U.S. Stock market "CORRECTION!!" Why am I not "too-skeered"

Search
Go

Discussion Topic

Return to Forum List
This thread has been locked
Messages 181 - 200 of total 769 in this topic << First  |  < Previous  |  Show All  |  Next >  |  Last >>
ruppell

climber
Feb 5, 2018 - 06:50pm PT
down 1175 in a day.

thank the piece of sh#t president will take credit for the biglyest drop in history?


While I won't get into a POS POTUS discussion here I will correct some flawed logic.

It's the biggest single POINT drop in history. Not at all unusual since the DOW is higher then it's ever been. Using percentage as a basis it's a 4.6% drop.

In 87 Black Monday produced a single day drop of 22.6% just for comparison.

Is this the end of the drop. Probably not. Is this the start of another major recession? Probably not.

Am I still buying. Yep. But I have 20 years until I retire.
Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Topic Author's Reply - Feb 5, 2018 - 07:34pm PT
tradryan! Per your mention:
I think Fritz talked about buying Ford Motor Co a long time ago when I was reading through this

It's unlikely I advised buying Ford, even if I was drunk. Heidi drives a F-150 & I have a lot of respect for what the company does, but I always considered them a bad investment (for me) due to my perception of them having a high risk & little reward.

Ruppel! Thanks for sharing your perspective on how this piddily little sell-off ranks vs the 1987 panic.

Keep those lips-stiff lads. This won't be over, until a sudden rebound, that just kills those who paniced & the "market-timers."
tradryan

Big Wall climber
San Diego
Feb 5, 2018 - 09:33pm PT
It's unlikely I advised buying Ford, even if I was drunk.

Fair enough! I swear somebody up thread mentioned it but I'm not about to go read through again. I bought a couple hundred shares for fun and was rather shocked to see it do so well, for a time.
Jon Beck

Trad climber
Oceanside
Feb 5, 2018 - 09:55pm PT
Saw a banner ad on my phone the other day that was pushing bitcoin as a great IRA investment. Yikes!
JC Marin

Trad climber
CA
Feb 5, 2018 - 10:07pm PT
Welcome to the actual Trump economy--wonder why Trump is talking about the stock market today?

We are going to miss the Obama economy for sure...
matty

Trad climber
under the sea
Feb 5, 2018 - 10:19pm PT
Man I bought MCK a couple weeks ago hoping I would make around 10% on what is shaping up to be a shaky year. I hit 14% in 2 weeks.....got greedy and didn't sell (had great momentum)...now it's negative -_-

I believe that if this is how you treat investing you will repeat this fate many more times compared to when come out on top. No one can time the market and those that have tried have all failed given enough time. There is a reason why actively managed funds (and most private accounts) haven't beaten the market average for any significant length of time.

I'm sorry to hear about your (potential) loss and have gotten burned like that a few times myself. I sometimes take a shot on a risky stock, but luckily only with "play" money. This is a small portion of my portofilio (like maybe 1 percent) that I treat like gambling money...I only play with what I can lose.

Buy the whole market and you're guaranteed to get the market average return. Best way to do this is through lost cost index funds and perhaps some individual stocks too...some big companies are nearly an index fund in and of themselves (I looking at you BRKB).

I would highly recommend "the little book of common sense investing" by John Bogle. The author lays down a very convincing investment philosophy for anyone whose goal is long term investment (retirement). The philosophy is supported by logical arguments and tons of data is presented to back it up. Nothing sexy about it, just a boring routine of saving and investing, but historically it has been the most successful way to invest on average.

Maybe you already know all this and I'm just wasting electrons, but maybe not, and perhaps someone else will read it and benefit. Best wishes-

Matt

Chris Roderick

climber
Feb 6, 2018 - 05:54am PT
I am indeed skeered, somebody hold me please :-(
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Feb 6, 2018 - 06:00am PT
YES YES BUY FORD
White weirdos with comfy money, the dossier is mostly tru So for those of you, most ?,
who schmucked-up and voted for an oligarchs' stooge
- with more money than smarts too,
you have now to accept that elections have consequences'
The goal was to strip existence of You. - The . . . ? what was it we called it?

middle class

but ya did kill off that pesky death tax,so I guess, Yup, Thank You
Gnome Ofthe Diabase

climber
Out Of Bed
Feb 6, 2018 - 06:34am PT
!~(:9:30 am EST





Opening Bell





Sell Sell Sell
Gary

Social climber
Desolation Basin, Calif.
Feb 6, 2018 - 06:39am PT
Everything is on sale!

Not yet. Wait six months.
EdwardT

Trad climber
Retired
Feb 6, 2018 - 06:48am PT
Sell on the open?

Good call Gnome.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Feb 6, 2018 - 08:57am PT
Huge volume (yesterday's drop wasn't even in the top 20 percentage wise).

I'm looking to dollar cost average if Apple drops to $156.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Feb 6, 2018 - 09:52am PT
Looks like the world is in a learning curve of how to deal with volatility driven by high-speed trading. I don't believe we have a very good handle on all the conditions that can trigger instantaneous high trading volumes or when and how humans should intervene.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-05/machines-had-their-fingerprints-all-over-a-dow-rout-for-the-ages
StahlBro

Trad climber
San Diego, CA
Feb 6, 2018 - 09:59am PT
[Click to View YouTube Video]
Larry Nelson

Social climber
Feb 6, 2018 - 10:24am PT
Hey matty,
Smart advice about the futility of trying to time the market.
I've always seen Wall St as a slot machine... unless you invest for retirement with some diverse funds and ride it through several business cycles.

Real estate is another investment you have to ride through a business cycle or two in order to secure a positive cash flow. Without a juicy pension, just one paid off rental house can make that difference.

ruppell,
Excellent comments for perspective on market corrections.

healyje posted
Looks like the world is in a learning curve of how to deal with volatility driven by high-speed trading. I don't believe we have a very good handle on all the conditions that can trigger instantaneous high trading volumes or when and how humans should intervene.

Thanks for that link healyje
Artificial Intelligence firewalls to oversee the AI trading? Yikes.
We live in interesting times.
Toker Villain

Big Wall climber
Toquerville, Utah
Feb 6, 2018 - 02:27pm PT
Back up 567, but there will be another drop to "test" the bottom, probably soon.

When people are running for the door is a good time to buy.
I got some great deals in '87.
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Feb 6, 2018 - 02:41pm PT
I believe 'ratcheting' (up or down) is kind of built into machine algorithms as they move prices on one hand and then try to take advantage of that same movement on the other.
john hansen

climber
Feb 6, 2018 - 02:42pm PT
"Buy when there is blood in the streets"
Fritz

Social climber
Choss Creek, ID
Topic Author's Reply - Feb 8, 2018 - 08:07pm PT
frostback! Re your thoughts:

guess you can always average down.....
yours in cold eyed, taking-cash-off-the-table in classic bubble territory.

It is important, not to panic & sell in a somewhat different downturn like this.

Stiff upper lips lads, while the market is controlled by fools & computer selling programs.
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Feb 8, 2018 - 08:34pm PT
Anybody who didn’t think this was coming deserves a good whip-sawing. I honestly thought it
would come later this year but, having prepared for it, I’m enjoying all the wailing and gnashing
of teeth. What I’m really pissed about is Volvo messing up my special order for pickup in
Gothenberg. They left me only 14 weeks to make my travel reservations! How rude is that?
Messages 181 - 200 of total 769 in this topic << First  |  < Previous  |  Show All  |  Next >  |  Last >>
Return to Forum List
 
Our Guidebooks
spacerCheck 'em out!
SuperTopo Guidebooks

guidebook icon
Try a free sample topo!

 
SuperTopo on the Web

Recent Route Beta