how to bridge the divide

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NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Original Post - Jun 26, 2018 - 12:58pm PT
So easy to overlook the real policy tragedies happening in America today given the best ongoing societal distractions that money can buy.

Today SCOTUS supported American Express to actively suppress the sharing of information for consumers to make informed decisions. Here is a great clear article summarizing it:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/26/opinion/supreme-court-american-express.html

The whole idea of "invisible hand" and laissez-faire economics rests on the supposition that buyers and sellers are aware of the circumstances for their potential deal and are able and willing to walk away from it if they don't like it. That is what provides balance and stability, what creates the environment for people to improve their lot in life through dedication and hard work. That was the American Dream. Before companies like American Express built an express lane to bypass it.

What we have in America is a visible hand of wealthy people fronted as corporations (in case they get caught and need to reorganize), tipping the scales of all three branches of our government and our media, to make sure that we don't have that balance provided by the invisible hand. They very much want to ensure that customers are captive so maximal profits can be sustained. Corporations are not inherently evil (even though the people using them may be)- they exist solely to make a profit without regard for individuals or society, and that increasingly happens by investing money in government and media to influence policies and to pacify/mollify/misdirect/confuse the public. A central role of government "of the people by the people and for the people" should be to combat this. That is what creates a safe place for individuals in our nation to exercise freedom. Freedom and rights for corporations in many cases are in direct opposition to freedom and rights for individuals. Freedom given to corporations is freedom taken from humans.

That is all well and good as a rational argument. It should motivate the vast majority of us who are hurt by it regardless of identifying as Democrat or Republican or Other.



But, emotions can overpower rational decisions, and many of us are afraid of change, afraid there is no place for us in the changing world, afraid of outsiders, afraid we don't have a voice, afraid we won't be able to survive, and we are easily led to a coalition that stokes the fear, and offers succor in the form of community and belonging, identified targets for the fear morphed to anger, and a packaged set of beliefs that promise to solve the problems, address the fears.

Reason and rational thought/discussion alone is not enough to bridge the divide in our country. What is missing is something that taps into the emotional realities that drive the fear in our hearts, a way for us on either side of the divide to accept each other and accept the fundamental truth and validity of the emotions that we each experience, whether or not it maps to our own perceptions of reality.

Name calling doesn't work. Guilt/shame doesn't work. Ostracizing and refusing service in restaurants doesn't work.

Fear is battled with love, acceptance, nurturing, listening, validating feelings, and offering new ways to perceive inputs, new ways to frame problems. Fear is also battled with balanced thoughts to temper the fight-or-flight mode reactions we have in response to fears in our lives.

Facts and truth should not be used as a bully-pulpit to invalidate the fears and feelings that people experience. Perhaps this is a fundamental truth revealed by our society's current problem with facts and truth. We just have't figured out how to balance the fundamental rightness of facts and truth with the fundamental rightness of validating the emotional reality of human beings. It takes compassion to respectfully interact with human beings, to bring people out of their shells and create the circumstances for real and consensual sharing of problems and solutions, on the path to change that supports the needs of all. It cannot be forced, either with the physical violence of guns and military, or with the intellectual violence of facts and truth.

We will be stuck in the pattern of deadlocked opposition as long as different ideological sides wait for the other side to "earn" their respect and acceptance. We must all FREELY GIVE our respect and acceptance and validation to the feelings that each other experience. This doesn't mean we have to accept and validate each others' chosen solutions or beliefs or actions in response to these perceptions and feelings- but we do have to accept and validate the perceptions and feelings that each of us has, because that is the fundamental reality and truth that each of us is starting from as we search for common ground and try to dig out of the hole our country is in.

This is the starting point to have real conversations about how to solve our problems.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jun 26, 2018 - 01:46pm PT
So easy to overlook the real policy tragedies happening in America today given the best ongoing societal distractions that money can buy.

And money buys laws from Dem and R politicians too.

The rentier economy isn't new. But it is definitely getting worse. The ability of our political system to address problems, whether they are somewhat minor like screwing consumers out of a little more money or long term serious ones like climate change, is bad and getting worse. I don't see anything that is going to reverse the trend.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 26, 2018 - 04:53pm PT
Giving in to the beast is who we are.

Moderation breeds extremism
Tranquility results in deviation
Reason sows irrationality
Compassion ends in manipulation

You want a well mannered society- put cameras everywhere, I mean EVERYWHERE with an open access feed.

I can't love and hate a selfish and ill-mannered person at the same time (Trump). Our predisposition to animalistic emotions is what allows us to modulate one another and keeps us from being an ant farm.
Peace and equilibrium is achieved through measures and countermeasures.

That said, it's up to the wise and well mannered amongst us to craft the laws that keep us civilized. These are the people we must hold in the highest regard.





NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jun 26, 2018 - 06:07pm PT
Peace and equilibrium is achieved through measures and countermeasures.

I believe in this too. I'll clarify my thinking a bit lest it pass as just a naive pipe dream :)

Sure there are "bad people" in the world, and I'm not advocating pure love and pacifism in response to all threats. I consider people as not inherently good or evil, but we all have good and evil impulses that we can choose to act on or not. Some of us lose sight of our ability to choose, and some of us get stuck in patterns of negative behavior. Some of us prefer the payoffs from negative behavior and honestly don't care about the cost to others. But in general, the best outcome from personal interactions and societal interactions happens when everyone has the opportunity to dig out of whatever negative behaviors or beliefs they are stuck in. That is only possible when people have the emotional safety to be accepted with whatever they perceive and whatever emotions they are feeling. This is totally separate from accepting their behaviors or attitudes or actions. My approach is a way to find common ground for people on different sides of ideological divides, and I don't think that inherently creates loopholes for unscrupulous people to exploit.

In terms of creating an opportunity to heal a divide between people, that is where the emotional validation and acceptance comes into play. That can coexist with a social and legal system that holds people accountable for their actions. Validating what seems real to each person is not the same as giving them a blank check to harm others. Boundaries are important, and I believe in enforcing them with solutions that are not worse than the problem they are trying to solve.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 26, 2018 - 08:20pm PT
Well said. I spend quiet a bit of time rationalizing abhorrent behavior as to not confront or marginalize. And I enjoy a friendly debate with those who have different view points.

I suppose our society is destined to be powered by the war monger and the pacifist, the eco warrior and the corporatist with the pragmatist and moderates offering a bit of steerage to keep the thing from going off the cliff.
dirtbag

climber
Jun 27, 2018 - 07:15am PT
In the short term, it’s hopeless. Adults are retreating to the safe confines of news sources that happily feed their biases, distorting their world views and dividing people further. Many of us have a hard time discerning facts from opinion, fake news from reality. It’s always been a problem, but it’s worse now.

Long term—I don’t know—perhaps do a better job teaching kids critical thinking skills so they don’t grow up to be dumbasses?
WBraun

climber
Jun 27, 2018 - 07:25am PT
Adults are retreating to the safe confines of news sources that happily feed their biases,

Exactly what you been doing all along and STILL doing ......
dirtbag

climber
Jun 27, 2018 - 07:37am PT
Exactly what you been doing all along and STILL doing ......


Oh ok moonbeam.
WBraun

climber
Jun 27, 2018 - 07:38am PT
According to time and circumstance the pendulum swings.

The gross materialists are prisoners of the pendulum .......
Bad Climber

Trad climber
The Lawless Border Regions
Jun 27, 2018 - 09:04am PT
Here's a great quote that encapsulates the heart of the matter as I see today:

Our politics is devolving into the pathetic spectacle of liars indignantly calling out liars for lying. Rule-breakers are outraged that other rule-breakers break rules. Norms that could be violated with impunity for “social justice” can’t be violated for “nationalism.” We stick with our tribe, through thick and thin — through truth and lies.

That about says it all.

The source article:

https://www.nationalreview.com/2017/01/partisan-politics-truth-lies-trump-inauguration-sean-spicer-media/

BAd
Jorroh

climber
Jun 27, 2018 - 10:09am PT
BadClimber...that article is full of false equivalencies from start to finish (ironically, in itself a lie).

You could say that when GHW Bush said "no new taxes" he lied. But in truth, circumstances changed and tax policy had to change along with it. I doubt Bush seniors intent was to "lie".

Similarly with Obama's, "keep your insurance" statement.

The lie about the inauguration crowd size is a flat out lie, no intent to tell the truth at all.

Can you really not tell the difference?



hooblie

climber
from out where the anecdotes roam
Jun 27, 2018 - 06:26pm PT
moved this post to this more better thread:

merrick garland, simultaneously the most should be but won't be
scotus nominee "the orphanator" could put forth ...
but what an healing gesture it would be

a plenty realistic prospect to win
republican votes back then
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jun 27, 2018 - 11:08pm PT
It doesn't matter if many think they are a bridge.
They will be ignored.
The repugs with a minority of the vote have taken over the federal government and various states, due to

1) electoral college provides that the president is now often a repug despite the democrat candidate getting more votes.

2) repugs play hardball with games like preventing the Harland supreme court guarantee. Same way their policy for the entire Obama administration was to screw up the government as much as possible. Dems have attempted to be the bridge for 30 years, a policy which has failed on the federal level since they do not play the same hardball even when they are in power.

3) big money corruption prefers repugs.
dirtbag

climber
Jun 28, 2018 - 05:59am PT
It doesn't matter if many think they are a bridge.
They will be ignored.
The repugs with a minority of the vote have taken over the federal government and various states, due to


This. It only works if both sides work in good faith. While there have been plenty of abuses by democrats, only one party—the Republican Party—has made it its mission to systematically acquire power at all costs.
dirtbag

climber
Jun 28, 2018 - 06:41am PT
Oh ok.

Messiah much, Mr. Bridge?
SteveW

Trad climber
The state of confusion
Jun 29, 2018 - 07:39pm PT
Let's divide the bridge.
Jan

Mountain climber
Colorado & Nepal
Jun 29, 2018 - 08:01pm PT
That would be great if we could do it without a Civil War. We haven't seen this much vitriol since that era.
hooblie

climber
from out where the anecdotes roam
Jun 30, 2018 - 05:48am PT
this accommodator says tut is wise
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Jun 30, 2018 - 06:22am PT
WAIT FOR IT!

it must be a fine life to know that whatever way the world turns, your lot will remain undisturbed.

When the Evil overtakes the good only the evil will be satiated while all else wil be starved to death. . . .

WELL, after NOT FINDING THE "THE LAST CHANCE SALOON" PICTURE,
I very much had hoped to persuade Dingus, that given his silence as to the vast atrocities thus far, all unforgivable, he gives his approval to them.

A way to find a level playing field on which to try to move a society of divisive interests forward, can not be achieved when the idea of one party is total control, domination of all the points of power , land, shelter, water, war toys and $$$, The one party seeing it own mortality its very near "end of days, the extinction of the white race, that group is trying to bring about a regressive history, a preconceived ideal that never existed in the 1st place
Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jun 30, 2018 - 06:52am PT
Repugs are a-holes
Derpocrats are ignorant
Y'all are haters
With old mind-sets

Only Ed Abbey and I are better.
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Jun 30, 2018 - 07:06am PT
^ ^ ^ ^ Hey great to see ya' post FlipFlop, missing ya brutha!



As Ive been wont to do many times on subjects from housing to climbing I cupeth thee nads sir!

If you think Trump and his supporters are gonna play nice if we all hold hands and sing kumbaya you are more naive than I thought.

Standing up to Nazis and Fascists and White Supremacists and Racists and Misogynists and people who hate everything about the minority populations in this country (of all kinds be they POC or LGBT etc) is nothing I am ever gonna back down from, ever.

Trump is hijacking every fear of the "other" that isn't White FOR CORRUPT PROFIT, is trying to destroy the EU for Putin and he and anyone that supports him is what stands between Humanity and real civilization.

F*#k them and anyone that supports them. Trump's main advisors are Stephen Miller and Steve Bannon...2 white supremacists that would look nice swinging from a rope before they cause any more damage to the nation.

You don't play nice with people who play with other's lives to gain power and tell any disgusting lie about good people to make it happen (Trump 3000++ and counting since inauguration).

Its a divide alright, between Good and Evil and Trump is pure Evil. You don't play nice with Evil, ever. If you can't see that, I pity the fool.

There is nothing wrong with detesting veritably Evil people and calling them out for what they are: Its called having a backbone

some where this picture is tagged "The Idle Rich" The base of Ringwrath, SkyTop, Mohonk (1978-9?)

(those two in front ?,It would shock me if R Perch, on the right in yellow, leaned "red" as much as it would shock me if that other rich clune leaned "blue" but you never know DMT)The 3 of us, given the glaring guilt we must suffer under the burden of, ya' know all that white Anglo guilt? are certainly those who stand to gain & loose the most.





Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 30, 2018 - 07:29am PT
DMT
A desire to truly address nutagain’s question is a personal one and must come from the individual. Frankly most heartfelf and vocal partisans seem utterly incapable of it.
DMT
So you misjudged me. But good news, I didn't misjudge you.

Asshole.
Hmm...
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 30, 2018 - 08:55am PT
A peaceful society requires people on the bridge no doubt. These people tend to be the leaders and adjudicators in well functioning Democracy. They are pivotal to our ethical standards and should be held in the highest esteem. We all have these people in our families and communities and they make great climbing partners.

However, when leaders and adjudicators arise from one side of the bridge with the intent of tearing down the bridge; it becomes incumbent that people on the opposite sides of the bridge vigorously confront actions that are indisputably harmful to masses and designed to eliminate checks and balances.

There is an effort underway to consolidate power with the assistance of just a handful of well meaning bridge dwellers (see moderate Republicans and red state Democrats). This is not hyperbole as evidenced the exodus from the party of Lincoln by many stalwart, Reagan Republicans. The alarm has been sounded by conservative commentators, National security experts, Constitutional lawyers and those who have served in law enforcement for past Republican Administrations. Many are not going to the center of the bridge to facilitate a dialogue, but have openly and privately stated that they intend to cross to the other side of the bridge to help form a battle line.
Marlow

Sport climber
OSLO
Jun 30, 2018 - 09:30am PT

MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jun 30, 2018 - 10:32am PT
I don't think you get it, Kingtut. Tolerance begins at home.

Be the change in the world you want to see.

Or, perhaps you think it's time to pick up a gun.

Anger hardly got anybody anywhere.
Marlow

Sport climber
OSLO
Jun 30, 2018 - 10:34am PT

On the contrary. Tolerance will bring you no-where you want to be when you're dealing with strategic kleptocracy...
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 30, 2018 - 11:03am PT
Aristotle
The most perfect political community is one in which the middle class is in control, and outnumbers both of the other classes.

It's important to debate the relevance of dialogue and moderation- I'm a centrist Democrat and was routinely berated by Craig because I saw Hillary as a crass opportunist.

I'm curious about a couple of things- did dialogue and accords play a central role in our Revolution? Was the grey area then, so profound as to create a safe haven for non action or even compliance? Grey areas tend to give way to flight or fight when predators reveal themselves. No you must not choose a side but to deny the relevance of confrontation and dispute is disingenuous. Working from grey areas in the pursuit of dialogue in those times would quite possibly have resulted in the nonexistence of the greatest experiment on earth.

Justice must arch to the center yet, the center it's self is not necessarily the mechanism, it's often just the result. We are mostly creatures of reaction not anticipation.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jun 30, 2018 - 11:11am PT
Im curious
Or, perhaps you think it's time to pick up a gun.
what's the intended purpose of statements like this?
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Jun 30, 2018 - 11:24am PT
Ask your self, when in history was there a time when an entire right leaning population did nothing as the government separated children and put them in "Camps"?

The thing that some fail to understand
On the contrary. Tolerance will bring you no-where you want to be when you're dealing with strategic kleptocracy...
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jun 30, 2018 - 12:10pm PT
That would be great if we could do it without a Civil War. We haven't seen this much vitriol since that era.

???



Yury

Mountain climber
T.O.
Jun 30, 2018 - 07:42pm PT
xCon:
before a bridge worth a damn can bridge the divide between good people doing right and good people doing wrong
we need a mighty pile of the bodies of conservative leaders and the scum who go to bat for them sitting in plain sight
tore to pieces
rotting fetted and telegraphing what the guilty are due
Thank you xCon for providing a nice example proving that what NutAgain! is looking for is not realistic right now.

Apparently social situation in the US is not that bad yet.
We need to get into much deeper sh#t before people and politicians start cooperating.
perswig

climber
Jul 1, 2018 - 03:36am PT
^^
But there can be value even in vitriol, as long as it's honest. Without a forum to allow positions to unfold, we might not get to see from whence they come.

Well, I didn't mind, as long as it kept these people talking, for nothing is more revealing of a person's mind than a person's anger. - Paul Theroux

Good thread as usual, NutAgain!
Dale

Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 1, 2018 - 06:45am PT
First, I'm a lefty socialist

Second, the Dems ( mainstream conservatives to my mind), caused the refugee crisis in Syria and Europe with our Regime Change Plans (for oil and banking) in Libya and Syria (Yemen etc.). And Obama ( my guy) deported so very many latinos and separated families.

Besides ignorant finger pointing, what are the democrats offering? Where is the moral high ground?

Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 1, 2018 - 07:06am PT
I suspect that Bernie is controlled opposition. I hope that I'm wrong but he seems content to keep losing. He's the soccer flopper of our political theater. I hope that I'm wrong
Trump

climber
Jul 1, 2018 - 11:05am PT
An eye for an eye makes the whole world see. As long as it’s not my eye - mine already sees!

We humans reap what we sow. I hope we like the taste of it.

Ricky Bobby is not a thinker. He is a doer! Let’s go knock some heads, we righteous human doers!
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 1, 2018 - 11:29am PT
we need a mighty pile of the bodies of conservative leaders and the scum who go to bat for them sitting in plain sight
tore to pieces
rotting fetted and telegraphing what the guilty are due
as a backdrop for those left alive on that side with some agency to contemplate before they dare to think that their going to survive to fight another day
f*#k them!

So bring it already! But first, thank you for providing a clear example of why "your tribe" is unfit to lead. A history of bodies and purges and blood.

Well done.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 1, 2018 - 12:07pm PT
Second, the Dems ( mainstream conservatives to my mind), caused the refugee crisis in Syria and Europe with our Regime Change Plans (for oil and banking) in Libya and Syria (Yemen etc.).

So if NATO hadn't ever been involed in Libya, Libya would be a model country that didn't send any refugees to Europe? It is funny that the only northern African and Sahel countries that send refugees to Europe are ones that NATO have bombed. In all the other countries in that region the population is absolutely content with their security and economic prospects.

And of course George Bush's decision to invade Iraq had nothing to do with the chaos in Syria. Or rather, I guess it is the Dems fault because Hillary voted in favor of the war resolution.

And if only Obama had just kept his mouth shut, Assad would never had had to bomb his own people. No doubt, Obama will be tried for war crimes some day because of the use of chemical weapons in Syria.
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 1, 2018 - 10:41pm PT
we need a mighty pile of the bodies of conservative leaders and the scum who go to bat for them sitting in plain sight
tore to pieces
rotting fetted and telegraphing what the guilty are due
as a backdrop for those left alive on that side with some agency to contemplate before they dare to think that their going to survive to fight another day
f*#k them!
please indicated the address of your 'innocent' loved ones and the appropriate response will be on the way...

Surprised this type of nonsense is tolerated by the moderators here. You should be a lot more careful, amigo. Advocating violence is bad enough--but internet threats, well, they be actionable. Comprendes?
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 2, 2018 - 11:08am PT
the only people using chemical weapons in Syria were on the US dime...

Bashar Assad was on the US dime? That would explain some things.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 03:12pm PT
Sorry for chiming in late here gang, I've been out absorbing the good tidings of the range of light! Trip report forthcoming. But first....

kingtut said:
Standing up to Nazis and Fascists and White Supremacists and Racists and Misogynists and people who hate everything about the minority populations in this country (of all kinds be they POC or LGBT etc) is nothing I am ever gonna back down from, ever.


You don't tolerate Evil. And only White Americans even consider "tolerating" racist beliefs because they are not the victims of racism.

I better have anger and hatred in my heart for con men and racists.


xCon said:
before a bridge worth a damn can bridge the divide between good people doing right and good people doing wrong
we need a mighty pile of the bodies of conservative leaders and the scum who go to bat for them sitting in plain sight
tore (sic) to pieces
rotting fetted (sic) and telegraphing what the guilty are due
as a backdrop for those left alive on that side with some agency to contemplate before they dare to think that their (sic) going to survive to fight another day
f*#k them!
and f*#k you bastards who think a better world is only a product of treating them with kid gloves...


First, I want to caveat my response with this: my reply is not how to handle every interaction with every individual. There are some people and groups that need to be contained, and physical violence may ultimately be necessary to achieve this. But my focus here is on how to bridge the divide between people along spectrums of an ideology, normal people whom I presume are not inherently good or evil, people who are just trying to survive and prosper if possible in a crazy world. A premature focus on automatic opposition and violence contributes to problems we want to solve, and delays their meaningful resolution.


Here's what I think. When ideologies and world views are in opposition, a war of ideas must be won in discourse, or a mutually satisfactory compromise must be achieved, before a physical war can truly be won. Otherwise, if a physical war is won in the name of an idea, then the idea is destroyed and perverted in the process. You are simply left with repression and violence facilitated by the token of an idea. This seems to be where the promise of many revolutions die- the original idea becomes sacrificed to the lust for power, being right, and winning.



Many folks are expressing righteous indignation and anger over world views and actions they find repugnant. This is very understandable- perhaps the most natural and normal and human thing to feel and to do.

But this seems to lead to a predictable repeating cycle. What got me thinking to start this thread was how to break out of that cycle. It involves subordinating our immediate impulses to a longer view of how to create sustainable change. Let's be more specific with an example (and please don't get too hung up on my personal belief here; I'm just using it to show one side of an ideological divide as a starting point to demonstrate a process of how we might achieve reconciliation).

1. I personally believe that USA immigration problems are in large part the fruit of our historical interventions in other countries. Our past political/military interventions in support of producing cheaper products for USA consumption (and more profits for USA companies), and subsequent involvement in drug trafficking to create off-books budgets for covert military operations... these had short term benefits for some segments of USA society and power brokers, and now some of the consequences to USA (even if we completely ignore the terrible damage we have unleashed on other countries) are showing the folly of those historical (and probably ongoing?) actions. Most of these interventions were framed in supporting an idea ("capitalism vs. communism"), but that token of an idea of a healthy market-based economy with informed buyers and sellers willing and able to walk away, that idea was completely lost (and never honestly was an impetus for the USA interventions in central/south America). Instead, the slogan of capitalism was the cloak for economic imperialism and subjugation. The legacy of the violence and USA tipping the scales in favor of societal oppressors is that many people in central and south America have not benefited from the advancing "civilization" in the world- they do not experience protections under law, freedom from daily violence, economic hope, and in general they are raised in survival-mode with fight or flight being the main options. Some stay behind and remain immersed in the violence, and this creates a sort of exponential growth in violence. Some run away, and here we have our immigration problem. Rather than acknowleding these and other roots of the problems that immigrants are running away from, USA is creating more barriers and ugliness to discourage immigrants. But how far are we willing to go? Will we start systematic raping of women in detention centers? Arm the children and make them shoot people crossing the border? Make them starve to death? The idea of discouraging immigrants is either completely ignorant of the circumstances they are fleeing, or completely lacking in human empathy and decency if the idea is to make illegal immigration to USA be a worse alternative than living with no economic hope, daily physical violence, and death.

2. I recognize that many people do not share my view, or perhaps have not thought about it and don't care. Perhaps they just don't want people from somewhere else competing for the same limited jobs; they don't want comfortable shared societal values and norms to be shaken/adjusted; they don't want to be scared for themselves, for their families, walking down the street. Probably other stuff too or instead, that I don't perceive.

3. Now consider a spectrum of beliefs that underly different ideologies and world views. On one end we have "fix everything in the world so life is great everywhere and we don't have a problem with human suffering and mass immigration." Of course, this gets messier and messier the deeper we delve into problems and reveal more and more layers of unsolved and difficult to solve problems. On the other end of the ideological spectrum we have "the world is unfixable and the best I can do is try to survive for myself and my family and sorry but F everyone else." I mostly find myself closer to the "make everywhere great" pipe dream, but I have spent time in the midst of horrendous widespread suffering in India, and I hardened my heart in the face of it as a basic survival mechanism. I quickly perceived that I could give away everything I had and the sea of suffering would not abate. What was the point? I would just add myself to the sea of misery. Having this perception is not the same as being evil and wishing harm on others. I suspect that most of the "evil" in our society is enabled by a large sea of people not seeing hope for meaningful change and then focusing on survival of themselves, their families, their friends. In distant removal and reflection I might perceive my India situation differently now, trying to look for the little respites, safe islands in the sea of misery.

4. How to consolidate an array of opposing ideas/ideologies into a widespread supported direction? How do we get a vast majority of Americans to unite behind a plan for addressing illegal immigration? Without this, we will have political parties flip-flopping in power and nullifying the efforts of their predecessors, while the roots of the problem grow and the future consequences become more dire.

4a. So... let's start with really understanding what are the fears of people from different segments of society in USA? If we ignore these, then whatever rational/intellectual efforts we make to construct a policy will be ignored. Fear overrides reason. What are the fears? Lay these out on the table and figure out how to address them before we try to talk reason! And THIS is the part where accepting and validating the emotions that other people feel, especially if they differ from ours, is sooooo important. Start by building an honest foundation of people's emotional realities before trying to "root out evil" and "punish the guilty." If fear and punishent is associated with perceiving things in "the wrong way", then people will hide their true feelings and act outwardly as society expects, but undermine it at every moment when it can be done without consequence. This was the state of society at the time Trump was elected, in large part what led to his election. Hating hatred begets hatred. It spreads like a virus. Having compassion and understanding for the people who succomb to the disease of hatred is the solution. NOTE: THIS IS NOT THE SAME AS APPEASING BABY KILLERS! IT IS A STRATEGY TO PREVENT BABY KILLERS FROM COMING INTO POWER!!!! Rather than a head-on frontal assault on the current leaders who espouse an ideology we find repugnant, the idea is to win the hearts and minds of the people who support them. This is a long and arduous process, harder to win than a physical war (which is probably why we have so many physical wars- people take the easier seeming way out). So let's start with removing the fear of reprisal and letting people share what they are honestly feeling. In terms of immigration, maybe some of these apply:
 "They stink"
 "Their food stinks and the whole area stinks when they cook"
 "It sounds ugly when they talk."
 "They are willing to live like rats and work for cheap, and I can't live that way."
 "Whenever they move in, the neighborhood goes to hell. My kids are not safe at school, it's not safe to walk down the street, my family is not even safe at home"
 "They are a bunch of murderers and rapists."

4b. OK, so now we have people feeling emotionally supported to say things we find repugnant. Yuck! How does that help the situation? It helps because we start with a solid foundation of individual honesty. We can start to untangle the core feelings and fears (which are neither right nor wrong) from the perceptions and beliefs (which may or may not be true). We need to remove reprisals/consequences from expressing our fears, because that is the only way to address the fears that override rational consideration.

EDIT: The idea here is to validate the feelings people have, but not the conclusions or rightness of what we perceive and what we believe! It is possible to hear a person say things like the above, to validate their feelings (and perhaps coach them to express their feelings in terms more about themselves than about other people), without validating what we perceive as wrong beliefs embedded in what has been said.

4c. OK, now addressing the fears. The first point is, fears are fundamentally valid. They were absolutely true and made sense at the time they were implanted in our brains. It is a survival mechanism. Fire is hot, don't touch it. Those people are dangerous, stay away from them. Maybe we put our hand in the fire once and we learned that our parents told us the right thing. Maybe we never got to learn for ourselves whether those other people were dangerous. Our parents told us, and they try to protect us, so it must be true. And maybe, we had a specific traumatic experience (a fight at school, victim of a crime), or someone we personally know, and it jump-starts our fear and protection mechanisms. And with more information from media outlets, we add more and more energy to those patterns we acquired when we were young.

How to fix it? We start by embracing this reality, and at some point we can develop more maturity, to process ideas apart from what our parents, or even apart from unfortunate direct experiences that we remember and apply in incompatible contexts. We can learn to diffuse the negative energy associated with experiences in our past, and create space for new ideas to take hold. This can be a daunting task. In the process of learning to deal with my own anger issues and trying to save a marriage that did not survive, I sought out a way to undo the emotional baggage that I recognized was subverting my logical intents. I went to an 8-day retreat that was a safe place to be vulnerable, to identify and reexperience old wounds that are formative in how I am triggered in different situations. The format enabled me to use my adult intellect to guide a reinterpretation of these old events in a way that drains the negative energy from them. It is a way of reducing the automated behaviors I have in response to different situations, and it frees up space for me to consciously choose how to act, how I want my life to be, what I want to believe, etc. I did this about 16 years ago, and I still think it was the bravest and most loving thing I ever did for myself. I wish there was a way for this type of emotional education to be a part of our society without folks screaming out that it's brainwashing or infringing on personal freedoms. Fear of change is a weapon of the dark parts of our inner nature, fear of looking at all that scary stuff inside us that shapes our fears and beliefs. So this I believe is the weak link in my vision for a better world. It requires individuals to overcome their fears of self-examination and embrace a willingness to change. Society can have a big role in this, but ultimately it is an individual decision whether or not to embrace the inner journey.


4d. OK, now addressing the beliefs/perceptions. These are the layers of meaning that we add to the bare facts of sensory inputs we receive. Truth is compiled from all of these sensory inputs and the layers of meaning we add, and it functions as a rule book to predict how things work and what will happen next in a given situation. Something that has been deeply ingrained through early repetition and exposure takes a long time to root out, because newer data does not erase the foundation of prior data. We each assign different levels of trust to different sources of truth based on our past experiences and how well it reconciles with other things we hold to be true. So obviously, the situations we have experienced have a big impact on our truth. Two people can be present in the same situation and perceive completely different things out of it, and reinforce very different personal truths out of it. I just saw X, and anyone who sees it differently is obviously an idiot! I just saw the truth with my own eyes! Oops... I also "saw" it through the lens of of my life experience, much of it based on what I absorbed from my parents and caretakers before I had the ability to evaluate information and make decisions on my own. It's like taking a pair of distorted glasses and putting them on a baby and never ever removing them- how messed up is going to be the sense of perception and truth of this baby? We are all that baby!

Now we've reviewed what beliefs and perceptions are... how to address them? These also need a safe space for expression without reprisal. We need a safe space to sort out our beliefs, examine them, keep the ones that help us, and dump the ones that don't. If we demonize beliefs that we belive to be bad/wrong, then we take away opportunities for people who hold these beliefs to change. As I write this, I'm wondering if it makes sense to distinguish fears from perceptions and beliefs... it all seems wrapped together with similar ways of healing the bugs/flaws in our original programming....

Remember the goal is to bridge the divide between people with different ideologies. Idealists might see this as a goal toward creating a better world for all, and pragmatists might see this simply as a way to make their own lives better by making more pleasant interactions with the people around them. So. Safe spaces for believes to be expressed. But all of our beliefs might be wrong! That's ok! By publicly sharing and discussing them, we can choose which make a better world that we want to be a part of.

As for those beliefs that are NOT a part of the world we want to be a part of... how to respond? Imagine our society as a bunch of infants and toddlers walking around in adult bodies. Emotionally, this is not too far from the truth. I include myself in this- not all the time, but more often that I am probably willing to face. So the idea is to focus on teaching, not punishing. We teach people a framework for us all to understand our emotions/beliefs/triggers and their origins, all of which made sense to acquire when we did, but many of which don't serve us as adults. This is the LANGUAGE OF EMOTIONAL MATURITY. Kids need continual exposure to examples to learn a language and to learn a behavior. For adults it is even harder, because we have all the old crap to clear out first to make room for more useful stuff, and we have become too good at filtering out information, processing as little as possible from the infinite streams of input we receive. So we have to have more patience and more compassion for adults to make mistakes and learn from them. When an adult writes something on an Internet forum with which we disagree, imagine that we are a parent of a 3 year old. Is it going to be helpful to just slap them or call them names? Or maybe explain to them a simplified version of how what they said is hurtful or not conducive to a world we all want to be a part of? Maybe in the act of doing all this, we learn that it is we who are acting like the 3 year old and the other person is in the role of the parent at the moment? So we need patience and compassion to be a teacher, but also humility to be a student.




OK, I drifted off pretty far into the self-help/spiritual/touchy-feely mushy idealistic realm that is alien to many people. If that is you- I invite you to take a look into that place that you are afraid to look. That is who is in the driver seat in your brain! What you think of as "you" has to take a back seat to the commands issued from that place





So... bridging the divide? It is about creating a safe public space for us to honestly reveal ourselves, to heal ourselves, to be the change we want to see in the world. It is about belaying others up to the point we have reached, rather than cutting the cord because they are holding us back. Belay on!



NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 03:50pm PT
The beauty and simplicity of "Be the Bridge" is winning me over. One doesn't start with algebra, calculus, or kinematics when teaching a kid to catch a ball.
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 2, 2018 - 05:36pm PT
Nut!, good post overall. Just a couple of points:

A.) Your first post at the start of the thread is solid, but much of the language you used in your most recent post could lead one to believe you want to bridge the divide only on your terms.
It is about belaying others up to the point we have reached, rather than cutting the cord because they are holding us back. Belay on!
Maybe I'm misunderstanding your personage/use of the pronoun we?

B.) Until you rein in--or at least start calling out--the violent radicals sitting at your campfire, like xCon and KingTut, your points are likely to fall on deaf ears or only the choir. Granted, you have no control over what these small minds say--but giving a pass after what one of them just posted on the last page really detracts from your mostly good ideas.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 05:47pm PT
Hey Lituya, I admit to the hubris in assuming "my" position (or more generally, a "liberal" position) is higher, with the analogy of belaying others up vs cutting the cord. In my defense, in another section of the same post, I acknowledged this possibility... something about assuming I am / we are the parent teaching a 3 year old, perhaps discovering that it is me/us acting like the 3 yr old while the other is the parent.

In general, my way of calling out the folks with "liberal" ideologies but a hate-based approach, is this thread. It is really for folks regardless of ideology. Me saying "hey you are being an A-hole right now" just adds fuel to a fire. I am trying to focus on what I think is right rather than what I think is wrong.

Calling out individuals who are not on what I think is the most helpful track, well that creates an atmosphere that is not in keeping with the safe space for public discourse and widespread individual growth in a group context that I envision. People who get called out are not likely to feel safe, and if they don't feel safe, they aren't going to share what is honestly in their hearts and it will not be subject to change.

That's my thinking at this point, and I may change it in response to alternate perspectives that move me.


Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 2, 2018 - 05:55pm PT
Well said. Your reply and your thoughts are appreciated.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 06:10pm PT
ibGoB, thanks for that deep, beautiful, insightful poem. It links nicely with the video footage too.


edit... Power Crux: for me, the appeal of "Be the Bridge" is its accessibility to folks with different levels of engagement in the topic. One can superficially attach to the metaphor without much thought, and profit from the guidance it offers. Still, after much thought and engagement, it still describes a deeper and more nuanced inner journey. I am not settled in my personal feelings/perceptions toward the idea/ideal of selfishness. Some of the more healthy conversations I used to have with my ex-wife related to discussions of selfishness and sacrifice in a relationship. She would say that if you love someone, you sacrifice for them. I would say, if you love someone, it doesn't feel like a sacrifice and it is a selfish act because it gives you pleasure. If we have love in our hearts and feel compassion and empathy for others, then selfishness and generosity merge into one. It is only when we feel disconnected from others that being selfish becomes a divergence from being generous. Bridging the divide through understanding and compassion brings selfishness closer to generosity.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 06:51pm PT
Testing the merits of my arguments is good for me and good for you,
and perhaps for others reading too :)


I agree that rewards come in many varieties. But profiting from an inner journey is not the same as profiting from clear cutting old growth forests for a few reasons I can quickly articulate. Profiting from an inner journey that affects one's perceptions and attitudes and behaviors in a way that makes the world a better place for the people around them... that is a net benefit to a system considered as a whole. In the absence of the journey, there is continued negativity and destruction. The journey changes that.

Clear cutting old growth forests... if it's Sequioa gigantea, well then it's only good for making grape stakes and non-structural stuff. Major destruction for not much construction. System as a whole loses. If it's Sequioa sempervirons, it is messier. The forest is lost, but a lot of structures for human habitation can be created. Regrowth is possible, over time. The world is always changing, and we are agents of accelerating change. Are our changes making the world better or worse for us to live in? What about for other creatures? It's hard to define a boundary for considering the system as a whole, and hard to decide a timescale. Maybe the loss of a forest with 3000-year old trees enables tens of thousands or more people to have comfort, respite from wind and sun and rain. But those houses will crumble to dust before the 3000 year old trees replenish the clear-cut area. The people supported by those structures will reproduce, and need more resources. But the clear-cut forest offers no resources for them... only grass and small diameter trees not worthy of building structures according to modern building code. So is it worth it? This is the same question as, is it sustainable? And the answer is, no.

My primary moral compass, my true north, is this: if everybody did what I'm doing, would the world be a better or a worse place?

If everybody lived in a way that consumed resources faster than they can be replenished, the world would run out of resources. That would be a worse place. If everyone went on an inner journey and profited from it, I think the world would be a better place. Sure some of those people might be sociopaths who feel unburdened by an inner journey and feel free to pursue self-gratification while releasing ever greater levels of suffering on those around them. Most people, however, would find ways to live in greater harmony and support of the people and the natural world around them. And the world would be a better place.
hooblie

climber
from out where the anecdotes roam
Jul 2, 2018 - 06:53pm PT
winner takes all, 50.1-49.9 counted as 100-nil, disincentivizes any inclination to bridge build, no?
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 2, 2018 - 06:53pm PT
[Click to View YouTube Video]
hooblie

climber
from out where the anecdotes roam
Jul 2, 2018 - 07:05pm PT
bridge this:

18.6 million registered voters in california. divide by 55 electoral college votes means each delegate represents 340,000 of them.

200,000 wyoming registered voters divide by three means 67k get an electoral college vote.

340k/67k=5.07

california, with more registered voters than 46 other states, rolls with less than one fifth the per capita representation wyoming enjoys.

come on, six kids graduate from gillette high. five head for twenty first century jobs in cal and even voting as a progressive block,
the kid that stays to mine coal trumps them in the presidential race.

gerrymanderers have a lot of nerve to dance on the shortcomings of the woman that got 2.8 million more votes
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 2, 2018 - 07:11pm PT
Hooblie, I would say that the issue is not so much with the system of awarding representatives, as with our timeframe for expectations. If we expect instant gratification, and cannot suffer the losses of a round of elections, then we do not have the long view in mind, are not willing to open, maybe change our own hearts, or those of people whose views oppose ours. Then we are stuck in perpetual conflict and the items about which we are in conflict are never resolved.

That is the endless cycle I am trying to break out of. It's not a Dale Carnegie style "how to win friends and influence people" argument. It is about making a deeper societal course-correction, by focusing on what we have in common and, in the process, reducing what divides us.



That said, I agree the winner-take-all style representation is suboptimal. Italy does it in a more interesting way to address the winner-take-all problem while also making efforts to avoid gridlocked opposition in government, but it is still a work in progress:
 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-02/italy-is-rolling-out-a-new-electoral-system-here-s-how-it-works
 http://www.camera.it/leg17/561?appro=the_electoral_system_of_the_national_parliament


Edit: Hooblie, thank you for the comparison of how many people are represented by each member of the US House of Representatives. That is a major screw-up for which there is no rational justification, completely against the principle of creating the separate House and Senate. There is no logical defense for that and no motive other than trying to cheat the design of the system. People who resist fixing that... ok, here it comes down to fear. What are the fears? Are they justified? Are people in the fly-over states going to survive in world governed according to people who don't understand or respect their viewpoints? Is the balance of power between the House and Senate working? Is the reach of federal legislation too far and covering issues that should be locally decided? What are universal protections/regulations that should exist for all even if local pockets of people disagree?

The electoral imbalance is a symptom of lack of trust in the system, lack of focus to correct deficits in the system to make it work for all parties, and a slip back toward anarchy or law of the jungle.

For folks who identify themselves on the "conservative" end of the "liberal"/"conservative" spectrum, what do you think of this issue? Is supporting your ideology more important than supporting the intent of the founding fathers? How does one rationalize the electoral imbalance (diverging from the intent of the founding fathers) at the same time as adhering to "original Constitution" arguments to follow the intent of the founding fathers?

These are the intellectual arguments, but they will go nowhere until we address the feelings, the fear, and bridge the divide. If we have frenzied "liberal" people seeking to punish conservative leaders, why should folks who identify as conservative dig into their hearts and do what is right and give up some power they have now? Whether it was ill-gotten or not, people don't like to give up power or advantage to someone who has stated they want to harm you.

So think about it if you are a "liberal" person... if you threaten a "conservative" person, you won't win them as allies in the pursuit of rightness. And the pursuit of rightness requires people who identify as "liberal" or as "conservative" to come together. This goes for "conservative" folks too, and for those who prefer not to join/identify and instead just take cheap shots at all sides. It's easier to destroy something. But what will you build in its place? And can it last?

OK, I've used up my quota for the day, time to back away from politics and social change :)
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 2, 2018 - 08:58pm PT
Hooblie, thank you for the comparison of how many people are represented by each member of the US House of Representatives. That is a major screw-up for which there is no rational justification, completely against the principle of creating the separate House and Senate. There is no logical defense for that and no motive other than trying to cheat the design of the system.

Except it just isn't true.

Each Congressional district in the US averages 711,000 people. If any state has a gripe right now, it's Montana which averages over 930,000. What's more, many states are apportioned more districts than they should be--based on the counting of non-citizens, including illegals, in the census. In California this is especially pronounced.

As for low population states that have one district, well, that's the way the Constitution was written--and intended. Don't like it? Try to change it. But don't whine about things that just aren't true--or fantasize about The Framers' intent when it was very, very clear.
hooblie

climber
from out where the anecdotes roam
Jul 2, 2018 - 09:15pm PT
different issue looking at number of electoral college votes, not congressional districts and versus registered voters, not general population.
if you're presidentially smug detouring around the popular vote, i guess there's a bridge to be built across the river shenanigan
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 3, 2018 - 03:35pm PT
Thanks Hooblie for bringing up an interesting point, and thanks Lituya for challenging it and encouraging me to learn something new. Here is how the mapping of population to seats in the US of House of Representatives works now:
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_congressional_apportionment

One problem with present system since 1913, is that the population of some small rural states (e.g. North Dakota, Wyoming, Vermont right now) are less than the number for each seat. But by design each state gets at least one representative. Here is a proposal to fix it:
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wyoming_Rule

The basic idea would be to take the lowest state population and make that be the population represented for each seat, and then let the number of seats float upward as populous states grow faster than the mostly rural states.

This seems like a great idea on the surface, but it has non-obvious side-effects that might be very unfair too: there will still be rounding errors, where a small state is not quite enough to get to two representatives, while another state is almost perfectly matched at a multiple of the minimum state. In such cases, the states not quite reaching the threshold for getting an extra seat are relatively screwed. Still, this problem seems better than the present problems. In any case, the representatives that would vote on changes to the system are gaming it to see what works best in their favor rather than what seems most logical or "fair".

The fundamental problem is how to handle rounding errors, or "quantization distortion". In other contexts, like encoding audio signals for phone networks, it is called quantization distortion. It is also a tricky problem for IT equipment manufacturers deciding to make 24, 36, or 48 ports or more for a card that inserts into a chassis. Some companies make cars with a lot of ports and advertise an attractive price per port. But this creates an uglier stair-step function where if you need 73 ports and the cards have 72, now you have to buy 144 ports and the price per needed port gets ugly. This favors having a smaller port count to smooth out the pricing across different sizes.

Extending this logic to how we assign seats in House of Reps, we should keep the headcount for each representative to a minimum that still enables the overall headcount of the House of Reps to be manageable for voting and negotiating.


So there is a basic challenge here with no completely obvious solution in how to make things "fair" in apportioning seats, and whichever side of an ideological divide feels like they get the short end of the stick can use it as a talking point of how unfair the other side is.

I wonder if there is a sort of "I cut the cake and you choose the piece" sort of solution to stop it from being a partisan issue?


In any case, I should be more careful in researching stuff before I take a stand. And my main point in starting this thread was not to get mired down in rational arguments about issues. When I tried that, it devolved into name-calling and insults, because the root of the problem is people have an emotional investment and ingrained set of truth based on their experiences that sometimes overrides logical debate. So here I am just trying to get at the emotional roots of the divide, to create space where a logical/rational debate is possible.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 3, 2018 - 03:58pm PT
xCon, I have a hard time being open to the message you share because of how you express yourself. Ironically, I am probably already on your side. Do you intend to convince anyone who starts off not on your side? From what I have experienced in life, profanities and inflammatory tones tend to escalate conflict and separateness and suffering, rather than reducing them.
MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 3, 2018 - 04:13pm PT
xCon: high time we did

Looks like you have your work cut out for you. What are you doing about it?
Yury

Mountain climber
T.O.
Jul 3, 2018 - 05:28pm PT
NutAgain!, thank you for starting and keeping this discussion on track.

I also would like to describe my own moral compass:
 Are you looking for humankind well-being in 50 or 100 years in a future or only in the next 4 to 8 years?
I am OK with mediocre near future if it increases chances of a long term survival of human civilization.
 Do you care about majority of the people or only for privileged minorities?
I do not support supression of people, freedom and democracy tor the sake of a better life of privileged minorities.

I am a liberal on the following scale:
Progressives - Liberals - Centrists - Conservatives

As a result quite often my posts upset both my progressive and my conservative friends.
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 3, 2018 - 10:33pm PT
NutAgain! - Re the electoral college, a good solution that would not require a constitutional amendment would see more states split-allocate their votes--like Maine and Nebraska already do. This wouldn't "solve" the small-state paradox, but it would give voice to conservatives stuck in liberal states--and vice-versa.

xCon - Your revolution fantasy is going exactly nowhere. And that's good. For the country--and for you.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
Sands Motel , Las Vegas
Jul 4, 2018 - 09:48am PT
Xcon...channeling Jar Jar Binks again...?
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 4, 2018 - 10:22am PT
yes,
slave owners were the whiney bitch minority whos despicable selves had to be catered to in order to form the union at that time.

most of the constitution is pretty clear about what those people deserved and what we shoulda done with them the week after they signed

pitty the founders were so limp wristed they didn't get around to it...

high time we did

Well, we had a civil war over it about 75 years later that cost 700,000 lives. And three amendments to the Constitution that corrected (most of) the errors.

Maybe you missed this week of class?
Marlow

Sport climber
OSLO
Jul 4, 2018 - 10:24am PT

[Click to View YouTube Video]
Wade Icey

Trad climber
www.alohashirtrescue.com
Jul 4, 2018 - 10:28am PT
JC Marin

Trad climber
CA
Jul 4, 2018 - 11:04am PT
Yep--All good over at ST.

One big happy family...what divide?
Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 4, 2018 - 07:01pm PT
^^Um, I think he was talking about you, amigo.
Russ Walling

Social climber
from Poofters Froth, Wyoming
Jul 4, 2018 - 07:13pm PT
There's a new GarbleBase™™ in town...
madbolter1

Big Wall climber
Denver, CO
Jul 4, 2018 - 07:59pm PT
xCon needs a good Secret-Service/FBI review.

Happy 4th everybody else!
MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 5, 2018 - 06:56am PT
Yeah, Happy 4th.

Every time you see fireworks, try to remember what they mimic or imitate.

Being in combat . . . . It ain't pretty.
fear

Ice climber
hartford, ct
Jul 5, 2018 - 07:02am PT
"There's a new GarbleBase™™ in town..."

No way man... no one can replace the Gnome....
donini

Trad climber
Ouray, Colorado
Jul 5, 2018 - 07:09am PT
Thankfully a county wide fire ban nixed the fireworks in Ouray.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 6, 2018 - 10:17pm PT
[Click to View YouTube Video]

[Click to View YouTube Video]
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Jul 6, 2018 - 10:36pm PT
Don’t see much hope given the two party winner takes all system.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 7, 2018 - 10:27am PT
No I don't see much hope with the winner take all system either. I had some small hopes that the Supreme Court would crack down on gerrymandering which could improve things a little bit in the House. But with Kennedy's retirement, that is dead.
jogill

climber
Colorado
Jul 7, 2018 - 11:08am PT
Arthur Schlesinger (1950-1951):

"If the party division were strictly ideological, each presidential election would subject national unity to a fearful test. We must remember that the one election when our parties stood irrevocably on questions of principle was the election of 1860."
ExfifteenExfifteen

climber
Jul 7, 2018 - 02:59pm PT
antichrist:
but think schhol teachers should still make $20,000 or less a year to RAISE THEIR F*#KING KIDS.

My experience is the opposite. The repug conservatives, whom you call the xenophobic racist mutterfukers, do not want me to RAISE THEIR F*#KING KIDS. They do want me to teach their kids, but not brainwash their kids. Big difference.

So, I've spent my life teaching, not brainwashing. I have been invited to multiple graduations by past students. They believe I made the most valuable impact on their life as a student. And I'm just a silly 'ol 4th grade elementary school teacher.

The biggest indicator of my success is not that I am invited by these students, its that my invitations come from students from far-right, far-left, and middle of the road upbringing. They have come from students who barely could get out of 7th grade algebra, to top of the graduating class. Poor, rich, quiet, activist, and the whole gamut of life.

I'd love a raise, but lets be clear. I am on summer break enjoying family, climbing, fishing, AND life. I consider these perks to be part of my salary. But sure, I'll take more money too.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 7, 2018 - 04:57pm PT
I wonder how many people here have read Machiavelli’s “The Prince”.

One of the biggest concepts that stuck with me was the idea of how a person or group stays in power, stays number 1: by turning number 3 against number 2, and getting them to fight and weaken each other so nobody ever gets strong enough to challenge number 1.



The point here is not that half of America should be defeated/killed/tortured/harangued/etc. (pick which half depending on your party allegiance). The point is that we all need to recognize who is number 1, and what game they are playing to keep things that way.

The idea of bridging the divide, and my wishy-washy approach to bringing people together, is born of realizing that there will never be a triumphant ideological victory of one side over the other. There will just be a bunch of people not noticing who is hurting them and how much, because they are caught up in the relatively petty trespasses of each other and projecting the source of the real suffering onto each other.

Until we can learn to step away from the illusory Us and Them and join together to confront the real Them, then nothing fundamental will change for the better. Just a bunch of petty battles, changing hands of which party is in power, some rights gained or lost here and there, but nothing lasting unless it helps the richest get richer.

If you identify yourself as liberal, and even if you think you are on the right side of the ideological divide supported by reason, fairness, justice, rightness, etc... it is a bad strategy to seek out a fight for it when emotionally-informed listening and two-way teaching has not been sufficiently explored. In a physical fight, are you willing to be more depraved than your enemy? If not, you will lose. If yes, what of the high minded ideals that motivated your fight? You lost them. Now it’s not a battle for right and wrong. It’s just a battle between two groups of stubborn people, with a lot more suffering added to the world.





Lituya

Mountain climber
Jul 7, 2018 - 09:20pm PT
Wow, I guess I never realized science was "liberal."
MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 7, 2018 - 09:58pm PT
It would be nice if someone could resurrect Mr. Rogers and set him on the adults.

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/wont_you_be_my_neighbor
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Jul 8, 2018 - 03:46am PT
Excellent post NutAgain.

We need to stop playing fiddledicks while our nation slowly burns.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 8, 2018 - 12:29pm PT
Wow, I guess I never realized science was "liberal."

All this time and you never realized that facts have a known liberal bias?
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 8, 2018 - 12:36pm PT
In a physical fight, are you willing to be more depraved than your enemy? If not, you will lose. If yes, what of the high minded ideals that motivated your fight? You lost them. Now it’s not a battle for right and wrong. It’s just a battle between two groups of stubborn people, with a lot more suffering added to the world.


No country has a right set in stone to a functional democracy and the rule of law. I think functional democracies are actually a bit fragile.

A functional democracy isn't just going to the polls and being allowed a reasonably fair vote. Russia and Turkey have that. But it is having an effective media that can criticize those in powers and the ability of society to have mostly rational debates on real issues based on actual facts. If a large plurality, say 30% of voters don't want to do that, the prospects for a functional democracy is grim. I don't see anything in the short to medium term (next 10~20 years) that is going to make our democracy better. A series of Trumps isn't as bad as it could get. We could have a single Trump for 20 or 30 years.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 8, 2018 - 12:55pm PT
I don’t think a big group of people are fundamentally against facts. I think they have emotional needs that are met by the identity labels of “conservative” and/or “republican” that overpower their perception of a need for facts (notwithstanding their need for cars, air conditioning, heaters, smartPhones, Internet, and other stuff associated with science and engineering). People have a vested interest in not changing their team, especially in a society that rewards loyalty and rooting for the underdog. An altered version of this goes for “liberals”/“Democrats” who feed off of divisive memes.

I’m not trying to compare ideologies- most of you reading probably know I’m a bleeding heart “liberal”. But the point is to not demonize people who for reasons that make sense to them adopt a different ideology. Until we acknowledge the power and role that emotions play in who we are, we are not going to change or understand ourselves or each other based on rational arguments or physical confrontations.
Ken M

Mountain climber
Los Angeles, Ca
Jul 8, 2018 - 02:51pm PT
It would be nice if someone could resurrect Mr. Rogers and set him on the adults.

One of the best films I've seen in the last year. Strongly recommended.
yanqui

climber
Balcarce, Argentina
Jul 8, 2018 - 03:46pm PT
I don’t think a big group of people are fundamentally against facts. I think they have emotional needs that are met by the identity labels of “conservative” and/or “Republican” that overpower their perception of a need for facts (notwithstanding their need for cars, air conditioning, heaters, smartPhones, Internet, and other stuff associated with science and engineering). People have a vested interest in not changing their team, especially in a society that rewards loyalty and rooting for the underdog. An altered version of this goes for “liberals”/“Democrats” who feed off of divisive memes.

Recently I read about a study where a sample of Americans, divided into two groups: "liberals" and "conservatives" were presented with bald-faced lies and then and asked about whether or not those lies were morally reprehensible. It turns out for both groups, if the participants felt: 1) that the lie in question referred to a circumstance that could have been true had certain conditions been realized (even though those conditions were in fact not realized) and 2) that the lie reinforced their basic ideological beliefs about how the world works, then people from either group tended to judge the lie as morally acceptable.

Researchers, building a bridge about the acceptance of lies!
Yury

Mountain climber
T.O.
Jul 8, 2018 - 04:44pm PT
AntiChrist:
So you are saying the deep down the Taliban, Isis, and white supremacists (mr trump, sessions, bannon, and their supporters included) are good people and their ideology is okay because it makes sense to them?
AntiChrist, following the spirit of this thread I would like to provide an alternative version of your question:

Are you saying that Stalin, Mao, Pol-Pot, BLM, antifa and their supporters are good people and their ideology is okay because it makes sense to them?
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 8, 2018 - 07:49pm PT
So you are saying the deep down the Taliban, Isis, and white supremacists (mr trump, sessions, bannon, and their supporters included) are good people and their ideology is okay because it makes sense to them?

Yes and no. Deep down they are mostly good people, or had the potential to be. And no, the ideology is not ok. Anger is a disease that spreads like a virus. You don't cure a disease by killing everyone who has it, unless you are a very primitive culture. You try to understand how the disease works and you figure out how to stop it from hurting people.

I'm saying that if you disagree with the ideologies, then the way to fight it is to understand the reason that so many people embrace it, and deal with THAT. If you just fight the people who embrace the ideology as a crutch to solve their other problems, then you are not making the problematic ideology go away. It is here because it solves a problem. What problem is that?


As for Taliban/ISIS/white supremacists... the common thread is frustration and anger and a sense of powerlessness. Teach people to understand and articulate their own emotions, and create circumstances in the world where people can prosper when they make a positive effort, and stop spreading hate and anger, and much of the world's problems would go away. Bullets and missiles and drones and dead blood and expanding waves of emotionally destroyed people, families, societies, are expensive solutions to a failure to emotionally educate and support people in their childhoods and to create the conditions for individuals to prosper through their own hard work.


If America had a way to measure investments across 20-50 years, we would see a wildly better return on investment (as compared to military, policing, and prison investments) for free education pre-school through university, make emotional literacy and healing a part of public education, social welfare programs that addressed people with mental health issues and people with drug addictions, create a mandatory civil service corp working on projects that renew our nation's infrastructure, or perform some valuable service for society, to create opportunities for societal development at the same time as creating meaning for people who might not find employment opportunities in a competitive shrinking labor market. We need a government that has the vision to create the circumstances for sustainable civilization rather than stoking the flames that will burn us all.

In terms of international threats from terrorist groups around the world: invest in alternative energies to reduce dependency on oil; create a comprehensive set of laws to hold international corporations accountable for their actions if they want to do business in USA- this includes all subsidiaries and subcontractors adhering to the same environmental and human rights standards and payscale that are expected (or at least used to be expected) in USA. This stops the motivations for corporations to seek out arbitrages in other countries, and reduces the pressure for US military intervention to disrupt the region for the benefit of corporations that help elect politicians in USA. Further, negotiate trade agreements with other countries to give them incentives to comply with these standards. The hidden agenda of "nationalist/populist" campaigns is to fragment international civilization to create more chances for companies to find the arbitrages that expand profits. Trade agreements might not start out perfect but they create a framework for moving in a direction to close out loopholes and march toward very difficult long term international goals that favor people and sustaining our limited natural resources around the planet.

Further, there should be a widespread recognition of the trade-offs of corporate growth: larger and consolidated companies deliver economies of scale to offer lower prices to consumers, but it comes with numerous costs that are not common knowledge at the time of purchase transactions, and if we had full transparency on those costs, the transactions wouldn't happen as frequently. Given the relative weakness/vulnerability of individuals who feel compelled to make purchase decisions based on what is cheapest... I think governments have an important responsibility to to rein in the power of large corporations. Instead of "too big to fail" we should have the mantra "too big to exist". By reducing the power of corporations, we increase the freedoms and rights for people.



But no, we are impatient, and greedy, and we want to see quarterly returns on our corporate and government investments. So we keep doing the things that screw our kids and don't recognize how our parents making the same weak decisions is what created most of our problems. And it wasn't their fault either- they were digging out of the hole created by their parents, and so on ad infinitum.


Many of you might disagree with my world view and provide plenty of counter-examples or proofs of why I'm wrong, why it won't work, etc... but more of you are just plain not open to rationally considering it because of deeply ingrained emotional needs and programming for how to fill those needs, that precludes the honest access to rational consideration. We all have emotional blind spots, and I am no exception. But I do actively try to make myself aware of them, and learn to account for them to improve the clarity with which I can observe the world around me.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Jul 9, 2018 - 08:16am PT
It ain’t hard y’all. The Norskies can show you. Just build the damn bridge and put a picnic table in the middle, dammit! Then get together and break bread. Simple, huh?
ExfifteenExfifteen

climber
Jul 9, 2018 - 09:06am PT
Antichrist:
Just not that liberal sciency crap and conspiracy theories about glbal warming.

Dude, you obviously are not speaking from real experiences, but from your biased view of others'... you are ignorant in your stupor.
ExfifteenExfifteen

climber
Jul 9, 2018 - 09:11am PT
Antichrist:
so they latch onto fairytales of an all powerful controller who created all their frustrations as a test.

Brahjirahji, you're one big drunken fairytale...

Nawmean?
Ciao...
MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 9, 2018 - 09:26am PT
AntiChrist,

In the video you posted, Fred Rogers seemed to be talking about coming to see and deal with one's own feelings, not others’ behaviors.


NutAgain!,

Your long recent post about fixing the disagreements among ideologies all seem to be modern approaches to social problems: systems, laws, more education, programs, limiting corporate degrees of freedoms, projects, and so forth.

I’d say there is something very important missing there, although I cannot articulate what it is, nor can I say how any of it could be brought into usage. What you suggest seem to be technical interventions. IMO, something big and important is missing. Maybe more than one thing.

You’re a smart person. There are many smart people here on this thread. I’m not sure that “smart” is actually getting us anywhere that’s decidedly better. I’m not sure that “better” is something that we have an affect on.

I can’t say for sure, but one response might be to do what Tony Soprano would often say in the show: “Hey, hey, hey! Take it easy.” (Of course, then he would later kill the character.)

Be well.
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Jul 9, 2018 - 10:06am PT
I’d say there is something very important missing there

A common goal or interest is needed. Something more compelling than the causes of the divide. What that may be. Who knows?

For me, it's an interest in the long term health of this country. The divisiveness causing our social fabric to decay. Animosity is on the rise. I don't see how we can reveres this trend.

When Obama won in '08, he had the gravitas to be a uniter. He won over the swing voters. A number of moderate Republics thought he was okay. But then, in his first major order of business (the stimulus plan), he told the GOP to piss off. And the two sides stepped apart. Granted, Mitch & Co. were against him from the start. But if he'd passed a bipartisan bill, I doubt the Tea Party movement would've taken off like it did.

So, who's the next Obama? Is it even possible to elect a POTUS who can champion bipartisanship?
guyman

Social climber
Moorpark, CA.
Jul 9, 2018 - 10:32am PT
XCon and Antichrist.... I think you boys are delusional, but carry on.

Yury

Mountain climber
T.O.
Jul 9, 2018 - 06:59pm PT
MikeL:
I’d say there is something very important missing there ...
Yes, Marxist theory is missing in this thread.
I would like to inject a bit of Marxism in this discussion because otherwise the root cause of the current social unrest may be also missed.

When we look at statistical numbers, we can notice correlation between growing disparity between reach and poor and growing social unrest and growing dysfunction of the US parliament.

Assuming current trend continues, I can see only two potential outcomes:
1) Political parties start to cooperate, emulate Roosevelt and decrease the gap between rich and poor to acceptable level.
We need more cooperation between Left and Right elites to accomplish this.
There are some signs (like this thread by NutAgain!), that this is possible.
2) In case elites do not start cooperating, social unrest won't stop until full blown revolution destroys the current American democracy.
There are some signs (like posts of some left agitators on this thread) that this is also possible.

To realize option #1 both right and left elites need to agree that well being of underprivileged Americans (regardless of their gender, race, etc.) is more important than anything else (including rights of extra wealthy Americans and progressive agendas like the right of biological males to pee in girls bathroom).
Without such agreement option #2 becomes unavoidable

I still believe that option #1 is more likely (after a more substantial social unrest); at the same time I can't guarantee that option #2 won't happen.
MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 10, 2018 - 09:12am PT
Hi, Yuri,

I'd welcome some theory in the discussion beyond the specific complaints. It's somewhat obvious to me that (other than how two posters see things here so black and white) our situation in this country is complex. We could use some other "handles" on the situation of why we aren't together as a society, culture, or people.

Marx said some other things that he was noted for. One, due to a capitalist organization, labor (Man) felt disconnected from his or her labors. That situation alienates him. Alienation is a big thing for Marx; and there would be class struggles. Hence, the need co-ownership in order to facilitate more sharing of productive resources and their fruits. Marx has been seen primarily as an economic theorist, but alienation he got from Hegel, who employed it as spiritual concept. Psychologically, we are all--and can't help but be--alienated (thanks, Freud!). Robust community ameliorates alienation because there is a place and purpose for people and individuals.

I'd suggest, however, that the general public's view on individualism and autonomy undermines past notions of traditional community. From a very early age, many of us come to feel that we can eschew history (family, local community, religion, work heritage of our fathers or mothers, nations, cultures) and do whatever or be whoever we wanted. The price, however, is alienation because we are groundless--no longer parochially oriented and educated.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 10, 2018 - 09:17am PT
MikeL:
I’d say there is something very important missing there, although I cannot articulate what it is, nor can I say how any of it could be brought into usage. What you suggest seem to be technical interventions. IMO, something big and important is missing. Maybe more than one thing.

EdwardT:
A common goal or interest is needed. Something more compelling than the causes of the divide. What that may be. Who knows?

I've been mulling this over, wrote a bunch of stuff... but I'll shorten it. edit: and expand it again ;)

Best I can come up with is "Faith." Not necessarily in religion... I'm talking about a sort of expectation, an unshakable belief not anchored in evidence or reason, that if we try all try our best to live in a way that makes the world a better place for more than ourselves, that if we seek to give as much or more than we receive, that things will work out.

The loss of this faith, the loss of hope, is a short road to perdition and terrible behavior. When I lost hope in the continuance of my first marriage (honestly, I lost this hope every time we fought from the beginning), lost hope that my positive efforts would result in anything positive, then I was not proud of my behavior in the wake of that. When I didn't see a solution to a problem, I gave up and unwittingly made the problem worse. What did it matter? Everything was going to sh!t anyways. It couldn't get any worse....

I think in our society, we have that magnified across a huge population interacting with each other, giving up on the idea of resolving problems and not caring about making it worse and then all these negative behaviors just reinforce the collective belief that everyone is screwed up and nothing is worth saving and there is no point in trying.

Perhaps this is just a hiccup, a growing pain in the evolution of our society... sort of like what is happening with the institutions of marriage and child-raising, where we recognize some short-comings of an institution and try to make radical changes and suffer the side-effects in pursuit of a bigger long term goal.

For a long time, women surrendered their hopes, dreams, goals, in the service of keeping marital peace. As they claimed their power, the uncertainty of division of power and areas of responsibility in a marriage led to new challenges- the need to communicate effectively to decide who handles what, and how to signal when things aren't working, and a mutual commitment to compromise to make it work. With these changing circumstances and unmet needs, the rate of divorce skyrocketed. Now people are less quick to hop into a marriage because they recognize these additional requirements and the fact that it can be really hard to find the right fit. To be sure, we are not yet collectively through that societal hiccup. Many seek the comfort and security and peace of traditional ways with clear lines of responsibility. Many think it is impossible and eschew the institution of marriage and either seek out or stumble into baby-mamas and baby-daddies or seek out a life without children. Many are pressing onward, identifying and honoring the new rules that lead to greater fulfillment and happiness for all parties (whether they are the same or different sexes, two or more people, etc.) as part of an equality-based marriage with lines of responsibility collectively drawn, customized to their respective strengths and weaknesses.

Also with child-raising: our society recognized that children have feelings and child abuse is bad, and in trying to give that up, we've had a few generations where many are raised with insufficient boundaries, raised with a hollow idea of self-esteem not anchored in personal responsibility or accomplishment. More people are now learning how to raise children with positive and effective discipline without it being anchored in abuse. Overall, it is a lot of side-tracks but ultimately taking us a step closer toward an ideal of how to be.

So perhaps we are also in this space with church and religion and morality... our society recognized some problems with the institution of church and organized religions, and our society is experimenting with ways to live in a society that is not based around a church. We are now struggling with the loss of the good things that came with the church: a shared sense of right and wrong, a common anchor for our sense of belonging and community, a way to have hope/faith in our future when we can't logically see it.

Like with the evolution of marriage, and the evolution of child-raising, perhaps this evolution of society to not depend on a church is a good thing in the long term and we have to be patient to let the kinks get worked out. Change is difficult, it is scary, and it often feels like maybe we would have been better off not starting it if we knew ahead of time how hard it would be. Sometimes I felt that way about parenthood! But I'm very happy for the relationship I have with my children, what kind of people they are turning out to be, and it is a joy to see what has blossomed.

Key to the advancement of the institution of marriage, and the practices of child-raising, have been the massive development of our emotional faculties: learning concepts and language to describe the dynamics and the patterns; learning the sources of energy that support or limit us; learning how to create space between our thoughts, impulses, and actions. I see the same needs for advancing our society, to keep the benefits that came from church-centric communities without the short-comings that cause friction in our global melting-pot of humanity.
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 10, 2018 - 04:54pm PT
Yanqui on July 8 mentions a "study" where a sample of Americans, divided into two groups: "liberals" and "conservatives" were presented with lies... if they like the outcome, then people from either group may judge the lie as morally acceptable.


This is not an accurate conclusion.
Several studies show that conservatives are MORE likely to lie.

"misinformation is currently predominantly a pathology of the right, and extreme voices from the right have been continuously attacking the mainstream media (Benkler et al., 2017). As a result, some conservative voters are even suspicious of fact-checking sites (Allcott and Gentzkow, 2017). This leaves them particularly susceptible to misinformation, which is being produced and repeated, in fact, by those same extreme voices."

https://shorensteincenter.org/combating-fake-news-agenda-for-research/

https://www.cjr.org/analysis/breitbart-media-trump-harvard-study.php

"The New York Times cataloged no less than 117 clearly false statements proclaimed publicly by Trump in the first six months of his presidency, with no evident loss in his supporters’ faith in him."
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2017/11/why_conservatives_are_more_susceptible_to_believing_in_lies.html

" Of the 20 top-performing false election stories identified in the analysis, all but three were overtly pro-Donald Trump or anti-Hillary Clinton." https://www.buzzfeed.com/craigsilverman/viral-fake-election-news-outperformed-real-news-on-facebook?utm_term=.shPBgyJgO#.sf4QLExL7

https://cmpa.gmu.edu/study-media-fact-checker-says-republicans-lie-more/

https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/tim-graham/2013/05/29/study-reveals-republicans-lie-moreor-politifact-has-serious-liberal

https://www.buzzfeed.com/craigsilverman/partisan-fb-pages-analysis?utm_term=.vjJD3W93L#.tpexn92nD

https://www.alternet.org/media/why-conservatives-opt-propaganda-over-reality

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-scientific-fundamentalist/201003/why-liberals-are-more-intelligent-conservatives

EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Jul 10, 2018 - 06:11pm PT
Could the crux of the problem be our entitlement mentality? It seems everyone (or at least the majority) has embraced a selfish, "what's the government gonna do for me" mindset.

My grandfather volunteered during WWI. Both he and my father volunteered during WWII. They did so because it was their duty as Americans, knowing full well of the potential downside. This was about their core values. They were not the exception. Those values were fairly mainstream at the time.

JFK famously said "ask not what your country can do for you — ask what you can do for your country."

We've flipped that phrase on it's head. Now, it's about what's in it for me? What benefits can be obtained for my tribe?

If we tried to be less selfish... more giving... as a way of life, the issues that divide would become less important... and the divisiveness would ebb.

Just something to ponder.
Roadie

Trad climber
moab UT
Jul 13, 2018 - 05:46pm PT
I am pretty certain that it was BUSH who did nothing to prevent 9-11. Obama was in the Illinois state house then.
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 13, 2018 - 08:16pm PT
trump is the OPPOSITE of Christian but thanks for your fake news about his great uniting trollisms.

Russia bots and the NY mafia love him.

He has publicly announced he would join whatever party would make him king.
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 13, 2018 - 08:22pm PT
How many lies in the trumpy's tally so far?
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 13, 2018 - 08:32pm PT
bragmoran posted:
"The day after 9-11 I went directly to the military recruiter so that I could join the army. They told me I was perfectly qualified because of my courage, commitment, and humility. Although I waited years for the right time to join, I was told I could not enlist because I was 39 years old.
Not only did Obama do nothing to stop the attacks of 9-11, his regulations prevented some of our finest citizens from defending our freedom."


You already posted that same lie about Obama on June 21 and were already corrected. Clearly your ability to absorb facts is as limited as trumpy.
Did your brain lose oxygen for too long while you were shouting benquazi, benkooky, benqueasy, benquacky, benkaki, bencookoo?

NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 13, 2018 - 08:38pm PT
For folks who have a life and don’t spend too much time here, Bragman is someone on an extended deep water trolling mission to parody Cragman. I don’t quite spend enough time here to know who it is though. In any case, don’t take what he says too seriously.

MikeL

Social climber
Southern Arizona
Jul 14, 2018 - 09:46am PT
NutAgain!,

Thanks for your post. You listed many variables and dynamics going on. It might be useful if you could see a bigger picture that would encompass those variables and dynamics. I’d maybe suggest some Buddhist ideas, but after 35 years involved in it, I’d characterize that as a Byzantine maze.

Divorces and personal relationships tend to initiate self-reflection and contemplation. I’d suggest that’s the right track, and I think you’re thinking for yourself.

At the end of the day, it’s really all about you. What you are, what you see, how you interpret things, what you think is of value (conventionally, ultimately), etc. Starting this thread and attempting to keep it on-topic (smiley face here) is an indication of your sincerity in that regard. I applaud your goodwill.

We’re all human, brother.

Be well.
Bad Climber

Trad climber
The Lawless Border Regions
Jul 15, 2018 - 06:27am PT
I think Clinton tried to get people excited about Bin Hatin', but folks were too excited about Billy getting a BJ in the Oval. Oh, well. Ain't politics grand? We can't bridge the divide because we're too effin' tribal, and the Internet has only exacerbated the problem.

BAd
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 15, 2018 - 08:13am PT
Hi Mikel, I’m curious what the big-picture wrapper around all this stuff might be from a Buddhist perspective. I tend to reinvent the wheel with religious/philosophical stuff because I don’t have the patience to wade through voluminous expositions separating the wheat from the chaff.

Pretty ironic considering how much I post voluminous expositions with wheat obfuscated by chaff! Maybe it just shows how challenging it is to strip down the key ideas but leave enough meat and context for it to not be too abstract. The right level of summarization is different depending on whether you just want to remember or if you are trying to learn something in the first place.
Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 30, 2018 - 07:44am PT
It's pretty funny, watching the hysterical thrutchings of the masses.

Example one:

The media is a bunch of lying ass puppets until Chump says "Fake News". Now the fourth estate (the press) is suddenly a lock-step army of ethical journalists. Nonsense
Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 30, 2018 - 08:01am PT
Example two:

Red Scare Conservatives are the enemy of every liberal until Chump. Now every barely aware thinks Russia is the Axis, Hub and Spokes of Evil. Nonsense.


And if you're a left/ prog ( like me) you should feel deep shame about Syria. We did this. Back when Obama was getting the benefit of the doubt. Then he started agitating against Russia during the election run-up. Deep shame


Example Three:
Every peacenik ( like you and me) thought the DMZ and Korean Conflict was the biggest embarrassment and a monument to stupidity. Every peacenik wants deescalation and normalization of relations. Until now. Now we need to keep kicking North Korea with jackboots to maintain our moral superiority. Nonsense.


Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 30, 2018 - 08:24am PT
The Taoist take is one of bemused indifference to the tragicomic political theater of the moment.
John M

climber
Jul 30, 2018 - 09:03am PT
Every peacenik ( like you and me) thought the DMZ and Korean Conflict was the biggest embarrassment and a monument to stupidity.

I guess I'm not a peacenik, though I am for things that promote peace. I would have been for the US halting the advance of the Soviet Union into South Korea. I understand the need for the DMZ. I don't mind some form of normalization of relations between North and South Korea, but that doesn't mean stopping the DMZ, because the North is ruled by an Insane person with a crazy large military who I don't doubt would invade South Korea if we weren't there. I understand the need for a strong military presence when you are dealing with crazy.

Just as I understand the need for a strong police presence. Where I seem to differ with the conservatives is I do believe that our police currently have an authoritarian problem.

Finding the balance between being compassionate and being strong is the problem for most humans. The left is out of balance with being too compassionate, thus lacking a strong line that one doesn't cross. The right is out of balance with being too strong, lacking compassion and empathy.

In my opinion, neither the left nor the right is in balance.
Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Jul 30, 2018 - 09:29am PT
So much cultural relativism.

You guys are showing why the Democratic platform is the most mainstream conservative POV.

John M

climber
Jul 30, 2018 - 10:00am PT
You guys are showing why the Democratic platform is the most mainstream conservative POV.

Is that bad? Seriously..

I want to drastically reduce the national debt and create a rainy day fund.
I want a strong military, but not spend the crazy amount that we currently do. I do not see the need to spend more then the next 8 largest countries.
I want strong support for workers rights.
I am against banning abortion.
I want sane gun laws.
I want campaign finance reform.
I want strong public schools.
I want a repaired infrastructure
I want to continue to protect national lands
I want to separate the forest service from fighting fires to help them with their budget.
I want single payer health care for basic care, with supplemental insurance for higher levels of care.


I understand that these things are difficult to achieve.

I believe that the right has gone too far in protecting police, but the left has also gone too far in attacking them. Both sides seem to be insane on a lot of issues.

Are these things bad in your mind?

EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Jul 30, 2018 - 10:11am PT
Nice platform John M.

I think most Americans would support 80% of it. I'm fine with all of it,

Unfortunately, the extremes keep the focus on wedge issues, with the volume cranked.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 30, 2018 - 10:39am PT
John M, I’m supportive of everything you mentioned.
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 30, 2018 - 11:07am PT

And if you're a left/ prog ( like me) you should feel deep shame about Syria. We did this. Back when Obama was getting the benefit of the doubt.

And what should of Obama have done differently? I don't see any good options. We had a massive invasion of Iraq and it went poorly. In Libya we didn't put boots on the ground, but we did major air strikes, and it went poorly. In Syria, we mostly stayed on the sidelines (until ISIS invaded Iraq) and it went poorly.

The chemical attacks/red line was a PR disaster but if Obama had never drawn that line, I don't think things would have been any different.

We didn't break/own Syria and we didn't put massive number of US soldiers on the ground. I don't see what option would have been better.
Yury

Mountain climber
T.O.
Jul 30, 2018 - 08:28pm PT
John M:
I want to drastically reduce the national debt and create a rainy day fund.
I want a strong military, but not spend the crazy amount that we currently do. I do not see the need to spend more then the next 8 largest countries.
I want strong support for workers rights.
I am against banning abortion.
I want sane gun laws.
I want campaign finance reform.
I want strong public schools.
I want a repaired infrastructure
I want to continue to protect national lands
I want to separate the forest service from fighting fires to help them with their budget.
I want single payer health care for basic care, with supplemental insurance for higher levels of care.


John M, I noticed that the following is NOT on your list:
Freedom
Human rights
Democracy

Is this just an accidental omission?
I do not think so.

This is a fundamental difference between progressives and liberals.
You are not liberal.
You are progressive.

I noticed that many progressives are willing to sucrifice these for more important issues such as a right of a male to pee in a girls washroom.


John M

climber
Jul 30, 2018 - 08:31pm PT
I noticed that many progressives are willing to sucrifice these for more important issues such as a right of a male to pee in a girls washroom.

nope.. not me

I have always been for Democracy, Freedom and Human rights. I do not know where you got the idea that I wasn't. You assume too much.

Edit: by the way.. Workers rights are human rights.
Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Jul 30, 2018 - 09:09pm PT
Jeff Sessions is now ranting about the new (un-identified, but scary) threat to religious liberty. It is very-important for Trumpians, to keep the Republican base fearfull!

Sessions cited "a dangerous movement" aimed toward stripping away the First Amendment right to freedom of religion as a basis for forming the new task force.

"A dangerous movement, undetected by many, is now challenging and eroding our great tradition of religious freedom," Sessions said in his speech. "There can be no doubt. This is no little matter. It must be confronted and defeated."
https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/30/politics/jeff-sessions-religious-liberty-task-force/index.html
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Jul 31, 2018 - 06:08am PT

In the beginning, it was just beir-halz banter, often un-heard over the laughter. . .
went down well,
to help drown the misery & poverty &
The dis-regard for humanity, birth'd in World War
& all that the 1st blush of that
failed totalitarianism had wrought,
it was fun & funny, most thought.

then those not allowed in to drink there,
put on brown & marched to town
came and broke out all the windows

in short the spiral to hell we are now on has happened before , some will say again & again

Only Patton saw it for what it was, and called it what it was saying there should be no end till there is no more
Red. . . .

gnow your history,. your asre is doomed to repeat

bridge?
not
ever

never again


If your gay hide if your sane hide if your wealthy hide if you have a care to see a better future hide

there can be no bridge to the otherside of apocalypse
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 31, 2018 - 10:43am PT
What I think of when I say "bridge the divide" is not the same as what some people seem to perceive when they hear it.

I am not saying "meet insane destructive ideologies half way." I am saying, try to understand what drives people to embrace insane ideologies, and try to deal with the roots of that problem and reconnect with people... build a bridge to those people and together create viable alternatives so that insane ideologies don't seem like the best option to people who are struggling with different stuff that you or I or others may not perceive or understand.

The bridge is a way to bring humanity together before we are united by the least common denominator of being susceptible to gravity and human vice, the fall into the chasm. It is a way of fighting the war against insane destructive ideologies, but it is fighting it in a dimension other than physical violence. Physical fighting is the last recourse, and has the most ugly side-effects that also spread the seeds for the next infestation of insane ideologies, perpetuating a cycle of destruction.

Part of my motivation in this thread was to find a way to break that cycle.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 11:45am PT
Nut
build a bridge to those people and together create viable alternatives so that insane ideologies
I think most moddrates and liberals would reflexively say this is step one and perhaps step two and three as well. After all, empathy is typically a root source of liberal and centrist views. I'm in total agreement, especially on a personal level.

It's when such efforts are taken advantage of, seen as week, or worse- these efforts are reconstructed as lying and villainous behavior. This is exactly the case right now and our way of life is under threat and the future of my children is at stake. These are not just my words, they are echoed by past CIA and NSA directors and many high ranking Admirals and Generals.

So maybe it's time for the "Enter the Death Clutch" thread.

Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 12:28pm PT
Tut,

Is Trump a Conservative?

How about Sessions?

Paul Ryan?

These men, and men like them, who are of the ilk you describe, have stolen the mantle of Conservatism. Conservatism as a set of constructive social and political ideas has no voice today.

The idea of natural rights, some say God given, is that there are certain rights which cannot be granted nor taken away by government. Locke, one of the enlightenment period thinkers included property among those rights. Our founders looked to Locke as an influence, as guiding their philosophy. None the less they struck property as an inalienable right from the Declaration. Life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness are the foundation for the principle of self ownership, the most basic natural right.

Of course when the Declaration as written, we had slavery. Not much self ownership there. Hypocrisy, or high ideals? I'm sure some of each. But letters and diaries from the period show that many of these men hoped, with those words, that they were sowing the seeds for the demise of slavery. Among these was Jefferson, who was against slavery and was the principal author of the Declaration. He also said that he feared their words would lead to a great civil war. Jefferson rationalized keeping his slaves because if he freed them they would be captured and either killed or enslaved by a more brutal master than he.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 12:47pm PT
Trump, his sycophants and the extreme Ayn Rand Libertarians will have damaged the conservatives in this country more than the liberals because they have co-opted the Republican Party as a Trojan Hoarse for greed, fear, hate and carpet bagging. It will be the Republican party in the end, that will bear the brunt of retribution. Seeing the writing on the wall, some conservatives have publicly endorsed Democratic leadership (see George Will).

I did not agree with Buckley but we need his voice more than ever.
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Jul 31, 2018 - 01:38pm PT
Well said, Dingus.

Bigotry and intolerance reigns on both ends of the political spectrum.

One part of the problem is entitlement mentality has gone mainstream. A significant portion of the population thinks society should accommodate their special cause, regardless of it's popularity.

Looking at current outrages versus the serious challenges previous generations faced, it seems we've all become a bunch of whiny, selfish snowflakes.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 02:13pm PT
Not really Edward. I'd say the biggest snowflakes are the uneducated white workers that are upset at the leveling of the playing field and haven't committed to the huge effort it takes to succeed now days. Mere survival is what most of the world's population fights for.

Anyways- Look at the damage the radical anti establishment hippies of the 60's and 70's did to the mainstream liberal agenda of the 80's and 90's.

We can only hope that the current reactionary sentiment left over from the 60's is listing our political ship at the most extreme angle from it's cental axis and we will see some righting soon before we capsize.



John M

climber
Jul 31, 2018 - 02:40pm PT
Edward used the world "all" to describe both sides of the equation. Both groups have different things that they feel entitled to, but both the liberal mindset and the conservative mindset have a spectrum of entitlement.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 02:47pm PT
This is true although I don't like clean water, fresh air and safe food to be lumped in as liberal entitlements.

Poor people felching welfare and Medicaid are not liberal notions anymore than corporate and big agriculture are conservative notions.

The snowflakes I mentioned up-post "the base" are unique in our current environment.
John M

climber
Jul 31, 2018 - 03:09pm PT
This is true although I don't like clean water, fresh air and safe food to be lumped in as liberal entitlements.

where the conservative mindset starts to label them entitlements is when the powers that be start to become overbearing and laws become so restrictive that it starts to feel as though nothing can be done. The idea that we can't travel because it causes emissions that contribute to global warming. That crushes the spirit. So then the conservative mindset starts to view it as an entitlement that needs to be crushed, causing both sides to feel threatened. Oh my god, the left is going to make it impossible to do anything, oh my god the right is going to destroy the earth. This causes people to then gravitate further towards the extremes.

Somehow the agro all or nothing mindset has taken over the majority of conversation in this country. Respect has gone out the window. Perhaps it has always been that way, but it seems more open today. Likely because of our access to new forms of communication.

Edit: thanks Dingus..
August West

Trad climber
Where the wind blows strange
Jul 31, 2018 - 03:43pm PT
Both groups have different things that they feel entitled to, but both the liberal mindset and the conservative mindset have a spectrum of entitlement.

Sense of entitlement is a problem. Just like the idea that you can continually call government the problem, rail against it, slash it budget, but then still expect FEMA/911 to respond perfectly to every problem, never mind you just go done slashing their budgets...

But I think the echo chamber and being able to dismiss inconvenient facts as fake news is a far, bigger problem.

Trump supporters don't have a monopoly on this, but it has taken over the Republican party far more than the Democrats.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 04:29pm PT
Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury secretary, said in an interview on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit meeting in Argentina this month that his department was studying whether it could use its regulatory powers to allow Americans to account for inflation in determining capital gains tax liabilities. The Treasury Department could change the definition of “cost” for calculating capital gains, allowing taxpayers to adjust the initial value of an asset, such as a home or a share of stock, for inflation when it sells.
Dingus and any reasonable people- let's meet on the bridge from time to time do discuss how we best fight the usurper and their foreign allies. I say tooth and nail for our less fortunate fellow citizens.
NutAgain!

Trad climber
South Pasadena, CA
Topic Author's Reply - Jul 31, 2018 - 04:50pm PT
I read about that too a few days ago... I recall something about a pre-screen for people who have frequently visited one of the countries on the “shady” list.

I’m not fundamentally against the idea of developing a scoring system to assess risk and be proactive in managing that risk. It is a logical way to approach a problem. There is also a problem with being fully transparent about the criteria because then the threats will adapt to not be detected in the threat model. So it’s not an easy problem to solve.

That said, solving the problem, or managing the risk of security violations, needs to be done in the context of what we risk losing with an uncaught threat vs. the societal costs of heavy-handed approaches to threat mitigation. Easy to say that, harder to do it. Whoever does that job should have the unusual combination of thick skin and empathy for others and a paranoid disposition.

Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 05:04pm PT
Here's some interesting graphs showing the relationship between tax rates and tax revenue. Most interesting.

wmercatus.org/publication/tax-rates-vs-tax-revenues
Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Jul 31, 2018 - 05:47pm PT
Ksolem: Per your graphs from the Mercatus Center. Since they are a Koch brothers funded conservative, & highly biased think-tank, I am looking elsewhere for how taxes affect tax revenues & GNP.

Here's some of the dirt on them.


https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Mercatus_Center
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 06:31pm PT
Koch brothers are staunch Libertarians.

FWIW they employ 120,000 people, 60k of them in the US.

Mercatus does not have opinions as an institution. It has people who research and write on things. So a lot of what you call dirt on Mercatus is opinions or findings of independent members.

The numbers used to create the graphs (as it says in the fine print) are from the IRS and the Census Bureau.

I'm curious Fritz, what is your take-away from reading the graphs?
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 06:55pm PT
I love how this ALWAYS applies to a conservative think tank but NEVER to the worldwide scientific community.

Satan wins again!

I'm not sure what Satan has to do with it.

It applies to tenured professors at Universities. It applies to the op-ed page of many newspapers. It applies in good publications like The Economist. And it applies in liberal think tanks.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:06pm PT
The numbers are the numbers, and they're from the tax man.

Think about it this way. Want to increase tax revenues? Grow the GDP. 15% of a bigger GDP is more revenue.
Ghost

climber
A long way from where I started
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:18pm PT
Bridging the divide...

Here's an example: Twenty years ago, I moved from Vancouver to Golden, a tiny town in the Canadian Rockies. Population was about 5,000, and, while it was a well known center of mountain recreation, it was still a tiny town in the Rockies.

I knew a couple of people there, and they introduced me to a few others, and, not long after I arrived, I was invited to a barbecue.

Lots of people, and they all seemed friendly. Including one guy who introduced himself, and then said: "So, you're from Vancouver?"

"Yes."

"So why do all you city people want to take our guns away?"

A lot of thoughts chased one another around my mind. Was I in favor of stricter laws about possession of firearms? Damn right. Did I want to take my new friend's guns away? No way.

Thinking about it, I recalled my childhood in a medium-size city in the Canadian prairies. My pacifistic father gave me my first rifle for my seventh birthday. By the time I left for the big city on the coast, I probably owned half a dozen rifles. I'd given them all to friends when I moved, because I couldn't see myself using them in Vancouver, but I sure didn't want to take any small-towner's guns away.

So why did he think I did?

Well, probably because I wanted to take guns away from pretty much everybody in Vancouver. Despite the generally held US belief that Vancouver is heaven-on-earth, a utopia of rainbows and unicorns, it is, in fact, a big port city, with a drug problem most in the US have no clue about. Guns? No f*#king way anyone in Vancouver should have a gun.

But that "anti-gun" sentiment, for me at least, ended at the city limits. I'd have fought right alongside the non-urban population against any move to take their guns away.

And, over a beer or two and some barbecue, he and I found a bridge over the divide. We agreed that easy access to firearms in big cities was a real problem, and that at least one big-city guy was in his corner on the subject of leaving rural and small-town folks with their guns.

Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:23pm PT
Ksolem: I think our difference here, is the Republican & conservative fascination with the "Laffer-Curve!" Per the graphs, you link to, I would have to study them in daylight, but I know that partly due to the graphs dating to 2010, "figures never lie, but liers do a lot of figuring."

Does reducing taxes grow the economy? Republicans & conservatives love the much-disputed Laffer-Curve, which argues that as tax rates go down, tax revenues go up, due to economic growth. It was proved wrong for the Reagan & Bush tax cuts, & will likely be proved wrong for the Trump tax cuts, as America’s Public Debt hugely increases

From NPR,
The Long Answer:

https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/10/30/452905475/fact-check-do-tax-cuts-grow-the-economy

Tax cuts can boost economic growth. But the operative word there is "can." It's by no means an automatic or perfect relationship.
We know, we know. No one likes a fact check with a non-firm answer. So let's dig further into this idea.

There's a simple logic behind the idea that cutting taxes boosts growth: Cutting taxes gives people more money to spend as they like, which can boost economic growth.

Many — but by no means all— economists believe there's a relationship between cuts and growth. In a 2012 survey of top economists, the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business found that 35 percent thought cutting taxes would boost economic growth. A roughly equal share, 35 percent, were uncertain. Only 8 percent disagreed or strongly disagreed.
But in practice, it's not always clear that tax cuts themselves automatically boost the economy, according to a recent study.

"It is by no means obvious, on an ex ante basis, that tax rate cuts will ultimately lead to a larger economy," as the Brookings Institution's William Gale and Andrew Samwick wrote in a 2014 paper. Well-designed tax policy can increase growth, they wrote, but to do so, tax cuts have to come alongside spending cuts.

And even then, it can't just be any spending cuts — it has to be cuts to "unproductive" spending.

"I want to be clear — one can write down models where taxes generate big effects," Gale told NPR. But models are not the real world, he added. "The empirical evidence is quite different from the modeling results, and the empirical evidence is much weaker."

It's not just Gale. According to a 2012 report from the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service (referenced by the New York Times' David Leonhardt in a 2012 column), top marginal tax rates and economic growth have not appeared correlated over the past 60 years.

One other nuance — it depends on the type of tax cut. You can imagine how cutting taxes for lower earners might boost activity more than cutting the top marginal rate — lower-income Americans with an extra $100 are more likely to spend that money than a millionaire.

Likewise, the economic research firm Moody's found in 2008 that temporary tax cuts (like rebates) could boost GDP, but permanent ones had a much weaker effect. Meanwhile, boosting spending on programs like food stamps and unemployment had a stronger effect, they found.

In short, if your sole, ultimate goal is faster growth, tax cuts might not be the best policy.

Why It Matters, Part 1: What do these plans cost?

This might seem like a stupid question — of course economic growth matters! — but it matters doubly for these tax plans because it affects how much they end up costing. And most of the Republicans' plans look really, really expensive.

A lot of the conversation about revenue in this week's debate focused on estimates from the Tax Foundation, a right-leaning tax policy think tank in Washington, D.C., that has scored many of the GOP candidates' tax plans.
That group releases what are called static and dynamic scores. Dynamic scores are complicated: They take into account potential economic effects — for example, they assume that tax cuts can generate economic growth and therefore, revenue. Static scores are much simpler, ignoring those effects.
And that's a weakness of static scores — policies have effects. But dynamic scores involve the impossible task of predicting the future. A perfect dynamic score would be the best option, but no one knows how to do a perfect dynamic score. So dynamic scores are inherently uncertain as well, and there are a lot of ways to get them wrong.

To see this fight in action, look back to earlier this year, when the Congressional Budget Office, with a new GOP-appointed director, announced it would start issuing dynamic scores.

Or look at the Tax Foundation. Many (Gale included) say the group's dynamic scores are too generous, making policies like tax cuts look cheaper than they really are.

And here's where the bottom line comes in — even if you do believe the Tax Foundation's dynamic scores are way too generous, as of earlier this month, they found that one candidate (Rand Paul) comes out with a plan that won't slash revenue, while most of the other candidates will cut it by more than $1 trillion over 10 years.

Trump's plan, by this math, cuts revenue by $10 trillion over 10 years.

And from the NY Times:

From the NY Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/25/us/politics/white-house-economic-policy-arthur-laffer.html



Presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush both cut taxes deeply on the promise of economic payoffs, putting aside concerns about deficits, which grew during their tenures. Mr. Trump at points during the campaign talked tough about deficits, promising not only to eliminate them but also to wipe out in just eight years the entire $19 trillion in national debt that has accumulated over the history of the United States — a pledge so wildly unrealistic that even he has since dropped it.

While a corporate tax rate cut of the dimension Mr. Trump envisions would reduce tax revenues by more than $2 trillion over the next 10 years, Mr. Mnuchin noted that an increase in economic growth of a little more than one percentage point would generate close to the same amount. The goal, he said, was to produce a sustained national growth rate of 3 percent, instead of the 1.8 percent now projected over the next decade. That would not include the cost of personal income tax cuts.

The question comes down to how the effect of a tax cut is measured. Under what is called static scoring, changes are judged without assuming any difference in growth. Under what is called dynamic scoring, assumptions are made about how much growth will change. “Under dynamic scoring, this will pay for itself,” Mr. Mnuchin said at a public forum last weekend. “Under static scoring, there will be short-term issues.”
Critics scoffed at the math. “There is not a shred of evidence to support the secretary’s pay-for-itself claim,” said Jared Bernstein, a top White House economics adviser under Mr. Obama. “Sure, significantly faster growth would spin off more revenues. But there’s simply no empirical linkage between tax cuts and growth that’s both a lot faster and sustained.”

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, an advocacy group focused on reducing deficits, said that Mr. Trump’s tax plan was more likely to increase growth by 0.2 percentage points than by the higher estimates Mr. Mnuchin forecast. “These tax cuts, of course, would not pay for themselves,” the group said in a statement. “As we’ve explained before, there is little evidence to suggest any major tax cut could pay for itself with economic growth alone.”
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:38pm PT
Looking at those charts,
it shows average marginal income tax rate being 40% or higher
ever since 1978.
Please advise.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
Sands Motel , Las Vegas
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:42pm PT
The threat of gun confiscation by the liberals just gave the 1% a big tax cut and the fearful gun owners nothing...Play it again Sam...
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Jul 31, 2018 - 07:50pm PT
More importantly, some articles showing who owns government.

The subversion of the people’s preferences in our supposedly democratic system was explored in a 2014 study by the political scientists Martin Gilens of Princeton and Benjamin I. Page of Northwestern. Four broad theories have long sought to answer a fundamental question about our government: Who rules? One theory, the one we teach our children in civics classes, holds that the views of average people are decisive. Another theory suggests that mass-based interest groups such as the AARP have the power. A third theory predicts that business groups such as the Independent Insurance Agents and Brokers of America and the National Beer Wholesalers Association carry the day. A fourth theory holds that policy reflects the views of the economic elite.

Gilens and Page tested those theories by tracking how well the preferences of various groups predicted the way that Congress and the executive branch would act on 1,779 policy issues over a span of two decades. The results were shocking. Economic elites and narrow interest groups were very influential: They succeeded in getting their favored policies adopted about half of the time, and in stopping legislation to which they were opposed nearly all of the time. Mass-based interest groups, meanwhile, had little effect on public policy. As for the views of ordinary citizens, they had virtually no independent effect at all. “When the preferences of economic elites and the stands of organized interest groups are controlled for, the preferences of the average American appear to have only a minuscule, near-zero, statistically non-significant impact upon public policy,” Gilens and Page wrote.

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/03/america-is-not-a-democracy/550931/

https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/04/how-corporate-lobbyists-conquered-american-democracy/390822/

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/04/mick-mulvaneys-guide-to-navigating-the-swamp/558890/
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 08:06pm PT
I'm for reducing tax rates to zero. According to how you think you understand your charts, it would not change anything.

WTF?

There's nothing there suggesting such an idea would work. The graphs shows real tax rates over a period of time. Not zero taxes. That's idiotic.

In the interest of bridging the gap I'll leave it at that.

Fritz,

Stimulating the economy by lowering taxes is not about stimulating consumer spending. It's about increasing production.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 08:22pm PT
Looking at those charts,
it shows average marginal income tax rate being 40% or higher
ever since 1978.
Please advise.

From Tax Policy Center:

The average tax rate is the total amount of tax divided by total income. For example, if a household has a total income of $100,000 and pays taxes of $15,000, the household’s average tax rate is 15 percent. The marginal tax rate is the incremental tax paid on incremental income. If a household were to earn an additional $10,000 in wages on which $1,530 of payroll tax and $1,500 of income tax was paid, the household’s marginal tax rate would be 30.3 percent.
Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Jul 31, 2018 - 08:33pm PT
Ksolem! Per your remark:

Fritz,

Stimulating the economy by lowering taxes is not about stimulating consumer spending. It's about increasing production.


Whether we love or hate the Trump tax-cuts, we will all enjoy, or suffer those cuts.

As many know, since various Republican politicians said: the reason for the tax cut, was to keep their political donations coming from the very-wealthy & large corporations.

I suspect: we will see a “huge” increase in our national debt & a big down-turn in the stock market, after all the BS settles out.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 09:02pm PT
Alter it, nothing changes. Lower it, nothing changes. Lower it again, nothing changes.

Lots of things change. The number is a percentage, not a fixed value. GDP changes. How people manage their money in response to rates changes. For example when cap gains are high people let their money sit invested to defer the taxes for a sunnier day. When rates were 90% those people got their money out of the country.

Yeah, Davies is a real shill.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Jul 31, 2018 - 09:19pm PT
^^^^ I so love simplistic explanations of complex economics that no two economists can agree on.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 09:33pm PT
The fallacy Kris is that the only way production gets increased is in response to demand

When demand goes up, prices go up way before production catches up. Supply is the elastic that connects production and demand. Say a company is producing x number of widgets, and people are buying those widgets, but not everyone who wants one can because the price is high. If the company could increase production, thus lower the price, they could sell a whole lot more widgets. They'd be buying their materials for less by buying more, they might save on production by spending some of their new revenues on modernizing, they'd have to hire people.

This is a perfect example of production leading consumption.
Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Jul 31, 2018 - 09:47pm PT
that's the only point he even tries to make with his graphs.

Could it be that's because that is the point he was trying to make?

He's not my hero economist, I'll stick to Friedman and Sowell for that spot. But his bio shows quite a career, with a lot of accomplishments.

He's not saying revenue's don't change, he's saying that they stay about the same as a percentage. His graphs cover 1954 to 2010. GDP, and therefor tax revenues, increased wildly over those years. The rate of increase and even periods of stagnation and negative growth of gdp changed constantly. So tax revenues as dollars went up and down too, but continued to hang in there around 15-20%.

Unless you think he made up his numbers, I don't, then the data speaks for itself.
Splater

climber
Grey Matter
Aug 1, 2018 - 12:01am PT
I asked
Looking at those charts,
it shows average marginal income tax rate being 40% or higher
ever since 1978.
Please advise.

Kris,

I asked how it's possible that the AVERAGE marginal income tax rate could be at least 40% every year since 1978.

The answer is, since in the very next chart the TOP marginal rate in many of those years was 30-36%,
it's not possible for the average rate to be higher than the top marginal rate.

For the author to have made that big of an obvious error speaks volumes about the rigor of their work.

Additionally, the charts do not include what would be more useful. Corporate tax rates should be compared to corporate tax revenue, not total taxes. Capital gains rates should be compared to capital gains revenue. Obviously capital gains revenues dropped a lot when Bush jr dropped the rates. Soc Sec & Medicare rates should be compared to revenue for those programs. The charts are also not adjusted for the takeover of America by the corporacrazy. Which would mean adjusting for the changes in income inequity.
dirtbag

climber
Aug 1, 2018 - 07:13am PT
This thread is largely a kinder, gentler political circle jerk among folks who are mostly on the same political plane.

You want to create a bridge with the Fox new junkies crowd? Sorry...waste of time.
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
Sands Motel , Las Vegas
Aug 1, 2018 - 07:45am PT
Fox news , your drive-thru junk food news source serving over 8 billion sh#t sandwiches a day..Bridge that gap with facts and critical thinking...? Maybe...?
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Aug 1, 2018 - 08:06am PT
LA Unified just announced that 25% of high school students dropped out last year. What hope
is there for those people, or us having to burden that load of ignorance and indolence?
rottingjohnny

Sport climber
Sands Motel , Las Vegas
Aug 1, 2018 - 08:41am PT
Yeah...Good luck discussing climate change or any other semi-complex issue with that kind of MAGA mindset....But i'll listen , for the 100th time , why they should be allowed to walk around with a holstered 9 mil in Home Depot ...
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Aug 1, 2018 - 08:49am PT
why they should be allowed to walk around with a holstered 9 mil in Home Depot ...

Because that's the law.

Fight to change those laws.

Climate change? It's not a big issue for most Americans. Part of the problem is there's not much we can do about it. And even if the US went "all in" to clean the environment, it wouldn't matter until all the emerging economies commit to the same.
Cragar

climber
MSLA - MT
Aug 1, 2018 - 08:59am PT
it wouldn't matter until all the emerging economies commit to the same

..and could use/purchase our developed techniques, methods, hardware towards sustainable energy, mobility, food, just to name a few resources...

Why wouldn't we want to be the leader of sustainability in a physically changing world/planet? Just because the $$ might not be seen in the near future?


edit: Had to add 'could' so my frikkin sentence makes sense



Ksolem

Trad climber
Monrovia, California
Aug 1, 2018 - 09:15am PT
Back to the damn graphs one last time.

The answer is, since in the very next chart the TOP marginal rate in many of those years was 30-36%,
it's not possible for the average rate to be higher than the top marginal rate.

There is the one mistake I found. The last graph is not a marginal rate. It's the top bracket tax rate. I saw that instantly, without noticing the incorrect caption, because the lines are flat, not reacting to anything. And even at a glance, if you know the history of personal Federal income tax rates, you'll see what the line on the graph is. His bad, my bad. But it's not relevant to the point, which is a very simple one that I find interesting. That's all. No big political point, although people making tax policy might want to know it.

The idea that the rates for each revenue stream should be compared to it's individual contribution to the whole also, imo, misses the point. The graphs are historical, there's no speculation. From 1954 to 2010 the various tax rates moved around a lot. Despite all these changes, revenues in total, as a percent of the economy, did not change by much.

You mention cap gains in the Bush Administration. Of course cap gains taxes represent, typically, about .5% of revenues, about 5% of personal income taxes paid. And within that number, revenue from gains went up during the Bush years. I think it's about 25%. When the rates are up, people with invested money leave it there. When the rates go down, they realize their gain and pay the lower taxes of the day.

It might be interesting to break down revenues according to the rates for each stream, but it misses his point.




EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Aug 1, 2018 - 02:17pm PT
From a Jan. '18 Pew poll.

Americans' top priority:


Climate Change came in 18th.

Among the Dems, it came in fifth.
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Aug 15, 2018 - 10:58am PT
bridges need solid footings, stop lying & adhere to the original rules set in writings of the founders; The Constitution.
or
Adopt this schmuck as our great leader, & follow like lemmings into the darkness of the world wide Kleptocracy.
Contractor

Boulder climber
CA
Aug 15, 2018 - 11:49am PT
Hitler-"By the skillful and sustained use of propaganda, one can make a people see even heaven as hell or an extremely wretched life as paradise."

"If you tell a big enough lie and tell it frequently enough, it will be believed."

"Success is the sole earthly judge of right and wrong."


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