El Niņo 2015

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dirtbag

climber
Topic Author's Original Post - Aug 13, 2015 - 11:20am PT
It's shaping up to be a doozy:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

(NOAA's latest report released today.)

Ed H

Trad climber
Santa Rosa, CA
Aug 13, 2015 - 12:24pm PT
Ward Canyon freshies!

John Duffield

Mountain climber
New York
Aug 13, 2015 - 12:35pm PT
Should I book plane tix now?
pyro

Big Wall climber
Calabasas
Aug 13, 2015 - 01:25pm PT
I'll believe it when I see it
Charlie D.

Trad climber
Western Slope, Tahoe Sierra
Aug 13, 2015 - 03:59pm PT
Ha!!! You and me both pyro. Anyone remember this warning last winter? The storm was a bust.

apogee

climber
Technically expert, safe belayer, can lead if easy
Aug 13, 2015 - 04:03pm PT
"I'll believe it when I see it"

Werd.

Did I just agree with pyro????????
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Aug 13, 2015 - 04:04pm PT
What, El Chapo has announced his successor?
Chaz

Trad climber
greater Boss Angeles area
Aug 13, 2015 - 04:43pm PT
El Niņos never hit until like February.

We'll be on this same thread next December and January saying "El Niņo my ASS! It hasn't rained since August".
climbski2

Mountain climber
Anchorage AK, Reno NV
Aug 13, 2015 - 06:00pm PT
Reno will get to test its downtown Truckee river flood abatement project..

I like science.. buying a season ski pass for the first time in a few years.

Bring on the pow!
SC seagoat

Trad climber
Santa Cruz, Moab or In What Time Zone Am I?
Aug 13, 2015 - 06:04pm PT
Ummmm....we were going to forego winter (or whatever it's been) and sail to Mexico in Dec.
Now, not sure what to do. There are some options.


Susan
healyje

Trad climber
Portland, Oregon
Aug 13, 2015 - 06:08pm PT
Depends on what patterns the jetstream sets into over the winter. Could take all the moisture to the SE instead of Cali. Either way, Cali could just be returning to drier conditions after an unusually long run of wet climate:

guido

Trad climber
Santa Cruz/New Zealand/South Pacific
Aug 13, 2015 - 06:38pm PT
Ah, it's in the models and they never ever agree-current consensus from my weather guru in NZ is El Nino will max out in Nov but maintain until late March and it is far far from being the most powerful ever.

dirtbag

climber
Topic Author's Reply - Aug 14, 2015 - 11:36am PT
Holy moly...

apogee

climber
Technically expert, safe belayer, can lead if easy
Aug 14, 2015 - 11:39am PT
BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!11
Reilly

Mountain climber
The Other Monrovia- CA
Aug 14, 2015 - 11:43am PT
I'm gonna get the ladder out and clean my gutters.

Yes, boys and girls, the LA Times says GODZILLA!!!


With 'Godzilla El Niņo' expected, focus shifts to Pasadena dam that could overflow

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-huge-el-nino-leaves-parts-of-california-vulnerable-to-flooding-20150813-story.html
crankster

Trad climber
No. Tahoe
Aug 14, 2015 - 11:46am PT
My snowblower has only been used 3-4 times in 4 years. We are due.
bergbryce

climber
East Bay, CA
Aug 14, 2015 - 11:59am PT
I'll believe it when I ski it. That warm water off the coast could mean warm storms which is not good for breaking our drought. We need snow, not rain events up to 10, 11 and 12k.
If El Nino does indeed produce more precip, it typically favors southern CA. I'd be more concerned about flash floods and mudslides south of Fresno more than anything at this point. I'd be happy with an average year in Tahoe.
phylp

Trad climber
Upland, CA
Aug 14, 2015 - 12:09pm PT
I'm frightened and excited at the same time.
apogee

climber
Technically expert, safe belayer, can lead if easy
Aug 14, 2015 - 12:11pm PT
Got my gutters cleaned out yesterday...mostly because they overflowed in recent thunderstorms! Gonna pick up some sandbags, though.

True enough that these El Nino's tend to favor So Cal, but I'm reaaaaalllllyyy hoping there's just a liiittttllle more Gulf of Alaska cold air influence on this one that could push the snow level just a bit lower. Fingers crossed...but any precip will be appreciated.
donini

Trad climber
Ouray, Colorado
Aug 14, 2015 - 12:14pm PT
You really need those embers to die down so the snow doesn't melt on contact.
Messages 1 - 20 of total 139 in this topic << First  |  < Previous  |  Show All  |  Next >  |  Last >>
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