Climate Change skeptics? [ot]

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The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:12pm PT
Yeah dingus.

Now be good boy and sing another song for the tribe then light their camp fire for em.



so you're saying that they somehow set the schedule by predicting when the aircraft is going to fail, without the aircraft failing?

No ED. Failure is not in the cards. NAVIAR has est it's maint schedules via it's ongoing testing of different aviation platforms and all their systems at NAVAIR PAX River MD (as well as reporting systems from the fleet), and established a periodic maint schedule that is designed to prevent any failure from occurring long before prior testing indicated it would. In most cases, a good 500-1000 hours prior to particular piece of equipment's est failure avg failure rate.

I remember changing a particular set of nuts & bolts on the Mast and the TR drive shaft every 40 hours. They were perfectly good. But, per the maint req, they were R&R'd.
TGT

Social climber
So Cal
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:31pm PT
and a maintenance schedule that strives to reduce the likelihood of failure.

No, eliminate the possibility of a failure.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:34pm PT
The material failure rate is less than .10% of an avg A/C's life span, EDH

99.90% of the failures (that I experienced) are due to human mistakes and not the material itself.


I had a total of six engine/systems shut downs in flt over 2968 total hours of flt time. All six were deemed human error by manufacture installation maint personal. Not USN personal.

Now you do the math.


Bottom line, regardless the type failure incurred, they were no where near your bullshet 95% certainty.

so you're saying that they were inefficient, replacing parts (at a cost) when they didn't have to?

These particular systems were deemed critical components. Thus the shorter time frame req'd to R&R in order to prevent any potential failure at it's weakest link. i.e. them nuts and bolts.
Malemute

Ice climber
the ghost
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:37pm PT
so you're saying that they somehow set the schedule by predicting when the aircraft is going to fail, without the aircraft failing?
They must throw dice to decide when; cause that's easier than doing any math.
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:40pm PT
I remember changing a particular set of nuts & bolts on the Mast and the TR drive shaft every 40 hours.

I thought you were only certified for bilge pump engineering? Are you guys really that third world letting guys like you near a mast head?
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:41pm PT
Brewsky
I thought...

We finally see your honest excuse for being part of the AGW herd. Besides, you have absolutely no clue as to what "mast" I speak of.
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:45pm PT
I bet you waited until they weren't looking..... then you snuck back and played with the bolts. No way in hell they'd let you near the thing
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:48pm PT
Nope. Not at all Brewsky.

But sure appears you are well versed at that sly of hand trick to cheat your employer.


Nice....

But then you are indeed a master at the bullshet as well.


Do you actually have a life Brewsky?


Or are you in the same shoes as Wilbeerere and just get stoned all day long and pretend to be someone of any value on the Taco.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:53pm PT
You, and TGT I gather, actually believe somehow that you can eliminate the possibility of failure. Even at 0.001 chance of failure, per aircraft there are 875 in service (in the Army) you have one failure per what ever period your probability applies to... per flight?

The Army does not utilize a Twin Engine Package in there AH, HH or UH models ED. They never did.

Thus, apples and oranges in the case with the USN and USMC.

Can't even use the Army's platform to compare it with the USN/USMC's failure rate.

Nice try.....



BTW: ALL USN AND USMC A/C require a redundant platform for over water operations. They have done so since 1966.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:56pm PT
No I didn't ED.

Completely different piece of equipment and the Army has a completely different Maint/Inspection Schedule Protocol as does the USAF to those of the NAVAIR (USN/USMC).

Because of over water operations, NAVAIR is far more in depth and stringent. Anyone that knows anything about Naval Aviation knows that.

Again, nice try EDH.
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 12, 2013 - 11:58pm PT
But sure appears you are well versed at that sly of hand trick to cheat your employer.

Regardless of how, i can spot a bullshitter when i see one. Maybe in Russia they let uncertified helicopter groupies play with the machinery but not america surely. You sign off on the log too?
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:01am PT
Nope... can't miss a point if the one being made is made up.

Even at 0.001 chance of failure, per aircraft there are 875 in service (in the Army)

Again, the Army's Aviation eq, stats and operational/maint protocols are a whole different game. A whole different enchilada. Of which I can not speak of cus I never operated directly with em.


So Brewsky, what the fk is the "mast" I spoke of?
rick sumner

Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:03am PT
Our dear professor has delusional certitude in his (mis)understanding of all things science to achieve supremacy in all arguments in which he engages. What does Jackass Freud call that, oh yeah - hubris. EDIT- No not hubris, just supreme stubbornness.
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:07am PT
fuking helicopter groupies.... alway trying to get the co pilots seat. Read all the manuals after dinner with their quilty and teddy before sleepy time. regurgitating slang and jargon at the least prompting....


Kinda reminds you of another bullshitter - Rick Sumner!!!

whoa - I missed that. Rick wants to talk about hubris all of a sudden. What was that ?

Hubris and stubornness are the same thing?

I see.... this is starting to make sense.....

And by your standard stubbornness is a virtue?
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:18am PT
So you are completely clueless Brewsky as to my question and thus another post of yours just riddled with more skank weed jibber jabberish bullshet.

Again, just on tab with the rest of the AGW crowd.

Got it...
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:20am PT
huh? the mast? you mean the thingy on top of the machine mr uncertified bilge pump maintainer?
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:22am PT
"On top of the machine", nope. You really do not have a clue as what I spoke of.

You and James are one in the same...


Jim Hansen was the climate headliner, filling an auditorium for the Frontiers in Geophysics lecture on "Minimizing irreversible impacts of human-made climate change." The irreversible impacts he noted were sea level rise, species extinction, and extreme weather regimes (more droughts, severe storms etc.). I expected his presentation to be rousing but instead saw a man visibly struggling with the enormity of what he sees, and the difficulties of averting disaster.



Bilge pumps... no such thing in the modern Navy Brewsky. They are filtered and then blown out via high pressure systems.


Go back to rolling them skank weed doobers boy.
rick sumner

Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:35am PT
Here's a question for you Ed, and i won't argue with your answer at all. With the microscopic size of today's circuit boards i understand that computing is subject to error from quantum uncertainty. What is the accepted performance uncertainty rate? Do supercomputers working with identical software, hardware, and identical data entry, always produce the same end solution?
Bruce Kay

Gym climber
BC
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:39am PT
Yes it is . Come on, even a drooling groupie like you knows that. Anyway, who gives a sh#t? The only point being made here is that you are a poser and a liar about your involvment with helicoptors about as much as your capability to read a simple graph. No self repecting or ethical engineer would let you near the thing, not with a wrench anyway.

That thing that rick is talking about - hubris - thats you.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 13, 2013 - 12:56am PT
Poser.... Take another hit off that skank weed bong of yours Brewsky.









According to my back of the envelope calculation, you ended up with a completely replaced helicopter every 43.5 hours of flight time.

Why doesn't the Navy just fire the maintenance staff and buy a new helicopter every time they go out on a mission?

That is why you are just a simple night janitor over at them labs Frontal.

Changing them rolls of shet paper really burdens your envelope licking day job...
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