuclear missile gaff was in 2007. I would not compare that to the happenings at nuclear reactors (I dont know much about reactors). I do know about some of the general procedures around weapons and this was clearly a major F%%% up. I worked at a plant that was under some of the same security protocols destroying weapons filled with Nerve Agent. We counted the munitions every night against what we had destroyed. While we of course never lost one, any miscounts in the middle of the night became first priority.

Whoever, was the base commander in North Dakota probably resigned or was demoted.

Oh and thanks for the NRC reading stuff (yawn), Adam was clearly wanting to share the pulitzer prize material!
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 14, 2011 - 09:15pm PT
rrrAdam is no more an industry apologist than radical is a sane man. read radicals posts on this thread if you need any convincing.

John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 09:22pm PT
The FAA has regulations against sleeping on the job. And at one time that industry was the best in the world. But due to budget restraints, it has slowly cut itself until things are getting dangerous again. We have had multiple incidents where major airlines had to land without air traffic controls help because the controller was asleep. But dammit man.. there are regulations. That just shouldn't happen.

I would like to know how that link Adam said we wouldn't read, proves that nukes are now safely guarded. No one doubts there are regulations in place. At least I don't. I just doubt an industry can keep it up constantly, and not make mistakes. I also wonder what is going to happen to the waste, if we run out of money to keep it safe.
PSP also PP

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 14, 2011 - 09:50pm PT
The waste will be closely guarded for the next 2000 years. Nothing to worry about it is taken care of.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 09:51pm PT
Okay... Thanks man. I'm reassured.

2000 whole years. man thats a long time. Just what was the half life of plutonium again?
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 14, 2011 - 09:56pm PT
How is it that the same personalities that insist on believing that 17 Arabs from the desert with box cutters can outsmart NORAD and attack the Pentagon, also claim that our 100 plus nuc facilities are all safe for all eternity?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 10:18pm PT
Are you kidding. Seriously?

You linked probably 100+ pages of government regulations and I'm supposed to read the whole thing?
No, Karl, just the 'purpose and scope', the very first few paragraghs on the very first page. The quote I gave you is like the 4th or 5th paragragh, where the 2nd on are pretty much one liners. So, would likely take just 30 seconds.

Here, I'll help:
PART 73—PHYSICAL PROTECTION OF PLANTS AND MATERIALS
Full Text Version (555.16 KB)

General Provisions

Sec.

73.1 Purpose and scope. <--- First part, it's clickable, as are all parts

73.2 Definitions.

73.3 Interpretations.

73.4 Communications.

After clicking that, you see this:
§ 73.1 Purpose and scope.
(a) Purpose. This part prescribes requirements for the establishment and maintenance of a physical protection system which will have capabilities for the protection of special nuclear material at fixed sites and in transit and of plants in which special nuclear material is used. The following design basis threats, where referenced in ensuing sections of this part, shall be used to design safeguards systems to protect against acts of radiological sabotage and to prevent the theft or diversion of special nuclear material. Licensees subject to the provisions of § 73.20 (except for fuel cycle licensees authorized under Part 70 of this chapter to receive, acquire, possess, transfer, use, or deliver for transportation formula quantities of strategic special nuclear material), §§ 73.50, and 73.60 are exempt from §§ 73.1(a)(1)(i)(E), 73.1(a)(1)(iii), 73.1(a)(1)(iv), 73.1(a)(2)(iii), and 73.1(a)(2)(iv). Licensees subject to the provisions of
§ 72.212 are exempt from § 73.1(a)(1)(iv).

(1) Radiological sabotage. (i) A determined violent external assault, attack by stealth, or deceptive actions, including diversionary actions, by an adversary force capable of operating in each of the following modes: A single group attacking through one entry point, multiple groups attacking through multiple entry points, a combination of one or more groups and one or more individuals attacking through multiple entry points, or individuals attacking through separate entry points, with the following attributes, assistance and equipment:

(A) Well-trained (including military training and skills) and dedicated individuals, willing to kill or be killed, with sufficient knowledge to identify specific equipment or locations necessary for a successful attack;

(B) Active (e.g., facilitate entrance and exit, disable alarms and communications, participate in violent attack) or passive (e.g., provide information), or both, knowledgeable inside assistance;
See, 4th paragragh, on the very first page.

K... You try now:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part073/





I would like to know how that link Adam said we wouldn't read, proves that nukes are now safely guarded. No one doubts there are regulations in place. At least I don't. I just doubt an industry can keep it up constantly, and not make mistakes
That is also contained in the CFR I linked, as it discusses penalties in the last parts under "enforcement", it is a clickable link, entitled 'violations'. I trust you can find it in the link above.

And if you didn't know, there are TWO resident NRC Inspectors at every nuke in the US, and all they do is look HARD to ensure that nukes abide by the CFRs, and if they miss just one little thing, they usually are assesed a fine.

And I said that Karl likely wouldn't read it, not everybody.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Apr 14, 2011 - 10:33pm PT
I would like to know how you get from this..


Some info, you likely won't read, yet addresses everything you are asking about security:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part073/



Which is hundreds of pages of regulations...

To this..



Are you kidding. Seriously?

You linked probably 100+ pages of government regulations and I'm supposed to read the whole thing?


No, Karl, just the 'purpose and scope', the very first few paragraghs on the very first page. The quote I gave you is like the 4th or 5th paragragh, where the 2nd on are pretty much one liners. So, would likely take just 30 seconds.

Because the link you gave is hundreds of pages long. Not one liners and you didn't say anything about just reading the first few paragraphs.

Dude, what you wrote about him not reading it was snarky. And now you change the mark? Come on man. Not cool and one of the very things you complain those who disagree with you do.

I still don't understand how a bunch of regs proves we are now safe from attacks, given humans propensity to cut back wherever they can.


rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 10:38pm PT
Oh...
If you know what the protections against a nutcase are, just type the generalities up quickly.
Again, I will NOT discuss any security measures, as that is 'safegaurds' information, other than to say 'no one nutcase can create a major problem'.

And I said before that the security forces at US plants are about the size of a normal county sheriff's department, only much better armed and trained. That is a bit more than 10 armed gaurds... It isn't a mall in the hood.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 14, 2011 - 10:42pm PT
Some info, you likely won't read, yet addresses everything you are asking about security:
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/cfr/part073/




Which is hundreds of pages of regulations...

To this..




Are you kidding. Seriously?

You linked probably 100+ pages of government regulations and I'm supposed to read the whole thing?


No, Karl, just the 'purpose and scope', the very first few paragraghs on the very first page. The quote I gave you is like the 4th or 5th paragragh, where the 2nd on are pretty much one liners. So, would likely take just 30 seconds.

Because the link you gave is hundreds of pages long. Not one liners and you didn't say anything about just reading the first few paragraphs.

Dude, what you wrote about him not reading it was snarky. And now you change the mark? Come on man. Not cool and one of the very things you complain those who disagree with you do.

I still don't understand how a bunch of regs proves we are now safe from attacks, given humans propensity to cut back wherever they can.

OK, my bad... I am used to reading procedures, specifications, codes, and regulations, that are indexed in a table of contents. When I do so, the first thing I read is the "purpose" and/or "scope", and that is generally the very first page. It's kinda like the 'abstract' on a research or "white" paper.


Another thing that seems to not be understood by some is that the security, engineering, and safety systems are WAY too complex and layered to just type up in a paragragh or 40. So this is why there are hundreds of pages that details the measures that MUST be accounted for. Seems many expect people to condense it into a short blurb that explains it all, and that just can't be accomplished.

If you want to know the details, then you have to research and understand the details yourselves, OR, listen to those that have. You can't have it both ways. (I.e, explain a complex system with few words so it can be understood, BUT don't leave anything out)

Don't take what I'm saying the wrong way... I don;t think anyone here is stupid, and can't understand any of this, just that many don't take the time to try to understand on their own, when anyone can research much of this on the net. How nukes work, basic designs, safety systems, regulations, redundancies, types of radiation and radionuclides and the effects on people and the environment, nuclear physics, etc... ALL can be well understood by ANYONE willing to invest the time AND the desire to understand.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 12:15am PT
Golsen wrote

Karl, not that it matters but that nuclear missile gaff was in 2007. I would not compare that to the happenings at nuclear reactors

My bad on the date. Still, it IS comparable because it is an example of how a very very strictly regulated nuclear threat is still very vulnerable because of human stupidity. I'm sure those cruise missles were never supposed to be able be loaded on that plane and that pages of regulations and protections are against it, and yet it happened.

Looking at the examples from around the world that I've cited and given what's happening now, it seems that a lot of things that are NEVER supposed to happen are happening every few years, which is my point about our human folly not be up to the gravity of a mistake.

I'm sure the Roman Empire never expected to fall, Good thing they didn't have nuclear waste. we'd still be looking after it and couldn't tax them in retrospect. (and hey GOP dudes, nuclear waste is like national debt, you pay for it long after it's served its purpose

PEace

Karl
jstan

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 12:46am PT
Reportedly the nuclear gaff in 2007 came about because nuclear and non-nuclear hardware was stored in the same bunker in the Dakotas. Normal Quality Assurance practice would require that one or two persons would have to sign off paperwork for any activity involving critical hardware and certainly the regulations would never allow intermingling of the two. The error came about because the rules were not followed and I have not heard of the sign-offs identifying who performed the intermingling. It is very significant that the numbers were not checked when the planes were armed. Very significant.

Now this is where I jump to a question. Supposedly a worker in Louisiana noticed that the nuclear armed hardware did not have the right numbers. It would be very instructive to see if USAF regulations require USAF personnel validate the hardware on each plane at the end of each and every flight. The check was not even performed before the planes took off! Because if it does not we are left to believe that someone on the Louisiana line took that task on voluntarily. The idea that someone would accidently notice some nearly unreadable and definitely meaningless numbers on the flight line - is a very long stretch. One in thousands I would think.

There is something wrong here. The secretary ascribed all of this to a breakdown in the system. A breakdown in the system for managing weapons of mass destruction. I don't believe it and even if I did I would not feel reassured - in the least.

Nothing that has been said about regulation of nuclear plants is any more reassuring. I believe it was the head of Excelon who complained bitterly to a Congressional committee that they were being over regulated - a week before the tsunami.

With forces like that in play, what "errors" might we encounter?
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 01:09am PT
Jstan

I should probably note, for those who forgot, that there was a contingent of people who felt something was really fishy in the moving of those nuclear weapons. It came at the height of the "Bomb Iran" political times. Some felt something was up and calmer heads uncovered the operation to stop the madness.

Madness either way if you ask me. When you add up the nuclear "almosts" and actual accidents over the past few years, you have wonder what the worst cases would involve over the next 500 years.

PEace

Karl
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 15, 2011 - 08:21am PT
Re the miss-shipped nucs; the back story I heard at the time (deep conspiracy here - I forget where I read the article) is that Bush ordered the weapons to the middle-east, and the Air Force brass essentially pulled a coup-d'eta and miss shipped them out of harms way thus sending Bush a stern message that he can only go so far in his madness. Of course some peons took the fall.

All this other stuff about miss-stored or miss labeled missiles is, to me, a simplistic and transparent cover-up of a profoundly serious event, although in this case (who would of thought) I'm with the military.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 09:29am PT
Morning all!

Let me again make clear... What happened, and is to a lesser degree, still happening at those nukes is a big frick'n deal, I don't mean to sound like I am down playing it, as I am not. My stance is that all I can do is go off of the verified information that is known, as going off of speculation (what if's, well maybe's) is too much of a guessing game, and I'm not into guessing.

I, just like all of us, am trying to make sense of what happened, and is still happening, but without detailed knowledge of the damage, mitigation activities, and other details, it's hard to know from here what happened, what is till happening, and the best choice of action(s).

What is known, as far as I understand, is that the plants and systems survived the 9.0 quake that far exceeded the design basis... The online units scrammed automatically in seconds, as designed. The EDGs did come online and supply power after all offsite power was lost, but then failed, for a still undetermined reason (flooding of the EDGs, or salt water in the fuel, or some other reason). Even if that were the case, the HPCI and RCIC systems still should have been able to supply plenty of water, as they are steam driven, and with the reactor scrammed and the MSIVs slammed shut, it still produces lots of steam, which can be blead off to run both of those systems... It's how it is designed. The units should be able to sit like this for quite some time, with the steam from scrammed reactor supplying the pumps to cool it. Why that didn't happen, or failed later, requires details we just don't have.

There certainly is lots of fuel damage, as the hydrogen explosions are a result of the hydrogen released from the zircalloy being oxidezed, not properly vented, causing explosions that strew debris all over the refuel floors, making access to the spent fuel pools difficult.

The spent fuel pools are relatively easy to keep full, so I am especially curious as to what lead to them being able to boil off, but for that, again, need more details... Also, see above.

The rad waste is processed in another part of the plant, with it's own control room, and goes through resin beds and filters to remove the vast majority of the bad stuff... What was the status of that after the quake/tsunami? They had to empty much of that 'low level' waste to make room in rad waste, and the wet-well (condensers) for the really 'high level' waste, as that was the ONLY choice, given the circumstances. Consider the alternative... Don't dump the low level, and the high level stuff gets out in quantity. That is a triage type situation/choice. And, it is even likely accumulating in the lower levels of the RB.

I'm in the same boat as all of us, as I want answers and details too, so I can better understand what happened. Thing is, filling in the blanks, of which there are many, myself based on even educated guesses is still just guesses, and I'm not in the business of 'guessing'. Unfortunately, many are more than willing to guess, and often fill in a blank with a 'guess' that that yields the outcome they want or already have in thier minds... And if done often enough, it is hard for one to accept something other than what they already have entrenched in their minds. 'Tis human nature. :/


Given the situation, and the lack of details, the right thing to do it to "fail conservative", which, looking at the LARGE evacuation areas, is being done... I saw video of a news crew with survey meters who drove all the way up to the fence, and throughout their trip, their meters read in the uS/hr, not mS/hr, until they reached the fence... Dose rates in the uS/hr are what can be expected from normal background radiation. Yes, uncontrolled releases of radionuclides (contamination) has been detected far from the plant, but from what I understand, NOT in quantities that are immediately threatening to the health of the 'general public'... But that doesn;t mean that it doesn't freak people out to hear that 'radioactive contamination' has been detected, as it can be detected at extremely low levels, and has even been detected here in the US.


Unfortunately, the nature of the ongoing events are such that we will not know many of these details for months, or even years in some cases. So, in order to have ALL the right answers (instead of guesses), it will take some time. That is not to say that some answers won't be had as details are better understood along the way.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
Apr 15, 2011 - 10:19am PT
Thanks Adam for the summary insight. I don't understand while people are so hostile on here. Everybody is trying to share info. and provide their own perspective. Not sure why Adam is unfairly the lightening rod for some; he's just trying to provide his own perspective and is confident in the backup stability of his own systems; but that's his natural bias as he has faith in his chosen field. Civility please.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 15, 2011 - 10:57am PT
I sense a lull in the storm of this debate, and while the Japanese are still reeling, many are homeless and still many more are being kept from their homes due to the ongoing emergency at the power plants, I thought this was an interesting interview of an intelligent guy with regards to power and the direction that some Energy Companies are headed:

http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/14/news/companies/ralph_izzo_clean_energy.fortune/


And movement against TVA Coal Fired poewr plants:
http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2011/04/15/15climatewire-tva-agrees-to-shut-down-18-coal-fired-boiler-72955.html

The move by the Tennessee Valley Authority will result in nearly 1 percent of the nation's coal-fired power capacity going offline by the end of 2018, including 1,000 megawatts of coal-fired power TVA said it planned to retire last year. TVA's landmark deal with a suite of states and environmental groups and U.S. EPA resolves a number of lingering violation complaints EPA brought against the company for allegedly failing to comply with Clean Air Act pollution control requirements at 11 of its plants

I apologize up front because I know that this thread was initiated due to the terrible natural disaster in Japan; however, the event has catalyzed a discussion on whether nuclear energy is safe and what direction the USA should take with regards to its own electrical energy sources.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Apr 15, 2011 - 11:30am PT
I don't understand while people are so hostile on here.


Merely an expression of Clarke's third law.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 12:24pm PT
I disagree on Clarke's third law. There have been some hostility going both ways and there are a couple of reasons. We are looking at our own mortality and vulnerability and it makes people unconsciously uncomfortable.

Also, both at Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, risks and facts were downplayed and people were put at risk unnecessarily so there is a backlash against what I've been calling "happy talk" Here a video of expert-witness-at-the-time Gundersen about the chronology of TMI

http://www.fairewinds.com/content/nuclear-engineer-arnie-gundersen-discusses-radiation-releases-tmi-accident

I appreciate what Adam had written above but I don't think it's so simple. For example, in another video Gundersen deconstructed some officially released data to show evidence of a chain reaction at Unit one and later the company pulled the data off the website. There is distrust were government and corporate interests don't align with transparency. (for my example, look for "Newly Released TEPCO Data Provides Evidence of Periodic Chain Reaction at Fukushima Unit 1" at

http://www.fairewinds.com/multimedia

This might be intelligent guess work but with good logic and the same sort of guesses that the utility itself is basing it's concrete decisions on because they can't get in there to know everything. Life and death decisions are being made on guesswork by the utility and gov.

So people need to scrutinize what's happening to keep everybody honest when the data and announcements don't add up. I do think it's important to keep it civil while still checking each other's facts and welcoming all perspectives, particularly when supported with facts or examples.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 12:34pm PT
...So people need to scrutinize what's happening to keep everybody honest when the data and announcements don't add up.
I have done this repeatedly in this thread, Karl... Especially early on, when many reports in the media, and even in this thread, when what was written did not add up, had incorrect numbers, or had misunderstanding or misleading information.

As I said, I'm not one for 'guessing', even if I believe it's an educated and logical guess.

Why? Because, when it suits them, many use guesses that turn out to be wrong, even if logical and well reasoned, or just a little wrong, as evidence that people don't know what they are talking about. Yo gotta admit, brutha, some do look for any reason to do this.

So, if one is gonna gonna accept some of the myriad of guesswork that's all over the board, who's guesses does one accept? Perhaps the ones who's guesswork yields the answer they already slant towards, or that agrees with what one already believe? Isn't that cherry-picking?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 15, 2011 - 12:44pm PT
Karl,
it is really good for everyone to receive any news with spuculation and a questioning attitude.

Also, both at Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, risks and facts were downplayed and people were put at risk unnecessarily so there is a backlash against what I've been calling "happy talk" Here a video of expert-witness-at-the-time Gundersen about the chronology of TMI


First, Chernobyl was covered up by the USSR. It was a Swedish reactor that actually discovered atmospheric contamination and started asking. Then the USSR did not warn the people in the vicinity. My wife is from Leningrad and has absolutley no trust in what her present or past government tells the people. So I guess I am agreeing with you on Chernobyl. In fact, the USSR out right did not say anything at first.

Sorry, but the press of TMI was way to reactive.

Gundersen, I believe has his own axe to grind. So long as we all understand that there are agenda's being propagated that is the only way that we will be able to wade through the BS.

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 01:39pm PT
Adam wrote

.... many use guesses that turn out to be wrong, even if logical and well reasoned, or just a little wrong, as evidence that people don't know what they are talking about. Yo gotta admit, brutha, some do look for any reason to do this.

So, if one is gonna gonna accept some of the myriad of guesswork that's all over the board, who's guesses does one accept? Perhaps the ones who's guesswork yields the answer they already slant towards, or that agrees with what one already believe? Isn't that cherry-picking?

The heart of many information and opinion issues on this subject revolve around the axes different people have to grind. From my perspective, this goes triple for the nuclear industry themselves, who have billions of dollars and their careers at stake and a record of distortion. The anti-nuke folks are trying to prove their point as well. We have to be critical thinkers on all perspectives.

Whose guesses to give more benefit of the doubt to Adam? The ones whose previous guesses have proved true. Once somebody has cried wolf too much (or "no evidence for immediate concern" wrongly) too much, then everything comes with a red flag

Gunderson may have an axe to grind but claims documentation and cites references for the statements he is making. So far on this incident, he has proven more accurate than the official utility statements. Almost everyone could deduce they low balled the severity ranking of the incident

Peace

Karl
jstan

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 02:00pm PT
Truly excellent discussion guys! I will listen to Gunderson when I am confident exposing my email addy to facebook will not cause unending spam. The outside possibility of radiation rising sharply in the spent rod pools because they get close to criticality takes me back to Glasstone's discussion I read in the 50's. Stagg Field, the site of Fermi's original graphite pile was an open lot in the late fifties. Anyone know if something was ever built there?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 02:09pm PT
Karl,

I think one thing you are leaving out when you confidently believe that 'all the money tied up in nukes' has the influence you believe it does is the NRC...

As I said previously, the NRC has 2 resident inspectors at every site in the US. Their only job is to dig into the weeds to ensure that the CFRs are abided by following procedures, specifications, and codes made specifically to adress every detail... That the nukes do what they say their gonna do, to the "T"... What they are required by federal law to do. In fact, Roger Hannah, spokesman for the commission, said recently, "We look at whether they are they following procedures. Are their procedures detailed enough to allow them to do the things they need to do? Are operators trained well? Are pieces of equipment that are needed operating well? Are they inspected and maintained? Plants are subject to strict regulations, daily inspections by resident inspectors and other periodic inspections."

The NRC reports directly to the President, and can care less if a utility ever generates 1 watt of electricity... They are only concerned with ensuring that the public is protected. There have been several plants accross the US that have not been allowed to start back up throughout the years, some down for over 2 years at a time, until findings are addressed. This costs the utilities hundreds of millions of dollars in lost revenue, as well as additional hundreds of millions spent to achieve what is needed to start back up. There are people sitting in Federal Prisons who wilfully falsified documents, substatial fines have been levied against utilities who have had major findings. They take it seriously. There are nukes that NEVER went online and were abandoned (no fuel ever onsite) due to all required by the NRC, and, as decades pass, the requirements change for the stricter, and I believe that's a GOOD thing... The events in Japan will be looked at in detail to see what can be applied here, and things will likely change for the better. In fact, we have altready been directed to look at and verify many things, and we have just 1 week left to do it, although direction came from EPRI.

I'll say it again, because it is important to understand... The NRC can care less if a nuke ever generates 1 watt of electricity, or ends up bakrupting a utility... They only care about the safety of the public, and the 2 resident inspectors (Government Employees) at every site looks VERY HARD at everything. It is also a federal crime to lie to, or intentionally mislead the NRC.


Lastly... It is just not the culture to 'cut corners' at a nuke... At a miinimum, you get fired, access pulled so no more nukes, and since 'cutting corners' requires 'willful' misrepresentation, they can also go to jail. If someone lies to me about a job they did, they can go to jail. Plus, there is a detailed procedure for EVERYTHING... Even how to paint a hand-rail, including but not limited to, the type of paint (with associated lab verified chemistry paperwork), how long the paint must be stirred, temps for applying paint, surface condition, how thick to apply, how much overlap between brush strokes, etc... For more complex or critical evolutions, the procedures are even more in depth... With sign-offs (BTW, signing for somehting not done per procedure is a federal crime) along the way, and QC Hold Points, where they have to call me or one of my colleagues to verify somehting before they can continue.



Almost everyone could deduce they low balled the severity ranking of the incident.
Ummm, as I pointed out, I stated this WEEKS ago when they put it at a 5, as it was clearly a 6 then, and I believe it will end up a 6 when all is said and done. That said, I have no problem with them failing conservative, and calling it a 7 until they verify otherwise. The health of the public comes first, not saving face.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 02:40pm PT
Adam, I don't think we have been too concerned that proceedures aren't being followed at plants.

I'll say it again, because it is important to understand... The NRC can care less if a nuke ever generates 1 watt of electricity, or ends up bakrupting a utility... They only care about the safety of the public, and the 2 resident inspectors (Government Employees) at every site looks VERY HARD at everything. It is also a federal crime to lie to, or intentionally mislead the NRC.

It's probably closer to say that the NRC cares that nuclear has any future at all, they care about their continued existance and can't be expect to campaign for the end of nuclear power even if it has extensive protections and procedures (which many of us believe wouldn't be enough in a japan-level emergency) People who work for the NRC have obvious stakes and interests in Nuclear and we can't expect them to pull the plug.

and that's what I'm talking about, pulling the plug. We don't know if the Japan plant was following all it's procedures or not, or if a US standards plant would have withstood the quake and tsunami but there seems to be every chance the outcome would be the same.

At this point it's important to note that Diablo Canyon's nuke plant, built on the ocean next to a fault or two, was designed for 40 years and has been a shoe-in for extending their license. How safe do we really know it is? Do geologists REALLY know what the maximum shake an earthquake could rock on that place. I doubt it. Particularly when in Japan last week a 7.1 aftershock put far more earth in motion that geologists anticipated from such a quake

Peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 02:56pm PT
Jstan

What does facebook have to do with it. You can watch Gunderson's videos directly from his site at

http://www.fairewinds.com/
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 15, 2011 - 03:10pm PT
John had previously posted some observations that I have time to at least try and address from my perspective since it’s my day off. First of all, I am not a reactor expert. However, I am managing construction of two very large Category 3 Nuclear Facilities at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation that will process highly radioactive waste (plus I am responsible for all the utilities including the Emergency power). In that capacity, and through 25 years of experience I hope to at least give you a 101 version of how facility design is determined.

10 CFR 830 Table 1 characterizes nuclear facilities based upon their potential for off-site consequences so that a reactor would be Category 1 – Potential for Significant Off-site Consequences. My facilities would only have “local significant consequences”. (In fact hazards from common industrial chemicals such as ammonia exceed any radiological hazard in my facilities). However, the process of developing the safety features and controls for my facilities is very similar among all Hazard categories so my responses to John are not meant to defend the Nuclear Industry, but rather to offer up some information on how the process works (at least for Defense related Facilities).

...We planned for a large earthquake.. Oops.. not that large.
Who could have forsaw such a large Tsunami?.. oh.. I don't know. maybe the people who put the rocks in place.

All nuclear facilities (and dangerous chemical facilities) are evaluated such that they can be put into a “safe mode” in the event of a natural disaster (earth quakes, tsunami, etc). For example, at Hanford, we have engaged the USGS Volcano experts to try and predict the amount of ashfall that may be produced and then land on our site in the event of another eruption like Mt. St. Helens. As John and Adam pointed out, Japan did not adequately “bound” the magnitude of the natural disasters. This point must be clarified as I believe that this (obviously) is a weakness in the Japanese System. At Hanford, our Nuclear Safety group is Autonomous and will review and reach out to the experts (ie: USGS, USACE, private industry consultants) to come up with the magnitude of the event. This is reviewed by the Defense Nuclear Facility Safety Board (DNFSB)

http://www.dnfsb.gov/index.php

The Defense Nuclear Facilities Safety Board is an independent federal agency established by Congress in 1988. The Board's mandate under the atomic Energy act is to provide safety oversight of the nuclear weapons complex operated by the Department of Energy (DOE). The nuclear weapons program remains a complex and hazardous operation. DOE must maintain readiness of the nuclear arsenal, dismantle surplus weapons, dispose of excess radioactive materials, clean up surplus facilities, and construct new facilities for many purposes. The constant vigilance of the Board is required to ensure that all of these activities are carried out by DOE in a manner that provides adequate protection for the public, workers, and the environment.

The DNFSB has some very educated and experienced people whose sole job is to oversee the design /construct/operation of a safe facility operated by DOE. (See Adam’s info on the NRC). As an example, they will haggle with DOE over exponents in equations that may be used to model dispersion of radioactive materials etc. etc. They always take a conservative approach. They have no responsibility for cost and schedule they are all about safety and they are independent from DOE. Also keep in mind that we are building one-of-a-kind facilities so there is a lot of ground breaking engineering and technical analysis. In other words, we commonly face situations that have not been encountered before and we must ask ourselves "what-if?".

When some concurrence is reached on the “bounded event”, that is where the design engineers come in to design a facility to meet the “design basis event” (DBE). Early on in this thread, people wanted to blame the engineers for the Japanese failure. The design engineers did not make the mistake here. Think of it this way, you buy a car that has been designed to protect you in a collision with a brick wall at 35 MPH and you are well aware of this safety criteria. You hit the brick wall at 70 MPH and die. Is it the engineers fault?

I believe we will learn that at least one flaw in Japan is mainly due to their oversight agency that (obviously) did not account for the magnitude of the natural disaster. This agency (whoever they are in Japan), must be independent and must have the authority to invoke more strict DBE’s and or revoke licenses without fear of reprisal (Karl mentioned valid concerns with regards to the political power of Electrical Companies). While the original Nuclear Safety Engineers may have done a good job, if their management chain is TEPCO, then their authority is limited. Early on in this thread I also posted it is not “Werner’s” lab coats, it is the managers who are to blame. Cost and schedule is the decision makers’ metrics for success and even a feeble mind can determine that increased safety can result in increased cost. This is also why the NRC and DNFSB, EPA, OSHA and others are independent. (Hint: if your politicians cut funding for these efforts there will be less effective oversight).

So John, yes in fact the guys who put the rocks up on the hill obviously knew something and it would be wise to heed the ancient advice. While this discussion on Nuclear Power is good, keep in mind that this incident could have been avoided, with relatively minor costs (compared to the Cleanup), in the design of the plant by recognizing the potential for a much larger Tsunami. This may sound obvious, but it is critically important if you are to debate whether Nuclear Power is an option. The obvious point here is that this could have been prevented through a more conservative approach to safety engineering (yeah, I know hindisght is 20-20). When Adam is so inquisitive with regards to the TEPCO Plant layout, he is trying to learn from that event so that he can compare against his own facility, I am pretty certain that is the behavior that we would expect from someone in the industry.

I spent 10 years dealing with safety and the Management of Highly Hazardous Chemicals. I studied all types of events for lessons learned and not surprisingly, many of you have already pegged many including inattention to detail, a lacksadaisical attitude, poor management, cost, schedule and in the event of the first space shuttle disaster a poor safety culture all the way through.

.. You keep saying. Well.. other things like driving and chemical plants are also dangerous. And I keep saying, but not in the same way, with potentially very long term consequences.

John, the long term consequences are terrible. I agree. The only point that I am trying to make here is that there are all manner of things going on in our lives that we do not identify with risks and therefore we leave them out of the equation. If you are one of the 13,000 who die every year from Coal Fired Power plants (American Lung Association) does it really matter about the long term radioactive contamination of an event in Japan?

Plus.. and this is the biggie.. the nuclear industry doesn't get an.. oops... Not one. Or don't you understand that?

I totally get that. Again, if a chemical/coal/traffic oops kills you and your family, then that is also one oops too many and those oops are so common that we as a society accept that risk because it is familiar. And I know that the consequences of a nuclear oops can be far more reaching (time and distance) of a chemical or coal oops. At our facilities, we have gone to tremendous lengths to make the facilities safe. I once worked at a plant that made Sulfuric acid that was owned and Operated by the (Conservative) KOCH Industries.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/08/30/100830fa_fact_mayer

The plant was built in the 1940’s, and was such a nightmare for the workers and environment that I quit within 4 weeks. Acid dripping out of pipes, high pH in the effluent pond with dead fish and turtles floating. The place was a disaster. I remember one old guy filling a tanker truck with “fuming” sulfuric acid (Oleum). No respirator and he was hanging on to the hose hacking and coughing. He said,” I must have a sore throat today!” I walked away shaking my head...

The letter Karl received from the Senator was basically saying. Well, we do things better then the Japanese.. Really??????

I believe that there are things we do better, for example there is the NRC to look out for safety at Nuclear facilities.

On the other hand, I doubt very much that a letter from a member of congress would make me feel better about anything unless I was looking to get screwed.

Sorry for such a long post with obvious information...

rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 03:26pm PT
It's probably closer to say that the NRC cares that nuclear has any future at all, they care about their continued existance and can't be expect to campaign for the end of nuclear power even if it has extensive protections and procedures (which many of us believe wouldn't be enough in a japan-level emergency) People who work for the NRC have obvious stakes and interests in Nuclear and we can't expect them to pull the plug.

Wrong, Karl... The NRC doesn't just oversee comercial nuclear power plants, as they also oversee ALL nuclear material in the US. Like, medical (tracers, therapy, etc), industrial (smoke detectors, radiographic sources, tritium gunsights and watch dials, radioactive level indicators, etc), to name just a few. So they would still have a job if a nuke or 50 were to go offline.

So, curious... Considering this, does that change your stance even a little bit? I would bet, "no". Am I right?


...if a US standards plant would have withstood the quake and tsunami but there seems to be every chance the outcome would be the same.

The SIGNIFICANT differences have been discussed, in detail, many times in this thread, so either you are ignoring it, or have just summarily dismissed it outright.



At this point it's important to note that Diablo Canyon's nuke plant, built on the ocean next to a fault or two, was designed for 40 years and has been a shoe-in for extending their license. How safe do we really know it is? Do geologists REALLY know what the maximum shake an earthquake could rock on that place. I doubt it.
Please, tell me the design basis parameters of Diablo, and also, the differences between it an the plants in Fuke. It is relevant to your question, AND, I honestly believe if you take the time to answer just those two questions, you will even get you answer(s).



Now, if you think that all nukes (104 units) in the US should go off-line immediately, and a reason they don't/won't is because the NRC needs those 104 units to justify their existance... I don't think that would really warrant a response.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:24pm PT
I understand we're stuck with our current nuke plants and am basically resisting the planned renaissance in building them because I feel they are the wrong direction to put our money, risk and technology.

As I wrote before, if all the safety and goodness the advocates write about them is true, let them insure themselves and finance their own construction without the 36 billion in loan guarantees that Obama wants to give them. I appreciate the time and effort that Golsen just spent above and Adam too but I'm finding I'm spending too much time on this thread and haven't managed to line up much work for myself for the season and my own loss control is going to move me to other subjects because rightly or wrongly, this japanese disaster effectively puts nuclear on hold in this country.

Whatever risks the engineers think they can plan for, they can't really and that's why plants that can't mess up a whole order of magnatude beyond coal and gas are needed, even if they are less "efficient" when you don't factor 2000 years of waste management and decommissioning plus risk.

Why can't they, for one thing, we can't know the economy of the future, whether we will be able to afford to meet the demands of our technology and we don't know future threats now. Can engineers of 40 year ago or even today know what sort of weaponry Iraq will have 40 years from now when they're pissed what we did to their country (Like Iran got pissed after the Shah we installed fell?) Not to mention other bizaare natural phenomena (Pole Shift, Massive Solar flares, Whatever)

We just don't need the axe of death hanging over our head as we decide where our money goes looking down the road at non-renewable energy depletion. I know that Nuclear could be a helpful bridge technology to get us to something better and know our energy situation is dire. Problem is 10s of billions poured into nuclear remove economies of scale we could have with Solar, Wind, Chicken (and other) sh#t, Tides and whatever else, not to mention conservation.

The people have seen Japan and will now say No, so let's get used to it and plan aggressively for a nuke-free future as oil and gas become increasingly scarce.

If we do a good job, we'll have technology we can export to the rest of the world and have a robust economy from it. If we export nukes to the world, we'll just get proliferation and face it, you're already admitting the rest of the world can't be trusted because it was a US design that one of the richest, smartest nations of the world couldn't keep safe

Peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:25pm PT
Quote myself for emphasis

As I wrote before, if all the safety and goodness the advocates write about them is true, let them insure themselves and finance their own construction without the 36 billion in loan guarantees that Obama wants to give them.

Sounding like a Republican here don't I. Why don't they seem to have this philosophy when it comes to nukes? It's only seniors and poor people that need to insure themselves and not need handouts eh?

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:29pm PT
Wow, golsen... Very well worded. You are much more articulate than I am.

I especially like:
While the original Nuclear Safety Engineers may have done a good job, if their management chain is TEPCO, then their authority is limited. Early on in this thread I also posted it is not “Werner’s” lab coats, it is the managers who are to blame. Cost and schedule is the decision makers’ metrics for success and even a feeble mind can determine that increased safety can result in increased cost. This is also why the NRC and DNFSB, EPA, OSHA and others are independent.
As this is the same thing that happened at NASA regarding the Challenger disaster, as even engineers raised concerns that were ignored by management. Feynman even highlighted this in his appendix, which he required to be included in the final Commission report he was a part of or he would not sign it.

I'm not an engineer, but I believe that there is a "safety margin" (10%?) added to all designs to ensure that they meet or exceed the design... At least there is here in the US, when designing, bridges, buildings, planes, nukes, etc...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:36pm PT
Karl,
...let them insure themselves and finance their own construction...
Just finance, 101... How does a utility worth ~$9 billion finance a project that costs ~$14 billion?

Same goes for renewables... As super large solar arrays and infrastructure to the grid will cost lots of $$$, and that should get the same gob'ment help.


Personally, I think the generation, grid, and distribution should all be nationalized, as that would take the 'profit margins' out of the mix.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:39pm PT
Just finance, 101... How does a utility worth ~$9 billion finance a project that costs ~$14 billion?

Banks? Isn't that what the private sector financiers do? How does a teacher worth $30,000 buy a $200,000 house?

But I agree we'll need public financing for energy now and in the future. Let's give the money to the safest, more efficient, cleanest technology when ALL the costs and risk are considered

Peace

karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 04:48pm PT
I don't think it's that easy, Karl... I don't think banks like to loan billions of dollars to companies who aren't at least worth more than the amount borrowed, IF there is a substancial chance that there will be cost over-runs and cannot be garunteed to finish and get online, to be able to repay the loan... Remember, the NRC holds the keys, NOT the bank or the Utility.


...the safest, more efficient, cleanest technology ...
Curious, Karl... What technology would you say is the safest, most efficient, cleanest, AND 'reliable' (generating LOTS of electricity 100% of the time, rain, sleet, snow, nighttime)?


Personally, I think Combined Cycle GT's fit the bill, although they are not entirely green, they do use a resource we have in abundance. But this would require substancial infrastructure improvements (to supply the natural gas) to replace coal. They can also use biodiesel, and even syngas made from coal, used tires (I inspected a research plant in SoCal back in the early 90's that was experimenting with this), or any other source rich in hyrdocarbons. Now, add in carbon sequestration, and.....
jstan

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 05:05pm PT
I think Karl has hit on the metric that needs to be met for us even to consider pursuing nuclear. If investors are unwilling to invest and make taxpayer loan guarantees unnecessary, then the power companies have not made a very convincing case. Adam's comment above points up many of the weaknesses in the power company case.

As for the argument that federal oversight on rates for power causes investor return to be inadequate to justify the financial risk, I think there is an answer. During the war consumers were allowed to buy only so many gallons of gas a month. There was not enough gas to go around just as there is not enough power to go around now. There needs to be a much more realistic higher rate put on consumers and industries that use large amounts of power. Those costs will feed in to product costs, and realistically they should feed in. A very substantial portion of these returns should go to support both nuclear and sustainable power development.

Now I think it apparent sustainable power, whatever that technology, will have a much longer future than will nuclear. That will, and should, feed into investment decisions. Whether for thirty years or fifty years we need to consider nuclear to be transitional.

The fact power companies are applying to have their operating licenses extended years before their present licenses expire tells us the power companies agree nuclear is transitional and the outlook is downward. In that environment the drive for wringing profits from obsolete facilities will be substantial.

Therein lies a great danger.

Rules, regulations, protocols reduce risk. They don't make them zero. And if there is one thing humans are it good at, it is gaming the system.

You can count on it.







rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 15, 2011 - 05:11pm PT
There needs to be a much more realistic higher rate put on consumers and industries that use large amounts of power.
Agreed... I said this weeks ago, that there needs to be a realistic higher rate for energy used above a certain base rate/amount for consumers, as that will give them insentive to conserve, as if they do not, then they would pay substantially more than those who do.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 06:07pm PT
Agreed on the last two posts. And, even for government haters, there should be a requirement to pour the extra money created into sustainable power investments.

Peak Oil and Gas is still the silent elephant in the room. When it really hits, people will cry for energy at almost any risk or dirtiness. We really need to make future investments now while we have energy and money to do so. That's why I'm concerned with the economies of scale in technologies that are underfunded now but could get cheaper with 36 billion dollars of commitment under their belt

Peace

Karl
jstan

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 06:56pm PT
In a way we are back where we were in 1935 when the Rural Electrification Administration was created.
From:http://newdeal.feri.org/tva/tva10.htm

"Although nearly 90 percent of urban dwellers had electricity by the 1930s, only ten percent of rural dwellers did. Private utility companies, who supplied electric power to most of the nation's consumers, argued that it was too expensive to string electric lines to isolated rural farmsteads. Anyway, they said, most farmers, were too poor to be able to afford electricity.

The Roosevelt Administration believed that if private enterprise could not supply electric power to the people, then it was the duty of the government to do so. Most of the court cases involving TVA during the 1930s concerned the government's involvement in the public utilities industry.

In 1935 the Rural Electric Administration (REA) was created to bring electricity to rural areas like the Tennessee Valley. In his 1935 article "Electrifying the Countryside," Morris Cooke, the head of the REA, stated that

In addition to paying for the energy he used, the farmer was expected to advance to the power company most or all of the costs of construction. Since utility company ideas as to what constituted sound rural lines have been rather fancy, such costs were prohibitive for most farmers."

End of excerpt

Recently if we had spent less on wars and more on things such as this...................


Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 15, 2011 - 07:03pm PT
Recently if we had spent less on wars and more on things such as this...........

Amen, there's little will to change our economic model away from the military industrial complex.

Think of it, Worldwide enduring Peace would sink this nation's economy.

And god only knows how deep we are. Is it our military that keeps the dollar the reserve currency and lets us go into deep debt with impunity?

Interesting times ahead

Karl
WBraun

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 07:05pm PT
Economics 101 was always if the economy needs to get up and running start a war ......
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 15, 2011 - 07:39pm PT
Thanks Adam.

Werner illustrates yet another problem with our political environment...
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 15, 2011 - 09:40pm PT
//Just finance, 101... How does a utility worth ~$9 billion finance a project that costs ~$14 billion?
//
and

//I don't think it's that easy, Karl... I don't think banks like to loan billions of dollars to companies who aren't at least worth more than the amount borrowed, IF there is a substancial chance that there will be cost over-runs and cannot be garunteed to finish and get online, to be able to repay the loan.
//



That is why Wall Street exists. To raise capital for expensive and risky ventures, that have a reasonably high probability of high payoffs out in the future. If you can't finance it with private money it is because your business plan sucks. And in the case of nuclear, they suck big time. Let alone the cost of construction, operations, and long term storage (really really long) for used fuel, verses the likely revenue stream; There is the much bigger problem of liability if something goes wrong. Lets say 1% chance of a level 7 nuclear accident at any given facility. And whats the economic loss of say 30 miles square of evacuations and uninhabitable land into the infinite future? Hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars I reckon (back of the envelope there - don't hold me to it). Wall Street runs the numbers, factors in a huge risk premium, and says no thanks. They're pretty smart people.

Of course if you get some really smart lawyers involved they can structure the deal so that all profits go to shareholders and when/if things go south the public will pickup the cleanup costs as the subsidiary simply declares bankruptcy and walks away from the mess.

(or you get the government to backstop the whole deal, then your cost of capital goes way down and your profits go way up. Those expensive lobbyists sure pay for themselves. Sweet how smooth our whole system works.)
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
Apr 15, 2011 - 10:20pm PT
Wonderful.

This has turned back into a debate, rather than a name-calling session.

I give points to Karl and agree with Jstan re:

I think Karl has hit on the metric that needs to be met for us even to consider pursuing nuclear. If investors are unwilling to invest and make taxpayer loan guarantees unnecessary, then the power companies have not made a very convincing case. Adam's comment above points up many of the weaknesses in the power company case.


and re. rrradam's post:
Agreed... I said this weeks ago, that there needs to be a realistic higher rate for energy used above a certain base rate/amount for consumers, as that will give them insentive to conserve, as if they do not, then they would pay substantially more than those who do.

Idaho Power, the main utility in S.W. Idaho, imposed a triple-tiered rate system last year: to punish “energy-hogs”. I get punished with higher rates for living in a rural area without natural gas for heat or cooking, for having a well, and for using electricity: to run a booster pump to water my 5 acres.

My energy-hog power bill is up substantially.

My rural electrical needs are billed the same as someone living in an apartment in Boise, and are subject to monetary punishment for exceeding what an apartment dweller might use monthly in kilowatt-hours.

When we "electricity hogs" in Idaho start using less, then Idaho Power can make some “real-money” selling excess electricity to California utility companies.
MH2

climber
Apr 15, 2011 - 10:55pm PT
"Stagg Field, the site of Fermi's original graphite pile was an open lot in the late fifties. Anyone know if something was ever built there?"


Nuclear Energy by Henry Moore, Regenstein Library in background


Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 15, 2011 - 11:00pm PT
Karl wrote:
Sounding like a Republican here don't I.
no, just someone with an argument on a roll...

I have reservations on the Price-Anderson Act, but at the time it was passed there was no way to price the insurance. This first passed in 1957.

Since then the following accidents have occurred:

July 26, 1959 - Santa Susana Field Laboratory, California, United States - Partial meltdown
July 24, 1964 - Charlestown, Rhode Island, United States - Criticality Accident
October 5, 1966 - Monroe, Michigan, United States - Partial meltdown
March 28, 1979 - Middletown, Dauphin County, Pennsylvania, United States - Partial meltdown
January 25, 1982 - Ontario, New York - Radioactive materials released
November 2005 - Braidwood, Illinois, United States - Nuclear material leak
March 6, 2006 - Erwin, Tennessee, United States - Nuclear material leak

resulting in one fatality and no expectations of additional fatalities due to contamination.

I believe that some PAA dollars have been paid out, but dollars have been paid in for violations of the act... $151M has been paid to cover claims. DOE alone has paid $65M to cover claims under its own nuclear operations.

that's $216M for 55 years or about $4M per year.

From a business perspective this has not been great in terms of operations...
from the Wikipedia page...http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_the_United_States
Of all 132 U.S. nuclear plants built (52% of the 253 originally ordered), 21% were permanently and prematurely closed due to reliability or cost problems, while another 27% have completely failed for a year or more at least once. The surviving U.S. nuclear plants produce ~90% of their full-time full-load potential...

however, these plants supply roughly 20% of the electrical power in the US, 806.2 TW, at $0.1/kW as an order of magnitude cost of electricity, that's $81B/year

Probably a good business proposition... in spite of the investment issues with the plant designs of the pre-1970's.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 15, 2011 - 11:40pm PT
if you view the current "spent fuel" as waste that has to be protected forever there is a problem.

However, if you view the "spent fuel" as a resource, which when properly processed provides more fuel for the future, then we have a technology puzzle to solve, and we have somewhere around 100 years to solve it before the isotopics becomes problematic. During that time we have to secure the fuel, and that is possible to do, safely, I believe, using methods that we know are tried and true... gates, guards and guns... and we have places to do it, like the Nevada Test Site, local politics not withstanding.

Learning how to separate out the parts of the "spent fuel" into those parts which can be usefully recycled into new fuel, those parts which have such low radioactivity that they can be buried (that is, no more radioactive than the ores that were mined out in the first place) and what is a tiny fraction of the remaining that has to be stored in places like Yucca Mountain, but not having to be "safe" for tens of thousands of years... that would be the way to go.

So the immediate need everyone agrees on is where to move the already spent fuel where it can wait for the time we know how to make the best use of it... and then working out the issues of reprocessing over the long run.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 15, 2011 - 11:48pm PT
read the Wikipedia entry for the PAA: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_Anderson_Act

we learn that industry payments into the insurance pool (now $95.8M per reactor)... since 1987 such pay in measures have "eliminated the contribution of the federal government to the insurance pool."

So Karl's criteria is met, the industries are required to fund the insurance pool...
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 15, 2011 - 11:59pm PT

Nobody ever only cares about the public only. Most people care about themselves first and foremost.

LovesGasoline, watch out for that Werner guy, when he is saving your ass on El Cap he carries a visa card reader in one hand and a knife in the other. under those conditions most people pay up.


Sorry Werner I couldnt help myself.


Thanks Ed. Good stuff.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:07am PT
It's my understanding that nuclear plants are unable to insure themselves and require taxpayer backing in this regard. Am I mistaken Ed? Given the statistics you've shared, it would seem that insurance would be easy to get or can the industry just not convince insurers that the mega-billion accident just won't happen?

I can understand the argument that Nuke Plants might need public financing to build them as cost overruns, protests, and environmental reviews plus the NRC have a way of delaying construction and making it uneconomical (which are also reasons not to go there) but the insurance angle still seems to point toward real danger.

It's possible the industry could go a long time before another serious accident, but then again, it could happen tomorrow. I have trouble thinking the rebuilding of New Orleans was such a good idea.

The Japan situation is a serious wake-up call. Let's hope that's all it is. Now what to do?

In some ways, the cat is out of the bag and bigger forces will guide our destiny, partly depending on pubic perceptions of the Japan event (which is why I worry about downplaying, everything is at stake for various stakeholders)

Peace

Karl



Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:15am PT
Checking out that link Ed I see that

"Any claims above the $12.6 billion would be covered by a Congressional mandate to retroactively increase nuclear utility liability or would be covered by the federal government.


I have to believe a full-on meltdown at a place like Indian Point would bust through 12 billion in no time. Wouldn't even the loss of a major plant run into many billions in itself?

"Power reactor licensees are required by the act to obtain the maximum amount of insurance against nuclear related incidents which is available in the insurance market (as of 2011, $375 million per plant). Any monetary claims that fall within this maximum amount are paid by the insurer(s).

The Price-Anderson fund, which is financed by the reactor companies themselves, is then used to make up the difference. Each reactor company is obliged to contribute up to $111.9 million per reactor in the event of an accident with claims that exceed the $375 million insurance limit.

As of 2011, the maximum amount of the fund is approximately $12.22 billion ($111.9m X 104 reactors) if all of the reactor companies were required to pay their full obligation to the fund. This fund is not paid into unless an accident occurs. However, fund administrators are required to have contingency plans in place to raise funds using loans to the fund, so that claimants may be paid as soon as possible. Actual payments by companies in the event of an accident are capped at $17.5 million per year until either a claim has been met, or their maximum individual liability (the $111.9 million maximum) has been reached."

Hmm, so the insurance is basically all the other nuclear utilities promising to may 17 million a year each until a claim is paid off. After the real estate meltdown recently, somehow I get a little worried that if there were a super bad accident, that the industry might have trouble ponying up extreme cash over a period of 10 years (but who knows?)

Anyway, thanks for researching that angle.

Peace

karl
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:26am PT
as you know, insurance is a tricky business, and it is doubtful that such a difficult to calculate occurrence is a bet any insurance company is willing to make...

we don't have meteorite insurance either, Karl, you know, to protect your assets in the unlikely, but not zero, chance that they are wiped out by a collision with an extraterrestrial rock moving at high speed...

Three Mile Island was a "full on meltdown" and is one of the accidents listed... no major contamination...
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:28am PT
Yeah, Let hope none of those meteors hit a nuke Plant Ed or we're double screwed!

But the other point, which I've probably made too much already, is there's only one industrial accident for which an large area would be hopelessly contaminated for 100s or 1000s of years, which is what makes nuclear a risk class of it's own

Peace

karl
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:29am PT
word
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:31am PT
This is posted to the NHK website.

Germany to end reliance on nuclear power

German Chancellor Angela Merkel says her government will end its reliance on nuclear power as soon as possible by increasing energy generation from renewable sources.

Merkel spoke to reporters about the plan on Friday after meeting with ministers and all 16 state governors to discuss the energy issue. Earlier, she had suspended a plan to extend the life of existing nuclear power stations following the crisis at Japan's Fukushima Daiichi plant.

The Chancellor said German efforts would focus on developing power grids and renewable technologies, including for wind and solar power.

Last year, Merkel reversed a decision by a former government to shut down all German nuclear plants by about 2022.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:47am PT
Also from the NHK website

"Wastewater level at No.2 reactor tunnel rising
The operator of the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant says the level of highly radioactive water in a tunnel of the No. 2 reactor has been rising.

Contaminated water in the plant's facilities is hampering efforts to restore reactor cooling systems. Leakages of such water into the ocean and the ground are also raising concern.

Tokyo Electric Power Company, or TEPCO, finished transferring part of the wastewater -- about 660 tons -- from the tunnel to a condenser in a turbine building on Wednesday.

The transfer lowered the water level in the tunnel by 8 centimeters, but it began rising again, exceeding the previous level by 2.5 centimeters as of Saturday morning.

TEPCO says work to fix the leakage of highly radioactive water into the ocean earlier this month may have caused water from the reactor to accumulate in the tunnel.

The company hopes to begin transferring contaminated water to a waste-processing facility by the end of next week. It is now accelerating work to monitor and fix water leaks in the facility.

Highly radioactive water may also be leaking underground.

On Thursday, TEPCO detected higher radiation levels in underground water. The observed level was up to 38 times that of one week ago.

TEPCO began taking radiation readings 3 times per week on Saturday, instead of just once per week.
Saturday, April 16, 2011 12:13 +0900 (JST)"

Tough situation where you spray water that's bound to become highly radioactive but don't have effective ways to contain it. Devils bargain we're forced to accept.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 16, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
Love...
I guess when something is a crime, a federal crime no less, then no one would ever dare assume such severe consequences?
Inspectors? Every inspector is capable of being paid off. Every inspector. And every man has his price, every man, you too Adam.
Critical and vital systems are inspected periodically, as in over and over again as time passes... That what ASME Sec XI (In-service Inspection) is all about. So, do you suppose that 2, 5, or 10 years later, the different inspectors inspecting those componants AGAIN will also be paid off so as not to uncover the previous 'pay off'?

As I said... There are people sitting in Federal Prisons who have falsified documents/inspections, and it was later uncovered by a later re-inspection. Just last month:
http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/2011/mar/24/tva-faces-charges-tied-nuclear-site/

Davis-Besse is another example:
http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/RS_Siemaszko_found_guily_in_Davis-Besse_case_2708081.html
Note - A good friend of mine is the one who later identified the problem.

And, as per the CFR that I linked that outlines my job, there are checks and balances (E.g., independent verifications, periodic inspections of the same thing, functional tests, etc...) that are designed to make it so that if something is not 'as designed' it can be identified/detected, and that any one person is not responsible ensuring that a componant meets design criteria. The more critical the system, the more additional layers are added (I.e., more independant verifications).

There are also 'quality concern' drop boxes all over any nuclear site, for people to anonymously raise quality concerns... When contractors exit a site after their job is complete, they ALL fill out a 'quality/safety concern' form, that asks if they have ANY concerns... That too is anonymous.


Lastly... Think about it reasonably for a moment... In nuclear, since it is a crime to offer or solicite a bribe... Let's say 1 in 1,000 would offer or accept a bribe. That means that the one offering stands a 999 in 1000 chance of being turned in for offering a bribe, and if one solicites, he stands the same odds of going to jail. It's just not worth it, so nobody tries... At least not in nuclear.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 16, 2011 - 02:25pm PT
Fortunately, there are more honest people in this world than corrupt. That was an interesting link LG, and from my perspective the government servants who did that (ie: whitehouse peeps) should be tried and thrown in jail as should everyone who was party in making that announcement.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 16, 2011 - 02:32pm PT
I think we all have to remember that accidents happen. and when the consequences for a nuclear accident are beyond acceptance, then nuclear power is no longer an option. Until this time, most of us have had out heads buried in the sand, but as the birth defects start happening and we continue to be showered with nuclear waste from Japan, we need to follow the example of what Germany has just done, and move on to cleaner safer ways of generating power. We have no right, none at all, to poison this planet for our children and future generations.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 16, 2011 - 02:44pm PT
Dr. Michio Kaku on Bill Maher regarding Fuku:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NGybzSxgrd8&feature=mfu_in_order&list=UL


Watch quick while it lasts . . .
monolith

climber
Apr 16, 2011 - 03:13pm PT
Adam makes good sense about being worried if the next inspector doesn't take the bribe too. But no worry, now you get to assume all the inspectors are taking bribes. This fits well in the conspiracy droid mindset.
hb81

climber
Apr 16, 2011 - 03:16pm PT
Is this an example of Germany deluding itself?

It's more like Angela Merkel trying to delude the voters after she and her
party just had prolonged the remaining time for nuclear power plants to operate about half a year ago.
It's a quick, not thought-out publicity stunt.



Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 16, 2011 - 07:41pm PT
I don't think Adam was saying that people were incorruptable, after he posted

As I said... There are people sitting in Federal Prisons who have falsified documents/inspections, and it was later uncovered by a later re-inspection.

So people must have been screwing up. He's just saying there are some checks and balances.

Still, it's far from the main vulnerability to nuclear power

Peace

Karl
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Apr 16, 2011 - 09:36pm PT
Proof?





Perhaps that's a fiction you have to believe, in in order to maintain your faith in humankind.
And to retain faith in the man you believe yourself to be.



PS: You did not cheat on your taxes.

lovesG,

dood. maybe its the shithole you live in (see your location). i feel sorry for you. you want proof that a majority of peeps are not corrupt? you need to find a friend, look for RokJox, he will set you straight.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 16, 2011 - 11:24pm PT
Nuclear energy is a good idea? How stupid can we be?
Don't go out in the rain. Filter all your water thru a purification unit. Maybe cheap electricity isn't so cheap afterall..
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 17, 2011 - 12:19am PT
NHK reports that they again have high levels of radioactivity in the ocean water in front of the plant. It could be that putting in metal barriers to contain it stirred up contaminated mud at the bottom or more likely, that they have new leaks that have not yet been located.

Yesterday Tepco also announced they have a plan finalized for draining the radioactive water out of the buildings and trenches and installing a new cooling system which should start in the summer. From their diagrams, it looks like they intend to leave the water in the basement of the turbine building to save time and money in installing a more sophisticated system. If so, it seems they will still have radioactive water leaking though concrete?







It's very unclear whether they plan to dismantle the turbine tank or they just left it out to simplify the drawing. Perhaps it is just one more diagram meant to soothe the public ?

In any case, they're now estimating 6-9 months to stop the radiation.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 17, 2011 - 07:01am PT
love...
rrrADAM, I believe your faith in the incorruptibly of humans and systems fatally naive. Perhaps for one such as yourself it's a necessary fiction to get on with the work you intend to perform.

You are putting words in my mouth, friend... Where did I say that humans are incorruptable?

I merely have some faith, that in the long run, regarding the safety of vital nuclear systems, there are enough checks and balances to detect such corruption, AND that the myriad redundancies only add more balances. I'm intamately familiar with them, how familiar with them are you? I don't mean to imply you don't know anything, but am curious if you truely understand the depth of the checks, balances, and redundancies.

It's convenient to play the 'conspiracy theory' card, as that's infinately open ended with 'what ifs' to counter everything, just like others use "God did it" regarding another issue intirely.

Example...
"What if", some alien technology is used to succesfully use transporters (a la Star Trek) to beam a team of sabotures or terrorists to all the key points in a plant, also using "cloaking technology" so they are invisible, and simultaniously carry out a plan? How will we defend that?

Well, you got me.



Personally, I think having 6 units at one site is a bad idea, especially coupled with where (next to a large subduction zone, and low enough that the tsunami overtook it), as when a natural disaster of that magnitude hits (not the quake, but beyond design basis tsunami), they have too much on their plate to deal with all at once. The rest of the "issues" will come out when the details are known of the sequence of events that lead to what happened. A LOT happened that we just don't know yet, certainly not well enough to make an informed decision or detailed critique.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 17, 2011 - 07:10am PT
Studly (hehe)...

You keep posting confidently those graphs... You may wish to look at the title of those graphs, then look up the definition of that word that starts with a "p" in it.

You do realize, that if I fart in Japan, with sensitive enough equipment, you can detect it after time in the US, right*? And get this, it will follow the same patterns depicted in your graphs, since its dispersal is meteoralogic in nature. You can use the EXACT same modeling to show the actual radionuclides dispersed from coal plant smoke stacks (E.g., Uranium, Thorium, Radium, Radon, etc), as they release MUCH more radioactive materials into the invironment than do nukes, and it is just as detectable... Worse, it is released directly into the atmosphere, 24/7/365, and what doesn;t go out the stacks, get concentrated in Fly Ash since it doesn't burn. And that is just the radionuclides, NOT the rest of the carcinogens and irritants.

*Point being, at what level are the radionuclides mentioned considered harmful?
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 17, 2011 - 11:50am PT
Studly,

what Adam said. Plus, Xe-133 has a half life of about 5.5 days.

Xenon-133 (brand name Xeneisol, ATC code V09EX03) is an isotope of Xenon. It is a radionuclide that is inhaled to assess pulmonary function, and to image the lungs. It is also often used to image blood flow, particularly in the brain. Xe-133 is also an important fission product.

Get your lungs checked.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 17, 2011 - 12:54pm PT
I know exactly what it shows. Projected amounts since no one cknows exactly what is in the clouds but evidentally the ESA and NILU, a agency dedicated to atmospheric transport of particulate matter, seem to think it important that they put out a model of what they feel may be happening, but then they lived thru Chernobyl. Don't look at it if you don't like it, but don't try to have everyone else live in denial. Our nation is being covered with large amounts of radioactive particles, and they are in our milk, our water, in our animals, on our skin, and in our homes. Tests have already shown that, as well as the projected graphs shown above. Do you deny that Fukushima particulate matter is blanketing us? Our government does not want mass panic and so they have chosen to not address the issue and let the chips fall where they will since there is nothing they can do to prevent it.
As the meltdown continues, probably burning thru any casing and into the ground, and thus the groundwater, and then into the ocean. Who can say where this will stop if at all. Much smarter more nuclear savy people then me have gone on record as saying there is no end in sight on this. 3 meltdowns right on the ocean with no answer as to how to stop it. People are dying from it now, and many many more will be, and how much of the ocean is it going to kill? You think that is funny? or an acceptable alternative?
XE-33 may have a half life of 5 days, but CS-137 has a halflife of 30 years. People in the United States will be dying from this, it just remains to find out how many. But we should all listen to a couple tool jockeys like yourselves who know it all because you say so.
cintune

climber
Midvale School for the Gifted
Apr 17, 2011 - 01:19pm PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CdRo7okHCAc

Keep smiling through, just like you always do,
'Till the blue skies chase those dark clouds far away.
Daphne

Trad climber
Mill Valley, CA
Apr 17, 2011 - 08:00pm PT
Hi there. Someone I know who spends quite a lot of time in Japan just returned there for business reasons. They sent this account of life on the ground in Tokyo and I thought there might be some here who would be interested:


"I’ve been asked by several people to report what I experience here in Tokyo and so have taken the liberty of including all of you (bcc’d) in this mini-report. It’s been over a month since the earthquake and tsunami hit the northeastern part of Japan, and while things in that region are far from calm or settled, Tokyo on the streets mostly feels like it always has. At least so far.....


April 15, 16, 17 weekend, Tokyo

I arrived to the emptiest Narita airport that I've ever seen. Some of the moving sidewalks were intentionally on stop mode to save on electricity; the lights were a little dimmer than usual; there was an eerie quiet in the baggage claim area. I was in and out of immigration and customs in record time. Traffic on the roads into Tokyo and to my little apartment here were the same. Empty.

The only sign in my apartment that anything unusual had occurred was a slightly disheveled stack of dishes in the cabinet and a shampoo bottle on the floor in the bathroom. Nothing broken. After unpacking and settling in, I went for a walk to get water, food, provisions. On my walk, I noticed the attached sign on the front of a local restaurant, with the sub-caption "let's all rise above this together." This type of sign, I was soon to discover, has become commonplace. As I continued, I saw a few shuttered restaurants with signs saying they're closed temporarily due to interruption of supply chains which prevent them from getting things they need to keep the kitchen running. Convenience stores also had notices on the front doors apologizing for the dearth of product within (mostly water, it seems....). Beverage vending machines have notes posted apologizing for shortages. I was able to buy water, but noticed that sections typically shelving imported bottled water were empty, and the domestic mineral water shelves were full. I must admit that I, too, was reluctant to buy JP water and decided on 2 medium-sized bottles of Fiji. Customers were being asked at this store to limit themselves to 3 bottles per family, and it seems most stores have similar rules for the time bing.

I then went to a yoga class and, having heard that the lights of Tokyo's nighttime have been drastically toned down, was expecting a deeper darkness when I stepped out of the studio at 9:00pm, but it felt pretty much the same as always. I slept deeply last night, but had dreams of tsunami in strange San Francisco locations, and of houses that had been reduced to rubble here in my Tokyo neighborhood.

A few things I heard or read today:

The Grand Prince Hotel Akasaka, a large landmark hotel in central Tokyo, is set to be knocked down, but before that happens, it is being used as a shelter for up to 1600 people who have been evacuated due to the crisis in Fukushima.

One of the biggest sources of aid has come from the yakuza, the JP mafia.

A group of student volunteers in a tsunami-hit village in Iwate Prefecture have begun searching for photo albums amid the rubble that was once a town and handing them back to their rightful owners.

Shortly after the earthquake, a well-known Harajuku (Tokyo) mini-department store, La Foret, experienced an influx of rats and continues to struggle with chewed and eaten leather goods in the stores. (speaking of pesky critters, the city’s ubiquitous thug-like crows the size of full grown penguins have been mysteriously far and few between, which is equally creepy.)

-------------------------------------------------------


EQ: Sat, Apr 16, 11:25am --- just felt my first large-ish earthquake (EQ) since arrival. A text popped into my cellphone from an emergency center at the instant it occurred, announcing it. That’s a first, and is apparently a new system since Mar 11. Centered in Tochigi Prefecture, about 75 miles from Tokyo. Magnitude 5.8.

I walked around the fashionable Omotesando area today and saw many shops with signs saying that they were keeping the lights low in the stores to conserve electricity. I ran into a couple of friends, and talked with shop clerks in the area that I know well, and sensed a certain pride in their voices at being able to say, “See? We’re all just fine.” One person even seemed a little defensive about it. They seemed to be saying that they, as Japanese -- as a race, as a people, as a nation -- are super-resilient and capable of rebounding, and that we, as non-Japanese, shouldn’t worry about them. One shop clerk whispered to me that, while busloads of Chinese and Korean shoppers had recently become the norm in Tokyo, they literally stopped appearing in Japan the day after the earthquake hit. She went on to say that she’s had some American customers tell her that they’re not afraid of earthquakes or of being in Japan right now, and that this made her happy and even brought tears to her eyes. It’s almost as if there’s a fear that they’ll be looked down on by the outside, that the disaster is a source of shame, or a stain on the character of the nation to have suffered such a terrible tragedy, to have been so vulnerable. Or maybe it’s just too horrible to acknowledge as real.

Another said that her husband’s family are farmers and are deeply concerned about the health of the earth, and how extensively produce will or won’t be contaminated. As I shopped for vegetables at Natural House, one of the few organic stores in the city, I noticed that much care had been put into labeling what region the produce, eggs, dairy, etc were from. Notably, there was nothing from the stricken areas of the northeast.

-------------------------------------------------------


EQ: Sun, April 17, 5:30am — tiny, but there

There was a huge anti-nuclear demo held in Shibuya this afternoon. A typical crowd of demonstrators in Tokyo tends to be comprised of elderly, mild-mannered people in floppy mountain-hiking hats (yes, they wear floppy hats for that here) chanting rather dispiritedly, but this was a different and more passionate kind of crowd. There were many “salarymen” business people in button-down shirts and lots and lots of young people, which one rarely sees in any kind of demonstration in Japan. Before I actually saw them, I thought that there was a sports event going on somewhere because their collective voices were so loud. I also saw my first “No Nukes!” sign in Japanese in the window of a fairly upscale, fashionable café. It might just be that people here (especially young people) are finally experiencing the need to take charge of their own lives, and are becoming aware of the politics that inform them.

New word! The Japanese word for “foreigner” or for “non-Japanese” is gaijin (pronounced GUY-jean). The two Chinese characters, or kanji, that form this word come together to literally mean “outsider” and the term has a slightly derogatory tone, although it’s casually used all the time by both gaijin and JPs to refer to us. The word flyjin (FLY-jean) has been coined to refer to the hundreds (thousands?) of foreigners living here that flew the country immediately following the earthquake on Mar 11, some just for a couple of weeks to avoid the confusion and hysteria, others for good. I guess I’m sort of a reverse flyjin, as I’m one of those who flew back here instead of away.

In the meantime, I continue to take my arsenal of kelp, chelators, A B C D E F G-vitamins, cleansers, iodine, flower remedies, anti-oxidants, miso soup, the works, to stay as strong and healthy as possible while I’m here. Just in case.

The earthquake and all it’s wrought is the first, last, and inevitable conversation people have here with everybody they meet. Today is Monday, the first day of work for me since I arrived on Friday. More along the way.

(p.s. I was awakened by a bit of a shaker around 3:00am last night.....and on it goes!)






WBraun

climber
Apr 17, 2011 - 08:15pm PT
Thanks for that wonderful report Daphne.

I'll be looking to hear more.

Thanks again .....
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 17, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
Thanks for that Daphne. Nothing like a report from the ground.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 17, 2011 - 08:40pm PT
Best wishes and courage to all the people of Japan.
Big dense radioactive plume reaching way out in the Pacific from Japan staying very intact and heading our way shortly.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Apr 17, 2011 - 10:43pm PT
hey there say, daphne, thanks so very much for the share...

:)
Daphne

Trad climber
Mill Valley, CA
Apr 17, 2011 - 10:44pm PT
hi ThaDood, thanks for your words but that report is from someone I know, not myself. I do have permission to send it on. And I had the same sentiments upon reading it as you.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 18, 2011 - 01:48am PT

It's amazing to read that since life in Okinawa is proceeding as usual with no rationing of electricity. Although we're only a couple thousand miles away, there's no fear of radiation down here as the wind and water currents are carrying it all toward the west coast of America. Strange.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 18, 2011 - 06:36am PT
Thanx Daphne!
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 18, 2011 - 08:21am PT
A pretty good write up detailing status of the units, as well as short and long range plans:
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/04/17/japan.nuclear.reactors/index.html?hpt=T2

Although there are some minor details that could be explained better/correctly.



And, for a better understanding of one's [radiation] dose, anyone can use this tool to calculate their own approximate dose depending on where they live and some other details regarding their life:
http://www.new.ans.org/pi/resources/dosechart/

Using the calculator... My average annual dose is:
332.61999999999994 mrem (3.3262 mS)

PLUS my average annual dose working at a nuke:
125 mrem (1.25 mS)

457.62 mrem (4.5762 mS) annually

So, I am below even the national everage (620 mrem/yr), and WELL below the Maximum Allowable:
The average dose per person from all sources is about 620 mrems per year. It is not, however, uncommon for any of us to receive less or more than that in a given year (largely due to medical procedures we may undergo). International Standards allow exposure to as much as 5,000 mrems a year for those who work with and around radioactive material.

Using this tool, one can even get a pretty good approximate of their 'lifetime' accumulated dose, by mutiplying their age by their base [natural] dose, and factoring in any changes in location, life style (E.g., annual flying hours), or medical procedures.


Note - 20-30 years ago, many nuke workers in the US got substantially higher annual doses due to many reasons that have since been remedied, with many having an average dose being ~10 times higher than today, so that would put them at ~1,250 mrem (1.25 rem or 12.5 mS) annually. In the course of 10 years time back then, many of my older colleagues (50's & 60's) accumulated doses of 12,500 mrem (12.5 rem or 125 mS), and they are still going strong, very healthy, with no increase in cancer rates compared to non-nuclear workers. In fact, many of them work circles around the younger generation that tends to be a little lazier.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Apr 18, 2011 - 11:15am PT
on the plot of that calculation of 137Cs up above, it is important to know what a Bq is, that is a unit of (named after Henri Bacquerel): 1 decay per second... that's a low rate.

so if I read that legend correctly, the region which stands out is roughly 1 decay per second per square-meter.

This is an estimate, not a measurement, and the basis of the estimate, the URL given on the plot is not correct... I would be interested in its source since the basis of the estimate is probably given on the same page...

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Apr 18, 2011 - 01:09pm PT
Just curious

The Utility is talking about decontaminating the area, as much as possible, within the 20 KM zone where people were evacuated and the 30 km "danger zone"

How do you decontaminate zones like that? Hard for me to imagine.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 18, 2011 - 01:52pm PT
The Utility is talking about decontaminating the area, as much as possible, within the 20 KM zone where people were evacuated and the 30 km "danger zone"

How do you decontaminate zones like that? Hard for me to imagine.
Depends on the type and extent of contamination... I think golsen is much better suited to answering this in detail, but generally speaking... Not ALL of that area will require decontamination, as only areas that exceed a certain limit will need to be. So, much sampling needs to be done to determine the extent.

If it's radioidone, likely nothing, as it will decay relatively rapidly.

Buildings can be washed, top soil can be removed, wells drilled to sample ground water, etc... It just can be VERY costly to do it correctly. (E.g., Burying low level rad-watse, removing contamination from water, etc)


Again, the difference between radioactive materials, contamination (radoactive material where you don't want it), and radiation (the energy the material gives off) is analogous to dog sh#t and stink... Where radioactive material would be the dog sh#t, and radiation would be the stink. You can get the sh#t smeared on your shoe (contaminated) and smell (radiation) it, but you can clean it off of your shoe. Dog sh#t needs to be controlled and cleaned up. Also, through natural processes, the dog sh#t will eventually decay.



Note also that people can go to the Trinity Bomb site, which is now a Historic Monument...

Or even the Bikini Atoll, where some pretty gnarly bombs nuclear bombs were detonated, is a popular tourist and dive destination...
Note - There are even facilities on the island for tourists and divers.

And, again, there are people who still live in the "Restricted Zone" around Chernobyl, and it is even open to tourists...


In ALL of those places, significantly (in order of magnitude) more radioactive materials were released (contamination) than at Fuku.



I believe the oil SPEWED into the Gulf 'crapped up' more square miles of productive yet ecosensitive estuaries and coastline (4,200 miles) during the Deep Water Horizon accident, than will be the case for Fuku... When all is said and done, I believe the DWH, will be MUCH more destructive to the environment. BUT, that won't ease peoples' 'fears' and 'anxieties' about the Fuku/Nuclear stuff, now, or in the future.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Apr 18, 2011 - 03:53pm PT
Karl and Adam, the problem I see in decontaminating the area is that you are talking pretty low levels disbursed across a large area. Not really my specialty. Once you get it all centralized (solids) or you have volumes of water I can offer up some ideas.

If there is a lot of soil contaminated you are looking at a massive job which again is compounded by the relatively low levels. Think if it as having millions of marbles and you only want to seperate one color of them. This is complex for soil as different elements behave differently (physically and chemically) therefore making any kind of seperation exercise from soil very difficult. Not to mention the soil properties themselves can limit the remediation technology.

At one Superfund site that had sandy soil and was contaminated with Arsenic, we built a "soil washing system" where we were able to maintain the liquid fraction at a given pH and keep the Arsenic in the liquid phase, so we got clean sandy soil and Aresenic contaminated water. We then precipitated out the arsenic to seperate that from the water. Basically, you exploit the physical and chemical properties of the soil and contaminants to get the best seperation at the lowest cost.

[url="http://www.epa.gov/region2/superfund/npl/vineland/"]

[url="http://www.art-engineering.com/Projects/Vineland/Photos.htm"]

Funny, I worked on this site ^^ at the pilot scale and just saw that it was a success! I have'nt kept track of some of those things I worked at once about 15 years ago.

Looks like they have even used this at Hanford where I work.

http://www.art-engineering.com/Projects/Hanford/Photos.htm

Edit:

Adam, I once visited Johnston Atoll, in the Pacific. They had done some weapons testing there as well. I think that site is all cleaned up now but what a mess at one time. It had a Plutonium Contaminated Area, Agent Orange Area and Nerve and Blister Agents. Kind of mind boggling. Your picture reminded of that place since I went diving there as well.

http://www.urbanghostsmedia.com/2010/04/isolated-and-abandoned-military-airbase-johnston-atoll/
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 18, 2011 - 05:51pm PT
Which is why sampling is so important...

There are just too many variables (E.g., type of radionuclide, soil type, concentration, etc) to come up with any reasonable answers now, without sampling.
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Apr 19, 2011 - 01:58am PT
Dr. Helen Mary Caldicott speaks on Japan nuclear situation:

http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=1650800152468&comments

I think she has a little more expertise than our own Mr. Adam.

or here is the Youtube version of the same 10 minute talk:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMmaduq-5bw
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 19, 2011 - 11:57am PT
Wow RockerMike. We are in very very deep sh#t and 99.9% of us don't even realize it yet...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 19, 2011 - 12:52pm PT
UPDATE AS OF 5 P.M. EDT, MONDAY, APRIL 18:

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) estimates it will take up to nine months to stabilize the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. A plan released Sunday breaks the project into two steps, the first taking up to three months, the second up to six months more.

According to the company’s “Roadmap Towards Restoration,” TEPCO plans to:

Fill the containment vessels of reactors 1 and 3 with enough water to cover the fuel in the reactors while it decides the best course of action to repair the damaged containment vessel of reactor 2. The goal is to lower the temperature of the water inside the reactors to below boiling.

Install heat exchangers to help cool the reactors. TEPCO continues to inject water into the reactors to prevent overheating. TEPCO also continues to spray water onto the used fuel storage pools as needed.

Use giant covers with filters to enclose the reactor buildings and control the release of radioactivity.

Install additional water storage tanks and purification facilities to process the highly radioactive water that has accumulated in the plant buildings and nearby concrete enclosures. The decontaminated water then will be used to cool the reactors. Radioactive water that has accumulated in turbine room basements is hampering work to restore cooling operations.

Expand monitoring of radiation in the 12.5-mile evacuation area and later decontaminate houses and soil.

TEPCO continues injection of nitrogen gas into the containment vessel of reactor 1 to stabilize the environment inside the reactor.

New Videos Posted
NEI has uploaded two new videos to its YouTube channel: "Health Physicist Explains the Differences in Health Impacts From Fukushima Versus Chernobyl" and "Health Physicist Says Fukushima Poses No Health Risk to Americans." Both videos feature Barbara Hamrick, radiation safety officer and certified health physicist at the University of California's Irvine Medical Center.
http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/
Daphne

Trad climber
Mill Valley, CA
Apr 19, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
Here's another update from the ground in Tokyo, Japan. I am always more interested in the human element than in the sciences and hope these reports leaven the nuclear discussion on this thread. I think this person writes incredibly well.


4/18

We didn’t actually coordinate our travel schedules ahead of time, but Hillary R Clinton and I both arrived in Tokyo this past weekend. And while of course the auspices under which we are here vastly differ, we’re both offering our condolences and our support in rebuilding after the earthquake. Unlike Hillary, however, I was not invited to tea with the Emperor and Empress. (As an aside, oddly enough, Hillary has been in my dreams for many years, and in a particularly memorable one, she called me to ask for my interpreting assistance in Japan so I half expected to hear from her on the weekend......) I did have lunch yesterday, though, with a JP colleague of 12 years, and he filled me in on his personal experience the day of the EQ/tsunami, and what has transpired since. Aside from the fact that he walked 4-1/2 hours to get home the night of the earthquake because all the trains were stopped, he says he’s gained 10 pounds since 3/11 (“three-one-one” as they’re calling it). He thinks that the sudden weight gain comes from a constant feeling of wanting to fill a hole inside that newly opened with this tragedy. Unable to make sense of such loss ( = emptiness), he can’t fill himself with enough in order to at least experience a temporary sense of comfort or relief. A highly sensitive soul to begin with, he’s grasping to find solid ground, to find something whole, and finds himself looking more inward than ever before, looking for answers about the meaning of it all.

Yurekuru.
I first read about this cell phone application, yurekuru, in the NYTimes, but have since heard about it a million times. It literally means “shaking’s coming” and if you’ve downloaded the app, your cell phone will emit a special ring 30 seconds before an earthquake. You can arrange your settings so that you only get the announcement for anything over a magnitude of 5 or 6 or whatever you want. My friend Merry had hers on a low-ish setting, so anything over a 3 was registering. She learned to not necessarily jump at every ring, especially if she herself didn’t feel any shaking, but her dachshund, Moby, has come to recognize the sound and what it implies, and was having freak-outs all the time, after which Merry decided to raise the threshold a little.

Ginza.
The Champs-Elysees of Tokyo. Yesterday evening when I left my Ginza office, I noticed that only every other street lamp was lit. Other than the blaring blazing glaring neon lights of the newly-opened Gap store, the entire area was noticeably darker. I’ve heard from a handful of people that they actually prefer the subdued lighting, and feel that it’s more romantic, more European this way than it was before.

----------------------------------------------------------


4/19

I stopped in at Citibank this morning, and saw white hard hats printed with “CITI” strategically placed at all the tellers’ windows. I stopped into another bank to see if this was the case there as well, and sure enough. Green helmets for the tellers. Later today, I came upon an article about “fashionable emergency goods” and read about helmets (stackable ones in 11 different colors http://www.kakumet.jp/ ) and the fold-up helmet http://www.ring-bo.com/rescue/tatamet-zukin.htm And then there’s the “puchi puchi sleeping bag” made from bubble wrap http://xbrand.yahoo.co.jp/category/lifestyle/6637/8.html (puchi puchi is the onomatopoeic sound of the bubble wrap when you pop the bubbles, which of course you do because how can you not?!) Last but not least, there’s the “bosai dog” (which means “disaster dog......” ) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=treJ8_gllPU The dog-pouch comes with a whistle, rope, rain poncho, flashlight, and candle.

In addition to fashionizing anything and everything, the JPs are quite prone to and adept at coming up with buzzwords that pertain to a particular event or time. This is probably true everywhere, but in my experience, the JPs are relentless masters. At the moment, aside from the above-mentioned yurekuru, the word jishuku has been finding its way into more sentences. Defined as “self-control” or “self-restraint,” it’s not a new word, but is what all people are being called on to do here in Japan, particularly in terms of holding back on the use of natural resources, electricity, buying water, or even just having too much of a good time. That said, in the last week or so, there are those who feel that enough is enough, and that the time for jishuku is over. They’re saying it’s time to get the economy moving, to shop, to dine out, to re-emerge and to try to live normally and that this is now what Japan needs most.

Another word of the times is setsuden which means “conservation of electricity.” (This word’s brevity in Japanese compared to the clumsy English equivalent is a form of conservation in itself!) This is the word that is posted most on store fronts, vending machines, in train stations, at banks, near non-moving escalators and elevators, everywhere. It’s even stamped into my brain at this point, after only a few days here, and I’m very conscious of what lights I turn on, and have most definitely been avoiding use of the power-monger heater I have at home. A poignant moment: yesterday on the train, I noticed someone walking back and forth in the train car, muttering to himself. He was probably in his early twenties, seemingly autistic, and visibly frustrated. I leaned in a little to hear what he was saying. What I heard was “setsuden setsuden setsuden setsuden setsuden....”
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Apr 19, 2011 - 02:00pm PT
Thanx again, Daphne. It's much appreciated.

The Japanese have a proud, resilient, and admirable culture.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Apr 20, 2011 - 10:56am PT
Nuclear plume stretching all the way across the Pacific thanks to the trade winds, coming to us all very shortly.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Apr 25, 2011 - 10:54pm PT
Busby: 'Can't seal Fukushima like Chernobyl - it all goes into sea'
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x577163

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-3Kf4JakWI
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Apr 25, 2011 - 11:47pm PT
Disagree. fuku will go down as one of the worst environmental screw ups of our times (so far).

And as far as your "it's now worse than a couple of xrays", again ingesting radiation is a whole different story.

this thing continues to "SPEW" radiation and will for much longer that what Deep Water spewed oil. Fuku will be "crapping up" our estuaries fairly soon.

I believe the oil SPEWED into the Gulf 'crapped up' more square miles of productive yet ecosensitive estuaries and coastline (4,200 miles) during the Deep Water Horizon accident, than will be the case for Fuku... When all is said and done, I believe the DWH, will be MUCH more destructive to the environment. BUT, that won't ease peoples' 'fears' and 'anxieties' about the Fuku/Nuclear stuff, now, or in the future.
Jennie

Trad climber
Elk Creek, Idaho
Apr 26, 2011 - 12:17am PT
Average backgound readings in the U.S. run 5 to 60 counts per minute...rarely over 100 CPM

http://www.radiationnetwork.com/


The Geiger counters should be kept away from food items and some building construction items.

One banana increases count readings on most counters by about 12. A bin of bananas at supermarket can make a counter go off scale, depending on where the fruit was grown …similar effect from potatoes and some other vegetables. (This effect from potassium in the soil the vegetables or fruit were grown)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 26, 2011 - 12:18pm PT
From NHK

Desalting of tsunami-hit rice paddies begins

Work to remove salt from rice paddies that were covered by tsunami waves following the March 11th earthquake has begun in northeastern Japanese prefectures.

Japan's government estimates that 23,600 hectares of farmland in 6 prefectures along the Pacific coast were covered by seawater.



On Tuesday in Ishinomaki City, Miyagi Prefecture, farmers channeled fresh water from a repaired irrigation canal into a rice paddy, used a tractor to mix the water with soil, and drained the water.

By repeating this process several times, farmers hope to lower the density of salt in paddies that were not heavily soaked by seawater, and plant rice in late May -- about a month later than usual.

The desalting process has begun in Iwate Prefecture as well.



On Tuesday, the Cabinet approved a bill stipulating that the government would shoulder 90 percent of the cost of the procedure.

Agriculture minister Michihiko Kano told reporters that removing salt from all affected farmland is expected to take about 3 years.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 26, 2011 - 12:21pm PT
Also from NHK

Japan's thanks US for disaster relief

The Japanese Red Cross Society says that as of April 11th donations worth about 168-million dollars were sent from the US.

The US military mobilized about 20,000 personnel, around 160 aircraft and 20 vessels for relief activities under Operation Tomodachi, named after the Japanese word for "friend."


CNN has begun airing a video message to thank the United States for supporting Japan following the March 11th disaster.

The message was made by Japan's Foreign Ministry, with help from the network.

CNN started airing the message on Monday on some of its cable TV channels and the CNN Airport Network, which covers 49 US airports.



The 30-second message shows 7 photographs of US rescue operations in disaster-stricken areas in Japan, as well as a charity concert in Boston.

The English message says Japan draws strength from the friendship extended by the US, and has started rebuilding. The message ends with the Japanese expression "Arigatou gozaimasu," which means "Thank you."



The Foreign Ministry said the message is expected to be aired nearly 400 times through May 15th. The ministry added that it hopes many people will watch the message.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 26, 2011 - 12:22pm PT
And only in Japan


Prisoners all over Japan have donated the equivalent of more than 260,000 dollars to people affected by the March 11 disaster.

Justice Minister Satsuki Eda told reporters on Tuesday that more than 2,800 people in prisons and detention centers across the country had donated funds or money they earned in jail.
monolith

climber
Apr 26, 2011 - 06:16pm PT
I believe a lot fled when the tsunami hit, and could not return for their pets. There have been groups going in for animal rescue. The Japanese love their pets as well as anyone, so I'm sure there are valid reasons. All a part of the agony they are going through.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Apr 26, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
Jan, although you're 2,000 km south of Japan proper, how have the disasters affected spring cherry-blossom viewing there?
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 2, 2011 - 11:57am PT
Mighty-

I just now saw this. Our cherry blossoms bloom at the beginning of February and were done by March. I read on the mainland though that the usual parties under the cherry trees have been curtailed out of respect for the survivors.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 2, 2011 - 11:59am PT
Meanwhile, the news about the sloppy handling of nuclear safety in japan gets worse and worseand has to make us wonder about other countries as well.

From NHK today:

Prime Minister Naoto Kan says the government and Tokyo Electric Power Company failed to fully address safety issues that had come to light before the March 11 disaster.

An accident last June at Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant caused by the loss of outside power and the subsequent drop in the water levels of a reactor was taken up at Sunday's Upper House Budget Committee meeting.

In response to a question on whether sufficient safety measures had been taken, Kan said nuclear plants operate on the assumption that emergency diesel generators will maintain a reactor's cooling functions when outside power is cut off.

He said the fact that such a back-up system failed to work properly has serious implications.

Kan said measures were not taken despite previous accidents and warnings, and that he must admit that the utility and the government failed to fully deal with the situation."
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 3, 2011 - 09:58am PT
Kan said nuclear plants operate on the assumption that emergency diesel generators will maintain a reactor's cooling functions when outside power is cut off.

This isn't quite true for plants in the US. While that IS the primary and preferred method, it is not the only means of back-up. Plants in the the US MUST have multiple methods to be able to cool the core even in the event of a prolonged station black-out (loss of offsite power, and EDGs).



Kan said measures were not taken despite previous accidents and warnings, and that he must admit that the utility and the government failed to fully deal with the situation.
Agreed.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
May 3, 2011 - 11:51am PT
This 2 year old article explains why the World Health Organization (WHO) is and will downplay radiation hazards, they are a tool for the propagation of nuclear energy since their 1959 agreement with the IAEA(Int'l Atomic Energy Agency.) They are a tool for nuclear propaganda and control of information. There is no question you are not being told the truth about the fallout fromn Fukushima.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/may/28/who-nuclear-power-chernobyl
another article explaining... http://www.llrc.org/health/subtopic/iaeawhoagreement.htm
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 3, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
Since Nuke plants stay really hot for a long time after shutting down, I don't see why their own heat couldn't boil water on a smaller scale as a third stage backup for emergency power purposes.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 3, 2011 - 12:12pm PT
Are fire trucks spraying salt water into broken reactors part of those back up plans???

DMT
Actually, YES, although it would be the very last option. Sites have multiple means to get water from their source, most often fresh water in the US (via lakes and rivers), into the systems. If the source water is salt water, then they will use that if all other options have been exhausted.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 3, 2011 - 12:20pm PT
Since Nuke plants stay really hot for a long time after shutting down, I don't see why their own heat couldn't boil water on a smaller scale as a third stage backup for emergency power purposes.
They do in a way... As I said earlier, the HPCI (High Pressure Coolant Injection) and RCIC (Reactor Core Isolation Coolant) systems are steam driven, meaning steam created by decay heat can be blead off the Rx and will drive these systems, even without electrical power... A unit can park itself in this mode for quite some time... Even longer if there are means to remove the heat from the water before putting it back into the reactor. These systems pump thousands of gallons of water per minute.

I said this earlier, as I am wondering what happened to their HPCI system, and if they even had a RCIC system.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
May 3, 2011 - 10:15pm PT
­With Chernobyl's 25th anniversary reminding the world of the terrifying consequences of nuclear safety negligence, many eyes have turned to the continuing crisis in Japan. Dr. Robert Jacobs, an associate professor at the Hiroshima Peace Institute, says that the crisis at Fukushima-1 nuclear plant is far from being resolved.
Dr. Jacobs is critical of the Japanese government saying it withheld important information about the state of affairs at Fukushima.
“There was just recently an assessment of the situation at Fukushima by a group of international nuclear experts. The picture they painted was far grimmer than the picture that is painted by TEPCO or by the Japanese government. Both the Japanese government and TEPCO have strong interest in downplaying the problem, downplaying the threat and downplaying the impact. There is no doubt that we will need an independent inquiry,” says Dr. Jacobs.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 5, 2011 - 03:53am PT
From

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/05_17.html


Workers enter reactor building
A team of workers has entered the Reactor Number One building at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant for the first time since the hydrogen explosion the day after the March 11th earthquake and tsunami.

On Thursday morning, two workers entered the building to install a purifier for the radiation-contaminated air.

Workers will be divided into groups of three, and each group will work for about 10 minutes to install eight air ducts. The workers wear 13-kilogram air tanks, as high levels of radioactive substances have been detected in the building.

Their work precedes the installation of a system to circulate cooling water within the reactor.

Tokyo Electric Power Company plans to begin operating the air purifier later in the day.

The operator says it will take about three days to vent the contaminated air, filter it, and return purified air to the building. It hopes to lower the radiation level so that workers can remain inside for longer periods.

According to the utility's plans, workers will enter the building as early as Sunday to check for damage to the pipes and valves to be used in a cooling system. The company hopes to launch work to circulate water and remove heat from the reactor by May 16th.
Thursday, May 05, 2011 12:56 +0900 (JST)

Wonder what those workers get paid for their 10 minute shift?

Peace

karl

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
May 5, 2011 - 04:15am PT
hey there say, jan.... thanks for sharing this, as to this quote:

i too, was wondering about this...

Mighty-

I just now saw this. Our cherry blossoms bloom at the beginning of February and were done by March. I read on the mainland though that the usual parties under the cherry trees have been curtailed out of respect for the survivors

well, can't stay on long, got to go sleep...

seems suddenly, life is so busy
but in a very VERY good way...
:)

hope you are doing well, across the ol' seas, today, jan...

happy good day, to you... :)
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
May 5, 2011 - 10:44am PT
some interesting information here:

http://mitnse.com/

and the Union of Concerned Scientists keeps a blog:

http://allthingsnuclear.org/tagged/Japan_nuclear?utm_source=SP&utm_medium=more&utm_campaign=sp-nuke-more-direct-3-24-2011

Karl - you might find this report (below) on the Chernobyl death toll interesting and also scroll down on the MIT link to see a bit more about Chernobyl.

http://www.ucsusa.org/news/press_release/chernobyl-cancer-death-toll-0536.html


Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 5, 2011 - 11:20am PT
As an interesting little hint from the Universe, two different reactor sites have lost power since this accident. One in Japan after an aftershock (and the backup barely worked)

and the other in the US, after tornados, Backup power saved the day

Thats a lot of close calls for a month or two

Peace

Karl
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
May 5, 2011 - 08:10pm PT
Another horrifying tsunami clip. Just when you think the ocean will not come up more it does, again and then again, for over 9 freaking minutes!

Cameraman runs out of stairs to climb at the end.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ct9GEaWAmJg&feature=related


more rooftop tsunami video.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12769741

compilation of tsunami clips with sad funeral music
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAE7GLE_cOc&feature=related

tsunami aftermath: no one had any chance as focused waves reached
40-50 meters? in this town?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGcyAHEXZzs&NR=1





Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 6, 2011 - 02:01am PT
From

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/06_16.html

IAEA: Contaminated water may reach US West Coast

The International Atomic Energy Agency says radioactive water leaked from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant in northeastern Japan may reach the West Coast of North America in one or 2 years.

The nuclear watchdog held a briefing for member countries in Vienna on Thursday on the current situation at the plant, which has not been brought under control since the March 11th earthquake and tsunami.

The IAEA said that, based on an analysis of data provided by Japan and other sources, the contaminated water may spread across the Pacific on the Kuroshio current, and reach the coast of North America by next year at the earliest.

It also said traces of Cesium 134 and Cesium 137 leaking from the plant may be measured around the Pacific in 2 or 3 years, but at levels so low as to be of no threat to human health.

IAEA Deputy Director General Denis Flory referred to a roadmap to bring the plant under control, released last month by Tokyo Electric Power Company. He favorably assessed the plan and said the IAEA will closely monitor how it is implemented.
Friday, May 06, 2011 10:51 +0900 (JST)
johntp

Trad climber
socal
May 6, 2011 - 04:48am PT
That is awesome footage.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 6, 2011 - 09:01am PT
If interested this wiki article is fairly accurate and detailed concerning what happened at the site, the details and mechanisms of the releases, and explains a lot of why and how it happened:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_I_nuclear_accidents

It also answers a question I had some time ago, "where the EDGs were?", and apparently they were in the basement of the TB, which is NOT a good place to have them. It also shows that they do have a RCIC system, that did operate in at least 1 unit for some days, but says nothig of the HPCI system, which delivers much more water. Still waiting for more details.
S.Leeper

Sport climber
Pflugerville, Texas
May 6, 2011 - 05:52pm PT
http://www.fark.com/vidplayer/6175887
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 8, 2011 - 12:40pm PT
On March 6, 2002, workers finally conducted the inspections and found that acid used in the cooling water had eaten almost completely through the lid of the reactor. The plant was closed for two years for emergency repairs, two FirstEnergy engineers were convicted of lying to investigators and the company paid more than $33.5 million in civil and criminal penalties...

A friend of mine (a QC contactor, like I was then) is the guy who found that hole, big enough to fit a couple soda cans into*... With only the cladding left to contain the Rx pressure. Also, this is exactly what I was refferring to when I said, 'people are sitting in federal prisons for lying or falsifying documents'.

*Boat sample of the hole:



The part of the code (ASME Sec XI, VT-2 Examinations) for that system requires: (paraphrasing)
If boric acid, or evidence of it, is found in association with a primary system (RCS), in any degree, the source must be determined, quantified, and evaluated.

Boric acid was found, but insulation was never removed to determine source, quantify, and evaluate... It was assumed that it leaked from a mechanical connection, and engineers falsified documents to support their assumption. On subsequent inspection (it's done each time a unit is refueled [every 18 months for a PWR]), it was discovered again, but this time evalauted, as per code.

It's a big deal! They deserve to be in prison! And now, VT-2 boric acid inspections require additional training, documentation, and oversight at all US plants.



Edit... The rest of what is referred to in that article (re: Byron) is in regards to their service water system, which is pretty innoquous compared to primary systems... It's river water, lake water, or ocean water, depending on the nuke and its source. (Even reclaimed sewage/efluents from Phoenix for the Palo Verde site) In the case of Byron, it is the Rock River... I provided inspection for a major construction project there in the late 90's, when they replaced their Steam Generators.

MinWal (minumim wall thickness) is generally 87.5% of nominal for that piping system or pressure vessel, but actual depends on product, service, pressure, and temperature... For service water, all they really need is what is required structurally and to contain pressure. If there is a leak in that system, it generally just makes a mess, and reduces their efficiency (think heat engine, as they want a large delta). Note that I have nothing to do with determining what the minimum wall thickness shoud be, as that's up to engineers... But, I do tell them how thick it is by ultrasonically measuring the wall thickness. All nukes also have a FAC (Flow Accelerated Corrosion) Programs, where pipes are tested periodically to determine corrosion rates, to better determine when they need to be replaced.
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
May 14, 2011 - 03:12am PT
At Reactor, Damage Worse Than Feared
Unit at Japan's Fukushima Nuclear Plant Came Closer to Meltdown Than Previously Revealed; Questions Over Quake's Role

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703730804576318470827245128.html?mod=WSJ_hp_mostpop_read
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 16, 2011 - 03:16pm PT
US Media doesn't seem to cover this situation much anymore so I thought I drop in some info now and then

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/16_05.html

Tokyo Electric Power Company says most of the fuel rods in the No.1 reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant had dropped to the bottom of the pressure vessel within 16 hours of the earthquake on March 11th.

The plant operator revealed its findings on Sunday.

TEPCO said it analyzed the data and calculated a timeline for developments in the No. 1 reactor on the assumption that it lost its cooling system as soon as the tsunami hit.

The firm said that about four and half hours after the quake the level of water in the pressure vessel fell below the top of fuel rods and that parts of them began melting.

The temperature of the rods is believed to have reached 2,800 degrees Celsius at this stage, and the meltdown advanced rapidly.

Almost all the rods melted and dropped to the bottom of the pressure vessel by 6:50 am on March 12th.

TEPCO said the temperature dropped after water was poured into the reactor starting at 5:50 AM the same day.

The firm says the melted rods created small holes in the bottom of the vessel. It believes the amount of radioactive substances that could spread from the reactor will be limited.

NHK's correspondent says TEPCO should analyze the situations at the No. 2 and No. 3 reactors as soon as possible.
Monday, May 16, 2011 05:31 +0900 (JST)

Because of the above information, they've come to this

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/16_32.html

The operator of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant says it will change the method being used to cool 3 reactors now that it's been found the fuel rods in the No. 1 reactor have melted down.

Tokyo Electric Power Company says the meltdown is believed to have created holes in the pressure vessel protecting the reactor core and damaged the containment vessel.

As a result, highly radioactive water may be leaking from the containment vessel to the basement of the No. 1 reactor building.

TEPCO also says the gauges at the No.2 and 3 reactors might not be showing the actual water levels and that both reactors are likely to have undergone meltdowns.
The utility says the situation makes it difficult to fill the containment vessels of the reactors with water as planned, and that an alternate cooling method will have to be found.

It says it is now considering pumping water out of the containment vessels and circulating it back into the reactors after chilling it with heat exchangers.
Another method under study is pumping water from the basement and sending it back to the reactors after radioactive substances have been removed.

Despite these developments, TEPCO says it will keep to its timetable of achieving cold shutdown in 6 to 9 months. The utility is to announce on Tuesday an updated plan for bringing the crisis under control.
Monday, May 16, 2011 21:53 +0900 (JST)

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 16, 2011 - 04:23pm PT
Here's what Gunderson says about the current situation, which is far from safe or stable.

http://vimeo.com/23680177

To make a point on some of the discussions we've had here on Nuke safety. The NRC expects Zero possibility of leakage from containment vessels in a nuke plant and yet all three containment vessels of the affected reactors are leading in Japan.

Just more evidence that our educated wishful thinking science about nuclear safety can't be trusted when real world examples keep proving baseline assumptions to be inaccurate.

Those Japanese plants continue to foul the water and air, and one could easily fall over if there's another quake aftershock of consequence.

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 16, 2011 - 04:43pm PT
Actually, there's quite a bit, just not so much in the media...
UPDATE AS OF 1:30 P.M. EDT, FRIDAY, MAY 13:
Below is a round-up of noteworthy news that happened this week with regard to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant and the U.S. nuclear industry's response.


Plant Status

Japan's nuclear safety agency has suggested that significant damage to fuel at Fukushima Daiichi 1 means that filling the reactor containment vessel with water may be meaningless. The agency’s Hidehiko Nishiyama said on Friday that melted fuel rods at the bottom of reactor 1 are being cooled by a small amount of water. He said he doubts that it is necessary to flood the containment vessel entirely, as workers have been trying to do. Tokyo Electric Power Co. said on Thursday that most of the fuel rods in the reactor are believed to be damaged and are at the bottom of the reactor's pressure vessel. Based on the temperature of the reactor vessel surface temperature, the company says the fuel apparently has cooled.

TEPCO announced this week delays in its schedule to contain the reactors. The company noted that while its work to restore reactor 1 is in progress, it had not begun these measures at the other reactors at the sites. It said that high levels of radiation in the reactor 1 building could force a change in plans.

TEPCO has accepted terms established by the Japanese government for state support to compensate those affected by the accident at the Fukushima Daiichi plant. Under the framework, a new state-backed institution will be set up to facilitate quick payments to those affected by the Fukushima events. The body would receive financial contributions from electric power companies that own nuclear power plants in Japan. The government will inject public funds by allocating to the institution special bonds that can be cashed whenever necessary. The institution would strengthen TEPCO's capital base by making use of these funds to pay compensation claims and make business investments. The institution would annually return a certain amount of money from TEPCO to the treasury to offset the use of the bonds. The government must pass the necessary legislation in the Diet to establish this framework, which is expected to be difficult given that the amount of compensation needed is not yet known.

TEPCO released a video this week of the reactor 3 spent fuel pool that shows debris and other material atop fuel racks in the pool. To see the video, click here for TEPCO’s Japanese-language website. A video of the reactor 4 spent fuel pool showed no debris.

The Japanese government plans to advise schools near the Fukushima facility that burying soil contaminated by radiation reduces its radiation level. The government said that burying topsoil 20 inches underground reduced its radiation level by 90 percent.

Chubu Electric Power Co. has agreed to the Japanese government’s request to shut down reactors at its Hamaoka nuclear power plant, about 200 miles southwest of Tokyo. The government had asked Chubu to implement safeguards against possible earthquakes and tsunamis. The company began shutdown of Hamaoka 4 on Friday.


Industry/Regulatory/Political Issues

The nuclear energy industry is “going to be held accountable for learning the lessons from Fukushima and for applying them accordingly. I know that we can meet that standard,” NEI President and CEO Marvin Fertel said at NEI’s annual Nuclear Energy Assembly this week in Washington, D.C. At the same meeting, James Ellis Jr., president and CEO of the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations, called on the industry to seize the opportunity presented by the Fukushima accident and take a leadership position in ensuring safety enhancements are adopted at nuclear energy facilities worldwide.

A U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission task force studying lessons learned from Fukushima reported to the commission May 12 that it “has not identified any issues that we think undermine our confidence in the continued safety and emergency planning of U.S. plants.” The three-month review likely will result in recommendations to enhance safety and preparedness at nuclear energy facilities, the task force reported. “That said, we do expect we will have findings and recommendations that will further enhance safety,” said Charles Miller, who leads the post-Fukushima task force. A longer-term review is scheduled to begin by the time the short-term study is complete.

The NRC has issued a bulletin to U.S. nuclear energy facility operators requesting information on how the plants are complying with requirements to manage the potential loss of large areas of the plant after extreme events. The agency wants to know how the plants ensure their strategies have remained effective over time. “The NRC continues to conclude these strategies can effectively cool down reactor cores and spent fuel pools even if a plant’s normal safety systems are damaged or unavailable,” the agency said in a press release. “The U.S. nuclear energy industry recognizes that we are accountable to independent oversight authorities and to the American people. We must demonstrate that our facilities are fully prepared to maintain safety, even in cases where we have made protective enhancements that go beyond the NRC’s regulatory requirements,” said Tony Pietrangelo, NEI’s chief nuclear officer and senior vice president. See NEI’s press release.

The NRC issued a second temporary instruction (TI 2515/184) requiring the inspection of the availability and readiness of severe accident management guidelines. NRC resident inspectors at each U.S. nuclear energy facility will conduct the inspections over the next three weeks, with support from the agency’s regional offices.

Rep. Edward Markey (D-Mass.) yesterday announced the release of a report, “Fukushima Fallout: Regulatory Loopholes at U.S. Nuclear Power Plants.” Markey’s website describes the report as “a summary of Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) regulatory inadequacies, practices and decisions that impair effective nuclear safety oversight in the United States.”

Japan will reconsider its energy policy following the accident at Fukushima Daiichi, the prime minister said. Nuclear energy is considered important to Japan’s energy plans, but the government will take new looks at renewable sources and efficiency measures.

A forum held by The Women's Council on Energy and the Environment and Women in Nuclear yesterday in Washington, D.C., addressed the future of nuclear power in the wake of events at Fukushima Daiichi. Panelists included NEI’s Leslie Kass, senior director of business and policy programs; Annie Caputo, professional staff member of the U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee; and Ed Lyman, senior scientist with the Union of Concerned Scientists.


Media Highlights

Events at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan are not expected to “have a major impact on new nuclear plant licensing,” NEI President and CEO, Marvin Fertel said May 10 at the Nuclear Energy Assembly in Washington, D.C. Fertel anticipates that four to eight new reactors will be built in the U.S. by 2020. Bloomberg covered the speech.

James Ellis, president and CEO of the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations, called for the creation of a rapid response team that would be dispatched to major nuclear accidents in the United States and other countries. The creation of such a team is one of the lessons of the Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan, said Ellis in a Platts report on Wednesday.

The Associated Press published a report May 10 on Japan's long-term energy policy. Naoto Kan, Japan's prime minister, said the nation will need to "start from scratch," indicating the country will likely reassess a plan to obtain half the country's electricity from nuclear power and will instead promote renewable energy and conservation as a result of its ongoing nuclear crisis.

Reuters reported May 12 that a leak confirmed at Fukushima Daiichi reactor 1 may be an indicator of failed or melted fuel in the reactor and will likely complicate the cleanup of the facility. The exact location of the leak at reactor 1 remains unclear.


New NEI Products

NEI developed several videos this week with industry executives and energy thought leaders on steps that should be taken to enhance nuclear plant safety and finance new nuclear energy projects, as well as the outlook for nuclear energy after Fukushima. To see a list of the video clips, visit NEI's Web page for Nuclear Energy Assembly news coverage or NEI's YouTube channel.


The Week Ahead

The Blue Ribbon Commission on America’s Nuclear Future begins its meeting today with updates on Fukushima from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Energy Department. The co-chairs of the commission’s three subcommittees will present their draft recommendations. View the webcast here.

Subcommittees of the U.S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology are conducting a joint hearing today on nuclear energy risk management in view of events at Fukushima Daiichi. Witnesses include Lake Barrett, principal with L. Barrett Consulting LLC; Brian Sherrod, director of the NRC Office of Regulatory Research; John Boice, scientific director of the International Epidemiology Institute; and David Lochbaum, director of the Union of Concerned Scientists’ Nuclear Safety Project.

NEI will conduct a webinar on the aftermath of Fukushima for the National League of Cities on May 17.

http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 16, 2011 - 10:23pm PT
TEPCO yesterday admitted ( 1 ) that a partial meltdown of the reactor 1 core at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant occurred a mere five hours after the tragic March 11 earthquake and tsunami, followed by a full meltdown within 16 hours.

water is escaping somewhere on a course cut by molten fuel--probably into the basement of the reactor building

Little has been mentioned about this, what the quote does not say is he died.
Authorities say the unidentified worker, a man in his 60s, collapsed on the job Saturday and was taken to a hospital.

Officials say the man became ill while carrying equipment to treat contaminated water that had been released from crippled reactors.

Hole or holes in pressure vessel.

Containment Vessel cracked and leaking

But all this is really no big deal and is no worse than your yearly dental XRay or sun bathing on the beach for an hour.

And, do not forget Solar is really bad cuz it is dangerous when it blows up.

mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 17, 2011 - 02:36am PT
Uranium fuel rods in the reactors - Nos. 1, 2 and 3 - were uncovered for between six to 14 hours after the quake, rapidly heated and melted to the bottom of the steel pressure vessel intended to contain the fuel, officials now say.

In the case of the No. 1 reactor, the molten uranium appears to have leaked out of the vessel, scattering high-level radiation through the plant when emergency cooling operations resumed
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 17, 2011 - 02:42am PT
The operator said a tsunami knocked out all its cooling systems at around 3:30 pm on March 11 soon after the quake hit and that the fuel rods were fully exposed at around 7:30 pm, Jiji reported.

By 9 pm, the temperature in the reactor vessel had soared to 2,800 degrees Celsius, and at around 6:50 am the following day, all molten fuel likely dropped to the bottom of the container, Jiji reported citing the analysis.

When the operator started to pump fresh water into the pressure vessel at around 5:50 am on March 12, its lower part was damaged, allowing water leak into the outer containment vessel, it said.

The operator released steam from the containment vessel at around 2:30 pm the same day, and water injections stopped at around 2:50 pm, but a hydrogen explosion occurred at 3:36 pm, the report said.

At 8 pm, the operator started to pour seawater into the pressure vessel.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 17, 2011 - 02:54am PT
Little by little the truth comes out. As usual, it was a combination of natural forces and human error.

Nuclear plant cooling system manually shut down

The operator of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant says workers may have manually shut down the No.1 reactor's emergency cooling system in order to prevent damage to the reactor. It says pressure inside the reactor had dropped sharply after the earthquake struck the plant on March 11th.

Tokyo Electric Power Company on Monday disclosed records of its operations at the plant.

They show that the reactor automatically halted operations after the earthquake.

The emergency cooling system was automatically activated but stopped about 10 minutes later and remained off for about 3 hours until after the tsunami arrived.

TEPCO says plant workers may have manually shut down the cooling system because pressure inside the reactor had dropped sharply from 70 to 45 atmospheres.

The system is designed to cool the reactor even if all external sources of power are lost, but the move to shut it down temporarily means that it did not fully function.

TEPCO says the decision may have been made based on a manual to prevent damage to the reactor.

It says if the system had worked, it may have had more time until the meltdown, so it will investigate developments leading up to the decision to turn it off and whether the move was correct.
Tuesday, May 17, 2011

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/17_22.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 17, 2011 - 02:56am PT
And the ongoing human cost as the evacuation zone is expanded.


Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 18, 2011 - 04:42pm PT
Things that we think can't and wont fail, still do.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/18/world/asia/18japan.html?pagewanted=1&hp

In Japan Reactor Failings, Danger Signs for the U.S.
By HIROKO TABUCHI, KEITH BRADSHER and MATTHEW L. WALD
Published: May 17, 2011

TOKYO — Emergency vents that American officials have said would prevent devastating hydrogen explosions at nuclear plants in the United States were put to the test in Japan — and failed to work, according to experts and officials with the company that operates the crippled Fukushima Daiichi plant.

The failure of the vents calls into question the safety of similar nuclear power plants in the United States and Japan. After the venting failed at the Fukushima plant, the hydrogen gas fueled explosions that spewed radioactive materials into the atmosphere, reaching levels about 10 percent of estimated emissions at Chernobyl, according to Japan’s nuclear regulatory agency....

The article goes on to show the decision making failures where the government ordered the utility to vent, (already late in the game) but they waited 6 hours and then the vents didn't work...

PEace

Karl
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
May 18, 2011 - 09:01pm PT
http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201105170428.html

Data shows meltdowns occurred at the No. 2 and No. 3 reactors of the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant, creating huge problems for the plant operator that had presented a more optimistic scenario.

And like the No. 1 reactor, the melted fuel appears to have created holes in the pressure vessel of the No. 3 reactor, according to the data of Tokyo Electric Power Co. released May 16.

Goshi Hosono, special adviser to Prime Minister Naoto Kan, acknowledged the likelihood of meltdowns at the No. 2 and No. 3 reactors.

"We have to assume that meltdowns have taken place," Hosono said at a news conference May 16.

Haruki Madarame, chairman of the Nuclear Safety Commission, said in a separate news conference the same day that the meltdowns should not come as a surprise.

"When highly contaminated water was found at the No. 2 reactor building in late March, we recognized that a meltdown had taken place. So I informed the government," he said. "As for No. 1 and No. 3 reactors, we recognized that, given the processes that led to the accidents there, the same thing had occurred."

Immediately after the crisis erupted at the nuclear power plant in March, experts pointed out that meltdowns likely occurred at all three reactors.

But TEPCO's measures to contain the crisis have been based on the assumption of lighter damage to the reactor cores.

TEPCO had said it believed that only a portion of the nuclear fuel rods had melted. Now, it appears that all parts of the fuel rods have melted.

TEPCO recently said a meltdown likely occurred at the No. 1 reactor. But a TEPCO official on May 16 declined to comment on the possibility of meltdowns at the No. 2 and No. 3 reactors.

"We have yet to be able to grasp the entire situation at the plant," the official said.

A meltdown is a situation in which nuclear fuel melts and accumulates at the bottom of the reactor pressure vessel, which is located inside a containment vessel.

At the No. 3 reactor, the melted fuel may have burned through the pressure vessel to the containment vessel, the data showed.

TEPCO on April 17 released a schedule to reach a cold shutdown at the Fukushima plant within six to nine months.

However, given the latest data, the embattled company will have to drastically modify its plans.

If meltdowns have indeed occurred, more time will be needed to construct a system that cools the reactors. In addition, the company will be tasked with the huge chore of disposing of massive amounts of highly contaminated water.

TEPCO's latest data describes the situation immediately after the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami devastated the coast of the Tohoku region on March 11.

Release of the data, which had been kept at the central control room at the nuclear power plant, was delayed because it took time to restore power and remove radioactive materials attached to the papers.

According to the data, the pressure in the pressure vessel of the No. 2 reactor dropped at 6:43 p.m. on March 15. A similar drop in pressure also took place at the No. 3 reactor at 11:50 p.m. on March 16.

Those declines were apparently the result of holes made in the pressure vessels.

Previously, it was believed that water was leaking through holes at the bottom of the pressure vessels where measuring instruments and part of the control rod mechanisms were located.

Now, it appears that melted nuclear fuel formed new holes in the pressure vessels.

Radioactive materials, such as technetium, produced when nuclear fuel rods are damaged, have been detected in water in the No. 3 reactor building. That discovery has raised speculation that the melted nuclear fuel has breached the pressure vessel and landed in the containment vessel.

During the meltdown at Three Mile Island in the United States in 1979, the fuel remained in the pressure vessel. But work to remove the melted fuel from the pressure vessel, which started in 1985, took five years to complete. An additional three years were needed to confirm that radioactive contamination had been removed from the reactor.

Given the more serious situation at the Fukushima plant, some nuclear experts say more than 10 years will be needed to remove the melted fuel, eliminate the contamination and dismantle the reactors.

Fumiya Tanabe, a former senior researcher at what was then the government-affiliated Japan Atomic Energy Research Institute, said black smoke from the No. 3 reactor building in the days after the earthquake and available data on pressure showed early on that a meltdown had taken place.

"Before we saw TEPCO's data (released on May 16), we had been already aware of the possibility (of a meltdown)," he said.

Tanabe criticized TEPCO's recovery efforts and measures that were taken based on a situation that was much less serious than reality.

He said TEPCO's optimistic scenario led three workers to be exposed to highly radioactive water on March 24 and prevented measures to keep contaminated water from leaking into the sea through a trench at the No. 2 reactor building.

"In resolving serious accidents like those (at the Fukushima plant), it is a cardinal rule to work out recovery measures based on the worst possible situation," he said.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
May 19, 2011 - 12:17am PT
From Press Conference: “The Dangers of Nuclear War”
Dr Helen Caldicott Japan Radiation will Kill Millions of People (18.03.11)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helen_Caldicott

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385x584724
Watch:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rX16bSoOqhE




Mankind is his own worst enemy, as well as the Earth's.





Revelation 11:18 (KJV)
"And the nations were angry, and thy wrath is come, and the time of the dead, that they should be judged, and that thou shouldest give reward unto thy servants the prophets, and to the saints, and them that fear thy name, small and great; and shouldest destroy them which destroy the earth."
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
May 20, 2011 - 11:54pm PT
rrrAdam, have you seen these pics?

http://www.time.com/time/photogallery/0,29307,2058823_2276624,00.html?hpt=T2

Included are pics of inside the plants including the fuel rods.
Bargainhunter

climber
Central California
May 23, 2011 - 03:30am PT
Triple meltdown and ignored by the mainstream news.

http://www.npr.org/2011/05/20/136501152/re-evaluating-the-fukushima-nuclear-situation
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
May 23, 2011 - 03:43am PT
From Bargainhunter's link:

FLATOW: So we're talking about something that's going to take many months, and in all that time the radioactivity will continue to leak out.

Mr. LYMAN: Yes, unfortunately, that seems to be the situation. Their estimate is to have the reactors in cold shutdown within six to nine months. That's probably an optimistic assessment, but to deal with all the radioactivity that's already gotten into the environment and to actually stabilize the cores, package the materials safely and eventually decontaminate the site, that's -you're talking about decades.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 23, 2011 - 01:30pm PT
Some, but not all... Thanx.

I'd rather see pics of the fuel pool that has debris in it, rather than the one shown, as nothing wrong with that one.


Of all reported and understood thus far, I think the "security" of that plant is of more concern than what happened to it during or as a result of the quake/tsunami, as it is a "softer target" now for terrorists.


I'm sure most will disagree with what I said above, but, nopthing I can do about that... Time will tell, but even then, many will cry 'cover-up'.



BTW... "I've heard kids wearing masks..." Newsflash: Lots of people wear masks in Japan, it been in vogue for some time now.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
May 23, 2011 - 01:43pm PT
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 11:13am PT
All three cores have melted down,

Reactor 1 the core or at least part of it is most likely in the basement.

Reactor2 may not be to bad but it is also possible that the core is in the basement

Reactor 3 core is getting hot,

There is on going fissioning

There is a very high probability that there was a nuclear explosion of some kind.

Containment Buildings are gone so all this is taking place in the open.

There is a high probability that there has been leaks into the ground table.

Ongoing leaks into the Pacific.

Do not care so much about school kids wearing masks as that is not uncommon in Japan. But, digging up 2 feet of dirt around a school while the children are kept in the school, in order to reduce radiation readings by 90% does. Closing the school is not an option becasue that would cost to much and really, the whole area is like that. School is located outside the 50 km area. What does bother me about the masks is now children have to wear them.

They cannot treat or decontaminate the water as fast as they contaminate it. (that is once they get started). They are quickly running out of storage.

These are just a few bullet points. It will take at least a decade to clean this up and the only option at this point is build new containment buildings which has yet to start and most likely will not start until the end of the year.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 11:20am PT
milk samples from at least three US locations have tested positive for Iodine-131 at levels exceeding EPA maximum containment levels

As far as the water supplies are concerned, it is important to note that the EPA is only testing for radioactive Iodine-131. There are no readings or data available for cesium, uranium, or plutonium -- all of which are being continuously emitted from Fukushima

As far as the water supplies are concerned, it is important to note that the EPA is only testing for radioactive Iodine-131. There are no readings or data available for cesium, uranium, or plutonium -- all of which are being continuously emitted from Fukushima

mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 11:38am PT
According to Tokyo Electric (TEPCO), radioactive iodine-131 in samples collected measured 200,000 becquerels per cubic centimeter, or five million times above normal. Cesium-137′s elevated level was 1.1 million times. No information on uranium and plutonium concentrations were given.

“EPA to raise limits for radiation exposure while Canada turns off fallout detectors,”

“If you’re the (EPA)," one option remains: “Declare radiation to be safe!” As a result, its Protective Action Guides (PAGs) are being revised to radically increase the allowable levels

All in all no big deal. Hey, did you see American Idol?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 25, 2011 - 12:34pm PT
Mud... There is no "basement" in the Drywell of that design, and nothing under the vessel pedestal. And, as I've pointed out before, the is a big difference between "fuel damage", "fuel melting", and "melt down", similar to the difference in how the word "theory" is used amongst scientists versus the genral public.

It is also good practice to cite your source, when you quote someone, especially when you post it as 'fact'.

In a similar report on CNN:
"This report is not conclusive. No one has entered these areas and we cannot confirm this [holes in the Rx] as fact," TEPCO said, adding that the report is making preliminary assumptions about what happened inside the reactors.
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/05/25/japan.nuclear.report/index.html?hpt=T2


Otherwise...
UPDATE AS OF 4 P.M. EDT, TUESDAY, MAY 24:
Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) said today that fuel damage likely occurred in reactors 2 and 3 of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear energy facility in the first few days after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami. Both reactors are now reported to be stable and at relatively low temperatures. The extent of the fuel damage is unknown. If the water gauges inside the two reactors are accurate, there was sufficient water in the reactors to prevent damage to all the fuel, the company said.

Most of the fuel damage that occurred in reactor 2 is believed to have taken place within 100 hours of the earthquake. TEPCO believes fuel was damaged in reactor 3 within 60 hours. The company previously confirmed that fuel was damaged in reactor 1.

TEPCO plans to install two heat exchangers today to lower the temperature of the used reactor fuel at reactor 2.


UPDATE AS OF 1:30 P.M. EDT, FRIDAY, MAY 20:
Below is a round-up of noteworthy news that happened this week with regard to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant and the U.S. nuclear industry's response.


Plant Status

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) workers entered reactor buildings 2 and 3 Wednesday for the first time since explosions at the facility. Radiation levels in building 2 peaked at 5 rem per hour. Facing high heat and humidity, the workers remained in the building for only 15 minutes. In reactor 3, radiation peaked at 17 rem per hour near a pipe connected to the reactor. TEPCO employees first entered the reactor 1 building on May 5.
TEPCO is looking at how to begin nitrogen injection into reactors 2 and 3 to further stabilize them. The company has been injecting nitrogen into reactor 1 for several weeks. High humidity in building 2 is hampering operations. In building 3, high radiation levels must be reduced before workers can begin efforts to inject nitrogen. TEPCO announced plans to install new cooling systems for fuel pools in four of the six reactors at the site. It is believed the new systems will reduce the high humidity in the reactor buildings.
TEPCO provided a new timeline for recovery of the damaged reactors, recognizing challenges the company has encountered are slowing progress on certain activities. The company reaffirmed that the target timeframe for stabilizing the plant–between October and January–remains unchanged.
Radiation levels in the ocean near the Fukushima Daiichi facility increased again on Thursday, but overall radiation is decreasing in seawater and other areas around the facility.
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has created two radiation-proof forklifts to assist TEPCO workers in removing debris from the Fukushima Daiichi site. TEPCO has been using robotic and remote-controlled equipment for clean-up activities. The forklifts, with cabins sealed by 10 centimeter-thick steel plates and more than 20 centimeter-thick lead-glass, have filters that keep out radioactive dust.

Industry/Regulatory/Political Issues

Industry consultant Lake Barrett told the House Science, Space and Technology Committee on May 13 that the tsunami, not the earthquake, caused most of the damage at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.
A blue ribbon commission studying U.S. used fuel policies heard briefings May 13 on the Fukushima Daiichi accident from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Energy Department. The NRC representative summarized agency activities since the earthquake and tsunami damaged the facility. The DOE spokesman also discussed his agency’s activities, including a workshop scheduled for June 6-7 that will bring the nuclear energy community together to discuss lessons learned from the Japan event and potential actions that could further enhance nuclear safety.

Media Highlights

TEPCO had a net loss of $15.4 billion for the fiscal year that ended March 31, and the company’s president has announced his resignation, CNN reports.
Japan will continue to use nuclear power plants "that are deemed safe," Prime Minister Naoto Kan said in a Reuters report, but "we need to fully consider what needs to be done to enhance the safety of nuclear power."
TEPCO said the earthquake that struck Fukushima Daiichi March 11 exceeded design specifications at three of the site’s six reactors, Reuters reported. "This was clearly a larger earthquake than we had forecast," said Junichi Matsumoto, a TEPCO spokesman. "It would have been hard to anticipate this."
Operators of nuclear energy facilities have fixed or scheduled for correction all the issues NRC inspections found in post-Fukushima inspections, The New York Times reports.
Five tons of seawater may have flooded a reactor at the Hamaoka nuclear energy site, Japan Today reports. The site closed last week at the request of Japan’s prime minister for fears of a possible earthquake.
Japan’s utilities could have trouble meeting summer electricity demand, unless nuclear reactors–including those unaffected by the earthquake and tsunami but were shut down for maintenance at the time–are restarted, Reuters reports.

The Week Ahead

The Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board of the National Academy of Sciences will discuss the aftermath of Fukushima, beginning at 12:30 p.m. EDT May 26 at the Keck Center, 500 5th St., NW, Washington, D.C.
The NRC’s Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards will review events at Fukushima, beginning at 1 p.m. EDT May 26 at NRC headquarters, Room T-2B1, 11545 Rockville Pike, Rockville, Maryland.


http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/information-on-the-japanese-earthquake-and-reactors-in-that-region/
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
May 25, 2011 - 05:44pm PT
There is a very high probability that there was a nuclear explosion of some kind.


mynameismud,

i don't know how to break this to you so i will be gentle.....























you are a fawking moron.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 06:58pm PT
The building has a basement. If it is not in the basement it is most likely on the floor of the building. You may call it what you like but general consensus is the pressure vessel has holes and the containment vessel is cracked and there has been leakage.

I do not think anyone believes what is coming from TEPCO at this point (well there is you). It took them two Months to state that the fuel rods in the Pressure Vessel of Reactor 1 had Melted down. Other sources have been saying that for over a Month.

If you wait for confirmation from TEPCO you will be waiting a lifetime.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 07:08pm PT
Hawkeye
nameismud,

i don't know how to break this to you so i will be gentle.....
you are a fawking moron.
No need to be gentle

Just providing the alternate to:

Nothing has happened. Sitting in the Sun for two hours is far worse.

or

You know, if you flew around the world in a jet you would get more exposure.

or

Kids wearing a mask in Japan is no big deal.

So Hawkey, tell me what you really think and please spare the me the spaces.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
May 25, 2011 - 07:15pm PT
The report is that #1 has a TOTAL of cracks totaling the area of a 7cm (three inch) hole.


#3 has a total equaling a 10cm (4 in) hole.

No one has seen the holes and cracks. The size is calculated from pressure drop and leakage rates.


No major breach or melt thru from that data.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
May 25, 2011 - 07:25pm PT
mnim,

there was not a nuclear explosion. there was a hydrogen explosion early on....there could have been a steam explosion when the rods overheated.

but if you want to spread idiocy and ignorance, then go for it.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 25, 2011 - 10:12pm PT
Actually depending on the source. Some say when looking at the isotopes that have spread around the world that there had to be some kind of limited nuclear event. It could have been from the fuel pool in reactor 3. Dunno, nobody knows for sure since TEPCO is not sharing much. Many accuse them of obfuscation.

Some sources say there are holes but no leakage (of the melted fuel), others say there are holes and leakage. Again TEPCO is less than sincere.

Edit: Yes obviously there were hydrogen explosions.

Edit #2: I would never obfuscate. honest.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 08:54am PT
1. I never said, nor implied, that "nothing happened, and that sitting in the sun for two hours is worse". I have always maintained that what happened is really frickin bad, just not as bad as some may think. (E.g., one has written here that another quake may cause the Rx to fall over, etc...)


2. The Reactor Building (RB) has a basement, the Drywell does not. There is nothing under the drywell or the vessel pedestal, and if the fuel were to melt through the Rx bottom head, it would not go to the lower levels of the RB.

Perhaps these images will help you better understand:

And, here is what it looks like for real, when it is being constructed:

Now, what is seen in the pic above is the torus (ring) and the majority of the drywell vessel. Remember that the entire reactor vessel is contained within the drywell, as well as many systems and pumps. Both are connected by vent lines 6' in diameter. So, to understand the scale, the torus is a little over 100 in diameter, and the drywell is about 100 feet tall. Note that the void you see under the drywell is entirely filled with steel reinforced high-density concrete, as well as the entire drywell, vent lines, and torus being incased in same up to 8 feet thick. THEN, the entire reactor building is built around that, with floors and walls being generally between 4-6 feet thick, also of steel reinforced high-density concrete. Of course, the top of the refuel foor in not, and this proved to be a problem.


3. It's hard to explain things to people who don't care to understand the difference between a nuclear explosion (I.e., nuclear) and a hydrogen explosion (I.e., chemical).


See, this is the point... That many cannot see obvious error, and perpetuate that error through fundamental misunderstandings.

I remember seeing many thinking buiding these things over 2,000 foot deep shafts would be a good idea. Again, shows how many just don't understand the details of this. How would one manage or monitor it? That's like saying, 'hey, if it were at a 2,000 feet depth in the ocean, all would be good.' Sure, the dose rates would be substantially lower (non-existant, actually), but now we just created new problems, that are harder to contain. Out of site and out of mind is not good when it comes to this stuff.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 08:58am PT
Some say when looking at the isotopes that have spread around the world that there had to be some kind of limited nuclear event.


Are you serious? Anyone with a brain who has watched TV or read a paper about this can see this is a major nuclear event.

Or, am I misunderstanding what you meant, because you don't really know enough about it to use the words correctly?



I think you are also ignoring or missing the fact that several nuclear experts from many different nations, including France and the US, are onsite helping TEPCO and Japan with this, so TEPCO is not the only source of information.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 26, 2011 - 09:41am PT
The latest worry is a large typhoon headed toward Japan. Wouldn't you know that typhoon season has arrived a month earlier this year than normal?

Right now the forcasts have it going right up the coast of Japan as far as Tokyo and then pulling away toward the east. Even if that's all it does, the circumference is large enough for strong winds to be felt in Fukushima which will inevitably blow radiation around in a large circle beyond where it has reached so far.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
May 26, 2011 - 11:57am PT
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/26/world/asia/26japan.html?_r=3&pagewanted=all

A huge outcry is erupting in Fukushima over what parents say is a blatant government failure to protect their children from dangerous levels of radiation. The issue has prompted unusually direct confrontations in this conflict-averse society, and has quickly become a focal point for anger over Japan’s handling of the accident at the nearby Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, ravaged in the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 12:58pm PT
Your pic is good I have seen this online. It would be a better illustration with the roof and walls missing and the crane sitting on top of the fuel pool or the Reactor vessel. It would look kind of like your second pic only with more debris.

To help you understand what I am saying, some sources state from the isotopes that have spread around the world, there has been more than just Hydrogen explosions.

An earthquake will not tip over the reactor vessel but one of the walls of Reactor 4 is in jeopardy of collapse. That collapse could further damage that fuel poll.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
May 26, 2011 - 01:00pm PT
mnim,

nuclear event does not equal nuclear explosion.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 01:19pm PT
Tokyo Electric said up to 57 tonnes of highly contaminated water had leaked from a storage facility into a trench. It vowed to step up monitoring of groundwater.

It will only get worse, before it gets better, which will take a while.

http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL3E7GQ1FN20110526
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
May 26, 2011 - 02:32pm PT
TGT wrote

The report is that #1 has a TOTAL of cracks totaling the area of a 7cm (three inch) hole.


#3 has a total equaling a 10cm (4 in) hole.

No one has seen the holes and cracks. The size is calculated from pressure drop and leakage rates.


No major breach or melt thru from that data.

Fact is, the US NRC doesn't even consider the possibility that containment vessels could spring ANY holes. It's listed as a 0% liability and yet it seems to have happened in multiple cases at TEPCO.

And the stuff is leaking somewhere, somehow. Greenpeace is finding increasing radiation in Fish outside Japanese waters.

And the 80,000 people show no signs of returning within a few months like Adam predicted.


http://www.commondreams.org/view/2011/05/26-7

It just keeps getting worse. And turns out that #1 started to melt down even before the Tsunami hit.

Congress votes today for more money for nukes,... Go figure and then GFYS if they have any say in it

Peace

Karl
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 03:07pm PT
Karl...
Fact is, the US NRC doesn't even consider the possibility that containment vessels could spring ANY holes. It's listed as a 0% liability and yet it seems to have happened in multiple cases at TEPCO.


Now, c'mon, man... You should now this isn't true, as I even posted a pic of a rather large hole, although not through wall, and cited where people went to prison for this... It was the NRC that that had them brought up on criminal charges, and strengthened the program.

See here for just one such post (about half-way down):
http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1436585&msg=1492190#msg1492190


Now, since you posted this as fact, please, show us where you get your "facts" from.



And the 80,000 people show no signs of returning within a few months like Adam predicted.
You should know better than this too, unless you are purposefully being misleading here... I said:
So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything. The effected units will be multi-billion dollar paperweights, that require monitoring and maintainance, costing more money. While possible, I doubt units 5 or 6 will come back online like the other unit at TMI did, and is still operating to this day. But I may be wrong there, as they still can produce electricity, so there will be considerable reason to get those newer units back online... But I doubt politics and the public will allow it.

Worst reasonable case scenerio... All of the above, BUT delays in people returning to the surrounding areas due to the surveys and samples showing high levels of contamination, then having to clean up the contamination costing additional billions of dollars. Time frame? No idea... Depends on how much and how they have to decontaminate.

Anything outside the 'fence' (current Owner Controlled Property), from what I gather a mile from the units, being uninhabitable for a lifetime(s), or even decades? Slim to nil!

See for yourself, brutha:
http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1451327&msg=1457608#msg1457608

In fact, you have seen it, as you even quoted the part I made bold above towards the end of that page. Did you forget, or are your purposefully misrepresenting what I said?


I will fully admit that I didn't forsee it taking so many months to achieve 'cold shut-down', but that doesn't invalidate what I said. It's a big mess over there.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 03:41pm PT
Oh, yea... From my quote above...
While possible, I doubt units 5 or 6 will come back online like the other unit at TMI did, and is still operating to this day. But I may be wrong there, as they still can produce electricity, so there will be considerable reason to get those newer units back online... But I doubt politics and the public will allow it.


Like I said, I don't think it'll happen, but there may be a push for it:
Japan’s utilities could have trouble meeting summer electricity demand, unless nuclear reactors–including those unaffected by the earthquake and tsunami but were shut down for maintenance at the time–are restarted.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/20/energy-japan-power-companies-idUSL4E7GK10820110520

Note - This was in my previous update, but perhaps you missed it?
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
May 26, 2011 - 04:31pm PT
It just keeps getting worse. And turns out that #1 started to melt down even before the Tsunami hit.


???? reliable source for that one?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 05:39pm PT
It just keeps getting worse. And turns out that #1 started to melt down even before the Tsunami hit.



???? reliable source for that one?


Any source for that one, other than 'I read it on an internet forum for knitting while on a pogostick', would be swell.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 05:49pm PT
United Nations Agency Confirms Fukushima 1 Melted Before Arrival of Tsunami
http://nukefree.org/united-nations-agency-confirms-fukushima-1-melted-arrival-tsunami

Clicking that link, then clicking the link they have there under the same headline, takes me to an article that doesn't even hint at what the title says.


Please, copy and paste where you berlieve it states that, or, did you even read it?

Certainly you don't think that a site called "nukefree.org" would be biased, and post any misleading info, right?
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 26, 2011 - 05:56pm PT
No, it is a link to nukfree.org, that makes that statement, then provides a link to an IAEA article that states NOTHING like that. IAn fact, I don't even see ANY reference to the United Nations there at all.

You didn't click it, did you?


Please, copy and paste the relevant text, and cite the source, as what you have provided thus far is just an unsubstantiated headline on an antinuke site.


From everything I have understood thus far, Unit 1 is believed to have suffered fuel damage earlier than was initially reported... It is understood that the some of the ECCS systems were not running for that unit just before the tsunami hit, and that lead to fuel damage at 5.5 hours after the quaqke/tsunami.

Remember, the tsunami hit just 20 minutes after the quake.



Since this doesn't agree with what you believe, you may wish to ignore this:
http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20110517p2a00m0na008000c.html

Note - I got that article from the site that your link takes me to.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
Cooling pipe breach now laid to temblor

What they are saying now is that the damage was done by the quake not by the tsunami as previously stated.

http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20110526a1.html

mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:27pm PT
@rrradam
from you post
So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything

So by under control you mean after a decade or so?

Not a few Months.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:29pm PT
According to Tokyo Electric (TEPCO), radioactive iodine-131 in samples collected measured 200,000 becquerels per cubic centimeter, or five million times above normal. Cesium-137′s elevated level was 1.1 million times. No information on uranium and plutonium concentrations were given.

Moreover, thousands of tons of radioactive water are being dumped into the Pacific, likely to continue daily to make room for more runoff despite the great risk to sea life and humans

You do realize that seafood is a staple in Japan?

http://inteldaily.com/2011/04/increasing-fukushima-radiation-dangers/
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:40pm PT
On another note about time they see the light.

"Japan aims to install solar panels on the roofs of about 10 million houses,"

"We will engage in drastic technological innovation'

About dam time!

http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-business/japanese-pm-pledges-10-mn-solar-homes-20110526-1f4xh.html

mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:49pm PT
Thankfully it was not bigger. Right in the back yard of fukushima

4.8 shaker

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc0003qbi.php
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 08:59pm PT
In what may be yet another setback, the operator of Japan's crippled Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Plant says radioactive water may now be leaking from a wastewater storage facility on site.

The Tokyo Electric Power Company, known as TEPCO, told reporters Thursday that nearly 60 tons of radioactive water may have spilled out, raising further concerns about the utility's ability to handle the worst nuclear crises since Chernobyl.

http://abcnews.go.com/International/leak-suspected-crippled-japanese-nuclear-plant/story?id=13691431
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 09:11pm PT
http://stocktradereview.com/world_outlook/fukushima-a-stake-through-nuclear-industrys-heart/
(we can only hope)
Despite the managed media campaign by Tokyo Electric Company, the Japanese government and nuclear industry flacks worldwide, the 11 March 9.0 on the Richter scale earthquake, followed by a tsunami that off-lined TEPCO’s six reactor Daiichi Fukushima nuclear power complex represents a global mortal blow to the nuclear power industry, which had been optimistic of a renaissance following worldwide concerns about global warming. While TEPCO’s PR spin doctors along with Japanese government flacks will continue to parsimoniously dribble out information about the real situation at the stricken reactors while blandly assuring the Japanese population and the world that all is well even as nuclear lobbyists bleat “it can’t happen here,” all but the most obtuse are beginning to realize that catastrophes at nuclear power facilities, whether man-made (Chernobyl) or natural (Fukushima) have radioactive pollution consequences of potentially global significance.

It is the long-term consequences of the dispersal of radioactive reactor core fissionable material and, in the case of Fukushima, spent reactor fuel, that no amount of spin doctoring can diminish, and far from being environmental propaganda from eco-terrorists, has been a concern of specialists for decades, but those voices rarely reach the mainstream media, many of which are owned by massive corporations deeply invested in the revival of nuclear power.

It is time that some of those voices move mainstream. Admiral Hyman G. Rickover, known as the “father of the U.S. nuclear navy,” sheparded the U.S. Navy into the nuclear age, attracting the best and the brightest (including a future president, Jimmy Carter) around him to advance nuclear propulsion of such a quality engineering level that the Navy has a perfect safety record, a legacy of Rickover’s 63 year career. Nonetheless Rickover remained doubtful about nuclear power, delivering “On the hazards of nuclear power. Testimony to Congress” on 28 January 1982. His insights are worth quoting in detail.

“I’ll be philosophical. Until about two billion years ago, it was impossible to have any life on earth; that is, there was so much radiation on earth you couldn’t have any life – fish or anything. Gradually, about two billion years ago, the amount of radiation on this planet-and probably in the entire system-reduced and made it possible for some form of life to begin… Now when we go back to using nuclear power, we are creating something which nature tried to destroy to make life possible… Every time you produce radiation, you produce something that has a certain half-life, in some cases for billions of years. I think the human race is going to wreck itself, and it is important that we get control of this horrible force and try to eliminate it… I do not believe that nuclear power is worth it if it creates radiation. Then you might ask me why do I have nuclear powered ships. That is a necessary evil. I would sink them all. Have I given you an answer to your question?”

........
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 26, 2011 - 09:13pm PT
One more for the day.

"Finally, for those with the courage to face the visual evidence of the consequences of future generations of nuclear reactor accidents, one need go no further than Paul Fusco’s photographs and 11 videos of the children subsequently born within Chernobyl’s radiation zone in Ukraine and Belarus. One can be seen here at YouTube:"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WAxTZD9sk40&playnext=1&list=PLEACAB31F38619908

"Is this the future the world truly wants? What part of the evidence above does the nuclear power industry not understand? The answer is simple – money, the trillions already invested over the last five decades in the industry and the potential loss of trillions more if the global nuclear industry is shuttered. As Fukushima continues its slow radioactive bleed-out, one of the few certainties is that we’re likely to see many more images like Fusco’s in the years to come."
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 27, 2011 - 04:36pm PT
This was posted on NHK's website today. What they don't mention is that they have two days or less to get as much radiation nailed down as possible since a very large typhoon is headed our way. I can hear the winds roaring to the south of me already and we are on lockdown for the next 2 1/2 days.


Antiscattering chemical to be sprayed on buildings

The operator of the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant will spray an anti-scattering agent onto its buildings to prevent radioactive dust from spreading.

Radioactive dust appears to be scattered on the reactor buildings and turbine buildings due to the explosions that occurred in March. The containment work is scheduled to begin on Friday. The chemical hardening agent selected for the task is usually used to contain asbestos.

Tokyo Electric Power Company says it will use two fire engines to spray the chemical onto building walls.

However, TEPCO says it cannot spray all the walls because debris still blocks access to some areas.

Since April, a chemical hardening agent has been sprayed over the ground and debris to prevent radioactive dust from being blown away.

However, the chemical won't be applied to all areas because if it gets inside the pool that contains spent fuel rods it might interfere with the circulation of cooling water.

Prevention of radioactive substances from spreading to the air and ground is one of the main goals of the utility's plan to stabilize the reactors.


Typhoon Songda which currently has winds gusting to 145 mph, is already sucking water westward across Japan as can be seen from this satellite photo.




The forcasted typhoon track will bring much heavier winds across Fukushima and because typhoons rotate in a counter clockwise direction, has the potential to spread airborne radioactivity the length of mainland Japan.



rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 27, 2011 - 08:14pm PT
@rrradam
from you post

So, to give a reasonable prediction of how I think things will unfold... I believe that after events are brought under control, and many surveys and samples of areas around the plant, within a few months people will be allowed to return with no restrictions on anything

So by under control you mean after a decade or so?

Not a few Months.


Reading comprehension fail...
http://www.supertopo.com/climbing/thread.php?topic_id=1436585&tn=2020#msg1511685

Note that there are TWO there, and the second is even in bold. But then again, you prefer to cherry pick, right? (I.e., ignore the second)


As to "brought under control", this isn't still unfolding at the pace it was just a month ago, and will be in cold shut down by the end of the year, as per the current progections. Note that they will be cleaning up the surrounding area before cold shut down... They have already been working on decontamination of areas, so it's not like it's gonna start AFTER cold shut down, but is already ongoing.




Also... As per the contamination detected in the ocean... The US nuclear bomb tests at Bikini alone contaminated the oceans much more than Fuku ever will. I'm not saying it isn't bad, just trying to put it into context, as it is a fact that we wilfully performed those tests, and spread MUCH more contamination... But some think Fuku spells the end of the world or ocean? People now dive at the very spot those tests were performed, diving the wrecks of ther NAVY ships sunk in those tests.

Again... Not saying it isn't bad, just trying to put it in context.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 27, 2011 - 08:24pm PT
I cut and pasted from your the post you provided a few posts above. That had no bold in it.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 27, 2011 - 08:27pm PT
I cut and pasted from your the post you provided a few posts above. That had no bold in it.


Then VERY much reading comprehension fail, as that is a link to my last post in this thread (1 page back, not a 'few posts above') that had those words, and it does have bold.

So, because you can't even see the bold, much less understand the words, that is where the VERY comes in.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
May 27, 2011 - 08:36pm PT
Addam, don't get on My case
i just posted the link that said what you wanted to look at, I didn't say I beleived IT
No wonder people here are giving you sh#t, you are alittle touchy
I wasn;t getting on your case, Dr... I was pointing out that the link you provided ultimately went to an article that in no way said what you said it did. And thus, asked if you even bothered to read it.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
May 31, 2011 - 10:22am PT
By WSJ MarketWatch

May 29, 2011, 6:46 p.m. EDT

Tepco can't stabilize reactors by year-end: report

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (9501.TO) is coming to the view that it will be impossible to stabilize the crisis at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant by the end of this year, possibly affecting the timing for the government to consider the return of evacuees to their homes near the plant, Kyodo News reported, citing senior company officials.

The revelation that meltdowns had occurred at the Nos. 1 to 3 reactors at the plant, most likely with breaches to pressure vessels encasing nuclear fuel, has led the officials to believe that "there will be a major delay to work" to contain the situation, one of them said.

The plant operator, known as TEPCO, announced on April 17 its road map for bringing the troubled reactors at the plant into a stably cooled condition called "cold shutdown" in six to nine months.

Even though the No. 1 reactor was later found to have gone through the critical melting of nuclear fuel, the utility said as recently as May 17 that it did not see a need to revise its road map.

But "the nine months is just a target deadline for which we are making efforts," a senior TEPCO official said, indicating that the likely delay would affect the plan to review the evacuation of local people, which the government is hoping to implement once the reactors are brought under control.

TEPCO was taking steps until early May to fill containment vessels housing the pressure vessels with water so the fuel could be cooled.

But on May 12, it was revealed that a meltdown had occurred at the No. 1 reactor, with breaches to its pressure vessel, forcing the utility to abandon the idea of filling its containment vessel with water and instead plan a new cooling system that would recycle radioactive water accumulating in the reactor's building.

Given that the contaminated water has leaked from the No. 1 reactor's containment vessel, a TEPCO official handling the technical aspects of the crisis, said, "We must first determine where it is leaking and seal it."

The official added, "Unless we understand the extent of the damage, we don't even know how long that work alone would take," noting the need for one or two months more than previously thought to establish an entirely new cooling system.

Another senior TEPCO official said workers tackling the crisis at the plant are likely to have to give up their New Year's holidays, saying that work has not been proceeding at an equal pace at the three troubled reactors.

The March 11 earthquake and tsunami, which devastated the coastal areas of northeastern Japan, crippled the nuclear plant in Fukushima Prefecture, triggering massive leaks of radioactive materials and widespread radiation fears.
Fritz

Trad climber
Choss Creek, ID
May 31, 2011 - 10:24am PT
By Sarah Turner, MarketWatch
Germany will close down all of its nuclear power plants by 2022, according to reports out Monday, as fallout from Japan’s disaster continues more than two months after the event.

“There will be no clause for revision,” Germany’s Environment Minister Norbert Rottgen said, according to a BBC report.


The German government had been reviewing the role of nuclear power in the country’s electricity needs after an earthquake and tsunami crippled Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi nuclear complex in March.

Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 31, 2011 - 10:52am PT

The main islands of Japan got lucky with Typhoon Songda which battered Okinawa but dissipated in the cooler ocean waters up north before it reached Fukushima.

Not that they don't have troubles enough. Today there was a small explosion and oil spill into the ocean by the #'s 4 and 5 reactors which were shut down before the earthquake and tsunami. Also, they are now admitting that at least two workers have exceeded maximum safe radiation doses and at least 70 more are waiting to be tested.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
May 31, 2011 - 11:04am PT
Radioactive soil in pockets of areas near Japan’s crippled nuclear plant have reached the same level as Chernobyl, where a “dead zone” remains 25 years after the reactor in the former Soviet Union exploded.

Soil samples in areas outside the 20-kilometer (12 miles) exclusion zone around the Fukushima plant measured more than 1.48 million becquerels a square meter, the standard used for evacuating residents after the Chernobyl acciden

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-30/japan-risks-chernobyl-like-dead-zone-as-fukushima-soil-radiation-soars.html
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 2, 2011 - 11:10am PT
Dang conspiracy theorists will not stop.

Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco), only recently confirmed that three of the nuclear reactors suffered complete meltdowns within hours of the earthquake, with reactor Units 2 and 3 suffering the most damage. The containment vessels of those two reactors also developed 7-10 centimeter holes within hours of the March 11 quake, which explains why workers were unable to maintain water levels. This shocking news comes after weeks of Tepco repeatedly denying the severity of the accident, followed by slow-coming admissions that this already devastating situation is, indeed, worse than most previous calculations

http://blog.cleanenergy.org/2011/06/02/june-2-japan-update/

Do not forget. Solar is very very bad cuz it is dangerous and expensive.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 2, 2011 - 12:09pm PT
Solar is the worst!! I mean it's just a giant nuke in the sky and it's for sure going to melt down (or supernova, same diff) some day and then we're all toast!!!!

Ever leave an ice cream cone out in the sun? The sun is bad ass!!!

Now Adam, you asked me for documentation regarding the NRC's expectations for containment vessels not failing. I'm not trying to ignore that but have decided to cause I don't have time and energy to dig it up (I tried but I didn't find clear info)

Peace

Karl
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 2, 2011 - 02:15pm PT
We have a failure of control of big business desires to never stop making money, not a failure of atomic power. A failure to control the politicians who allow big business to do whatever they want, so long as the campaign donations come rolling in.

This will not be fixed in our life time.

I think it is easier to build a small safe nuclear plant that is suspended in the ocean.

I think there should be less dependency on Nukes and more on Solar. I doubt you and I will ever agree on that. The pro Nuke crowd will never see it. I am not against Nuclear Plants, if they can provide a clear plan to manage it safely from cradle to grave. Currently they have not been able to show they can do that.

We have Mark 1 plants in the U.S.A. that are running and have multiple safety concerns. Those plants will not be shut down or fixed anytime soon.

If you take a close look at the Military in regards to waste they do not have a stellar record. The Military has a super fund site, about 1 mile from where I sit.

The problem with Nukes is your going all in hoping a corner case never happens.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 2, 2011 - 03:42pm PT
I am familiar with the Idaho Navy site. My roots are in Idaho and I have generations of family in the Navy.

When I made the statement I was referring to subs. I think it is easier to build a safe Nuclear plant in a sub than a large one on land.

I also think Solar is less limited than most think. I was very skeptical until I lived in a house that was all solar. We had more electricity than we could use. Every individual that I know that has a solar installation produces more electricity than they use and none of them have installations that cover their entire house. Typically the installation covers less than 1/4 of their structure.

If every viable structure in the U.S.A. was covered with panels most electrical needs would be met. Throw in a solar farm here and there for good measure. Vast land resources are not needed. I am not saying it will 100% cover all needs. I am saying it can cover most needs. Wind, hydro, Geothermal, biomass, Nukes can pick up the rest.

For every point in efficiency that solar gains there is a 20% decrease in cost. At this time no other source can match those numbers.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 2, 2011 - 03:51pm PT
Again you are missing the point regarding private local solar power installations.

A few solar panels and batteries and a yacht style wind generator will take you off the power grid.

The owners of the power grid will not encourage you to do that.

Big business wants to monopolize all resources and keep you dependent upon paying their bills.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 2, 2011 - 07:22pm PT
Germany commits to giving up Nuclear Power for good.

Of course they are a backward nation of superstitious savages....

But you can bet they will be researching the energy technology with a vengeance now.

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2011/0530/Germany-turns-back-on-nuclear-power

In a move officials called "irreversible," German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s center-right coalition agreed Monday to phase out nuclear power by 2022, setting Europe’s biggest economy the formidable challenge of finding a replacement for 20 percent of its current energy supply.

Japan's nuclear troubles extend into Russia
Tepco's handling of Japan's nuclear crisis under severe scrutiny
Despite recent alerts, nuclear regulators give an 'all-safe'
The government's decision comes after a 17-member ethics panel appointed after the Fukushima nuclear accident recommended giving Germany a "10-year exit corridor" to change its ways and go nuclear free. The panel, which included a Roman Catholic bishop and industrial and scientific leaders, called for keeping the seven oldest nuclear plants shut down after the Japan disaster off the grid and gradually switching off the other 10. But their report, released today, said weening Germany off nuclear power won't be successful "without efforts of all segments of the political, business and societal world."

"It has to happen sooner or later," says Miranda Schreurs, chair of the Brussels-based European Environmental Sustainable Development Advisor Council, a network of advisors appointed by 16 European countries.

"If Germany does it first, it will become the technological leader globally, it will be the country that others turn to for advice, for equipment, it can set the standards for others.This decision gives Germany planning certainty and stability: If you know that you have a 10 year window to replace 20 percent of your electricity supply, it gives society a chance to come to terms with the decision, to start thinking about it."

Last fall, Merkel had called for Germany to get 80 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2050. Today's announcement increases the pressure to make that happen faster than planned.



rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Jun 2, 2011 - 08:18pm PT
Rox...nuclear waste and roving packs of wolves...? The only thing missing from the bermuda triangle is UBL...Stay Safe..and thirsty...RJ
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Jun 2, 2011 - 08:19pm PT
Fattrad...quit being so negative about socialism...Pull that blue thing from the south end...
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Jun 2, 2011 - 08:26pm PT
Thank you Germany
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 2, 2011 - 08:28pm PT
several years ago i saw a presentation at Stanford University by an Israeli company that had developed dramatically more efficient solar panels

they were already manufacturing them in Israel and planning to import to the USA

they calculated that it would substantially tilt the cost/benefit model in this country and create huge demand for their product


that's the last i heard from them...
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 3, 2011 - 12:45pm PT
Fattrad

Your saying Coal and Nuclear do not and have not been getting a huge government subsidy?

Let us not forgot what oil gets.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Jun 3, 2011 - 12:57pm PT
Germany already has a leg up on renewables, particularly when compared to the U.S. They will certainly help drive the renewables innovation the whole world knows is necessary to prevent catastrophe in the coming decades. They will take a pragmatic and measurable approach to it and produce real results. Will they solve all the problems of replacing oil?

i agree that Germany is technically capable of great breakthroughs in renewables. but please do not make the mistake of mixing oil with electrical energy.

in the USA anyway, most of the oil is for transport and not electrical. our politicians get this all mixed up all the time.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 3, 2011 - 01:58pm PT
Necessity is a mom, particularly when you are creating economies of scale and not burning your money on Nukes which have eaten billions and billions here.

Raadam, Gunderson makes mention of the NRC's inadequate regard for containment integrity in the two most recent videos, in one of which he is actually testifying to the NRC over the phone

http://www.fairewinds.com/

Peace

Karl
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 3, 2011 - 07:44pm PT
magnitude of 5.6 jolted Fukushima Prefecture early Saturday no additional damage reported.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Jun 4, 2011 - 12:32am PT
Hi Jan,

Do you hear much about how things are going over there in Japan with the cleanup from the Tsunami? The news doesn't give out much info and this thread is mostly about the nuke plant. I would appreciate hearing about how they are doing.

John
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Jun 4, 2011 - 12:40am PT
hey there say, moosie... yes, thanks for bringing this up...

whew, i am reallly trying to get to sleep... :))
*keep getting ready to get off line...


nite, moosie and all...
hope to hear from jan...

(hey there, say, jan--hope all is well with you)...
:)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jun 4, 2011 - 12:42am PT
John-

It's going very slowly. They figure it will take 3 years to clear the debris, maybe 10 years to get the salt out of the soil so they can grow something there again.

One problem is scarcity of dumps in Japan. They have had to ask different towns to accept a certain amount of debris in a good will gesture as Japan is too crowded to have one dump where they can take it all. Most garbage and debris is burned and the rest recycled but it will take a long time to separate it out.

Their main problem right now is tons and tons of rotting fish everywhere from the destroyed storage facilities and the contents of commercial fisheries that were washed ashore. As it warms up toward summer, the stench grows more and more unbearable. They're looking for places to bury it.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Jun 4, 2011 - 12:45am PT
Thanks Jan..for the update. Mercy, that sounds hard. I can't imagine having to rebuild whole towns. Will they build in the same places like we did New orleans.



Hi neebee. Sleep well.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 5, 2011 - 04:47am PT
Government admits lying about radiation after Earthquake"

"Gov't didn't release radiation data after accident
The Japanese government has expressed regret for not disclosing some important results of the radiation monitoring conducted near the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant soon after the accident.

The central and Fukushima prefectural governments collected the data to determine evacuation measures as well as food and water restrictions for residents.

A reading on March 12th, one day after the massive earthquake and tsunami hit the plant, shows that radioactive tellurium was detected 7 kilometers away. Tellurium is produced during the melting of nuclear fuel.

Three hours before the data was collected, the government expanded the radius of the evacuation area around the plant from 3 kilometers to 10 kilometers.

But the government's Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency reported at a news conference several hours later that the nuclear fuel was intact.

The government also failed to disclose the high radiation levels in weeds 30 to 50 kilometers from the plant. On March 15th, 123 million becquerels of radioactive iodine-131 per kilogram were detected 38 kilometers northeast of the plant.

The nuclear safety agency says it deeply regrets not releasing the data.

Professor Yasuyuki Muramatsu of Gakushuin University says radioactive iodine has a high effect on children. He says that if the data had been released earlier, more measures could have been taken to protect them from exposure.
Saturday, June 04, 2011 15:27 +0900 (JST)"

from

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_20.html

Which at least shows that the Japanese government can own up to things, something we seem to have a problem with.

Meanwhile, there's almost no pressure left in Reactor number 1

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/05_08.html

Tokyo Electric Power Company has found that pressure inside the Number 1 reactor at its Fukushima Daiichi power plant has dropped to close to the outside atmospheric pressure. It reaffirms that the reactor has been damaged.

The reactor is believed to have suffered a meltdown after the March 11th disaster. The meltdown apparently created holes in the pressure vessel and damaged the containment vessel, letting highly radioactive water flow below ground in the reactor building.

Pressure inside an operating reactor is normally around 70 atmospheres. But after the disaster, the pressure indicator showed 6 atmospheres in the Number 1 reactor, raising questions about data reliability.

On Friday, the utility replaced the gauge with a new one and made measurements again.

The reading was 1.26 atmospheres as of 11 AM on Saturday, almost equal to normal air pressure. The company says this proves that air inside the reactor is escaping outside.

But the utility estimates that the lack of a big hole in the reactor is keeping steam inside, leading to the slightly higher interior pressure.

TEPCO is also planning to install new pressure gauges at the Number 2 and 3 reactors to assess the situation accurately.
Sunday, June 05, 2011 10:50 +0900 (JST)

all that and radioactive water is leaking like crazy there

It's not over just because western media stops covering it

Peace

karl
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 7, 2011 - 11:09am PT
And the numbers begin to grow.....

According to the latest estimates, 770,000 terabequerels

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/07/japan-doubles-fukushima-radiation-leak-estimate

mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 13, 2011 - 12:25pm PT
Radioactive strontium up to 240 times the legal concentration limit has been detected in seawater samples collected near an intake at the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, Tokyo Electric Power Co said Sunday.

TEPCO said the substance was also found in groundwater near the plant’s Nos. 1 and 2 reactors. The government’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said it is the first time that the substance has been found in groundwater.

http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/high-concentration-of-radioactive-strontium-found-at-fukushima-plant

Studly

Trad climber
WA
Jun 13, 2011 - 12:31pm PT
a quote from a reader of the article..
This poisoning of the environment is horrendous, appalling and ultimately extremely hazardous to health. Strontium 90, as this undoubtedly is, and as you most likely all know, is the devil’s own work, a death guaranteed. Again, approaching this catastrophe from best scenario has to be one of most flagrant acts of self-deception known.
Like lambs to the slaughter.

I read a bit that said since GE owns a vast majority of the news networks here in the US, they have been extremely successful in supressing any negative reporting on Fukshima here in the States. Basically a deception by the use of our media so enormous that it is hard to comprehend since we and our children were all exposed to the fallout in the rain for months, and knew it, but the news agencies refused to post it.
and what about our government, where were they? Sad times for America.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Jun 13, 2011 - 01:34pm PT
" Eat flaming death , fascist media pigs "...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jun 14, 2011 - 12:53am PT

NHK now reports that 60% of the people from the regions affected by the tsunami believe they will never rebuild.
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Jun 14, 2011 - 11:56am PT
Looks like Google will not have to depend entirely on Ads.



http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/14/idUS178799646120110614
Google invests $280M in SolarCity solar roof fund


# East Coast wind farm backbone. Google has invested part of the fund for an East Coast transmission line that is meant to link offshore wind farms, and which recently got an approved rate of return for the project at 12.59 percent.
# Wind power from Iowa wind farm. Google’s first deal for its subsidiary Google Energy — which can buy and sell power on the wholesale electricity markets — plans to buy wind power from 114 MW of wind energy via a wind farm in Iowa owned by NextEra Energy Resources.
# Wind power from Oklahoma wind farm. Google’s second deal via its subsidiary Google Energy is to buy 100 MW of power from a wind farm that’s under construction in Oklahoma by NextEra Energy Resources.
# BrightSource’s solar thermal project. Google plans to invest $168 million into a solar thermal project being built by startup BrightSource Energy in California’s Mojave Desert.
# German solar project. Google is investing €3.5 million ($5 million USD) into a solar photovoltaic farm in Brandenburg an der Havel, Germany, which is near Berlin.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jun 14, 2011 - 12:56pm PT

NHK now reports that 60% of the people from the regions affected by the tsunami believe they will never rebuild.


That might be smart. I imagine it is more likely than not we be rebuilding New Orleans again within a generation.
Guck

Trad climber
Santa Barbara, CA
Jun 28, 2011 - 02:48pm PT
There is an fascinating video circulating on the web. The video is in Japanese.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQqmp9OOE1E&feature=player_embedded
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Jun 28, 2011 - 03:22pm PT
I have no doubt Fukushima is the worst industrial accident in history and one borne of hubris, lying financials, expediency, and compounded both by Japan's lack of energy resources and cultural biases.

That said, however, these two statements:

I read a bit that said since GE owns a vast majority of the news networks here in the US, they have been extremely successful in supressing any negative reporting on Fukshima here in the States.

In the US, physician Janette Sherman MD and epidemiologist Joseph Mangano published an essay shedding light on a 35 per cent spike in infant mortality in northwest cities that occurred after the Fukushima meltdown, and may well be the result of fallout from the stricken nuclear plant.

Are outright lies suffused with agenda, paranoia, hysteria, and so lacking in common sense they are just plain insulting.

No parent owner of western media outside of Rupert Murdoch is capable of directly supressing or manipulating news coverage in the internet age. If anything, the gnat-like attention span of U.S. media consumers is more the issue.

And the 'epidemiological' study? Deliberately manipulated data selection which shouldn't even need the debunking it promptly received - a basic understanding of radiation and it's affects render the 'study' ridiculous on the face of it. A rise in childhood cancers and the development other rare radiation-related childhood illnesses over time, possibly and that will require long term epidemiological studies to determine, but outright infant mortality at these exposure level? Total and complete fabrication and bullsh#t.

Here, by contrast, is a Chernobyl study with some rigor:

http://www.ratical.org/radiation/Chernobyl/HEofC25yrsAC.html#ES
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Jun 28, 2011 - 03:51pm PT

healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Jun 28, 2011 - 04:16pm PT
It would not be surprising if a bunch of women manage to lose them during a national emergency of such incredible magnitude. A 35% increase is small, considering everything. Maybe that is a portion of the number that would lose them if they had no modern medical care at all.

Bullshit - if you were talking an epidemiological study down the road of infant mortality in affected areas of Japan you might find some supporting data. But here in the US? A statistically significant rate of infant mortality in the U.S. NW due to Fukushima in the immediate aftermath of the disaster? Not a friggin' chance.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Jun 28, 2011 - 04:33pm PT
Radiation takes more time than that.


not according to riley's propaganda...
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Jun 28, 2011 - 04:45pm PT
Radiation takes more time than that.



not according to riley's propaganda...

Well, it does cause some people to lose their minds rather quickly.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 28, 2011 - 09:17pm PT
Just made a trip to the Columbia River Gorge and Richland WA and back to Santa Cruz. And now we are having very oddly unseasonal rain storms in Santa Cruz. I don't make any claims to scientific rigor; but my old Geiger Counters seem to be substantially busier than the background levels I am used to; particularly when looking at rainwater.
monolith

climber
Jun 28, 2011 - 10:07pm PT
No witch hunting going on JB, just calling out outright bullsh#t.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Jun 28, 2011 - 11:16pm PT
riley................weldit wants to know...................did you get any pussy or twinks from that pic of yours?
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Jun 29, 2011 - 12:44am PT
lol.....

Riley is not my type. no matter how much of a blow hard he is....
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Jun 29, 2011 - 02:12am PT
Its just Riley. He isn't going to punch you unless you get in his face. He is just frustrated with the nuclear industry and what he perceives as peoples willingness to downplay human nature when talking about something as dangerous as nuclear material. In my opinion, he has a point. I think its hubris to think that we are so much better then the Japanese at controlling this stuff. I'm sure we may have some things better, because they do have a problem with saving face, but we also have our own idiosyncrasies, which could lead to disaster. And a nuclear disaster could have very serious consequences.
John Moosie

climber
Beautiful California
Jun 29, 2011 - 02:20am PT
I agree. But I have also met Riley and he is a nice guy. A little high strung, but a good guy.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 29, 2011 - 02:40am PT
I have suggested to DOE waste management people that the only society with a proven record for managing a facility longer than a few thousand years are the Hopi at Orayvi on Black Mesa.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 29, 2011 - 04:22am PT
So the accident in Japan is not contained yet, floodwater is leaking into the Nebraska nuclear plant, and a fire is approaching Los Alamos

think we should be getting the hint?

what would it take to prove that we just can't keep this genie in the bottle?

peace

Karl
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jun 29, 2011 - 04:35am PT
You tell me how close to disaster this nebraska situation could be and barely escaped being a meltdown already. The utility wanted to build the plant to withstand a water level of 1009 feet. The water is already 1007 feet.

http://www.counterpunch.com/giambrone06272011.html

Negligence and Cover-Ups at Fort Calhoun Reactor

Nuclear Catastrophe Imminent in Nebraska?

By JOSEPH GIAMBRONE

When I wrote last week about the Nebraska reactor surrounded by floodwaters I, like most, still considered it a highly remote possibility of cataclysm.

Upon further investigation, it seems much more likely now. The New York Times has exposed some major criminal negligence and game playing with the safety of the nation by the plant's operator. Peter Behr's June 24th report examines what we've been told vs. what's there on the ground at Fort Calhoun's nuclear power station. This is truly frightening with water levels approaching the 1007 ft. above sea level mark.

The "aqua berm" collapsed on Sunday, and nothing holds back the waters but random chance at this point.

The Ft. Calhoun reactor was repeatedly reported to be in "cold" shutdown, with an endless supply of happy talk in the press about how safe the situation remains. Not one of these reports gives the actual temperature inside the reactor. "Cold" is a relative term when dealing wtih nuclear reactors.

A June 22 Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) press release inspires no confidence whatsoever:

"If there is a complete loss of power on site temporary pumps that run on gas can circulate cooling water through the spent fuel pool and reactor core."

And reactor core? But I thought it was in "cold shutdown?" Why would that be necessary? The NRC release avoids the word "cold," and merely restates the term "shutdown."

The Omaha World Herald offers another clue:

"The NRC says its inspectors were at the plant when the berm failed and have confirmed that the flooding has had no impact on the reactor shutdown cooling or the spent fuel pool cooling." (Sam Womack, June 26)

The term "reactor shutdown cooling" implies it is not quite "cold" but requiring cooling still.

In an outstanding bit of hubris, the second threatened plant at Cooper is still operating at "full power." It's as if some are incapable of learning any lessons whatsoever.

CNN -- and almost all other news sources -- is still reporting the claims of the Omaha Public Power District (OPPD) unquestioningly:

"The [Ft. Calhoun] plant is designed to withstand waters up to 1,014 feet above mean sea level, according to the OPPD."

That reassuring number ignores quite a bit. In the end it may prove to be the equivalent of the TEPCO assurances and the Japanese Government's claims that no meltdowns had occured.

"But a year ago, those new defenses were not in place, and the plant's hard barriers could have failed against a 1,010-foot flood ... at flooding levels above 1,008 feet, the plant "would experience a loss of offsite power and loss of intake structure" (NYT)

The NRC gave the operator OPPD a wristslap last October 6 to try and force some improvements of "substatntal importance" to the facility. The OPPD predictably stalled and tried to fight spending any money on improvements up through this year.

The plot thickened back in the 1990s, where a series of floods threatened the area. The Army Corps of Engineers warned the plant operator to increase its defenses by at least 3 feet, back in 2003. The plant however did not "properly act" on the "deficiencies." No surprises there.

When a senior nuclear investigator for NRC was asked how these situations can go on so long with no meaningful action taken to protect the public from disaster, Gerond George answered, "We only sample certain parts of their design basis..." This admission reveals gaping holes at the NRC.

Now it gets ugly. The plant was not actually "designed" for the 1014 ft flood level at all. Whether sufficient "improvements" to the original design have been implemented properly is anyone's guess. The plant was originally created to:

"The precise level -- 1,009.5 feet -- is written into the plant's operating licenses as a flooding 'design basis' threat that the plant must be guarded against." (NYT)

Here's the Omaha Public Power's solution to historic floodwaters lapping at their reactor:

"OPPD planned to extend the barrier to 1,014 feet by stacking sandbags on top of some steel floodgates that protected the auxiliary building, and to use more sandbags to safeguard the water intake structure and its essential cooling water pumps. "

You can't make this stuff up.

Yes, there's a reactor at Diablo Canyon in Southern California near an earthquake fault and designed magnitudes short of what could be unleashed there. Yes, they drilled so far below the Gulf of Mexico that they couldn't plug a leak until the Gulf was thick with oil and toxins. And yes, people in charge of the public safety at a Nebraska nuclear reactor thought piling up sandbags five feet high would safeguard against massive flooding.

These are the same geniuses who allegedly have performed the upgrades as instructed by NRC, just this year, to reluctantly fortify the plant against raging floodwaters.

I won't be touring the site personally.

The OPPD remains out of jail and in control of the situation. Its spokesman Michael Jones explained:

"We presented our analysis to [NRC] which we felt indicated that the design basis [for the flooding threat] should remain 1,009 feet," rather than 1,014 feet, he said." (NYT)

The current river level is just below 1007 feet.

"At 1,008.5 feet, the technical support center used by emergency technicians would have been inundated... At 1,010 feet, water would begin to enter the auxiliary building, "shorting power and submerging pumps. The plant could then experience a station blackout with core damage estimated within 15 to 18 hours..." (NYT)

The OPPD still clung to the absurdity that their fire truck would simply pump out the auxiliary building. That's their ace in the hole, apparently. One can picture Slim Pickens at the conclusion of Dr. Strangelove riding the nuclear warhead down and proudly waving his Stetson about with a victorious holler.

The NRC, it was reported deadpan, found that "it was not clear how workers could operate a crane to lift the fire truck into position if outside power were lost."

The Times waited until the end of the two page story to finally let the hammer drop:

"The NRC has not completed its evaluation of the new defenses installed at Fort Calhoun..."

The plant has not actually passed inspection, nor was it originally designed to handle the current reality. Its operator is criminally negligent in the extreme and incompetent also in the extreme. The operator has clearly fought the very safety improvements that are now desperately needed to hold back the river and avert a possible full meltdown a la Fukushima.

The age of nuclear power should be swiftly coming to an end. Do you really trust your family's lives to the sandbag plan? To the men who fight any reasonable action to make the nuclear reactors they have been entrusted with as safe as possible?

It's an indefensible industry. The situation is profit vs. public safety. The latter stands no chance over the long term.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Jun 29, 2011 - 05:34am PT
Working backwards on the post above, I'd say the most accurate sentences in that post are the first two sentences on the last line. It is a industry driven by short term financials and a sixty year-old [post-WWII, white, male] chauvinism which can't out run it's own Achilles heel of shortsightedness, 'good enough' design standards, and an unwillingness to deal with the entire plant and fuel lifecycle.

Otherwise I find most of the rest of it quite overly dramatic in tone and chock-filled with inaccurate assessments of risk and doom.

So the accident in Japan is not contained yet...

It's melted toast with floor penetration and total pressure loss in at least one of the reactors - a bunch of someones are going to have to die containing it as robots aren't going to cut it. I would bet it will probably take a decade before the plant is 'contained' (as in entombed) in some 'reasonable' manner.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Jun 29, 2011 - 10:34am PT
Stick to something ya know about Joe, like rapping.
They lied to us about Fukushima. Worse then Chernobyl. Worse accident in history. Its in your water and in your food. It continues to be covered up.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSq4_688Vfs&feature=share
Jingy

climber
Somewhere out there
Jun 30, 2011 - 09:37pm PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKmCJhVL8u0&feature=related

Wow!!!

We are all among the walking dead....

Yeah.. its a good idea to build more of these things...

How many want to go on record for calling nuclear is cheaper?

At what cost?
Economic and Human?


Dr.Michio Kaku is brilliant. Thanks for the post ^^^^^^
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 30, 2011 - 09:58pm PT
http://satwcomic.com/nuclear-power
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jun 30, 2011 - 11:59pm PT
I've just been reading a new book Called Area 51 which promised to tell what really happened at Roswell (they claim Russian Psy Ops) and the more interesting part of which was the history of the development of various spy planes - U2, SR71, Stealth Bomber, and now the Drones.

As part of the story, they detail the atomic testing that went on there and the callous disregard for human and animal life it entailed. You'd be amazed at how much radioactivity we've all been exposed to, especially if you live in the western U.S. Much of it is still kept secret and not even the president of the US has access. The Atomic Energy Commission, now called the Department of Energy, is a secret empire to itself.

It's therefore not surprising that when the officials there retired to the civilian world, they continued that attitude as founders of the nuclear reactor industry. The public at large doesn't have a "need to know" how safe or unsafe these are and only gets a glimpse when something goes wrong.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Jul 14, 2011 - 02:56am PT
Radioactive Beef Hits Japanese Market

Wall Street Journal
July 13, 2011

...The farmer later admitted he had fed his cattle straw that had been
exposed to the elements— ie Fukushima radiation fallout— and that
subsequent tests found to contain extremely high levels of radioactive
cesium. That caused internal contamination that wasn't detectable by the
prefecture's
external screening...


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303678704576441682767970202.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jul 17, 2011 - 04:33am PT
And they wonder why tourism is down 36% in Japan this year?
And, there's another huge typhoon headed toward Fukushima.
It just gets better and better.


Japanese Nuclear-Contaminated Beef 'Sold In and Around Tokyo'
By REUTERS
Published: July 17, 2011 at 2:54 AM ET


TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's second-biggest retailer said on Sunday it had sold beef from cattle that ate nuclear-contaminated feed, the latest in a series of health scares from radiation leaking from a quake-crippled nuclear power plant.

Cases of contaminated vegetables, tea, milk, seafood and water have already stoked anxiety after the world's worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986, despite assurances from officials that the levels are not dangerous.

Aeon Co said it had sold the contaminated beef at a store in Tokyo and at more than dozen stores in the surrounding area, as radiation continues to spill from the Fukushima nuclear power plant four months after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

Aeon, which competes with top retail group Seven & I Holdings, said in a statement cattle from Fukushima prefecture were given animal feed originating from rice straw that exceeded the government's limits for radioactive cesium.

Japan was now likely to ban shipments of beef, hugely popular in Japan, from around Fukushima, a cabinet minister said on Sunday. It was not immediately what had delayed such a move, unlikely to deflect criticism that the government has been slow in its response to the crisis.

Aeon said it sold 319 kg (703 lb) of the beef from April 27 to June 20 at one shop in Tokyo and other shops in Kanagawa and Chiba. Aeon said it also sold the beef at outlets in Shizuoka and Ishikawa, both in central Japan.

The retailer said it would start to check beef shipments from all areas that could potentially have contaminated feed.


Cesium three- to six-times higher than safety standards was found last week in beef shipped to Tokyo from a farmer in Minami Soma city, near Tokyo Electric Power Co's Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.

A Farm Ministry official said consuming such meat a few times would pose no immediate health risks.

(Reporting by Stanley White; Editing by Nick Macfie)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jul 17, 2011 - 06:25am PT
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Jul 18, 2011 - 09:40am PT
Fukushima Daiichi prepares for typhoon arrival

Tokyo Electric Power Company, or TEPCO, is rushing to put a makeshift roof over a turbine building at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant as typhoon
Ma-on approaches Japan.


The metal roof will cover the turbine building of reactor Number 3. The hole in its roof was caused by a hydrogen blast in March.

The new roof is 5-meters long and 16-meters wide. It is designed to cover up the hole to prevent an increase of radioactive water in the building.

TEPCO says the roof is scheduled to be installed with a crane on Monday.

Fearing high waves, a hose was temporarily disconnected from the "megafloat" barge, which contains relatively low-level radioactive water.

But no measures have been taken to prevent rainwater from entering reactor buildings 1, 3, and 4. The structures were damaged by hydrogen blasts.

However TEPCO says it does not expect any drastic increase of the water level in those 3 buildings.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Aug 2, 2011 - 04:54pm PT
Death in seconds: Radiation pockets found at Fukushima plant


..Tepco said Tuesday it found another spot on the ventilation stack itself
where radiation exceeded 10 sieverts per hour, a level that could lead to
incapacitation or death after just several seconds of exposure.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43982727/ns/world_news-asia_pacific/

aspendougy

Trad climber
Los Angeles, CA
Aug 2, 2011 - 07:30pm PT
When they exploded one of the test bombs in the desert during WW II, they had a couple of regiments rush the site a few minutes later, so they could see how using the A-bomb played out in battle. The guys got sick as dogs from acute radiation sickness, no one had a clue back then.
mellpat

Big Wall climber
Sweden
Aug 11, 2011 - 06:09am PT
Couldn't the politicians in Japan just inform the public that the radioactive releases in Fukushima happened because there were no plans in Japan or elsewhere for dealing with a total station black out lasting for more than a couple of hours?

It appears that the only thing one have to do to guarantee that no release of radioactivity occurs in the unlikely event of a new tsunami of this magnitude is to secure lasting reactor pressure vessel ventilation and that hoses and fire engine pumps not requiring electricity - but capable of pumping in about 10 litres of water per second during the first few critical days - are available in a safe place nearby nuclear reactors.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Aug 11, 2011 - 11:47am PT
http://enenews.com/

Japan government prepares plan to flee Tokyo -ABC News (Australia)
August 10th, 2011 at 01:52 AM
Japan is considering the possibility of creating a back-up capital city

Egypt finds shipment from Japan with radioactive electric and mechanical instruments — Exceeded legal limit — Authorities trying to keep radiation from spreading (362)

ABC: Japan’s nuclear agency hides children’s radiation results (286)

Report: Tokyo man tests positive for over 7,000 Becquerels of radioactive cesium during whole body counter check — Never went to Fukushima (RESULTS) (223)

New data shows Fukushima Daini nuke plant prepared to vent steam from all four reactors — Feared that containment vessels might be damaged by pressure (212)

Public anger “exploding” as Japanese discover more about gov’t downplaying spread of Fukushima radiation, health dangers (150)

Nationwide TV in Japan: Toxicity of plutonium “not very different than salt” — “So safe you can drink it” (VIDEO)
August 8th, 2011 at 05:59 PM
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Aug 18, 2011 - 01:40pm PT
China Syndrome - living in interesting times eh?


Anyone know of a realtime map tracking the contaminated water plume
from Fukushima ?

Or know if the worlds fishing fleets are testing the fish brought up in nets? Or have been told not to fish in certain areas?

Japanese fishing gear has been washing up on the Oregon and Washington
coast forever due to the current. Its a true ocean conveyor belt from them to us.


http://cueflash.com/decks/Pacific_Ocean_Currents
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Aug 18, 2011 - 03:07pm PT
Reports are coming to say that one of the Nuclear Unit has achieved what is called the "China Syndrome"

The core has melted through the metal and concrete floor, and is melting the ground below!!

Any one else hear about this

No. Do you have any links?
PP

Trad climber
SF,CA
Aug 18, 2011 - 04:22pm PT
Jan ; regarding area 51 if you google earth a little west of A51 you can see the hundreds of craters and alittle further west and north are huge 600 ft wide craters . I figured they were from A bomb tests ,. Not too far from Las Vegas.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Aug 18, 2011 - 09:19pm PT
PP - yah those craters are a jaw dropper.

Pictures of when they built Fukushima. The dug 25 meters off the ocean bluff
so the plant could be closer to sea level. The guilt must be unbearable.
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20110713a2.html

and the china syndrome story.

Radio-steam squirting out of the ground.

http://crisisjones.wordpress.com/2011/08/17/as-i-reported-from-inside-sources-six-weeks-ago-china-syndrome-at-fukushima-this-is-very-serious-folks/

Gary

climber
Desolation Basin, Calif.
Aug 19, 2011 - 10:13am PT
China Syndrome? In Japan wouldn't it be the Ohio Syndrome?
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Aug 19, 2011 - 11:34am PT
Riley, having the China syndrome occur on at least one of the reactors means that the core has burned thru the concrete casing INTO THE GROUND AND INTO THE WATER TABLE. Since it sets on the Pacific Ocean and since there is no way known to man to stop this, it will kill the Pacific Ocean for hundreds, if not thousands of miles. Radiation spreading everywhere, poisoning and destroying the sea life for our lifetime and many more after that. and two more reactors still going and probably if they are not already in the China syndrome, they will be shortly. No way to stop it, this is an acceptable outcome of the use of nuclear power?
beef supreme

climber
the west
Aug 19, 2011 - 01:26pm PT
I was just thinking the other day "hmm, wonder whatever happened to that earthquake/ tsunami/ nuclear meltdown that was such big news for, what, like a week?"
I love how our media tells us everything about consuming and nothing about trivial, inconsequential things, i.e. nuclear meltdowns.
Wasn't there another nuclear incident in the midwest as well with a media blackout?
Dont worry people, just buy more sh#t and keep your head in the sand and your ass in the air.
Good thing there is the internet, and ST, to keep me updated.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Aug 19, 2011 - 02:08pm PT
Good thing there is the internet, and ST, to keep me updated

if you rely on this site for the true facts then you are absolutely right....your head is in that sand and your a$$ in the air....
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Aug 19, 2011 - 02:24pm PT
Since it sets on the Pacific Ocean and since there is no way known to man to stop this, it will kill the Pacific Ocean for hundreds, if not thousands of miles. Radiation spreading everywhere, poisoning and destroying the sea life for our lifetime and many more after that.

No hysteria there...

Wasn't there another nuclear incident in the midwest as well with a media blackout?

No, there wasn't a 'media blackout'.

Look, I'm all for shutting down every existing reactor (and dam for that matter) in the US and replacing them with a mix of wind, solar, and wave. Unfortunately you can't operate a national grid without a stable baseload and nukes will have to play a role in that. But the designs in operation today are ridiculously bad. There are better, safer designs which could be employed to provide the minimal base load required to run a grid.

Without them, any attempt to run a national grid solely on alternative power without adequate baseload sources would lead to frequent rolling blackouts in virtually all major cities. It's possible wave / current power could provide a good chunk of that baseload, but I suspect it would be insufficient to the task by itself.
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Aug 19, 2011 - 03:27pm PT
There are better, safer designs which could be employed to provide the minimal base load required to run a grid.

and the reason that those are not in operations are primarily due to the hysterics....
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Aug 19, 2011 - 03:59pm PT
Ya sure hawkye......
Keep talking genius.....
You knew sh#t....
And you still know.sh#t...
What a joke

yah, they should have called the big boys in huh? you are a looser. why don't you go driving and get tooled again....
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Aug 19, 2011 - 04:55pm PT
Nobody gives a F*#k what u think...

wahhh, now you have hurt my feelings.

you never did answer, did this pic get you the man of your dreams?

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Aug 19, 2011 - 06:29pm PT
we need a happier story

Dolphin rescued from rice field 12 days after tsunami
Baby animal was swept about a mile from the coast by massive wave

http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/42231949/ns/today-today_pets_and_animals/t/dolphin-rescued-rice-field-days-after-tsunami/

Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Aug 19, 2011 - 11:29pm PT
Hawkeye?
When you gonna be done jacking off to my picture?LOL
It's 2011 dude..
Have the guts to come out of the closet and be yourself..
Stupid can't be fixed but you can at least work on the coward part...

Better yet just shut up as your opinion in any form means nothing to anybody.
Your're an anonymous, coward troll, and from your comments , intelligence and personality it is very obvious why you dont want anybody to know who you are.
Just give it up...

dude....i ain't the one posting pics that are popular on the gay websites. as much of a bitch as you are, sounds like the answer to the question was no dik for the wyna. too bad. drink some more and get all f*#ked up, it will help you for at least a bottle or two.....
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Aug 20, 2011 - 04:32am PT
Plants are dying in Tokyo and Japan considers options if it has to move its capital.

http://blog.imva.info/medicine/radiation-deception-continues


healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Aug 20, 2011 - 04:50am PT
On the good news front - many American families are playing host for Japanese mothers and children from affected areas. In Japan these children cannot go outside so it is a big respite to be over here for a few months.

Friends of ours here in town are one of the host families and we'll be taking one of the children climbing this coming Sunday. She's already getting pretty good at trampoline, juggling, slackline and should be a natural climbing. You can catch a pic of her (at 2:00 in video), her infant sister, and her mother in this video:

http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/44179518/ns/world_news-asia_pacific/
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Aug 20, 2011 - 12:47pm PT
I have a feeling a massive explosion is coming. No one is really sure what will happen or how bad this will get as this is a science experiment for the nuke afficianados. This being right on the ocean insanely dangerous to the planet, and seems like sometime soon there will be clouds of uncontainable radioactive steam starting to pour from the ground going on for......forever. A very real possibility at this point is that it will wipe out much of Japan for occupation or life, and if 3 of them have breached their containment vessels, well....dying ain't much of a living boys.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Aug 20, 2011 - 01:17pm PT
Iodine 131 cloud sweeps across the world - source Fukushima
animated.gif
for 3-19 to 3-28 2011

http://www.zamg.ac.at/pict/aktuell/20110325_Reanalyse-I131-Period2.gif


Maybe not so ridiculous to take iodine to protect against thyroid cancer
after all.
http://www.survivalistboards.com/showthread.php?t=162213


releases actually larger due to a miscalculation
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2wLbwuJeMM&feature=related

neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Aug 20, 2011 - 06:03pm PT
hey there say, all....

was there ANOTHER quake off japan, here, again?

i thought someone posted at another forum, that they had one???
(as of aug 19? or so????)


just wondering...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Aug 20, 2011 - 06:15pm PT
hey there say, all....


okay, just found it....

here it a small news piece:

Friday, August 19, 2011
Another Earthquake Hits Japan: August 19, 2011

According to USGS a 6.3 magnitude earthquake hit Japan today Near The East Coast Of Honshu.

An hour ago, Reuters reported an event as a 6.8 magnitude:



A strong earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 6.8 jolted northeastern Japan off Fukushima prefecture on Friday, the Japan Meteorological Agency said, although no damage was reported and a tsunami advisory for the area was lifted after no waves were sighted.


Washington Post reports a 6.5 and says this is one of the biggest in a month and that Japan's northeastern coast has been the site of more than 1,000 aftershocks of magnitude 4.0 or higher since March.

.

Posted by Susan Duclos at 11:01 AM

Labels: Earthquakes, Japan




also, saw this
but it is taking forever to load, so i may have to edit,
if it is wrong:

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2011/08/19/Strong-quake-no-tsunami-in-Japan/UPI-95391313736237/
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Sep 8, 2011 - 08:48pm PT
California: The San Onofre nuclear plant is shutting down because of a big electric power grid failure in the southwest US.

This is just a precaution. San Onofre is just fine. But it must shut down
due to the wide spread power failure in the area.

Why? When it makes the power failure situation worse?

Because with no outside electrical power to run its coolant pumps its too
risky just to stay in operation in case something did go wrong at San Onofre. Safety rules.

So better safe than sorry.
Don't need a Fukushima type disaster here. Note Fukushima melted down because it lost outside power to run its coolant pumps -plus the onsite backup power etc etc tsunami etc.

http://lagunabeach.patch.com/articles/power-outage-reported-throughout-south-orange-county-and-san-diego-county

S.Leeper

Sport climber
Pflugerville, Texas
Sep 9, 2011 - 11:14pm PT
http://www.fark.com/vidplayer/6550297
hb81

climber
Sep 12, 2011 - 08:29am PT
gotta bump this

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2011/09/ap-explosion-rocks-nuclear-plant-in-southern-france/1

lets see how bad this one turns out... when spokesmen announce that there is no danger to the population I'm gonna start worrying...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Sep 21, 2011 - 09:08am PT

Fukushima nuclear plant on typhoon alert

Workers at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant are stepping up precautions in advance of the approaching typhoon.


Typhoon Roke is expected to approach the northern prefecture of Fukushima on Wednesday night. It has already brought a total rainfall of more than 200 millimeters to the area since Tuesday midnight.

Efforts to install steel plates at the plant's water intake area have been halted for fear of storm surges. Strong winds and heavy rain have forced the suspension of work to cover the No. 1 reactor building.

Outdoor piping and pumps for injecting water into the reactors have been secured with ropes to keep them from being knocked over by strong winds.


Tokyo Electric Power Company has confirmed rainwater has flowed into the basement floor of the No. 6 reactor turbine building and that it has found leaks in the roof of the central control room of the No.1 and 2 reactors. But no serious damage to the plant has been discovered.

Rainfall of up to 250 millimeters is expected in the area through Thursday noon, but TEPCO says radioactive wastewater is unlikely to overflow from the reactor turbine buildings.

TEPCO says it is closely monitoring the wastewater levels around the clock.

Wednesday, September 21, 2011 20:27 +0900 (JST)
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Sep 24, 2011 - 01:54am PT
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCzVdgTC_pQ&feature=related

Highest radiation yet measured at Fukushima, maxing out measurement devices, even 5 months later.

Just sayin'

Karl
Dr.Sprock

Boulder climber
I'm James Brown, Bi-atch!
Sep 24, 2011 - 02:07am PT
your gonna die!
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Oct 14, 2011 - 12:41am PT
Radiation hot spot discovered in Tokyo.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2011/10/japan-radiation-tokyo-hot-spot-fukushima-nuclear-investigation.html
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Oct 14, 2011 - 02:52am PT
There is now a lot or evidence, you can research, of DNA and genetic mutations showing up in Japan and China

Are you talking the rabbit? If so, saying the rabbit was the result of Fukushima is a wild leap at best.

Will there be various mutagenic results as this goes on? Sure, but to say this rabbit birth is one of them or that the flu season will be worse because of mutations in the flu virus is just out-of-hand media masturbation...
Wayno

Big Wall climber
Seattle, WA
Oct 14, 2011 - 04:09am PT
Godzilla!
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Nov 6, 2011 - 12:23pm PT
Here it comes like we knew it would. Why no news coverage you might ask yourself?
http://markcrispinmiller.com/2011/11/situation-grave-at-fukushima-tepco-admits-possibility-of-a-sustained-nuclear-chain-reaction%e2%80%94so-wheres-ap-and-the-times/

A third worker at the site has died but TEPCO says its not due to radiation, just death by headache.
http://markcrispinmiller.com/2011/10/third-fukushima-worker-dies/
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Nov 6, 2011 - 03:14pm PT
It means an out of control China Syndrome is occuring, and it is headed for the Pacific Ocean. Back in September it was estimated the fuel rods had burned to 12 meters deep. Another 20 meters or so and it will be in the water table. No more sushi.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Nov 6, 2011 - 11:56pm PT
From NHK

Survivors plant cherry trees to mark tsunami line.

People in northeastern Japan, including survivors of the March 11th tsunami, have begun planting cherry trees to mark the affected areas to give warnings to future generations.

About 100 people planted 35 trees in a temple ground in Rikuzentakata City, Iwate Prefecture, on Sunday.



The group plans to eventually plant 17,000 trees over 170 kilometers in the city in marking off areas inundated by the tsunami.

The project's leader says he is sorrowful at having lost many friends in the tsunami.

He says he hopes the cherry trees will hand down memories of the disaster to young children and help prevent any further loss of human life.



The group plans to plant more trees on March 11th next year to mark the first anniversary of the disaster.

Sunday, November 06, 2011

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/06_11.html
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Nov 7, 2011 - 12:45am PT
hey there say, jan...

just getting off line, after checking things in various browsers...

thanks for the share...

a gal i know there was very sad, as to the loss of the lovely spots that she used to visit with friends, :( (and of course, the loss of friends)...

this will mean something to her...
well, night, jan...

:)

nice to hear from you...
god blesss...
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Nov 7, 2011 - 12:47am PT
hey there say, studly...

just saw your post as well, here...

oh my... thanks for the share....




Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Nov 11, 2011 - 02:28pm PT
Mystery Radiation Detected 'Across Europe'

The hunt is on for the source of low level radiation detected in the atmosphere "across Europe" over the past several days, nuclear officials said today.

Trace amounts of iodine-131, a type of radiation created during the operation of nuclear reactors or in the detonation of a nuclear weapon, were detected by the Czech Republic's State Office for Nuclear Safety starting two weeks ago. After the group reported its findings to the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Agency released a statement today revealing similar detections had been made "in other locations across Europe."

The IAEA said the current levels of iodine-131 are not high enough to warrant a public health risk, but the agency still does not know the origin of the apparent leak and an official with the agency would not say where exactly it has been detected outside the Czech Republic.

The IAEA said it does not believe the radiation was left over from the nuclear disaster at Japan's Fukushima Daiichi plant in March and the Czech Republic's State Office for Nuclear Safety could only say the source was "likely outside the territory of the [Czech] Republic."

"Anywhere spent nuclear fuel is handled, there is a chance that... iodine-131 will escape into the environment," the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency says on its website.

According to the EPA, iodine-131 can get into the environment after leaking from cracked fuel rods in nuclear plants and, when ingested in higher doses, can lead to thyroid problems. This particular type of radiation is relatively short-lived, with an estimated half-life of about eight days.

http://news.yahoo.com/mystery-radiation-detected-across-europe-152226180.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Nov 11, 2011 - 09:01pm PT
And the New York Times has a report on the heroic but ultimately futile efforts of the workers to save the plant in the first few hours and days after the tsunami. Very interesting reading.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/12/world/asia/report-details-initial-chaos-at-fukushima-daiichi-nuclear-plant-in-japan.html?hp
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Nov 11, 2011 - 09:06pm PT
There was a report in our paper that debris from the earthquake and tsunami would soon start washing ashore on the beaches of the outer coast. Millions of tonnes of stuff got carried out to sea, including things like houses and boats. It's been observed meandering its way toward Haida Gwaii and Vancouver Island.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Nov 11, 2011 - 09:18pm PT
Interesting how some of it is headed toward Hawaii and some to the West Coast. Studying it will teach us a lot about ocean currents. I'm also wondering if valuable momentos of people's lives won't be rescued during the beach cleanups and perhaps returned? The hope of that would at least be one bright spot in dealing with the mess.
Mighty Hiker

climber
Vancouver, B.C.
Nov 11, 2011 - 09:24pm PT
Well, it does.

Debris from Japanese tsunami could reach B.C. shore in days

Houses, fishing boats and small freighters carried by winds could already be nearing the coast, oceanographer says

The largest items swept out to sea following the Japanese tsunami in March could arrive on the B.C. coastline within days, oceanographer Curt Ebbesmeyer has predicted.

The main part of the 20-million-tonne debris field, equivalent in size to the state of California, isn't expected until about 2014. But houses, fishboats and small freighters, carried by wind, could already be close to our shores, Ebbesmeyer said.

"We just finished running a simulation with a drifter, a buoy that got lost in the area of the tsunami, and we find that the first of the debris would be here now," he explained.

Beachcombers along the west coast of B.C. should be on the lookout and report any unusual finds, he said.

A Transport Canada spokeswoman said contingency plans are in the works to deal with debris that might pose navigational hazards in Canadian waters.

Ebbesmeyer is a Seattle-based oceanographer, educated at the University of Washington, who tracks flotsam using computer models. He has consulted for multinational firms, working on projects such as the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico last year.

The March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan prompted Ebbesmeyer and fellow oceanographer Jim Ingraham to run computer simulations on the path of debris carried out to sea by the tsunami.

Debris moves faster if it is exposed to the wind, Ebbesmeyer said.

"People who base their results on satellite-tracking buoys get a slower speed than those of us who track Nike shoes and hockey gloves and airplane wings," Ebbesmeyer said.

Researchers Nikolai Maximenko and Jan Hafner at the International Pacific Research Center in Hawaii are monitoring the debris field through both computer models and ship reports.

Hafner said Wednesday that windblown flotsam isn't part of his research. He said ocean currents will deliver a significant amount of plastic to this area in 2013 or 2014. The majority will remain in a North Pacific "garbage patch," where swirling currents surround a vast amount of seaborne junk.

The crew of a cargo ship near Midway Island spotted an 18-foot vessel in the debris field, Hafner said.

The Japanese have immense respect for belongings such as fishboats, said Ebbesmeyer, predicting an influx of Japanese tourists coming to B.C. to see washed-up debris. "When people find something on the beach, they are literally putting their hands on something that a family wants to know about," he said.

A Japanese fishboat that washed ashore in Prince Rupert several years ago has become a shrine to fishermen lost at sea, he said.

Tofino beachcomber Barry Campbell can relate. A few years ago, he found a sealed bottle on the beach containing a note written by students at a Japanese school.

He wrote to the school "and got a huge stack of letters from each individual class," most of them in Japanese.

Ebbesmeyer is asking anyone seeing floating debris of an unusual nature to take a photograph and send it to him through his website at flotsa metrics.com.
http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Debris+from+Japanese+tsunami+could+reach+shore+days/5695321/story.html#ixzz1dSCnYefz
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Nov 11, 2011 - 09:33pm PT
hey there say, jan... and mighty hiker,thanks for the sharing, and of the links, too...

:)
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Nov 11, 2011 - 10:58pm PT
Combing those beaches and boarding the fishing vessels looking for personal momentos would be a very worthwhile pastime that I would be interested in if I lived in B.C. Japanese families are still gratefully receiving family momentos taken as souvenirs by American soldiers in WWII.

I suspect some of the attics of those houses and the fishing trawlers especially, may well contain bodies. And knowing the Japanese, there is probably a lot of yen on board many of them, perhaps a safe or two.

Meanwhile North America and Hawaii will have a real mess to clean up.
rrrADAM

Trad climber
LBMF
Nov 27, 2011 - 08:59am PT
Special Report on the Nuclear Accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station

The Institute of Nuclear Power Operations has compiled a detailed timeline of events at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power station after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan. The detailed report, prepared as part of the integrated response to the Japan events, was delivered on Nov. 11, 2011, to U.S. industry executives, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and members of Congress.

Lots of detail in regards to what actually happened at Fuku here:
http://www.nei.org/filefolder/11_005_Special_Report_on_Fukushima_Daiichi_MASTER_11_08_11_1.pdf

If you have questions about terms, values, processes, etc... And reseraching it (preferred) doesn't help, feel free to shoot me an email. I will explain or answer anything I can, or get you an answer from one who can. I have had a few questions I had to ask Operations, Nuclear Engineering, and Structural and/or Systems Engineering, concerning some details. I will not be responding here, as it just degrades into BS.
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
Dec 1, 2011 - 12:06am PT
We have known this is true, however, Japan now finally admits it . . .




DECEMBER 1, 2011
Reactor Core Melted Fully, Japan Says
Fuel Breached Vessel Floor, Operator Says, In Its Gravest Fukushima Status Report
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204262304577069302835999204.html?mod=WSJ_article_forsub
graniteclimber

Trad climber
The Illuminati -- S.P.E.C.T.R.E. Division
Dec 2, 2011 - 02:32am PT
From the article that Klimmer linked to.

Reactor Core Melted Fully, Japan Says
Fuel Breached Vessel Floor, Operator Says, In Its Gravest Fukushima Status Report

TOKYO—Japan's tsunami-stricken nuclear-power complex came closer to a catastrophic meltdown than previously indicated by its operator—who on Wednesday described how one reactor's molten nuclear core likely burned through its primary containment chamber and then ate as far as three-quarters of the way through the concrete in a secondary vessel.

The assessment—offered by Japan's government and Tokyo Electric Power Co., the operator of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear complex—marked Japan's most sobering reckoning to date of the nuclear disaster sparked by the country's March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

But it came nearly six months after U.S. and international nuclear experts and regulators had reached similar conclusions. That lag echoes international allegations, in the tense weeks following the disaster, that Japan was underplaying the severity of the contamination and was slow to provide information to outside nuclear regulators.

Studly

Trad climber
WA
Dec 2, 2011 - 12:46pm PT
"Uncertainty involved in the analysis is significant, due to the uncertain nature of the original conditions and data used," Tepco said in a report. It said the concrete "could have been penetrated",
Based upon the extreme reluctance of Tepco to admit anything, where they have in fact have tried to cover up everything, I would pay particular attention to their admitance in that last sentence.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 2, 2011 - 07:10pm PT
rrrAdam,
thanks for the report. I will review that.

What is interesting in the case of Japan is how their culture may impact the Nuclear safety and Quality Culture necessary to ensure that you engineer/construct/operate a facility in a safe manner. A questioning attitude and having the ability to bring up concerns, and have those concerns properly addressed is fundamental to having safe operations. While I am in no way an expert on Japanese Culture, it seems like bringing issues up is frowned upon. Not saying that that this would have helped this incident at all. However, the questioning attitude is also an input into transparency of what happened and why. TEPCo has obviously shown that they are incapable of that. Having the ability for all workers to bring up issues without retribution is paramount to operating not only Nukes safely, but chemical plants as well. One needs look no further than the BP Oil spill in the gulf to see how critical it is to be able to have an effective culture that is not driven solely by the $.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 2, 2011 - 07:23pm PT
Fattrad, could be. Still bad when there is an issue that must be brought up in order to ensure safety. Probably not conducive to a transparent environment either.
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
www.climbaddictdesigns.com
Dec 2, 2011 - 08:06pm PT
I opened the report from rradam and was immediately overwhelmed by the size/technicality of it. I, for one, do appreciate the discussion that ensues in threads like this, even as they do usually devolve with a lot of BS.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 2, 2011 - 08:31pm PT
war said:

theyre pumping nitrogen in to displace the oxygen so the hydrogen doesnt get the chance to explode again.

.......

there is currently no explaination in nuclear reactor science to explain how a high explosive event could have occured

LOL!
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 3, 2011 - 03:26pm PT
monolith,

i did not see that in the report. Where is it? Hydrogen generation is a well known and studied area.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 03:30pm PT
Exactly Golson, that's why war made me laugh. There is no report, except if you consider the delusions of conspiracy theorists(war) to be a report.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 04:03pm PT
hydrogen deflageration to detonation

It's a well known phenomena, war. Just because Fariwinds can't destroy a plastic bottle doesn't mean a containment building won't be destroyed.

The demo with the bottle was to show how deflageration to detonation can happen.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 3, 2011 - 04:27pm PT
Its called LEL and UEL. Pretty basic science. Too lean of a mix and no go. Too rich of a mixture and no go.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flammability_limit
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 05:16pm PT
But detonation does. You insisted that detonation can't happen from hydrogen. Remember,

"you can fill a building with hydrogen,
lite a match and you still dont get a detonation"

The engineers are well aware of hydrogen detonation, and design to try to prevent them, and it's why designs improved over Chernobyl, and why they need to keep improving or why you should vote no to nuclear power. But to say they are completely excluded from consideration is silly.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 3, 2011 - 05:35pm PT
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/contract/cr5525/#pub-info[/quote]

http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/contract/cr3468/[/quote]


For the past few years, the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission has sponsored research at Sandia National Laboratories addressing the combustion characteristics and flammability limits of combustible atmospheres that might occur inside containment during a loss-of-coolant accident inside a pressurized water reactor (PWR). Combustion of certain hydrogen:air:steam atmospheres could, at least hypothetically, threaten the integrity of the containment structure. To assist in the resolution of these issues, a series of 239 hydrogen:air:steam combustion experiments was performed in a 5.6 m3 vessel.

I can't speak to older designs but the new designs have been studies by the NRC. Quite a bit of work done at National Labs. Furthermore, nuclear waste processing facilities have done a lot of studies on hydrogen mitigation.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 10:50pm PT
You seem to now agree that hydrogen detonation happened.

What design considerations for this is another subject.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 11:09pm PT
"you can fill a building with hydrogen,
lite a match and you still dont get a detonation"

You implied that it was not a hydrogen detonation.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 11:33pm PT
How can you possibly say that they don't think a detonation happened?

Why did they start pumping in nitrogen?

Answer: They did not want it to happen again.
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 3, 2011 - 11:48pm PT
It's pretty obvious from the pics that a detonation happened. You need to provide a link where TEPCO says it did not happen. That's your spin on it.

You bring up good points about design considerations, and Fairwinds is doing a good service by giving the commission his opinion, but saying this it is being totally ignored has not been proven.

Here TEPCO talks about an explosion. They are clearly not claiming that hydrogen detonations can't happen.

http://ex-skf.blogspot.com/2011/11/fukushima-i-nuke-plant-reactor-4-tepco.html
monolith

climber
berzerkly
Dec 4, 2011 - 12:08am PT
Yes, he's probably right about design, but saying he is being ignored is not proven. Only new designs and possible refits can prove that. Time will tell.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Dec 13, 2011 - 05:41am PT
http://www.naturalnews.com/034395_Fukushima_cesium_radiation.html#ixzz1gP3sbsOF

Things are suddenly heating up again with Fukushima. As we reported yesterday, the southern wall of Fukushima reactor #4 apparently collapsed over the past few days, calling into question the structural integrity of the remainder of the containment building

Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/034395_Fukushima_cesium_radiation.html#ixzz1gPTAcfjt[/quote

Photos of the failed structure have emerged on Enenews.com, where a report explains that a once-intact wall is now essentially "missing" and that further degradation of the structure could lead to mass evacuations in Japan (http://enenews.com/report-confirmed...);

Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/034395_Fukushima_cesium_radiation.html#ixzz1gPTpYpyS[/quote]

What has hit the mainstream media, however, is a report entitled Impacts of the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plants on Marine Radioactivity, authored by Ken Buesseler, Michio Aoyama, and Masao Fukasawa (http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021...);.

This report, published in Environmental Science & Technology, reveals that levels of radioactive cesium reached 50 million times normal levels in the ocean water off the coast of the Fukushima Dai-ichi facility. Even more concerning, the abstract of this paper concludes, "...the concentrations through the end of July remain higher than expected implying continued releases from the reactors or other contaminated sources, such as groundwater or coastal sediments."


Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/034395_Fukushima_cesium_radiation.html#ixzz1gPUAU9G8[/quote]

Another important development now surfacing is that TEPCO has finally admitted that alarming quantities of radioactive strontium (which has roughly a 30-year half life) have leaked into the ocean -- and that the leaks are ongoing!

According to TEPCO, which has repeatedly and deliberately lied to the public in order to downplay any "bad news" about radiological leaks, "26 billion becquerels of radioactive materials" have leaked into the ocean due to the Fukushima accident. (http://www.japantoday.com/category/...);
[/qoute]

"This suggests that the releases have not ended, so that is of concern," said Ken Buesseler from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. "If the contaminants end up in the marine sediments / muds, then they will remain there for decades to come, and thus potentially be of concern for benthic biota and consumers of benthic fish/shell fish, i.e. any local filter feeders near the source waters at the coast." (http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/int...);

The worst may be yet to come

What's clear from all this is that:

• The Fukushima facility remains highly unstable and could dramatically worsen, especially if another earthquake or tsunami strikes the area and causes further degradation of the structural integrity of containment buildings which still house nuclear fuel rods.

• The Fukushima catastrophe is, without question, the most massive radiological disaster ever recorded in human history.

• The mainstream media has consistently (intentionally?) downplayed the severity of the Fukushima disaster, perhaps to try to calm fears by denying the true extent of the problem.

• TEPCO routinely and habitually lied about the status of Fukushima during the meltdown and in the days and weeks following that meltdown.


Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/034395_Fukushima_cesium_radiation.html#ixzz1gPUO5SSj[/quote]
happiegrrrl

Trad climber
www.climbaddictdesigns.com
Dec 13, 2011 - 11:17am PT
Having read Rachel Carson's "Under the Sea - Wind" and "The Sea Around Us," I can only imagine the impacts to marine life, which of course will filter up through birds and other animals(including human).

Earth will continue to evolve, and surely some species will along with it. Likely the quickly reproducing, since they can adapt. I have to wonder - if the old saying "The Meek Shall Inherit the Earth" refers to insects.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Dec 14, 2011 - 06:01am PT
I'm bumping this because it's very real for us on the West coast. This thing looks like its about to hugely fail and then the fallout blows right over here. What do do?

Be aware
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Dec 14, 2011 - 12:43pm PT
Karl,
While I agree this is a big ugly problem, it is what it is. I try to get information from sources on both ends and keep an open mind. Since I am a Nuclear plant worker, I have a different view than you. Like what are the facts about exposure? I know that American workers are not allowed over 5 rem per year. If you even get close, the company will lay you off rather than have you go over and get a big fine from the NRC. Oh yea, they can't hide your dose and niether can you. Did you know that workers in Japan have always been allowed 5 rem a day? YEA, A DAY!! I did not know this till yesterday. I got 1/3 of a rem. in one jump at a really dirty plant earlier this year and it really freaked me out. Because of the problem over there they have raised the limit to 25 rem per day! You would think they would be dropping like fly's but I guess they are not. I am thinking the cancer rates will incease for those workers but those guys have been getting really dosed for years. I wonder what thier worker cancer rates are compaired to ours? I get a lot of information fron nuclear worker web sites that you can Google. I wonder what the dose rates will be here from a worse case scenario over there? 1 rem=1000 mrem. 1 rem=.01 millisievert.
You can google rem. to sv. and check my figures. I am glad that our government is at least making an effort at keeping it's workers safe. You know, OSHA, The NRC, Cal OSHA, and others. I did read the links you posted but I read both sides and try to keep an open mind. We both seem to have a lot of free time right now. You are probably laying around still healing up while I am laying around waiting for a job call:-) Hope you are making a full recovery from the accident last spring.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Dec 14, 2011 - 02:45pm PT
I'm healing up pretty good, even done some guiding here and there, just not climbing at my limit. It's off season for me and so I waste too much time at the taco.

Here's the thing about my last post, this rem and this mild to moderate exposure is one thing, but when you have a stock full "spent" fuel pool in the upper level of a building that's crumbling and photo show one wall recently fell down, then a whole 'nother story may go down and release huge, huge amounts of radiation screwing part of Japan and potentially creating a nightmare for the west coast. Just a heads up on that.

Peace

Karl
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Dec 14, 2011 - 05:03pm PT
I am thinking from what I know about that type of plant is that it has already happened and that everything is already in the bottom like a big pool of molten lava, trying to burn it's way thru the bottom of the reactor vessel, then thru the bottom of the containment structure, then thru the ground. Would the problem be that if it did and then finally hit a bunch of water would it go off like a Volcano blasting a giant cloud of steam into the atmosphere? Is seawater made up of part hydrogen? When they tried to cool the reactor with seawater early in the game, is that what caused the explosion? I know they are screwed, but I wonder just how much dose we will actually get here on the coast? Will it just be steam, or will it be contaminated matter from a great explosion? More matter than from those two atomic bombs? Maybe we need a little input from people on the forum that understand this stuff. What would be the best course of action? Stockpile food and water and just stay inside for awhile? Seems like anything would be better than nothing. Just my thoughts sitting here today.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
Dec 14, 2011 - 08:12pm PT
Is seawater made up of part hydrogen?

Water is H2O.

http://web.engr.oregonstate.edu/~petersr/RadiolyticEnhancementLiterature/Water%20Decomposition%20Paper%203%20Vinson.pdf

Hydrogen can be generated from the radiolytic decomposition of water. Hydrogen generation has been studied quite a bit. You are right however, that a steam excursion is also possible. Sorry, but I don't know about the quantity of radiation that could be emitted.

For a non-political but technical perspective you can check out this site:

http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/2011/fukushimareport01.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Dec 15, 2011 - 01:51am PT
There's a seemingly balanced article about this in the New York Times today.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/15/world/asia/japan-set-to-declare-control-over-damaged-nuclear-reactors.html?hp

I go with the theory that for cultural reasons the Japanese government will do everything possible to smooth things over, regardless of the reality. Our only hope is if the International Atomic Energy Commission and other outside agencies try to keep them honest.
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Dec 22, 2011 - 01:09pm PT
Paging Ed H. or anyone with a knowledgeable background on nuclear power.

Expert on US, Canada: We’ll see a statistically meaningful increase in cancer from Fukushima on west coast — After Japan, the most radioactive area is Cascade Mountains — Portland had cesium at 100

Here’s the link:
http://youtu.be/4spUp_LzEPM

It’s a long video, but I spent more time in my hometown of Portland last year than I had in the prior 25 years and ran more road miles last year than I had in since my high school track days. Did I just F myself?

I’m no expert on the nuclear industry (and I do harbor a deep distrust of that technology) and I try to keep that in mind when I come across unsubstantiated claims on Youtube.

So does Arnie Gunderson have any credibility? Do his views, claims, and expertise have any merit?
mynameismud

climber
backseat
Dec 22, 2011 - 01:23pm PT
I think it is like smoking. May or may not be an issue. There is no way to prove empirically that you will or will not have any issues at some time in the future that can be directly linked to this event.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Dec 22, 2011 - 01:39pm PT
it's hard to know how to evaluate all of the risks to which we are being subjected

i just spent two weeks between portland, hood river, and richland wa; visiting relatives

and will probably be spending even more time there teaching computer science at WSU Tricities

my uncle worked most of his life as a senior nuclear engineering manager at Hanford and just had his 91st birthday in Richland and is still smarter than most, and very pessimistic about the future of the economy

one of his sons has also spent his entire career at the Hanford plant and another on nuclear submarines

i tend to be more worried about pesticide/herbicide poisons in our food supply, and do my best to obtain clean food

i think the best we can do is stay healthy and prepare for hard times
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Dec 22, 2011 - 10:33pm PT
the effects of high radiation dose levels are well understood. low levels, not so much. there is a lot of disagreement among those who are considered experts at such thing.

however, if you are worried about living in the west coast or even visiting, then you dont have a clue about risk assessment. driving is more hazardous to your health than the radiation from japan. or just check out the thread on formula might make you gay. so many unknowns in this life....
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Dec 29, 2011 - 04:58pm PT
xenon precluded start-up!!! Anyone not a Nuc-power insider has probably never heard this term. Xenon 135.

The inability of a reactor to be restarted due to the effects of 135Xe is sometimes referred to as xenon precluded start-up, and the reactor is said to be "poisoned out"[4]. The period of time where the reactor is unable to override the effects of 135Xe is called the xenon dead time.

Says loss of control is a real possibility if restart is attempted too soon and/or clumsily.

Failing to manage this xenon transient properly caused the Chernobyl reactor power to overshoot ~100x normal causing a steam explosion
-and resultant disaster-

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xenon-135

So after a SCRAM you can't just pull the rods back out and expect to start boiling water and generate electricity. They are vague about how much time the fuel bundles are 'poisoned out'. Hours for a typical land based N power plant.

For N subs its desirable not to sink past crush depth after a SCRAM so the reactor crews have a white knuckle incentive to finesse the dangerous
restart in a core with wildly changing neutron / reactor poison ratios.

!

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jan 2, 2012 - 03:04pm PT
Per David J. Atkinson quoting a Japanese senator:
男は原発、女は性風俗”--, in other words, “When a man has to survive doing something, it’s the nuclear industry; for a woman, it’s the sex industry.”
....When asked what were the major differences between the Yakuza and TEPCO the same senator paused for a minute. “The primary difference between TEPCO and the Yakuza is they have different corporate logos.”
The Yakuza has been involved in kidnapping people to serve as workers at the Fukushima-Daichi plant.
Bottom line: business as usual -- corrupt!

http://ex-skf.blogspot.com/

Monday, January 2, 2012
#Fukushima Reactor 4 Skimmer Surge Tank Latest: Earthquake Caused the Water to Go from SFP to Reactor Well Instead, Says TEPCO

TEPCO admits the January 1, 2012 earthquake caused it, and no it wasn't a leak but the water from the Spent Fuel Pool went the other way to the Reactor Well, instead of going to the Skimmer Surge Tank.

(For the last announcement from TEPCO, see my post here.)

I started reading the Mainichi Shinbun article, but it was very short on details, and knowing TEPCO couldn't have held a press conference on January 2 I went to look for TEPCO's own words somewhere. It was in the handout for the press on January 2, 2012.

The handout is in Japanese only for now, so the following is my translation. It was clearly written over time as new information came in. (I will put up the English reference handout when TEPCO issues one.)

1月1日午後5時30 分頃、4号機使用済燃料プールのスキマサージタンク*1の水位が午後2時から午後5時までの3時間で約240mm 低下していることを確認(これまでの運転実績では3時間で約50mm 程度の低下)。その後、現場確認を行った結果、4号機原子炉建屋外廻りおよび同号機使用済燃料プール代替冷却システムの一次系配管接続部や設置エリア等に、漏えいは確認されなかった。

At 5:30PM on January 1, it was observed that the water level of the Skimmer Surge Tank of the Spent Fuel Pool of Reactor 4 dropped by 240 millimeters during the 3 hours from 2PM to 5PM (while the normal decline is 50 millimeters in 3 hours). Later we surveyed the facilities, but found no leak outside the reactor building, at the pipe joints of the SFP cooling system or at the location where the cooling system was installed.

なお、1月1日午後5時現在の4号機使用済燃料プール水の温度は23℃(1月2日午前5時現在22℃)であり、現在も使用済燃料プール代替冷却システムは運転しているため、同プールの冷却に問題はない。また、使用済燃料プールの水位も維持されており問題はないものの、スキマサージタンクの水位低下は継続しているため、1月1日午後10 時27 分から同日午後11 時13 分にかけてスキマサージタンクの水張りを実施。現在のスキマサージタンク水位低下は1時間あたり約90mm で継続中であり、スキマサージタンクの水位確認を3時間に1回から1時間に1回に強化する等の監視強化を継続。なお、現時点では建屋外への漏えいは確認されておらず、建屋内の滞留水の水位にも顕著な変化は確認されていない。

As of 5PM on January 1, the temperature of the water in the Reactor 4 SFP was 23 degrees Celsius (as of 5AM on January 2 it was 22 degrees Celsius). The SFP cooling system is in operation and there is no problem in cooling the pool. While the water level in the SFP remained the same, the water level in the Skimmer Surge Tank continued to drop. From 10:27PM to 11:13PM on January 1, we filled the water in the Skimmer Surge Tank. Currently the water level is declining at about 90 millimeters per hour. We are monitoring the water level every hour instead of every 3 hours. As of now there is no leak outside the building, and there is no noticeable change in the water level of the contaminated water inside the [reactor] building.

その後の調査により、スキマサージタンクの水位低下に相当する減少量と原子炉ウェル*2の水位上昇に相当する増加量がほぼ同等であること、および原子炉ウェル水位が使用済燃料プール水位より低いことを確認。これらのことから、1月1日午後2時30 分頃に発生した地震の影響で原子炉ウェルと使用済燃料プール間のゲートの隙間の状態が変化し、使用済燃料プールから原子炉ウェル側への水の流入量が増加したことにより、使用済燃料プールからスキマサージタンクへのオーバーフロー量が低下し、スキマサージタンクの水位低下が通常よりも多くなったことが原因であると推定。

Later inspection revealed that the amount of water decreased in the Skimmer Surge Tank was about the same as the amount of water increased in the Reactor Well, and that the water level in the Reactor Well was lower than that in the SFP. Therefore, our hypothesis is that: the earthquake on January 1 at 2:30PM tweaked the space in the gate between the Reactor Well and the SFP; water flowed from the SFP to the Reactor Well, and the overflow water to the Skimmer Surge Tank decreased, causing the water level of the Skimmer Surge Tank to decrease more than normal.

原子炉ウェルと使用済燃料プールの水位差を低減させるため、1月2日午前11 時50 分から午前11 時59 分にかけて原子炉ウェルへの水張りを実施したところ、午後4時現在、スキマサージタンクの水位低下は確認されていない。今後も引き続きスキマサージタンク水位の監視を実施予定。

In order to decrease the difference in the water levels between the Reactor Well and the Spent Fuel Pool, water was poured into the Reactor Well from 11:50AM to 11:59AM on January 2. As of 4PM, there is no decrease in the water level in the Skimmer Surge Tank observed. We will continue to monitor the water level in the Skimmer Surge Tank.

*1 使用済燃料プールからオーバーフローした水を受けるため設置されているタンク。使用済燃料プールの水は、通常、燃料集合体の冷却および水の不純物を取り除くため、スキマサージタンクへオーバーフローさせ、熱交換器およびフィルタを通した後、再び使用済燃料プールへ戻している。

Skimmer surge tank is a tank set up to collect the overflow from the Spent Fuel Pool. In order to cool the spent fuel bundles and to remove impurities from the water, the water in the Spent Fuel Pool is overflowed into the skimmer surge tank, and goes through the heat exchanger and the filter before it goes back into the Spent Fuel Pool.

*2 原子炉ウェルは、原子炉圧力容器および原子炉格納容器の蓋を収納している空間で、定期検査中はこの空間を満水状態にし、燃料交換などを行う。

The Reactor Well is a space to store the Reactor Pressure Vessel and the Containment Vessel Lid. During the regular maintenance [which Reactor 4 was undergoing at the time of the accident], this space is filled with water to conduct work such as exchanging the nuclear fuel.
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Jan 2, 2012 - 03:20pm PT
Interesting read. -

Researcher links the fallout from nuclear tests for a startling drop in SAT scores 18 years later i.e. babies still inside mothers were developmentally
affected by fallout if he is correct.

http://ratical.org/radiation/SecretFallout/SFchp16.html


Several measures of brain function, mental ability and scholastic
achievement demonstrate that the irradiated children suffered impairment.
**These findings are consistent with and extend previous findings of
suggestive brain damage from radiation.**


TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jan 2, 2012 - 04:23pm PT
A Japanese Senator with the Liberal Democratic Party stated on background, "TEPCO's involvement with anti-social forces and their inability to filter them out of the work-place is a national security issue. It is one reason that increasingly in the Diet we are talking de facto nationalization of the company. Nuclear energy shouldn't be in the hands of the yakuza. They're gamblers and an intelligent person doesn't want them to have atomic dice to play with."
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Jan 2, 2012 - 07:27pm PT
Dicey situation in that spent fuel pool as one wall of that building was already falling on it's own before any earthquake. Got kind of a bad feeling about it, hope I'm wrong

I actually flew out of Tokyo 2.5 hours before the Earthquake hit. Said a little prayer for Fukashima as the plane climbed and left Japan for Thailand

Peace

Karl
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Jan 6, 2012 - 02:50pm PT
Dash Cam tsunami video. Car floats away into swirling chaos. Driver survives by staying inside vehicle and riding it out!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eUdGfplrbKU&feature=youtu.be

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Feb 2, 2012 - 02:14am PT
Nuclear fallout related.

Time-Lapse World Map showing Every Nuclear Explosion Since 1945

(a ding sounds as each bomb goes off. Bigger bombs get louder dings.)


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLCF7vPanrY
morphus

Mountain climber
Angleland
Feb 2, 2012 - 09:39am PT
has this one been posted yet?

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=dd3_1327789981
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 9, 2012 - 01:37am PT
Before and after shots...

http://framework.latimes.com/2012/03/08/before-and-after-japan-tsunami-cleanup/#/0
BooYah

Social climber
Ely, Nv
Mar 9, 2012 - 01:41am PT
Our "World" is built upon shakey sticks on top of a House of Cards.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 9, 2012 - 06:46am PT
Newly released Japanese cabinet minutes reveal that the cabinet was concerned
about a meltdown within an hour of the tsunami but it took them a month to
admit that it probably happened.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 11, 2012 - 12:59am PT
The sirens just went off here to announce the beginning of a minute of silence
for all the victims.Tonight thousands of paper lanterns with candles will be sent down
the rivers and out to sea, to console the spirits of the dead.

The sky is gray and its raining which seems appropriate weather for the day.
splitter

Trad climber
Hodad surfing the galactic plane
Mar 11, 2012 - 01:28am PT
Wow, somber moment/anniversary of rememberance indeed!
corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Mar 11, 2012 - 01:45am PT
Yes very somber. The US west coast is next.
-------------------------------------



Grant our brothers and sisters in Japan, O Lord, a steady hand and watchful eye. Please let the beauty of your Earth return to Japan and lead all of her children back into safety.
Amen.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Mar 11, 2012 - 05:33am PT
hey there say, jan.... oh my, i just saw this...


as to your quote:

The sirens just went off here to announce the beginning of a minute of silence
for all the victims.Tonight thousands of paper lanterns with candles will be sent down
the rivers and out to sea, to console the spirits of the dead.

The sky is gray and its raining which seems appropriate weather for the day.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 26, 2012 - 02:37am PT
http://news.yahoo.com/japan-down-one-nuclear-reactor-shutdown-043121632.html

Japan has been left with only one working nuclear reactor after Tokyo Electric Power Co. shuttered its final generator for scheduled safety checks.

The vast utility's entire stock of 17 reactors are now idle, including three units that suffered a meltdown when the tsunami hit Fukushima, as Japan warily eyes a spike in electricity demand over the hot and humid summer.

Only one of Japan's 54 units -- in northernmost Hokkaido -- is still working, and that is scheduled to be shut down for maintenance work in May.

The No. 6 unit at Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO)'s Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant "stopped generating electricity at 23:59 Sunday, and its reactor was suspended at 1:46 Monday," TEPCO spokesman Osamu Yokokura told AFP.

The No. 6 unit is expected to undergo checks for several months, "but it depends on the result of checks and if we find some defects it may take more time to fix them," Yokokura said.

Japan's formerly-trusted nuclear power industry lost public confidence when the tsunami of last March knocked out cooling systems at Fukushima, sending three reactors into meltdowns.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Mar 26, 2012 - 03:03am PT
Was just today at a bake sale held here in Portland by our friend Kurumi and others from Fukushima Perfecture. They've been raising money to buy pairs of radiation monitors / pressure washers for villages around Koriyama City where many families have been unable to leave and need help and guidance to identify hotspots and to clean up their homes and properties to the degree possible.
splitter

Trad climber
Hodad surfing the galactic plane
Mar 26, 2012 - 03:34am PT
^^^Fukushima ghost ship!^^^

edit: Yea, I know. I just meant that it would look like a ghost ship if you encountered it slowly appearing/drifting out of the fog somewhere in the middle of the Pacific...Yikes!!
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Mar 26, 2012 - 11:07am PT
Hmmm, when I kayaked the west coast of Vancouver Island in '75 I don't recall
that the Japanese government asked for the return of the garbage dumped by
their huge fishing fleet offshore. I particularly recall the many empty plastic
oil containers and the 2 litre glass sake bottles that were able to survive
their rocky landings.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Mar 26, 2012 - 12:41pm PT
I can't decide if this NHK report is good or bad?

Tokyo Electric Power Company says it has found that the cooling water in one of the damaged reactors at Fukushima is only 60 centimeters deep, far lower than previously thought.

The utility confirmed the water level by inserting an endoscope into the No.2 reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant on Monday.



TEPCO had thought that the water level was about 3 meters. It has been injecting nearly 9 tons of water per hour into the reactor to cool the melted fuel that has fallen to the bottom of the containment vessel.

But the shallow level indicates that the water continues to leak into the reactor building through the suppression chambers under the vessel.



The utility argues that the fuel is still being cooled, as the water temperature remains at around 48 degrees Celsius.

But the low level suggests that decommissioning the reactor could be much more difficult. The operator may need to repair more parts of the containment vessel so it can be filled with water to block the strong radiation.

The No. 2 reactor's containment vessel is believed to have been damaged on March 15th with the sudden loss of pressure inside the reactor.



Monday's survey was the second look inside the No.2 reactor since January. During the first survey, an endoscope was unable to confirm the water level in the containment vessel. This time, TEPCO used a scope that is 10 meters longer.

Monday, March 26, 2012 21:40 +0900 (JST)
Bargainhunter

climber
May 27, 2012 - 02:33am PT
from the NY Times today

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/27/world/asia/concerns-grow-about-spent-fuel-rods-at-damaged-nuclear-plant-in-japan.html?_r=1&hpw

"May 26, 2012
Spent Fuel Rods Drive Growing Fear Over Plant in Japan
By HIROKO TABUCHI and MATTHEW L. WALD
TOKYO — What passes for normal at the Fukushima Daiichi plant today would have caused shudders among even the most sanguine of experts before an earthquake and tsunami set off the world’s second most serious nuclear crisis after Chernobyl.

Fourteen months after the accident, a pool brimming with used fuel rods and filled with vast quantities of radioactive cesium still sits on the top floor of a heavily damaged reactor building, covered only with plastic.

The public’s fears about the pool have grown in recent months as some scientists have warned that it has the most potential for setting off a new catastrophe, now that the three nuclear reactors that suffered meltdowns are in a more stable state, and as frequent quakes continue to rattle the region.

The worries picked up new traction in recent days after the operator of the plant, Tokyo Electric Power Company, or Tepco, said it had found a slight bulge in one of the walls of the reactor building, stoking fears over the building’s safety.

To try to quell such worries, the government sent the environment and nuclear minister to the plant on Saturday, where he climbed a makeshift staircase in protective garb to look at the structure supporting the pool, which he said appeared sound. The minister, Goshi Hosono, added that although the government accepted Tepco’s assurances that reinforcement work had shored up the building, it ordered the company to conduct further studies because of the bulge.

Some outside experts have also worked to allay fears, saying that the fuel in the pool is now so old that it cannot generate enough heat to start the kind of accident that would allow radioactive material to escape.

But many Japanese scoff at those assurances and point out that even if the building is strong enough, which they question, the jury-rigged cooling system for the pool has already malfunctioned several times, including a 24-hour failure in April. Had the outages continued, they would have left the rods at risk of dangerous overheating. Government critics are especially concerned, since Tepco has said the soonest it could begin emptying the pool is late 2013, dashing hopes for earlier action.

“The No. 4 reactor is visibly damaged and in a fragile state, down to the floor that holds the spent fuel pool,” said Hiroaki Koide, an assistant professor at Kyoto University’s Research Reactor Institute and one of the experts raising concerns. “Any radioactive release could be huge and go directly into the environment.”

Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon, expressed similar concerns during a trip to Japan last month.

The fears over the pool at Reactor No. 4 are helping to undermine assurances by Tepco and the Japanese government that the Fukushima plant has been stabilized, and are highlighting how complicated the cleanup of the site, expected to take decades, will be. The concerns are also raising questions about whether Japan’s all-out effort to convince its citizens that nuclear power is safe kept the authorities from exploring other — and some say safer — options for storing used fuel rods.

“It was taboo to raise questions about the spent fuel that was piling up,” said Hideo Kimura, who worked as a nuclear fuel engineer at the Fukushima Daiichi plant in the 1990s. “But it was clear that there was nowhere for the spent fuel to go.”

The worst-case situations for Reactor No. 4 would be for the pool to run dry if there is another problem with the cooling system and the rods catch fire, releasing enormous amounts of radioactive material, or for fission to restart if the metal panels that separate the rods are knocked over in a quake. That would be especially bad because the pool, unlike reactors, lacks containment vessels to hold in radioactive materials. (Even the roof that used to exist would be no match if the rods caught fire, for instance.)

There is considerable disagreement among scientists over whether such catastrophes are possible. But some argue that whether the chances are small or large, changes should be made quickly because of the magnitude of the potential calamity.

Senator Wyden, whose state could lie in the path of any new radioactive plumes and who has studied nuclear waste issues, is among those pushing for faster action. After his recent visit to the ravaged plant, he said the pool at No. 4 poses “an extraordinary and continuing risk” and the retrieval of spent fuel “should be a priority, given the possibility of further earthquakes.”

Attention has focused on No. 4’s spent fuel pool because of the large number of assemblies filled with rods that are stored at that reactor building. Three other reactor buildings at the site are also badly damaged, but their pools hold fewer used assemblies.

According to Tepco, the pool at the No. 4 reactor, which was not operating at the time of the accident, holds 1,331 spent fuel assemblies, which each contain dozens of rods. Several thousand rods were removed from the core just three months before so the vessel could be inspected. Those rods, which were not fully used up, could more easily support chain reactions than the fully spent fuel.

While Mr. Koide and others warn that Tepco must move more quickly to transfer the fuel rods to a safer location, such transfers have been greatly complicated by the nuclear accident. Ordinarily the rods are lifted by giant cranes, but at Fukushima those cranes collapsed during the series of disasters that started with the earthquake and included explosions that destroyed portions of several reactor buildings.

Tepco has said it will need to build a separate structure next to Reactor No. 4 to support a new crane.

The presence of so many spent fuel rods at Fukushima Daiichi highlights a quandary facing the global nuclear industry: how to safely store — and eventually recycle or dispose of — spent nuclear fuel, which stays radioactive for tens of thousands of years.

In the 1960s and 1970s, recycling for reuse in plants seemed the most promising option to countries with civilian nuclear power programs. And as Japan expanded its collection of nuclear reactors, local communities were told not to worry about the spent fuel, which would be recycled.

The idea of recycling fell out of favor in some countries, including the United States, which dropped the idea because it is a potential path to nuclear weapons. Japan stuck to its nuclear fuel cycle goal, however, despite leaks and delays at a vast reprocessing plant in the north, leading utilities to store a growing stockpile of spent fuel.

As early as the 1980s, researchers, including those at the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission, started warning of the risks of storing growing amounts of nuclear fuel in pools. The United States has since concluded that densely packed pools are safe enough, but Tepco says that it never even specifically studied the risks posed by the pools.

“Japan did not want to admit that the nuclear fuel cycle might be a failed policy, and did not think seriously about a safer, more permanent way to store spent fuel,” said Tadahiro Katsuta, an associate professor of nuclear science at Tokyo’s Meiji University.

The capacity problem was particularly pronounced at Fukushima Daiichi, which is among Japan’s oldest plants and where the oldest fuel assemblies have been stored in pools since 1973.

Eventually, the plant built an extra fuel rod pool, despite suspicions among residents that increasing capacity at the plant would mean the rods would be stored at the site far longer than promised. (They were right.)

Tepco also wanted to transfer some of the rods to sealed casks, but the community was convinced that it was a stalling tactic, and the company loaded only a limited number of casks there.

The casks, as it turns out, were the better choice. They survived the disaster unscathed.

Hiroko Tabuchi reported from Tokyo, and Matthew L. Wald from Washington."
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
May 27, 2012 - 07:40am PT
We contributed to two PDX efforts raising money to buy imaging Geiger counters for local monitoring groups in the affected areas so they don't have to depend on the government. The family we met while they were hosted here last summer to give the kids a break have finally moved away to western Japan despite heavy family pressure to stick it out. But fear and prejudices are still rampant and they can't let anyone know where they are from. Definitely a case of feudal culture and technology not mixing well at all on a societal level.
mouse from merced

Trad climber
merced, california
May 27, 2012 - 09:38am PT
It's awful to see the old culture get whanged over the head, metaphorically, by a disaster out of sci-fi, basically. The nuclear proliferation in Japan is such an ill-conceived way for an island nation to produce energy that I snort every time I think of the irony of how the nuclear age began in that island.
People buy into government garbage only because they have no real concept of the truly monumental changes "modernization" and "economy" bring to the table. When the smoke's cleared, the scope of the disaster will be so much wider than just Japan, too. But will others learn from history? I'm skeptical not enough will to thwart the schemes of men with a lust for yen.

healje, so far as the feudal society goes, you always got cher plebes, and then you got cher nobles: they never mix.

Not bad for 6 a.m., eh?

Bargainhunter, the Factory Outlet salutes your effort in producing that report. Domo, suckah.
Reeotch

Trad climber
4 Corners Area
May 27, 2012 - 10:05am PT
Why do they insist on calling this the "second" worst nuclear disaster? It is not even close to contained yet. It is an ongoing disaster which continues to leak radiation into the environment.

But don't worry the EPA is watching out for us:

The EPA maintains a set of so-called "Protective Action Guides" (PAGs). These PAGs are being quickly revised to radically increase the allowable levels of iodine-131 (a radioactive isotope) to anywhere from 3,000 to 100,000 times the currently allowable levels.

The group Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility (PEER) is all over this issue, having obtained internal emails from a FOIA requests that reveal some truly shocking revelations of the level of back-stabbing betrayal happening inside the EPA. For example, under the newly-revised PAGs, drinking just one glass of water considered "safe" by the EPA could subject you to the lifetime limit of radiation. (http://www.peer.org/news/news_id.php?row_id=1325);

"In addition," PEER goes on to say, "it would allow long-term cleanup limits thousands of times more lax than anything EPA has ever before accepted. These new limits would cause a cancer in as much as every fourth person exposed."


Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/031963_radiation_exposure.html#ixzz1w4v5RMYm[/quote]

The canadian government is looking out for us, too! What you don't know can't hurt you, right?

Ah, the fascination of watching this tragic comedy of errors unfold in the U.S. government almost cannot be exceeded. But Canada is sure trying. Its own nuclear monitoring network has simply been shut off, and its website now reads "Please note that as of March 25, 2011, the frequency of data collection by NRCan using the mobile surveys has been decreased due to the low levels of radiation being detected."

Seriously, see the bottom of the page: http://www.hc-sc.gc.ca/hc-ps/ed-ud/respond/nuclea/_data/nrcan-rncan-e...

Yep, since they're detecting low levels of radiation, this is apparently justification for turning off the monitors altogether, which of course is the kind of brilliant early warning plan that could have only been dreamed up by a brain-dead bureaucrat. It's as if these morons are sitting around a table having a conversation that goes something like this:

Bureaucratic Moron #1: Remember how we spent a hundred million dollars installing a national network of radiation detectors?

Bureaucratic Moron #2: Yeah.

Bureaucratic Moron #1: And remember how we started to detect some of the radioactive fallout from Fukushima as it began raining down upon Canada?

Bureaucratic Moron #2: Yeah.

Bureaucratic Moron #1: Well, I have a great idea. Let's turn OFF all the detectors so that we stop detecting radiation!

Bureaucratic Moron #2: That's brilliant! You're a genius!

Bureaucratic Moron #1: I know I am. And we wouldn't want to waste this expensive equipment, you know.

Bureaucratic Moron #2: Right, we want to save it for a scenario when we might really need it, eh?

Bureaucratic Moron #1: Exactly! And we'll save millions of dollars in operating fees, because the best way to save money on radiation detectors is to not use them.

Bureaucratic Moron #2: You're a genius! You should run for Prime Minister!

Link: http://www.naturalnews.com/031963_radiation_exposure.html
new world order-

climber
May 27, 2012 - 10:22am PT
When was the last time you even heard the media covering this catastrophe?

Funny, most people actually believe what news mainstream media shares with us is the whole truth.

Dr Helen Caldicott - Fukushima Nuclear Disaster ~ The Final Epitaph for News Media
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H4dJ0XqmMMs&feature=player_embedded
mouse from merced

Trad climber
merced, california
May 27, 2012 - 10:46am PT
PACs
PAGs

"Letters, we get letters, we get stacks and stacks of letters," from our governments.

All to spell out their BS.

Eff em.
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
May 27, 2012 - 11:31am PT
Talks in progress with Russia to develop plans for evacuating 30 million people from Tokyo to the Kuril Islands. "Worst case scenario" they call it. Like if Fuku #4 building - with its 1000 plus spent (and not so spent) rods stored in a leaking tank on the third floor of a damaged building - finally collapses.

Info all over the alternative press - but largely ignored by the corporate media. Your mileage may very.

here is one report

http://tinyurl.com/73nwank

do tin foil hats work for radiation?
I am only hoping Klimmer's ark will fly in at the last minute and save us all from our own stupidity and greed.
philo

Trad climber
Somewhere halfway over the rainbow
May 27, 2012 - 11:47am PT
I can't decide if this NHK report is good or bad?
Sounds bad to me.

That is why I brought up the subject of Thorium reactors in the thread to Ed,
There HAS to be a better way.
Kalimon

Trad climber
Ridgway, CO
May 27, 2012 - 01:34pm PT
F*#king YIKES!
Klimmer

Mountain climber
San Diego
May 27, 2012 - 02:46pm PT
Thanks everyone for the updates. Not good news at all.

That video is very sobering.

Mankind is our own worst enemy. We brought this on ourselves. We are so belligerent and stubborn.

We could have developed clean renewable energy resources like using our Sun, doing fusion safely 93 million miles away. But no. You can't put a meter on the Sun and make outlandish and unbelievably immoral profits. The elite wouldn't have the corruptable power they have today. That just wouldn't do. They wouldn't be able to keep their totaliterian boot firmly planted over the throat of mankind.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
May 28, 2012 - 10:54pm PT
there goes the sushi... http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/47592012/ns/us_news-environment/
splitter

Trad climber
Hodad, surfing the galactic plane
May 28, 2012 - 11:05pm PT
Damn, I fish and spend time in the ocean as many times a week as time permits. I will keep an eye out for deformed fish...but, in the mean time, this new/old news won't slow me down. It could become a very serious matter though. Thanks for sharing with us Studly. I have been following this on an almost daily basis on another site and it doesn't look good according to them...dire in fact!!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 28, 2012 - 11:39pm PT
Bluefin tuna from Fukushima that swam to California have been found with 10
times the normal amount of radiation compared to eastern Pacific tuna. It's
figured they were only exposed for a month before they made their migration.
Soon other tuna will show up who wer exposed for many months.

However, some good news may come of this in that it may cause people to
stop fishing for them for awhile and give their stocks time to recover.


http://news.yahoo.com/radioactive-bluefin-tuna-crossed-pacific-us-190121826.html
hashbro

Trad climber
Mental Physics........
May 29, 2012 - 01:56am PT
The Fukushima radiation will no doubt (an addition to other sources) bioaccumulate throughout the ocean and then the terrestrial food chain, causing unknown mutations, cancers and hopefully human (and unfortunately wildlife) dieback.
splitter

Trad climber
Hodad, surfing the galactic plane
May 29, 2012 - 04:20am PT
Jan,

Wow, that is scary(bluefin tuna)! We get the yellow fin tuna running here in SoCal primarily...but that doesn't mean they will be a whole lot safer sometime down the line. They do have yellow fin in Japan, not sure if they also migrate this way. I mainly hook(if i'm lucky)halibut, yellow fin, bonita, barracuda, rockfish and an occasional sand shark, etc. along with mackrel and squid that i use for bait(squid can be fairly tasty if prepared right, though)! I don't believe any of those migrate in large schools via Japan, but i could be wrong and will have to look into the total picture. Thanks for sharing!!
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
May 29, 2012 - 06:21am PT
There's about to be a shitload of Pacific tuna labeled 'Atlantic tuna'...
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
May 29, 2012 - 11:15am PT
Smartphone with radiation detector announced

For consumers worried about nuclear hotspots after the Fukushima crisis, a personal Geiger counter could soon be as close as your cell phone. Major Japanese phone carrier Softbank is releasing a smartphone this summer with a built-in radiation detector.

The company says a simple touch of the screen lets users measure the radiation around them in about 2 minutes.

Users will be able to save the readings and also keep track of location data.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/20120529_36.html
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
May 29, 2012 - 05:29pm PT
Urgent Requests for UN Intervention with Fukushima.
On May 1, 2012, nuclear experts and former diplomats issued an “Urgent Request” for UN intervention to stabilize the Fukushima nuclear power plant Unit 4's highly radioactive spent fuel contained in water about 100 feet above the nuclear reactor. U. S. Senator Roy Wyden (Oregon-D) visited Fukushima on April 6, 2012, and issued an April 16, press release describing Unit 4 as a “catastrophic risk.” As of May 2, Japan's Health Ministry reported that radioactive Cesium-137 has been “detected in 51 food products from nine prefectures in excess of a new government-set limit introduced April 1.” [ See Fukushima Update.]

“Nearly all of the 10,893 spent fuel assemblies at the Fukushima Daiichi
nuclear power plant sit in pools of water vulnerable to future earthquakes,
with roughly 85 times more long-lived Cesium-137 radioactivity
than released in the Chernobyl disaster.”

 Excerpt from May 1, 2012, urgent requests sent to
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and Japan Prime Minister Noda

Japan is now burning combined radioactive and non-radioactive
debris through 2012 to 2014. What are the implications for increased
radiation in soil, water, plants and food supplies? Nuclear engineer
Arnie Gundersen recently gathered his own soil samples in Tokyo
and reports the soil samples would be considered nuclear
waste in the U. S
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jun 14, 2012 - 05:39pm PT
The crisis in Japan has been described as "a nuclear war without a war". In the words of renowned novelist Haruki Murakami:

"This time no one dropped a bomb on us ... We set the stage, we committed the crime with our own hands, we are destroying our own lands, and we are destroying our own lives."

http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=28870
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Sep 6, 2012 - 12:37am PT
so we have over a year of radioactive materials raining down on NW US forests, and now we have major forest fires burning all around northern California, filling the air with smoke

wondering about the radioactive content of that smoke
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Sep 6, 2012 - 12:46am PT
It is ironic about wind patterns. That I can live in Okinawa a couple thousand miles away and have no worries about radiation yet in America, 8,000 miles away, you are getting all the radiation remnants and the tsunami debris thanks to winds and ocean currents determined by the spin of the earth.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Sep 6, 2012 - 02:54am PT
so we have over a year of radioactive materials raining down on NW US forests, and now we have major forest fires burning all around northern California, filling the air with smoke

Overall radiation deposition in Oregon is being monitored pretty closely on an ongoing basis by USGS, state, and PDX agencies as well as some private groups and labs. So far, in milk from NW dairy cows, the fukushima-sourced levels haven't come close to the typical levels of the radiation from the potassium noramlly in the milk. I think most folks in the PNW are concerned about the ongoing accumulation of Fukushima radiation, but as radiation risks go here in the PDX it somewhat pales in comparison to the very real risks of aging Hanford storage tanks contaminating the Columbia River. Regardless, between Hanford issues and the number of 'downwinders' up this way there is no shortage of folks paying attention to the issue here locally.

Tony Bird

climber
Northridge, CA
Sep 6, 2012 - 08:50am PT
people i know in alaska tell me that the local fish are checked with geiger counters. they don't rely on the state to do it for them, they do it themselves. so far, so good, i guess, but i've also heard that a common geiger counter will only pick up on a portion of the harmful radiation produced by the fukushima event. anyone know about that?
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Sep 6, 2012 - 11:48am PT
my 93 yo uncle was a chief engineer at Hanford for many decades and in charge of disposing the contents of the tanks

i was part of a joint DOE/EPA project to review the tank sample management issues

my cousin is now a senior engineer at Hanford and handling the same issues with the Waste Isolation Plant

he tells me the most dangerous 'burp' tank 101SY has now been drained and processed

my uncle tells me the worst stuff is alpha emitting plutonium micro-particles that get ingested with air or food or water

he tells me a Geiger counter will not detect these in rain water, because the surface of the water in the droplet is able to block the alpha radiation...

so by the time you are able to detect contamination with a Geiger counter, it is too late for you

my post above is based on knowing this...

yesterday the smoke was so think in Mt Shasta town that you could not see the mountain
Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Sep 6, 2012 - 12:03pm PT
Tom, Plutonium is usually detected in the field through Am-241 gamma-ray detection as the two elements are produced together.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Sep 6, 2012 - 12:18pm PT
Here's another thing to worry about. I knew a guy years ago who worked for the Navy at Hunter's Point in San Francisco and he said they had disposed of barrels of radioactive waste inside of concrete casings only a few miles outside the Golden Gate Bridge and that it was only a matter of time before those leaked.
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Sep 7, 2012 - 11:53am PT
Published on the NHK website today.

US panel questions Fukushima preparedness

A US panel investigating last year's Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan has raised questions about contingency measures at the troubled plant.

The US National Academy of Sciences set up the panel in July. Officials of the plant's operator Tokyo Electric Power Company took part on Thursday.

The Japanese officials told the panel the March 11th tsunami was bigger than plant was designed to withstand. They also said company officials were not aware that a backup cooling system was not working after the loss of power sources.

A panel member asked why there had been no experts stationed at the plant who could advise on the emergency cooling system at the time of the accident.

A representative from a US industry group of nuclear plant operators criticized safety standards in Japan. The panel member said it is vital to prepare for any eventuality, and that Japan seemed to lack this concept.

The United States introduced new measures at nuclear plants after the September 11th terrorist attacks in 2001. It became mandatory for plants to have contingency manuals and additional backup power systems.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/20120907_11.html
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Sep 7, 2012 - 11:56am PT
Meanwhile, the cleanup of the non radioactive tsunami mess is going slowly as well.

Goshi Hosono told reporters on Friday that 4.4 million tons, or about 24.5 percent,
of debris from Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima prefectures had been incinerated, buried or
recycled as of the end of last month.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/20120907_23.html
crasic

climber
Sep 15, 2012 - 03:28am PT
Have we quarantined Chicago yet?

It has elevated levels of radiation due to natural uranium ore under ground!


Hint: radiation isn't the boogeyman we've been lead to believe it is.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Sep 30, 2012 - 08:47pm PT
From Jan Sacherer Turner

Another weekend, another super typhoon. That's two in two weeks. However, Typhoon Jelawat was the second strongest and most damaging typhoon in the 30 years I've been here. The winds weren't so high but it traveled right up the middle of the island south to north. We had winds at 130 going east to west for 12 hours then an hour of eerie calm as the eye passed over, then 12 more hours of the winds going west to east. One person dead and 145 injured. Over 200,000 without electricity including me, for 24 hours which is unheard of here. Down tree branches and debris everywhere.

Now it's nearing Tokyo and 600 flights have been cancelled, the Tokyo trains are shut down due to fallen trees, and tens of thousands have evacuated to higher ground to escape flooding from a foot and a half of rain.

Here's the cloud filled eye of the storm passing over the narrow island of Okinawa which is 7 miles wide and 60 miles long.

corniss chopper

climber
breaking the speed of gravity
Sep 30, 2012 - 09:55pm PT
If a typhoon had hit Santa Cruz we would have seen it.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Oct 3, 2012 - 07:32pm PT
http://theterramarproject.org/thedailycatch/russia-dumping-nuclear-subs-in-the-kara-sea/

This Is How Russia Disposes Of Its Dated Nuclear Submarines

Business Insider : By Leandro Oliva
The question of how to dispose of nuclear-powered equipment and irradiated waste has been a nagging companion for the world’s advanced navies for decades, and in the case of the former Soviet Union one of its solutions was evidently to sink it into the Arctic Ocean.

Information now provided to the Norwegian daily Aftenposten by Russia’s authorities catalogue “enormous quantities” of Soviet-era nuclear reactors and radioactive waste dumped into the Kara Sea over the course of decades, far worse than previously known, and which include the experimental K-27 submarine that was eventually scuttled in 1981 once repairs to its liquid metal nuclear power plant were deemed impossible to complete.

That scuttling operation was allegedly performed at a far shallower depth than the International Atomic Energy Authority’s guidelines of 3,000 meters, and although its two experimental VT-1 reactors were sealed to avoid radioactive pollution there are now questions as to the real danger of contamination. According to the Bellona Foundation, a Norway-based environmental NGO with a long history of involvement with the Soviet Union’s nuclear dumping grounds, information that the K-27’s reactors could re-achieve critical status was released during a seminar with Rosatom (Russia’s nuclear regulatory body) in February of this year.

Norway’s Minister of the Environment, Bård Vegar Solhjell, immediately played down any dangers revealed by the report, though Bellona itself believes that the gradual publication of information by Russia is intended as a quiet call for help in dealing with a huge (and expensive) issue. In addition to the K-27 submarine, officials confirmed to Aftenposten the existence of some 17 thousand containers of radioactive waste, 14 nuclear reactors (five with spent nuclear fuel) and 735 pieces of radioactively contaminated heavy machinery.

An editorial in Aftenposten mentions that as recently as 2006 Russia detected no leaks emanating from the K-27 submarine, and the country has assembled a commission to map the nuclear waste outlined in its report. Meanwhile, a Norwegian-Russian effort is set to begin charting nuclear waste in the Kara and Barents Sea, which was used as a radioactive dump by the Soviet Union into the early 1990s in violation
of the London Convention of 1972.

Exxon Mobile and Rosneft signed a deal in April of 2012 to jointly develop oil reserves in the Kara Sea, a prospect which may hold more than 37 billion barrels. According to Bellona’s Igor Kurdrik, Russia therefore has a vested interest in charting and cleaning up the area’s radioactive waste
before oil extraction begins.

Throughout its history with nuclear propelled submarines the Soviet Union’s Northern Fleet lost a total of four of its vessels, though with the exception of the K-27 all others were lost in maritime accidents.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Dec 28, 2012 - 06:07am PT
Funny this came up again, as I was just sending off some presents to the young Japanese girl I took climbing while she was here in PDX as part of the local Fukushima host family program in the immediate wake of the disaster. Her mother, with both young children in tow, relocated to Western Japan after much pressure on the father who, along with the in-laws, fought her leaving and stayed to try and salvage the extended family's orchard business which unfortunately just isn't going to be salvageable.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 10, 2013 - 03:53am PT


NARAHA, Japan (AP) — Two years after the triple calamities of earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster ravaged Japan's northeastern Pacific coast, debris containing asbestos, lead, PCBs — and perhaps most worrying — radioactive waste due to the crippled Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant looms as a threat for the region.

So far, disposal of debris from the disasters is turning out to have been anything but clean. Workers often lacking property oversight, training or proper equipment have dumped contaminated waste with scant regard for regulations or safety, as organized crime has infiltrated the cleanup process.

Researchers are only beginning to analyze environmental samples for potential health implications from the various toxins swirled in the petri dish of the disaster zone — including dioxins, benzene, cadmium and organic waste-related, said Shoji F. Nakayama of the government-affiliated National Institute for Environmental Studies.

Apart from some inflammatory reactions to some substances in the dust and debris, the longer-term health risks remain unclear, he said.

The mountains of rubble and piles of smashed cars and scooters scattered along the coast only hint at the scale of the debris removed so far from coastlines and river valleys stripped bare by the tsunami. To clear, sort and process the rubble — and a vastly larger amount of radiation-contaminated soil and other debris near the nuclear plant in Fukushima, the government is relying on big construction companies whose multi-layer subcontracting systems are infiltrated by criminal gangs, or yakuza.

In January, police arrested a senior member of Japan's second-largest yakuza group, Sumiyoshi Kai, on suspicion of illegally dispatching three contract workers to Date, a city in Fukushima struggling with relatively high radioactive contamination, through another construction company and pocketing one-third of their pay.

He told interrogators he came up with the plot to "make money out of clean-up projects" because the daily pay for such government projects, at 15,000-17,000 yen ($160-$180), was far higher than for other construction jobs, said police spokesman Hiraku Hasumi.

Gangsters have long been involved in industrial waste handling, and police say they suspect gangsters are systematically targeting reconstruction projects, swindling money from low-interest lending schemes for disaster-hit residents and illegally mobilizing construction and clean-up workers.

Meanwhile, workers complain of docked pay, unpaid hazard allowances — which should be 10,000 yen, or $110, a day — and of inadequate safety equipment and training for handling the hazardous waste they are clearing from towns, shores and forests after meltdowns of three nuclear plant reactor cores at Fukushima Dai-Ichi released radiation into the surrounding air, soil and ocean.

"We are only part of a widespread problem," said a 56-year-old cleanup worker, who asked to be identified only by his last name, Nakamura, out of fear of retaliation. "Everyone, from bureaucrats to construction giants to tattooed gangsters, is trying to prey on decontamination projects. And the government is looking the other way."

During a recent visit to Naraha, a deserted town of 8,000 that is now a weedy no-man's land within the 20-kilometer (12-mile) restricted zone around the crippled nuclear plant, workers wearing regular work clothes and surgical masks were scraping away topsoil, chopping tree branches and washing down roofs.

"They told me only how to cut grass, but nothing about radiation," said Munenori Kagaya, 59, who worked in the nearby town of Tomioka, which is off-limits due to high radiation.

Naraha's mayor, Yukiei Matsumoto, said that early on, he and other local officials were worried over improper handling of the 1.5 trillion yen ($16 billion) cleanup, but refrained from raising the issue, until public allegations of dozens of instances of mishandling of radioactive waste prompted an investigation by the Environment Ministry, which is handling decontamination of the 11 worst-affected towns and villages.

"I want them to remind them again what the cleanup is for," Matsumoto said in an interview. "Its purpose is to improve the environment so that people can safely return to live here. It's not just to meet a deadline and get it over with."

The ministry said it found only five questionable cases, though it acknowledged a need for better oversight. Another probe, by the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry found rampant labor violations — inadequate education and protection from radiation exposure, a lack of medical checks and unpaid salaries and hazard pay — at nearly half the cleanup operations in Fukushima.

About half of the 242 contractors involved were reprimanded for violations, the ministry said.

An Environment Ministry official in charge of decontamination said the government has little choice but to rely on big contractors, and to give them enough leeway to get the work done.

"We have to admit that only the major construction companies have the technology and manpower to do such large-scale government projects," said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, citing the sensitivity of the issue. "If cleanup projects are overseen too strictly, it will most likely cause further delays and labor shortages."

Minoru Hara, deputy manager at a temporary waste storage site in Naraha, defended the 3,000 workers doing the work — the only people allowed to stay in the town.

"Most of the cleanup workers are working sincerely and hard," Hara said. "They are doing a good job of washing down houses and cleaning up gardens. Such criticism is really unfair, and bad for morale."

Labor shortages, lax oversight and massive amounts of funds budgeted for the clean-up are a recipe for cheating. And plenty of money is at stake: the cleanup of a 20-kilometer (12-mile) segment of an expressway whose worst contamination exceeds allowable radiation limits by 10 times will cost 2.1 billion yen ($22.5 billion), said Yoshinari Yoshida, an Environment Ministry official.

"While decontamination is a must, the government is bearing the burden. We have to consider the cost factor," said deputy Environment Minister Shinji Inoue as he watched workers pressure wash the road's surface, a process Yoshida said was expected to reduce contamination by half.

The cleanup is bound to overrun its budget by several times, as delays deepen due to a lack of long-term storage options as opposition among local residents in many areas hardens. It will leave Fukushima, whose huge farm and fisheries industry has been walloped by radiation fears, with 31 million tons of nuclear waste or more. Around Naraha, huge temporary dumps of radioactive waste, many football fields in size and stacked two huge bags deep, are scattered around the disaster zone

The cleanups extend beyond Fukushima, to Iwate in the north and Chiba, which neighbors Tokyo, in the south. And the concerns are not limited to radiation. A walk through areas in Miyagi and Iwate that already were cleared of debris finds plenty of toxic detritus, such as batteries from cell phones, electrical wiring, plastic piping and gas canisters.

Japan has the technology to safely burn up most toxins at very high temperatures, with minimal emissions of PCBs, mercury and other poisons. But mounds of wood chips in a seaside processing area near Kesennuma were emitting smoke into the air one recent winter afternoon, possibly from spontaneous combustion.

Workers at that site had high-grade gas masks, an improvement from the early days, when many working in the disaster zone had only surgical masks, at most, to protect them from contaminated dust and smoke.

Overall, how well the debris and contaminants are being handled depends largely on the location.

Sendai, the biggest city in the region, sorted debris as it was collected and sealed the surfaces of areas used to store debris for processing to protect the groundwater, thanks to technical advice from its sister-city Kyoto, home to many experts who advised the government in its cleanup of the 1995 earthquake in the Kobe-Osaka area that killed more than 6,400 people.

But Ishinomaki, a city of more than 160,000, collected its debris first and is only gradually sorting and processing it, said the U.S.-educated Nakayama, who worked for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency before returning to Japan.

"There were no technical experts there for the waste management side," he said. "They did some good work with chemical monitoring but in total, risk assessment, risk management, unfortunately they did not have that expertise."

Ultimately, just as they are choosing to live with contamination from chemicals and other toxins, the authorities may have to reconsider their determination to completely clean up the radiation, given the effort's cost and limited effectiveness, experts say.

Regarding the nuclear accident, "there has been so much emphasis on decontamination that no other options were considered," said Hiroshi Suzuki, a professor emeritus at Tohoku University in Sendai and chairman of the Fukushima Prefectural Reconstruction Committee.

Some places, such as playgrounds, obviously must be cleaned up. But others, such as forests, should just be left alone, since gathering or burning radioactive materials concentrates them — the opposite of what is needed since the more diluted they are, the better.

To a certain extent, policy is being dictated by politics, said Suzuki.

Before the accident, residents believed they were completely safe, he said. "The authorities want to be able to tell them once again that the area is safe. To do this they need to return it to the state that it was in before the accident."

Naraha resident Yoshimasa Murakami, a 79-year-old farmer, said he has low expectations.

A month after the government started cleaning his spacious home he has not seen a major decrease in radiation, he said while sitting on a balcony overlooking his traditional Japanese garden.

He set a dosimeter on the grass. It measured radiation nearly five times the target level and almost the same as the 1.09 microsieverts per hour found when officials surveyed it in December.

Murakami had come to the house for the day. He, his wife and daughter now live 50 kilometers (30 miles) away in Koriyama city.

He visits a few times a week to keep an eye on the cleanup workers. At nearly 80, Murakami says he doesn't mind about the radiation, but his wife does. And if he returns, his other relatives and grandchildren will be afraid to visit.

"Then, what's the point?" he said.

"I don't think decontamination is going to work," Murakami said. "The nuclear crisis is not fully over, and you never know, something still can go wrong."

__

Yamaguchi reported from Naraha and Tokyo, and Kurtenbach from Tokyo and Minami Sanriku.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 20, 2013 - 01:06am PT

By MARTIN FACKLER
Published: March 19, 2013

TOKYO — The stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant this week experienced its worst power failure since the disaster there in 2011, and though the plant’s operator said all electricity was restored by early Wednesday, the problem underlined its continuing vulnerability.
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This week’s partial blackout, which started Monday, halted crucial cooling systems for as long as about 30 hours at four pools where used fuel rods are stored. The company that operates Fukushima Daiichi, the Tokyo Electric Power Company, said the plant had not been in danger because the fuel rods were never close to overheating, a state that could have led to a new, catastrophic release of radioactive materials.

The company said that temperatures in the fuel pools would have remained at safe levels for at least four days.

But the cutoff of the vital systems appeared to support fears by some experts and critics that the plant remains dangerous in part because some vital safety systems were makeshift fixes devised at the height of the nuclear crisis.

Tokyo Electric, also known as Tepco, acknowledged the concern. “Fukushima Daiichi still runs on makeshift equipment, and we are trying to switch to something more permanent and dependable,” a Tepco spokesman, Masayuki Ono, told reporters Tuesday as the company worked to restore the cooling systems.

The latest problems at the plant come as the government and the nuclear industry have been trying to convince jittery citizens that the country still needs its many nuclear plants. All of Japan’s plants were shuttered after the 2011 disaster as the government worked on stricter safety regulations. Two reactors were later restarted.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe recently said that the plants would begin coming on line as they were deemed safe and began nudging Japan back to its reliance on nuclear power, which he said was a must for any economic recovery.

The disaster two years ago also started with a blackout, brought on by a devastating earthquake and tsunami, which crippled the cooling systems for both the reactors and the spent fuel pools. Over the next several days, three reactors had triple meltdowns, leading to a wide release of radioactive materials that made the nuclear crisis the world’s second worst.

This week’s blackout did not affect the cooling systems for the three reactors, according to Tepco. Still, much of the continuing concern about the plant has focused on the fuel pools, which contain far more radioactive material than the reactors and were built with less shielding.

The four pools affected by the latest blackout contain more than 8,800 highly radioactive fuel rods, Tepco said, enough to cause a release much larger than the original accident, which forced the evacuation of some 160,000 residents in northeastern Japan. However, experts say that as the rods have aged with time, they are producing less heat, reducing the prospect of a catastrophic fire or melting.

With the company as the only source of information, it was impossible this week to independently assess the conditions at the plant, which sits in a contaminated zone that is closed to the public. On Tuesday, the company was criticized for waiting three hours before revealing the power failure to the public.

Tepco said a faulty switchboard might have been to blame in the latest power failure. Though the company has backup generators at the site, it appeared to have been unprepared for a switchboard failure.

Experts have been especially worried about the plant’s makeshift cooling systems, which could be knocked out by another large earthquake. Tepco said the temporary blackout also briefly cut off electricity to the command center at the plant.

Matthew L. Wald contributed reporting from Washington.
Reeotch

Trad climber
4 Corners Area
Apr 3, 2013 - 11:57am PT
It is effecting us as well:

Various reports indicate that the incidence of congenital hypothyroidism is increasing in developed nations, and that improved detection and more inclusive criteria for the disease do not explain this trend entirely. One risk factor documented in numerous studies is exposure to radioactive iodine found in nuclear weapons test fallout and nuclear reactor emissions. Large amounts of fallout disseminated worldwide from the meltdowns in four reactors at the Fukushima-Dai-ichi plant in Japan beginning March 11, 2011 included radioiodine isotopes. Just days after the meltdowns, I-131 concentrations in US precipitation was measured up to 211 times above normal.

http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=28599

It is nowhere near over, yet. We've just stopped paying attention. Hope none of you have to deal with this legacy in your own family.

We need clean energy, now!
Jan

Mountain climber
Okinawa, Japan
Apr 3, 2013 - 01:03pm PT
The recent power outage at Fukushima which turned off power to all four cooling towers for 29 hours, was caused it has been concluded, by a small rat who managed to short circuit a switchboard.

The hapless rodent was found half fried on the floor below. Such is the advanced state of our technology and the safety precautions still.

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
May 9, 2013 - 09:41am PT
Hanford Nuclear Waste Cleanup Plant May Be Too Dangerous
Scientific AmericanBy Valerie Brown | Scientific American – 2 hrs 34 mins ago

The most toxic and voluminous nuclear waste in the U.S.—208 million liters —sits in decaying underground tanks at the Hanford Site (a nuclear reservation) in southeastern Washington State. It accumulated there from the middle of World War II, when the Manhattan Project invented the first nuclear weapon, to 1987, when the last reactor shut down. The federal government’s current attempt at a permanent solution for safely storing that waste for centuries—the Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant here—has hit a major snag in the form of potential chain reactions, hydrogen explosions and leaks from metal corrosion. And the revelation last February that six more of the storage tanks are currently leaking has further ramped up the pressure for resolution.

After decades of research, experimentation and political inertia, the U.S. Department of Energy (DoE) started building the “Vit Plant” at Hanford in 2000. It’s intended to sequester the waste in stainless steel–encased glass logs, a process known as vitrification (hence “Vit”), so it cannot escape into the environment, barring natural disasters like earthquakes or catastrophic fires. But progress on the plant slowed to a crawl last August, when numerous interested parties acknowledged that the plant’s design might present serious safety risks. In response, then-Energy Secretary Steven Chu appointed an expert panel to find a way forward. Because 60 of the 177 underground tanks have already leaked and all are at increasing risk to do so, solving the problem is urgent.

Vitrification prep 101: Some tough homework

The plant’s construction, currently contracted by the DoE to Bechtel National, Inc., may be the most complicated engineering project underway in the U.S. But back in 2000 the DoE and Bechtel decided to save time and money by starting construction before crucial structures and processes had been designed and properly tested at a scale comparable to full operation. This wasn’t such a good idea, says Dirk Dunning, nuclear material specialist with the Oregon Department of Energy. “The worst possible time to save money is at the beginning. You’re better off to be very nearly complete on design before you begin construction.”

The vitrification project calls for the waste to be analyzed chemically and radiologically before it enters a pretreatment facility to be separated into various constituents such as cesium 137, strontium 90 and metals. After that, each separate waste stream is channeled as either high-level or low-activity waste into designated melters. The glass is created by mixing sand with a few additives like boron; the waste is stirred in, and the whole mess is melted, then decanted into the steel canisters. After the glass logs solidify the waste is trapped and should be isolated from the environment for long enough for most of the radioactivity to decay to safe levels.

The low-level waste canisters will be stored permanently at Hanford. Because the planned Yucca Mountain geologic repository project was halted by the Obama administration, the high-level waste canisters will be kept at Hanford in an as-yet unconstructed building. In January the DoE announced it is beginning work on a new “comprehensive management and disposal system” that will make a permanent geologic repository available by 2048. Yet even if all goes perfectly from now on, it will take until 2062 to vitrify all the waste.

The waste presents significant challenges for Vit Plant project engineers and nuclear chemists. For one thing, the waste varies wildly from tank to tank. The former nuclear weapons facility at Savannah River, Ga.—also part of the Manhattan Project—has been successfully vitrifying weapons waste for years, but only one fuel separation process was used there. At Hanford there were nine production reactors making plutonium and uranium fuel using at least six different radiochemical processes whose chemistry, and thus constituents, were very different. This remains true of the waste as well. There are large differences in composition from tank to tank that necessitate chemically profiling the waste in batches before it enters the Vit Plant, which may also require changes to the glass formula at the other end of the process.

Overall, the tanks hold every element in the periodic table, including half a ton of plutonium, various uranium isotopes and at least 44 other radionuclides—containing a total of about 176 million curies of radioactivity. This is almost twice the radioactivity released at Chernobyl, according to Plutopia: Nuclear Families, Atomic Cities, and the Great Soviet and American Plutonium Disasters, by Kate Brown, a history professor at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County. The waste is also physically hot as well as laced with numerous toxic and corrosive chemicals and heavy metals that threaten the integrity of the pipes and tanks carrying the waste, risking leakage.

The physical form of the waste causes problems, too. It’s very difficult to get a representative sample from any given tank because the waste has settled into layers, starting with a baked-on “hard heal” at the bottom, a layer of salt cake above that, a layer of gooey sludge, then fluid, and finally gases in the headspace between the fluid and the ceiling. Most of the radioactivity is in the solids and sludge whereas most of the volume is in the liquids and the salt cake.

Going with the flow

All of these considerations contribute to the overall problem, which can be summed up in one word: flow. To get to the glass log stage the waste has to travel through an immense labyrinth of tanks and pipes. It has to move at a fast enough clip to avoid pipe and filter clogs as well as prevent solids from settling. This is quite a challenge given the multiphasic nature of the waste: solids, liquids, sludge and gases all move differently. The waste feed through the system will be in the form of a “non-Newtonian slurry”—a mixture of fluids and solids of many different shapes, sizes and densities. If the solids stop moving, problems ensue.

For one thing, there’s a chance that enough plutonium could congregate to trigger a nuclear chain reaction, or criticality—the self-sustaining cascade of atomic fission that releases massive amounts of energy. That would be a serious event even if an explosion did not breach the concrete containment building. Hot slurry could surge backward through the piping, spreading the problem to other parts of the system. Waste solids could also clog pipes, along with ion-exchange filters designed to grab the most radioactive constituents from the low-level waste for addition to the high-level stream.

Whether the solids pile up in the vessels, the pipes or the filters, says Donna Busche, nuclear and environmental safety manager for Hanford contractor URS Corp., “that’s where I’ve got the problem.” Further construction of the Vit Plant’s flawed components cannot proceed unless Busche issues an operating permit, which she is loath to do. She calls the DoE’s failure to require that Bechtel resolve the safety issues sooner “obscene.”

A second explosive risk could arise because both heat and radiation can disassemble water into oxygen and hydrogen. If there are not places along the piping and in the vessels for hydrogen to exit the flow of waste, enough could build up to explode.

And then there’s the extreme radioactivity of the waste, which is far too high for direct human exposure. Enter the Vit Plant’s notorious “black cells.” These are 18 massive concrete enclosures populated by smaller stainless steel vessels. The idea is to guide the waste through the vessels without any human intervention over the 40 years officials believe it will take to process all the waste. The only way to do this is to ensure that the black cells have no moving parts. But because the waste has to be constantly stirred to prevent settling of the noxious and radioactive solids, the plan calls for pulse jet mixers—described as “turkey basters”—to keep the solids suspended.

The pulse jet mixers suck waste into their vertical tubes and then eject it forcefully back into the tanks. Unfortunately, they have not yet been shown to provide sufficient mixing at the scale necessary for the Vit Plant. They do, however, apply enough force to the slurry for the solids to grind away at the stainless steel of tanks and pipes, weakening them enough to risk leakage. Besides this erosion, there’s also potential for chemical corrosion. The Defense Nuclear Safety Board, which advises the White House, has called these problems “a show-stopper.”

“The way [the plant] is currently designed poses unacceptable risks. DoE now admits that,” says Tom Carpenter, executive director of the watchdog group Hanford Challenge. In December the Government Accountability Office issued a highly critical analysis of the Vit Plant’s unresolved safety issues

Disagreements over the safety risks have also prompted outspoken protests from several senior Hanford officials. Chief project engineer Gary Brunson resigned in January. Busche and former deputy chief process engineer Walter Tamosaitis filed whistleblower complaints alleging that their concerns about safety were suppressed by Bechtel. (Bechtel declined to be interviewed for this story, citing nondisclosure agreements signed with Chu’s expert panel.)

But Langdon Holton, DoE’s senior technical authority for the Vit Plant and a member of Chu’s expert panel, believes the project’s problems are technical snags, rather than the insoluble consequence of incompetence or hubris. He also thinks that although the current risks are real, they are unlikely and would be of low magnitude if they did occur. For example, he says, “You’d have to have a vessel unmixed for half a year” for enough hydrogen to accumulate for a significant explosion. “Do I have concern we won’t be able to resolve the issues? No, but it will take some time,” he adds. (Chu’s panel does not expect to issue a formal report, according to Holton.)

Time may be limited. The 177 tanks, built between 1943 and 1986 and most intended for only about a 20-year life span, are decaying; at last count, six are leaking. The Vit Plant was supposed to start operating in 2007 and is now projected to begin in 2022. Its original budget was $4.3 billion and is now estimated at $13.4 billion. Nobody is suggesting the project be abandoned, yet forging ahead without confidence in the plant’s safe operation is not really an option either. The real question, many Hanford watchers say, is whether the country wants to pay for doing it right.

Busche is adamant that the safety issues must be solved before plans proceed further. “The level of robustness we have to put in all our systems is derived from the waste itself,” she says. “It’s the gift that keeps giving until it’s in a glass log.”

Follow Scientific American on Twitter @SciAm and @SciamBlogs.

Visit ScientificAmerican.com for the latest in science, health and technology news.

© 2013 ScientificAmerican.com. All rights reserved.
labrat

Trad climber
Auburn, CA
May 9, 2013 - 04:05pm PT
Thanks for the updates Tom. The SA article is compelling.
Erik
WBraun

climber
May 9, 2013 - 04:23pm PT
One of the world’s leading terrorists, the mass murderer Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has been summoned to China where he will be confronted with evidence of his involvement in the March 11, 2011 nuclear and tsunami terror attack against Japan, according to Chinese government sources.

The evidence is a tape recorded phone call to then Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan in which Netanyahu threatened to destroy all of Japan’s nuclear reactors if Kan did not order the Japanese government to write off its holdings of US government debt, according to Japanese military intelligence. In exchange for sweeping this issue under the carpet, the 180 nation BRICS alliance will demand an end to all further war-mongering in the Middle East.

The Israeli use of a nuclear bunker buster bomb against Syria just before Netanyahu’s departure was a futile gesture of defiance as the worldwide crackdown on the Sabbatean Satanic mafia unfolds.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
May 9, 2013 - 05:16pm PT
Living here in Portland downstream of Hanford on the Columbia River, the cleanup issues get a lot of public and private attention and oversight. It's also a high priority and concern for the WA, OR, and ID governors.

So no shortage or local PNW pressure to proceed apace, but with caution on the cleanup. The holdups always lie with either congress (money), the contractor (slacking & bilking), and / or the DoE (indecision).


Some local thinking on the tanks is tackle removing the wastes by stratified layers - the gas, then liquid, then sludge, then salt cake, etc. That will also ease some of the separation issues.
golsen

Social climber
kennewick, wa
May 9, 2013 - 05:16pm PT
Tom,

there are some truths to the article, and a lot of fiction.

Gary

edit:
healyje nailed it....DOE decisions are great, but dont make any difference if there is not funding (from congress) to enact that decision.

Furthermore, I would much rather see the waste in a modern radiochemical processing facility than in single shell tanks built in the 40's and 50's. And i assure you that it is way safer than some of the mom and pop chemical plants out there. (See the recent TX disaster).
Bargainhunter

climber
Jul 11, 2013 - 04:57am PT
Out of the headlines, but still leaking into the ocean....

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/11/world/asia/japanese-nuclear-plant-may-have-been-leaking-for-two-years.html?hpw
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Jul 23, 2013 - 12:20am PT
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-23/tepco-says-toxic-water-leaked-to-sea-from-fukushima-plant.html?cmpid=yhoo


Tepco Says Toxic Water Leaked to Sea From Fukushima Plant
By Tsuyoshi Inajima - Jul 22, 2013 6:57 PM PT

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (9501), operator of the wrecked Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant, said radioactive water from the damaged reactors has been escaping into the nearby Pacific, confirming the leak for the first time.

Tepco, as the utility is known, suspected the breach after finding water levels in monitoring wells moving in sync with tidal flows, spokeswoman Kaoru Suzuki said by phone today. The operator doesn’t know yet when the leaks started or how much of the water has escaped into the ocean, she said.

The finding, first reported Monday, follows statements from the nation’s nuclear regulator that said earlier this month it suspected radioactive particles had leaked into the ocean after the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami crippled the Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant.

Water samples suggest contamination has been contained in the port area near the Fukushima plant, Suzuki said.

The handling of highly radioactive water is an issue that has vexed Tepco as the utility oversees the plant’s cleanup. Most of the leaking water is a legacy of the early days of the crisis when disaster teams used hose pipes and pumps to try and cool the reactors. Leaks in April raised the prospect the utility would be forced to dump radioactive water in the Pacific.

Last month, Tepco said it had found unsafe levels of radioactivity in groundwater at the Fukushima station. The contaminants were found at a monitoring well in a turbine complex at the Dai-Ichi plant.

The latest findings are a reminder of the complexities facing Tepco as it mops up the aftermath of the Fukushima disaster. All but two of Japan’s reactors are idled for safety assessments after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami.

Several of Japan’s regional utilities earlier this month applied to the Nuclear Regulation Authority for safety checks as part of a step toward restarting their reactors.

Tepco shares fell 4.9 percent to 669 yen as of 10:36 a.m. on the Tokyo Stock Exchange after earlier dropping as much as 5.1 percent, headed for their biggest decline since July 3.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tsuyoshi Inajima in Tokyo at tinajima@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jason Rogers at jrogers73@bloomberg.net
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Jul 26, 2013 - 11:07pm PT
http://enenews.com/japan-govt-its-inevitable-that-fukushima-radioactive-water-will-be-dumped-in-pacific-ocean-tepco-has-no-choice
Bargainhunter

climber
Aug 7, 2013 - 03:49am PT
Out of the news but the crisis is still not ending:

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/07/world/asia/leaks-into-pacific-persist-at-japan-nuclear-plant.html?hp
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Aug 7, 2013 - 04:15am PT
They really have no choice other than to keep pumping water into the reactors and with the leaks under them it's without question going into the ocean. The water they have tanked through the crisis will likely be dumped as well before it's all over.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Aug 7, 2013 - 01:53pm PT

Japan says Fukushima leak worse than thought, government joins clean-up

Reuters
Mari Saito and Antoni Slodkowski 4 hours ago NatureJapanTokyo Electric Power Company

By Mari Saito and Antoni Slodkowski

TOKYO (Reuters) - Highly radioactive water from Japan's crippled Fukushima nuclear plant is pouring out at a rate of 300 tonnes a day, officials said on Wednesday, as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe ordered the government to step in and help in the clean-up.

The revelation amounted to an acknowledgement that plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco) has yet to come to grips with the scale of the catastrophe, 2 1/2 years after the plant was hit by a huge earthquake and tsunami. Tepco only recently admitted water had leaked at all.

Calling water containment at the Fukushima Daiichi station an "urgent issue," Abe ordered the government for the first time to get involved to help struggling Tepco handle the crisis.

http://news.yahoo.com/japan-government-joining-efforts-contain-fukushima-toxic-water-033418884.html
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Aug 7, 2013 - 10:20pm PT
another article and scarry photo of predicted ocean contamination

http://tinyurl.com/mxgx5q3
McHale's Navy

Trad climber
From Panorama City, CA
Aug 8, 2013 - 12:23am PT
Pure insanity the way that situation has been handled.

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/environment-and-energy/magazine/86335/fukushima-nuclear-mox-flaws#
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
mammoth lakes ca
Aug 8, 2013 - 12:36am PT
Tepco , can't clean up an enviro disaster that they own so now they are calling in the government to bail their incompetent asses out... i thought the government couldn't do anything right...?
McHale's Navy

Trad climber
From Panorama City, CA
Aug 8, 2013 - 01:51am PT
Governments are the people or should be. That the Japanese government has not been involved says a lot. They have failed the people of the world.
McHale's Navy

Trad climber
From Panorama City, CA
Aug 8, 2013 - 01:59am PT
Governments are the people or should be. That the Japanese government has not been involved says a lot. They have failed the people of the world.
Dr.Sprock

Boulder climber
I'm James Brown, Bi-atch!
Aug 8, 2013 - 05:06am PT
a 500 lb tuna that glows at night would be so cool,

add 2 heads and 3 tails and you have a license to print money if you own a small sub,

why don't they just send that MOX to Iran so we can get off this miserable planet?
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Aug 10, 2013 - 06:44am PT
Japan, while a modern society, Japanese culture and governance still retains aspects of its feudal shogunate heritage which is quite suitable to the administration of the country's infrastructure. However, many of those same aspects can represent significant obstacles to the effective management of large-scale emergencies / failures which entail a human-error component.
command error

Trad climber
Colorado
Aug 12, 2013 - 11:49pm PT
Fukashima may contaminate the entire Pacific Ocean?

..And create Godzilla and it'll attack New York. Film at 11 etc etc..

Seriously
Those fuel pellets are not supposed to be water soluble are they?


http://rt.com/op-edge/japan-fukushima-contamination-environment-229/






TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Aug 23, 2013 - 07:22pm PT
August 23, 2013 - Nuclear Expert Reports Fukushima Leak
“Much Worse Than We Were Led To Believe.” Report upcoming.

Not only have more than 80,000 gallons of highly radioactive water leaked from very damaged Unit 3 containment tank - the BBC reports today that radioactive water is leaking all over the TEPCO site with no accurate figures for radiation levels that are extremely high. Further in a Wednesday night phone press conference, TEPCO's Vice Pres. Zengo Aizawa asked for international help saying, “The contaminated water remains a problem that could lead to a crisis.”

“It is leaking out from the basements,
it is leaking out from the cracks all over the place.”

 Mycle Schneider, Independent Nuclear Consultant



“It's like a haunted house and mishaps keep happening one after the other.
We have to look into how we can reduce the risks and how to
prevent it from becoming a fatal or serious incident.”

 Shunichi Tanaka, Chairman, Japan's Nuclear Regulation Authority
hb81

climber
Aug 23, 2013 - 08:51pm PT
We have to look into how we can reduce the risks and how to
prevent it from becoming a fatal or serious incident.”

BECOMING a serious incident? Half your f*#king plant blew up, remember?
I really hope this is just a case of "lost in translation"...
Bargainhunter

climber
Aug 27, 2013 - 03:00am PT
Just what we feared has happened, and the response continues to be inadequate and ineffective.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Aug 28, 2013 - 03:03am PT
Japan should turn Fukushima into a cancer radiotherapy clinic where Americans can receive "radiation treatments" for cancer, because we all know that radiation prevents cancer, right? That's what the cancer clinics tell us, anyway.

Fukushima can become the world's newest medical tourism hot spot for cancer patients. Walk in with cancer and you'll walk out with so many other symptoms that you won't even notice the cancer anymore! That's the miracle of modern medical science. Sponsored by GlaxoSmithKline, of course.

Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/041800_Fukushima_radiation_leaks_desperation.html#ixzz2dFFYcpDe
Bargainhunter

climber
Sep 1, 2013 - 03:33pm PT
Now, Tepco corrects itself and finds radiation at the site is 1800% worse than previously thought, enough to "kill an exposed person in 4 hours." There is also another new pipe leak.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/09/01/217883557/radiocative-water-leak-at-fukushima-worse-than-first-thought
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Sep 1, 2013 - 05:20pm PT
Yes, that TEPCO is still in charge of the site about says it all.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Sep 3, 2013 - 09:46pm PT
The Japanese government is stepping up to "take charge".

http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_24001884/japan-fund-ice-wall-stop-reactor-leaks

Japan to fund ice wall to contain reactor leaks
By MARI YAMAGUCHI Associated Press
Posted: 09/03/2013 12:46:49 AM MDT

TOKYO—The Japanese government announced Tuesday that it will spend $470 million on a subterranean ice wall and other steps in a desperate bid to stop leaks of radioactive water from the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant after repeated failures by the plant's operator.

The decision is widely seen as an attempt to show that the nuclear accident won't be a safety concern just days before the International Olympic Committee chooses among Tokyo, Istanbul and Madrid as the host of the 2020 Olympics.

The Fukushima Dai-ichi plant has been leaking hundreds of tons of contaminated underground water into the sea since shortly after a massive 2011 earthquake and tsunami damaged the complex. Several leaks from tanks storing radioactive water in recent weeks have heightened the sense of crisis that the plant's owner, Tokyo Electric Power Co., isn't able to contain the problem.

"Instead of leaving this up to TEPCO, the government will step forward and take charge," Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said after adopting the outline. "The world is watching if we can properly handle the contaminated water but also the entire decommissioning of the plant."

The government plans to spend an estimated 47 billion yen ($470 million) through the end of March 2015 on two projects—32 billion yen ($320 million) on the ice wall and 15 billion yen ($150 million) on an upgraded water treatment unit that is supposed to remove all radioactive elements except water-soluble tritium—according to energy agency official Tatsuya Shinkawa.

The government, however, is not paying for urgently needed water tanks and other equipment that TEPCO is using to contain leaks. Shinkawa said the funding is limited to "technologically challenging projects" but the government is open to additional help when needed.

The ice wall would freeze the ground to a depth of up to 30 meters (100 feet) through a system of pipes carrying a coolant as cold as minus 40 degrees Celsius (minus 40 Fahrenheit). That would block contaminated water from escaping from the facility's immediate surroundings, as well as keep underground water from entering the reactor and turbine buildings, where much of the radioactive water has collected.

The project, which TEPCO and the government proposed in May, is being tested for feasibility by Japanese construction giant Kajima Corp. and is set for completion by March 2015.

Similar methods have been used to block water from parts of tunnels and subways, but building a 1.4-kilometer (0.9-mile) wall that surrounds four reactor buildings and their related facilities is unprecedented.

An underground ice wall has been used to isolate radioactive waste at the U.S. Department of Energy's former site of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee that produced plutonium, but only for six years, according to the MIT Technology Review magazine.

Some experts are still skeptical about the technology and say the running costs would be a huge burden.

Atsunao Marui, an underground water expert at the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, said a frozen wall could be water-tight but is normally intended for use for a few years and is not proven for long-term use as planned in the outline. The decommissioning process is expected to take about 40 years.

"We still need a few layers of safety backups in case it fails," Marui told The Associated Press. "Plus the frozen wall won't be ready for another two years, which means contaminated water would continue to leak out."

Marui said additional measures should be taken to stop contaminated water from traveling under the seabed during that time and leaking further out at sea.

TEPCO has been pumping water into the wrecked reactors to cool nuclear fuel that melted when the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami knocked out the plant's power and cooling systems. The utility has built more than 1,000 tanks holding 335,000 tons of contaminated water at the plant, and the amount grows by 400 tons daily. Some tanks have sprung leaks, spilling contaminated water onto the ground.

After spending on the ice wall, the remainder of the public funding—15 billion yen until March 2015—will go to the development and production of a water treatment unit that can treat larger amounts of contaminated water more thoroughly than an existing machine, which is under repair after corrosion was found during a test run.

Nuclear Regulation Authority Chairman Shunichi Tanaka has repeatedly said that the contaminated water cannot be stored in tanks forever and eventually must be released into the sea after being fully processed and diluted, but only with local consent.

Other measures include replacing rubber-seamed storage tanks with more durable welded tanks as quickly as possible, and pumping out untainted underground water further inland for release into the sea to reduce the total amount of water flowing into the plant site. About 1,000 tons of underground water runs into the complex every day.

TEPCO is also constructing an offshore wall of steel panels to keep contaminants from spreading further into the sea. The utility says radioactive elements have mostly remained near the embankment inside the bay, but experts have reported offshore "hot spots" of sediments contaminated with high levels of cesium.

The leaks came as Tokyo headed into the final days of the contest to host the 2020 Summer Olympics. With anti-government demonstrations plaguing Istanbul's bid and a recession and high Spanish unemployment hanging over Madrid's candidacy, Tokyo is pushing its bid as the safe choice in uncertain times.

The IOC is to select the 2020 host on Sept. 7 in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Sep 3, 2013 - 10:00pm PT
Unfortunately, its going to take 2 years for the ice wall to be built and start containing the leaks. Not so good.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Sep 22, 2013 - 01:26am PT
Time for a Global Takeover
The Crisis at Fukushima 4
by HARVEY WASSERMAN

We are now within two months of what may be humankind’s most dangerous moment since the Cuban Missile Crisis.

There is no excuse for not acting. All the resources our species can muster must be focussed on the fuel pool at Fukushima Unit 4.

Fukushima’s owner, Tokyo Electric (Tepco), says that within as few as 60 days it may begin trying to remove more than 1300 spent fuel rods from a badly damaged pool perched 100 feet in the air. The pool rests on a badly damaged building that is tilting, sinking and could easily come down in the next earthquake, if not on its own.

Some 400 tons of fuel in that pool could spew out more than 15,000 times as much radiation as was released at Hiroshima.

The one thing certain about this crisis is that Tepco does not have the scientific, engineering or financial resources to handle it. Nor does the Japanese government. The situation demands a coordinated worldwide effort of the best scientists and engineers our species can muster.

Why is this so serious?

We already know that thousands of tons of heavily contaminated water are pouring through the Fukushima site, carrying a devil’s brew of long-lived poisonous isotopes into the Pacific. Tuna irradiated with fallout traceable to Fukushima have already been caught off the coast of California. We can expect far worse.

Tepco continues to pour more water onto the proximate site of three melted reactor cores it must somehow keep cool.Steam plumes indicate fission may still be going on somewhere underground. But nobody knows exactly where those cores actually are.

Much of that irradiated water now sits in roughly a thousand huge but fragile tanks that have been quickly assembled and strewn around the site. Many are already leaking. All could shatter in the next earthquake, releasing thousands of tons of permanent poisons into the Pacific. Fresh reports show that Tepco has just dumped another thousand tons of contaminated liquids into the sea ( http://www.alternet.org/environment/ ).

The water flowing through the site is also undermining the remnant structures at Fukushima, including the one supporting the fuel pool at Unit Four.

More than 6,000 fuel assemblies now sit in a common pool just 50 meters from Unit Four. Some contain plutonium. The pool has no containment over it. It’s vulnerable to loss of coolant, the collapse of a nearby building, another earthquake, another tsunami and more.

Overall, more than 11,000 fuel assemblies are scattered around the Fukushima site. According to long-time expert and former Department of Energy official Robert Alvarez, there is more than 85 times as much lethal cesium on site as was released at Chernobyl.

Radioactive hot spots continue to be found around Japan. There are indications of heightened rates of thyroid damage among local children.

The immediate bottom line is that those fuel rods must somehow come safely out of the Unit Four fuel pool as soon as possible.

Just prior to the 3/11/11 earthquake and tsunami that shattered the Fukushima site, the core of Unit Four was removed for routine maintenance and refueling. Like some two dozen reactors in the US and too many more around the world, the General Electric-designed pool into which that core now sits is 100 feet in the air.

Spent fuel must somehow be kept under water. It’s clad in zirconium alloy which will spontaneously ignite when exposed to air. Long used in flash bulbs for cameras, zirconium burns with an extremely bright hot flame.

Each uncovered rod emits enough radiation to kill someone standing nearby in a matter of minutes. A conflagration could force all personnel to flee the site and render electronic machinery unworkable.

According to Arnie Gundersen, a nuclear engineer with forty years in an industry for which he once manufactured fuel rods, the ones in the Unit 4 core are bent, damaged and embrittled to the point of crumbling. Cameras have shown troubling quantities of debris in the fuel pool, which itself is damaged.

The engineering and scientific barriers to emptying the Unit Four fuel pool are unique and daunting, says Gundersen. But it must be done to 100% perfection.

Should the attempt fail, the rods could be exposed to air and catch fire, releasing horrific quantities of radiation into the atmosphere. The pool could come crashing to the ground, dumping the rods together into a pile that could fission and possibly explode. The resulting radioactive cloud would threaten the health and safety of all us.

Chernobyl’s first 1986 fallout reached California within ten days. Fukushima’s in 2011 arrived in less than a week. A new fuel fire at Unit 4 would pour out a continuous stream of lethal radioactive poisons for centuries.

Former Ambassador Mitsuhei Murata says full-scale releases from Fukushima “would destroy the world environment and our civilization. This is not rocket science, nor does it connect to the pugilistic debate over nuclear power plants. This is an issue of human survival.”

Neither Tokyo Electric nor the government of Japan can go this alone. There is no excuse for deploying anything less than a coordinated team of the planet’s best scientists and engineers.

We have two months or less to act.

For now, we are petitioning the United Nations and President Obama to mobilize the global scientific and engineering community to take charge at Fukushima and the job of moving these fuel rods to safety.

You can sign the petition at: http://www.nukefree.org/crisis-fukushima-4-petition-un-us-global-response

If you have a better idea, please follow it. But do something and do it now.

The clock is ticking. The hand of global nuclear disaster is painfully close to midnight.

Harvey Wasserman edits www.nukefree.org and is author of SOLARTOPIA! Our Green-Powered Earth. His SOLARTOPIA GREEN POWER & WELLNESS SHOW is at www.prn.fm
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 4, 2013 - 08:58pm PT
Just a little "I told you so" to those Nuclear fans who claimed the residents would have returned to their homes within a month and that everything would be safe and tidy.

It's completely Fubar still and releasing radioactivity every day into the ocean and there is still every chance the #4 cooling pool will crash to earth and release untold poison into the land, air and seas and force everyone to evacuate and thus cause everything else there to spin into a hell

No nukes. This is just the kind of thing we keep hearing could never happen

Peace

Karl

http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/10/04-6
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 8, 2013 - 12:28pm PT
If that pool goes down, and it will be a miracle if it doesn't, this will be a personal health issue for every person reading this

Published on Tuesday, October 8, 2013 by The Progressive
Is Japan’s Abe Honest About Global Help for Fukushima?
by Harvey Wasserman
Japan’s pro-nuclear prime minister has finally asked for global help at Fukushima.
(Photo: Flikr user Mypouss, Creative Commons licensed)


“Our country needs your knowledge and expertise,” Shinzo Abe recently told the world community. “We are wide open to receive the most advanced knowledge from overseas to contain the problem.”

It probably hasn’t hurt that more than 100,000 people have signed petitions calling for a global takeover.

Massive quantities of heavily contaminated water are pouring into the Pacific Ocean. Hundreds of huge, flimsy tanks are also leaking untold tons of highly radioactive fluids.

At Unit #4, more than 1,300 fuel rods, with more than 400 tons of extremely radioactive material, containing potential cesium fallout comparable to 14,000 Hiroshima bombs, are stranded 100 feet in the air.

All this more than 30 months after the 3/11/2011 earthquake/tsunami led to three meltdowns and at least four explosions.

But is Abe being honest about wanting global assistance? “I am aware of three U.S. companies with state of the art technology that have been to Japan repeatedly and have been rebuffed by the Japanese government,” says Arnie Gundersen, a Vermont-based nuclear engineer focused on Fukushima. “Three American University professors . . . were afraid to sign the UN petition to Ban Ki-Moon because it would endanger their Japanese colleagues who they are doing research with.”

Fukushima Daiichi is less than 200 miles from Tokyo. Prevailing winds generally blow out to sea--directly towards the United States, where Fukushima’s fallout was measured less than a week after the initial disaster.

But radioactive hot spots have already been found in Tokyo. A worst-case cloud would eventually make Japan an uninhabitable wasteland. What it could do to the Pacific Ocean and the rest of us downwind approaches the unthinkable.

“If you calculate the amount of cesium 137 in the pool” at Unit #4, “the amount is equivalent to 14,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs,” says Hiroaki Koide, assistant professor at the Kyoto University Research Reactor Institute.

The Unit #4 fuel assemblies were pulled for routine maintenance just prior to the earthquake/tsunami. An International Atomic Energy Agency document says they were exposed to the open air, did catch fire, and did release radiation.

Since none of the six GE-designed Daiichi reactors has a containment over the fuel pools, that radiation poured directly into the atmosphere. (Dozens more reactors designed like this operate in the U.S. and around the world.)

Then corrosive seawater was dumped into the pool.

Unit #4 was damaged in the quake, and by an explosion possibly caused by hydrogen leaking in from Unit #3. It shows signs of buckling and of sinking into soil turning to mud by water flowing down from the mountains, and from attempts to cool the cores missing from Units #1, #2 and #3.

Tokyo Electric Power and the Japanese government may try to bring down the Unit #4 rods next month. With cranes operated by computers, that might normally take about 100 days. But this requires manual control. Tepco says they’ll try to do it in a year (half their original estimate) presumably to beat the next earthquake.

But the pool may be damaged and corroded. Loose debris is visible. The rods and assemblies may be warped. Gundersen says they’re embrittled and may be crumbling.

Some 6,000 additional rods now sit in a common storage pool just 50 meters away. Overall some 11,000 rods are scattered around the site.

Vital as it is, bringing Unit #4’s rods safely down is a just a small step toward coping with the overall mess.

Should just one rod fall or ignite, or buildings collapse, or cooling systems fail, radiation levels at the site could well force all humans to leave. Critical electronic equipment could be rendered unworkable. The world might then just stand helpless as the radioactive fires rage.

Gundersen long ago recommended Tepco dig a trench filled with zeolite to protect the site from the water flowing down from the mountains. He was told there was not enough money available to do the job.

Now Prime Minister Abe wants an “ice wall” to run a mile around the site. No such wall that size has ever been built, and this one could not be in place for at least two years.

Gundersen and 16 other experts have filed a list of suggestions with UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon. Thus far there’s been no official response.

Abe’s request for global help with Fukushima’s water problems may be a welcome start.

The team in charge of bringing the fuel rods at Unit #4 down must embody all the best minds our species can muster, along with every ounce of resources we can bring to bear.

The whole world will be watching.

© 2013 The Progressive
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Oct 8, 2013 - 01:57pm PT
obviously this is a huge environmental disaster.

but this language you posted Karl is sensationalistic journalism at its best!

Hundreds of huge, flimsy tanks are also leaking untold tons of highly radioactive fluids.

how hard is it to write the actual number of tanks? and "untold tons", really?

if you believe this tripe then i can find you an article written by tepco telling you not to worry...they are both BS.
Enty

Trad climber
Oct 8, 2013 - 02:53pm PT
Chernobyl’s first 1986 fallout reached California within ten days. Fukushima’s in 2011 arrived in less than a week.

Guy needs to brush up on his Geography and Math too.

I spoke to people about this. We'll survive. Wasserman has an agenda.

E
Deekaid

climber
Oct 8, 2013 - 03:05pm PT
the Japanese are obviously too goofy to handle this massive disaster... whether exaggerated or not...control should be wrested from them if nothing else
Hawkeye

climber
State of Mine
Oct 8, 2013 - 03:44pm PT
Would you please do that Hawkeye? Find the TEPCO piece that is ? Or find what you would consider "balanced" journalism?

you miss the point.

it is bad. but this article is written to scare the bejesus out of people and is not balanced in anyway.

try this as a balanced article on a different environmental topic. where is the outrage? where is the fear?

how many deaths have been attributed so far to fukashima? so because people are ignorant of nukes they go crazy? WTF?

research how many deaths in canada alone are attributed to Coal Fired Power then relate thsi to fukashima and then we can talk intelligently. otherwise its like people on the raod looking at those fricking idiot climbers...in other words, ignorance breeds fear.

note, fukashime is a disaster. but all across the world there are environmental disasters happening all day, every day. killing people. the point? we need objective and real journalism and studies and not ignorance based fear.

people are fricking idiots.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=coal-fired-power-in-india-may-cause-more-than-100000-premature-deaths-annually






Energy & Sustainability
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Climatewire
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March 11, 2013
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Coal-Fired Power in India May Cause More Than 100,000 Premature Deaths Annually

A new study puts the cost of coal-fired electricity in India at $4.6 billion

By Lisa Friedman and ClimateWire





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Indian workers unloading a coal train. Image: Flickr/Nick Sarebi

As many as 115,000 people die in India each year from coal-fired power plant pollution, costing the country about $4.6 billion, according to a groundbreaking new study released today.

The report by the Mumbai-based Conservation Action Trust is the first comprehensive examination of the link between fine particle pollution and health problems in India, where coal is the fuel of choice and energy demands are skyrocketing.

The findings are stunning. In addition to more than 100,000 premature deaths, it links millions of cases of asthma and respiratory ailments to coal exposure. It counts 10,000 children under the age of 5 as fatal victims last year alone.

"I didn't expect the mortality figures per year to be so high," said Debi Goenka, executive trustee of the Conservation Action Trust.

Goenka described health impacts as "one of the most neglected aspects" of local environmental impact assessments, saying, "We're so used to reading the EIA reports year after year saying, 'There are no impacts on health and human development.'"

The report, produced with Greenpeace India, uses power plant data compiled by former World Bank air pollution analyst Sarath Guttikunda, founding director of a Delhi-based organization focused on sharing scientific information called Urban Emissions. The data is based on plant and fuel characteristics, since India, researchers said, does not make continuous and open-source monitoring information available at the plant level.

Researchers then used models to estimate changes in ambient pollutant concentrations due to the presence of coal-fired plants in the region and estimated health impacts using peer-reviewed methodologies used in similar studies around the world. The report also has been submitted to the journal Atmospheric Environment.

'Entirely avoidable'?
Calling the findings "shocking," the authors said the sickness and death related to coal emissions underscores the need to enact more stringent emissions standards, deploy advanced pollution control technologies and increase the use of cleaner energy options.

"The data represents a clarion call to action to avoid the deadly, and entirely avoidable, impact this pollution is having on India's population," the authors wrote. Without changes, they warned, "hundreds of thousands of lives will continue to be lost due to emissions from coal power plants. Any attempts to weaken even the current environmental regulations will add to this unfolding human tragedy."

Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 8, 2013 - 06:16pm PT
The nuclear shrills are like corrupt prostitutes with aids. They don't want anyone to know the extent of their problems or the gig is up.

Attack the source all you want but this much is absolutely indisputable:

There is a spend fuel pool filled with over 1000 rods suspended 100 feet above the ground in an unstable building. It is difficult and dangerous to remove those rods but the building might fall in the next quake if they don't. It the rods catch fire or the building goes down, they will have to abandon the site and the other spent pool with thousands of rods will evaporate and catch fire and the whole place will release unimaginable buttloads of radiation into the air and sea. There is no disputing this by anyone with facts. Only ignoring it or blindly trusting the same people who have been wrong at every step

Those apologizing for this or criticizing this should look at themselves and ask why they are insisting on finding excuses not to believe what is obvious

peace

Karl
ncrockclimber

climber
The Desert Oven
Oct 8, 2013 - 07:13pm PT
IMHO, this is the single greatest issue facing our planet at this moment. It is something that needs to be dealt with immediately and the consequences for not doing so are truly dire. However, you will be hard pressed to find a peep about this in the "main stream" news. Want to know about Justin Beiber's dick size or the latest Sandra Bullock movie? No problem. Want to learn more about Fukushima? Good luck.

The human race is truly f*#ked.
Psilocyborg

climber
Oct 20, 2013 - 04:09pm PT
Offline Papyrifera
Loved by All
Uberstrator
Ultracontributor

Posts: 4632
Vis Mediatriz, Yo!
View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Re: My hair is starting to fall out......
« Reply #17 on: Yesterday at 12:09:37 AM »
Quote
Gomphidius glutinosus, the "Hideous Gomphidius" is a species known to bioaccumulate radioactive cessium to hundreds of times the background level. Not only did this mushroom fruit heavily around Fukishima, I observed it fruiting abundantly on Vancouver Island (west coast of North America) last fall.


Potential for mycoremediation? Yes.

We're all exposed to radiation on a daily basis. Fukishima is the latest and worst in a series of nuclear blasts and disasters releasing this sh#t into our environment. What are you going to do about it?

I'm guessing you already know about potassium iodide, and magnescent iodine for thyroid protection. Maybe you already have your stash, although it is getting harder as the material is snapped up by governments and concerned citizens.

Here's a two part strategy to dealing with exposure to radiation. We're not used to doing this now, but it could potentially be a life saving necessity in the kind of world we are creating:

1) Getting that sh#t out of your body - bentonite clay and zeolite can help bind radioactive isotopes and take them out of the body. Bentonite clay does it by adsorption, zeolite by cation exchange (look them up, basically radioactive isotopes are positively charged molecules, clay has a large negatively charged surface that attracts and binds positively charged molecules, while zeolites contain positively charged molecules within a negatively charged matrix, and will exchange a positively charged molecule eg. Mg++ for some other positively charged molecule like strontium or cessium). Chlorella (an algae) is also very effective at pulling positively charged toxins (heavy metals, radioactive isotopes) from the body. Sweating (sauna, sweat lodge, etc) can help as well. To get clay into my diet on a daily basis, I switched to making my own clay based toothpaste. Just blend bentonite clay with some water and a few esssential oils (clove, cinnamon, myrrh, peppermint or wintergreen), and swallow it instead of spitting it out. All traditional cultures incorporated clay into their diets in some form, and if they needed it to help detoxify then how much more do we need it today??

(and by the way, "Pica" as the "disease" is called by doctors, when pregnant women start craving weird sh#t like paint chips or ice cubes, is really the craving to eat clay).

2) Protecting the body against the harmful effects of radiation - certain herbs are useful here. Rhodiola rosea is one of the best, a herb so powerful that the Russians researched it extensively as a herb that could be given to soldiers entering a nuclear war zone. You probably want to pound medicinal mushrooms too - chaga, for its antioxidant and antitumor activities, reishi, turkey tail, shiitake, maitake, enoki, other polypores... whatever you can get your hands on.

Good luck! We're going to need it.
« Last Edit: Yesterday at 12:19:24 AM by Papyrifera
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 20, 2013 - 08:24pm PT
Would be ironic if the Japanese inadvertently wound up nuking the United States, with reactors of our own design

Peace

Karl
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Oct 21, 2013 - 02:23am PT
http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=Arnie+Gundersen&FORM=VIRE4#view=detail&mid=1019648BAE5D1B8856F51019648BAE5D1B8856F5
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Oct 22, 2013 - 11:34pm PT

The ocean is broken
By Greg Ray, Newcastle Herald 13 hours ago

Ivan Macfadyen aboard the Funnel Web
.
The following article was reprinted with permission from The Newcastle Herald. You can read the original here.

IT was the silence that made this voyage different from all of those before it.

Not the absence of sound, exactly.

The wind still whipped the sails and whistled in the rigging. The waves still sloshed against the fibreglass hull.

Read what's happened since this article went global

And there were plenty of other noises: muffled thuds and bumps and scrapes as the boat knocked against pieces of debris.

What was missing was the cries of the seabirds which, on all previous similar voyages, had surrounded the boat.

The birds were missing because the fish were missing.

Exactly 10 years before, when Newcastle yachtsman Ivan Macfadyen had sailed exactly the same course from Melbourne to Osaka, all he'd had to do to catch a fish from the ocean between Brisbane and Japan was throw out a baited line.

"There was not one of the 28 days on that portion of the trip when we didn't catch a good-sized fish to cook up and eat with some rice," Macfadyen recalled.

But this time, on that whole long leg of sea journey, the total catch was two.

No fish. No birds. Hardly a sign of life at all.

"In years gone by I'd gotten used to all the birds and their noises," he said.

"They'd be following the boat, sometimes resting on the mast before taking off again. You'd see flocks of them wheeling over the surface of the sea in the distance, feeding on pilchards."

But in March and April this year, only silence and desolation surrounded his boat, Funnel Web, as it sped across the surface of a haunted ocean.

North of the equator, up above New Guinea, the ocean-racers saw a big fishing boat working a reef in the distance.

"All day it was there, trawling back and forth. It was a big ship, like a mother-ship," he said.

And all night it worked too, under bright floodlights. And in the morning Macfadyen was awoken by his crewman calling out, urgently, that the ship had launched a speedboat.

"Obviously I was worried. We were unarmed and pirates are a real worry in those waters. I thought, if these guys had weapons then we were in deep trouble."

But they weren't pirates, not in the conventional sense, at least. The speedboat came alongside and the Melanesian men aboard offered gifts of fruit and jars of jam and preserves.

"And they gave us five big sugar-bags full of fish," he said.

"They were good, big fish, of all kinds. Some were fresh, but others had obviously been in the sun for a while.

"We told them there was no way we could possibly use all those fish. There were just two of us, with no real place to store or keep them. They just shrugged and told us to tip them overboard. That's what they would have done with them anyway, they said.

"They told us that his was just a small fraction of one day's by-catch. That they were only interested in tuna and to them, everything else was rubbish. It was all killed, all dumped. They just trawled that reef day and night and stripped it of every living thing."

Macfadyen felt sick to his heart. That was one fishing boat among countless more working unseen beyond the horizon, many of them doing exactly the same thing.

No wonder the sea was dead. No wonder his baited lines caught nothing. There was nothing to catch.

If that sounds depressing, it only got worse.

The next leg of the long voyage was from Osaka to San Francisco and for most of that trip the desolation was tinged with nauseous horror and a degree of fear.

"After we left Japan, it felt as if the ocean itself was dead," Macfadyen said.

"We hardly saw any living things. We saw one whale, sort of rolling helplessly on the surface with what looked like a big tumour on its head. It was pretty sickening.

"I've done a lot of miles on the ocean in my life and I'm used to seeing turtles, dolphins, sharks and big flurries of feeding birds. But this time, for 3000 nautical miles there was nothing alive to be seen."

In place of the missing life was garbage in astounding volumes.

"Part of it was the aftermath of the tsunami that hit Japan a couple of years ago. The wave came in over the land, picked up an unbelievable load of stuff and carried it out to sea. And it's still out there, everywhere you look."

Ivan's brother, Glenn, who boarded at Hawaii for the run into the United States, marvelled at the "thousands on thousands" of yellow plastic buoys. The huge tangles of synthetic rope, fishing lines and nets. Pieces of polystyrene foam by the million. And slicks of oil and petrol, everywhere.

Countless hundreds of wooden power poles are out there, snapped off by the killer wave and still trailing their wires in the middle of the sea.

"In years gone by, when you were becalmed by lack of wind, you'd just start your engine and motor on," Ivan said.

Not this time.

"In a lot of places we couldn't start our motor for fear of entangling the propeller in the mass of pieces of rope and cable. That's an unheard of situation, out in the ocean.

"If we did decide to motor we couldn't do it at night, only in the daytime with a lookout on the bow, watching for rubbish.

"On the bow, in the waters above Hawaii, you could see right down into the depths. I could see that the debris isn't just on the surface, it's all the way down. And it's all sizes, from a soft-drink bottle to pieces the size of a big car or truck.

"We saw a factory chimney sticking out of the water, with some kind of boiler thing still attached below the surface. We saw a big container-type thing, just rolling over and over on the waves.

"We were weaving around these pieces of debris. It was like sailing through a garbage tip.

"Below decks you were constantly hearing things hitting against the hull, and you were constantly afraid of hitting something really big. As it was, the hull was scratched and dented all over the place from bits and pieces we never saw."

Plastic was ubiquitous. Bottles, bags and every kind of throwaway domestic item you can imagine, from broken chairs to dustpans, toys and utensils.

And something else. The boat's vivid yellow paint job, never faded by sun or sea in years gone past, reacted with something in the water off Japan, losing its sheen in a strange and unprecedented way.

BACK in Newcastle, Ivan Macfadyen is still coming to terms with the shock and horror of the voyage.

"The ocean is broken," he said, shaking his head in stunned disbelief.

Recognising the problem is vast, and that no organisations or governments appear to have a particular interest in doing anything about it, Macfadyen is looking for ideas.

He plans to lobby government ministers, hoping they might help.

More immediately, he will approach the organisers of Australia's major ocean races, trying to enlist yachties into an international scheme that uses volunteer yachtsmen to monitor debris and marine life.

Macfadyen signed up to this scheme while he was in the US, responding to an approach by US academics who asked yachties to fill in daily survey forms and collect samples for radiation testing - a significant concern in the wake of the tsunami and consequent nuclear power station failure in Japan.

"I asked them why don't we push for a fleet to go and clean up the mess," he said.

"But they said they'd calculated that the environmental damage from burning the fuel to do that job would be worse than just leaving the debris there."

This article ran in the Newcastle Herald, which published a follow up after it gained traction worldwide.The original story is here.
10b4me

Ice climber
Bishop/Flagstaff
Oct 25, 2013 - 09:21pm PT
7.3 aftershock off the coast of Fukushima today.

https://www.google.com/search?q=japan+earthquake+today&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en&client=safari
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Oct 28, 2013 - 07:24am PT
hey there say, 10b4me, someone just told me of this, too...
thanks for sharing...

oh my...
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Nov 8, 2013 - 09:13pm PT
http://enenews.com/abc-los-angeles-expert-confirms-radioactive-water-on-way-to-west-coast-and-arriving-in-next-few-months-will-we-really-be-told-if-its-dangerous-journalist-in-japan-lethal-contamination-is-gush


More bad news..... maybe the Santa Cruz surf lineup will thi out a bit...
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 8, 2013 - 09:31pm PT
All sea water is radioactive. Always has been.

The most anoying thing about headlines like this is that they rarely mention how much actual radiation or what type.

Basically a useless article without that info.
Studly

Trad climber
WA
Nov 8, 2013 - 11:17pm PT
http://enenews.com/mystery-disease-turns-starfish-to-slime-along-pacific-coast-compared-to-black-death-innards-become-exposed-they-fall-apart-cases-ballooning-in-alaska-video
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 8, 2013 - 11:36pm PT
10x higher than Japan?.. and...Lets say we accept that. What does that actually mean? What is the measurement in Japan?.. where in Japan? It's like good journalism died.

High Fructose Corn Spirit

Gym climber
Potemkin Village
Nov 8, 2013 - 11:56pm PT

You all should know who James Hansen is by now insofar as you're serious about these issues or concerns. Here he is on nuclear power...

[Click to View YouTube Video]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CZExWtXAZ7M

Be sure to catch Pandora's Promise one way or another.
dave729

Trad climber
Western America
Nov 9, 2013 - 03:03am PT
Serve that tuna sandwich with a Geiger counter. Watch as
as the clicking slows down with every bite you eat.

http://nuclear-news.net/2013/05/25/fukushimas-radioactive-contamination-spreads-in-marine-life/

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/05/23/national/cesium-levels-in-water-plankton-baffle-scientists/

http://12160.info/group/meltdown_japan_reactor/forum/topics/serving-tuna-with-a-geiger-counter-the-world-s-food-chain-could-b?xg_source=shorten_twitter

climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 9, 2013 - 08:27am PT
I'm not just dismissing these concerns out of hand. I am genuinely frustrated by the lack of useful information regarding actual levels of radiation both in and around Fukushima itself and as it has spread.

Background radiation is very simple and inexpensive to measure. But we can't even get a decent map of that. Certainly the more expensive data of isotope concentrations has been collected also but again no maps and levels being reported at least not in an easy to find format.

MY hunch is that levels are pretty safe more than a mile or so from Fukushima. I wouldn't be surprised if they are not too bad for anything but residential or daily working exposure within a few hundred yards possibly closer.

But it's just a hunch and I'm just talking out my ass without any data.. just like all these wordsmiths wasting hours on useless articles. Well useless unless you just like to scare people and not actually say anything.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 9, 2013 - 08:30am PT
There could be little green men living in the tree behind my house.

My point stands regardless of terrain involved, Land, Marine, airborne. We need data. The fact that fukushima isotopes have been measured nearly everywhere in the world is not surprising or alarming in itself. The quantities are what is important and we just are not getting that info. (well I havn't seen it loudly reported anyway it may be available)

If you could track the molecules of CO2 exhaled by your body you would find that in time some reach every part of the globe. A few molecules of radiaoctive isotopes are easy to detect but completely harmless.

High concentrations or acculation is a whole nuther issue. Speculation that this is occurring is not by any means alarming if not backed up by data showing that it IS happening.

I remember the first day I heard that radiation from Fukushima had been detected in Nevada. Nevada obviously has some good radiation monitoring equipment due to the fact that more than 300 nukes have been detonated here and many of those were above ground.

That day was a good powder day and I really wanted to find a radiation sticker to put on my ski's. Seemed funny to me how much people were actually worried, since the amounts detected were a few molecules a day.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 9, 2013 - 09:47pm PT
every notice folks how the naysayers calling for more data NEVER say boo about the fact that the states packed up and closed most of their data collecting regiments the day after it blew?

On it's face that is an extraordinary claim and not one to be believed without highly credible references at the very least. And in fact is patently false based on my recollection of the Nevada radiation detection statements issued days after fukushima went critical. I certainly do not fear inhaling few molecules of fukushima radiation that most certainly I will encounter in my life. I would fear if the concentration was high enough. Again no data not worth worrying about.

The previous statement is also misleading.

Radioactive isotopes are only hot when they fission. If you accumulate enough of the material it can be hazardous to your health if you do not it is not. Dosage matters. You are encountering radiation right now. Every human on earth has and will every second of their life. Not enough to waste effort to avoid however.

Once again The amounts matter. Without that information I suspect the story of baseless fearmongering by at best paranoid ignoramuses or at worst conmen trying to make a buck.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 9, 2013 - 10:02pm PT
What bothers me most about this incident is that it is VERY SERIOUS and yet we get so little useful information about it. Information that clearly exists. I cannot tell if it is becuase the story doesnt sell , because so few writers are capable of understanding and communicating it or if it is suppressed because it is so bad.

I lean towards the first two reasons but I cannot be certain.

Very annoying.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 9, 2013 - 11:07pm PT
Thanks rSin.

The real concern I have are reactors 1 2 and 3 that actually melted down.

The idea that removing unmelted rods from 4 could cause something worse than what happened at those seems a bit unlikely.

1 2 and 3 are problems for which we seem to have no solution. I would like a lot more information about them. Those are problems that may or may not get worse.

climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 10, 2013 - 12:03am PT
Yeah mebbe but that didnt happen at Chernobly, three mile island or reactors 1 2 and 3

And those things went about as bad as possible.

I'm thinking the worst they do is a repeat of 1 2 and 3. Not nearly as bad as Chernobyl.

Now what the f*#k do we do with 1 2 and 3 for a vey long time.. what's the worst that can happen.

For that matter how much are they leaking right now? Cause those things are really contaminated. No one can even go in those buildings with a lead suit.

1 2 and 3 are the real story and we cant get sh#t for data about them hardly.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 10, 2013 - 12:19am PT
cmon now.. more like changing your spark plugs using the best tools in the world with a months long deadline and you can hire the best mechanics in the world to do it. If you fail.. the damn thing melts down just like the other 3 did.
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 10, 2013 - 12:29am PT
they swap em out just as the gas gauge falls below FULL

Now there is an interesting point about current nuke design.

These f*#kers are greedy. it is possible to make much safer reactors than the current ones.

You have to be willing to accept lower yeild/unit of fuel.

Instead of running the damn thing as close to full throttle as possible.

Consider the reactor design used by the Mars Rover. There are a full range of possibilities in between. Plus we havn't even talked about how much cleaner and low waste product producing breeder styles can be.

climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 10, 2013 - 01:29am PT
And if we don't build them many thousands absolutely die from coal pollution. If we don't build them more stuff like what is happening in the philipines.

Something called opportunity cost. If you don't build them the alternatives that will be built are worse.

The energy needs of the billions and the technology they demand will not go down. Well they will eventually.. one way or another. Probably by eliminating a few billions. Avoidable if folks used their brains a little better than they do.

But that's like saying if your aunt had balls she'd be your uncle.

The next species much like us will be smarter on average and more socially adept. Their aunts will perhaps have balls (figuratively)
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Nov 10, 2013 - 05:08am PT
" If you fail.. the damn thing melts down just like the other 3 did."

This isn't true. The #4 spent fuel pool has NO CONTAINMENT! If it falls to earth, there will be a huge radioactive fire and the plant will be have to be abandoned. IF that happens, the other spent fuel pools will also evaporate and catch fire and all other cooling operations will cease and fail. The whole place goes wild and a Far far far far far worse disaster than the original meltdown will happen

Pretty serious stuff. We, and they, may be screwed.

Kinda ironic that after decades, Japan may nuke us

Peace

karl
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Nov 10, 2013 - 09:02am PT
Containment? oops forgot the hydrogen explosion blew the roof off.

So a bunch of (relatively cold?) material and structure that survived that is now all of a sudden gonna fail and go critical or at least catch fire by removing it? The folks working on this haven't considered how to keep that from occurring?

Dunno.. mebbe I suppose. But I'm not buying it. I've seen some pretty sensational stories about the possible armageddon but they don't seem very credible. Strong on scary speculation but weak on supporting information. Without that supporting information I tend to default to the general info that is available regarding things that have actually happened. What has happened is bad but not exactly armageddon nor even as bad as coal production.

I still think the real problem is 1 2 and 3 with a big incredibly radioactive slag heaps sitting down there.


Hey I finally found some numbers for total radiation leakage by Fukushima in an article. They are not very scary numbers compared to coal plant radiactive output. About 1/4the the annual radioactive output of a single coal plant.

"The radiation that fossil fuel plants spew into the environment each year is around 0.1 EBq. That’s ExaBecquerel, or 10 to the power of 18. Fukushima is pumping out 10 trillion becquerels a year at present. Or 10 TBq, or 10 of 10 to the power of 12. Or, if you prefer, one ten thousandth of the amount that the world’s coal plants are doing. Or even, given that there are only about 2,500 coal plants in the world, Fukushima is, in this disaster, pumping out around one quarter of the radiation that a coal plant does in normal operation."
command error

Trad climber
Colorado
Nov 16, 2013 - 01:25am PT
A nuke friend advised never learn how reactors operate if
I enjoyed getting a good nights sleep without nightmares.

Kalimon

Social climber
Ridgway, CO
Nov 16, 2013 - 01:33am PT
Thanks rSin for keeping us all informed . . . don't hear too much about the F-shima in the mainstream media. Sweet dreams y'all!
cliffhanger

Trad climber
California
Dec 7, 2013 - 11:34am PT
They’re Going to Dump the Fukushima Radiation Into the Ocean

http://foodfreedomgroup.com/2013/12/05/theyre-going-to-dump-the-fukushima-radiation-into-the-ocean/


"By Washington’s Blog
Yup … They’re Going to Dump It

Tepco is planning on dumping all of the radioactive water stored at Fukushima into the ocean.

The industry-controlled nuclear regulators are pushing for dumping the radiation, as well.

As EneNews reports:

Juan Carlos Lentijo, head of IAEA’s mission to Fukushima Daiichi, Dec. 4, 2013: “Controlled discharge is a regular practice in all the nuclear facilities in the world. And what we are trying to say here is to consider this as one of the options to contribute to a good balance of risks and to stabilize the facility for the long term.”

Shunichi Tanaka, chairman of Japan’s Nuclear Regulation Authority, Dec. 4, 2013: “You cannot keep storing the water forever. We have to make choice comparing all risks involved.”

Xinhua, Dec. 4, 2013: Lentijo said that TEPCO should weigh the possible damaging effects of discharging toxic water against the total risks involved in the overall decommissioning work process. [...] Tanaka highlighted the fact that while highly radioactive water could be decontaminated in around seven years, the amount of water containing tritium will keep rising, topping 700,000 tons in two years. [...] nuclear experts have repeatedly pointed out that [tritium] is still a significant radiation hazard when inhaled, ingested via food or water, or absorbed through the skin. [...] fisherman, industries and fisheries bodies in the Fukushima area and beyond in Japan’s northeast, have collectively baulked at the idea of releasing toxic water into the sea [...] TEPCO will be duty-bound to submit assessments of the safety and environmental impact [...]

NHK, Dec. 4, 2013: IAEA team leader Juan Carlos Lentijo [...] said it is necessary and indispensable to assess the impact the tritium discharge might have on human health and the environment, and to get government approval as well as consent from concerned people.

Japan Times, Dec. 4, 2013: “Of course . . . public acceptance for this purpose is necessary,” said Lentijo, adding strict monitoring of the impact of the discharge would also be essential.

AFP, Dec. 4, 2013: [L]ocal fishermen, neighbouring countries and environmental groups all oppose the idea.

See also: Gundersen: They want to dump all Fukushima’s radioactive water in Pacific — Tepco: It will be diluted, then released — Professor suggests pumping it out in deep ocean (VIDEOS)

In the real world, there is no safe level of radiation.

And there are alternatives.

Dr. Arjun Makhijani – a recognized expert on nuclear power, who has testified before Congress, served as an expert witness in Nuclear Regulatory Commission proceedings, and been interviewed by many of the largest news organizations – told PBS in March:

We actually sent a proposal to Japan two years ago, some colleagues of mine and I, saying you should park a supertanker or a large tanker offshore, and put the water in it, and send it off someplace else so that the water treatment and the water management is not such a huge, constant issue. But [the Japanese declined].

Tepco – with no financial incentive to actually fix things – has been insanely irresponsible and has only been pretending to contain Fukushima. And see this.

Unfortunately, Japan has devolved into crony capitalism … and even tyranny.

So instead of doing something to contain the radiation, they’re going to dump it.

Postscript: In related news, the Japanese government has embarked on a massive program of burning radioactive waste throughout Japan … instead of encapsulating it in glass or otherwise containing it."

http://www.30bananasaday.com/forum/topics/they-re-going-to-dump-the-fukushima-radiation-into-the-ocean
Kalimon

Social climber
Ridgway, CO
Dec 7, 2013 - 11:40am PT
A beautiful death plume . . . what is the half life on this material?

Heaven help the fool.
Ed Hartouni

Trad climber
Livermore, CA
Dec 7, 2013 - 12:03pm PT
so, do you have a link to the NOAA website for that map?

Cesium 137 has a half life of 30 years. It follows potassium pathways in the biosphere. In humans it has a biological half-life of 110 days. In experiments with dogs, 4.1 μg per kilogram of body mass was a lethal dose.

While seemingly contradictory, materials that are highly radioactive have short half-lives...

monolith

climber
SF bay area
Dec 7, 2013 - 12:08pm PT
Cliffhanger, that pic isn't a radiation map. You may know that, but lots of people think it is. It's not even an ocean current map. It's a wave height map to show the effects of the tsunami.

http://www.snopes.com/photos/technology/fukushima.asp
monolith

climber
SF bay area
Dec 7, 2013 - 12:13pm PT
rSin, you seem to be attributing that quote to me.

Why are you so sloppy and deceptive?
monolith

climber
SF bay area
Dec 7, 2013 - 12:18pm PT
You are lying when you attribute quotes to someone you know never said them.

If you think that helps your 'cause' please continue.
cliffhanger

Trad climber
California
Dec 7, 2013 - 12:57pm PT
I didn't check out the sources. Thanks for pointing out the map. Here's what NOAA says about it:

http://www.noaa.gov/features/03_protecting/japantsunami_oneyearlater.html

"This image was created by NOAA's Center for Tsunami Research and graphically shows maximum wave heights (in centimeters or cm) of the tsunami generated by the Japan earthquake on March 11, 2011. It does NOT represent levels of radiation from the damaged Fukushima nuclear power plant. For more information please visit the original image and background information at http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/honshu20110311. "

Here's the blog the article originally came from which does not have the map:

http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/12/theyre-going-dump-fukushima-radiation-ocean.html

Also: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-11-20/fukushima27s-contaminated-water-will-eventually-be-dumped-in-o/5104584
Yak-Chik

Trad climber
Phoenix
Jan 7, 2014 - 02:36pm PT
How do you wax the skis for radioactive snow?

Recent news stories about radioactive snow and rain falling
on the US but what caught my attention was the guy with the geiger
counter beeping like its about to explode on a San Francisco beach
Christmas Day 2013.

Apparently isotopes washed ashore. Are they from Japan? Should I make a sandcastle right there?

Geiger counter readings of background radiation at a beach in San Francisco over five times the safe level. Alarm! Christmas Day 2013
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elnuXmG5hBc

Health officials in California are now telling residents not to worry after a video uploaded to the internet last month seemed to show high levels of radiation at a Pacific Coast beach.

http://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2014/01/radiation-on-san-francisco-beach.html



Missouri Snow Found to Contain Radiation DOUBLE Normal Amount
Jan 6 2014
http://www.infowars.com/missouri-snow-found-to-contain-radiation-double-normal-amount/



Outside

Trad climber
Truckee
Jan 7, 2014 - 03:15pm PT
http://deepseanews.com/2013/11/true-facts-about-ocean-radiation-and-the-fukushima-disaster/
command error

Trad climber
Colorado
Jan 7, 2014 - 04:30pm PT
Thats not good. Hope they keep the clean up quiet. People go
batsh#t crazy over radiation for the stupid reason it can kill
you invisibly.




abrams

Sport climber
Jan 10, 2014 - 04:06pm PT
Its time to embrace the horror of gamma emitting beach sand or whatever.

Fukushima Fish Taco's anyone?

The California surfer community needs to demand a network of radiation
sensor bouys anchored around popular areas so they can know if its
even worth it drive to the beach.





TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Feb 2, 2014 - 08:59pm PT
http://caretakersofmotherearth.com/

COUNCIL STATEMENT

This statement reflects the wisdom of the Spiritual People of the Earth, of North and South America, working in unity to restore peace, harmony and balance for our collective future and for all living beings. This statement is written in black and white with a foreign language that is not our own and does not convey the full depth of our concerns.
The Creator created the People of the Earth into the Land at the beginning of Creation and gave us a way of life. This way of life has been passed down generation-to-generation since the beginning. We have not honored this way of life through our own actions and we must live these original instructions in order to restore universal balance and harmony. We are a part of Creation; thus, if we break the Laws of Creation, we destroy ourselves.

We, the Original Caretakers of Mother Earth, have no choice but to follow and uphold the Original Instructions, which sustains the continuity of Life. We recognize our umbilical connection to Mother Earth and understand that she is the source of life, not a resource to be exploited. We speak on behalf of all Creation today, to communicate an urgent message that man has gone too far, placing us in the state of survival. We warned that one day you would not be able to control what you have created. That day is here. Not heeding warnings from both Nature and the People of the Earth keeps us on the path of self destruction. This self destructive path has led to the Fukushima nuclear crisis, Gulf oil spill, tar sands devastation, pipeline failures, impacts of carbon dioxide emissions and the destruction of ground water through hydraulic fracking, just to name a few. In addition, these activities and development continue to cause the deterioration and destruction of sacred places and sacred waters that are vital for Life.
Powerful technologies are out of control
and are threatening the future of all life

The Fukushima nuclear crisis alone is a threat to the future of humanity. Yet, our concern goes far beyond this single threat. Our concern is with the cumulative and compounding devastation that is being wrought by the actions of human beings around the world. It is the combination of resource extraction, genetically modified organisms, moral failures, pollution, introduction of invasive species and much much more that are threatening the future of life on Earth. The compounding of bad decisions and their corresponding actions are extremely short-sighted. They do not consider the future generations and they do not respect or honor the Creator’s Natural Law. We strongly urge for the governmental authorities to respond with an open invitation to work and consult with us to solve the world’s problems, without war. We must stop waging war against Mother Earth, and ourselves.

We acknowledge that all of these devastating actions originated in human beings who are living without regard for the Earth as the source of life. They have strayed from the Original Instructions by casting aside the Creator’s Natural Law. It is now critical for humanity to acknowledge that we have created a path to self destruction. We must restore the Original Instructions in our lives to halt this devastation.

The sanctity of the Original Instructions has been violated. As a result, the Spiritual People of the Earth were called ceremonially to come together at the home of the Sacred White Buffalo Calf Pipe Bundle. These Spiritual Leaders and those that carry great responsibility for their people from both North and South America came together with the sacred fire for four days at the end of September 2013 to fulfill their sacred responsibilities. During this time it was revealed that the spirit of destruction gained its’ strength by our spiritually disconnected actions. We are all responsible in varying degrees for calling forth this spirit of destruction, thus we are all bound to begin restoring what we have damaged by helping one another recover our sacred responsibility to the Earth. We, the Original Caretakers of Mother Earth, offer our spiritual insight, wisdom and vision to the global community to help guide the actions needed to overcome the current threats to all life.
We only have to look at our own bodies to recognize the sacred purpose of water on Mother Earth. We respect and honor our spiritual relationship with the lifeblood of Mother Earth. One does not sell or contaminate their mother’s blood. These capitalistic actions must stop and we must recover our sacred relationship with the Spirit of Water

The People of the Earth understand that the Fukushima nuclear crisis continues to threaten the future of all life. We understand the full implications of this crisis even with the suppression of information and the filtering of truth by the corporate owned media and Nation States. We strongly urge the media, corporations and Nation States to acknowledge and convey the true facts that threaten us, so that the international community may work together to resolve this crisis, based on the foundation of Truth.

We urge the international community, government of Japan and TEPCO to unify efforts to stabilize and re-mediate the nuclear threat posed at the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant. To ensure that the Japanese government and TEPCO are supported with qualified personnel and information, we urge the inclusion of today’s nuclear experts from around the world to collaborate, advise and provide technical assistance to prevent further radioactive contamination or worse, a nuclear explosion that may have apocalyptic consequences.
The foundation for peace will be strengthened
by restoring the Original Instructions in ourselves

Prophecies have been shared and sacred instructions were given. We, the People of the Earth, were instructed that the original wisdom must be shared again when imbalance and disharmony are upon Mother Earth. In 1994 the sacred white buffalo, the giver of the sacred pipe, returned to the Lakota, Dakota and Nakota people bringing forth the sacred message that the winds of change are here. Since that time many more messengers in the form of white animals have come, telling us to wake up my children. It is time. So listen for the sacred instruction.
All Life is sacred. We come into Life as sacred beings. When we abuse the sacredness of Life we affect all Creation

We urge all Nations and human beings around the world to work with us, the Original Caretakers of Mother Earth, to restore the Original Instructions and uphold the Creator’s Natural Law as a foundation for all decision making, from this point forward. Our collective future as human beings is in our hands, we must address the Fukushima nuclear crisis and all actions that may violate the Creator’s Natural Law. We have reached the crossroads of life and the end of our existence. We will avert this potentially catastrophic nuclear disaster by coming together with good minds and prayer as a global community of all faiths.

We are the People of the Earth united under the Creator’s Law with a sacred covenant to protect and a responsibility to extend Life for all future generations. We are expressing deep concern for our shared future and urge everyone to awaken spiritually. We must work in unity to help Mother Earth heal so that she can bring back balance and harmony for all her children.

Representatives of the Council
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Feb 2, 2014 - 09:11pm PT
I guess it's time to all atone by doing the Sun Dance

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Feb 2, 2014 - 11:09pm PT
clever comment lacks wisdom
Bargainhunter

climber
Feb 16, 2014 - 08:00am PT
How quickly we forget.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/parallels/2014/02/15/277385083/three-years-later-a-harrowing-visit-to-fukushima
WBraun

climber
Feb 16, 2014 - 10:46am PT
From the council statement

"Our concern is with the cumulative and compounding devastation that is being wrought by the actions of human beings around the world."

That's the crux right there "cumulative and compounding".

These so called human beings today are not human beings anymore but worst then any animals today.

Just polished stupid animals posing as human beings.

Just stupid people completely detached from all reality.

Completely destroying everything they come in contact with including themselves.

Completely oblivious to the whole picture by their stupid incessant focus on only small parts and never the complete whole.

And lasting everyone of them believes they are "expert".

Stupid expert modern people ....
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Mar 14, 2014 - 08:36pm PT

Nuclear regulators misled the media after Fukushima, emails show
March 10, 2014

Emails obtained by journalists at NBC News reveal that officials at the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission — the government agency that oversees reactor safety and security — purposely misled the media after the Fukushima, Japan disaster in 2011.

On Monday this week — one day shy of the third anniversary of the Fukushima meltdown — NBC published emails obtained through a Freedom of Information Act that for the first time exposes on a major scale the efforts that NRC officials undertook in order to diminish the severity of the event in the hours and days after it began to unfold.

“In the tense days after a powerful earthquake and tsunami crippled the Fukushima Daiichi power plant in Japan on March 11, 2011, staff at the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission made a concerted effort to play down the risk of earthquakes and tsunamis to America’s aging nuclear plants,” Bill Dedman wrote for NBC.

Through the course of analyzing thousands of internal NRC emails, Dedman and company unearthed evidence that proves nuclear regulators went to great lengths to keep the scary facts about the Fukushima meltdown from being brought into the public eye.

Even when the international media was eager to learn the facts about the Fukushima tragedy while the matter was still developing, emails suggest that the NRC’s public relations wing worked hard to have employees stick to talking points that ignored the actual severity of the meltdown.

“While we know more than these say,” a PR manager wrote in one email to his colleagues, “we’re sticking to this story for now.”

That story, Dedman wrote, was filled with “numerous examples…of apparent misdirection or concealment” waged by the NRC in an attempt to keep the true nature of the meltdown hidden, especially as concerns grew that a similar event could occur on American soil.

“The talking points written during the emergency for NRC commissioners and other officials were divided into two sections: ‘public answer’ and ‘additional technical, non-public information,’” Dedman wrote. “Often the two parts didn’t quite match.”

According to NBC, emails indicate that the NRC insisted on sticking to talking points that painted a much different picture than what was really happening three years ago this week. Japanese engineers employed by the NRC at American facilities were effectively barred from making any comments to the media, some emails suggest, and at other times those regulators rallied employees at the NRC to keep from making any comment that could be used to disclose the detrimental safety standards in place at American facilities.

In one instance cited by Dedman, spokespeople for the NRC were told not to disclose the fact that American scientists were uncertain if any US facilities could sustain an earthquake like the one that ravaged Fukushima.

“We’re not so sure about, but again we are not talking about that,” reads one email cited by NBC.

At other times, the report added, NRC officials were left in the dark about what was actually unfolding on the other side of the Pacific because access to social media sites had been blocked on their work computers, causing some regulators to only hear about information pertaining to Fukushima once it trickled down to a point where they could access it.

In one email, for example, NRC public affairs official David McIntrye wrote in apparent disbelief to his colleagues that scientist and actor Bill Nye was participating in “an incoherent discussion on CNN” about a potential hydrogen explosion at Fukushima.

“I’m not buying it,” McIntyre wrote.

Five minutes after that email was sent, a colleague responded by writing, “There is a good chance it was a hydrogen explosion that took the roof off that building, though we are not saying that publicly.”

Days later, McIntyre blasted his supervisor for hesitating during a CNN interview in which he was asked if US plants could withstand an earthquake on par with the one suffered by residents of Fukushima.

“He should just say ‘Yes, it can.’” McIntyre wrote, instead of hesitating. “Worry about being wrong when it doesn’t. Sorry if I sound cynical.”

NBC News did not respond specifically to emails published in Dedman’s report, but the agency’s public affairs director emails a statement ensuring that “The NRC Office of Public Affairs strives to be as open and transparent as possible, providing the public accurate information in the proper context.”

“We take our communication mission seriously. We did then and we do now. The frustration displayed in the chosen emails reflects more on the extreme stress our team was under at the time to assure accuracy in a context in which information from Japan was scarce to non-existent. These emails fall well short of an accurate picture of our communications with the American public immediately after the event and during the past three years,” NRC Public Affairs Director Eliot Brenner wrote in the email.

Arguably more disheartening than the NRC officials’ attempt to whitewash the disaster, however, are the facts of the matter addressed in secret by the agency but not disclosed publicly. More than 30 of the nuclear power reactors in the US are of the same brand used in Fukushima, NBC reported, and some of the oldest facilities in operation have been in use since the 1970s. Despite this, though, the NRC instructed employees to not mention how any of those structures would be able to stand up against a hypothetical disaster.

On Monday, Fukushima expert and author Susan Q. Stranhan published an op-ed carried by the Philadelphia Inquirer which called into question the safety of the several nuclear facilities within the state of Pennsylvania, where a disaster in 1979 at Three Mile Island refocused national attention on the issue of nuclear safety.

“During Fukushima, the NRC recommended that Americans living within 50 miles of the plant evacuate, a wise call based on a dangerous radiation plume that spread about 30 miles northwest of the reactors. Despite that experience, the NRC today remains steadfast in its belief that the existing 10-mile emergency evacuation zone around US nuclear plants is adequate and that there would be plenty of time to expand that zone if conditions warranted,” Stranahan wrote.

“Three years after Fukushima Daiichi, the NRC and the nuclear industry continue to repeat a familiar mantra: The likelihood of a severe accident is so low there is no need to plan for it. That was what the Japanese said, too.”
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Apr 27, 2014 - 12:22am PT
by Yuka Obayashi / via Japan Times / April 20, 2014 / The manager of the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant admits to embarrassment that repeated efforts have failed to bring under control the problem of radioactive water
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Aug 25, 2014 - 07:59pm PT
U.S. News
Hearings planned after call for nuke-plant closure
FILE - This Sept. 20, 2005, file photo, shows Pacific Gas and Electric's Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant in Avila Beach, Calif. Michael Peck, a senior federal nuclear expert, is urging regulators to shut down California's last operating nuclear plant until they can determine whether the facility's twin reactors can withstand powerful shaking from any one of several nearby earthquake faults. Peck, who for five years was Diablo Canyon's lead on-site inspector, says in a 42-page, confidential report that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission is not applying the safety rules it set out for the plant's operation. (AP Photo - Michael A. Mariant)
By MICHAEL R. BLOOD
From Associated Press
August 25, 2014 7:43 PM EST

LOS ANGELES (AP) — A senior federal nuclear expert is urging regulators to shut down California's last operating nuclear plant until they can determine whether the facility's twin reactors can withstand powerful shaking from any one of several nearby earthquake faults.

Michael Peck, who for five years was Diablo Canyon's lead on-site inspector, says in a 42-page, confidential report that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission is not applying the safety rules it set out for the plant's operation.

The document, which was obtained and verified by The Associated Press, does not say the plant itself is unsafe. Instead, according to Peck's analysis, no one knows whether the facility's key equipment can withstand strong shaking from those faults — the potential for which was realized decades after the facility was built.

Continuing to run the reactors, Peck writes, "challenges the presumption of nuclear safety."

Peck's July 2013 filing is part of an agency review in which employees can appeal a supervisor's or agency ruling — a process that normally takes 60 to 120 days, but can be extended. The NRC, however, has not yet ruled. Spokeswoman Lara Uselding said in emails that the agency would have no comment on the document.

The NRC, which oversees the nation's commercial nuclear power industry, and Diablo Canyon owner Pacific Gas and Electric Co., say the nearly three-decade-old reactors, which produce enough electricity for more than 3 million people annually, are safe and that the facility complies with its operating license, including earthquake safety standards.

PG&E spokesman Blair Jones said the NRC has exhaustively analyzed earthquake threats for Diablo Canyon and demonstrated that it "is seismically safe." Jones said in an email that the core issue involving earthquake ground motions was resolved in the late 1970s with seismic retrofitting of the plant.

Following the AP report, the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee announced it would hold hearings into how the NRC has handled Peck's recommendation. Sen. Barbara Boxer, a California Democrat who chairs the panel, said in a statement she's alarmed his report has lingered at the agency for a year. "The NRC's failure to act constitutes an abdication of its responsibility to protect public health and safety," she said.

The disaster preparedness of the world's nuclear plants came into sharp focus in 2011, when the coastal Fukushima Dai-ichi plant in Japan suffered multiple meltdowns after an earthquake and tsunami destroyed its power and cooling systems. The magnitude-9 earthquake was far larger than had been believed possible. The NRC has since directed U.S. nuclear plants to reevaluate seismic risks, and those studies are due by March 2015.

The importance of such an analysis was underscored Sunday when a magnitude 6.0-earthquake struck in Northern California's wine country, injuring scores of residents, knocking out power to thousands and toppling wine bottles at vineyards.

Environmentalists have long depicted Diablo Canyon — the state's last nuclear plant after the 2013 closure of the San Onofre reactors in Southern California — as a nuclear catastrophe in waiting. In many ways, the history of the plant, located halfway between Los Angeles and San Francisco on the Pacific coast and within 50 miles of 500,000 people, has been a costly fight against nature, involving questions and repairs connected to its design and structural strength.

What's striking about Peck's analysis is that it comes from within the NRC itself, and gives a rare look at a dispute within the agency. At issue are whether the plant's mechanical guts could survive a big jolt and what yardsticks should be used to measure the ability of the equipment to withstand the potentially strong vibrations that could result.

The conflict between Peck and his superiors stems from the 2008 discovery of the Shoreline fault, which snakes offshore about 650 yards from the reactors. A larger crack, the Hosgri fault, had been discovered in the 1970s about 3 miles away, after the plant's construction permits had been issued and work was underway. Surveys have mapped a network of other faults north and south of the reactors.

According to Peck's filing, PG&E research in 2011 determined that any of three nearby faults — the Shoreline, Los Osos and San Luis Bay — is capable of producing significantly more ground motion during an earthquake than was accounted for in the design of important plant equipment. In the case of San Luis Bay, it is as much as 75 percent more.

Those findings involve estimates of what's called peak ground acceleration, a measurement of how hard the earth could shake in a given location. The analysis says PG&E failed to demonstrate that the equipment would remain operable if exposed to the stronger shaking, violating its operating license.

The agency should shut the facility down until it is proven that piping, reactor cooling and other systems can meet higher stress levels, or approve exemptions that would allow the plant to continue to operate, according to Peck's analysis.

Peck disagreed with his supervisors' decision to let the plant continue to operate without assessing the findings. Unable to resolve his concerns, Peck in 2012 filed a formal objection, calling for PG&E to be cited for violating the safety standards, according to his filing. Within weeks, the NRC said the plant was being operated safely. In 2013 he filed another objection, triggering the current review.

The NRC says the Hosgri fault line presents the greatest earthquake risk and that Diablo Canyon's reactors can withstand the largest projected quake on it. In his analysis, Peck wrote that after officials learned of the Hosgri fault's potential shaking power, the NRC never changed the requirements for the structural strength of many systems and components in the plant.

In 2012, the agency endorsed preliminary findings that found shaking from the Shoreline fault would not pose any additional risk for the reactors. Those greater ground motions were "at or below those for which the plant was evaluated previously," referring to the Hosgri fault, it concluded.

Peck, who holds a doctorate in nuclear engineering and is now a senior instructor at the NRC's Technical Training Center in Tennessee, declined to comment on the filing.

Earthquake faults and nuclear power plants have been uneasy neighbors in the state for decades. The Humboldt Bay plant in Northern California, which was within 3,000 yards of three faults, was shut down in 1976 to refuel and reinforce its ability to withstand possible earthquakes.

Restarting it became more difficult and costly than projected — it never reopened.

http://enews.earthlink.net/article/us?guid=20140825/2bb5a3af-e982-48a7-9b17-12e01572d85f
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Oct 12, 2014 - 10:02am PT
http://permaculturenews.org/2014/09/25/tokyo-contaminated-fit-habitation-doctor-says/


Tokyo Contaminated & Not Fit for Habitation, Doctor Says

Posted September 25, 2014 by I-SIS & filed under Health & Disease, Nuclear.

All 23 districts of Tokyo contaminated with radiation, worse than at Chernobyl after the accident, and blood cells of children under ten are showing worrying changes; the WHO, the IAEA & the Japanese government cannot be trusted.

by Susie Greaves

In July 2014 Dr Shigeru Mita wrote a letter to his fellow doctors to explain his decision to move his practice from Tokyo to Okayama city in the West of Japan [1]. In it, he appeals to their sense of duty to answer the anxieties of parents in Japan who do not believe the information coming from the authorities. He says “I must state that the policies of the WHO, the IAEA or the Japanese government cannot be trusted.” and “if the power to save our citizens and future generations exists somewhere, it does not lie within the government or any academic association, but in the hands of individual clinical doctors ourselves.”

Mita claims that all 23 districts of Tokyo are contaminated, with the eastern area worst affected — up to 4 000 Bq/kg. (The becquerel is a unit of radioactivity. One Bq is the activity of a quantity of radioactive material in which one nucleus decays per second.) These findings confirm what the nuclear physicist Arnie Gundersen of Fairewinds Nuclear Education found in 2012, when he picked up five random soil samples in Tokyo from between paving stones, in parks and playgrounds. The levels of contamination were up to 7 000 Bq/kg; in the US, anything registering these levels would be considered nuclear waste [2].

While practising in Tokyo, Mita also discovered changes in the white blood cells of children under 10.

Independent science & independent reporting in Japan outlawed

In December 2013, the Japanese parliament passed a bill whereby public officials and private citizens could face ten years in prison for divulging “special state secrets”, and journalists, five years, for seeking to obtain classified information. The bill is widely interpreted as a way of preventing sensitive information about Fukushima (among other topics) reaching the Japanese public and by extension the rest of the world [3].

The independent organisation Reporters without Borders has downgraded Japan in its world press freedom index from 22nd place in 2012, to 53rd in 2013 and to 59th in 2014, following the passing of the state secrets bill. Reporters without Borders say that Japan“has been affected by a lack of transparency and almost zero respect for access to information on subjects directly or indirectly related to Fukushima” [4].

Nuclear lobby put in charge

Back in December 2012, the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) whose mission is to promote the peaceful uses of the atom, signed agreements with Fukushima Prefecture, Fukushima Medical University and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. These “Practical Arrangements” have in effect, handed over the management of the post-accident situation at Fukushima and its health consequences to the nuclear lobby. Among other clauses regarding cooperation and funding, we read that “The Parties will ensure the confidentiality of information classified by the other Party as restricted or confidential” [5].

But this should come as no surprise. Anyone who doubts the heavy hand of the nuclear lobby in the “management” (i.e. minimisation) of nuclear accidents should read the account by the physicist Bella Belbéoch entitled “Western responsibility regarding the health consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe in Belarus, the Ukraine and Russia” [6]. The initial Soviet cover up of the accident is well known. Less well known are the “stages of submission” in which the IAEA forced the Soviets to accede to their demands to minimise estimates of the health effects of the accident. In a series of manipulations and bullying tactics, they forced the Soviet officials to divide their estimates of the health effects by a factor of 10. One Soviet delegate, Legassov, committed suicide, a few days after he capitulated to the IAEA demands, on the 26th April 1988, the second anniversary of the Chernobyl accident.

A travesty of reporting on risks and cancers

How has the nuclear lobby reacted to Fukushima? A preliminary assessment published in 2012 by the World Health Organisation (but actually emanating from the IAEA) managed to draw optimistic conclusions, while ignoring two critical groups, the workers at the TEPCO plant, and the people who were evacuated from the immediate area (See [7] WHO Report on Fukushima a Travesty SiS 55). Then in 2013, the UNSCEAR report [8] described the risks of people developing thyroid cancer, leukaemia and breast cancer as barely discernible, even though the rates of childhood thyroid cancer in Fukushima prefecture are already 40 times what would be expected [9]. The UNSCEAR report has been criticised by the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War because it consistently underestimates the radiation dose received, underestimates internal radiation, ignores the vulnerability of the human embryo to radiation, ignores hereditary effects, ignores the unreliability of the dose received by workers at the stricken plant, and only considers some cancers as potential health effects, whereas the experience of Chernobyl shows that every vital organ and system of the body is affected [10].

Raising the ‘safe’ limit of radiation

The Japanese people are faced with a government whose response to the dangers of the radiation was to increase the acceptable limit from 1 mSv/year to 20 mSv/year and who are now encouraging people to move back into areas that had previously been evacuated. (The millisievert is a unit of radiation dose. Before the Fukushima accident, Japan, like the rest of the world, respected the limit of 1 mSv/year recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP).) Meanwhile, the nuclear lobby wants to see the resumption of nuclear power in Japan as quickly as possible. This is not an atmosphere in which doctors are encouraged to report health effects that could be the result of radiation, and certainly not in Tokyo, whose residents have been led to believe that they have nothing to fear.

Changes in white blood cells in children

Mita began work as a general practitioner in Tokyo in the 1990s. In the letter to his colleagues explaining his decision to move his practice from Tokyo to Okayama City, he claims that contamination in the eastern part of Tokyo is 1000-4000 Bq/kg and in the western part, 300-1000Bq/kg. He compares these levels with Kiev, in Ukraine, after the accident at Chernobyl, of 500 Bq/kg, and with measurements taken before the 2011 Fukushima accident at Shinjuku, the site of the Tokyo municipal government of 0.5 – 1.5 Bq/kg. He says that

Tokyo should no longer be inhabited, and that those who insist on living in Tokyo must take regular breaks in safer areas.

Mita conducts thyroid ultrasound tests for parents who are concerned about the health of their children but he is now concerned about the results of another test on children under 10, the differential white blood cell count. This test is undergone routinely by workers in the nuclear industry who are exposed to radiation. Blood is produced in bone marrow, which is one of the organs most vulnerable to radiation. The white blood cells consist of five different kinds of cells, neutrophils, lymphocytes, eosinocytes, basophils and monocytes, and it is the relative numbers of these five cell types that is examined. Mita has found a decline in neutrophils in children under 10, in areas that are not considered to be highly contaminated or even contaminated at all. His patients come from Northern Kanto, the area around Tokyo and including Tokyo itself [11].

"The pediatricians’ general textbook says that the reference value of neutrophils for healthy children (6-12 years old) is between 3000 and 5000. 3000 is considered as the threshold value.” Mita says. “But the mean value of neutrophils of the children who have visited our clinics since the accident has decreased to 2500. … It is lower than the threshold value of 3000. I think this points at a serious problem."

Mita explains that although the decrease in neutrophil does not directly cause lowered immunity, it is “the last bastion of the immunity system” and could play a role in fatal illnesses such as septicaemia in the case of aggressive colds. “In the summer of 2011, there were many children with bloodshot eyes; and what we saw most were children with dark circles under the eyes. We also had increased occurrence of sinusitis. Previously, these patients got better soon after they were given proper treatment; however, we are seeing more cases of sinusitis accompanied with mild case of asthma continuing for longer periods. And when these children spend some time in the West, they get better. If at all possible, I would like them to move away from East Japan.”

In adults, he has found increased nosebleeds, hair loss, lack of energy, subcutaneous bleeding, visible urinary haemorrhage, skin inflammation, and coughs. He has found an increase in infectious diseases such as influenza, hand, foot and mouth diseases and shingles. “We also see more patients with diseases that had been rare before; for example, polymyalgia rheumatica is a disease common among those above age 50 and contracted by 1.7 people out of every 100,000. Before 3.11, [the date of the accident at Fukushima] we had one or less patient per year. Now, we treat more than 10 patients at the same time.” Dr Mita wonders “Could these be the same symptoms of muscle rheumatism that were recorded in Chernobyl?”

Finally, Mita says that the radioactive contamination of Tokyo is increasing because of the Japanese government’s policy of transporting radioactive waste from the Fukushima zone all over Japan for incineration or burial. The Japanese government and the nuclear authorities claimed that filters on the stacks of the incineration plants would remove most of the radioactivity, but this is not the case, and in the opinion of many, it is adding to the contamination. Arnie Gundersen, for instance says, “They are creating 100 to 1000 times more radioactive material by burning debris than keeping it in concentrated form” [12].

To conclude

Mita is talking about his perceptions of the changes in health of a population living in an area that is not considered contaminated. It will be all too easy to dismiss his findings. He himself is not optimistic. He acknowledges that to prove any of his suspicions would require teams of doctors, and expensive research projects to compare groups of people, their radioactive contamination and the illnesses from which they suffer. That’s something simply beyond the reach of any single physician. In other words, “it’s impossible under the present state to collect the kind of data that would be printed in a prestigious science magazine. Still, as long as I know that something strange is clearly happening, I can’t just sit here doing nothing.”

And here is Professor Yablokov talking about the difficulties that doctors and scientists experienced in the Chernobyl territories, to prove a correlation between radiation and illness [13]: “The demand by IAEA and WHO experts to require “significant correlation” between the imprecisely calculated levels of individual radiation […] and precisely diagnosed illnesses […] is not, in our view, scientifically valid. […] We believe it is scientifically incorrect to reject data generated by many thousands of scientists, doctors and other experts who directly observed the suffering of millions affected by radioactive fallout in Belarus, Ukraine and Russia, as “mismatching scientific protocols.” It is scientifically valid to find ways to abstract the valuable information from these data.” Yablokov goes on to list the ways in which this could be done.

But it was not done in Belarus, Ukraine and Russia, and, in this way, the true health consequences of the Chernobyl accident remain hidden. The 2 million people, including 500,000 children still living in the worst contaminated areas around Chernobyl suffer a myriad of illnesses. (According to the Ministry of Health and Sciences in Belarus in 2000, 85% of the children in the contaminated areas were ill, whereas that figure was 15% before the accident in 1986 [14].)

Mita has made a brave decision. The pressure on health professionals and other citizens in Japan to remain silent about the health consequences of Fukushima, will lead to a health catastrophe there — not now, but in the decades to come.

For more on Fukushima and Chernobyl see [15] Truth about Fukushima and other articles in the series (SiS 55) and [16] Fukushima Crisis Goes Global (SiS 61).

References:

World Network for Saving Children from Radiation (2014). A Tokyo doctor who has moved to western Japan urges fellow doctors to promote radiation protection: A message from Dr Mita to his colleagues in Kodaira, Tokyo. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://www.save-children-from-radiation.org/2014/07/16/a-tokyo-doctor-who-has-moved-to-western-japan-urges-fellow-doctors-to-promote-radiation-protection-a-message-from-dr-mita-to-his-colleagues-in-kodaira-city-t/
ENENews (2012). Gunderson: Tokyo soil so hot it should be sent to nuclear waste dump – Really severe releases hit city. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://enenews.com/gundersen-tokyo-soil-hot-be-shipped-radioactive-dump);.
“Japan whistleblowers face crackdown under proposed state secrets law.” Justin McMurray, Guardian, 5 December 2013. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/dec/05/whistleblowers-japan-crackdown-state-secrets
Reporters without Borders (2013). Press freedom index 2013: Dashed hopes after spring. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://en.rsf.org/press-freedom-index-2013,1054.html
Practical Arrangements between Fukushima Medical University and the International Atomic Energy Agency on Cooperation in the Area of Human Health. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/energy/fukushima_2012/pdfs/fukushima_iaea_en_06.pdf
Belbéoch B. Responsabilités occidentales dans les conséquences sanitaires de la catastrophe de Tchernobyl, en Bélorussie, Ukraine et Russie. In Radioprotection et Droit nucléaire (eds. I Rens, J Jakubec, E George). Collection SEBES, 1998. English translation: Western responsibility regarding the health consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe in Belarus, the Ukraine and Russia. http://www.dissident-media.org/infonucleaire/western_responsability.html 25/8/14
Greaves S. WHO report on Fukushima a travesty. Science in Society 55 2012, 38-39.
United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation. Sources, Effects and Risks of Ionizing Radiation. United Nations, New York, 2014. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://www.unscear.org/docs/reports/2013/13-85418_Report_2013_Annex_A.pdf
Wasserman H. Fukushima, the continuing catastrophe. The Ecologist, June 2014.http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/2433355/fukushima_the_continuing_catastrophe.html
Physicians for Social Responsibility USA et al. Critical Analysis of the UNSCEAR Report “Levels and effects of radiation exposure due to the nuclear accident after the 2011 Great East-Japan Earthquake and tsunami.” International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW). Berlin, 2014. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://ippnw-students.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/UNSCEAR-Critique.pdf
World Network for Saving Children from Radiation. Dr Shigeru Mita addresses the need of blood examination among children in the Kanto area. 2013. Accessed 25 August 2014, http://www.save-children-from-radiation.org/2013/11/11/title-dr-shigeru-mita-addresses-the-need-of-blood-examination-among-children-in-the-kanto-area/
“Radioactive rubble reaction to haven in Japan.” Arnie Gundersen, Youtube. Accessed 25 August 2014, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIr-QcsjKxE);
Yablokov AV, Nesterenko VB and Nesterenko AV. Consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe for public health and the environment 23 years later. Proceedings of the New York Academy of Sciences 1181, 2009, 318-326.
UN Human Rights Council. Seventh session. Point 3. A/HRC/7/NGO/33 22 February 2008.
Ho MW. Truth about Fukushima. Science in Society 55 2012,18-23.
Ho MW. Fukushima crisis goes global. Science in Society 61 2014, 4-9.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Oct 12, 2014 - 11:52am PT
The following discredits the main source upon which the article posted above is based:
http://atomicinsights.com/arnie-gundersen-caught-on-video-lying-about-risk-of-radiation-released-during-fukushima-event/

Arnie Gundersen Caught on Video Lying About Risk of Radiation Released During Fukushima Event

Who to believe in this wild and mixed up world of media? I'm more inclined to believe this:
http://blogs.nature.com/news/2011/09/directly_comparing_fukushima_t.html

Fukushima has released 1.5×1016 becquerels (Bq) of Cs-137—about a fifth of the Cs-137 from Chernobyl. The total radioactive release from Fukushima is currently estimated at about 5.5% of Chernobyl, which spewed an incredible 1.4×1019Bq.

The Fukushima fallout is notable for what it doesn’t contain. Some very nasty contaminants like strontium-90, americium-241, and various plutonium isotopes are all absent in any significant quantity because the concrete vessels around the reactors appear to be largely intact. In Chernobyl, the explosion and subsequent fire spewed these extremely dangerous isotopes far and wide.

The bottom line here is that Fukushima and Chernobyl are comparable, and a comparison really helps underscore the differences. Fukushima’s heavy containment vessels limited the spread of some dangerous isotopes, but the coastal location makes marine contamination a much bigger issue than it ever was for Chernobyl. The latest maps suggest that there will be a permanent exclusion zone to the northwest of Fukushima, but it will likely be quite a bit smaller than the one at Chernobyl.
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 12, 2014 - 12:51pm PT
"In December 2013, the Japanese parliament passed a bill whereby public officials and private citizens could face ten years in prison for divulging “special state secrets”, and journalists, five years, for seeking to obtain classified information. The bill is widely interpreted as a way of preventing sensitive information about Fukushima (among other topics) reaching the Japanese public and by extension the rest of the world [3]."

Shame! Why pass draconian laws if there's nothing to hide?

Anybody know how the removal of fuel rods from the Spent fuel pool in the derelict building is going? Started last year but haven't heard anything

Thanks Tom for keeping up with this

PEace

Karl
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Oct 12, 2014 - 03:19pm PT
Could it also be that now that the US has proven to everyone by its performance that it is a totally unreliable ally against aggressive expansionists, that Japan now stands by itself, and must have a more secure military posture vis a vis China?
Karl Baba

Trad climber
Yosemite, Ca
Oct 12, 2014 - 08:30pm PT
It was pretty clear when they passed that law that it was aimed at Fukashima information as I believe that was specifically included.

If local radiation wasn't a "State secret" it wouldn't be a worry for this law

Peace

Karl
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Santa Cruz Mountains and Monterey Bay
Oct 12, 2014 - 10:52pm PT

No work is on-going in Fukushima reactor buildings for “summer vacation”
August 10, 2014

Currently no decommissioning work is on-going in the crippled reactor buildings of Fukushima plant.

A Fukushima worker Happy11311 posted on Twitter that significant part of the workers had summer vacation from 8/9/2014.

In most of the cases, Japanese summer vacation lasts for 1 week.

Happy11311 states some workers are remaining in the plant to work with sub-drain system and frozen wall etc..

This week, Tepco announced they are planning to pump up highly contaminated water from this sub-drain system to discharge to the Pacific.

https://twitter.com/Happy11311/status/497900438352441344

Iori Mochizuki
You read this now because we’ve been surviving until today.



NHK admitted pieces of fuel rods and reactor vessels blasted to at least Ibaraki to contain Uranium & Zirconium

August 9, 2014

In the early morning news flash of 8/9/2014, NHK announced that pieces of nuclear fuel, fuel rods, reactor pressure vessels and the internal structure were blasted to at least 130km away from Fukushima nuclear plant.

It was 2μm diameter particle. The ball-looking shape proves it was molten in high temperature and quickly cooled down. The particles contain Uranium, Zirconium etc, which are the same material as nuclear fuel and the structure inside the vessels. These were collected from 3/14 ~ 3/15/2011 in Tsukuba city Ibaraki prefecture by the study group of Science Univ. of Tokyo.

The reason why NHK suddenly started reporting about this fact is not clear. It has been already 3 years and 5 months, which is probably too late to escape. There is a possibility that NHK announces the actual contamination situation in the area closer to Tokyo when people pay much less attention to Fukushima accident.

http://www.2chdb.net/thread/response/b/2chsc/ts/ai/tp/newsplus/r/1407546759


Tsukuba City is where I went to work on their space station elements...


German Journalist Reveals that CIA Has Turned Western Journalism Into Propaganda
October 5, 2014

The CIA has corrupted journalism not merely in the US but also in everyone of Washington’s puppet states: UK, Germany, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and so forth.

Listen to the German journalist tell his story:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article39870.htm
rockermike

Trad climber
Berkeley
Dec 21, 2014 - 11:48am PT
well I wont call it good news.... but maybe not bad
Fuel rods successfully removed from one of four damaged pools.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/21/world/asia/fuel-rods-are-removed-from-japans-damaged-fukushima-reactor.html?action=click&contentCollection=Asia%20Pacific®ion=Footer&module=MoreInSection&pgtype=article

of course whitewashed a bit by NYTs
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Cascade Mountains and Monterey Bay
Dec 20, 2016 - 08:59pm PT
http://www.jimstonefreelance.com/fukureport1b.pdf

this report is heavily suppressed and regularly gets links broken

the original has high resolution photos and more information than can be posted here

healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Dec 20, 2016 - 10:24pm PT
You really need to check who has access to your account or seek help if it's really you.
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Cascade Mountains and Monterey Bay
Dec 20, 2016 - 10:24pm PT

It took them three hundred years and trillions of dollars to build a theatre of darkness, yet the light of
only one match can burn it down. Do not let this light go out,
ARCHIVE AND POST!!!
3/11 was Japan's 9/11. It's all documented folks!
This is Japan's 911, and it's all based on official records and evidence which cannot be silenced.
What is here is every bit as damning as building 7 on 9/11, while being far more important, and
the fact that a large portion of even the truth movement has shunned this report will show you
just how deep the conspiracy goes. It is essential for people to link, re-post and mirror this report,
because e-mails related to it will be censored and people will not find their way here from an e-
mail. It will also get deleted from sites like Above Top Secret and Godlike productions, and
therefore failure to spread the word through other means will give the elite an ability to create a
similar disaster elsewhere, possibly near you. This report is public domain, use anything here on
your own site but mention my name and link back to here so people can find the source.
This printed version can be copied and handed out as the recipient desires.
__
Did the Dimona Dozen murder the Fukushima 50?
Jim Stone, Freelance Journalist, re formatted for print on September 16 2013
The 3/11 earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear disaster did not occur naturally. In this report you
will find all the evidence needed to support this claim and more.
This is a vital report because it documents the dawning of a new type of environmental warfare
in which advanced technologies are used to make unsuspecting populations believe their
destruction occurred by the will of nature, thus leaving the destroyers in a position to demand
governments stay silent while they perform the job of destroying or enslaving their populations to
the will of the global “elite”.
This environmental threat tactic, when coupled with industrial virus attacks and nuclear
blackmail is the new direction the “elite” have chosen to take warfare now that false flag terror in
the name of Arabs has failed to convince the world's populations that massive hot wars are
needed.
The key points this report covers to prove this tactic is in use are:
1.
Reactor 3 is completely missing,
which means the press and anyone who has claimed anything
about pressures, temperatures, containment, ect at reactor 3 after March 14 2011 is lying and
people need to pay attention to it, because failure of the public to realize the massive extent of
the lies about what is going on there will leave the door open to a repeat event. Lies must be
told to hide what really happened at Fukushima, because like false flag terror in the name of
Arabs, once the secret about environmental terrorism and industrial warfare is known, it's
usefulness is minimized.
A missing reactor 3 proves the hydrogen explosion theory false, because all reactor
engineers know that you cannot lose a reactor entirely absent having a massive explosion
on the order of a nuclear weapon make it disappear. Yet reactor 3 is indeed blown to
smithereens with the control rods and reactor guts laying out in the open in the outer
containment structure, as shown in the photo below:
Here we have reactor 3's guts laying out in the
open, with the core spray system still trying to
function. Notice all the dust mixed in with the
debris, dust which could never have happened
from a mere hydrogen blast.
A large portion of this dust is reactor core
material as indicated by it's color, and the rest is
concrete.
It is important to know that it takes a detonation
(supersonic explosion) to turn concrete into dust,
and even under ideal conditions with a perfect
oxygen/hydrogen mixture, an open air hydrogen
ignition never achieves the shock wave speed of
a detonation. The dust alone proves that
something other than hydrogen did this.
2.
Reactor 4 is Building 7, demolished by explosives.
The biggest smoking gun proving the
Fukushima disaster was in fact an act of war is the near mythically impossible destruction of
Reactor 4, which exploded despite not having a core, as mysteriously as building 7 fell on 9/11
despite never being hit by a plane.
Reactor 4 had been defueled and
was undergoing replacement of
it's internal stainless steel shroud,
yet according to the official story
blew it's containment anyway.
That is the FINAL smoking gun,
an empty reactor is inert and
cannot produce an explosion, yet
one happened at 4 that was so
powerful it destroyed the structure
which had a frame consisting of
solid steel columns a minimum of
12 feet thick, and solid concrete and rebar walls on that frame which were 4 feet thick, leaving
it in danger of falling over. There is nothing short of a small nuclear weapon that can blow a
structure that strong to pieces, demolition charges will not do it absent occupying much of the
interior space which would have been obvious to workers.
Unlike what some people have theorized, that the hydrogen came from the fuel pool, overheated
open fuel pools cannot produce hydrogen because in an open fuel pool the water boils off at 100
Celsius, and the hydrogen producing scenario requires water to be in pressurized form at 2,000
degrees Celsius to liberate it's hydrogen by losing it's oxygen to the zircon cladding in the fuel
rods. The entire hydrogen story needs the right environment to happen, and that environment
requires temperatures of 2000 degrees Celsius, saturated steam, and thousands of PSI inside a
reactor to happen. This makes any explosion at reactor 4, which was wide open and
disassembled flatly impossible.
Knowing reactor 4 could never have exploded because it was disassembled created a problem
for the people fronting the environmental warfare scam. Since it was impossible for reactor 4 to
explode while mothballed, a fact which would be easy for the public to grasp, an alternate
explanation for the explosion at reactor 4 was hatched by none other than Arnie Gundersen,
who claimed a “prompt criticality” occurred in the fuel pool, which supposedly went off like a
nuclear weapon.
But that only flew with the most ignorant in the population, because a nuclear weapons style
“prompt criticality” can happen only with nuclear material that is 70 percent enriched
plutonium, or 90 percent enriched uranium, and THEN only when a high precision explosive
charge brings that material together in a calculated way at supersonic speeds. Even if the fuel in
the pool was 90 percent enriched, the racks it is in and lack of a nuclear trigger to bring it all
together correctly would have prevented any prompt criticality. Nuclear detonations are hard to
accomplish, they don't happen by accident.
This report includes a background investigation of Arnie Gundersen, who is in fact not a nuclear
expert of any sort and proves he is a media fraud and paid government shill. Arnie has made a
lot of money as a political tool and using the ignorance of nuclear topics in the general
population to do damage to good people and firmly root the ability of the “elite” to carry out
repeat attacks on facilities similar to Fukushima. This is accomplished by backstabbing the
nuclear industry, and pointing the finger in the wrong direction, away from the perpetrators.
His consulting firm “Farewinds and Associates” was founded as a one man show and remained
that way for decades, with Arnie as the “chief engineer” exaggerating and lying about his
credentials, which was proven in my investigation of Arnie and Farewinds. This investigation
is included as an attachment to this report.
Because Arnie's “prompt criticality” was an easily proven fraud, and there was no way for
reactor 4 to explode, an alternate theory which involved back feeding of hydrogen through
the hard vent piping from reactor 3 was hatched. Though hydrogen <i>could</i> have
back fed from reactor 3 in very small amounts under the most insanely poorly managed
circumstances, the sheer force of the explosion at reactor 4 alone proves the cause of that
explosion was not hydrogen. Add to this the story line that there was no power, no
switches or relays creating sparks, and the hydrogen explosion theory becomes all the
more ludicrous, it takes more than hydrogen to create an explosion, it takes an ignition
source and if we are to follow the “official” story line about no power being available that
source of ignition simply did not exist at <i>any</i> of the four reactors.
Reactor 4's dome was removed for
defueling. Drone photos prove it. This
dispels the rumors surrounding unit 4's
explosion. Some people have said that
this reactor was secretly in operation to
enrich plutonium. This photo proves it
was disassembled for shroud replacement
as stated. Tepco is going out of it's way
trying to explain the explosions,
especially at reactor 4 because they did
indeed occur, so an explanation is needed.
As a result they are giving reasons that
cannot happen just to say something.
They need to see this report and get the
Arava perspective(Arava is a district
surrounding Dimona Israel).
Like building 7 on 9/11, if there ever was
a way to prove Fukushima was an act of
war and not an accident, reactor 4 is it.
This is the biggest smoking gun at
Fukushima that can be used to wake
people up.
You do not need to be any sort of expert
to see that without a core, nothing can
happen to a reactor other than willful
destruction as an act of war. Attached to
the end of this report is an additional
article which shows that other nuclear
facilities have been rigged to explode the
way reactor 4 did, with an example in
Sweden.
3.
That the destruction of reactors 3 and 4 is so severe it could only have been accomplished
with nuclear weapons.
Hydrogen gas produces a non-ideal subsonic explosion. It cannot turn
concrete into dust. It can produce high pressures if sealed off, but the metal roof on all the
reactor containments should have provided the relief and been the only thing destroyed. It takes
a high intensity explosive to strip concrete off rebar, a blast wave many times faster than
supersonic. This means that whatever happened at Fukushima did not have blast characteristics
that fit the "official" story. If you missed it in the high resolution photo of the destroyed facility,
I took a car that was laying around in the remains and placed it on top of one of the blown away
walls at reactor 3, which clearly gives the reference that the walls had support columns well
over 12 feet thick.

TomCochrane

Trad climber
Cascade Mountains and Monterey Bay
Dec 20, 2016 - 10:48pm PT
healyje,

i realize you think you know a lot

i am surprised you even had time to read this, let alone make a considered study of the evidence presented

obviously a lot of work went into preparing this report and quotes a lot of apparently reputable sources

and i have seen a lot of the pieces show up elsewhere

if this is disinformation, then it appears to be the work of a very knowledgeable team

do you have evidence that refutes anything he has to say, or are you just personally part of a coverup?

if you think you have better data, then post up

if your are personally part of the coverup, then recognize you can't forever avoid the spot light
Roger Brown

climber
Oceano, California
Dec 21, 2016 - 10:01am PT
Tom,
You sound like a good person, but you really need to know just how hard it would be to do anything like you say. I am a contract nuke worker and I have worked the reactor building in a boiling water plant. It is easier to sneak something on an airplane than thru security at a nuke plant. Once you get inside, to bring anything into the dry well or any other FME area, unlogged, is pretty much impossible. They log everything in and if it goes in, it comes out. Period.
And the cameras, yea everywhere. And guards, armed, yea, everywhere. And the workers, yea, everyone is trained in anti bad guy stuff.
And last, but not least, the background check. Before you get access, they know more about you than you do. The hardest part about being a nuke worker is getting access and that access is only good for that plant, that outage. Most jobs are only a month or so long, then you do it all over again at another plant in another state or country. I am retired so I only work one or two plants a year. It seems to me that if you had a small device, there would be many more high profile, easier targets on this planet than a BW reactor in Japan. Just my thoughts on this fine morning,
Roger
TomCochrane

Trad climber
Cascade Mountains and Monterey Bay
Dec 21, 2016 - 03:20pm PT
Thank you, Roger,
This is exactly the kind of feedback that is really appreciated. This is not my report and my posting it does not represent my endorsement.
Rather I am asking for evaluation from the broader range of knowledge and experience found in this forum. I have also shared it with friends who are nuclear and space engineers.
I also have some experience around nuclear facilities, and also around space vehicles, where every tool, nut and bolt, and personal item is logged in and out.
I also am aware that there are small nuclear devices which could be disguised as a professional camera or other equipment.
Not sure if you had time to read the entire report, as there is much more to it than what you mention.
And on that note, I was warned years earlier that such an event was being staged for Japan in just the way it happened. So naturally I am very interested in aftermath analysis of it and other such events.
Thanks again,
Tom
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