Climate Change skeptics? [ot]

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Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 02:02pm PT
True, the line is just ordinary least squares, not the method Chief invented. We'll let him draw that one. Quantile regression and robust (IRLS) regression get about the same result as OLS (+.32 or +.33, respectively) but I'm sure we could find something else that doesn't.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 19, 2013 - 02:05pm PT
How so on cue you are Larry Hamilton.


Perpetuating the propaganda that is required in order to insure that monthly pay check is in the bank.


Gotta do what ya gotta do to sell the product that feeds your family.


EEEEEEEEEEEEEVEN if it sponsored and paid for by the entities you supposedly disdain so much.

You did of course willingly attend and report from this gathering of 20K plus that was sponsored by the Big Oil entities below, did you not?




http://fallmeeting.agu.org/2013/general-information/thank-you-to-our-sponsors/



Got it....


BTW: At the steady rate of warming you indicate below, it will take well over 250 plus years for it to attain the 2-3 or so Deg C increase globally that you all are fear mongering about.




250 plus years.

The Forecasting system in place has a really difficult time giving us all an accurate forecast 20-30 days down range.


But you tell us that it can with 95% accuracy, forecast (with "smoothing" of course) what will occur in 250 years.

Bravo...





So when is the IPCC leaflet dropping project in and over 3rd World Nations commencing Larry?
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 19, 2013 - 02:27pm PT
This must be the turd you left underneath your chair in your living room last night while you were busy photoshopping all that art work of yours.

Obviously the latest reason your spouse ejected you outta the house, again!


Nice Foreskinningmental. Nice...

Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 02:42pm PT
BTW: At the steady rate of warming you indicate below, it will take well over 250 plus years for it to attain the 2-3 or so Deg C increase that you all are fear mongering about.


Arithmetic fail. Let's see if someone else knows the answer. At the "steady rate of warming" (really it's just a trend line) indicated in the graph Poedtke shows below his comment, +.32C/decade, how long would it take to attain 2 of 3 degrees warming?

But of course, the rate won't be steady.
Norton

Social climber
the Wastelands
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:01pm PT
I love you guys
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:10pm PT



Oh do prove it "wrong."
































You CAN'T!

Nor will you ever FORESKINEATNINGMENTAL.

Why?


Because you will be DEAD! Just like the rest of your croanies here.


Nice turd btw. How long were holding that one back... a week?


Statistics helps to step back and see patterns..

All it takes is one or two major and lengthy volcanic eruptions and your statistic model based dreams are over.
rick sumner

Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:33pm PT
Oh my! The "shet of Sandia", our esteemed government welfare program scientist Mentalcase has sunk to new lows in his gutter language. We know that you have no respect for yourself, but to address women like you did publicly upthread is going beyond the bounds. What would your mother think Mentalcase?

Chief i suggest we pump our septic leach fields, we don't want this turd fowling our underground gallery.
Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:35pm PT
All it takes is one or two major and lengthy volcanic eruptions and your statistic model based dreams are over.

I don't have statistic model based dreams. Maybe you do? It was you, not me, who tried extending that trend into the future. Although you could not even do the arithmetic.

The data and analysis in my graph cover the period 1/1979 to 11/2013, just as it says in big print at the top.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:35pm PT
So after almost 21,000 posts surely y'all have reached a consensus, right?
Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:38pm PT
So after almost 21,000 posts surely y'all have reached a consensus, right?

Has that happened on one other long internet thread that you know of?
Ron Anderson

Trad climber
Relic MilkEye and grandpoobah of HBRKRNH
Dec 19, 2013 - 03:41pm PT
the consensus IS that the numbers HAVENT changed, their is a large hiatus now admitted too and unexplained to any reasonable outcome, and its currently buttazz cold and snowing here, on top of snow thats been here for a week. Insurance companies gonna be busy tonight!
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 19, 2013 - 05:31pm PT
Here's why ED.. NOAA's latest version shows an obvious trending decline in Global Ocean and Surface Temps the past decade. Not a rise as Larry Hamilton posts in his "Version" of the data.

Please do tell us that the blue line below.......................................................................................VVVVVVVVV

indicates an increase.




Each data set has a whole different "version" of numbers.


But like any good propaganda machine, the best source of potentially viable information that suites the agenda, ie that which our dear Larry Hamilton posted earlier, is utilized.
Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 05:39pm PT
But like any good propaganda machine, the best source of potentially viable information that suites the agenda, ie that which our dear Larry Hamilton posted earlier, is utilized.

No Poedtke, I posted the RSS data because they have a time series with up-to-date (November 2013) coverage of high north latitudes (land and sea), and you had just posted a bunch of maps with declarations about northern regions.

Tells me that Russia and parts of Asia had a heat wave for the month of November 2013.
Here are the last eight Novembers for comparison:
Lotta hot and cold in the same region of Russia/Asia
Take a good look at the notes for the Antarctic and the Arctic as well as Spain...
wilbeer

Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
Dec 19, 2013 - 05:58pm PT
Reilly,that is comedy right there.



"All this insistent bullshet from each and everyone of you Liberal Eco Freak Ideological Utopians"

Thanks for using "our" graphs and data.

At least we are organized,aye?

All you deniers could not organize a rockfight.






Ed and Chiloe,glad to see you two had a beer,you seem to be energized from them.
I would like to thank you for your constant defense here,and would be honored to have one with you someday.

Happy Holidays to all the rational folks here.
The Chief

climber
From the Land of the Mongols
Dec 19, 2013 - 06:37pm PT


Let's see what the entire planet it doing. Not just one specific region Larry.

No +.32 C decade GLOBAL linear trend since 2000 here....






Ed and Chiloe,glad to see you two had a beer,you seem to be energized from them.

I would like to thank you for your constant defense here,and would be honored to have one with you someday.

Geeeeeeeeeeeeeeeez Almighty Wilbeeree, get off their dicks would ya.
Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 06:45pm PT
Ed and Chiloe,glad to see you two had a beer,you seem to be energized from them.
I would like to thank you for your constant defense here,and would be honored to have one with you someday.


Since you and I are kinda Right Coasters, that's a possibility for me. Ed being a Left Coaster he takes some arranging. Cheers!
wilbeer

Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
Dec 19, 2013 - 06:49pm PT
Chef,there really is something wrong with you ,dude.
Chiloe

Trad climber
Lee, NH
Dec 19, 2013 - 06:49pm PT
Let's see what the entire planet it doing. Not just one specific region Larry.

Poedtke, read my note, the same one you're getting so huffy about. It states the global trend for the same years, from the same RSS dataset, using the same method. Right there in simple words and numbers.
rick sumner

Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
Dec 19, 2013 - 08:09pm PT
Larry, is that raw data your graph has been based on? Any adjustments by throwing out anomalously cool outliers, detrending, smoothing, or outright reanalysis by model run if the data doesn't fit the desired slope? Smoke some more weed and calm down Wilbeer. It' s been a long day .
wilbeer

Mountain climber
honeoye falls,ny.greeneck alleghenys
Dec 19, 2013 - 08:23pm PT
I would expect the old ass kissing remark.

But is that a Navy thing?

Not that there is anything wrong with that.

Truth be told ,they have made this thread a hell of resource,like it or not.

Along with the rest of the tribe.....hahaha
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