OT Just how bad is the drought? Just curious OT

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rwedgee

Ice climber
canyon country,CA
Jan 27, 2015 - 09:01am PT
[url=http://s21.photobucket.com/user/rwedgy/media/Mobile%20Uploads/20150126_131533_zps22cd5ab6.jpg.html]{{img}}h~~p://i21.photobucket.com/albums/b296/rwedgy/Mobile%20Uploads/20150126_131533_zps22cd5ab6.jpg[/img][/url]


Castaic Lake the lowest since it was built
10b4me

climber
Jan 27, 2015 - 09:12am PT
Water conservation without controlling new users, will never solve the problem. Growth must be curtailed, agricultural growth most of all.
While I agree, I don't see that happening.
WBraun

climber
Jan 27, 2015 - 09:19am PT
Water never runs out.

Water is always there but not given by Nature because of your criminal activities against it.

Stop your criminal activities against Nature and all your water will come nicely ......
10b4me

climber
Jan 27, 2015 - 11:19am PT
Water is always there but not given by Nature because of your criminal activities against it.

Stop your criminal activities against Nature and all your water will come nicely ......

yup,and therein lies the rub.
Bob Harrington

climber
Bishop, California
Jan 27, 2015 - 08:28pm PT
That vice piece seems pretty shallow. Here's something with a lot more edge:

http:/medium.com/matter/why-the-california-drought-is-all-your-fault-55f81a947ce2

and a thoughtful rebuttal:

http://onthepublicrecord.org/2014/09/26/new-american-dustbowl-mr-heathcock-1-of-3/

and a piece looking at the details of water use for environmental purposes:

http:/californiawaterblog.com/2011/05/05/water—who-uses-how-much/
krahmes

Social climber
Stumptown
Jan 27, 2015 - 08:30pm PT
Thanks Dingus for the paper. The C14 data confirms that the trees grew during the medieval warming period which corresponded with severe drought in California during that time. While I accept the paleoenvironmental interpretation of the paper: a drier climate near a smaller to non-existent Walker River; I remain skeptical of the inference that these stumps have been sitting exposed in the bottom of the Walker River bed for 700 years. But whatever.
Bob Harrington

climber
Bishop, California
Jan 27, 2015 - 08:56pm PT
The California State Climatologist gave a briefing at the Public Policy Institute of California titled "Climate, Drought, and Change". Of the many illuminating graphics, I was most struck by this one, a scatter plot of annual precip and annual average temperature for the period 1895-2013.


There is not any correlation between precip and temperature, but look at the years since 2000 (black boxes). Since 2000, the precip is both above and below average (yellow triangle is average), but every year has been above average temperature. Droughts in the future are going to be different, because they will be hotter, which will place greater heat stress and evaporative demand on crops, reservoirs, and wildlands than a similar precipitation-year a few decades ago.

Remember that the Seager et al. study discussed a few hundred posts ago, which used modeling to conclude that the current drought was unrelated to climate change, looked only at precip anomalies. Precip is a big part of the picture, but it's not the only part. This current drought is dry, and that aridity is being exacerbated by warmer than normal (average) temperatures, that are likely at least partly a result of fossil fuel burning.
Bob Harrington

climber
Bishop, California
Jan 28, 2015 - 06:52am PT
Hmmm... They work for me, so I don't know what to do to fix them. No pay wall.
10b4me

climber
Jan 28, 2015 - 08:41am PT
We seem to turn a blind eye that the human population in California the past quarter century or so has almost doubled

The only way to stop it is to make living in California uninviting.
kunlun_shan

Mountain climber
SF, CA
Jan 28, 2015 - 09:40am PT
DMT, here's Bob's 3rd link:

http://californiawaterblog.com/2011/05/05/water%E2%80%94who-uses-how-much/
John M

climber
Jan 28, 2015 - 09:51am PT
Did anyone notice in the first story Bob linked that one of the farmers complaining said his family moved from the dust bowl of Oklahoma to California. And yet they are blaming the environmentalist. They are losing their farms and that is a sad thing, but lots of people said that area shouldn't be farmed a whole long time ago. Its also interesting and sad to me how numbers can be manipulated, and that people who don't really understand that can also be manipulated.
CA.Timothy

climber
California
Jan 28, 2015 - 10:00am PT

But the fact there have been significant warmer and drier periods in the distant, pre-civilization past doesn't mean that this one isn't either partly driven or worsened by human-caused global warming.

I don't dispute your point above, however, those long droughts were not in the 'distant' past; that's my point.

Either way, I'd say that trying to definitively answer that question is somewhat irrelevant for the current and near future generations of humans and the environment in the West. Regardless of the cause, if we're entering a longish period of warmer and drier conditions, and we've made economic/resource/planning decisions over the last 100 years based off of wetter, cooler conditions, we and the environment may have some problems going forward.

Water conservation without controlling new users, will never solve the problem. Growth must be curtailed, agricultural growth most of all.
While I agree, I don't see that happening.


Me neither. What will happen is the water will run out and there will be legal wars over who survives and who packs it up and leaves.

I would also subscribe to this. Thank you for all the links and good info people


mouse from merced

Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
Feb 3, 2015 - 04:51pm PT
Merced's .02" January rainfall was stacked next to the third highest rainfall total for December.

http://www.mercedsunstar.com/news/local/article8969747.html

Not to worry. The fog helps, but February better see the blocking high depart soon...or else!

The county supes have delayed any vote on regulation of groundwater pumping once more...this has been ongoing, a tacit nod to keep the wells flowing, if you ask me. Connivance of the powers that be with the powers that always have been.

City water's been tasting pretty rank lately, even in a restaurant which serves decent food. I've noticed that a few places have waterless toilets, some have deliberately cut down the flow to the restroom sinks, as well.

Honest citizens abound, as usual, but so do the rats.

We could, I suppose, revert to the days of ale and beer, which was supposed to be a substitute for foul tasting water during the middle ages. But alcohol dries your body out, surprise, surprise, surprise...



Mike Bolte

Trad climber
Planet Earth
Feb 3, 2015 - 05:00pm PT
Thanks Bob Harrington - lots of good information in those links.
WBraun

climber
Feb 5, 2015 - 09:34am PT
Rain is coming!!!!

Get your water buckets out and ready to capture nice water falling from the sky ....
Patrick Sawyer

climber
Originally California now Ireland
Topic Author's Reply - Feb 5, 2015 - 11:04am PT
Finally, I started a thread that has more than ten posts.

It is raining now, and I am… where am I? Oh yes, In Co Wexford, Ireland. Not my native East Bay. Did I not start this thread by saying that historically California is a land of droughts and floods (until the Army Corps of Engineers, among others, stepped in with the flood issues back in the 1960s).

So El Nino or not to Nino, that is the question.

Now, some 38 million people in California. Am I correct with that? Whoa, when I was born in Walnut Creek (1956), it had about 5,000 people, now it has… a lot more.

Water issues well always be a talking point in places like Central/Southern California. Turn deserts in to Palm Springs.

I have read this thread and gone to the links posted (I should be out climbing, or trying to figure a way to break Jennie out of the nursing home), I see the issue of water, not only in California, as multi-faceted (duh, who gave this dummy a degree?).

It is February (didn't take a genius to figure that out), what is the snow pack like in the mountains? I could go online, but I am lazy and in need of rest. So it is easier to ask Taco Standers.
John M

climber
Feb 5, 2015 - 11:13am PT
http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cdecapp/snowapp/sweq.action

Its not good Patrick

We need a very wet Feb and March. So far it looks like Feb will be below normal even with this coming storm.
mouse from merced

Trad climber
The finger of fate, my friends, is fickle.
Feb 5, 2015 - 11:22am PT
Looks like an awfully dry rain, Werner.

Hand me down my spit-tailed coat,
I dispute this old duck-goat.

Skillet Lickers/Ain't Gonna Rain No More
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vo2U7IpHKpw
Norwegian

Trad climber
dancin on the tip of god's middle finger
Feb 6, 2015 - 03:41am PT
a whole lot of wind this morning.
nothing else.

maybe we can start drinking the wind.
neebee

Social climber
calif/texas
Feb 6, 2015 - 04:24am PT
hey there say, johh m, and patrick, first for asking and then for john providing, as, i too, have been wondering about the snowpack...

seems whenever i see all this snow over here in the mich, onward, area, i think of 'my old dear calif' and see that they have not had much... wondered how it was, as to 'how it should be, etc' stuff...


heard, too, that the rain is coming... let's see how it fairs...
my mom in san jose, hopes to hear a bit of it... most likely
she has by now, if it was enough to wake her up... however, it seemed that
it would NOT be around there, long... :(

thank you each and everyone of you for sharing news and links, thoughts, ideas, and articles and all the tech info...
thank you... trying to 'digest' it all...
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