yosemite to flood??

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Messages 181 - 200 of total 202 in this topic << First  |  < Previous  |  Show All  |  Next >  |  Last >>
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 02:47pm PT
returning with a new event.

Werner, that is fake water out there! the model says only 9 .5 feet, and that tomorrow!!!


or maybe it is real water and the statisticians who do not acknowledge reality, or previous error, have a chance to revise their emotions and look at results.

last time the prediction was 58% inaccurate. but despite outcome, some still maintain they were correct, exactly why i said no to the NOAA recruiter.
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 03:24pm PT
Stage is 10.00 feet at 15:00 wednesday afternoon
rick sumner

Trad climber
reno, nevada/ wasilla alaska
Feb 8, 2017 - 03:25pm PT
Ed H could debunk those numbers and what the Duck see's with his lying eyes.
Dan McDevitt

Trad climber
yosemite
Feb 8, 2017 - 03:37pm PT
gettin' pretty loud down here in el portal. around 20,000 cfs! still rising
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 03:41pm PT
wow, the model was so far off of reality it looked bad, so they revised the graph to better match reality, progress.

just note this is a response post facto
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 04:16pm PT
16:00 wednesday 8 February USGS reading at Pohono is 10.23

The model shows stage increasing at a rate of .1 foot per hour, but reality is slightly more than double that... hmm, rate of change is also 60% inaccurate, anyone see a trend?

Thanks for the pic Dan!!!
awesome power
k-man

Gym climber
SCruz
Feb 8, 2017 - 04:21pm PT
That is movin', Dan!
I wonder what the canyon over by Coup D'état looks and sounds like.
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 04:40pm PT
T Hocking, actually Merry was better than that, she was exactly right to guess 13 feet.
She knew it was a guess so she used two significant numbers.

To give a prediction number with three significant figures is patently delusional.
Merry guessed 13, NOAA or as i prefer to call them NOAH, said in the last event said not about 24,
they are so delusional about their computation that they predicted 23.7 as if they were precisely accurate down to a third significant figure. This alone is a disconnect with reality, but they are so invested in the computation, that they have ceased to think.

Once again, when the model, or the "what was wrong" computation says 23.7 and reality is 12.65, it is not reality that was wrong.
WBraun

climber
Feb 8, 2017 - 04:51pm PT
It's clearing up now and stopped raining.

But!!! 140 and 120 are now closed.

Only 41 is open.

This place is getting hammered ......

(Tad, ... Merry is predicting now and I have no clue to what .... LOL)
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 04:59pm PT
Thanks for the update! when did the rain stop?
WBraun

climber
Feb 8, 2017 - 05:05pm PT
About a half hour ago ......
Flip Flop

climber
Earth Planet, Universe
Feb 8, 2017 - 05:06pm PT

Airbnb. Right on the river. Close to town. Good fishing.
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 05:18pm PT
Too funny nice yurt.


Werner, Pohono 17:00 was 10.20, so no change last hour.

Not sure what the lag time for the river is...

Radar looks clear for the rest of the day.
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Feb 8, 2017 - 05:35pm PT
Flood? Water? What are you smoking?

Don't you read the news?

"The State Water Resources Control Board ... extends the state’s emergency drought regulations"

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-drought-emergency-regulations-20170208-story.html

It's a drought emergency. A drought emergency.

There is no water. It's a drought.
mouse from merced

Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
Feb 8, 2017 - 06:01pm PT
It's cleared up and stopped, except for teeny drops now and then.
Thanks, Kevin.
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 07:37pm PT
19:00 pohono stage is 10.52

EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 08:15pm PT
20:00 pohono measures 10.89

and still going up for a few hours i think

edit: it held steady until 11, glad to be wrong.

EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 10:29pm PT
10.97, 10.95

same number at 22:00

WBraun

climber
Feb 8, 2017 - 10:31pm PT
It will go down during the night now ......
EdBannister

Mountain climber
13,000 feet
Feb 8, 2017 - 11:23pm PT
23:00 10.9 and down it goes
Messages 181 - 200 of total 202 in this topic << First  |  < Previous  |  Show All  |  Next >  |  Last >>
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